Now Attenborough with Planet Earth 2. When the BBC turns it on, it turns it on.
FFS, forget Strictly. That start to Planet Earth 2 was arguably the most astonishing piece of wildlife footage ever shot.....
Agreed. It's astonishing.
It's things like Planet Earth that make me think people who reckon the BBC would be better privatised are literally deluded
Netflix (via Sony TV) has just produced one of the greatest drama shows about the Monarchy that's ever been made. Why did the BBC not commission this show?
Now Attenborough with Planet Earth 2. When the BBC turns it on, it turns it on.
FFS, forget Strictly. That start to Planet Earth 2 was arguably the most astonishing piece of wildlife footage ever shot.....
Agreed. It's astonishing.
It's things like Planet Earth that make me think people who reckon the BBC would be better privatised are literally deluded
Netflix (via Sony TV) has just produced one of the greatest drama shows about the Monarchy that's ever been made. Why did the BBC not commission this show?
Too commercial? Too expensive? Does it matter? Nope.
The Crown was offered to the BBC first to "co-produce", but they said they couldn't afford it...too many posh lunches for Yentob, billions spent on a pointless relocation, 100's millions of a failed IT project, pissing about unwilling to close BBC3 before spending a load of money on rebranding, etc etc etc.
I have to say Ed Balls has never made me laugh before so credit to him. Don't forget though that the Tories made a big point of Miliband being one of Brown's backroom staff. Just imagine the baggage Balls would have to deal with though. I suspect as LOTO he would have focused even more on the deficit (his specialist subject) but I doubt he would have come up with a strategy to win an election. I suspect his command of detail would make him a tough opponent though.
The Crown was offered to the BBC first to "co-produce", but they said they couldn't afford it...too many posh lunches for Yentob, billions spent on a pointless relocation, 100's millions of a failed IT project, pissing about unwilling to close BBC3 before spending a load of money on rebranding, etc etc etc.
Paying for the govts soft diplomacy in the world service is closer to the truth
Now Attenborough with Planet Earth 2. When the BBC turns it on, it turns it on.
FFS, forget Strictly. That start to Planet Earth 2 was arguably the most astonishing piece of wildlife footage ever shot.....
Agreed. It's astonishing.
It's things like Planet Earth that make me think people who reckon the BBC would be better privatised are literally deluded
Netflix (via Sony TV) has just produced one of the greatest drama shows about the Monarchy that's ever been made. Why did the BBC not commission this show?
Too commercial? Too expensive? Does it matter? Nope.
Of course it matters, simply the best TV show ever made about our Monarchy now sits behind a pay wall. It should be public programming, not just for those who can afford to pay for Netflix.
The Crown was offered to the BBC first to "co-produce", but they said they couldn't afford it...too many posh lunches for Yentob, billions spent on a pointless relocation, 100's millions of a failed IT project, pissing about unwilling to close BBC3 before spending a load of money on rebranding, etc etc etc.
If only they had a big money-spinning show they could sell around the world. One about cars, for example?
The Crown was offered to the BBC first to "co-produce", but they said they couldn't afford it...too many posh lunches for Yentob, billions spent on a pointless relocation, 100's millions of a failed IT project, pissing about unwilling to close BBC3 before spending a load of money on rebranding, etc etc etc.
Paying for the govts soft diplomacy in the world service is closer to the truth
Bollocks...the BBC have pissed billions up the wall and have an bloated management structure and unwilling to change. They keep saying they are having to cut staff and then we find they have hired even more staff.
The Crown was offered to the BBC first to "co-produce", but they said they couldn't afford it...too many posh lunches for Yentob, billions spent on a pointless relocation, 100's millions of a failed IT project, pissing about unwilling to close BBC3 before spending a load of money on rebranding, etc etc etc.
Yes, I'd heard from a friend at SPTV that they offered it to the BBC and ITV, the former said no, the latter had their own project (Victoria).
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
The Crown was offered to the BBC first to "co-produce", but they said they couldn't afford it...too many posh lunches for Yentob, billions spent on a pointless relocation, 100's millions of a failed IT project, pissing about unwilling to close BBC3 before spending a load of money on rebranding, etc etc etc.
If only they had a big money-spinning show they could sell around the world. One about cars, for example?
Who knows? But I would note that the polls, even the exit polls, failed to pick up the shift to the PP at the last Spanish election a week after Brexit, so polling errors have not solely benefited insurgents.
The Tories weren't insurgents in 2015. The issue is how the local media treat any choice. Over here voting Tory was treated the same as killing babies, how does the Spanish media treat voting PP? If it's anything like here it will be the unfashionable choice just as voting Tory was in 2015, which would explain an understatement. Voting PVV is surely unfashionable, just as Brexit and Trump. I don't think that polls aren't picking up insurgencies, but picking up the choice that goes against the liberal media and "settles choice" is tough.
That's fair comment, but I think the issue is mostly one of down weighting people who have historically not voted: from the rural poor this time in the US, and the denizens of Sunderland in the Brexit vote.
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
On the basis of the publicly available info/polls, what odds should trump have been at the start of voting on the 8th Nov?
I recon Nate silver was basically spot on with his probability distribution, so I'll go 11/4.
Does anyone take a different view?
Pong...I'm returning to lurker here...I'm so depressed by the world and the last thing I want to is to have some dialogue with some of the vile creatures that inhabit these waters. So enough quite frankly is enough for me.
A case in point...our very own Trump narcissist, seanT, was bragging about having sex with a young girl a few weeks ago. The fact that he is a pathetic, middle aged man...you could only feel sorry for the girl having that sad piece of middle aged flab clambering on top of her. I hope he paid her enough.
But....my vote will be for you as PbComer of the year. You are the epitome of this site...really intelligent, and a great tipster. And you do not get involved in the petty discussions and point scoring that I just engaged in.....
Who knows? But I would note that the polls, even the exit polls, failed to pick up the shift to the PP at the last Spanish election a week after Brexit, so polling errors have not solely benefited insurgents.
The Tories weren't insurgents in 2015. The issue is how the local media treat any choice. Over here voting Tory was treated the same as killing babies, how does the Spanish media treat voting PP? If it's anything like here it will be the unfashionable choice just as voting Tory was in 2015, which would explain an understatement. Voting PVV is surely unfashionable, just as Brexit and Trump. I don't think that polls aren't picking up insurgencies, but picking up the choice that goes against the liberal media and "settles choice" is tough.
That's fair comment, but I think the issue is mostly one of down weighting people who have historically not voted: from the rural poor this time in the US, and the denizens of Sunderland in the Brexit vote.
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
That wasn't true for the Tories or PP though. The question is whether PVV are more like Trump/Brexit or the Tories/PP.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
If France have told the EU to do one then that's unusually grown up of them. Germany and Juncker can get f*****.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
God I am so glad we are leaving this group of prats. Delusional is simply too kind.
Who knows? But I would note that the polls, even the exit polls, failed to pick up the shift to the PP at the last Spanish election a week after Brexit, so polling errors have not solely benefited insurgents.
The Tories weren't insurgents in 2015. The issue is how the local media treat any choice. Over here voting Tory was treated the same as killing babies, how does the Spanish media treat voting PP? If it's anything like here it will be the unfashionable choice just as voting Tory was in 2015, which would explain an understatement. Voting PVV is surely unfashionable, just as Brexit and Trump. I don't think that polls aren't picking up insurgencies, but picking up the choice that goes against the liberal media and "settles choice" is tough.
That's fair comment, but I think the issue is mostly one of down weighting people who have historically not voted: from the rural poor this time in the US, and the denizens of Sunderland in the Brexit vote.
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
That wasn't true for the Tories or PP though. The question is whether PVV are more like Trump/Brexit or the Tories/PP.
I've been thinking insurgent <-> establishment as the axis, but maybe its's fasionable <-> unfashionable?
AfD has certainly outperformed in local elections in Germany.
On the other hand, UKIP did not last year (or perhaps that was Miliband specific). The truth is that with few datapoints, and many country specific factors (like the Democrats picking Clinton), one probably should be wary of too much extrapolation.
I've always said that - on my tombstone - I'd like "Beware of extrapolation from small datasets" written.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
If France have told the EU to do one then that's unusually grown up of them. Germany and Juncker can get f*****.
Who knows? But I would note that the polls, even the exit polls, failed to pick up the shift to the PP at the last Spanish election a week after Brexit, so polling errors have not solely benefited insurgents.
The Tories weren't insurgents in 2015. The issue is how the local media treat any choice. Over here voting Tory was treated the same as killing babies, how does the Spanish media treat voting PP? If it's anything like here it will be the unfashionable choice just as voting Tory was in 2015, which would explain an understatement. Voting PVV is surely unfashionable, just as Brexit and Trump. I don't think that polls aren't picking up insurgencies, but picking up the choice that goes against the liberal media and "settles choice" is tough.
That's fair comment, but I think the issue is mostly one of down weighting people who have historically not voted: from the rural poor this time in the US, and the denizens of Sunderland in the Brexit vote.
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
That wasn't true for the Tories or PP though. The question is whether PVV are more like Trump/Brexit or the Tories/PP.
I've been thinking insurgent <-> establishment as the axis, but maybe its's fasionable <-> unfashionable?
AfD has certainly outperformed in local elections in Germany.
On the other hand, UKIP did not last year (or perhaps that was Miliband specific). The truth is that with few datapoints, and many country specific factors (like the Democrats picking Clinton), one probably should be wary of too much extrapolation.
I've always said that - on my tombstone - I'd like "Beware of extrapolation from small datasets" written.
Well it would certainly generate some speculation as to the cause of death. Not sure it quite matches "told you I was ill" though.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
I'll give the BBC credit for the Last Kingdom, which I've just watched. It didn't have budget of Tits and Dragons but it was extremely good.
Who knows? But I would note that the polls, even the exit polls, failed to pick up the shift to the PP at the last Spanish election a week after Brexit, so polling errors have not solely benefited insurgents.
The Tories weren't insurgents in 2015. The issue is how the local media treat any choice. Over here voting Tory was treated the same as killing babies, how does the Spanish media treat voting PP? If it's anything like here it will be the unfashionable choice just as voting Tory was in 2015, which would explain an understatement. Voting PVV is surely unfashionable, just as Brexit and Trump. I don't think that polls aren't picking up insurgencies, but picking up the choice that goes against the liberal media and "settles choice" is tough.
That's fair comment, but I think the issue is mostly one of down weighting people who have historically not voted: from the rural poor this time in the US, and the denizens of Sunderland in the Brexit vote.
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
That wasn't true for the Tories or PP though. The question is whether PVV are more like Trump/Brexit or the Tories/PP.
I've been thinking insurgent <-> establishment as the axis, but maybe its's fasionable <-> unfashionable?
AfD has certainly outperformed in local elections in Germany.
On the other hand, UKIP did not last year (or perhaps that was Miliband specific). The truth is that with few datapoints, and many country specific factors (like the Democrats picking Clinton), one probably should be wary of too much extrapolation.
I've always said that - on my tombstone - I'd like "Beware of extrapolation from small datasets" written.
I personally think that any choice which is shut down by the media as "unacceptable", will outperform polling. The nasty right wing will always underperform in polls while its supporters are told by the media they are all scum on a daily basis.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
If France have told the EU to do one then that's unusually grown up of them. Germany and Juncker can get f*****.
Who knows? But I would note that the polls, even the exit polls, failed to pick up the shift to the PP at the last Spanish election a week after Brexit, so polling errors have not solely benefited insurgents.
The Tories weren't insurgents in 2015. The issue is how the local media treat any choice. Over here voting Tory was treated the same as killing babies, how does the Spanish media treat voting PP? If it's anything like here it will be the unfashionable choice just as voting Tory was in 2015, which would explain an understatement. Voting PVV is surely unfashionable, just as Brexit and Trump. I don't think that polls aren't picking up insurgencies, but picking up the choice that goes against the liberal media and "settles choice" is tough.
That's fair comment, but I think the issue is mostly one of down weighting people who have historically not voted: from the rural poor this time in the US, and the denizens of Sunderland in the Brexit vote.
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
That wasn't true for the Tories or PP though. The question is whether PVV are more like Trump/Brexit or the Tories/PP.
I've been thinking insurgent <-> establishment as the axis, but maybe its's fasionable <-> unfashionable?
AfD has certainly outperformed in local elections in Germany.
On the other hand, UKIP did not last year (or perhaps that was Miliband specific). The truth is that with few datapoints, and many country specific factors (like the Democrats picking Clinton), one probably should be wary of too much extrapolation.
I've always said that - on my tombstone - I'd like "Beware of extrapolation from small datasets" written.
Well it would certainly generate some speculation as to the cause of death. Not sure it quite matches "told you I was ill" though.
My point is that human beings love stories, and want to hang a narrative off a set of facts, when the truth (in America) is probably simply that the Democrats nominated an appallingly weak candidate.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
If France have told the EU to do one then that's unusually grown up of them. Germany and Juncker can get f*****.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
If France have told the EU to do one then that's unusually grown up of them. Germany and Juncker can get f*****.
On the basis of the publicly available info/polls, what odds should trump have been at the start of voting on the 8th Nov?
I recon Nate silver was basically spot on with his probability distribution, so I'll go 11/4.
Does anyone take a different view?
3-2. I bet on him at 4-1 with Paddy Power (i had a much earlier bet at 3-2). I wrote down my reasons and thought Hillary would win the ECV 279-259, and so concluded his odds were way too long.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
If France have told the EU to do one then that's unusually grown up of them. Germany and Juncker can get f*****.
Who knows? But I would note that the polls, even the exit polls, failed to pick up the shift to the PP at the last Spanish election a week after Brexit, so polling errors have not solely benefited insurgents.
The Tories weren't insurgents in 2015. The issue is how the local media treat any choice. Over here voting Tory was treated the same as killing babies, how does the Spanish media treat voting PP? If it's anything like here it will be the unfashionable choice just as voting Tory was in 2015, which would explain an understatement. Voting PVV is surely unfashionable, just as Brexit and Trump. I don't think that polls aren't picking up insurgencies, but picking up the choice that goes against the liberal media and "settles choice" is tough.
That's fair comment, but I think the issue is mostly one of down weighting people who have historically not voted: from the rural poor this time in the US, and the denizens of Sunderland in the Brexit vote.
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
That wasn't true for the Tories or PP though. The question is whether PVV are more like Trump/Brexit or the Tories/PP.
I've been thinking insurgent <-> establishment as the axis, but maybe its's fasionable <-> unfashionable?
AfD has certainly outperformed in local elections in Germany.
On the other hand, UKIP did not last year (or perhaps that was Miliband specific). The truth is that with few datapoints, and many country specific factors (like the Democrats picking Clinton), one probably should be wary of too much extrapolation.
I've always said that - on my tombstone - I'd like "Beware of extrapolation from small datasets" written.
Well it would certainly generate some speculation as to the cause of death. Not sure it quite matches "told you I was ill" though.
My point is that human beings love stories, and want to hang a narrative off a set of facts, when the truth (in America) is probably simply that the Democrats nominated an appallingly weak candidate.
And if you tried to point that out prior to the election...
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
If France have told the EU to do one then that's unusually grown up of them. Germany and Juncker can get f*****.
'If France have told the EU to do one'
'unusually grown up of them'
'Germany and Juncker can get f*****.'
Marvellous stuff Sparky.
Going to post more fake nrws from twatter?
Touchy..
No denial then? Post truth politics, indeed.
Touchy..
Gosh you're a dickhead. When Scotland votes to get bummed by England for another 300 years, remember this moment and how useless you are for your country and how pointless your existence is.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
If France have told the EU to do one then that's unusually grown up of them. Germany and Juncker can get f*****.
'If France have told the EU to do one'
'unusually grown up of them'
'Germany and Juncker can get f*****.'
Marvellous stuff Sparky.
Going to post more fake nrws from twatter?
Touchy..
No denial then? Post truth politics, indeed.
Touchy..
Gosh you're a dickhead. When Scotland votes to get bummed by England for another 300 years, remember this moment and how useless you are for your country and how pointless your existence is.
Tell me now, do you take a drink of an evening at all? Because your punchy, wee man at a keyboard quotient certainly increases as the hour hand moves on.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
I personally watch little UK drama these days from any of the channels. HBO / Netflix US stuff is generally far superior. Yes some of them have absolutely massive budgets, but not all.
True Detective going from having Matthew McConaughey and Woody Harrelson in the star roles kinda hard not to be going down hill after that!
My point is that human beings love stories, and want to hang a narrative off a set of facts, when the truth (in America) is probably simply that the Democrats nominated an appallingly weak candidate.
There's plenty of food for thought on this issue in Dan Carlin's latest Common Sense podcast. It's well worth a listen, as is the Revenge of the Gangrenous Finger episode he recorded after Brexit. He's been talking about this stuff for years and years, and now it's coming true.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
If France have told the EU to do one then that's unusually grown up of them. Germany and Juncker can get f*****.
Who knows? But I would note that the polls, even the exit polls, failed to pick up the shift to the PP at the last Spanish election a week after Brexit, so polling errors have not solely benefited insurgents.
The Tories weren't insurgents in 2015. The issue is how the local media treat any choice. Over here voting Tory was treated the same as killing babies, how does the Spanish media treat voting PP? If it's anything like here it will be the unfashionable choice just as voting Tory was in 2015, which would explain an understatement. Voting PVV is surely unfashionable, just as Brexit and Trump. I don't think that polls aren't picking up insurgencies, but picking up the choice that goes against the liberal media and "settles choice" is tough.
That's fair comment, but I think the issue is mostly one of down weighting people who have historically not voted: from the rural poor this time in the US, and the denizens of Sunderland in the Brexit vote.
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
That wasn't true for the Tories or PP though. The question is whether PVV are more like Trump/Brexit or the Tories/PP.
I've been thinking insurgent <-> establishment as the axis, but maybe its's fasionable <-> unfashionable?
AfD has certainly outperformed in local elections in Germany.
On the other hand, UKIP did not last year (or perhaps that was Miliband specific). The truth is that with few datapoints, and many country specific factors (like the Democrats picking Clinton), one probably should be wary of too much extrapolation.
I've always said that - on my tombstone - I'd like "Beware of extrapolation from small datasets" written.
Well it would certainly generate some speculation as to the cause of death. Not sure it quite matches "told you I was ill" though.
My point is that human beings love stories, and want to hang a narrative off a set of facts, when the truth (in America) is probably simply that the Democrats nominated an appallingly weak candidate.
Indeed. Post hoc ergo propter hoc. A classic fallacy. But it does seem that there is an anti-establishment tendency across the west as we deal with the detritus and consequences of 2007.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
Movie version with Yul Brynner is the best
YES.
What really surprises me is everyone I know who watches it has not seen the movie.
I personally watch little UK drama these days from any of the channels. HBO / Netflix US stuff is generally far superior. Yes some of them have absolutely massive budgets, but not all.
Yes it's not only the money, they are willing to take more risks and are generally less formulaic than most network television.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
Movie version with Yul Brynner is the best
YES.
What really surprises me is everyone I know who watches it has not seen the movie.
Most don't even know the movie exists
The Expanse (on Netflix) is pretty awesome SciFi, by the way
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
They are not paying attention. It's a classic quest motif together with a number of sub-plots
Who knows? But I would note that the polls, even the exit polls, failed to pick up the shift to the PP at the last Spanish election a week after Brexit, so polling errors have not solely benefited insurgents.
The Tories weren't insurgents in 2015. The issue is how the local media treat any choice. Over here voting Tory was treated the same as killing babies, how does the Spanish media treat voting PP? If it's anything like here it will be the unfashionable choice just as voting Tory was in 2015, which would explain an understatement. Voting PVV is surely unfashionable, just as Brexit and Trump. I don't think that polls aren't picking up insurgencies, but picking up the choice that goes against the liberal media and "settles choice" is tough.
That's fair comment, but I think the issue is mostly one of down weighting people who have historically not voted: from the rural poor this time in the US, and the denizens of Sunderland in the Brexit vote.
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
That wasn't true for the Tories or PP though. The question is whether PVV are more like Trump/Brexit or the Tories/PP.
I've been thinking insurgent <-> establishment as the axis, but maybe its's fasionable <-> unfashionable?
AfD has certainly outperformed in local elections in Germany.
On the other hand, UKIP did not last year (or perhaps that was Miliband specific). The truth is that with few datapoints, and many country specific factors (like the Democrats picking Clinton), one probably should be wary of too much extrapolation.
I've always said that - on my tombstone - I'd like "Beware of extrapolation from small datasets" written.
Well it would certainly generate some speculation as to the cause of death. Not sure it quite matches "told you I was ill" though.
My point is that human beings love stories, and want to hang a narrative off a set of facts, when the truth (in America) is probably simply that the Democrats nominated an appallingly weak candidate.
Indeed. Post hoc ergo propter hoc. A classic fallacy. But it does seem that there is an anti-establishment tendency across the west as we deal with the detritus and consequences of 2007.
A weak and very establishment candidate. Someone who gives 6 figure priced speeches to Goldman Sachs as the Dem Party candidate? I mean, really?
Its just a shitty photoshoot. Farage is nothing more than a tourist as he admits himself and he's trying to milk it for everything it is worth. Farage changed history, but in the manner of an arsonist or one of Eric Pickles shitty armchair auditors. He doesn't have any interest in actually running anything or being a serious politician.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
Movie version with Yul Brynner is the best
YES.
What really surprises me is everyone I know who watches it has not seen the movie.
Most don't even know the movie exists
The Expanse (on Netflix) is pretty awesome SciFi, by the way
Thanks for the suggestion. I will give it a watch tonight.
Netflix tv series seem really good. Sadly my only experience of one of their movies was ARQ which was painful.
It wasn't just Boris that boycotted the EU Foreign Minister emergency meeting tonight, France and Hungary stayed away as well to the fury of Germany and Brussels.
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
It's utterly stupid to get in an insulting match with Trump now.
Remember the rule "Don't mud wrestle with a pig. You will get dirty and the pig will enjoy it"?
On the basis of the publicly available info/polls, what odds should trump have been at the start of voting on the 8th Nov?
I recon Nate silver was basically spot on with his probability distribution, so I'll go 11/4.
Does anyone take a different view?
Pong...I'm returning to lurker here...I'm so depressed by the world and the last thing I want to is to have some dialogue with some of the vile creatures that inhabit these waters. So enough quite frankly is enough for me.
A case in point...our very own Trump narcissist, seanT, was bragging about having sex with a young girl a few weeks ago. The fact that he is a pathetic, middle aged man...you could only feel sorry for the girl having that sad piece of middle aged flab clambering on top of her. I hope he paid her enough.
But....my vote will be for you as PbComer of the year. You are the epitome of this site...really intelligent, and a great tipster. And you do not get involved in the petty discussions and point scoring that I just engaged in.....
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
Movie version with Yul Brynner is the best
YES.
What really surprises me is everyone I know who watches it has not seen the movie.
Most don't even know the movie exists
The Expanse (on Netflix) is pretty awesome SciFi, by the way
Thanks for the suggestion. I will give it a watch tonight.
Netflix tv series seem really good. Sadly my only experience of one of their movies was ARQ which was painful.
The thing with the Expanse is that they are doing a slow build up - they have a whole series of novels to do. If you want Basil Exposition - this isn't it. They are doing the style of mention things and then slowly fill in later. If that bugs you, you wont like it.
I hate to interrupt the Brexitting, but the Ghost in the Shell trailer is out. It contains Scarlett Johanssen in skin-tight lycra wielding a Big Fuckoff Gun a la Matrix to a Depeche Mode soundtrack. It's gonna take a nuke just to slow Sunil down...
Perhaps we won't need that third runway after all.
Not convinced we ever did.
Yes - the telling bit were the executives whispering about how they needed "government involvement" in the 3rd runway because it was such a big project. Yet they were saying the business case was ironclad - money to be made hand over fist....
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I hate to interrupt the Brexitting, but the Ghost in the Shell trailer is out. It contains Scarlett Johanssen in skin-tight lycra wielding a Big Fuckoff Gun a la Matrix to a Depeche Mode soundtrack. It's gonna take a nuke just to slow Sunil down...
I already bought my ticket to see the Mode at the London Olympic Stadium in June
On the basis of the publicly available info/polls, what odds should trump have been at the start of voting on the 8th Nov?
I recon Nate silver was basically spot on with his probability distribution, so I'll go 11/4.
Does anyone take a different view?
Pong...I'm returning to lurker here...I'm so depressed by the world and the last thing I want to is to have some dialogue with some of the vile creatures that inhabit these waters. So enough quite frankly is enough for me.
A case in point...our very own Trump narcissist, seanT, was bragging about having sex with a young girl a few weeks ago. The fact that he is a pathetic, middle aged man...you could only feel sorry for the girl having that sad piece of middle aged flab clambering on top of her. I hope he paid her enough.
But....my vote will be for you as PbComer of the year. You are the epitome of this site...really intelligent, and a great tipster. And you do not get involved in the petty discussions and point scoring that I just engaged in.....
So well done you...seriously....
lol.
Thanks, i do try.
Maybe
What do you make of the remaining markets,
Clinton pop vote looks to me to be 1.00 probability, not even a 1.01. A very certain 1-x (X approaches inf) Trump +/- 47% is interesting, -ve side I have my profit on. Turnout +/- 58% looks to me to be close too. 134,302,841 voters I make to be the barrier for the band so to speak.
The Clinton/Trump turnout ECV bands are also I think 1.01 shots although not the 1.00 shot that Clinton popular vote is, my stake on these whilst still substantial is alot less than the 1-50 I took last night on the Clinton popular vote (An extra ballot box in Wayne county suddenly "found" could bust this whereas there is zero chance of enough skewed boxes being uncovered to flip the PV), and Hillary will add to the tally.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
Do people like Mr Robot? I did not watch it from the beginning, so when I see bits of it, it looks really intriguing but I have no idea what is going on.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
Do people like Mr Robot? I did not watch it from the beginning, so when I see bits of it, it looks really intriguing but I have no idea what is going on.
Season one was great...haven't seen season two yet.
I hate to interrupt the Brexitting, but the Ghost in the Shell trailer is out. It contains Scarlett Johanssen in skin-tight lycra wielding a Big Fuckoff Gun a la Matrix to a Depeche Mode soundtrack. It's gonna take a nuke just to slow Sunil down...
I already bought my ticket to see the Mode at the London Olympic Stadium in June
I'm in a bleak place at the minute- multiple close family members losing or already lost the battle against cancer simultaneously. I've just had 3 hours driving up the motorway after dropping my lad off back at university, and DM blasting out on spotify was just the perfect mood music. Dunno what that says about my state of mind at the minute.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
Movie version with Yul Brynner is the best
YES.
What really surprises me is everyone I know who watches it has not seen the movie.
Most don't even know the movie exists
The Expanse (on Netflix) is pretty awesome SciFi, by the way
Thanks for the suggestion. I will give it a watch tonight.
Netflix tv series seem really good. Sadly my only experience of one of their movies was ARQ which was painful.
The thing with the Expanse is that they are doing a slow build up - they have a whole series of novels to do. If you want Basil Exposition - this isn't it. They are doing the style of mention things and then slowly fill in later. If that bugs you, you wont like it.
I prefer it when the story is introduced slowly. Too much exposition is annoying as it can come across as rushed and fake.
2/1 by Nate made it seem good value at 5.7 on Betfair so I put a bit on. Overall I came out about £200 up.
Glad that I didn't overdo the Spin Markets. I lost £33 there at 50p an EV.
SPIN is a bit of a sore point Chez Nabavi...
Have they settled on 316-232 yet ?
Not sure, they've settled the Clinton XXX-up markets which all unambiguously settled at 0, but I don't know about the main ECV market because I closed out early. Just not early enough, unfortunately.
I hate to interrupt the Brexitting, but the Ghost in the Shell trailer is out. It contains Scarlett Johanssen in skin-tight lycra wielding a Big Fuckoff Gun a la Matrix to a Depeche Mode soundtrack. It's gonna take a nuke just to slow Sunil down...
I already bought my ticket to see the Mode at the London Olympic Stadium in June
I'm in a bleak place at the minute- multiple close family members losing or already lost the battle against cancer simultaneously. I've just had 3 hours driving up the motorway after dropping my lad off back at university, and DM blasting out on spotify was just the perfect mood music. Dunno what that says about my state of mind at the minute.
Been in a similar place - mine was Apocalyptica.... It's what music is for...
On the basis of the publicly available info/polls, what odds should trump have been at the start of voting on the 8th Nov?
I recon Nate silver was basically spot on with his probability distribution, so I'll go 11/4.
Does anyone take a different view?
3-2. I bet on him at 4-1 with Paddy Power (i had a much earlier bet at 3-2). I wrote down my reasons and thought Hillary would win the ECV 279-259, and so concluded his odds were way too long.
I think, in all honesty, i'd probably lay trump @ 6/4 in a rerun, without regrets.
But at 4/1 (and greater over the final days) he was clearly the value bet, yet I didn't back him seriously until ~2am on the 9th. I found reasons not to. That irks me.
I guess I'm trying to understand why I didn't make a shit ton of money on this election. I made a lot, but I missed some things that seem really silly in hindsight.
The BBC argument is so boring. They do some good stuff, they do some piss poor stuff. But HBO and now Netflix have raised the bar to another level.
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Westworld (HBO) is fantastic too, I also really liked True Detective, even the second season.
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
Nothing much seems to happen in Westworld. Each episode seems almost identical. I was only half paying attention to it so might need to rewatch all of the episodes. However, everyone I know who watches it has said similar.
Movie version with Yul Brynner is the best
YES.
What really surprises me is everyone I know who watches it has not seen the movie.
Most don't even know the movie exists
The Expanse (on Netflix) is pretty awesome SciFi, by the way
Thanks for the suggestion. I will give it a watch tonight.
Netflix tv series seem really good. Sadly my only experience of one of their movies was ARQ which was painful.
The thing with the Expanse is that they are doing a slow build up - they have a whole series of novels to do. If you want Basil Exposition - this isn't it. They are doing the style of mention things and then slowly fill in later. If that bugs you, you wont like it.
I prefer it when the story is introduced slowly. Too much exposition is annoying as it can come across as rushed and fake.
With the Expanse they drop you in 3 separate story threads at once. You have to pick up what is going on.... no one stops for half an hour - "as we all know..."
I hate to interrupt the Brexitting, but the Ghost in the Shell trailer is out. It contains Scarlett Johanssen in skin-tight lycra wielding a Big Fuckoff Gun a la Matrix to a Depeche Mode soundtrack. It's gonna take a nuke just to slow Sunil down...
I already bought my ticket to see the Mode at the London Olympic Stadium in June
I'm in a bleak place at the minute- multiple close family members losing or already lost the battle against cancer simultaneously. I've just had 3 hours driving up the motorway after dropping my lad off back at university, and DM blasting out on spotify was just the perfect mood music. Dunno what that says about my state of mind at the minute.
Jeff B/DDHQ @EsotericCD Remember WEST PHILADELPHIA VOTE FRAUD? Where Romney got zero votes in those precincts & HAD to be b/c fraud? Trump got 1,000 out of them.
Comments
President Trump: How & Why...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLG9g7BcjKs
Bloody racists...
On the basis of the publicly available info/polls, what odds should trump have been at the start of voting on the 8th Nov?
I recon Nate silver was basically spot on with his probability distribution, so I'll go 11/4.
Does anyone take a different view?
Oh...
The Wire, Tits and Dragons, The Crown, House of Cards, Boardwalk Empire, etc etc etc
There are things that the BBC used to be world reknown for that don't require you to hire out a whole Eastern European country e.g all those amazing sitcoms. Now bugger all of those. Citizen Khan FFS.
Oh...
The biggest impacts, therefore, happen when turnout is unexpectedly higher than previously.
Pong...I'm returning to lurker here...I'm so depressed by the world and the last thing I want to is to have some dialogue with some of the vile creatures that inhabit these waters. So enough quite frankly is enough for me.
A case in point...our very own Trump narcissist, seanT, was bragging about having sex with a young girl a few weeks ago. The fact that he is a pathetic, middle aged man...you could only feel sorry for the girl having that sad piece of middle aged flab clambering on top of her. I hope he paid her enough.
But....my vote will be for you as PbComer of the year. You are the epitome of this site...really intelligent, and a great tipster. And you do not get involved in the petty discussions and point scoring that I just engaged in.....
So well done you...seriously....
What hope have the EU of surviving Brexit and Trump when their two principal military members walk away and Merkel lays down 'holier than thou' conditions on her dealings with Trump. Juncker's adds to the arrogance by saying he will 'tell' Trump how the EU works.
The EU have to realise they have few cards to play while the UK with it's military strength and close ties with the US will get a much better hearing
AfD has certainly outperformed in local elections in Germany.
On the other hand, UKIP did not last year (or perhaps that was Miliband specific). The truth is that with few datapoints, and many country specific factors (like the Democrats picking Clinton), one probably should be wary of too much extrapolation.
I've always said that - on my tombstone - I'd like "Beware of extrapolation from small datasets" written.
'unusually grown up of them'
'Germany and Juncker can get f*****.'
Marvellous stuff Sparky.
And if you tried to point that out prior to the election...
I think the best drama is mostly from the US now.
True Detective 1 - outstanding. 2? Nowhere near, sadly.
Bridge-building. He wants to get stuff through Congress, clearly.
True Detective going from having Matthew McConaughey and Woody Harrelson in the star roles kinda hard not to be going down hill after that!
What really surprises me is everyone I know who watches it has not seen the movie.
Is this good or bad; what form has this guy got?
Who'd a thunk it?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/11/13/british-airlines-band-together-to-fight-for-continued-access-to/
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/10/reince-priebus-gop-platform-111552
seems to indicate he's in the middle of the Republican party establishment.
So this might be Trump reaching out to the RNC.
The Expanse (on Netflix) is pretty awesome SciFi, by the way
My teenage niece had it right with her reaction to Trump : "Well at least now we are no longer the stupidest voters on the planet".
https://twitter.com/TheWorldImages/status/794011217639641088
Donald TrumpAdolf Hitler had won?Netflix tv series seem really good. Sadly my only experience of one of their movies was ARQ which was painful.
Remember the rule "Don't mud wrestle with a pig. You will get dirty and the pig will enjoy it"?
All it will achieve is virtue signalling....
Thanks, i do try.
What do you make of the remaining markets,
Clinton pop vote looks to me to be 1.00 probability, not even a 1.01. A very certain 1-x (X approaches inf)
Trump +/- 47% is interesting, -ve side I have my profit on.
Turnout +/- 58% looks to me to be close too. 134,302,841 voters I make to be the barrier for the band so to speak.
The Clinton/Trump turnout ECV bands are also I think 1.01 shots although not the 1.00 shot that Clinton popular vote is, my stake on these whilst still substantial is alot less than the 1-50 I took last night on the Clinton popular vote (An extra ballot box in Wayne county suddenly "found" could bust this whereas there is zero chance of enough skewed boxes being uncovered to flip the PV), and Hillary will add to the tally.
Glad that I didn't overdo the Spin Markets. I lost £33 there at 50p an EV.
http://www.thejc.com/comment-and-debate/comment/165869/ben-judah-i-was-new-york-when-goldene-medina-lost-its-shine
There's a reason why so many Jews voted against Trump.
https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/797924484753727489
But at 4/1 (and greater over the final days) he was clearly the value bet, yet I didn't back him seriously until ~2am on the 9th. I found reasons not to. That irks me.
I guess I'm trying to understand why I didn't make a shit ton of money on this election. I made a lot, but I missed some things that seem really silly in hindsight.
Congratuations on your winnings btw.
https://youtu.be/yKmnbejgXqQ
Remember WEST PHILADELPHIA VOTE FRAUD? Where Romney got zero votes in those precincts & HAD to be b/c fraud? Trump got 1,000 out of them.
When you're winning the tune changes.