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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Punters remain solidly behind Zac to hold onto Richmond Park
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Punters remain solidly behind Zac to hold onto Richmond Park
The chart above based on Betfair prices shows Zac Goldsmith holding on well in the betting at least in the Richmond Park by-election which was caused by his resignation as a CON MP in protest at the government’s decision to go ahead with the Heathrow expansion.
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http://mobile.nytimes.com/aponline/2016/11/20/world/europe/ap-eu-norway-pedophile-network.html?_r=0&referer=https://t.co/Jrpd86W7lC
"HELSINKI — Norwegian police say they investigating a pedophile network suspected to involve at least 51 people, which includes the abuse of infants and at least one case of a suspect acknowledging abusing his own children.
Deputy Police Chief Gunnar Floystad says that in Norway's largest abuse case to date they have arrested 20 men so far, with three convictions, in western Norway. The 31 other suspects are from other regions in Norway.
Floystad told reporters Sunday that many of the suspects are highly educated, and include lawyers and politicians. He said he could not reveal more details pending the conclusion of the investigation, known as "Dark Room," which began in 2015...
https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/799707376144105473
My father, who lives in the constituency, is backing the LDs. He has backed every single losing cause you could imagine since about 1990. He has a reputation in our family as a Dr Doom that even exceeds Gordon Brown's.
So his backing of the LDs is the best possible news Zac could have.
They've raised expectations too far *again* and are going to get stuffed, aren't they.
Here is this for a bit of balance
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2226154/heathrow-activist-fighting-zac-goldsmith-in-the-richmond-by-election-is-married-to-key-player-in-airports-expansion/
What the LibDems need is a new, distinctive policy.
I suggest that they give a signed pledge to oppose any increases in university tuition fees.
If not I'd spoil my ballot paper by drawing a giant phallus on my ballot paper and an arrow pointing to Zac's name.
Meanwhile Juppe - who we were told was a certainty - flopped badly.
Two conclusions might be drawn:
1) Elections continue to produce surprise results
2) PB isn't as knowledgeable as it thinks it is
Edit/ Fiona Syms
http://tinyurl.com/hjebsmc
Pro-remain (ish) and pro third runway (apparently). However, this might put you off voting for her:
http://tinyurl.com/zyjc45x
What a lovely country we live in these days.
How low can corporation tax go?
Hassan
Meanwhile in Canada .. https://t.co/nS8ZkzFnbq
Bring back the death penalty for the [moderated] who attacked Gorka the corker.
After all. It's the issue of the day and there are significant differences between the candidates.
Otherwise the election would be a vanity one for Zac with the other principal party candidates all taking an identical stance. Which would be a pointless waste of money and not be asking the voters of Richmond anything at all.
Be careful, I would not want anyone having neck injuries nodding in agreement with this article.
Macron's big problem is that he's fighting for the centrist vote with Bayrou, who's currently on about 8% in the polls. If Bayrou were to choose not to stand, which is by no means unlikely, then that 20-1 would look very, very tempting.
I wonder though how many are down overall having previously bet on the supposed certainty Juppe.
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/800614351237476352
Fillon's too risky at odds on in the current political climate and I can't see Marine winning.
Is there any possibility that Bayrou could get through to the second round ?
She's no Margaret Thatcher.
The main wildcard at the moment is who the Socialist candidate will be. It seems inconceivable to me that Hollande would want to put himself through the humiliation of a campaign so there could be a surprise package. Once Hollande pulls out then the heavyweights can declare.
It COULD be Juppe overcoming Fillon next weekend, but I doubt that because the Fillon surprise of yesterday has not fully unwound yet. Fillon's supporters will be pumped up to finish the job next weekend and Juppe's supporters will be loathe to pay their two euro's to vote for someone so far behind in yesterday's contest.
So yes, Macron is a good bet to spring the next surprise and, as you point out, if Bayrou withdraws, then it is game on.
The other possible surprise, of course, is a Le Pen victory.
If a week is along time in politics then the 22 weeks we have left before the market is settled is a very long time.
Plenty of time for events to cause further twists and turns before this market is done with.
Nah. Con will end the night on zero, so the Libs Dems would have a 19%+ swing even if they poll just a single vote. They'll need a lot more than that to win.
According to sources who spoke to the Mail on Sunday, the incident happened at Thursday's meeting of the Cabinet Brexit committee.
* I can't count.
** Le Pen would beat Hollande and Melenchon, but I'm unconvinced she would do particularly well against either Fillon or Macron.
Tax cuts for the best off and for big business. It's just more of the same.
With rights come certain responsibilities.
* Both want to "democratise" the courts
* Both believe media coverage that they do not like is biased.
* Both back Putin.
* Both back hard Brexit.
* Both back tax cuts for the best off.
* Both have welcomed Trump's victory in the US.
This really is back to the 1970s. Can the centre hold?
Time to wind up the Labour Party.
For the record, I am for R3.