politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Times reporting that the Tories are “deeply worried” about possible action over the GE2015 expenses investigation
Times says Downing St fears 2015 results in up to 6 seats cld be void if prosecutions follow #C4News expenses inquiry pic.twitter.com/AjF2vWm5qn
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Jamie Carragher is right, Mings deserves a slap.
Kevin Friend lost it, this match won't end well.
I agree that Labour gains are highly unlikely even on the back of electoral dodginess.
ie CPS has to decide to prosecute and the MP then has to be convicted.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-39167110
Besides there are so many ifs in the nuclear scenario. Have for the cps to prosecute, the candidates to be found guilty, the punishment to be more than fines, Tories to lose seats against corbyn labour and Walter Mitty led ukip...
The problem for the Cameroons is they can't blame shift given how long and how often they have told us how brilliant Dave and George were on winning seats.
But the Government does need to first repeal the FTPA, which will require some dedicated effort.
Other wise yes a (Frankly unahcievable) 2/3 majority is needed.
What about the government losing its majority affects that Labour voted for the referendum bill and have just recently, despite rebellion, voted to authorise the enacting of the result? Sure, depending on what government was formed had the Tories not won these seats it allegedly cheated in the bill may never have been proposed and become law, but Labour's actions during its progression and the referendum aftermath would seem to indicate they will not be interested in seizing this opportunity.
Labour's position is critical, and since they are not going the LD route, if they were to change tack it would be because they think the public can be convinced such is ok, it would be because they think the public have already shifted into a position where that is what they want. That is where any real opportunity would come.
There is a clear majority for that in the commons, it is the other place that is giving May grief - and a GE does diddly squat to the Lords.
It is one thing crick making these claims, making it stand up in court is quite another eg how many journos were found guilty of phone hacking in the end and got jail time.
Surely you're not suggesting that Donald Trump would tweet anything but God's honest truth? :-)
You don't get to where Trump is by being a complete fool, no matter how charismatic you are or how bad your opponent, even if he is clearly misinformed on a whole bunch of things, so I guess he's just throwing out red meat for his supporters, or why else ask if it was legal over twitter rather than, say, counsel?
A general election should not be called at the whim of the PM for their own political advantage.
'General Election by October'
'Won't last beyond Spring 2011'
'Cameron rode a horse!'
'Osborne cried at a funeral!'
May will be Prime Minister in May 2020. And also in June 2020.
But these expenses revelations must place a question mark over Osborne's return to the Front Bench.....
the Obama administration sought, and eventually obtained, authorization to eavesdrop on the Trump campaign; continued monitoring the Trump team even when no evidence of wrongdoing was found; then relaxed the NSA rules to allow evidence to be shared widely within the government, virtually ensuring that the information, including the conversations of private citizens, would be leaked to the media.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/03/03/mark-levin-obama-used-police-state-tactics-undermine-trump/
The origin of the FTPA was to ensure the long term viability of the Coaltion but like much of our constitution it will prove to have longer term unintended but fortuitous consequences.
It would be a cool double to serve Art 50 notice and call a GE on the same day.
If there is a by-election in Thanet South, the ideal Con candidate would be Douglas Carswell.
The FTPA was always vulnerable to repeal by a simple majority, and some clever legal bod pointed out the other day that it can also be leapfrogged by a "Notwithstanding the FTPA, let's just this once have an election in 2017" Act also passed by simple majority.
Mrs May’s speech was mostly boilerplate but parse a word here and a clause there and you have the makings of a fresh approach to devolution. Mr Cameron’s respect agenda — which involved him being respectful to the SNP and them respectfully telling him to b****r off — has been replaced by a mutual respect agenda. Downing Street would seek to work with the devolved administration but the good of the Union, not appeasement of the Nationalists, would be the priority.
The Prime Minister was relaxed, even allowing herself the odd smile. She looks less apprehensive when speaking in Scotland than her old boss did; her shoulders are less hunched, her words less halted by fear of saying the wrong thing. Every few months, Mr Cameron would come north to deliver a ‘defence’ of the Union and every time it would fall flat. By seeking to defend the United Kingdom, he accepted that it was on trial. Mrs May celebrated our shared values and prosecuted a strong case against separatism.
She gets what Mr Cameron seemed not to: Scotland is her country too, and she needn’t be afraid to talk about it.
https://stephendaisley.com/2017/03/04/theresa-mays-hymn-to-unity-was-heartfelt-and-robust/
Surely before taking action that would alter the outcome of the GE, all constituencies must be vetted with equal rigour and the results made public so we can all verify there has been no political bias?
Only after that will we know whether none/some/many/all MPs are in situ fraudulently.
The knock-on effects are not trivial, after all. If the Conservatives hadn't won a majority, there would have been no EU referendum; but as it is, the EU now knows how many people in the UK are not at all happy with the Grand Project. Would the EU be willing to pretend the referendum never happened?
Good afternoon, everybody.
Many liberal democracies seem to struggle on without recourse to the manipulation of election timing by a Prime Minister or President and the FTPA should now be woven seamlessly into the fabric of our politics.
https://twitter.com/BBCPhilipSim/status/837967637049184257
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4281088/Zuma-wants-land-owned-white-occupiers-taken.html
The hall loved it. Conservative conferences are a tale of two Tories. The mini-Mogg — suit from John Lewis, politics from John Redwood — and the No-Nonsense Auntie: A doughty, reliable type who knocks the doors, bakes the scones, and handbags Central Office when it gets too carried away with itself. The libertarian mini-Moggs set aside their iffiness about collectivism to rah-rah the Prime Minister’s words while the Aunties, terribly proud to be British but one doesn’t go on about it, thundered in applause.
https://twitter.com/JamieRoss7/status/838049341654847488
https://twitter.com/JournoStephen/status/838049886331351040
What stops you finding those constituencies ? Usually only the Tories can afford such hotel bills.