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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Copeland and Stoke Central – the final push

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  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    Brexit

    Amazon announces creation of

    1500 jobs in France
    2000 jobs in Germany
    5000 jobs in UK

    The UK is a world leader in the art of internet shopping and delivery.
  • kle4 said:

    Might Theresa May's visit to Stoke simply be in order to set expectations for Tory success so high (and hence anticipated Labour performance so low), that Corbyn cannot fail to exceed them?

    He still has a chance to win both seats (and I think he will), so not sure he needs May's help to exceed low expectations, since they are already very low surely.
    I agree he has a good chance of winning both, today's poll notwithstanding. The odds on Lab doing so are very generous.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    dr_spyn said:
    Are we sure it isn't Bolton?
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    This guy is so perfect - he's Sheriff Clarke but White country rather than urban inner city

    He's my personal favourite on YouTube - so on point and straight

    https://youtu.be/PROOdB-Slpc
  • theakestheakes Posts: 963
    Sean T: silly comments aside, the poll do you actually believe it?
  • NEW THREAD

  • ICM; Con 44% (+2), Lab 26% (-1), UKIP 13% (+1), LD 8% (-2), Green 4% (NC)

    Highest Tory lead since 1983

    To clarify, the highest Tory lead with ICM (or its predecessor Marplan)
    This is starting to feel like the Gordon Brown era with Tory poll ratings that can't possibly be sustained.

    Except this is with them in government not opposition.

    This is a majority of c. 120 on existing boundaries and c. 130 on new boundaries...
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,692
    Huge endorsement for Donald... From a man who certainly knows how to win elections...

    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-39027611
  • ICM; Con 44% (+2), Lab 26% (-1), UKIP 13% (+1), LD 8% (-2), Green 4% (NC)

    Highest Tory lead since 1983

    To clarify, the highest Tory lead with ICM (or its predecessor Marplan)
    On those figures, Cons would pick up Mansfield, Exeter and indeed Stoke Central. Might explain Theresa's trip up there.
  • PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138

    DanSmith said:

    Fenman said:

    Lib Dem vote could be stronger than the markets think. Don't forget all those Staffordshire University students still have postal votes from last June.

    On the New Statesman podcast last week they had a reporter up there and their feeling was the student vote was going strongly to the LibDems.
    a new generation who don't remember Clegg and tuition fees?
    In the end, the deal on tuition fees that students got from the Lib Dems was far better than they would have got from Labour or the Tories.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    There's so much going on here - one wing of Never Trump have revolting smeared Milo

    We are honored that @POTUS will return to #CPAC2017 on Friday, Feb 24th at 10:00am(ET). Join us for this history-making moment @CPAC. https://t.co/stzu07smV3
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    And after throwing the grenade, the next move

    Dozens of journalists will make a giant fuss, again - and catnip what Trump wants - again

    Donald J Trump
    Give the public a break - The FAKE NEWS media is trying to say that large scale immigration in Sweden is working out just beautifully. NOT!
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    PlatoSaid said:

    This guy is so perfect - he's Sheriff Clarke but White country rather than urban inner city

    He's my personal favourite on YouTube - so on point and straight

    https://youtu.be/PROOdB-Slpc

    Well said sir.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    ICM; Con 44% (+2), Lab 26% (-1), UKIP 13% (+1), LD 8% (-2), Green 4% (NC)

    Highest Tory lead since 1983

    Mori had a Tory lead of 18% last Autumn too.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,297
    Nigelb said:

    malcolmg said:

    Nigelb said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Brexit

    Amazon announces creation of

    1500 jobs in France
    2000 jobs in Germany
    5000 jobs in UK

    I'm rather enjoying this. And the MSM freaking out/misrepresenting what Trump said re Sweden.

    His remark has resulted in millions Googling 'Sweden rape'. Iain Martin made a very silly smug blunder against Paul Joseph Watson and got squished.

    Trump's bully pulpit is setting the agenda.
    It's a bit of a stretch to say that he was misrepresented when "what happened last night in Sweden" actually means 'what I saw some guy on on Fox say a couple of nights back about Sweden'.

    If he bared his arse on national TV, I'm reasonably sure you'd still be enthusiastic about his 'setting the agenda'.
    Still you admit it was right , though you try to make it a stretch
    No, it was English understatement. A foreign concept, I know. :-)
    Next time I'll just say 'complete bollocks' for clarity's sake.
    LOL, much simpler, if you want to be polite you can say cobblers
This discussion has been closed.