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  • Options
    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Pulpstar said:

    Did no one watch Andrew Neil's interview with Tim Farron?

    Forgot it was on :(
    To be honest Neil achieved what he wanted to deny a complete answer a single question. Unfortunately farron was unable to give sharp, concise answers which played to neils attack. I don't understand why farron did not answer about campaigning to remain in the EU at any decision referendum was not "if it's a good deal we will back it" lets move on.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,972

    Liam Gallagher was just on ch4 and he said he was voting Labour as he came from a Labour family. Seems Corbyn is quite popular with the high end of the entertainment industry. I was surprised Gallagher said he watched PMQs when it is on TV.

    I had him down as a MAYYYBBBEEEE!
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,972
    rcs1000 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    RobD said:

    isam said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    twitter.com/TSEofPB/status/870345701666033665

    YouGov aren't doing the real exit poll, are they?
    The real exit poll is done by Ipsos MORI and GfK NOP, face to face, at polling stations across the country.

    I suspect YouGov will do an on the day, how people voted poll.
    It was sh** last time, let's be honest. It gave the LD false hope...
    and UKIP :p
    13% and no seats... painful for the pocket :disappointed:

    A repeat will be even more expensive!


    Swings and roundabouts with the EU referendum a year later. :)
    Yes all was well in the end. I quite flukily won a load of money on the referendum as my bets went so far underwater it wasn't worth cashing out for a loss... then they won!

    Did you see the Farage and Rachel Johnson lunch date? He more or less said he never wanted to be an MP anyway but had to stand.. I guess people will say that's just because he lost, but I don't think he would be a good MP anyway, he just wanted to Leave the EU
    He tried often enough!
    I think his point was he had to stand to get UKIP publicity, but didn't really want to be an MP. He obviously doesn't want to now
    Given the cheap booze, I would be staggered if he didn't want to be an MP.
    Well he isn't standing!
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,236
    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954

    Liam Gallagher was just on ch4 and he said he was voting Labour as he came from a Labour family. .

    What a stupid reason to vote for anybody, Labour or Tory. But people are allowed to vote for stupid reasons of course.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    isam said:
    To be fair, Tim Farron was fairly clear on what he'd do but he lost his temper and acted like a total and utter dick.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503

    McLoughlin was in:

    31/05/17 Wakefield, Leeds NE and York C
    30/05/17 Southampton Test
    29/05/17 Hampstead

    He was also in Plymouth on 16/05/17 - so it seems to be a place where Conservatives go, media opportunities perhaps ?

    Fux sake. Southampton Test.

    So why haven't they contacted me after almost a week?!
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503

    Oh look. Sir Michael Fallon in Plymouth today - day after Theresa. The Plymouth seats seem to be very much in play for Labour.

    http://www.plymouthherald.co.uk/defence-secretary-says-plymouth-will-play-major-part-in-the-future-of-the-royal-navy/story-30366674-detail/story.html

    And Priti Patel has been in Don Valley and Grimsby:

    https://twitter.com/patel4witham

    while Patrick McLoughlin has been in Bolsover:

    https://twitter.com/Patrick4Dales?lang=en

    So we're looking at either a Conservative landslide, a very confused Conservative campaign or a non-UNS election. Or a combination of those three.
    I reckon we'll get some fun, Tories missing target seats in the 20-30 range, but winning seats way down the target seats, maybe target seats in the 80s.
    Indeed.

    It looks like Conservative MPs are going to be proportionally more midlands, northern and Scottish but proportionally less London and other urban than before.
    By 1am Battersea should have declared.

    That might be our Nuneaton.
    Battersea might not be representative this time.
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    The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979
    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,972

    Oh look. Sir Michael Fallon in Plymouth today - day after Theresa. The Plymouth seats seem to be very much in play for Labour.

    http://www.plymouthherald.co.uk/defence-secretary-says-plymouth-will-play-major-part-in-the-future-of-the-royal-navy/story-30366674-detail/story.html

    And Priti Patel has been in Don Valley and Grimsby:

    https://twitter.com/patel4witham

    while Patrick McLoughlin has been in Bolsover:

    https://twitter.com/Patrick4Dales?lang=en

    So we're looking at either a Conservative landslide, a very confused Conservative campaign or a non-UNS election. Or a combination of those three.
    I reckon we'll get some fun, Tories missing target seats in the 20-30 range, but winning seats way down the target seats, maybe target seats in the 80s.
    Indeed.

    It looks like Conservative MPs are going to be proportionally more midlands, northern and Scottish but proportionally less London and other urban than before.
    By 1am Battersea should have declared.

    That might be our Nuneaton.
    Battersea might not be representative this time.
    All over Battersea, some hope and some despair?
  • Options
    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042

    Liam Gallagher was just on ch4 and he said he was voting Labour as he came from a Labour family. Seems Corbyn is quite popular with the high end of the entertainment industry. I was surprised Gallagher said he watched PMQs when it is on TV.

    Was it Liam or his vastly more intelligent brother?
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    And the LibDems could have chosen the Lamb rather than the turkey....

    Don't forget the Conservative chicken ....

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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,221

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?
  • Options
    bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042


    Faisal Islam @faisalislam
    PM says the big risk in election is her losing 6 seats. Though she is talking from Margaret Beckett's Derby S seat with 9k Lab majority

    Derbyshire.

    Bolsover.
    NE Derbyshire
    Derby South.

    All in Derbyshire. All being visited by cabinet ministers.

    Clearly, Lynton thinks there is mileage in Derbyshire.

    Not sure why, as Labour did fine in Bolsover even in the locals, but clearly someone thinks so.
    Lots of retirees?
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,556

    Oh look. Sir Michael Fallon in Plymouth today - day after Theresa. The Plymouth seats seem to be very much in play for Labour.

    http://www.plymouthherald.co.uk/defence-secretary-says-plymouth-will-play-major-part-in-the-future-of-the-royal-navy/story-30366674-detail/story.html

    And Priti Patel has been in Don Valley and Grimsby:

    https://twitter.com/patel4witham

    while Patrick McLoughlin has been in Bolsover:

    https://twitter.com/Patrick4Dales?lang=en

    So we're looking at either a Conservative landslide, a very confused Conservative campaign or a non-UNS election. Or a combination of those three.
    I reckon we'll get some fun, Tories missing target seats in the 20-30 range, but winning seats way down the target seats, maybe target seats in the 80s.
    Indeed.

    It looks like Conservative MPs are going to be proportionally more midlands, northern and Scottish but proportionally less London and other urban than before.
    By 1am Battersea should have declared.

    That might be our Nuneaton.
    Battersea might not be representative this time.
    It might be representative for my London bets.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?
    And the £10bn middle class student loan bung.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,556
    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?
    And the £10bn middle class student loan bung.
    I'm now convinced that has probably saved Labour 40 seats.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?
    And the £10bn middle class student loan bung.
    I'm now convinced that has probably saved Labour 40 seats.
    And they accuse the Tories of buying elections. Shameless!
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,724

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Ok, but Farron and Corbyn meet ordinary people rather than a few party members like Mrs May.
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    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Polruan said:

    Apologies if this got done to death on the last thread (they're pretty long to catch up on at the minute) but the Woman's Hour no-show is an interesting development of the narrative

    https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/870310676501278720

    Not because it's necessarily a fair accusation (the BBC are being quite conciliatory, one might almost say cowed) but the fact that the Telegraph are now seeing "Chicken Theresa" as a fair narrative to run with. With friends like that...

    Actually I'm surprised that May didn't accept the invitation - it's one direct comparator where Corbyn has set the bar particularly low.

    One question she can't answer and Theresa May is headline news, just like Corbyn was. Since the Conservative manifesto is uncosted, almost any question could do it. That's why she's frit.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2017
    kle4 said:

    AndyJS said:

    Is anyone starting to think that this might be the second election in a row at which Labour's share goes up but they lose seats?

    Good point - increased vote share looks pretty likely now, even if they fall back from the highs, but the Tories could still end up as far ahead or more, and most models and polls predicting them gaining seats, so Lab going down, if only by 10-30, also seems likely.
    Yes, I was thinking if most of the Labour vote share increase is concentrated in London, Brighton, Merseyside, Greater Manchester, Bristol, etc. but at the same time there's a small swing to the Tories elsewhere, Labour will probably lose seats while increasing share.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,123


    Faisal Islam @faisalislam
    PM says the big risk in election is her losing 6 seats. Though she is talking from Margaret Beckett's Derby S seat with 9k Lab majority

    Derbyshire.

    Bolsover.
    NE Derbyshire
    Derby South.

    All in Derbyshire. All being visited by cabinet ministers.

    Clearly, Lynton thinks there is mileage in Derbyshire.

    Not sure why, as Labour did fine in Bolsover even in the locals, but clearly someone thinks so.
    There really shouldn't be much mileage at all in Derbyshire:

    NED should be an easy Conservative gain if Pulps and BJO are right
    Bolsover is 400 MPs territory
    Derby South is safe Labour

    Compare with Nottinghamshire which has Ashfield, Bassetlaw, Gedling, Mansfield and Nottingham S - all of which should be close according to Betfair. Though IMO all will be harder for the Conservatives than they look at first glance.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,785
    edited June 2017

    Polruan said:

    Apologies if this got done to death on the last thread (they're pretty long to catch up on at the minute) but the Woman's Hour no-show is an interesting development of the narrative

    https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/870310676501278720

    Not because it's necessarily a fair accusation (the BBC are being quite conciliatory, one might almost say cowed) but the fact that the Telegraph are now seeing "Chicken Theresa" as a fair narrative to run with. With friends like that...

    Actually I'm surprised that May didn't accept the invitation - it's one direct comparator where Corbyn has set the bar particularly low.

    One question she can't answer and Theresa May is headline news, just like Corbyn was. Since the Conservative manifesto is uncosted, almost any question could do it. That's why she's frit.
    @Christopher Hope Tories told BBC three weeks ago that Theresa May would not appear on Woman's Hour. Amber Rudd was offered. Justine Greening is replacing her
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    2nd term issue?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,970
    edited June 2017
    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    I think Corbyn > Miliband possibly. (In the campaign)
    And Sturgeon ~= Salmond still I think (Was impossible for the SNP to better 2015)

    Clegg >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Farron
    Cameron >>>>> May
    Farage >>>>>> Nuttall.

    For sure
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884


    Faisal Islam @faisalislam
    PM says the big risk in election is her losing 6 seats. Though she is talking from Margaret Beckett's Derby S seat with 9k Lab majority

    Derbyshire.

    Bolsover.
    NE Derbyshire
    Derby South.

    All in Derbyshire. All being visited by cabinet ministers.

    Clearly, Lynton thinks there is mileage in Derbyshire.

    Not sure why, as Labour did fine in Bolsover even in the locals, but clearly someone thinks so.
    There really shouldn't be much mileage at all in Derbyshire:

    NED should be an easy Conservative gain if Pulps and BJO are right
    Bolsover is 400 MPs territory
    Derby South is safe Labour

    Compare with Nottinghamshire which has Ashfield, Bassetlaw, Gedling, Mansfield and Nottingham S - all of which should be close according to Betfair. Though IMO all will be harder for the Conservatives than they look at first glance.
    Derby North may go opposite way to NE Derbyshire
  • Options
    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?
    I guess because of that normal democratic inconvenience: you have to win power to be able to do good. And as any attempt to redress problems of poverty will be seized upon across the popular press as stealing money from struggling nice people, people like our readers, for the benefit of the undeserving poor, it's electoral suicide.

    Also, policies around nationalisation, tuition fees and social care would be seen as part of the solution from a Labour perspective: they're about building a society in which more of the risk of misfortune is managed collectively, which is a bigger vision than simply shovelling some cash from the richest to the poorest as a sticking plaster for poverty.
  • Options
    paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,461

    Polruan said:

    Apologies if this got done to death on the last thread (they're pretty long to catch up on at the minute) but the Woman's Hour no-show is an interesting development of the narrative

    https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/870310676501278720

    Not because it's necessarily a fair accusation (the BBC are being quite conciliatory, one might almost say cowed) but the fact that the Telegraph are now seeing "Chicken Theresa" as a fair narrative to run with. With friends like that...

    Actually I'm surprised that May didn't accept the invitation - it's one direct comparator where Corbyn has set the bar particularly low.

    One question she can't answer and Theresa May is headline news, just like Corbyn was. Since the Conservative manifesto is uncosted, almost any question could do it. That's why she's frit.
    @Christopher Hope Tories told BBC three weeks ago that Theresa May would not appear on Woman's Hour. Amber Rudd was offered. Justine Greening is replacing her
    Woman's hour said this morning that AR had pulled out due to her father's death and JG would be standing in.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    I hope the Guardian and leftwingers condemn Corbyn in equal measure when his pacifist and anti-western ideology leads to his Government failing to take action to prevent a major terrorist attack, or worse, actively undermining the security services, leads to the horrific deaths of dozens.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,970

    2nd term issue?
    Wonder if all Labour canvassers are going round like that, will get people crossing the Tory x for sure.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    SeanT said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    But Corbyn's still a c*nt.
    Corbyn will wreck our economy, lose people their homes and jobs, and very probably get people killed.
  • Options
    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    People had better pray there is a landslide for the simple reason that Westminster needs some fresh talent.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884

    Polruan said:

    Apologies if this got done to death on the last thread (they're pretty long to catch up on at the minute) but the Woman's Hour no-show is an interesting development of the narrative

    https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/870310676501278720

    Not because it's necessarily a fair accusation (the BBC are being quite conciliatory, one might almost say cowed) but the fact that the Telegraph are now seeing "Chicken Theresa" as a fair narrative to run with. With friends like that...

    Actually I'm surprised that May didn't accept the invitation - it's one direct comparator where Corbyn has set the bar particularly low.

    One question she can't answer and Theresa May is headline news, just like Corbyn was. Since the Conservative manifesto is uncosted, almost any question could do it. That's why she's frit.
    @Christopher Hope Tories told BBC three weeks ago that Theresa May would not appear on Woman's Hour. Amber Rudd was offered. Justine Greening is replacing her
    3rd string, good job there are less days left than Cabinet Ministers or Theresa would be sending her husband by the end
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,970

    SeanT said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    But Corbyn's still a c*nt.
    Corbyn will wreck our economy, lose people their homes and jobs, and very probably get people killed.
    I think that is correct.
  • Options
    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083

    Polruan said:

    Apologies if this got done to death on the last thread (they're pretty long to catch up on at the minute) but the Woman's Hour no-show is an interesting development of the narrative

    https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/870310676501278720

    Not because it's necessarily a fair accusation (the BBC are being quite conciliatory, one might almost say cowed) but the fact that the Telegraph are now seeing "Chicken Theresa" as a fair narrative to run with. With friends like that...

    Actually I'm surprised that May didn't accept the invitation - it's one direct comparator where Corbyn has set the bar particularly low.

    One question she can't answer and Theresa May is headline news, just like Corbyn was. Since the Conservative manifesto is uncosted, almost any question could do it. That's why she's frit.
    @Christopher Hope Tories told BBC three weeks ago that Theresa May would not appear on Woman's Hour. Amber Rudd was offered. Justine Greening is replacing her
    Yes, that's what I meant about it not necessarily being fair - the BBC were happy to support a face-saving Tory line shortly after Eddie Mair repeated the story on air - but the Telegraph were happy to start the story running. That would have been unthinkable a couple of weeks back.
  • Options
    BlueberryBlueberry Posts: 408
    isam said:

    Oh look. Sir Michael Fallon in Plymouth today - day after Theresa. The Plymouth seats seem to be very much in play for Labour.

    http://www.plymouthherald.co.uk/defence-secretary-says-plymouth-will-play-major-part-in-the-future-of-the-royal-navy/story-30366674-detail/story.html

    And Priti Patel has been in Don Valley and Grimsby:

    https://twitter.com/patel4witham

    while Patrick McLoughlin has been in Bolsover:

    https://twitter.com/Patrick4Dales?lang=en

    So we're looking at either a Conservative landslide, a very confused Conservative campaign or a non-UNS election. Or a combination of those three.
    I reckon we'll get some fun, Tories missing target seats in the 20-30 range, but winning seats way down the target seats, maybe target seats in the 80s.
    Indeed.

    It looks like Conservative MPs are going to be proportionally more midlands, northern and Scottish but proportionally less London and other urban than before.
    By 1am Battersea should have declared.

    That might be our Nuneaton.
    Battersea might not be representative this time.
    All over Battersea, some hope and some despair?
    I can't see Labour winning Battersea. Their candidate is a very average, buggins-turn Lambeth councillor. Plus the Tory was a Remainer.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    Think of all the extra lives that will be lost when Corbyn and McDonnell's failure to live in economic reality leads to extra tax revenue being pitiful, but spending ballooning the deficit to over £100bn, leading to a deterioration of our credit rating, increase in our debt interest, and, ultimately, the debtors calling in it and very sharp and nasty cuts being required.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,123

    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?
    And the £10bn middle class student loan bung.
    I'm now convinced that has probably saved Labour 40 seats.
    Another George Osborne disaster coming home to roost.

    Some of us did warn that it would damage the Cons and Libs among students in election after election.

    At the next election Labour will promise to write off all student fees debts.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    I think Corbyn > Miliband possibly. (In the campaign)
    And Sturgeon ~= Salmond still I think (Was impossible for the SNP to better 2015)

    Clegg >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Farron
    Cameron >>>>> May
    Farage >>>>>> Nuttall.

    For sure
    Corbyn is only looking good because 1. he's facing a hapless Tory campaign, and 2. expectation were SO low he could only out-perform.

    As a leader and a candidate for PM he is much, much worse than Miliband.

    I suspect Ed Miliband would win this election at a canter.
    This election is reminding me just how much I hate the Labour Party.

    I'm not even thinking about May's poor performance anymore.
  • Options
    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Farron :lol:
  • Options
    The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979
    bobajobPB said:

    Liam Gallagher was just on ch4 and he said he was voting Labour as he came from a Labour family. Seems Corbyn is quite popular with the high end of the entertainment industry. I was surprised Gallagher said he watched PMQs when it is on TV.

    Was it Liam or his vastly more intelligent brother?
    Liam, he seemed more chilled out than he has done in the past. Jon Snow conducted the interview. I think Noel as you say is the one with a higher IQ, I think he wrote most of the songs as well where as Liam is more focused on being an artist!
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,970
    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    I think Corbyn > Miliband possibly. (In the campaign)
    And Sturgeon ~= Salmond still I think (Was impossible for the SNP to better 2015)

    Clegg >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Farron
    Cameron >>>>> May
    Farage >>>>>> Nuttall.

    For sure
    Corbyn is only looking good because 1. he's facing a hapless Tory campaign, and 2. expectation were SO low he could only out-perform.

    As a leader and a candidate for PM he is much, much worse than Miliband.

    I suspect Ed Miliband would win this election at a canter.
    Yep - I'd strongly consider voting for Red Ed over May.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    Pulpstar said:

    2nd term issue?
    Wonder if all Labour canvassers are going round like that, will get people crossing the Tory x for sure.
    I once went on a stag-do in Bristol West, along the "Greenest" road in the City.

    Boy oh boy that was an uncomfortable experience for a sound Tory like me. Although, my flirting (experimental) with a couple of dreadlocked hippie 20-something girls hawking new-age shite outside their home, with reggae and spliffs, went down rather well.

    Why do left-wing girls like Tory men so much?
  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869

    Labour supporters had steeled themselves for a big loss, now this is happening. When the Tories win comfortably next week it's going to hit a lot of them very hard. Hopefully, there will be no quick response this time. A period of reflection will be needed. The party seems to be more united than it has been for a long time. It will take titanic willpower and uncommon good sense to sustain that after a mind-sapping, hideously demoralising defeat.

    Even if Labour lose, I can't see any way in which Mr Corbyn's position would come under threat. The evidence of the polls is that the more people see of him, the more they like him. Another week or two could have made all the difference.

    Even if Labour win, I can't see how the inevitable resurgence of the party would last more than 5 years. Why would Mr Corbyn kick his close supporters such as Ms Abbott in the teeth & appoint someone else (in her case, as Home Secretary)?

    Whatever their policies, they just haven't got anyone of very much talent, except perhaps Mr McDonnell. And what are all those principled non-supporters in the PLP going to do with their principles?

    It looks to me as though the higher Labour fly in this GE, the worse will be the crash when reality bites.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,123
    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    I think Corbyn > Miliband possibly. (In the campaign)
    And Sturgeon ~= Salmond still I think (Was impossible for the SNP to better 2015)

    Clegg >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Farron
    Cameron >>>>> May
    Farage >>>>>> Nuttall.

    For sure
    Corbyn is only looking good because 1. he's facing a hapless Tory campaign, and 2. expectation were SO low he could only out-perform.

    As a leader and a candidate for PM he is much, much worse than Miliband.

    I suspect Ed Miliband would win this election at a canter.
    EdM was unlucky in that swing voters didn't fear him but they did fear him being controlled by Salmond and Sturgeon.

    The SNP didn't only cost Labour 40 seats in Scotland but effectively another 40 seats in England.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,334

    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?
    And the £10bn middle class student loan bung.
    I'm now convinced that has probably saved Labour 40 seats.
    Another George Osborne disaster coming home to roost.

    Some of us did warn that it would damage the Cons and Libs among students in election after election.

    At the next election Labour will promise to write off all student fees debts.
    Which would be ironic given it was Labour introduced tuition fees, extended them (breaking a manifesto commitment along the way, I might add) and set up the Browne review in the first place which has led to the current system.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954
    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    I think Corbyn > Miliband possibly. (In the campaign)
    And Sturgeon ~= Salmond still I think (Was impossible for the SNP to better 2015)

    Clegg >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Farron
    Cameron >>>>> May
    Farage >>>>>> Nuttall.

    For sure
    Corbyn is only looking good because 1. he's facing a hapless Tory campaign, and 2. expectation were SO low he could only out-perform.

    As a leader and a candidate for PM he is much, much worse than Miliband.

    I suspect Ed Miliband would win this election at a canter.
    Still some hope for Ed M mark 2? It would require Corbyn to do worse than now looks likely, but Ed M was a decent sort really, I was very relaxed thinking he would win.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    ydoethur said:



    Which would be ironic given it was Labour introduced tuition fees, extended them (breaking a manifesto commitment along the way, I might add) and set up the Browne review in the first place which has led to the current system.

    That was the New Labour (War Criminal) Party.
  • Options
    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    People had better pray there is a landslide for the simple reason that Westminster needs some fresh talent.
    Landslides don't bring in new talent they bring in people who didn't expect to win, we're poorly selected. One only has to look at he SNP at the last GE or UKIP in the euro elections to see what happens. Their might be some gems but they will be few and far between. Many of the Tory west country winners last time are poor as local MPs but useful cannon fodder to their party
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954
    That is...rather unnerving they felt the need to clarify that.
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024


    Faisal Islam @faisalislam
    PM says the big risk in election is her losing 6 seats. Though she is talking from Margaret Beckett's Derby S seat with 9k Lab majority

    Derbyshire.

    Bolsover.
    NE Derbyshire
    Derby South.

    All in Derbyshire. All being visited by cabinet ministers.

    Clearly, Lynton thinks there is mileage in Derbyshire.

    Not sure why, as Labour did fine in Bolsover even in the locals, but clearly someone thinks so.
    There really shouldn't be much mileage at all in Derbyshire:

    NED should be an easy Conservative gain if Pulps and BJO are right
    Bolsover is 400 MPs territory
    Derby South is safe Labour

    Compare with Nottinghamshire which has Ashfield, Bassetlaw, Gedling, Mansfield and Nottingham S - all of which should be close according to Betfair. Though IMO all will be harder for the Conservatives than they look at first glance.
    According to Yougov's model Tories will have a tough time holding on to High Peak!
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    kle4 said:

    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    I think Corbyn > Miliband possibly. (In the campaign)
    And Sturgeon ~= Salmond still I think (Was impossible for the SNP to better 2015)

    Clegg >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Farron
    Cameron >>>>> May
    Farage >>>>>> Nuttall.

    For sure
    Corbyn is only looking good because 1. he's facing a hapless Tory campaign, and 2. expectation were SO low he could only out-perform.

    As a leader and a candidate for PM he is much, much worse than Miliband.

    I suspect Ed Miliband would win this election at a canter.
    Still some hope for Ed M mark 2? It would require Corbyn to do worse than now looks likely, but Ed M was a decent sort really, I was very relaxed thinking he would win.
    Ed Miliband for next Labour leader is a sentiment I can get behind.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884

    SeanT said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    But Corbyn's still a c*nt.
    Corbyn will wreck our economy, lose people their homes and jobs, and very probably get people killed.
    In your unbiased opinion!
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954

    kle4 said:

    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    I think Corbyn > Miliband possibly. (In the campaign)
    And Sturgeon ~= Salmond still I think (Was impossible for the SNP to better 2015)

    Clegg >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Farron
    Cameron >>>>> May
    Farage >>>>>> Nuttall.

    For sure
    Corbyn is only looking good because 1. he's facing a hapless Tory campaign, and 2. expectation were SO low he could only out-perform.

    As a leader and a candidate for PM he is much, much worse than Miliband.

    I suspect Ed Miliband would win this election at a canter.
    Still some hope for Ed M mark 2? It would require Corbyn to do worse than now looks likely, but Ed M was a decent sort really, I was very relaxed thinking he would win.
    Ed Miliband for next Labour leader is a sentiment I can get behind.
    I wonder why (whatever the symbol for an 'innocent face' emoji is imagine it here)
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,195
    Trump speaking now.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,290

    Think of all the extra lives that will be lost when Corbyn and McDonnell's failure to live in economic reality leads to extra tax revenue being pitiful, but spending ballooning the deficit to over £100bn, leading to a deterioration of our credit rating, increase in our debt interest, and, ultimately, the debtors calling in it and very sharp and nasty cuts being required.

    Tories have added £700bn to the national debt in 7 years. Something about glass houses comes to mind.
  • Options
    The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979

    Think of all the extra lives that will be lost when Corbyn and McDonnell's failure to live in economic reality leads to extra tax revenue being pitiful, but spending ballooning the deficit to over £100bn, leading to a deterioration of our credit rating, increase in our debt interest, and, ultimately, the debtors calling in it and very sharp and nasty cuts being required.

    They could just print the money for the nationalisation, after all in a globalised world most of it will just leak out of the UK economy and have little affect.

    I do agree it is not an appetising prospect that Labour propose as those targeted for higher taxes will do anything to avoid having to pay more. They would not be rational people if they did not try to mitigate the amount of tax they pay. This is why I am voting Conservative, Corbyn and McDonnell would remove the incentive for high achievers to produce wealth. Better to have a percentage of something than nothing at all. Mind you I thought that about staying in the EU and the majority didn't agree with me!
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    I think Corbyn > Miliband possibly. (In the campaign)
    And Sturgeon ~= Salmond still I think (Was impossible for the SNP to better 2015)

    Clegg >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Farron
    Cameron >>>>> May
    Farage >>>>>> Nuttall.

    For sure
    Corbyn is only looking good because 1. he's facing a hapless Tory campaign, and 2. expectation were SO low he could only out-perform.

    As a leader and a candidate for PM he is much, much worse than Miliband.

    I suspect Ed Miliband would win this election at a canter.
    EdM was unlucky in that swing voters didn't fear him but they did fear him being controlled by Salmond and Sturgeon.

    The SNP didn't only cost Labour 40 seats in Scotland but effectively another 40 seats in England.
    In a roundabout way, the Scottish Tory surge might actually be doing Labour UK-wide a favour this time!!

    Sturgeon has been notably cagey on talking about alliances with Labour this time -- in the Andrew Neil interview, she even declined to say she would prefer Corbyn to be PM rather than May. I suspect that's because she's worried that some of the SNP-Con floaters in the North East of Scotland would be scared rigid of the idea of a vote for the SNP being used to prop up a Corbyn government. But of course, the lack of Sturgeon talking up the idea constantly is also stopping the Labour/SNP Coalition thing getting off the ground in the British media this time.
  • Options
    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,997
    AndyJS said:

    Latest forecasts:

    Hanretty: Con maj 84
    Baxter: Con maj 86

    Barnesian model Con maj 68
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    Think of all the extra lives that will be lost when Corbyn and McDonnell's failure to live in economic reality leads to extra tax revenue being pitiful, but spending ballooning the deficit to over £100bn, leading to a deterioration of our credit rating, increase in our debt interest, and, ultimately, the debtors calling in it and very sharp and nasty cuts being required.

    Tories have added £700bn to the national debt in 7 years. Something about glass houses comes to mind.
    Because cutting the huge deficit left by Labour in one go was simply not possible.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,902
    Corbyn is a better communicator and has far more gravitas than EdM
    .
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954
    nichomar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    People had better pray there is a landslide for the simple reason that Westminster needs some fresh talent.
    Landslides don't bring in new talent they bring in people who didn't expect to win, we're poorly selected.
    I wonder how that could be truly assessed, although it certainly feels correct. Although I suppose many good future MPs get tested out in no hoper constituencies when younger, before getting a shot in a more helpful seat, and some of those would get elected sooner than expected.
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    I think Corbyn > Miliband possibly. (In the campaign)
    And Sturgeon ~= Salmond still I think (Was impossible for the SNP to better 2015)

    Clegg >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Farron
    Cameron >>>>> May
    Farage >>>>>> Nuttall.

    For sure
    Corbyn is only looking good because 1. he's facing a hapless Tory campaign, and 2. expectation were SO low he could only out-perform.

    As a leader and a candidate for PM he is much, much worse than Miliband.

    I suspect Ed Miliband would win this election at a canter.
    Still some hope for Ed M mark 2? It would require Corbyn to do worse than now looks likely, but Ed M was a decent sort really, I was very relaxed thinking he would win.
    Ed Miliband for next Labour leader is a sentiment I can get behind.
    I wonder why (whatever the symbol for an 'innocent face' emoji is imagine it here)
    In an ecumenical spirit, I also endorse the idea that Theresa May should stand aside for Philip Hammond.
  • Options
    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083

    Think of all the extra lives that will be lost when Corbyn and McDonnell's failure to live in economic reality leads to extra tax revenue being pitiful, but spending ballooning the deficit to over £100bn, leading to a deterioration of our credit rating, increase in our debt interest, and, ultimately, the debtors calling in it and very sharp and nasty cuts being required.

    It's clearly a risk, but it doesn't obviously seem to be a larger risk than May's willingness to leave the EU without any form of trade agreement and to prioritise closed borders over tariff-free movement of goods and economically beneficial immigration. Think of all the extra lives that will be lost when this failure to live in globalised economic reality leads to a shrinking economy, huge falls in tax revenue (and so on)
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,769

    SeanT said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    But Corbyn's still a c*nt.
    Corbyn will wreck our economy, lose people their homes and jobs, and very probably get people killed.
    On the other hand he has the better approach to Brexit, which might lose fewer people their homes and jobs than Theresa May. Killing people seems hyperbolic. As the leader of a party that largely doesn't share his economic objectives he would *probably* be constrained. (I accept this is a probably).

    I wouldn't have believed a month ago that Corbyn might be a more plausible candidate than May.

  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Ed Miliband for next Labour leader is a sentiment I can get behind.

    Behind the sofa ? ....
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954
    edited June 2017
    Jonathan said:

    Corbyn is a better communicator and has far more gravitas than EdM
    .

    That is true. Nevertheless, I preferred Ed's ideas - TMay liked some of them too, evidently, since she copied them - and he lacks baggage and had fewer foolish or dangerous key allies.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,195
    US withdrawing from the Paris accords.
  • Options
    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,317
    Neat bit of Labour campaigning outside Basingstoke railway station earlier: they were handing out leaflets - red on one side, blue on the other - made to look like big train tickets. On the red side was the Labour pledge to nationalize the railways; on the blue side the fare hikes under the Tories. I was expecting a Footite shambles from Labour throughout, but this was punchy and professional.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,236
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?
    I certainly agree on asking the first part of your question. In their new, hardheaded, politicking guise, perhaps Labour have decided it's not a great vote getting policy?
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954
    RobD said:

    Think of all the extra lives that will be lost when Corbyn and McDonnell's failure to live in economic reality leads to extra tax revenue being pitiful, but spending ballooning the deficit to over £100bn, leading to a deterioration of our credit rating, increase in our debt interest, and, ultimately, the debtors calling in it and very sharp and nasty cuts being required.

    Tories have added £700bn to the national debt in 7 years. Something about glass houses comes to mind.
    Because cutting the huge deficit left by Labour in one go was simply not possible.
    Shouldn't have promised it then.

    That said, I still don't think that is a fertile line for Labour - they can argue the Tories cut the wrong things perhaps, or how they did it, but they also didn't want to eliminate the deficit in 5 years, so there would have been loads of debt added.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,123
    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    Cyclefree said:


    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?

    And the £10bn middle class student loan bung.
    I'm now convinced that has probably saved Labour 40 seats.
    Another George Osborne disaster coming home to roost.

    Some of us did warn that it would damage the Cons and Libs among students in election after election.

    At the next election Labour will promise to write off all student fees debts.
    Which would be ironic given it was Labour introduced tuition fees, extended them (breaking a manifesto commitment along the way, I might add) and set up the Browne review in the first place which has led to the current system.
    And the Conservatives opposed the introduction of tuition fees which IIRC needed SLAB votes to get it through the HoC.

    Why the hell did Cameron and Osborne decide to permanently crap on the under 25s instead of reducing higher education back to its 1990 level and concentrating on improving technical education and training ?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    kle4 said:

    RobD said:

    Think of all the extra lives that will be lost when Corbyn and McDonnell's failure to live in economic reality leads to extra tax revenue being pitiful, but spending ballooning the deficit to over £100bn, leading to a deterioration of our credit rating, increase in our debt interest, and, ultimately, the debtors calling in it and very sharp and nasty cuts being required.

    Tories have added £700bn to the national debt in 7 years. Something about glass houses comes to mind.
    Because cutting the huge deficit left by Labour in one go was simply not possible.
    Shouldn't have promised it then.

    That said, I still don't think that is a fertile line for Labour - they can argue the Tories cut the wrong things perhaps, or how they did it, but they also didn't want to eliminate the deficit in 5 years, so there would have been loads of debt added.
    You just can't win. Either the austerity is too bad, or the deficit is too high.
  • Options
    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    kle4 said:

    nichomar said:

    SeanT said:

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    Remarkably, Clegg > Farron, Miliband > Corbyn, Salmond > Sturgeon, Cameron > May, and Farage > Nuttall.

    Has this ever been the case before at an election? Where all the major parties have a leader worse than the one previous? (Apart from, maybe, the Greens...)
    People had better pray there is a landslide for the simple reason that Westminster needs some fresh talent.
    Landslides don't bring in new talent they bring in people who didn't expect to win, we're poorly selected.
    I wonder how that could be truly assessed, although it certainly feels correct. Although I suppose many good future MPs get tested out in no hoper constituencies when younger, before getting a shot in a more helpful seat, and some of those would get elected sooner than expected.
    Unfortunately, particularly at local GOVERMENT level. You feel obliged to fill the slate, not expecting to win. When you do it can be a nightmare. Now con won't win bootle and they may have a good candidate but it's quite possiblle some arm twisting went on. How much down the target list does it become easier to be selected?
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Think of all the extra lives that will be lost when Corbyn and McDonnell's failure to live in economic reality leads to extra tax revenue being pitiful, but spending ballooning the deficit to over £100bn, leading to a deterioration of our credit rating, increase in our debt interest, and, ultimately, the debtors calling in it and very sharp and nasty cuts being required.

    Tories have added £700bn to the national debt in 7 years. Something about glass houses comes to mind.
    Where did you want the £700bn of cuts to come from instead?
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    JackW said:

    Ed Miliband for next Labour leader is a sentiment I can get behind.

    Behind the sofa ? ....
    Behind a 200/1 betting slip.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,902
    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Corbyn is a better communicator and has far more gravitas than EdM
    .

    That is true. Nevertheless, I preferred Ed's ideas - TMay liked some of them too, evidently, since she copied them - and he lacks baggage and had fewer foolish or dangerous key allies.
    Corbyn would never have been mad enough to do the EdStone. I still shudder. His ego was out of control. Who says the ideas were Milliband's anyway.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884
    Barnesian said:

    AndyJS said:

    Latest forecasts:

    Hanretty: Con maj 84
    Baxter: Con maj 86

    Barnesian model Con maj 68
    BJESUS 65 majority
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954

    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Jonathan said:

    So, if you're Labour what do you do? Some people are about to think for the first time 'maybe'. How do they handle that? In the past, Labour has not handled that moment well. How would you play it?

    1. Hope. You want better for you and yours than you have now? As the 6th richest economy we don't have to cut everything and everything. We can't afford NOT to invest in our children
    2. Decency. This is Britain. My grandfather didn't fight to secure our freedom in order to have veteran soldiers starved to death, the disabled left to lie in their own filth and children going to school hungry because their working parents can't afford food. We are better than this. What the Tories are doing to people is wrong at a very basic moral level, your neighbour is your friend not your enemy if we all pull together

    Having spoken to so may people in this campaign my gut feel as to the mad swing is this. The Tory manifesto broke the TINA narrative. People have said "that isn't right" and are willing to vote accordingly. Because whatever your views on the economy these are human beings and our friends family and neighbours being treated by the Tories like scum. And the Tories excuses for working people reliant on foodbanks just doesn't wash any more.

    People voted Brexit because they want a better future. Only one party offering details about what that means to them.
    Have veteran soldiers starved to death? Awful if true and if down to government inaction or malice.

    But has it actually happened? And this is a genuine question BTW.

    'David Clapson’s awful death was the result of grotesque government policies'

    https://tinyurl.com/hqfbzlv
    Thank you. I didn't know about that. Horrific.

    Why then are Labour not proposing to reverse the benefit cuts and instead wasting money on nationalization or on protecting the inheritances of the well off?
    I certainly agree on asking the first part of your question. In their new, hardheaded, politicking guise, perhaps Labour have decided it's not a great vote getting policy?
    They do seem to have chosen bits with care. They draw attention at one point to the vast cuts to youth services and youth centres that has happened in many areas, which I agree with, but all they promise is to stop the cuts, not to reverse the cuts.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,123

    Neat bit of Labour campaigning outside Basingstoke railway station earlier: they were handing out leaflets - red on one side, blue on the other - made to look like big train tickets. On the red side was the Labour pledge to nationalize the railways; on the blue side the fare hikes under the Tories. I was expecting a Footite shambles from Labour throughout, but this was punchy and professional.

    'This is a nationalised British Rail announcement - the next strike arriving will be on platform four, followed by all other platforms and continuing until a 25% pay rise arrives.'
  • Options
    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    If you're not even in the league that Clegg's in that says it all.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954
    edited June 2017
    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Corbyn is a better communicator and has far more gravitas than EdM
    .

    That is true. Nevertheless, I preferred Ed's ideas - TMay liked some of them too, evidently, since she copied them - and he lacks baggage and had fewer foolish or dangerous key allies.
    Corbyn would never have been mad enough to do the EdStone. I still shudder. His ego was out of control. Who says the ideas were Milliband's anyway.
    True story - sensible chap at work today told me in all seriousness that the EdStone was a good idea if it had been better executed.
  • Options
    trawltrawl Posts: 142
    Walsall North

    This is viewed as a dead cert Tory gain and it should be in the Brexit election. But don't laugh, have just been watching a candidates debate on local tv channel Made in Birmingham. Tory candidate not that great, doing his best to play up his brexit credentials (to the scoffing of the UKIP lady) - the area was heavily for Leave. Anyway David Winnick making a decent fist of it and reassuring that he was always strongly for seeing through the referendum decision even though it won on a small majority. Labour 4.2 on Bf to hold this seat on thin money.
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    isam said:
    His seat being in trouble is causing him immense stress.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,902
    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Corbyn is a better communicator and has far more gravitas than EdM
    .

    That is true. Nevertheless, I preferred Ed's ideas - TMay liked some of them too, evidently, since she copied them - and he lacks baggage and had fewer foolish or dangerous key allies.
    Corbyn would never have been mad enough to do the EdStone. I still shudder. His ego was out of control. Who says the ideas were Milliband's anyway.
    True story - sensible chap at work today told me in all seriousness that the EdStone was a good idea if it had been better executed.
    Stone mason? It was monumentally misguided.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884
    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Corbyn is a better communicator and has far more gravitas than EdM
    .

    That is true. Nevertheless, I preferred Ed's ideas - TMay liked some of them too, evidently, since she copied them - and he lacks baggage and had fewer foolish or dangerous key allies.
    Corbyn would never have been mad enough to do the EdStone. I still shudder. His ego was out of control. Who says the ideas were Milliband's anyway.
    True story - sensible chap at work today told me in all seriousness that the EdStone was a good idea if it had been better executed.
    It was Naff massive own goal without it


    EICIPM!!!
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Corbyn is a better communicator and has far more gravitas than EdM
    .

    That is true. Nevertheless, I preferred Ed's ideas - TMay liked some of them too, evidently, since she copied them - and he lacks baggage and had fewer foolish or dangerous key allies.
    Corbyn would never have been mad enough to do the EdStone. I still shudder. His ego was out of control. Who says the ideas were Milliband's anyway.
    True story - sensible chap at work today told me in all seriousness that the EdStone was a good idea if it had been better executed.
    I'm now imagining it with Ionic columns.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,886
    edited June 2017

    Liam Gallagher was just on ch4 and he said he was voting Labour as he came from a Labour family. Seems Corbyn is quite popular with the high end of the entertainment industry.

    They'll all be trying to hide they money from HMRC after Jezza has won though... ;)
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954
    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Corbyn is a better communicator and has far more gravitas than EdM
    .

    That is true. Nevertheless, I preferred Ed's ideas - TMay liked some of them too, evidently, since she copied them - and he lacks baggage and had fewer foolish or dangerous key allies.
    Corbyn would never have been mad enough to do the EdStone. I still shudder. His ego was out of control. Who says the ideas were Milliband's anyway.
    True story - sensible chap at work today told me in all seriousness that the EdStone was a good idea if it had been better executed.
    Stone mason? It was monumentally misguided.
    Oh I agree, a terrible, terrible idea. That's why I was so stunned.
  • Options
    chloechloe Posts: 308
    Evening all, what do people expect from the revised Ashcroft model tomorrow? I assume it is a similar to the YouGov model in using a variety of demographic and voting history indicators. If it is pointing to a hung parliament too and this is indeed what happens perhaps this is the way forward for election polling if the traditional VI polls continue to point to a Conservative majority?
  • Options
    TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431

    Neat bit of Labour campaigning outside Basingstoke railway station earlier: they were handing out leaflets - red on one side, blue on the other - made to look like big train tickets. On the red side was the Labour pledge to nationalize the railways; on the blue side the fare hikes under the Tories. I was expecting a Footite shambles from Labour throughout, but this was punchy and professional.

    Labour were doing this outside Hastings station this week.

  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,954
    chloe said:

    Evening all, what do people expect from the revised Ashcroft model tomorrow? I assume it is a similar to the YouGov model in using a variety of demographic and voting history indicators. If it is pointing to a hung parliament too and this is indeed what happens perhaps this is the way forward for election polling if the traditional VI polls continue to point to a Conservative majority?

    I assume it will adjust the Tory majority downwards, but still sizable.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    chloe said:

    Evening all, what do people expect from the revised Ashcroft model tomorrow? I assume it is a similar to the YouGov model in using a variety of demographic and voting history indicators. If it is pointing to a hung parliament too and this is indeed what happens perhaps this is the way forward for election polling if the traditional VI polls continue to point to a Conservative majority?

    For it to go from the current prediction to a hung parliament would be a monumental shift.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884

    isam said:
    I think Farron is hopeless, out of his depth and will likely do worse than Clegg. I have noticed Clegg has been doing more of the interviews recently and he is in a different league to Farron. I know this is fatal for a politician but I actually feel sorry for him as he seems a reasonable person but he just does not cut the mustard.
    If you're not even in the league that Clegg's in that says it all.
    Tim wont lose as many MPs as Clegg thats an arithmetical certainty
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    trawl said:

    Walsall North

    This is viewed as a dead cert Tory gain and it should be in the Brexit election. But don't laugh, have just been watching a candidates debate on local tv channel Made in Birmingham. Tory candidate not that great, doing his best to play up his brexit credentials (to the scoffing of the UKIP lady) - the area was heavily for Leave. Anyway David Winnick making a decent fist of it and reassuring that he was always strongly for seeing through the referendum decision even though it won on a small majority. Labour 4.2 on Bf to hold this seat on thin money.

    Hmm. Even the YouGov hung parliament forecast has the Tories (narrowly) gaining this one.
This discussion has been closed.