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    Scott_P said:

    Which Brexiteer said this?

    “Those who put politics ahead of prosperity might want to think twice.”

    "Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety." - Benjamin Franklin, 1755.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    National - PPP - Sample 990 - 20-21 Oct

    Clinton 46 .. Trump 40

    Note - Over sample of white voters by 3 points.

    http://www.socialsecurityworks.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/NationalResults.pdf
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    edited October 2016

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position

    It's a double bluff. He wants to lure them into a protracted negotiation - with any luck long enough that Serbia and Albania will get a veto too.
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    RobD said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    The article make no mention of any negotiating point, inly that he seeks a quick deal?

    How is we want a quick deal not a negotiating position?

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    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    chestnut said:

    The over-riding attitude amongst nearly all was - must speak English, must integrate, must be independent, should be skilled. And that was the view of white and brown respondents.

    Indeed, plus the critical requirement of being able to throw people out that are not citizens and refuse to play by the rules. We have to put up with our own malcontents, there is no reason we should feel obliged to put up with anyone elses.

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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990

    RobD said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    The article make no mention of any negotiating point, inly that he seeks a quick deal?

    How is we want a quick deal not a negotiating position?

    In fact, it doesn't even say that, it just says:

    "He said an agreement struck within two years only required the support of a qualified majority of EU leaders and it was in everyone’s interests to ensure that happened."

    Which is the timeframe set out by Article 50.
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    The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 2,979

    Mr. Taxman, come along, that's a silly target you're trying to set, and you presumably know it.

    Good evening, Miss Cyclefree.

    Why is it a silly target? Goldsmith has set himself up for this and limping home by say 1000 votes is going to make him look stupid. So if he gets a majority of less than 23,000 - assuming he wins will show what a stupid exercise he has embarked upon. I also think we have kept hearing about how voters in seats who voted for Brexit are not well represented by Labour MP's. Well here in Richmond Park we have the opposite problem. I hope all remainer's vote Lib Dem in this by- election which will be a real punch on the nose to the silver spoon brigade.
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    SeanT said:

    There is also the strong possibility (despite TMay's opposition) that some "migrants" will be reclassified e.g. agricultural workers, perhaps students.

    And rightly so. A seasonal sugar beet picker who goes home to Bulgaria in October should not be in the stats.

    Your beet picker is already not in the stats. The definition of a 'migrant' used by the UK (and by most other countries) is someone who intends to stay more than one year.
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    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    On the other hand, I wonder if we might see a sharp rise from the EU in particular, as those thinking of coming to Britain see that the drawbridge is about to be raised, and they make the leap.

    I'd expect a drop in non-EU European migration (i.e. Russian/Ukrainian/Belorussian). Anecdotally I know several people who've acquired UK passports and now feel cheated because their promised lifetime access to live anywhere in Europe is now at risk.
    There are also more than a few people who've always had UK passports who feel cheated because their right since birth to live anywhere in Europe is now at risk!
    How often does one need to say this? Their right to live anywhere in Europe on benefits is going to go, nothing else. If they have a job offer, a university place, or money for retirement, or they simply want to travel, they will, almost certainly, still be able to live anywhere in Europe.
    It may be sentimental nonsense, but having 'European Union' on your passport actually means something to some people.
    The Treaty of Rome is so 1957...
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990

    Mr. Taxman, come along, that's a silly target you're trying to set, and you presumably know it.

    Good evening, Miss Cyclefree.

    Why is it a silly target? Goldsmith has set himself up for this and limping home by say 1000 votes is going to make him look stupid. So if he gets a majority of less than 23,000 - assuming he wins will show what a stupid exercise he has embarked upon. I also think we have kept hearing about how voters in seats who voted for Brexit are not well represented by Labour MP's. Well here in Richmond Park we have the opposite problem. I hope all remainer's vote Lib Dem in this by- election which will be a real punch on the nose to the silver spoon brigade.
    Again, no mention of turnout. He could win the election by taking 80% of the vote, but still his majority could decrease.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. Taxman, because a candidate wins or loses. It's binary, there aren't scales of victory. You don't get more votes in the Commons if you have a five figure majority. You're setting a nigh on unachievable target just so that if Goldsmith wins by miles you can still claim it's a moral a defeat. It wouldn't be.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    The article make no mention of any negotiating point, inly that he seeks a quick deal?

    How is we want a quick deal not a negotiating position?

    In fact, it doesn't even say that, it just says:

    "He said an agreement struck within two years only required the support of a qualified majority of EU leaders and it was in everyone’s interests to ensure that happened."

    Which is the timeframe set out by Article 50.
    Yes but he's revealing that it is in our interests not to let the negotiations overrun. A clear signpost that if the rest of the EU drags it out to the 11th hour then we are likely to fold on any unresolved issues.
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    RobD said:

    MP_SE said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Paul Waugh
    Brexit cttee elected - Burt, Caulfield. Gove, Jenkyns, Lefroy, Lilley, McCartney, Mackinlay, Raab, Whittingdale 8 Leave 2 Remain.

    Interesting that an allegedly Remain Parliamentary party elects predominantly LEAVErs......
    Thankfully no Soubry.

    The comments below the line on Guido Fawkes are amusing.

    http://order-order.com/2016/10/26/soubry-kept-off-brexit-committee/
    Defaming a barrister? What a jolly good idea.
    I am not sure that it is a British site, edit: although perhaps that doesn't matter?
    Guido is on a USA server which is where they have free speech and can't be sued for their opinions.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,449
    edited October 2016


    Assuming no more EU expansion for a bit...

    Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey are "negotiating", Albania and Macedonia are "official candidates", and Bosnia and Kosovo are "potential candidates":

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enlargement_of_the_European_Union
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    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited October 2016
    SeanT said:

    There is also the strong possibility (despite TMay's opposition) that some "migrants" will be reclassified e.g. agricultural workers, perhaps students.

    And rightly so. A seasonal sugar beet picker who goes home to Bulgaria in October should not be in the stats.

    Are the migrant numbers from the EU more than a little suspect in anycase. For non-EU migrants we know by and large how many visas are issued, and how many people arrive and show their passports for visa free entry. For EU migrant numbers we have to put up with the rather less satisfactory International Passenger Survey, a voluntary survey of major ports and airports. If you were inclined towards taking the p*ss as an immigrant would you take that survey, or tell the truth if you did ? You might also prefer to enter through a minor port for less chance of being challenged.

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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    The article make no mention of any negotiating point, inly that he seeks a quick deal?

    How is we want a quick deal not a negotiating position?

    In fact, it doesn't even say that, it just says:

    "He said an agreement struck within two years only required the support of a qualified majority of EU leaders and it was in everyone’s interests to ensure that happened."

    Which is the timeframe set out by Article 50.
    Yes but he's revealing that it is in our interests not to let the negotiations overrun. A clear signpost that if the rest of the EU drags it out to the 11th hour then we are likely to fold on any unresolved issues.
    Come on. It's obvious anyone in any form of negotiations wants to have a them resolved quickly and amicably. I don't think it would be a red line, and find it highly unlikely that we would simply give up at the eleventh hour and concede on any point.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    New Hampshire - Monmouth - Sample 402 - 22-25 Oct

    Clinton 46 .. Trump 42

    https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NH_102616/
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    The Tory decision to stand aside is bizarre and stupid. It gives free rein to other MPs to do just as Goldsmith has. Labour just wants to avoid another hugely embarrassing wipeout.

    Which other MPs stood at the last two elections promising to force a by-election if a particular policy was implemented?
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,068
    RobD said:

    Scott_P said:

    The by-election will be a referendum on Heathrow, except both candidates oppose Heathrow...

    So the Lib Dems will make it a referendum on Brexit, although...

    twitter.com/laura_k_hughes/status/791318850134499328

    So it'll be a referendum about Goldsmith? Oh dear!
    Or a referendum on soft vs hard brexit?
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Bloody odd having parties not bothering.

    The last such by-election had two parties not bothering...
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    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    Pulpstar said:

    Pong said:

    Scott_P said:

    The by-election will be a referendum on Heathrow, except both candidates oppose Heathrow...

    So the Lib Dems will make it a referendum on Brexit, although...

    https://twitter.com/laura_k_hughes/status/791318850134499328

    Following the link to her blog via the telegraph gets;

    "Blog has been removed

    Sorry, the blog at sarahjolney.blogspot.com has been removed. This address is not available for new blogs."

    Thankfully Google Cache comes to the rescue;

    http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:AurPf63gGE4J:sarahjolney.blogspot.com/2016/10/is-it-ok-for-remainer-to-speak.html+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=uk
    In her blog she's stated that she accepts the result. Nowhere is the stronger "people must 'accept'" mentioned.

    This isn't selective quoting, it is misquoting.
    I think you are trying to read her as narrowly as possible

    Well, as a poor beaten-down, Remain ‘loser’, I want to put up a lonely hand and ask if I might be allowed to speak. Britain is leaving the EU – OK, I accept that. I don’t think we should re-run the referendum. I think we should stick to the course that has been decided.

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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    edited October 2016
    JackW said:

    National - PPP - Sample 990 - 20-21 Oct

    Clinton 46 .. Trump 40

    Note - Over sample of white voters by 3 points.

    http://www.socialsecurityworks.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/NationalResults.pdf

    Only 39% in that poll say they voted for Romney when he got his infamous 47%.
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642

    Mr. Taxman, come along, that's a silly target you're trying to set, and you presumably know it.

    Good evening, Miss Cyclefree.

    Why is it a silly target? Goldsmith has set himself up for this and limping home by say 1000 votes is going to make him look stupid. So if he gets a majority of less than 23,000 - assuming he wins will show what a stupid exercise he has embarked upon. I also think we have kept hearing about how voters in seats who voted for Brexit are not well represented by Labour MP's. Well here in Richmond Park we have the opposite problem. I hope all remainer's vote Lib Dem in this by- election which will be a real punch on the nose to the silver spoon brigade.
    Richmond is perhaps not the best constituency to run a campaign which focuses on bashing successful net contributors to the economy and opposes aspiration.
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    Sandpit said:

    What's all this standing aside crap about? There's a by-election, every party should be fielding a candidate. Especially so, given that the resigning MP is standing as an independent having quit his party.

    It would be like the Tories not contesting the Rochester & Strood by election when Mark Reckless defected.

    Shameful from Mrs May.
    Proof that May has done the right thing.
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    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited October 2016

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    The article make no mention of any negotiating point, inly that he seeks a quick deal?

    How is we want a quick deal not a negotiating position?

    In fact, it doesn't even say that, it just says:

    "He said an agreement struck within two years only required the support of a qualified majority of EU leaders and it was in everyone’s interests to ensure that happened."

    Which is the timeframe set out by Article 50.
    Yes but he's revealing that it is in our interests not to let the negotiations overrun. A clear signpost that if the rest of the EU drags it out to the 11th hour then we are likely to fold on any unresolved issues.
    What an odd thing to say. Negotiations can't overrun, after two years we are out, not withstanding a vote in favour of an extension by all 28 members. What you say might be the case irrespective of our desires, it was rather the point of Article 50, to make leave as bad a deal, and hence as unlikely as possible.
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    Scott_P said:

    Which Brexiteer said this?

    “Those who put politics ahead of prosperity might want to think twice.”

    Bob Dylan?
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,068
    Indigo said:

    SeanT said:

    There is also the strong possibility (despite TMay's opposition) that some "migrants" will be reclassified e.g. agricultural workers, perhaps students.

    And rightly so. A seasonal sugar beet picker who goes home to Bulgaria in October should not be in the stats.

    Are the migrant numbers from the EU more than a little suspect in anycase. For non-EU migrants we know by and large how many visas are issued, and how many people arrive and show their passports for visa free entry. For EU migrant numbers we have to put up with the rather less satisfactory International Passenger Survey, a voluntary survey of major ports and airports. If you were inclined towards taking the p*ss as an immigrant would you take that survey, or tell the truth if you did ? You might also prefer to enter through a minor port for less chance of being challenged.

    All migrant numbers are suspect. The Brazilians who worked at Byron claimed to be Italians, and used the simple expedience of not leaving at the end of their tourist visa, for example.

    We also do a very poor job of tracking exactly how many Brits leave each year, as there is no requirement to tell the government if you head off to Australia, Switzerland or wherever.
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    rcs1000 said:

    RobD said:

    Scott_P said:

    The by-election will be a referendum on Heathrow, except both candidates oppose Heathrow...

    So the Lib Dems will make it a referendum on Brexit, although...

    twitter.com/laura_k_hughes/status/791318850134499328

    So it'll be a referendum about Goldsmith? Oh dear!
    Or a referendum on soft vs hard brexit?
    A smart move would be for Goldsmith to say he backs a soft Brexit. Try to force the Lib Dem to flip flop on her previously declared position of respecting the result of the referendum.
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    edited October 2016
    DavidL said:

    Completely off topic but this is quite a funny piece: http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/10/nobel-prize-literature-long-last-awarded-complete-idiot/

    Even as a Bob Dylan fan I admired the invective.



    Idiot Wind

    by Bob Dylan

    Someone's got it in for me
    They're planting stories in the press
    Whoever it is I wish they'd cut it out quick
    But when they will I can only guess
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    I live in Richmond Park and I will vote Lib Dem in the by-election to defeat a silver spooned toff with scant regard for the cost to the taxpayer. It is all just a game to Goldsmith. What does he hope to achieve? Anything short than a bigger majority than in 2015 will be a repudiation. So Goldsmith has to get 23,000 plus to come out of this with his dignity in tact!

    Which candidate did you vote for last time?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:
    That is not far off the 3.9% Romney lost by and still almost a fortnight to go
    There seems to be a mismatch between the national and state polls. Looking at the latter you wouldn't estimate that the national gap was only 4.4%.
    In the last two days we have had at least one poll showing Trump ahead in Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada and North Carolina so am not so sure about that
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Indigo said:

    chestnut said:

    The over-riding attitude amongst nearly all was - must speak English, must integrate, must be independent, should be skilled. And that was the view of white and brown respondents.

    Indeed, plus the critical requirement of being able to throw people out that are not citizens and refuse to play by the rules. We have to put up with our own malcontents, there is no reason we should feel obliged to put up with anyone elses.

    Even if there were not the legal obstacles that sometimes prevent deportations of undesirables, the utter uselessness of our border force is a far greater problem.

    There is currently a well known fraudster, released after having served his sentence, who has lost his appeal against deportation and who is highly visible and yet, despite all this, the square root of diddly squat is being done to put him on a plane and return him to his own country.

    Why?

    If we can't get this right what on earth is the point of promising the moon on a stick in respect of immigration (or anything else, come to that).

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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    Nigelb said:

    "Shameful from Mrs May."

    I would far rather an unprincipled pragmatist conduct the Brexit negotiations on our behalf, than a deeply principled naif.

    May has spent her political career focusing on herself, as most politicians do. Having reached the top of the greasy poll, though, she now needs to focus on the country. It's understandable that she's currently dazzled in the headlights as she seeks to work out the seemingly unsolvable immigration/prosperity equation, but at some stage she does need to make call. Sustained uncertainty is not pragmatic, it is hugely damaging.

    This demand is ridiculous. The British government cannot give away its negotiation strategy six months before the negotiations even begin. Quit your bitchin'
    It's funny.

    Those who demanded Cameron disclose what he would demand from the EU, now say Mrs May should not show her hand.

    And vice versa.

    *ahem* I was fine with non disclosure on both occasion.

    The business of government is like gralloching: messy and unpleasant but important - and something is rather that the hired help does for me
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    nunu said:

    JackW said:

    National - PPP - Sample 990 - 20-21 Oct

    Clinton 46 .. Trump 40

    Note - Over sample of white voters by 3 points.

    http://www.socialsecurityworks.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/NationalResults.pdf

    Only 39% in that poll say they voted for Romney when he got his infamous 47%.
    No one likes remembering they voted for a loser.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited October 2016
    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:
    That is not far off the 3.9% Romney lost by and still almost a fortnight to go
    There seems to be a mismatch between the national and state polls. Looking at the latter you wouldn't estimate that the national gap was only 4.4%.
    In the last two days we have had at least one poll showing Trump ahead in Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada and North Carolina so am not so sure about that
    What it must mean is that Trump's numbers aren't too bad in the most populous states like New York, California, Illinois. Obviously he won't get anywhere near winning any of those states but the Republican vote that does exist there must be holding up relatively well. Otherwise he'd be a lot more than 4% behind nationally.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    edited October 2016
    JackW said:
    A few polls from way back in July in that last link, from August in the first and second, ie close to the Democratoc Convention, we are now in late October and several recent polls have had Trump over 10% with African Americans
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Cyclefree said:

    Afternoon all.

    A little quiz for you.

    Which prominent Remainer politician do you think said this in the last few weeks.

    "Unhelpful belligerency" in Brussels about the Brexit vote and "obduracy" on the subject of FOM "could bring the EU down".

    Also if the EU Commission did not re-examine itself "the sick man of Europe would end up being Europe itself".

    Particular criticism was directed at Mr Juncker for lacking "the capacity" to understand the effects of his words on British public opinion.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons this politician says Britain never became attached to the European ideal is because "the legal system and constitutional culture is so different" and went on to attack the "huge transfers of power to the centre without popular consent".

    Yes, I did say this was a prominent Remainer politician.

    Mandelson?
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    Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    Sorry to miss the NHS thread in the previous article. Everything Alistair says is true and it's no good the usual suspects on here saying all that the NHS needs is a dose of private sector efficiency. It perhaps needs more efficiency - but the private sector only adds inefficiencies - but it certainly needs more money.

    My Trust's drugs bill has risen from £3.5m per year 20 years ago to £39m last year. That's a compound annual increase of 13% and it's only going to get worse with increasingly personalised and biological treatments.
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    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    rcs1000 said:

    We also do a very poor job of tracking exactly how many Brits leave each year, as there is no requirement to tell the government if you head off to Australia, Switzerland or wherever.

    You are actually required to inform HRMC if you are going abroad permanently, or for more than one tax year, and to complete a P85.

  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    AP
    Official: Family of Maryland boy suspended from school for shaping pastry into a gun reaches monetary settlement. https://t.co/KgKgg1i8F1

    He's 7.
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    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited October 2016
    Cyclefree said:

    Indigo said:

    chestnut said:

    The over-riding attitude amongst nearly all was - must speak English, must integrate, must be independent, should be skilled. And that was the view of white and brown respondents.

    Indeed, plus the critical requirement of being able to throw people out that are not citizens and refuse to play by the rules. We have to put up with our own malcontents, there is no reason we should feel obliged to put up with anyone elses.

    Even if there were not the legal obstacles that sometimes prevent deportations of undesirables, the utter uselessness of our border force is a far greater problem.

    There is currently a well known fraudster, released after having served his sentence, who has lost his appeal against deportation and who is highly visible and yet, despite all this, the square root of diddly squat is being done to put him on a plane and return him to his own country.

    Why?

    If we can't get this right what on earth is the point of promising the moon on a stick in respect of immigration (or anything else, come to that).

    Not to mention that somewhere less than 10% of unlawful asylum seekers that fail their final appeal are ever removed from country.

    Is the fraudster an EU national ?
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Mr. Taxman, come along, that's a silly target you're trying to set, and you presumably know it.

    Good evening, Miss Cyclefree.

    Why is it a silly target? Goldsmith has set himself up for this and limping home by say 1000 votes is going to make him look stupid. So if he gets a majority of less than 23,000 - assuming he wins will show what a stupid exercise he has embarked upon. I also think we have kept hearing about how voters in seats who voted for Brexit are not well represented by Labour MP's. Well here in Richmond Park we have the opposite problem. I hope all remainer's vote Lib Dem in this by- election which will be a real punch on the nose to the silver spoon brigade.
    What did you vote at the GE?
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:

    Indigo said:

    SeanT said:

    There is also the strong possibility (despite TMay's opposition) that some "migrants" will be reclassified e.g. agricultural workers, perhaps students.

    And rightly so. A seasonal sugar beet picker who goes home to Bulgaria in October should not be in the stats.

    Are the migrant numbers from the EU more than a little suspect in anycase. For non-EU migrants we know by and large how many visas are issued, and how many people arrive and show their passports for visa free entry. For EU migrant numbers we have to put up with the rather less satisfactory International Passenger Survey, a voluntary survey of major ports and airports. If you were inclined towards taking the p*ss as an immigrant would you take that survey, or tell the truth if you did ? You might also prefer to enter through a minor port for less chance of being challenged.

    All migrant numbers are suspect. The Brazilians who worked at Byron claimed to be Italians, and used the simple expedience of not leaving at the end of their tourist visa, for example.
    We also do a very poor job of tracking exactly how many Brits leave each year, as there is no requirement to tell the government if you head off to Australia, Switzerland or wherever.
    For a 15 year period I went through a UK airport's "controls" more than 200 times and never had a survey nor saw anyone doing a survey. For 10 of those years I was an expat.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    Indigo said:

    rcs1000 said:

    We also do a very poor job of tracking exactly how many Brits leave each year, as there is no requirement to tell the government if you head off to Australia, Switzerland or wherever.

    You are actually required to inform HRMC if you are going abroad permanently, or for more than one tax year, and to complete a P85.

    Oops. I do complete my self-assessment returns, so I guess they already know.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:
    That is not far off the 3.9% Romney lost by and still almost a fortnight to go
    There seems to be a mismatch between the national and state polls. Looking at the latter you wouldn't estimate that the national gap was only 4.4%.
    In the last two days we have had at least one poll showing Trump ahead in Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada and North Carolina so am not so sure about that
    What it must mean is that Trump's numbers aren't too bad in the most populous states like New York, California, Illinois. Obviously he won't get anywhere near winning any of those states but the Republican vote that does exist there must be holding up relatively well. Otherwise he'd be a lot more than 4% behind nationally.
    Certainly I expect Trump to do better than Romney in New York
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Chris_A said:

    Sorry to miss the NHS thread in the previous article. Everything Alistair says is true and it's no good the usual suspects on here saying all that the NHS needs is a dose of private sector efficiency. It perhaps needs more efficiency - but the private sector only adds inefficiencies - but it certainly needs more money.

    My Trust's drugs bill has risen from £3.5m per year 20 years ago to £39m last year. That's a compound annual increase of 13% and it's only going to get worse with increasingly personalised and biological treatments.

    What percentage of Trust spending is it?
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    619 said:

    Death threats from Trump campaign aide to Megan Kely

    https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/791095922709200897

    Where is the death threat?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990

    619 said:

    Death threats from Trump campaign aide to Megan Kely

    https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/791095922709200897

    Where is the death threat?
    In 619's fevered imagination?
  • Options
    SeanT said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    If you read what he says underneath that, it's not the total bollocks that you might expect from Fox.

    As with Davis, it sounds like the difficult reality of Brexit is dawning on him. Inevitably.
    This is a good thing.
    It's an interesting piece. Though while the European Council votes on a QMV basis on the A50 deal the European Parliament needs to " Consent " giving it a straight veto.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    619 said:

    Death threats from Trump campaign aide to Megan Kely

    https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/791095922709200897

    Where is the death threat?
    Its about her losing her Fox show FSS, there's a petition - that's all
  • Options
    Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    Charles said:

    Chris_A said:

    Sorry to miss the NHS thread in the previous article. Everything Alistair says is true and it's no good the usual suspects on here saying all that the NHS needs is a dose of private sector efficiency. It perhaps needs more efficiency - but the private sector only adds inefficiencies - but it certainly needs more money.

    My Trust's drugs bill has risen from £3.5m per year 20 years ago to £39m last year. That's a compound annual increase of 13% and it's only going to get worse with increasingly personalised and biological treatments.

    What percentage of Trust spending is it?
    8.7%. And we're one of the few Trusts in the black.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    edited October 2016

    SeanT said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    If you read what he says underneath that, it's not the total bollocks that you might expect from Fox.

    As with Davis, it sounds like the difficult reality of Brexit is dawning on him. Inevitably.
    This is a good thing.
    It's an interesting piece. Though while the European Council votes on a QMV basis on the A50 deal the European Parliament needs to " Consent " giving it a straight veto.
    We could have the sight of Farage et al attempting to veto a soft Brexit deal in the European Parliament? Perhaps on the same side as the Martin Schultz 'punishment gang'.
  • Options

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    Sadly that's my reading of it too. He's implicitly almost explicitly concerning the dangers of the ' Cliff Edge ' at the end of the two year A50 period. His tone is " so let's be reasonable " but it's precisely the that puts us in a relatively weak negotiating position. If we go for Methadone Brexit we will largely be supplicants to our prescribers.
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,140
    PlatoSaid said:

    619 said:

    Death threats from Trump campaign aide to Megan Kely

    https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/791095922709200897

    Where is the death threat?
    Its about her losing her Fox show FSS, there's a petition - that's all
    Oh, so not a threat to imprison a political opponent, or anything like that?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    edited October 2016
    Cameron gets just £800,000 for his memoirs, well below his £4 million target and a long way short of the £4.6 million Blair got for 'A Journey' and the £3.5 million Thatcher got for 'The Downing Street Years'
    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/londoners-diary/londoners-diary-millions-missing-from-cameron-s-memoirs-deal-a3379181.html
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3873038/David-Cameron-cashes-800-000-deal-memoirs-Former-PM-pledges-frank-account-successes-failures.html
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Afternoon all.

    A little quiz for you.

    Which prominent Remainer politician do you think said this in the last few weeks.

    "Unhelpful belligerency" in Brussels about the Brexit vote and "obduracy" on the subject of FOM "could bring the EU down".

    Also if the EU Commission did not re-examine itself "the sick man of Europe would end up being Europe itself".

    Particular criticism was directed at Mr Juncker for lacking "the capacity" to understand the effects of his words on British public opinion.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons this politician says Britain never became attached to the European ideal is because "the legal system and constitutional culture is so different" and went on to attack the "huge transfers of power to the centre without popular consent".

    Yes, I did say this was a prominent Remainer politician.

    Mandelson?
    No - but reasonably close. :)

  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    HYUFD said:

    Cameron gets just £800,000 for his memoirs, well below his £4 million target and a long way short of the £4.6 million Blair got for 'A Journey'
    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/londoners-diary/londoners-diary-millions-missing-from-cameron-s-memoirs-deal-a3379181.html

    One of the hazards of having a government made out of your chums, the so called Chumocracy, is you cant be rude about them in your memoir, at least not if you want to get invited to the right sort of dinner parties afterwards. Publishers are only going to have a modest level of interest in "pleasant" memoirs.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. HYUFD, I'm a bit surprised by that, to be honest.

    On the other hand, it's £800,000 for someone who's already a multi-millionaire, so I daresay he'll survive.
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    RobD said:

    619 said:

    Death threats from Trump campaign aide to Megan Kely

    https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/791095922709200897

    Where is the death threat?
    In 619's fevered imagination?
    You'll see Rob.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    Cyclefree said:

    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Afternoon all.

    A little quiz for you.

    Which prominent Remainer politician do you think said this in the last few weeks.

    "Unhelpful belligerency" in Brussels about the Brexit vote and "obduracy" on the subject of FOM "could bring the EU down".

    Also if the EU Commission did not re-examine itself "the sick man of Europe would end up being Europe itself".

    Particular criticism was directed at Mr Juncker for lacking "the capacity" to understand the effects of his words on British public opinion.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons this politician says Britain never became attached to the European ideal is because "the legal system and constitutional culture is so different" and went on to attack the "huge transfers of power to the centre without popular consent".

    Yes, I did say this was a prominent Remainer politician.

    Mandelson?
    No - but reasonably close. :)

    Not Blair surely ?
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
  • Options

    SeanT said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    If you read what he says underneath that, it's not the total bollocks that you might expect from Fox.

    As with Davis, it sounds like the difficult reality of Brexit is dawning on him. Inevitably.
    This is a good thing.
    It's an interesting piece. Though while the European Council votes on a QMV basis on the A50 deal the European Parliament needs to " Consent " giving it a straight veto.
    Well, since we will probably end up with a phasing down of the billions of support over 5 - 10 years and hold over the threat of cutting corporation tax and have a right to liquidating our share of EU assets etc etc on top of the £80 bn trade surplus the EU has.... It will be a lot for the EU to throw away. There is also the risk of a Euro crisis if break up is less than smooth.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Indigo said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Indigo said:

    chestnut said:

    The over-riding attitude amongst nearly all was - must speak English, must integrate, must be independent, should be skilled. And that was the view of white and brown respondents.

    Indeed, plus the critical requirement of being able to throw people out that are not citizens and refuse to play by the rules. We have to put up with our own malcontents, there is no reason we should feel obliged to put up with anyone elses.

    Even if there were not the legal obstacles that sometimes prevent deportations of undesirables, the utter uselessness of our border force is a far greater problem.

    There is currently a well known fraudster, released after having served his sentence, who has lost his appeal against deportation and who is highly visible and yet, despite all this, the square root of diddly squat is being done to put him on a plane and return him to his own country.

    Why?

    If we can't get this right what on earth is the point of promising the moon on a stick in respect of immigration (or anything else, come to that).

    Not to mention that somewhere less than 10% of unlawful asylum seekers that fail their final appeal are ever removed from country.

    Is the fraudster an EU national ?
    No. So absolutely no reason why he should not be on the first plane home to his home country.

    If we can't enforce the laws we already have, there is zero point agitating for more laws restricting this, that and the other. Words on paper mean nothing unless you actually enforce them.

  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,002
    rcs1000 said:


    We also do a very poor job of tracking exactly how many Brits leave each year, as there is no requirement to tell the government if you head off to Australia, Switzerland or wherever.

    It is a simple addition/subtraction problem for air/seaports I'd have thought ?
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Indigo said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Afternoon all.

    A little quiz for you.

    Which prominent Remainer politician do you think said this in the last few weeks.

    "Unhelpful belligerency" in Brussels about the Brexit vote and "obduracy" on the subject of FOM "could bring the EU down".

    Also if the EU Commission did not re-examine itself "the sick man of Europe would end up being Europe itself".

    Particular criticism was directed at Mr Juncker for lacking "the capacity" to understand the effects of his words on British public opinion.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons this politician says Britain never became attached to the European ideal is because "the legal system and constitutional culture is so different" and went on to attack the "huge transfers of power to the centre without popular consent".

    Yes, I did say this was a prominent Remainer politician.

    Mandelson?
    No - but reasonably close. :)

    Not Blair surely ?
    No - but you are getting closer........

  • Options

    SeanT said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    If you read what he says underneath that, it's not the total bollocks that you might expect from Fox.

    As with Davis, it sounds like the difficult reality of Brexit is dawning on him. Inevitably.
    This is a good thing.
    It's an interesting piece. Though while the European Council votes on a QMV basis on the A50 deal the European Parliament needs to " Consent " giving it a straight veto.
    We could have the sight of Farage et al attempting to veto a soft Brexit deal in the European Parliament? Perhaps on the same side as the Martin Schultz 'punishment gang'.
    I'd not thought of that. May's end of March A50 deadline means it will be the current parliament that votes on it. So the UKIP group will still be there.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:


    We also do a very poor job of tracking exactly how many Brits leave each year, as there is no requirement to tell the government if you head off to Australia, Switzerland or wherever.

    It is a simple addition/subtraction problem for air/seaports I'd have thought ?
    It would be if we checked who left. We mostly dont even check who enters, especially at places like cross channel ferry ports, and certainly not on what basis, just a quick flash of the EU passport and you are in.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited October 2016
    O/T

    Channel 4 News headlining today on the fact that 17 women have died in British prisons so far this year. That's quite a shocking number.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,427
    National: Public Policy Polling : Clinton +6
  • Options
    Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    And with regards to NHS inefficiencies it would have been nice to get on with my job today rather than act as unpaid intern for the Daily Mail. I'm a great supporter of the FOIA but it was never supposed to be a cheap way for journalists to do their job.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    Indigo said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cameron gets just £800,000 for his memoirs, well below his £4 million target and a long way short of the £4.6 million Blair got for 'A Journey'
    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/londoners-diary/londoners-diary-millions-missing-from-cameron-s-memoirs-deal-a3379181.html

    One of the hazards of having a government made out of your chums, the so called Chumocracy, is you cant be rude about them in your memoir, at least not if you want to get invited to the right sort of dinner parties afterwards. Publishers are only going to have a modest level of interest in "pleasant" memoirs.
    Perhaps but Blair and Thatcher's memoirs were not that rude and they got paid millions for theirs, Major also sold 200,000 copies of 'John Major The Autobiography' and Cameron would be doing well to match that
  • Options
    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    This is circulating on twitter (via Mike);

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cvtd4vYXgAApj3g.jpg

    Lol

    "Richmond and Kingston Gazette"
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    edited October 2016

    Mr. HYUFD, I'm a bit surprised by that, to be honest.

    On the other hand, it's £800,000 for someone who's already a multi-millionaire, so I daresay he'll survive.

    He certainly will not be going down to the food bank but he was hoping for more to help him get the Manhattan penthouse SamCam is said to aspire for
  • Options
    Pong said:

    This is circulating on twitter (via Mike);

    Lol

    "Richmond and Kingston Gazette"

    Not exactly following the advice of some on here to make it about something other than Heathrow, are they?
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Cyclefree said:

    Indigo said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Afternoon all.

    A little quiz for you.

    Which prominent Remainer politician do you think said this in the last few weeks.

    "Unhelpful belligerency" in Brussels about the Brexit vote and "obduracy" on the subject of FOM "could bring the EU down".

    Also if the EU Commission did not re-examine itself "the sick man of Europe would end up being Europe itself".

    Particular criticism was directed at Mr Juncker for lacking "the capacity" to understand the effects of his words on British public opinion.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons this politician says Britain never became attached to the European ideal is because "the legal system and constitutional culture is so different" and went on to attack the "huge transfers of power to the centre without popular consent".

    Yes, I did say this was a prominent Remainer politician.

    Mandelson?
    No - but reasonably close. :)

    Not Blair surely ?
    No - but you are getting closer........

    Cameron
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,990
    edited October 2016
    nunu said:

    RobD said:

    619 said:

    Death threats from Trump campaign aide to Megan Kely

    https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/791095922709200897

    Where is the death threat?
    In 619's fevered imagination?
    You'll see Rob.
    Is that a death threat? :D
  • Options
    Cyclefree said:

    Indigo said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Afternoon all.

    A little quiz for you.

    Which prominent Remainer politician do you think said this in the last few weeks.

    "Unhelpful belligerency" in Brussels about the Brexit vote and "obduracy" on the subject of FOM "could bring the EU down".

    Also if the EU Commission did not re-examine itself "the sick man of Europe would end up being Europe itself".

    Particular criticism was directed at Mr Juncker for lacking "the capacity" to understand the effects of his words on British public opinion.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons this politician says Britain never became attached to the European ideal is because "the legal system and constitutional culture is so different" and went on to attack the "huge transfers of power to the centre without popular consent".

    Yes, I did say this was a prominent Remainer politician.

    Mandelson?
    No - but reasonably close. :)

    Not Blair surely ?
    No - but you are getting closer........

    Major?
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    If you read what he says underneath that, it's not the total bollocks that you might expect from Fox.

    As with Davis, it sounds like the difficult reality of Brexit is dawning on him. Inevitably.
    This is a good thing.
    It's an interesting piece. Though while the European Council votes on a QMV basis on the A50 deal the European Parliament needs to " Consent " giving it a straight veto.
    We could have the sight of Farage et al attempting to veto a soft Brexit deal in the European Parliament? Perhaps on the same side as the Martin Schultz 'punishment gang'.
    I'd not thought of that. May's end of March A50 deadline means it will be the current parliament that votes on it. So the UKIP group will still be there.
    Almost inconceivable that the European Parliament would vote down a UK/EU deal, agreed by the European nation states. They'd be voting for enormous turbulence, damage to both the EU and UK economies, all kinds of doom and disaster. They'd be held up as the culprits for the fall-out.

    If a deal is thrashed out between the capitals, Strasbourg will have its say, but it will agree.
    Maybe, but Farage will use every opportunity to grandstand if the deal includes a heavy dose of the four freedoms.
  • Options
    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,006
    Pong said:

    This is circulating on twitter (via Mike);

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cvtd4vYXgAApj3g.jpg

    Lol

    "Richmond and Kingston Gazette"

    I've just delivered 180 copies of the Gazette.

    It says in the editorial:

    FAIR PLAY ZAC

    "We want to congratulate MP Zac Goldsmith on his decision to resign his seat in protest at the Heathrow decision.

    Unlike many Conservatives he has kept his promise on Heathrow.

    We agree with Zac on Heathrow.

    But on Brexit and the future of the NHS, Conservatives like Zac are on the wrong side of the argument".

  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,403
    edited October 2016
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    If you read what he says underneath that, it's not the total bollocks that you might expect from Fox.

    As with Davis, it sounds like the difficult reality of Brexit is dawning on him. Inevitably.
    This is a good thing.
    It's an interesting piece. Though while the European Council votes on a QMV basis on the A50 deal the European Parliament needs to " Consent " giving it a straight veto.
    We could have the sight of Farage et al attempting to veto a soft Brexit deal in the European Parliament? Perhaps on the same side as the Martin Schultz 'punishment gang'.
    I'd not thought of that. May's end of March A50 deadline means it will be the current parliament that votes on it. So the UKIP group will still be there.
    Almost inconceivable that the European Parliament would vote down a UK/EU deal, agreed by the European nation states. They'd be voting for enormous turbulence, damage to both the EU and UK economies, all kinds of doom and disaster. They'd be held up as the culprits for the fall-out.

    If a deal is thrashed out between the capitals, Strasbourg will have its say, but it will agree.
    And you were the guy who was 100% sure that Strasbourg would have struck down Dave's deal, which had just been agreed by the EU28 heads of state...
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. HYUFD, I'll be sure to sacrifice a goat to Apollo on Cameron's behalf.

    Ahem.
  • Options

    SeanT said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    If you read what he says underneath that, it's not the total bollocks that you might expect from Fox.

    As with Davis, it sounds like the difficult reality of Brexit is dawning on him. Inevitably.
    This is a good thing.
    It's an interesting piece. Though while the European Council votes on a QMV basis on the A50 deal the European Parliament needs to " Consent " giving it a straight veto.
    Well, since we will probably end up with a phasing down of the billions of support over 5 - 10 years and hold over the threat of cutting corporation tax and have a right to liquidating our share of EU assets etc etc on top of the £80 bn trade surplus the EU has.... It will be a lot for the EU to throw away. There is also the risk of a Euro crisis if break up is less than smooth.
    What " threat " of cutting Corporation Tax. We could do that now or at any time in the future. Are we going to sign an international treaty putting a floor on our Corporation Tax ? If not then how is it a bargaining tool ? It's meaningless as it can't be enforced.

    Liquidating our share of the EU assets ? The whole point of the Fox comments is he wants a quick and comprehensive deal. So by definition we can't ask for complex stuff. Threats have to be credible.

    A euro crisis ? What exactly has happen to the £ and the € respectively since the Leave victory ?

    " Phasing Down " is that the spin on the fact we'll still be paying billions pa into the EU budget even after we've left. Making the £350m pw figure even more of a lie than it already was.

    " £80bn trade surplus " *sighs* Exports as a % of ours and theirs are....

    I appreciate and respect we just don't agree on Brexit. However if we're still in " they need to sell us BMW's " mode after the last 4 months I give up !
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    Barnesian said:

    Pong said:

    This is circulating on twitter (via Mike);

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cvtd4vYXgAApj3g.jpg

    Lol

    "Richmond and Kingston Gazette"

    I've just delivered 180 copies of the Gazette.

    It says in the editorial:

    FAIR PLAY ZAC

    "We want to congratulate MP Zac Goldsmith on his decision to resign his seat in protest at the Heathrow decision.

    Unlike many Conservatives he has kept his promise on Heathrow.

    We agree with Zac on Heathrow.

    But on Brexit and the future of the NHS, Conservatives like Zac are on the wrong side of the argument".
    Is this an 'Independent' Gazette? :)
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    edited October 2016

    Mr. HYUFD, I'll be sure to sacrifice a goat to Apollo on Cameron's behalf.

    Ahem.

    Yes, it looks like they may have to settle for Brooklyn, the heart bleeds!
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763

    SeanT said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    If you read what he says underneath that, it's not the total bollocks that you might expect from Fox.

    As with Davis, it sounds like the difficult reality of Brexit is dawning on him. Inevitably.
    This is a good thing.
    It's an interesting piece. Though while the European Council votes on a QMV basis on the A50 deal the European Parliament needs to " Consent " giving it a straight veto.
    Well, since we will probably end up with a phasing down of the billions of support over 5 - 10 years and hold over the threat of cutting corporation tax and have a right to liquidating our share of EU assets etc etc on top of the £80 bn trade surplus the EU has.... It will be a lot for the EU to throw away. There is also the risk of a Euro crisis if break up is less than smooth.
    What " threat " of cutting Corporation Tax. We could do that now or at any time in the future. Are we going to sign an international treaty putting a floor on our Corporation Tax ? If not then how is it a bargaining tool ? It's meaningless as it can't be enforced.

    Liquidating our share of the EU assets ? The whole point of the Fox comments is he wants a quick and comprehensive deal. So by definition we can't ask for complex stuff. Threats have to be credible.

    A euro crisis ? What exactly has happen to the £ and the € respectively since the Leave victory ?

    " Phasing Down " is that the spin on the fact we'll still be paying billions pa into the EU budget even after we've left. Making the £350m pw figure even more of a lie than it already was.

    " £80bn trade surplus " *sighs* Exports as a % of ours and theirs are....

    I appreciate and respect we just don't agree on Brexit. However if we're still in " they need to sell us BMW's " mode after the last 4 months I give up !
    I give up !

    does that mean youre going to stop posting whiney bollocks every day and wait until there is actually something to comment on ?
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    National - Suffolk - Sample 1,000 - 20-24 Oct

    Clinton 47 .. Trump 38

    https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NH_102616/
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Here's Brain of Britain Dr Liam Fox not giving away the government's negotiating position:
    https://twitter.com/politicoeurope/status/791307253613793280

    If you read what he says underneath that, it's not the total bollocks that you might expect from Fox.

    As with Davis, it sounds like the difficult reality of Brexit is dawning on him. Inevitably.
    This is a good thing.
    It's an interesting piece. Though while the European Council votes on a QMV basis on the A50 deal the European Parliament needs to " Consent " giving it a straight veto.
    We could have the sight of Farage et al attempting to veto a soft Brexit deal in the European Parliament? Perhaps on the same side as the Martin Schultz 'punishment gang'.
    I'd not thought of that. May's end of March A50 deadline means it will be the current parliament that votes on it. So the UKIP group will still be there.
    Almost inconceivable that the European Parliament would vote down a UK/EU deal, agreed by the European nation states. They'd be voting for enormous turbulence, damage to both the EU and UK economies, all kinds of doom and disaster. They'd be held up as the culprits for the fall-out.

    If a deal is thrashed out between the capitals, Strasbourg will have its say, but it will agree.
    If they do after the collapse of the EU-Canada deal I suggest the first trip May makes after Brexit is to Ottowa!
  • Options
    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,006

    Barnesian said:

    Pong said:

    This is circulating on twitter (via Mike);

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cvtd4vYXgAApj3g.jpg

    Lol

    "Richmond and Kingston Gazette"

    I've just delivered 180 copies of the Gazette.

    It says in the editorial:

    FAIR PLAY ZAC

    "We want to congratulate MP Zac Goldsmith on his decision to resign his seat in protest at the Heathrow decision.

    Unlike many Conservatives he has kept his promise on Heathrow.

    We agree with Zac on Heathrow.

    But on Brexit and the future of the NHS, Conservatives like Zac are on the wrong side of the argument".
    Is this an 'Independent' Gazette? :)
    Some very small print makes it clear it is published by the LibDems. But you can tell anyway!
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    RobD said:

    nunu said:

    RobD said:

    619 said:

    Death threats from Trump campaign aide to Megan Kely

    https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/791095922709200897

    Where is the death threat?
    In 619's fevered imagination?
    You'll see Rob.
    Is that a death threat? :D
    I don't know, is it?
  • Options
    Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664
    edited October 2016

    Cyclefree said:

    Indigo said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Afternoon all.

    A little quiz for you.

    Which prominent Remainer politician do you think said this in the last few weeks.

    "Unhelpful belligerency" in Brussels about the Brexit vote and "obduracy" on the subject of FOM "could bring the EU down".

    Also if the EU Commission did not re-examine itself "the sick man of Europe would end up being Europe itself".

    Particular criticism was directed at Mr Juncker for lacking "the capacity" to understand the effects of his words on British public opinion.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons this politician says Britain never became attached to the European ideal is because "the legal system and constitutional culture is so different" and went on to attack the "huge transfers of power to the centre without popular consent".

    Yes, I did say this was a prominent Remainer politician.

    Mandelson?
    No - but reasonably close. :)

    Not Blair surely ?
    No - but you are getting closer........

    Cameron
    I seem to be in an alternative timestream where they do not have google.

    DELETED
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,010
    Mr. T, tribunes didn't always survive exercising troublesome vetoes in Rome. They still exercised them, though.

    Mind you, Rome's constitution, before the dicking about and slide into imperialism, was nicely balanced.
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227

    Cyclefree said:

    Indigo said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Afternoon all.

    A little quiz for you.

    Which prominent Remainer politician do you think said this in the last few weeks.

    "Unhelpful belligerency" in Brussels about the Brexit vote and "obduracy" on the subject of FOM "could bring the EU down".

    Also if the EU Commission did not re-examine itself "the sick man of Europe would end up being Europe itself".

    Particular criticism was directed at Mr Juncker for lacking "the capacity" to understand the effects of his words on British public opinion.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons this politician says Britain never became attached to the European ideal is because "the legal system and constitutional culture is so different" and went on to attack the "huge transfers of power to the centre without popular consent".

    Yes, I did say this was a prominent Remainer politician.

    Mandelson?
    No - but reasonably close. :)

    Not Blair surely ?
    No - but you are getting closer........

    Major?
    Nope. Wrong party.

    Am off home now. So will check in later and give you the answer and when said politician made these remarks, unless anyone guesses before then.

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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227

    Cyclefree said:

    Indigo said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Charles said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Afternoon all.

    A little quiz for you.

    Which prominent Remainer politician do you think said this in the last few weeks.

    "Unhelpful belligerency" in Brussels about the Brexit vote and "obduracy" on the subject of FOM "could bring the EU down".

    Also if the EU Commission did not re-examine itself "the sick man of Europe would end up being Europe itself".

    Particular criticism was directed at Mr Juncker for lacking "the capacity" to understand the effects of his words on British public opinion.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons this politician says Britain never became attached to the European ideal is because "the legal system and constitutional culture is so different" and went on to attack the "huge transfers of power to the centre without popular consent".

    Yes, I did say this was a prominent Remainer politician.

    Mandelson?
    No - but reasonably close. :)

    Not Blair surely ?
    No - but you are getting closer........

    Cameron
    Very funny. But no.

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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Best News Ever.

    "Abba reunion on the cards thanks to Simon Fuller project"

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/music/artists/abba-reunion-on-the-cards-thanks-to-simon-fuller-project/
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    mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    I live in Richmond Park and I will vote Lib Dem in the by-election to defeat a silver spooned toff with scant regard for the cost to the taxpayer. It is all just a game to Goldsmith. What does he hope to achieve? Anything short than a bigger majority than in 2015 will be a repudiation. So Goldsmith has to get 23,000 plus to come out of this with his dignity in tact!

    The relevant question is whether this is a change from last time (given the bile in the first sentence, I assume not conservative in any event).
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    On topic, The Labour NEC will be standing a Candidate in RP whether the local CLP wants to or not, according to Labour List.
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    perdixperdix Posts: 1,806
    HYUFD said:

    Cameron gets just £800,000 for his memoirs, well below his £4 million target and a long way short of the £4.6 million Blair got for 'A Journey' and the £3.5 million Thatcher got for 'The Downing Street Years'
    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/londoners-diary/londoners-diary-millions-missing-from-cameron-s-memoirs-deal-a3379181.html
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3873038/David-Cameron-cashes-800-000-deal-memoirs-Former-PM-pledges-frank-account-successes-failures.html

    Cameron was PM for a lot shorter time.

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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''If they do after the collapse of the EU-Canada deal I suggest the first trip May makes after Brexit is to Ottowa!''

    I don;t buy Sean's version of an all play nice Brexit. We cannot accept free movement, and they cannot accept the end of it.

    Any fudge will be pounced on. UKIP are still above 10% for a reason.
This discussion has been closed.