politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some Brexit special bets

Paddy Power have some Brexit specials up, my initial view is that is market is a good way of contributing to the Paddy Power Christmas bonus fund.
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Paddy should offer a "Next out of the EU" market. I'd go for Hungary - either by choice or by being expelled.
You mean the EU would re-accommodate us?
I'm always suspicious of bets where only one side is on offer, and more so of bets that could run for years into the future.
The last time I volunteered from recollection it was Delta (notoriously stingy) and I think they only gave me $500 worth of vouchers. My situation was actually it was going to save me the cost of a hotel stay as well, so I took it. But $500 flight vouchers is not a huge amount for what is a big inconvenience for a lot of people.
After all, if people who’ve for years gone off to Spain and similar for their holidays are going to find barriers, they’re going to be somewhat disenchanted, particularly if things aren’t going well at home.
Lot of what-if’s, I realise.
$5k would have bitten someone I would have thought, there must have been someone retired or student on the plane.
I don't know if they still do it, but BA captains used to have a company credit card with absolutely no limit for emergency use - such as buying 300 hotel rooms and 100 tons of fuel if diverted somewhere unexpected.
I am not sure other the other dwellers of the first class section were too happy to have a pleb in their midst.
At least it is for larks. (the birds, I mean!)
He's probably the only person who can't see the irony in asking the Russians if they wouldn't feel more comfortabe allying themselves with the 'West's allies in the Middle East' rather than Syria Iran and Hezzbollah.
.....That'll be Saudi Arabia where women get 50 lashes for driving a car and executed for carrying dope
........Difficult choice.
No one will ever know that had you stuck to $800 there would have been a short yard off the shareprice following the forcible removal of a stubborn passenger.
It's the same conversation that eg. CFOs have that we were all taught about in financial modelling about explaining their hedging strategies to the Board.
Those who persist in claiming that somehow the referendum should be declared invalid because of supposed lies, thick voters or they just don't like the result, deserve nothing but scorn and contempt.
Very nice, except the breakfast upset my tum. Shouldn’t have had the Chinese one, I suppose.
Just doing a random shout out seems very inefficient and I am guessing they have standard offers regardless of who they are bidding to.
That is how you deal with unusual situations, it doesn't cost a huge amount of money in the grand scheme of things, but makes a massive difference to how customers perceive your company.
I was just becoming politically conscious when all that happened, so it made quite an impression.
The BBC have done some good ones, but it's almost as if they don't wish as many people as possible to read it. All web pages should be readable on Lynx.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/resources/idt-e8c6cbab-da44-4a3c-8f9b-c4fccd53dd24
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/resources/idt-0192822d-14f1-432b-bd25-92eab6466362
Flash. Urgh.
The only one that might remotely tempt me (and the time scale puts me off) is the bet on the EU dissolving before 2040. Personally, I think it'll stagger on a little longer, but the longer it takes to die, the more painful the death throes.
I think most of us just want to read the words as we'd see them in a newspaper, in plain clear text.
http://www.scotsman.com/news/opinion/kezia-dugdale-on-indyref2-the-answer-is-the-same-nicola-1-4416032?ff=
I'm unsurprised that Flash turned out to be as insecure and buggy as it is. But it's brilliant when compared to Shockwave. It was seriously bad.
Inaccessible.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zvjHTwjHhWI
However, it is a bit clunky, and a resource hog.
Maybe the second worst.
My Flash blocker stopped some of it, so must be something else in there as well.
FWIW, I wish PP would offer the converse of their 1/10 shot on the UK establishing a trade deal with the EU on/before 1 May 2019 ..... I'd love to put down a wedge of cash at odds of say 8/1 or greater against such a deal being struck.
"The reported polling results suggested that the Tories would struggle to hold onto all but a small handful of them."
Yet another compelling reason for betting on there being no overall majority at the 2020 General Election.
The current widely available betting odds of 2/1 or more, suggest that there is only a 33.3% probability of such an outcome and conversely therefore a 66.7% probability on there being an overall majority. Whereas I reckon those odds should be at least reversed since I see the likelihood of the LibDems making a significant recovery, even with Farron at the helm, winning somewhere between 25-35 seats (i.e. 5 - 7 London Cabs full), principally from the Tories and that Labour, by then having ditched Corbyn for someone broadly of the centre left, gaining between 25 - 50 seats overall, again principally from the Tories.
In fact however, the Tories would only need to lose 7 seats net, based on the existing 650 seat Boundaries configuration, to lose their overall majority, which to my eyes appears very likely, albeit involving a three year plus wait before being able to collect one's winnings.
For those of an impatient nature there must be a good prospect of trading such a bet profitably over a shorter time frame, using a betting exchange.
As ever DYOR.
If I were looking at the 2020 election, I'd be considering how the Lib Dems might fare.
boo.com looked pretty amazing for some users too.
I have just found a ridiculous cheap flight via a reputable online booking site...but it is Dublin -> UK -> US, with an overnight layover in London. The two flights are on different airlines. Note I am not based in Dublin.
What is stopping you just not taking that Dublin -> UK portion and walking into the airport the next day when the UK -> US portion of the flight leaves?
Agree on the Lib Dems, but that'd still be a rapid return after the woe of 2015.
Unfortunately what they got was a backpacker who had been in transit in Jakarta airport, un airconditioned, with raging dysentry. I could barely keep a mouthful of water down.
After weeks of rice and noodles, Filet Mignon and Champers was on the menu. I couldn't touch it and was expending all my best efforts in not crapping the seat. It was torture.
Also could you not claim you missed the original flight and got the ferry overnight?
The flight is nearly half the price as just taking the London -> US leg !!!