Re the YouGov Sunday Times 49/31/9/3 poll, has anyone commented on the figures for chance of changing mind? They are:
5% of Con say they may change mind 11% of Lab say they may change mind 22% of LD say they may change mind
That makes the 49% Con rating look very solid indeed - even if all 5% of Con supporters changed mind that would still leave Con at 46.5%.
Whereas in fact if people are correctly judging their intentions it would be likely that, if anything, the Con lead would increase from its current 18%.
UKIP on 3% looks a bit like the poll is taking into account the fact UKIP are only standing in 375 odd seats. It probably isn't though.
Very hard to tel what the LD vote will do on the day, one of the known unknowns in this election is where will the REMAIN vote go.....that 48% seems elusive to all the parties, could there be shy REMAIN voters in play (nobody likes to admit backing a loser)
Do polls really show the 48% don't know how they will vote?
In fact the latest YouGov shows 14% of Remain voters are undecided for the GE, slightly less than Leavers (16%).
Jacob Rees Mogg I find hard to trust- his smug Eton-ness and patronising manner always grates with me, I am not surprised he isn't fronting TM's efforts to get the working class vote out, then again he may be having a tricky fight with the LDs who did respectably in his seat for the West of England Mayoralty......he should hold it but I am not sure the good voters of East Bristol/West Bath like his somewhat condescending manner
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