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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Prime Minister Theresa May Episode II
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in harness and she has the opportunity to learn from what has happened.
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It probably was - or could have been.
Just that calling one without any consultation on the manifesto, or any plan on how to campaign wasn't. And if May really is as crap as she revealed herself to be during the campaign, maybe it's as well we found out before the Brexit negotiations ?
Is it possible that we're living in one of the least worst possible of all worlds ?
https://twitter.com/ElectCalculus/status/874225962287857664
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/874242891396374533
Likely resignation date is the date the house breaks up for the summer?
Corbyn came second and wants to be PM.
Pay attention.
Do you really believe that or are you being nice? Everything about Mrs May's character suggests a woman seething with ambition and pride and any thought that she'd accept being the shortest serving PM for over a hundred years was to be avoided at all costs.
Is it wrong to be really, really, enjoying the Tories squirming after their arrogance over the past months?
She has patience - but not patience with other people; it is the patience of a loner.
She has a sense of duty - but is tat coupled with the judgment to realise when it is time for her to go in the interests of the nation ?
As for her analytical capacity, identifying problems is one thing; solutions another.
1. Keep as far away as possible from the swivel-eyed Tory right.
2. Stop pandering to the right wing press.
3. Apologise for her citizens of nowhere and saboteur sabre rattling.
4. Start talking about Europe as our friend, not our enemy.
5. Run a mile from Donald Trump.
So when someone says "thank god we are out of the EU and yes I'd be happy with the EEA/EFTA" it is the height of illogicality and I think an interesting topic for debate.
Maybe, there is a simpler explanation. She just likes the trappings of power.
He deserves a shot at the top job, we need to have a full leadership election and I hope he gets serious backing for it from some of the old guard who's time has clearly passed.
- start again, with a projected finish date probably in 2020
- use up-to-date (the current) registration data
- have a target of 650 seats
- have more flexible criteria, either a return to the old +/- 10% or/and to the old discretion to breach the limits for good community reasons
All of this will produce an outcome where the majority of existing seats are merely tweaked, rather than trashed. The only significant changes will be to Wales, the IOW (split), and a few areas with outlier electoral change.
http://www.standard.co.uk/comment/comment/there-are-two-crucial-things-we-need-to-make-this-a-sane-brexit-a3562946.html?amp
So although I really don't want to rehash those pre-Ref debates, given that EEA/EFTA would be fine, given that we were always sovereign while in the EU, what is it about the EU that you don't actually like?
He's starting to sound like a real contender. A man for our times. None of the dogmatism and soundbites that turned off so many at the last election
Much of what the DUP woukd like at local level is driven by the local Assembly being there to make use of it. Its in sinn fein boycott. The government will sign cheques but preferably not unless the Assembly is up and running. The starting point therefore fir the government is that no cash flows until then. Part of the surround is how to get the show at Stormont running again. This means telling Sinn Fein that their boycott is out of road.
The second hitch is detail. There are a number of down the list DUP requests plus one or two top list issues which have national implications that are still in discussions. Sone of the national level issues may well be changes the government is going to make anyway from previous manifesto ideas that tanked. The down the lists though are smaller but possibly sensitive.
Most big list issues are agreed.
These numbers are ridiculously tight aren't they? However I wonder if the Tories think they can bluff it out. There were several key votes in the past 2 years when I thought the Gvt might lose and they never did (were they defeated on anything except EU ref purdah and Sunday trading?) In practice getting every opposition MP marshalled against them just didn't happen for whatever reason, and it was hard not to be impressed by the discipline on the Tory side (both in Commons and Lords - how they got that individual vote registration cutoff through the Lords I have no idea.) If the Tory whipping operation remains as slick and Labour divisions are still present, they may be able to get more through than they expect.
Only the most fanatical Europhiles like yourself fail to see the difference.
The debate that you stepped into, between ScottP and I, was based on his assertion that no party had a mandate for Brexit, so it might not happen.
As I have said, maybe two dozen times now, I am happy for the current govt, whoever it may be, we have had a couple since you started hammering on about it, to negotiate the deal however they like, hard/soft/EFTA/EEA whatever. These things aren't set in stone and can and will change over time. I would like to leave completely but I am not self important enough to think that matters or stupid enough to think that's how it works.
Why do you give a fuck what I think anyway?! I dont care what you do
But he's been in Parliament for 7 years now and hasn't really advanced. He's a year older than Blair when he became leader of Labour. Only 2 years younger than Cameron when he became PM.
I just have no idea why he isn't in the Cabinet - there must be a reason.... he's seriously posh of course...
If you don't want to be challenged or engaged on what you write on an internet discussion board...don't write it.
But, we are seeing the Peter Principle applying in spades. Even if we weren't, politics is an unforgiving game, and the fact is that she has screwed up catastrophically. Even that might not be terminal were it not for the fact that she didn't need to do anything at all. She has to go, the only question yet to be decided is when.
In terms of adjustment for population changes, London tends to gain (look at the size of East and West Ham for example), but the northern Labour cities tend to lose. Wales loses. The Home Counties tend to gain.
I doubt the impact is as huge as the Conservatives had previously estimated, but expect that they still stand to gain a few seats from a revised 650-seat review.
We have always been sovereign, you want to sign us up to a convention which is substantially the same as the one you have just voted to leave, and all you can do is flail around wishing it wasn't so.
https://twitter.com/RaeEarl/status/874230104271998977
I thought May would resign as Cameron did, humiliated and sulking, she might just be made of sterner stuff.
1. To unilaterally give residence rights to EU nationals and not use them as a bargaining chip.
2. To drop the target of less than 100,000 net immigrants that was only in the manifesto to attract UKIP voters.
3. To drop the idea that" no deal is better than a bad deal." This is only useful in a negotiation in the sense that a threat to shoot yourself in the head if you don't get your own way is useful.
I think SF would dance with Corbyn, and he'd be willing to dance with them.
That'd be even more controversial than the DUP.