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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How Team Corbyn screwed up JC’s big day and reduced even further LAB’s General Election chances
Remember what CON did to EdM who looked awkward eating bacon butties. Now they've got thishttps://t.co/qu9yGIMzmk via @HuffPostUKPol
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But did Coulson's appointment and convictions have any impact on GE2015?
But an ex Lab MP isn't impressed either. https://twitter.com/MrTCHarris/status/809182965486014464
I'm amazed at how well the core vote is holding up.
Plus it finally answers the long standing question of why Death Stars are so flawed.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/tuneless-witless-pointless-is-this-the-best-labour-can-do-m2dblx9b2
Sinn Fein will be the least of his problems. Being besties with Hezbollah and the current terrorist groups will raise more hackles. Justice for Jihadi John showed his true colours.
Almost certainly - Adams has been in a power sharing government with his previous arch rivals. Corbyn can't even contemplate working with certain other members of his own party.
(*) Not enough to be electorally significant anyway
Your judgement is not to be trusted
Those who are utterly appalled, however, are in the age group that votes.
Daniel Hamilton
Hillary Clinton’s margin of victory over Trump outside New York City was just 760 votes out of 4.6 million cast. https://t.co/26GKUA70iE
The mind boggles as to who are the stakeholders in Corbyn's Labour party. I'm assuming Russia, Sinn Fein, Hamas, Iran, North Korea and Len McCluskey until I hear otherwise.
Oh well, something else to throw at the Corbynites at tonight's Labour Christmas do.
On the plus side, it should help Labour win Sinn Fein support in the lobbies. Oh, hang on ...
Publicise what the part stands for?
(The Quote function seems not to be available - is this just me?)
If you deduct California (where conservatives/republicans don't bother because their vote is a waste under Electoral College rules) then the Donald won both a massive ECV landslide and a popular vote one too.
I think the underlying message is: If you have an ECV system then that (and only that) is what counts. But ascribing any meaning to the popular vote in an ECV system is a nonsense. If the election were to be rerun as a popular vote one then a gajillion righties would emerge from the CA/NY/New England darkness to vote for the first time in ages.
"It won't impress the PM either who lost a University acquaintance in the Harrods bombing....."
Or anyone on the Labour side who was a friend of Christopher Ewart-Biggs, or his widow who became a Labour peer?
No. Been a problem all morning.
...oh.
To be fair, 14 Democrat voters would also appear in Utah...
The over 65s have May sixty six points ahead of Corbyn in net favourability ratings.....
Mention of Corbyn and the IRA will be WTF has that got to do with anything?
Bit of confirmation bias going on here by the Corbyn haters.
Did ANY of tim's talking points have any impact on GE2015?
Or suitability for high office?
Or indeed, any office?
They'll assume it's exaggerated, even though it's not.
Unless Paul Nuttal shows the strategic genius of Alexander the Great and cleans up the North, I think Corbyn will clock 24-25%.
Why should Corbyn be trusted on IS when he can't be trusted on the IRA?
And it is the young who will likely suffer if IS bring their violence here - cf Bataclan, Nice etc.
EDIT: in reply to @Barnesian: yes what you mention resonates but not when violence is directed at those very same young. Corbyn's attitude to the IRA mirrors his attitude to IS and their fellow travelers. He simply cannot be trusted to keep you safe and being safe and alive matters to the young, just as much as it does to the rest of us.
If you deduct California, then you need to at least deduct
WY, WV, OK, ND, ID, KY, SD, AL, AR
from Trump - which is in fact 48 ECVs compared to California's 55 and were equally as foregone a conclusion (Trump received 66.9% of the two party vote in these states compared to 66.1% for Hillary in California) then Hillary still wins the popular vote by ~ 1.4 million.
No? How about 'PM shops at Morrisons'?
Not even 'Man rides horse'?
Yeah - babies. Such a time-drain. ;-)
Funny, I don't remember hearing too many complaints then.
If Labour got pincered and dumped 30 seats to the Tories, and 110 to UKIP, they hey presto.
But more likely in Canada than here. I might be tempted at 50/1
That's the wrong question (answer: not all that many, though it'll confirm quite a few who've switched from Labour on the grounds that Corbyn can't be trusted). The right question is what does the appointment say about Corbyn's understanding of how politics works and how his party will campaign before and during a full-on election campaign? What are their priorities? What do they not regard as important but which other people - opponents, media, public - might regard as important? What weak spots does it identify for other parties or hostile media to attack? What will it do to Labour morale and division? Will it actually make his team more effective or less so?
In terms of direct impact, the appointment will have little effect now. The indirect impact, however, just adds to the existing trends - and the existing trends are not at all good for Labour.
TFA ahead of ROTJ?! Madness.
It's ROTJ (yes, even with the ewoks), ESB, TFA, ROS, ANH, AOTC, TPM (yes, I put a prequel above ANH - I like it, but nostalgia overlooks how crap the acting is, even compared to the prequels, which are not good movies, but I enjoy just fine. They are not the worse things ever put to film, as some fanboys act like)
Seeing R1 in a few hours - it looks very good. I still think trailers deserve their own awards, particularly when a trailer looks fantastic when the movie is bad (unless it's one of those ones which basically invents whole scenes by stitching things together).
Even if you know where the plot was headed, thanks to A New Hope, it maintained tension all the way through.
I said it last night and will say it again: it shows appalling moral and political judgment on Corbyn's part. It fits with his world view. But it is a world view and a judgment which I find repellent. And I think it means that he is not fit to be LoTo let alone PM.
Judgment and moral character matter. I may be the only person who believes this. But I don't care. He does not have the right judgment or moral character to be in a position of leadership let alone as leader of the Labour Party, a party which - if not mine - has been a great party, has decent people in it and supporting it and has done some worthwhile things for this country. He should not be allowed to trash its reputation but if Labour members are happy with what he is doing then too bad. The rest of us will make our judgments accordingly.
I'm hopping off in case of spoilers, but I do wonder if it will make people hate the rebels a bit, unless there's an explanation after why so much effort in R1, they apparently had to send the plans to one location which was immediately captured and the only copy put on a droid which would have been destroyed had a weapon officer decided there was no need to blow up an escape pod.
“There is no doubt that the so-called Islamic State group has imposed a reign of terror on millions in Iraq, Syria and Libya. All that ISIS stands for and does is contrary to everything those of us on these benches have struggled for over generations.
“And there is no doubt that it poses a threat to our own people."
EDIT: Answer: Corbyn
http://www.labour.org.uk/pages/jeremy-corbyn-statement-on-Syria
I believe that Corbyn supported the objectives of the IRA (a united Ireland) but I very much doubt that he supported their methods. By now we all know his approach is jaw, jaw rather than war,war.
EDIT: He most certainly doesn't support the objectives of ISIS! It is a mistake to conflate the two.
Corbyn's problem is that he cannot provide leadership to his MPs. They distrust him, they do not respect him, he can't impose discipline. The result is that the Labour Party is not providing effective opposition.
On that basis, Corbyn scores zero out of 10..
The fact that this appointment was made suggests the thought of impression on voters never crossed anyone's mind...
That's why he's so comfortable posing next to images of Stalin and Lenin: because he agrees with them.
Once you understand his dogma, it's very easy to predict what he'll say and do.
I dunno there might not be time in a five week campaign to cram this one in, being as there are so many other security and defence issues where Corbyn will be slaughtered (no pun intended).
Nebraska, Kansas , Montana, Louisiana all need to be eliminated too - Hillary still 1.4 million votes ahead.
We have to work with the IRA leaders for the sake of the country. Corbyn seems to share ideals with them (thankfully not methods), which is more disquieting given he is not them. It's not the same as the rather weak questions thrown at Khan.
Good day all.
Sinn Fein still want to break up the UK. To those who care about keeping the country together, the appointment is at the very least symbollic of a leadership that can't be trusted on the issue.
I agree that Corbyn's own history in the 1980s is more relevant, though the appointment simply reinforces that the campaigning point has relevance.
I love showing visiting nieces & nephews the real places films are shot (Greenwich obvious choice - its been in one of the Thor films & was Paris in Les Mis...)
Then try a little harder. Corbyn's attitude to the country's enemies of the past informs his attitude to current and future enemies.
He will not stand up for Britain.
ESB>ROTJ>ROTS>ANH>TFA>AOTC>TPM is the correct order
Be afraid @pulpstar ☺️
https://twitter.com/standardnews/status/809343495378874368
https://www.buzzfeed.com/scottybryan/yes-star-wars-rogue-one-was-filmed-on-the-lond
Con 40 (-2)
Lab 29 (-4)
LD 14 (+4)
UKIP 9 (+2)
Greens 3 (nc)
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/liberal-democrats-jump-to-best-poll-rating-in-five-years-after-richmond-park-triumph-a3420906.html