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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Review : June 2017 (post General Election)
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Review : June 2017 (post General Election)
Dawdon on Durham (Lab defence) Result: Labour 693 (52% +6% on May 2017), Independent 633 (48%, no candidate in May 2017) Labour HOLD with a majority of 60 (4%)
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The statistics in the article seem to be wrong.
1 Conservative (Eric Forth)
1 Lib Dem (Patsy Calton)
1 Independent (Peter Law)
Labour:
1. Ipswich (Jamie Cann)
2. Ogmore (Raymond Powell)
3. Brent East (Paul Daisley)
4. Leicester South (Jim Marshall)
5. Livingston (Robin Cook)
6. Dunfermline & West Fife (Rachel Squire)
7. Ealing Southall (Piara Khabra)
8. Crewe & Nantwich (Gwyneth Dunwoody)
9. Glenrothes (John MacDougall)
10. Inverclyde (David Cairns)
11. Feltham & Heston (Alan Keen)
[ 12. Bradford West (Marsha Singh) ]
13. Croydon North (Malcolm Wicks)
14. Middlesbrough (Stuart Bell)
15. Wythenshawe & Sale East (Paul Goggins)
16. Heywood & Middleton (Jim Dobbin)
17. Oldham West & Royton (Michael Meacher)
18. Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough (Harry Harpham)
[ 19. Batley & Spen (Jo Cox) ]
Even if you disregard Jo Cox *and* Marsha Singh, it's 17 not 15.
And who is the second "Other"?
Aaron Banks's finances ^
C&P into google - and click the green "cache" link to get around the paywall.
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The thing I don't get is - why "loan" money to a political campaign at all?
Is it a tax thing? Can it be written off as a loss and offset, or something?
I'm not an accountant. I don't understand why we allow it, or why it's a mechanism that donors use.
Donating/loaning money to a political party makes no difference to an individual or a company's tax liability.
What a w*****!
"Wolves and brown bears could return to British countryside to 'naturally cut deer population' "
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2017/06/30/wolves-brown-bears-could-return-british-countryside-naturally/
What predators do we then introduce when the population of wolves and brown bears need to be cut ?
Sabre-tooth tigers ? Velociraptors ?
Maybe dragons and the North can be turned into the North.
We should have published our planned tariff schedule. We should have published Heads of Terms with a dozen countries (especially those that already have trade relationships with the EU). We should have announced our intention to join EFTA (not EEA, just EFTA). Dr Fox should have stood by the side of the Canadian ambassador and announced that we will be joining the EFTA-Canada FTA.
All these things increase our leverage with the EU, and insulate us somewhat against the risk of cliff edge Brexit.
Instead Dr Fox has failed to publish a tariff schedule, and has failed to make any progress ensuring exiting EU relationships are transferred to us, and has made next to no progress with other countries. (The possible exception being the US, but I fear that a US-UK deal will rapidly get bogged down in minutiae.)
We still have 21 months left to get things together. But we've had 12 months, and even the simplest things haven't been done yet. Business will start getting very nervous if we drift into 2018 and our non-EU trade arrangements appear to have been completely forgotten about.
Hammond's big achievement this year was to bollox his Budget.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/06/24/liam-fox-interview-country-made-views-clear-part-dont-people/
Sharpen up Liam. You've got work to do!
I must admit to having somewhat of a downer about deer - I once ran into one.
Still I should be thankful I didn't run into a brown bear, that might have had worse consequences.
So... New Labour has turned back into Old Labour and the Tories* are effectively turning into old New Labour.
*Since they have recently discovered that none of: austerity, untrammelled free-markets, public sector pay caps, hard brexit, grammar schools, fox-hunting, demetia tax etc. etc. are great for electoral prospects (let alone the country). Expect to see tuition fees abolished in the Autumn budget
I believe he named some of the deer he shot recently Michael and Boris after Messrs Gove and Johnson.
*More likely in 2027.
Brexit is a poisoned chalice that will destroy any government it touches.
I really want to be asleep right now.
*Strange advice though - as if you'd sit in your car thinking, "shall I hit it or not?" Reminds me of the "Beware of falling rocks" signs in Cheddar Gorge - what are you going to do about it if one decides to fall?
#ExcellentTradingBetAhem.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moose_test
I think the falling rocks sign is more to tell you to keep away, or not to linger, in those areas. My favourites are 'beware of rogue waves' signs at seemingly remote areas of the coast (I think there's one near Cairnryan). The waves are caused by passing large ships, often ferries, and from what I've read the signs are at places where the coast's shape magnifies the incoming wake.
I was jogging through some woods, went round a corner and there it was, oblivious to the world and in particular to all the noise I had been making as I approached.
It's impossible for you to come to any useful conclusion about a suitable destination if you don't understand (or, alternatively, don't believe in) the reason for the journey in the first place.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/apr/04/airbus-executives-brexit-warning-letter-uk-eu
Well there's a surprise
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/uk-economy-world-worst-performing-advanced-countries-state-g7-european-union-a7817046.html
https://twitter.com/JungleDaily/status/880551067083194368
Will we be in recession by Q3?
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/brexit-boris-johnson-michael-gove-nigel-farage-poll-hated-british-public-char-yougov-a7805466.html
Year on year growth we're 11th of 20 in the G20, ahead of Germany and way ahead of Italy/France and so on. Even that's a bit of an unhelpful comparison, because developing countries like China/India/Turkey/Indonesia/Mexio are always going to have higher growth peaks.
I think remaining in the single market is not only possible but more than likely....we probably have 2 years plus of actual shit to go through until we return to the bleeding obvious, namely that our interests are best served in Europe.
Even intransigent eggheads like your good self...the penny may well have dropped by then....finally....
Only headbangers like you can't see we are leaving the E.U and we will control our borders.
The trouble with Project Fear is that it was Project Realism. Okay, there are a few things that won't be affected very much by Brexit, but most of the warnings were sensible. For many people the medium-term effects of Brexit will be severe, and the only way the government is going to get the country (and itself) through the mess is by seeking out the Magic Money Tree orchard and supplying every region and sector with as much fruit as it wants.
https://twitter.com/trade_eu/status/880778219997319168