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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Alastair Meeks makes his first next general election bet: LAB

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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited June 2017
    "One of the CIA contractors ... reportedly focused their hacking skills on the snack machines in their office. According to reports, the contractors found a way to disable the payment system on the snack machines and stole $3,324.40 worth of nibbles"

    https://www.theregister.co.uk/2017/06/22/wikileaks_cia_brutal_kangaroo/
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,034
    edited June 2017
    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    In case anyone missed it yesterday and is interested, these are the percentage changes by constituency (9 sheets). I got the data directly from the official council websites rather than using any secondary sources:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UWhZhZlnNE6oVmg_n1ayf-TtV0brsoaA4NawWz_GI6k/edit#gid=0

    It's awesome Andy. Thanks very much.
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uvCK4ef-JKGWiU-4EjqLJK3kzPdHh9OR2bvDjxrCdL0/edit?usp=sharing

    The Lab-Tory swing in England and Wales:

    "Zero swing" expected at 58.6% leave,
    r^2 correlation 0.516
    Sheffield Hallam the biggest (Pro-Tory) swing outlier in the whole of England and Wales.
    North Thanet Labour's best outlier.
    Mansfield and Reading East both very close to the expected result from the fit line.
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,851
    edited June 2017
    stodge said:

    Chris said:


    "EU nationals have rights under the various Treaties which set up the European Union.
    One of these is the right to live and work in any of the other Member States of the union.
    Consequently, EU nationals are not given individual leave to enter the United Kingdom.
    This is because they have a right of entry and residence under European Union law as
    long as they are coming here in the exercise of a Treaty right. This includes the right to
    take or seek employment or to set up business. Student and self-sufficient persons (e.g.
    retired persons) also have right to entry and residence in a non-economic capacity."
    https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/374616/TreatyRightsPolicy.pdf

    Thank you, Chris. That seems to suggest even if you don't have a job you can come here and say you're looking for work even if you fund your life through criminality or alternatively take cash-in-hand work and not contribute taxes and Nat Ins to the UK.

    I don't see that what May is proposing is very different from this so those concerned aboujt immigration might wonder what is going on.

    If May wants this, agreement to the Single Market must be on the agenda sice it reads like Freedom of Movement to all intents and purposes.

    In principle we're talking about historic rights accrued by EU citizens moving to the UK while it's a member of the EU. EU citizens coming to the UK after Brexit would be governed by new rules. The devil is in the detail on this stuff.Mrs May claims to have made a "generous offer" subject to it being reciprocated by the EU, but it is very vague and does not even reference the far more detailed proposal already tabled by the EU. There's undoubtedly some grandstanding but even so the other leaders and representative groups don't seem particularly impressed.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,030
    New thread.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    In case anyone missed it yesterday and is interested, these are the percentage changes by constituency (9 sheets). I got the data directly from the official council websites rather than using any secondary sources:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UWhZhZlnNE6oVmg_n1ayf-TtV0brsoaA4NawWz_GI6k/edit#gid=0

    It's awesome Andy. Thanks very much.
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uvCK4ef-JKGWiU-4EjqLJK3kzPdHh9OR2bvDjxrCdL0/edit?usp=sharing

    The Lab-Tory swing in England and Wales:

    "Zero swing" expected at 58.6% leave,
    r^2 correlation 0.516
    Sheffield Hallam the biggest (Pro-Tory) swing outlier in the whole of England and Wales.
    North Thanet Labour's best outlier.
    Mansfield and Reading East both very close to the expected result from the fit line.
    Thanks for this. Sheffield Hallam was a huge tactical unwind I think.
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    VinnyVinny Posts: 48
    Trouble is, Mr Meeks, your blogspot is a load of left-leaning rubbish
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