Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Clive Lewis can be Labour’s future if he plays his cards ri

245

Comments

  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Sandpit said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Strong words but he has a good point. Why spend millions on developing new tests for something incurable, if not eugenics?

    On the positive side of medicine, are we one step closer to a cure for AIDS?
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/02/hiv-cure-close-after-disease-vanishes-from-blood-of-british-man/
    May be, may be not.

    But a functional cure is the holy grail.

    One of the most interesting companies in this field, in my opinion, is UBP out of Taiwan

    http://www.unitedbiopharma.com/eng/index.html
    Just wanted to get your opinion on it. What do you make if the $3bn from Facebook to "cure all disease". I have the figure required to do that about 100 times higher.
    Apparently, if it gets 1,000,000 likes, all disease will be automatically cured!
    Somewhere on Facebook, someone believes that is true.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,465
    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    It does exist; just not yet independently. But then the decrepit aged do not live independently either, nor the severely disabled.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,594
    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:
    it has struck me that it's strange how May and other remainer Tories are in a weird situation - committed to brexit to respect the popular vote, and keen to demonstrate we can make a success of it, which I believe is possible or I'd never have voted leave, but they sometimes need to act like arch brexiteers, when by definition as remainers they thought any potential leave scenario was less good then remaining.

    It's one of those political switches that makes sense and we all accept, but every now and again you do a doubletaje as the
    Necessity of political language talking points contradicts their earlier stance.
    They need to ensure that we are pragmatic and don't paint ourselves into a binary corner in negotiations.

    We may all think immigration is the No.1 concern of voters and May will make it a red line (I think she might).

    Articles such as Nick Herbert's are simply saying don't let Brexit go to your (the govt's) head. If there is a route that accepts some kind of free movement, for example, to preserve single market privileges, then don't be too closed-minded not take that route.

  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    edited October 2016
    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Sandpit said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Strong words but he has a good point. Why spend millions on developing new tests for something incurable, if not eugenics?

    On the positive side of medicine, are we one step closer to a cure for AIDS?
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/02/hiv-cure-close-after-disease-vanishes-from-blood-of-british-man/
    May be, may be not.

    But a functional cure is the holy grail.

    One of the most interesting companies in this field, in my opinion, is UBP out of Taiwan

    http://www.unitedbiopharma.com/eng/index.html
    Just wanted to get your opinion on it. What do you make if the $3bn from Facebook to "cure all disease". I have the figure required to do that about 100 times higher.
    I can't copy the link on my phone but go to YouTube and search for paracetamoxyfrusebendoneomycin and "amateur transplants"
  • Options
    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,342
    edited October 2016
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    Trumped by the rights of the mother. As are the rights of any third parties who want to judge and control her actions.
  • Options

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    It does exist; just not yet independently. But then the decrepit aged do not live independently either, nor the severely disabled.
    But they have been born. Rights primarily exist between birth and death.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    If it can survove independently of it's mother (around 18 weeks now I believe) then it is a separate living entity.

    @Philip_Thompson I guess you are in favour of partial birth abortion then?
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966


    Its not magic, those who are born have rights, those who haven't been born don't. What rights does someone have before they are born?

    That isn't true or late term abortion would not be unlawful.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    Trumped by the rights of the mother. As are the rights of any third parties who want to judge and control her actions.
    So it's alright to kill humans that are capable of independent life?
  • Options
    Charles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    If it can survove independently of it's mother (around 18 weeks now I believe) then it is a separate living entity.
    That is not the law. You may want it to be, but it isn't.
    Charles said:

    @Philip_Thompson I guess you are in favour of partial birth abortion then?

    I find it creepy and cringy. I also find it none of my business.
  • Options
    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
  • Options
    Indigo said:


    Its not magic, those who are born have rights, those who haven't been born don't. What rights does someone have before they are born?

    That isn't true or late term abortion would not be unlawful.
    Late term abortions aren't covered by a blanket ban. There are exceptions.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,156

    Charles said:

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    People are all making the assumption that Corbyn will step down if he loses in 2020.

    May be this time it's different?

    I've read that in the event of a bad loss - let's say 200 seats but the number doesn't matter - the PLP will be much more heavily weighted to the left on the basis that many of the leading moderates are in relative marginals + retirements of the older moderates + boundaries/reselection

    If this is true, wouldn't he stay on until 2022, say, but use his regained control of the NEC to change the rules in his favour?
    Frankly, who knows. 'Normal' politicians tend to resign these days the day after a defeat. In the past this wasn't the case and often stayed on to fight another election. Personally I suspect his age will tell by 2020 and he will stand down, but not before the nominations thing is sorted (because he will be 'talked out' of standing down by McD and Len).
    Gladstone, Grover Cleveland, for example.
    Good examples, but I think that today's intense politics is a little more demanding than the good old days. I seem to recall reading that one of the PMs from earlier this century spent the afternoons reading Trollope (can't remember which one).
    Wasn’t that Harold Macmillan?
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    Charles said:

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    People are all making the assumption that Corbyn will step down if he loses in 2020.

    May be this time it's different?

    I've read that in the event of a bad loss - let's say 200 seats but the number doesn't matter - the PLP will be much more heavily weighted to the left on the basis that many of the leading moderates are in relative marginals + retirements of the older moderates + boundaries/reselection

    If this is true, wouldn't he stay on until 2022, say, but use his regained control of the NEC to change the rules in his favour?
    Frankly, who knows. 'Normal' politicians tend to resign these days the day after a defeat. In the past this wasn't the case and often stayed on to fight another election. Personally I suspect his age will tell by 2020 and he will stand down, but not before the nominations thing is sorted (because he will be 'talked out' of standing down by McD and Len).
    Gladstone, Grover Cleveland, for example.
    Good examples, but I think that today's intense politics is a little more demanding than the good old days. I seem to recall reading that one of the PMs from earlier this century spent the afternoons reading Trollope (can't remember which one).
    Joanna?
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited October 2016

    Indigo said:


    Its not magic, those who are born have rights, those who haven't been born don't. What rights does someone have before they are born?

    That isn't true or late term abortion would not be unlawful.
    Late term abortions aren't covered by a blanket ban. There are exceptions.
    Yes, which means that except in those exceptional cases they are banned. The law accepts viability at 24 weeks and unless there are exceptional circumstances prohibits abortion from that time onward. Which means the rights of the mother do not have carte blanche over the rights of the embryo as was originally posited.

  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,601
    $1.285, €1.14

    At this rate we get to parity when A59 is actually triggered
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    Oh well thats ok then. Providing we kill the disabled before they go through birth then we are all good compassionate liberals not nazis.

    Glad we got that cleared up.

    Humanities capacity not to see gross evil staring them in the face because it is convenient not to see it.
    Actually I would not have a child of mine aborted, and I have not participated in abortions in my career.

    However, I respect other people's views and do not want to impose my beliefs on them. The politicisation of abortion in the USA is something that I would not want to see here.
    The problem with that approach (and I am not trying to personalise it) is that it is the job of doctors - and others - to stand up for the most vulnerable. A viable foetus has rights too: they don't just magically appear at tge moment of birth
    Its not magic, those who are born have rights, those who haven't been born don't. What rights does someone have before they are born?
    It's trite law that an unborn child has certain rights. It's a crime to kill an unborn child, subject to the statutory exception of the 1967 Act; an unborn child will also have inheritance rights under the law relating to intestacy.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,156

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    Oh well thats ok then. Providing we kill the disabled before they go through birth then we are all good compassionate liberals not nazis.

    Glad we got that cleared up.

    Humanities capacity not to see gross evil staring them in the face because it is convenient not to see it.
    So it's all right to "kill" people before they're conceived, then? If you want to go back to the ethics -and scientific capacity - of your parents' childhood, fine. Just have the decency to say so.

    There are no quick and easy fixes in this area.

    What on earth do you mean, kill before conception?
    Isn’t that what contraception is, effectively? Some methods anyway. In terms of evolution, it’s apparently only humans, and possibly dolphins and bonobos which get pleasure out of sexual intercourse. For other mammals it’s simply a question of procreation.
    I don't believe that. Dogs certainly seem to enjoy it.
    Take the point, but geniune question. Dogs but less so bitches?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    Charles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    If it can survove independently of it's mother (around 18 weeks now I believe) then it is a separate living entity.

    @Philip_Thompson I guess you are in favour of partial birth abortion then?
    I've always felt the 46th trimester should be the cut off point.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,690

    Charles said:

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    People are all making the assumption that Corbyn will step down if he loses in 2020.

    May be this time it's different?

    I've read that in the event of a bad loss - let's say 200 seats but the number doesn't matter - the PLP will be much more heavily weighted to the left on the basis that many of the leading moderates are in relative marginals + retirements of the older moderates + boundaries/reselection

    If this is true, wouldn't he stay on until 2022, say, but use his regained control of the NEC to change the rules in his favour?
    Frankly, who knows. 'Normal' politicians tend to resign these days the day after a defeat. In the past this wasn't the case and often stayed on to fight another election. Personally I suspect his age will tell by 2020 and he will stand down, but not before the nominations thing is sorted (because he will be 'talked out' of standing down by McD and Len).
    Gladstone, Grover Cleveland, for example.
    Good examples, but I think that today's intense politics is a little more demanding than the good old days. I seem to recall reading that one of the PMs from earlier this century spent the afternoons reading Trollope (can't remember which one).
    Joanna?
    Very good
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,601
    Perhaps our Clive never learned what happened to the Light Brigade...
  • Options
    dugarbandierdugarbandier Posts: 2,596
    IanB2 said:

    Perhaps our Clive never learned what happened to the Light Brigade...

    which in turn shows the failure of rote learning as an edumacation method? :)
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    If it can survove independently of it's mother (around 18 weeks now I believe) then it is a separate living entity.

    @Philip_Thompson I guess you are in favour of partial birth abortion then?
    I've always felt the 46th trimester should be the cut off point.
    LOL! From what my mum said when I was young its legal until the 76th
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,690


    Take the point, but geniune question. Dogs but less so bitches?
    All animal species I think get pleasure from it; it's a biological compulsion. I think the "humans, dolphins, and bonobos' fact refers to species that have sex recreationally with no procreational intention.
  • Options
    Sterling continues to fall with Ms May's A50 timetable being set. This timetable does not resolve any uncertainity but just ensures that more uncertainity is to follow. There is a possiblity we could reach £1 to 1 euro in the next few months.

    The opposition to the Tories is not Labour but the markets. If they think her ideas wont work they will act immediately. Dont look at the FTSE as a guide to the UK ecomony it is the £ exchange rate that will tell us what's happening.



  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,852
    Charles said:

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    People are all making the assumption that Corbyn will step down if he loses in 2020.

    May be this time it's different?

    I've read that in the event of a bad loss - let's say 200 seats but the number doesn't matter - the PLP will be much more heavily weighted to the left on the basis that many of the leading moderates are in relative marginals + retirements of the older moderates + boundaries/reselection

    If this is true, wouldn't he stay on until 2022, say, but use his regained control of the NEC to change the rules in his favour?
    I don't see why he steps down if he loses given he feels his mandate derives from his members.

    If he wants to carry on he will get the nominations, even if no-confidenced by his own MPs, and take it to a further membership vote. The question is whether they will have woken up and smelt the coffee - and it needs a good 10% swing to knock him out.

    Labour MPs best hope is that he just feels too old and fed up, and quits.
  • Options
    Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,108
    Charles said:

    Sandpit said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Strong words but he has a good point. Why spend millions on developing new tests for something incurable, if not eugenics?

    On the positive side of medicine, are we one step closer to a cure for AIDS?
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/02/hiv-cure-close-after-disease-vanishes-from-blood-of-british-man/
    May be, may be not.

    But a functional cure is the holy grail.

    One of the most interesting companies in this field, in my opinion, is UBP out of Taiwan

    http://www.unitedbiopharma.com/eng/index.html
    Yes, there's some great research on HIV and AIDS going on, to add to much better drugs available now compared to only a few years ago.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,465

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    That depends on success. Labour's next leader is probably at very long odds at the moment.

    What do we know?

    - That Labour's membership is dominated by the hard left
    - That they do not necessarily do the hard graft and may easily flake but have proven to turn out in elections.
    - That the PLP have, for now, a blocking majority for a hard left nomination if they keep their nerve.
    - That the NEC is in the balance and no rule changes designed solely for factional advantage are likely to pass.
    - That the preliminary boundary review proposals will hit Labour and will cause some internal conflict over seats (including in Islington, amusingly).
    - That the polls for Labour are currently dreadful; the only recent comparable figures for an opposition at this stage are Hague in 1998 and IDS in 2002.

    What can we take from that?

    1. That barring accidents or a mass exodus of new members, Corbyn is likely to serve through to 2020. The PLP may despair but they have no means of getting rid. They have tried everything in their arsenal and it has failed. Until the lie of the land changes (which may be something they have influence over), they'll simply have to wait it out.

    2. That mass deselections are unlikely given that the timetable makes it difficult. The rule changes necessary to enable them would in all probability occur after the new boundaries are confirmed and so after the process for selections has begun.

    3. Labour is very likely to lose the next election and Corbyn is, as such, likely to stand down then. (He has given hints to the contrary but he'd be into his 70s by that point and to serve another term would mean fighting the 2025 election at 76; the left ought to be able with the new membership to get the proportion of Corbynites in parliament over 15% even without mass deselections: retirements alone ought to provide sufficient scope).

    4. The next leader is almost certainly already in parliament, holds a seat that is winnable now and under any likely changes, even against, say, a 15% Tory national lead, and is a Corbyn-supporter.

    There cannot be too many such candidates and most will be available at good odds.
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    Charles said:

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    People are all making the assumption that Corbyn will step down if he loses in 2020.

    May be this time it's different?

    I've read that in the event of a bad loss - let's say 200 seats but the number doesn't matter - the PLP will be much more heavily weighted to the left on the basis that many of the leading moderates are in relative marginals + retirements of the older moderates + boundaries/reselection

    If this is true, wouldn't he stay on until 2022, say, but use his regained control of the NEC to change the rules in his favour?
    Frankly, who knows. 'Normal' politicians tend to resign these days the day after a defeat. In the past this wasn't the case and often stayed on to fight another election. Personally I suspect his age will tell by 2020 and he will stand down, but not before the nominations thing is sorted (because he will be 'talked out' of standing down by McD and Len).
    Gladstone, Grover Cleveland, for example.
    Good examples, but I think that today's intense politics is a little more demanding than the good old days. I seem to recall reading that one of the PMs from earlier this century spent the afternoons reading Trollope (can't remember which one).
    Joanna?
    Very good
    There was an open goal... :)
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:



    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    If it can survove independently of it's mother (around 18 weeks now I believe) then it is a separate living entity.
    That is not the law. You may want it to be, but it isn't.
    Charles said:

    @Philip_Thompson I guess you are in favour of partial birth abortion then?

    I find it creepy and cringy. I also find it none of my business.
    I know it's not the law - but it was the focus of the recent debate on whether to reduce the limit from 24 weeks to 20 weeks to reflect advanced in medical science.

    As for being "none of your business" it is the obligation of society to set riles about the balancing of rights between different actors. We may disagree on where the line is drawn but it's absolutely your business.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited October 2016

    Sterling continues to fall with Ms May's A50 timetable being set. This timetable does not resolve any uncertainity but just ensures that more uncertainity is to follow. There is a possiblity we could reach £1 to 1 euro in the next few months.

    The opposition to the Tories is not Labour but the markets. If they think her ideas wont work they will act immediately. Dont look at the FTSE as a guide to the UK ecomony it is the £ exchange rate that will tell us what's happening.

    A freely floating exchange rate is a stabiliser that acts as a shock absorber and helps with shocks and transitions. We should be very glad we still have our own currency.

    If sterling falls it boosts the economy via improving exports (and making us more attractive for tourism etc) while dampening imports. Given our enormous and long running trade deficit that is a good thing. The trade off is importing inflation but given that inflation is well BELOW target that is currently a good thing not a bad thing.

    Only if inflation looks like getting out of control would we need to panic.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,852
    On abortion, I can see a case to lower the abortion limit to 20 weeks, but no further.

    Personally, I wouldn't feel comfortable aborting a fetus after about 14 weeks, but there are all sorts of complex personal, social and physiological reasons why that isn't always possible and late-term abortion decisions, including the ethics of them, should be left to medics and the mother, rather than prohibited by statue.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,465

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    It does exist; just not yet independently. But then the decrepit aged do not live independently either, nor the severely disabled.
    But they have been born. Rights primarily exist between birth and death.
    Primarily but not exclusively. There's already substantial law around the rights of the unborn child. Birth is, to a large extent, an arbitrary dividing line.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    If it can survove independently of it's mother (around 18 weeks now I believe) then it is a separate living entity.

    @Philip_Thompson I guess you are in favour of partial birth abortion then?
    I've always felt the 46th trimester should be the cut off point.
    Do your kids agree?
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    People are all making the assumption that Corbyn will step down if he loses in 2020.

    May be this time it's different?

    I've read that in the event of a bad loss - let's say 200 seats but the number doesn't matter - the PLP will be much more heavily weighted to the left on the basis that many of the leading moderates are in relative marginals + retirements of the older moderates + boundaries/reselection

    If this is true, wouldn't he stay on until 2022, say, but use his regained control of the NEC to change the rules in his favour?
    I don't see why he steps down if he loses given he feels his mandate derives from his members.

    If he wants to carry on he will get the nominations, even if no-confidenced by his own MPs, and take it to a further membership vote. The question is whether they will have woken up and smelt the coffee - and it needs a good 10% swing to knock him out.

    Labour MPs best hope is that he just feels too old and fed up, and quits.
    I agree - and he won't go until the rules are in place to let him get his favoured successors on the ballot
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    If it can survove independently of it's mother (around 18 weeks now I believe) then it is a separate living entity.

    @Philip_Thompson I guess you are in favour of partial birth abortion then?
    I've always felt the 46th trimester should be the cut off point.
    Do your kids agree?
    It's important to have leverage when the kids are refusing to do homework.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Michael Taylor
    Turns out a staff member, who phoned in 'sick' this morning, has just been seen on TV demonstrating at the #CPC16!
    Did someone say fired
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited October 2016

    On abortion, I can see a case to lower the abortion limit to 20 weeks, but no further.

    Personally, I wouldn't feel comfortable aborting a fetus after about 14 weeks, but there are all sorts of complex personal, social and physiological reasons why that isn't always possible and late-term abortion decisions, including the ethics of them, should be left to medics and the mother, rather than prohibited by statue.

    That's kind of a cowardly way out, as its Mr Thompson, he says it's not his business, which is code for not wanting to think about it. Leaving it to the medics and the mother is all well and good, but project yourself forward 50 years when science may be allowing people to hold basic communication in utero with your 14 week fetus ("hurts","like"). The problem with late term decisions being made without reference to the law is you are on the slippery slope to the approach in China where its legal at any point before the "child" takes it's first breath.
  • Options
    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    The need for certain PBers to very occasionally break off from their endless excoriation (and rt-ing of others' excoriation) of Clinton to proclaim how awful both candidates are is certainly slightly weird. If they think it's a defence against partisanship, they're deluded.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    On abortion, I can see a case to lower the abortion limit to 20 weeks, but no further.

    Personally, I wouldn't feel comfortable aborting a fetus after about 14 weeks, but there are all sorts of complex personal, social and physiological reasons why that isn't always possible and late-term abortion decisions, including the ethics of them, should be left to medics and the mother, rather than prohibited by statue.

    I'd reduce it to 20 weeks as well, with a reassessment every 10 years so that it roughly tracks advances in medical science.

    Certainly there are complex cases for later term abortions where it is medically appropriate to intervene, but - as you say - that is a question for doctors not politicians
  • Options
    619619 Posts: 1,784
    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    It was a perfectly reasonable answer. The Audio and transcript by Clinton isn't her attacking Sanders supporters as 'basement dwellers'. it's another false attack line from Trump and Trump rampers.

    Some people may be annoyed that the US could be electing a white nationalist facist as leader based on bullshit lies about Clinton.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    MaxPB said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Very strong words from Dominic Lawson:

    "the British Health Service would do for Down’s people what the Nazis tried to do to the Jews: total elimination.

    Actually, the mentally disabled had been the guinea-pigs for the mass extermination by gassing of the Jewish population. In 1939, German doctors launched the Aktion T-4 programme to kill roughly 200,000 disabled people, mostly children. It was openly argued that this was for their own good, as their lives were ‘not worthy of living’; and also for that of society as a whole, as the cost of their care was an unfair burden on the ‘healthy’ population....

    ...My daughter [who has Downs] is now 21 and intelligent enough to understand this. When I told her about the controversy yesterday, she emailed me to say: ‘But they don’t know what I am capable of and they didn’t know that when I was born. We don’t deserve this hate. It is just wrong and you know it.’"

    DOMINIC LAWSON: A chilling medical test that I fear will make humanity so much the poorer

    http://dailym.ai/2dkpUw6

    Indeed. It is thought the Nazis killing disabled children was one of civil servant Ralph Wigram's reasons for passing documents to Churchill during the wilderness years. Wigram's own child might have had Down's syndrome. Lawson sounds hysterical, though.
    This is not infanticide like the nazis, it is abortion for foetal abnormalities. Indeed all ante-natal testing is based on the presumption of abortion if one is detected.

    As abortion is legal in GB for significant foetal abnormalities, it makes sense to have better, safer, more reliable antenatal testing.

    The argument is, implicitly, against abortion on demand.
    Anyone should be able to get one, for any reason.
    and the rights of the viable foetus?
    What are the rights of a being that doesn't yet exist?
    If it can survove independently of it's mother (around 18 weeks now I believe) then it is a separate living entity.

    @Philip_Thompson I guess you are in favour of partial birth abortion then?
    I've always felt the 46th trimester should be the cut off point.
    Do your kids agree?
    It's important to have leverage when the kids are refusing to do homework.
    If you bought a bigger house you'd have more leverage...
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    The need for certain PBers to very occasionally break off from their endless excoriation (and rt-ing of others' excoriation) of Clinton to proclaim how awful both candidates are is certainly slightly weird. If they think it's a defence against partisanship, they're deluded.
    But endless excoriation and rt-ing of other excoriation of Trump is perfectly acceptable, what was that about partisan ?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    Charles said:

    If you bought a bigger house you'd have more leverage...

    My wife keeps sending me links to properties on the Knight Frank website. Do you think she's trying to tell me something?
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,601
    Charles said:

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    People are all making the assumption that Corbyn will step down if he loses in 2020.

    May be this time it's different?

    I've read that in the event of a bad loss - let's say 200 seats but the number doesn't matter - the PLP will be much more heavily weighted to the left on the basis that many of the leading moderates are in relative marginals + retirements of the older moderates + boundaries/reselection

    If this is true, wouldn't he stay on until 2022, say, but use his regained control of the NEC to change the rules in his favour?
    The threshold is a percentage, not an absolute number. So a big electoral defeat may solve the problem for him without needing to get any rule change through.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    It was a perfectly reasonable answer. The Audio and transcript by Clinton isn't her attacking Sanders supporters as 'basement dwellers'. it's another false attack line from Trump and Trump rampers.

    Some people may be annoyed that the US could be electing a white nationalist facist as leader based on bullshit lies about Clinton.

    45%+ of Americans seem quite happy with it. Let your democratic credentials shine through and just let the people decide ffs, banging on about it endless here is pointless, only about 2-3 posters vote in the American elections.
  • Options
    edited October 2016
    On the discussions on this thread this is gross discrimination which one Parliamentarian is seeking to address with a Bill. 2nd reading later this month http://allequal.org.uk/
  • Options
    Indigo said:

    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    The need for certain PBers to very occasionally break off from their endless excoriation (and rt-ing of others' excoriation) of Clinton to proclaim how awful both candidates are is certainly slightly weird. If they think it's a defence against partisanship, they're deluded.
    But endless excoriation and rt-ing of other excoriation of Trump is perfectly acceptable, what was that about partisan ?
    Since I think Trump is a ghastly, coarse disaster of a human being, why would I be claiming non-partisanship?
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,852
    Indigo said:

    On abortion, I can see a case to lower the abortion limit to 20 weeks, but no further.

    Personally, I wouldn't feel comfortable aborting a fetus after about 14 weeks, but there are all sorts of complex personal, social and physiological reasons why that isn't always possible and late-term abortion decisions, including the ethics of them, should be left to medics and the mother, rather than prohibited by statue.

    That's kind of a cowardly way out, as its Mr Thompson, he says it's not his business, which is code for not wanting to think about it. Leaving it to the medics and the mother is all well and good, but project yourself forward 50 years when science may be allowing people to hold basic communication in utero with your 14 week fetus ("hurts","like"). The problem with late term decisions being made without reference to the law is you are on the slippery slope to the approach in China where its legal at any point before the "child" takes it's first breath.
    There is no slippery slope. In fact, there is no slope: we decide through parliament exactly how long we think the limit should be and, periodically, it is reviewed.

    I don't think independent viability of the foetus should be the only test. A woman may find out very late she is pregnant and in no position to carry it to term, or her life could be at risk, or it may carry serious defects. And one must bear in mind that if that choice is legally denied then some women may resort to unsafe illegal methods.

    It is very much a grey area and rather than enforcing a black or white choice, I am content for a mother in consultation with medical staff, and their partner/family, to make their own decision.

    And I have never known a woman who took such a decision lightly.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,046
    I think it's important to remember, amidst the disagreements over the EU and US election, that I actually had a winning F1 tip this weekend. Rejoice, and read of the wonderful race in which it occurred:
    http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2016/10/malaysia-post-race-analysis-2016.html
  • Options
    Indigo said:

    It was a perfectly reasonable answer. The Audio and transcript by Clinton isn't her attacking Sanders supporters as 'basement dwellers'. it's another false attack line from Trump and Trump rampers.

    Some people may be annoyed that the US could be electing a white nationalist facist as leader based on bullshit lies about Clinton.

    45%+ of Americans seem quite happy with it. Let your democratic credentials shine through and just let the people decide ffs, banging on about it endless here is pointless, only about 2-3 posters vote in the American elections.
    Perhaps OGH or a minion could put up a small FAQ about using the quote system.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    If you bought a bigger house you'd have more leverage...

    My wife keeps sending me links to properties on the Knight Frank website. Do you think she's trying to tell me something?
    That she wants to leave the PRC?

    (But why Knight Frank - they only sell very grand, big properties. I'd suggest Lane Fox or Strutt & Parker).
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited October 2016
    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    Pointing out something is factually incorrect is not desperate.

    Especially when people may be using it to inform their political betting.
  • Options
    619 said:

    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    It was a perfectly reasonable answer. The Audio and transcript by Clinton isn't her attacking Sanders supporters as 'basement dwellers'. it's another false attack line from Trump and Trump rampers.

    Some people may be annoyed that the US could be electing a white nationalist facist as leader based on bullshit lies about Clinton.
    Snob Hillary doesn't only have contempt and pity for those inhabiting their parents' basements, she also weirdly despises " baristas ". Not everyone is as lucky as ultra privileged Chelsea Clinton who landed a $ 900,000 pa job straight out of college..
  • Options

    Sterling continues to fall with Ms May's A50 timetable being set. This timetable does not resolve any uncertainity but just ensures that more uncertainity is to follow. There is a possiblity we could reach £1 to 1 euro in the next few months.

    The opposition to the Tories is not Labour but the markets. If they think her ideas wont work they will act immediately. Dont look at the FTSE as a guide to the UK ecomony it is the £ exchange rate that will tell us what's happening.

    A freely floating exchange rate is a stabiliser that acts as a shock absorber and helps with shocks and transitions. We should be very glad we still have our own currency.

    If sterling falls it boosts the economy via improving exports (and making us more attractive for tourism etc) while dampening imports. Given our enormous and long running trade deficit that is a good thing. The trade off is importing inflation but given that inflation is well BELOW target that is currently a good thing not a bad thing.

    Only if inflation looks like getting out of control would we need to panic.
    I understand that fully as I run a manufacturing company. The drop shold be good news for me long term but rapid changes are not good as they cause chaos. I am tied into some NHS contracts I may have to default on as the profits have disappeared at existing prices. Inflation may be low but many of my suppliers invoice me in euros or dollars.



  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    And I have never known a woman who took such a decision lightly.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1567127/Abortion-being-used-as-contraception.html

  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited October 2016

    There is no slippery slope. In fact, there is no slope: we decide through parliament exactly how long we think the limit should be and, periodically, it is reviewed.

    I don't think independent viability of the foetus should be the only test. A woman may find out very late she is pregnant and in no position to carry it to term, or her life could be at risk, or it may carry serious defects. And one must bear in mind that if that choice is legally denied then some women may resort to unsafe illegal methods.

    It is very much a grey area and rather than enforcing a black or white choice, I am content for a mother in consultation with medical staff, and their partner/family, to make their own decision.

    And I have never known a woman who took such a decision lightly.
    I was part way through writing something similar, but then noticed that you'd phrased it infinitely more clearly. :)
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Indigo said:

    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    The need for certain PBers to very occasionally break off from their endless excoriation (and rt-ing of others' excoriation) of Clinton to proclaim how awful both candidates are is certainly slightly weird. If they think it's a defence against partisanship, they're deluded.
    But endless excoriation and rt-ing of other excoriation of Trump is perfectly acceptable, what was that about partisan ?
    Since I think Trump is a ghastly, coarse disaster of a human being, why would I be claiming non-partisanship?
    You don't have to be partisan to point out that this is the poorest field since the world crop growing championships were held in the Antarctic.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    If you bought a bigger house you'd have more leverage...

    My wife keeps sending me links to properties on the Knight Frank website. Do you think she's trying to tell me something?
    That she wants to leave the PRC?

    (But why Knight Frank - they only sell very grand, big properties. I'd suggest Lane Fox or Strutt & Parker).
    I think we'll be remaining the PRC, not least because my wife's primary goal is to find somewhere that is walking distance from our childrens' schools. Which pretty much means between Hampstead and Belsize Park.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    OT

    When an aeronautics engineer is bored https://t.co/GhOKkXwTPi
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,601

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    That depends on success. Labour's next leader is probably at very long odds at the moment.

    What do we know?

    - That Labour's membership is dominated by the hard left
    - That they do not necessarily do the hard graft and may easily flake but have proven to turn out in elections.
    - That the PLP have, for now, a blocking majority for a hard left nomination if they keep their nerve.
    - That the NEC is in the balance and no rule changes designed solely for factional advantage are likely to pass.
    - That the preliminary boundary review proposals will hit Labour and will cause some internal conflict over seats (including in Islington, amusingly).
    - That the polls for Labour are currently dreadful; the only recent comparable figures for an opposition at this stage are Hague in 1998 and IDS in 2002.

    What can we take from that?

    1. That barring accidents or a mass exodus of new members, Corbyn is likely to serve through to 2020. The PLP may despair but they have no means of getting rid. They have tried everything in their arsenal and it has failed. Until the lie of the land changes (which may be something they have influence over), they'll simply have to wait it out.

    2. That mass deselections are unlikely given that the timetable makes it difficult. The rule changes necessary to enable them would in all probability occur after the new boundaries are confirmed and so after the process for selections has begun.

    3. Labour is very likely to lose the next election and Corbyn is, as such, likely to stand down then. (He has given hints to the contrary but he'd be into his 70s by that point and to serve another term would mean fighting the 2025 election at 76; the left ought to be able with the new membership to get the proportion of Corbynites in parliament over 15% even without mass deselections: retirements alone ought to provide sufficient scope).

    4. The next leader is almost certainly already in parliament, holds a seat that is winnable now and under any likely changes, even against, say, a 15% Tory national lead, and is a Corbyn-supporter.

    There cannot be too many such candidates and most will be available at good odds.
    The fourth is worded too tightly; they just need to hold or be selected for a safe-ish seat after the final changes are proposed. Some currently with very marginal seats may well inherit a safe seat after the changes (there is one such down my way).
  • Options
    TGOHF said:

    Indigo said:

    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    The need for certain PBers to very occasionally break off from their endless excoriation (and rt-ing of others' excoriation) of Clinton to proclaim how awful both candidates are is certainly slightly weird. If they think it's a defence against partisanship, they're deluded.
    But endless excoriation and rt-ing of other excoriation of Trump is perfectly acceptable, what was that about partisan ?
    Since I think Trump is a ghastly, coarse disaster of a human being, why would I be claiming non-partisanship?
    You don't have to be partisan to point out that this is the poorest field since the world crop growing championships were held in the Antarctic.
    As in most areas of life, there's poor and there's fcuking awful.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    Another solid manufacturing PMI figure, 55.4 vs expectations of 52.2, export orders up and employment up. Input prices up by ~10%, the only way to hold onto the gains will be to drag down margins and real wages. I expect it will be a mix of both.
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,739

    619 said:

    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    It was a perfectly reasonable answer. The Audio and transcript by Clinton isn't her attacking Sanders supporters as 'basement dwellers'. it's another false attack line from Trump and Trump rampers.

    Some people may be annoyed that the US could be electing a white nationalist facist as leader based on bullshit lies about Clinton.
    Snob Hillary doesn't only have contempt and pity for those inhabiting their parents' basements, she also weirdly despises " baristas ". Not everyone is as lucky as ultra privileged Chelsea Clinton who landed a $ 900,000 pa job straight out of college..
    Trump was luckier.
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,739
    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.

    But Brexit hasn't happened yet.
  • Options
    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699

    Sterling continues to fall with Ms May's A50 timetable being set. This timetable does not resolve any uncertainity but just ensures that more uncertainity is to follow. There is a possiblity we could reach £1 to 1 euro in the next few months.

    The opposition to the Tories is not Labour but the markets. If they think her ideas wont work they will act immediately. Dont look at the FTSE as a guide to the UK ecomony it is the £ exchange rate that will tell us what's happening.

    A freely floating exchange rate is a stabiliser that acts as a shock absorber and helps with shocks and transitions. We should be very glad we still have our own currency.

    If sterling falls it boosts the economy via improving exports (and making us more attractive for tourism etc) while dampening imports. Given our enormous and long running trade deficit that is a good thing. The trade off is importing inflation but given that inflation is well BELOW target that is currently a good thing not a bad thing.

    Only if inflation looks like getting out of control would we need to panic.
    Why should we be very glad that we now have a currency that the rest of the world post Brexit vote think it is less desirable to hold than the Bangladeshi Taka . Pb Brexiteers the false peddlers of devaluation as a panacea for the economic problems facing this country caused by the Brexit vote .
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    Indigo said:

    And I have never known a woman who took such a decision lightly.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1567127/Abortion-being-used-as-contraception.html

    He said "he has never known". Obviously, there are places like Soviet Russia where it was used such. But the two women I know who've had abortions found the decision incredibly hard. Probably the most difficult decisions they've ever made, and in one case something that haunted her for years. (Not least because the father of the child subsequently died.)
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,465
    Charles said:

    Corbyn is secure for the forseable future, and with the combination of deselections, boundary changes and massive electoral losses before the next contest, it is not a market worth entering at this point.

    People are all making the assumption that Corbyn will step down if he loses in 2020.

    May be this time it's different?

    I've read that in the event of a bad loss - let's say 200 seats but the number doesn't matter - the PLP will be much more heavily weighted to the left on the basis that many of the leading moderates are in relative marginals + retirements of the older moderates + boundaries/reselection

    If this is true, wouldn't he stay on until 2022, say, but use his regained control of the NEC to change the rules in his favour?
    200 seats wouldn't be a bad loss at all. In fact, if the new boundaries come in then it's roughly where Labour will be starting the election (admittedly, in a parliament of 600 MPs, rather than 650).
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    Indigo said:

    On abortion, I can see a case to lower the abortion limit to 20 weeks, but no further.

    Personally, I wouldn't feel comfortable aborting a fetus after about 14 weeks, but there are all sorts of complex personal, social and physiological reasons why that isn't always possible and late-term abortion decisions, including the ethics of them, should be left to medics and the mother, rather than prohibited by statue.

    That's kind of a cowardly way out, as its Mr Thompson, he says it's not his business, which is code for not wanting to think about it. Leaving it to the medics and the mother is all well and good, but project yourself forward 50 years when science may be allowing people to hold basic communication in utero with your 14 week fetus ("hurts","like"). The problem with late term decisions being made without reference to the law is you are on the slippery slope to the approach in China where its legal at any point before the "child" takes it's first breath.
    There is no slippery slope. In fact, there is no slope: we decide through parliament exactly how long we think the limit should be and, periodically, it is reviewed.
    Slippery slope -> http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/law-and-order/10287574/Gender-abortions-criminal-charges-not-in-public-interest-says-CPS.html
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.

    But Brexit hasn't happened yet.
    "yet" - penny seems to have dropped with the most ardent remainers that it is definitely happening and in a relatively short timescale. Refreshing that they have moved on.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    rcs1000 said:

    Indigo said:

    And I have never known a woman who took such a decision lightly.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1567127/Abortion-being-used-as-contraception.html

    He said "he has never known". Obviously, there are places like Soviet Russia where it was used such. But the two women I know who've had abortions found the decision incredibly hard. Probably the most difficult decisions they've ever made, and in one case something that haunted her for years. (Not least because the father of the child subsequently died.)
    Where ? The word "never" doesn't appear in that article.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    MaxPB said:

    Another solid manufacturing PMI figure, 55.4 vs expectations of 52.2, export orders up and employment up. Input prices up by ~10%, the only way to hold onto the gains will be to drag down margins and real wages. I expect it will be a mix of both.

    Solid! They're excellent.

    Although it is worth remembering that manufacturing is only a small part of the UK economy, and therefore we need to see the services numbers before getting too excited.

    It is also worth remembering that an improving Eurozone economy is definitely good for the UK, not least because a declining savings rate there will reduce the bloc's current account surplus, and help rebalance the UK economy.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013

    Sterling continues to fall with Ms May's A50 timetable being set. This timetable does not resolve any uncertainity but just ensures that more uncertainity is to follow. There is a possiblity we could reach £1 to 1 euro in the next few months.

    The opposition to the Tories is not Labour but the markets. If they think her ideas wont work they will act immediately. Dont look at the FTSE as a guide to the UK ecomony it is the £ exchange rate that will tell us what's happening.

    A freely floating exchange rate is a stabiliser that acts as a shock absorber and helps with shocks and transitions. We should be very glad we still have our own currency.

    If sterling falls it boosts the economy via improving exports (and making us more attractive for tourism etc) while dampening imports. Given our enormous and long running trade deficit that is a good thing. The trade off is importing inflation but given that inflation is well BELOW target that is currently a good thing not a bad thing.

    Only if inflation looks like getting out of control would we need to panic.
    Why should we be very glad that we now have a currency that the rest of the world post Brexit vote think it is less desirable to hold than the Bangladeshi Taka . Pb Brexiteers the false peddlers of devaluation as a panacea for the economic problems facing this country caused by the Brexit vote .
    A currency is not a virility symbol. It's a value.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    Indigo said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Indigo said:

    And I have never known a woman who took such a decision lightly.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1567127/Abortion-being-used-as-contraception.html

    He said "he has never known". Obviously, there are places like Soviet Russia where it was used such. But the two women I know who've had abortions found the decision incredibly hard. Probably the most difficult decisions they've ever made, and in one case something that haunted her for years. (Not least because the father of the child subsequently died.)
    Where ? The word "never" doesn't appear in that article.
    I was talking about what Casino wrote.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    Sean_F said:

    Sterling continues to fall with Ms May's A50 timetable being set. This timetable does not resolve any uncertainity but just ensures that more uncertainity is to follow. There is a possiblity we could reach £1 to 1 euro in the next few months.

    The opposition to the Tories is not Labour but the markets. If they think her ideas wont work they will act immediately. Dont look at the FTSE as a guide to the UK ecomony it is the £ exchange rate that will tell us what's happening.

    A freely floating exchange rate is a stabiliser that acts as a shock absorber and helps with shocks and transitions. We should be very glad we still have our own currency.

    If sterling falls it boosts the economy via improving exports (and making us more attractive for tourism etc) while dampening imports. Given our enormous and long running trade deficit that is a good thing. The trade off is importing inflation but given that inflation is well BELOW target that is currently a good thing not a bad thing.

    Only if inflation looks like getting out of control would we need to panic.
    Why should we be very glad that we now have a currency that the rest of the world post Brexit vote think it is less desirable to hold than the Bangladeshi Taka . Pb Brexiteers the false peddlers of devaluation as a panacea for the economic problems facing this country caused by the Brexit vote .
    A currency is not a virility symbol. It's a value.
    Errr, surely it's a medium for exchange.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,156

    Sterling continues to fall with Ms May's A50 timetable being set. This timetable does not resolve any uncertainity but just ensures that more uncertainity is to follow. There is a possiblity we could reach £1 to 1 euro in the next few months.

    The opposition to the Tories is not Labour but the markets. If they think her ideas wont work they will act immediately. Dont look at the FTSE as a guide to the UK ecomony it is the £ exchange rate that will tell us what's happening.

    A freely floating exchange rate is a stabiliser that acts as a shock absorber and helps with shocks and transitions. We should be very glad we still have our own currency.

    If sterling falls it boosts the economy via improving exports (and making us more attractive for tourism etc) while dampening imports. Given our enormous and long running trade deficit that is a good thing. The trade off is importing inflation but given that inflation is well BELOW target that is currently a good thing not a bad thing.

    Only if inflation looks like getting out of control would we need to panic.
    Why should we be very glad that we now have a currency that the rest of the world post Brexit vote think it is less desirable to hold than the Bangladeshi Taka . Pb Brexiteers the false peddlers of devaluation as a panacea for the economic problems facing this country caused by the Brexit vote .
    I really don’t trhink tghe currency situation is that bad. Althjough on my next trip to Thailand I will be getting something like 15% less baht for my £ than I did 12 months ago. And the Thai government isn’t in a good place, either!
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,601
    edited October 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sterling continues to fall with Ms May's A50 timetable being set. This timetable does not resolve any uncertainity but just ensures that more uncertainity is to follow. There is a possiblity we could reach £1 to 1 euro in the next few months.

    The opposition to the Tories is not Labour but the markets. If they think her ideas wont work they will act immediately. Dont look at the FTSE as a guide to the UK ecomony it is the £ exchange rate that will tell us what's happening.

    A freely floating exchange rate is a stabiliser that acts as a shock absorber and helps with shocks and transitions. We should be very glad we still have our own currency.

    If sterling falls it boosts the economy via improving exports (and making us more attractive for tourism etc) while dampening imports. Given our enormous and long running trade deficit that is a good thing. The trade off is importing inflation but given that inflation is well BELOW target that is currently a good thing not a bad thing.

    Only if inflation looks like getting out of control would we need to panic.
    Why should we be very glad that we now have a currency that the rest of the world post Brexit vote think it is less desirable to hold than the Bangladeshi Taka . Pb Brexiteers the false peddlers of devaluation as a panacea for the economic problems facing this country caused by the Brexit vote .
    A currency is not a virility symbol. It's a value.
    Errr, surely it's a medium for exchange.
    Indeed. And, notwithstanding any short run benefit, having a currency that values everything we produce more cheaply and everything that the rest of the world produces more dearly is not, in the longer term, a good thing

    Edit/ particularly as any short run gain is significantly offset by the cost of importing components that go into very many of our exports.
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Another solid manufacturing PMI figure, 55.4 vs expectations of 52.2, export orders up and employment up. Input prices up by ~10%, the only way to hold onto the gains will be to drag down margins and real wages. I expect it will be a mix of both.

    Solid! They're excellent.

    Although it is worth remembering that manufacturing is only a small part of the UK economy, and therefore we need to see the services numbers before getting too excited.

    It is also worth remembering that an improving Eurozone economy is definitely good for the UK, not least because a declining savings rate there will reduce the bloc's current account surplus, and help rebalance the UK economy.
    Reminds me of the economic revival after Golden Wednesday.
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform on the EU27's hard line on Brexit:

    http://www.cer.org.uk/insights/why-27-are-taking-hard-line-brexit

    Those Leavers who need safe spaces can treat this as the appropriate trigger warning. Others will find it informative.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,601
    TGOHF said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.

    But Brexit hasn't happened yet.
    "yet" - penny seems to have dropped with the most ardent remainers that it is definitely happening and in a relatively short timescale. Refreshing that they have moved on.
    Five years is still possible and not particularly short. Some posters seem to be making the lazy assumption that a50 is Brexit?
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Indigo said:

    It was a perfectly reasonable answer. The Audio and transcript by Clinton isn't her attacking Sanders supporters as 'basement dwellers'. it's another false attack line from Trump and Trump rampers.

    Some people may be annoyed that the US could be electing a white nationalist facist as leader based on bullshit lies about Clinton.

    45%+ of Americans seem quite happy with it. Let your democratic credentials shine through and just let the people decide ffs, banging on about it endless here is pointless, only about 2-3 posters vote in the American elections.
    hitler was elected.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    IanB2 said:

    TGOHF said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.

    But Brexit hasn't happened yet.
    "yet" - penny seems to have dropped with the most ardent remainers that it is definitely happening and in a relatively short timescale. Refreshing that they have moved on.
    Five years is still possible and not particularly short. Some posters seem to be making the lazy assumption that a50 is Brexit?
    Do you feel there is any realistic chance of the remaining 27 countries agreeing unanimously to extend the renegotiation past the prescribed 2 years ? If not then the ECA is repealed after those 2 years and BrExit has happened. There will certainly be many fruitful years of tidying up and new treaties being worked on afterwards, but this is a separate issue.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,223

    Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform on the EU27's hard line on Brexit:

    http://www.cer.org.uk/insights/why-27-are-taking-hard-line-brexit

    Those Leavers who need safe spaces can treat this as the appropriate trigger warning. Others will find it informative.

    I must say, I didn't realize that Juncker would be leading the negotiations for the 27:

    Once the article is invoked, the British will have to negotiate with the European Commission, though the Council of Ministers, representing the member-states, will watch it closely.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited October 2016
    nunu said:

    Indigo said:

    It was a perfectly reasonable answer. The Audio and transcript by Clinton isn't her attacking Sanders supporters as 'basement dwellers'. it's another false attack line from Trump and Trump rampers.

    Some people may be annoyed that the US could be electing a white nationalist facist as leader based on bullshit lies about Clinton.

    45%+ of Americans seem quite happy with it. Let your democratic credentials shine through and just let the people decide ffs, banging on about it endless here is pointless, only about 2-3 posters vote in the American elections.
    hitler was elected.
    If you are an American citizen, feel free to go to the USA and bang on about the idiocy of electing Trump until your heart's content. I fail to see the point in people banging on about him here (and similarly Clinton, although its rather less full throated) when (almost) no one here can vote for either candidate.
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,739
    TGOHF said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.

    But Brexit hasn't happened yet.
    "yet" - penny seems to have dropped with the most ardent remainers that it is definitely happening and in a relatively short timescale. Refreshing that they have moved on.
    I'm interested in the facts. Not much interested in ascribing motives to others.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,601
    tlg86 said:

    Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform on the EU27's hard line on Brexit:

    http://www.cer.org.uk/insights/why-27-are-taking-hard-line-brexit

    Those Leavers who need safe spaces can treat this as the appropriate trigger warning. Others will find it informative.

    I must say, I didn't realize that Juncker would be leading the negotiations for the 27:

    Once the article is invoked, the British will have to negotiate with the European Commission, though the Council of Ministers, representing the member-states, will watch it closely.
    Hasn't he delegated it to the Dutch guy Guy?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    Indigo said:

    IanB2 said:

    TGOHF said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.

    But Brexit hasn't happened yet.
    "yet" - penny seems to have dropped with the most ardent remainers that it is definitely happening and in a relatively short timescale. Refreshing that they have moved on.
    Five years is still possible and not particularly short. Some posters seem to be making the lazy assumption that a50 is Brexit?
    Do you feel there is any realistic chance of the remaining 27 countries agreeing unanimously to extend the renegotiation past the prescribed 2 years ? If not then the ECA is repealed after those 2 years and BrExit has happened. There will certainly be many fruitful years of tidying up and new treaties being worked on afterwards, but this is a separate issue.
    If a deal is within sight - say Heads of Terms are agreed, and everyone is going through the minutiae of treaties - then it is likely, I would say.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,223
    IanB2 said:

    tlg86 said:

    Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform on the EU27's hard line on Brexit:

    http://www.cer.org.uk/insights/why-27-are-taking-hard-line-brexit

    Those Leavers who need safe spaces can treat this as the appropriate trigger warning. Others will find it informative.

    I must say, I didn't realize that Juncker would be leading the negotiations for the 27:

    Once the article is invoked, the British will have to negotiate with the European Commission, though the Council of Ministers, representing the member-states, will watch it closely.
    Hasn't he delegated it to the Dutch guy Guy?
    He might have done. What I'm getting at is that when it comes to it, the countries themselves will want to be close to the negotiations.
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    619 said:

    Moses_ said:

    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    For those who poo pood the issue

    The Hillary Clinton campaign has canceled joint appearances with former primary opponent Bernie Sanders after he admitted that "of course" it bothered him that Clinton seemed to be talking down to his supporters in hacked audio from a fundraiser.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/article/2603412/

    It's amazing that only the Washing Examiner has picked up this seismic event.

    They are lying about the quote. Sander does not say he is bothered by Clinton talking down to his supporters, that is a complete fabrication .
    Hillary's incompetence as a politician is extraordinary. She could ill afford to further alienate Bernie's basement boys but she just couldn't resist flattering the egos her smug wealthy donors. A wretched grinding snob whose final comeuppance is due.
    Expect everything you've said is a complete lie.

    Could I ask all these people proclaiming Hillary's statement as the gaffe of the Millennium to actually read the transcript or listen to the audio.
    I think they are both awful candidates for different reasons. However, your constant daily defence of HRC irrespective of absolutely anything she does, points raised by other posters or adversely reported in the press is now bordering close on the hysterical. This last post is almost desperate in its pleading ?

    Weird or are you a Yank with skin in the game?
    It was a perfectly reasonable answer. The Audio and transcript by Clinton isn't her attacking Sanders supporters as 'basement dwellers'. it's another false attack line from Trump and Trump rampers.

    Some people may be annoyed that the US could be electing a white nationalist facist as leader based on bullshit lies about Clinton.
    So a black nationalist fascist would be ok?
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,601
    Indigo said:

    IanB2 said:

    TGOHF said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.

    But Brexit hasn't happened yet.
    "yet" - penny seems to have dropped with the most ardent remainers that it is definitely happening and in a relatively short timescale. Refreshing that they have moved on.
    Five years is still possible and not particularly short. Some posters seem to be making the lazy assumption that a50 is Brexit?
    Do you feel there is any realistic chance of the remaining 27 countries agreeing unanimously to extend the renegotiation past the prescribed 2 years ? If not then the ECA is repealed after those 2 years and BrExit has happened. There will certainly be many fruitful years of tidying up and new treaties being worked on afterwards, but this is a separate issue.
    If we are sensible, the possibility of extension is something we should at least to try and cover off before triggering A50. Because even a quick read of that linked article confirms that two years is unlikely to be enough, and that our negotiating position as the end of that two years approaches will be pants.

    To answer your question, if the looming alternative looks bad for everyone, it may well be agreed. The U.K. will be moving into a pre-election period at the time, also.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited October 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    Indigo said:

    IanB2 said:

    TGOHF said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.

    But Brexit hasn't happened yet.
    "yet" - penny seems to have dropped with the most ardent remainers that it is definitely happening and in a relatively short timescale. Refreshing that they have moved on.
    Five years is still possible and not particularly short. Some posters seem to be making the lazy assumption that a50 is Brexit?
    Do you feel there is any realistic chance of the remaining 27 countries agreeing unanimously to extend the renegotiation past the prescribed 2 years ? If not then the ECA is repealed after those 2 years and BrExit has happened. There will certainly be many fruitful years of tidying up and new treaties being worked on afterwards, but this is a separate issue.
    If a deal is within sight - say Heads of Terms are agreed, and everyone is going through the minutiae of treaties - then it is likely, I would say.
    I am not optimistic of it getting that far. Given who the EU has picked as their negotiators I think a big row, lots of posturing in the media and no substantial progress for 20 months and then a minimalist last minute fudge is more likely. They didnt pick Verhofstadt and Barnier because they are looking for agreement.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,252
    PlatoSaid said:

    RobD said:

    First :D

    a autonomous robot would have beaten you to it.
    The first thing a real autonomous robot would do is deny the existence of autonomous robots. I have my doubts about Rob.
    @malcolmg has already been outed :wink:
    What have I been outed for
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,601
    tlg86 said:

    IanB2 said:

    tlg86 said:

    Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform on the EU27's hard line on Brexit:

    http://www.cer.org.uk/insights/why-27-are-taking-hard-line-brexit

    Those Leavers who need safe spaces can treat this as the appropriate trigger warning. Others will find it informative.

    I must say, I didn't realize that Juncker would be leading the negotiations for the 27:

    Once the article is invoked, the British will have to negotiate with the European Commission, though the Council of Ministers, representing the member-states, will watch it closely.
    Hasn't he delegated it to the Dutch guy Guy?
    He might have done. What I'm getting at is that when it comes to it, the countries themselves will want to be close to the negotiations.
    Or, in other words, that the French and Germans will both need to be happy with the outcome, and there mustn't be another country with a particularly strong objection to any of its terms. Which is the way the EU works already (adding the UK to F and G).
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,295
    Indigo said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Indigo said:

    IanB2 said:

    TGOHF said:

    rcs1000 said:

    As an aside, Brexit appears to be good for Britain, and good for the Eurozone. Both the UK and the Eurozone posted fabulous PMIs this morning. The UK is at its highest level since 2014, while the Eurozone's rating is the third best in the last two years.

    But Brexit hasn't happened yet.
    "yet" - penny seems to have dropped with the most ardent remainers that it is definitely happening and in a relatively short timescale. Refreshing that they have moved on.
    Five years is still possible and not particularly short. Some posters seem to be making the lazy assumption that a50 is Brexit?
    Do you feel there is any realistic chance of the remaining 27 countries agreeing unanimously to extend the renegotiation past the prescribed 2 years ? If not then the ECA is repealed after those 2 years and BrExit has happened. There will certainly be many fruitful years of tidying up and new treaties being worked on afterwards, but this is a separate issue.
    If a deal is within sight - say Heads of Terms are agreed, and everyone is going through the minutiae of treaties - then it is likely, I would say.
    I am not optimistic of it getting that far. Given who the EU has picked as their negotiators I think a big row, lots of posturing in the media and no substantial progress for 20 months and then a minimalist last minute fudge is more likely. They didnt pick Verhofstadt and Barnier because they are looking for agreement.
    So the EU - which exports hundreds of billions of Euros to us - has no interest in a deal?

    Well, I guess it's a view.
This discussion has been closed.