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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s local by-election previewed by Harry Hayfield
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s local by-election previewed by Harry Hayfield
Banff and District (SNP defence) D and Inverurie and District (Lib Dem defence) R on Aberdeenshire Result of council at last election (2012): Scottish National Party 28, Conservatives 14, Liberal Democrats 12, Independents 11, Labour 2, Green 1 (No Overall Control, SNP short by 7) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 76,445 (55%) LEAVE 62,516 (45%) on a turnout of 71% Scottish Independence Referendum Result: YES 71,337 (40%) NO 108,606 (60%) on a turnout of 87%
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@campbellclaret
Alastair Campbell Retweeted BBC Politics
Hope so.
BBC Politics @BBCPolitics
Could the High Court ruling requiring Parliament to approve the triggering of Article 50 mean the UK stays in... http://bbc.in/2fywDpK
https://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/794271241284763648
Meanwhile the anger outside of the Metropolitan pro-remain heartlands will grow and we should all fear for the consequences whether we stay in or not. Those who cling to the idea that they can engineer Brexit not happening will ultimately undermine the prospect of a palatable brexit occurring.
I would certainly consider a one time vote.
Should the Liberal Elite be that stupid.
The establishment is playing a very dangerous game.
https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/most-labour-mps-represent-a-constituency-that-voted-leave-36f13210f5c6#.v5wy36y8i
Fascinating snippet in the Saints match picked up by BT - whilst the decision was being protested by Inter about Saints getting a late penalty, one of the Italian team was shown busily kicking and scuffing up the penalty spot whilst everyone else was in the 'melee'... that's proper 'gamesmanship'
Dangerous times for this country.
ARIZONA
Trump 45%
Clinton 40%
GEORGIA
Trump 45%
Clinton 44%
TEXAS
Trump 49%
Clinton 40%
https://t.co/y1VrWTITqY
As has been mentioned, the only person elected on a UKIP banner last year is a man the party wants rid of (Great White Hope having been humiliated), and they can't throw a cheese and wine party without some poor bugger being glassed.
.....What's more he's a dangerous fantasist.
That's all it will take for the cohesion of the country to shatter...
I don't believe UKIP can win big, but I believe a combination of Tory leavers and UKIP can.
England is Scotland with the added grievance that we won our referendum.
Previously sensible folk complaining about "unelected judges", "overturning" the referendum
Assuming they don't bother because they feel their vote makes no difference, are they likely to bother after they've been proved dead right after a referendum where supposedly every vote counted?
And that's without factoring in the reality that no matter how many people might like the theory of voting UKIP to send the message they want, the unfortunate truth is that they can only do so by electing 300+ actual UKIP MPs. Which would lead to seepage for obvious reasons.
140 Tory MPs voted leave. That's 'UKIP' in all but rosette.
REMAIN converted me into the Brexiteer through Cameron and Osborne's appalling referendum campaign.
Now the reaction to the LEAVE vote from Remainers is moving me towards UKIP - Although I do believe Theresa May is sincere and "gets it" I'm just not sure she will be allowed to implement the will of the people.
I imagine there are many people in my position and I fear for where this is going to end up ultimately.
The woman who brought the Article 50 challenge revealed her true colours. She originally claimed that she just wanted to ensure that the law was followed correctly. It has subsequently come out that she is a Eurofanatic who felt physically sick at the result.
If that is ultimately where you "fear" this ending up, don't vote UKIP...
The people voted and they expect their wishes to be implemented. If that is ignored or thwarted your effectively setting up a battle of wills between the government and the governed.
Then it become the "principle of thing" rather than being about the EU per se... It won't end well...
New Auto Alliance / ESA / Pulse polls have Clinton leading in all of:
NC
PA
OH
NH
CO
NV
Tie in Florida.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/updates/#plus
To go back to 2000 the table looks like The Republicans would need a 19 percentage point gap in Registered Voter to Vote gap to win the state i.e. if Dems were at 2000 level and Republicans at 2012 levels Republicans would only win by 27,000 votes.
That's why I'm saying Hilary by 4.
@paulwaugh: Court case causes real problem for many Tory Brexit MPs who have long said Parliamentary sovereignty is supreme.
No shit...
However that would result in an unstoppable demand for the abolition of the HOL and TM could appoint sufficient conservatives peers to see this happen.
When push comes to shove I do not think the HOL will obstruct the will of the people and the HOC and that A50 will be served though maybe somewhat delayed.
Brexiters hold your nerve and stop bleating like Corporal Jones.
We're still leaving just that Parliament will endorse the process. May should have done this ages ago which would have avoided the general PB Leaver self-wetting today.
A robust democracy respects the views of the minority as well as the majority. There is the opportunity for the minority to become the majority in regular elections. The EU referendum was the antithesis of democracy. It was a one-way ticket and the slim majority of leavers think they speak for everyone. I don't accept it and millions of other don't either and we will seek to overturn it however we can.