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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It was the Question Time special exactly a week before polling day that sealed Theresa’s fate
Last night I watched again the Question Time leaders’ special with Corbyn and TMay from the University of York that took place on June 1st exactly a week before the election. On the night itself the PMs performance was well received particularly by right wing commentators.
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The 72% saying they had heard something was believable, the numbers saying they had watched it all were not.
She really is an astonishingly poor candidate for leader, and PM. What were the Tories thinking?
There was no promotion of Conservative economic success in reducing the deficit and maintaining, increasing, indeed, high employment. It was a shockingly poor campaign.
http://brexitcentral.com/uk-eu-will-square-citizens-rights/
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-40426642
I suspect the Tories were ‘lucky’ it was after the postals.
Ireland peace process. It had to be all about her.
To be fair to her, she does own the 2017 election result.
As we see today, the voters madness continues with the stated belief in more tax and spend on the rise.
People may not have liked Osborne all that much, but he'd have massacred Labour on economics this time.
CCCCC - Day of Days - 0910 hrs.
BREXIT news that Hammond, Davis and Johnson have spat out their dummies and thrown the toys out their prams has caused consternation at Mothercare as the iconic British company try to assess the damage of politicians acting like naughty infants would do to their brand.
Reports suggest that"Spreadshit Phil" filled his nappy and demanded the widest possible access for British prams within a customs union. David Davis indicated that no toys were better that id less toys and Boris Johnson said that he wanted out now so that Conservatives could continue to eat other babies without interference from the European Court of Justice.
The Prime Minister was challenged about the dummy problem and stated that she would speak to the rest of the Cabinet dummies as soon as possible.
Daft sod.
The only questions are who gets most shakes of it and who eventually pays for it.
The answer to the first question is George Osborne and David Cameron plus pensioners in general.
The answer to the second question is the young.
Let me commend to OGH a useful site called politicalbetting.com which discussed this very point.
I think Hammond would have massacred Labour on the economy if he had been given the opportunity.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-40426642
How did it cross party lines to end up in David Cameron's hands, even in a photocopied version? I have a feeling the answer to that question would tell us something about how the coalition government worked.
But in any case, what were the options? Boris is flaky and blustering; Osborne was tied to the Cameron project, austerity and the Remain Project Fear; Leadsom was grossly underqualified and proved within days her unsuitability; Gove is divisive and overly intellectual; Hammond might or might not be a male version of May but is uncharismatic and untested on the campaign trail. Indeed, the entire field of possibles all had significant question marks against them. At the time, May had fewer confirmed negatives which is why she won.
Corbyn's Crazy Crackpot Co-operative of Chaos
Up The Workers ..
No one mentioned Venezuela and brought up the Corbynista's glowing tributes to it a year or so ago. And it probably wouldn't have mattered. I teased a Corbyn supporter about it a few weeks ago. "It's nothing to do with Venezuela," he said. "It's the oil price."
Leadsom would have been so far over her head as PM she would have lost her honeymoon pretty quickly. Crabb was something of a nonentity. Fox is disgraced, and a headbanger. Gove is more unappealing than May, he rubs people the wrong way. Boris would have made us a complete laughing stock - look at how people reacted to him becoming foreign secretary. He is also incredibly divisive because of the EUref, not like his mayoral days.
Despite everything, May was genuinely the best option on offer for the tories!
Don't over-think. You should have chosen Pritti Patel. At least, she's easy on the eye.
The veteran broadcaster, who issued a statement in response that did not deny the allegation, was criticised by a Conservative MP for espousing “extreme views” that were incompatible with an impartial interviewer.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/jon-snow-s-glastonbury-outburst-upsets-tories-rnszbkkt6?
Did anyone else see this? Am I going mad? Was this someone at Sky messing around or was site hacked???
*Something that came back to bite her in the campaign.
And as it seems that Labour were themselves expecting a big defeat they didn't know who their new voters were either.
It's a mistake they won't/can't make again, which at least provides some hope for the blues for the future.
You do understand that, don't you.....
https://youtu.be/_DrsVhzbLzU
The next election will be... interesting.
But debt as % of GDP is a better indicator. And that can decrease as long as economy grows faster than debt.
The public mood is clearly changing to wanting more public spending, they can either be in front of that curve, or behind it.
I would prefer that increased spending and increased taxes are done by the Tories than Labour clearly.
Some posters here reckon that going after McDonnell instead of Corbyn will be more productive next time. But "Your team includes a bloke who had dodgy associates" is even weaker than "Your leader had dodgy associates". The Tories just have to have a positive reason to vote for them, and I wonder if they're capable of it without a period of opposition to regroup. Like Labour in 2010, they feel as though they've simply run out of steam.
Just the schools, offices, other public buildings to go then the inevitable requirement on private landlords.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/may/07/the-great-british-brexit-robbery-hijacked-democracy
That's the most important comment, I think.
There was a discussion on Today a couple of days ago on the question of whether the media should be more "patriotic" in their coverage of Brexit.
I think that is the wrong question. However, what we are seeing is the full scale elision of of opinion and reporting: the (generally) anti-Brexit view of the much of the media is leading them to cover the topic from a narrative of "it's all going horribly wrong" - not very constructive.
A more balanced discussion would be valuable to everyone (except possibly newspaper commercial revenues...)
That's why the unofficial campaign and some of Corbyn's visits included Tory marginals, while the official campaign gloomily focused on defending moderately strong existing Labour seats (right up to polling day Broxtowe activists were being told to help out in places like ultra-safe Nottingham North, advice they rightly ignored).
My own mea culpa can be illustrated by my comment to a very special friend just before election day that she should not waste £50 on backing a Hung Parliament at 10/1 'because it would be a total waste of money.'
Naturally I coughed the monkey up.
That's a start.
Another lie from Mrs May. There is a magic money tree, one that has DUP written on it rather than NHS.
In other words, the criticism is not that they were wrong, but that they were wrong for the wrong reason.
social media/the internet may be focusing on right-ring fake-news and internet activity (alt-right etc) and rightly so, but the left wing fake-news and 'alt-left' is just as active, if not more so.