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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some sobering polling for the Corbynites
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some sobering polling for the Corbynites
Our polling average update: Tories lead by eleven points, more than Cameron ever achieved against Miliband/Corbyn. pic.twitter.com/8kZu2c6YBx
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The 45-year-old stormed a house the town of Ruedesheim, west of Frankfurt, and started dousing his spouse with the flammable liquid on Thursday.
When he tried to burn her alive, the flames engulfed him and the would-be killer died of his injuries.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3769330/Syrian-refugee-Germany-dies-flames-engulf-trying-set-fire-wife-using-barbecue-lighter-fluid.html
Elizabeth Jones: Elected to the NEC last year, she has been a member of Ukip for six years contesting a number of elections including Westminster in 2010 and 2015. Would like to repeal the 1973 (Oops!) European Communities Act, though doesn't mention whether this would be instead of or in addition to triggering Article 50. Wants to make the NEC more transparent and presents a number of Ukippy policies such as getting rid of the Human Rights Act. 80-1, will probably come last.
Bill Etheridge: Wants to reform the party structure to give full representation by elected politician (e.g. Assembly Member) and geographic regions. Wants a more professional structure operating under a Party Director. Provides a quote from Paul Nuttall on his work as an MEP/Policy Committee member. Wants to ban the burka in places like banks and schools, cut the cost of a pint and "a return to the days when prison was a punishment rather than a means of rehabilitation." 25-1.
Lisa Duffy: Makes a big play of her electoral success. She "know[s] about winning First Past the Post elections" having been elected as Ukip's first ever Mayor in Ramsey in Cambridgeshire. Also makes out she is confident media performer. The next leader "can't simply be 'another Nigel'" and has endorsements from Suzanne Evans, Paul Nuttall(!), Louise Bours, Gerard Batten (he says "because she advocated repealing the 1972 (better) European Communities Act as a first step to leaving the EU") and Patrick O'Flynn. Only mention of Islam is on the front page saying she will "challenge Radical Islam". 6-1, in with a chance.
Part 2 to follow
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-37246421
Should have said it was a Banksy.
Phillip Broughton: A "young, passionate, norther, working class guy", Phillip is the only candidate to make reference to Steven Woolfe who he says is "a phenomenal political talent" and "I very much see Steven making a very large contribution to UKIP's future success." He talks about what Ukip needs to become post-Brexit and talks about three themes - Freedom, Fairness and Opportunity. Furthermore, he says Ukip needs to fully analyse the 2015 election to work out their target seats - "The campaign doesn't start in 4 years it starts now". His final page has a picture of him shaking hands with Farage (Jones is the only other candidate to have a picture of Nigel) and makes a big thing of thanking Farage for everything he's done for the party. 80-1, a slim chance.
Diane James: A rather dour, pictureless (except for herself in the header) leaflet. A lot platitudes such as "Make your choice for the leadership the right one and indeed the one that will ensure that Ukip realizes its fullest potential, against a currently stagnant UK political backdrop" and "Party leadership is not for the faint hearted." She says the party needs to be ready for a May 2017 general election and that she wants to make full use of the grassroots. Absolutely nothing on policy.1-5, probably shouldn't be this short.
I was 90% certain before I received this material that I was going to vote for James. She is a competent media performer and seems sensible. The only other candidate that I'd come across is Duffy and most of that was about her quite strong views on Islam (which is why I thought it interesting that Islam hardly came up in her piece). On what I've read this evening the candidate I think should win is Broughton. He seems to get that if Ukip is to have a point in the future it needs to work out what it is for post-Brexit. I don't know enough about the membership to quite know how people feel about Farage. Certainly making a big thing of thanking Farage will win him some support and it does feel like he's positioning himself as the candidate you should vote for if you wanted Woolfe. Can he win? Probably not, and I should say that my votes in the NEC election last year were mostly wasted on no hopers.
However, I really wouldn't be backing Diane James at odds on. Her leaflet really is awful. She should hope that no one reads these things! I would probably prefer her to Duffy or Etheridge and I might regret voting for Broughton (if only we had AV!), but I don't care enough to give James my vote.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/01/victory-for-the-entente-cordiale-winston-churchills-favourite-fr/
From Slade's comment last thread:
Bournemouth UA, Kinson North, Con defence
Cornwall UA, Four Lanes, UKIP defence
Dorset CC, Ferndown, Con defence
East Dorset DC, Parley, Con defence
Stockton on Tees UA, Grangefield, Lab defence
Otley TC, Ashfield, LDx2 defence
Lymington and Pennington TC, Pennington, Con defence.
Oh.. Town Council elections...!
Miss Plato, True Lies was one of the best films I have ever seen. It came out at a time when I was doing a lot of overseas travel for work and every aeroplane I got on had it on the movie channel. Consequently I saw it a lot more that four times. A cracking film, and in places very funny.
https://torrentfreak.com/new-bbc-iplayer-rules-easily-defeated-especially-via-vpn-160901/
There is no point going back to the negotiating table with a group that will accept and recommend your proposals and then fail to sell them to their agitated membership.
The public are going to look at the offer of 10%+ pay increase with nearly 40% premium for night work and think - wow, I should be lucky.
Yes, doctors do vital work - but they are rewarded for it.
" In the three months to July 2016 — so, including the first month and a half after the referendum — the UK’s broad money supply (on the Bank of England’s preferred “M4ex” measure) grew at an annualised rate of 14.7%. I’m going to write that again: 14.7%!
..... 14.7% is out-of-the-park bigger than any previous recording in this series since it began in 2009. " "in the three months to July 2016 the UK’s money supply grew faster than it was growing at the peak of the UK’s financial market madness of the mid-2000s."
Andrew Lillico
Bill Paxton as oily car salesman and Tom Arnold as his partner - just perfect casting.
And who can beat Jamie Lee Curtis being sexy? She's a superb comedy actress.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AhMM4Pq0R1Y
Former PM says remain supporters should continue to warn voters about consequences of Brexit"
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/sep/01/britain-stay-eu-public-opinion-shifts-brexit-tony-blair
It's not the money to be honest which is completely fucking shit for the stuff they have to do. It is the totally desperate position we put these young people in who have barely come out of Med School.
Irrespective of the dispute how can any doctor agree to such recklessness with peoples lives. My wife is furious with them and cannot even start to comprehend how callous they have become.
I am waiting for surgery on a bilateral hernia and am unlikely to receive treatment for six months here in Wales and understand that NHS Wales are using the private sector to try to stem the lengthening waiting lists.
This is not going to end well for the doctors if they do not call off this ill advised and highly political action
No, I have never played Backgammon. A quick google - seems complicated.
I learned to play Mahjong solitaire quite recently though.
But seriously, the career trajectory for a Doc in the NHS is tremendous. Many of my mates are Docs. Sadly some of them seem to think winning is getting the contract thrown out. This is not how industrial disputes work when there is basically a monopoly employer. Compromise was the best they would get. It was offered, the BMA junior doc representative recommended accepting, and it was turned down.
Public opinion will desert them now. I wasn't 100% sure until Tyson piped up to defend them; now I am sure.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OhJP0lERFek
'My nephew is currently on Night Shifts at A&E in a SE Town, responsible for overseeing 60-100 patients during a shift. He gets 24k a year.
It's not the money to be honest which is completely fucking shit for the stuff they have to do. It is the totally desperate position we put these young people in who have barely come out of Med School.'
How can anyone believe these scumbags when they keep on saying it's not about money but patient care and then they go on strike,lets be honest they clearly don't give a shit about patient care.
As the leaked BMA documents showed in May this strike was only ever about money please save the crap.
'Leak reveals junior doctors' plot to 'draw out' contract dispute for 18 ...
www.telegraph.co.uk › News
26 May 2016 - Leaked messages by JDC chair Johann Malawana appear at odds with .... BMA Junior Doctors Committee, which was communicated publicly.
Tom Arnold was great in True Lies. I haven't seen him in a great deal since.
By year 2, that is over £30k plus the extras
They do important, vital work and have trained long and hard for it.
But they had an agreement. The BMA was happy with it. They recommended it.
The government is imposing what was agreed - a huge pay increase and many of the extras protected or enhanced.
The public are seeing this now.
edited supplement: almost surely what is behind the £ strengthening today
I listened to all the candidates speaking on 5Live shortly after the list was decided. I agree that Broughton is the dark horse. His vision of the party looked most credible, and he was one of the most successful of the UKIP PPC's.
I am all green on this market, having laid Woolfe early on. In a 5 way FPTP battle with an unknown electorate I can see it all set for a surprise result. James is far too short.
Negative economic consequences such as a fall in the value of sterling, damage to the financial services industry, weaker car manufacturing or a reduction in foreign investment in the UK could shift the debate, he suggested.
“At the moment, today, it is not probable, but the debate continues and I believe it is possible,” Blair said, adding that there was no reason why remain supporters should simply accept the result of the referendum, in which 52% of people voted to leave and 48% wanted to stay in.
“Who made a rule that we have to stop the debate now?” he said. Asked whether the campaign to stay in the EU could continue and British people could still change their minds, he said: “We have the right.”
Blair said the prime minister, Theresa May, had to stick to her position that “Brexit means Brexit” in order to preserve the unity of the Conservative party, but added: “For the rest of us, we are free to have a debate.
....He added: “There will come a moment when we have had the negotiations and we can see the terms we are being offered by the rest of Europe and we will be able to say that it is a good idea or perhaps that it is a bad idea with major consequences.”
He has a point, the terms of BREXIT are now the key and the consequences, BREXIT will certainly happen but given a majority of the electorate (including around half of Leave voters) want to stay in the Single Market if we did end up with full hard BREXIT and no tariff-free access to it at all and that hit the economy voters may start having second thoughts. I think it will be softish BREXIT so that will not be an issue but if it were who knows what could happen
bigger nerdsmarter person may come along and correct you as well.http://www.welt.de/
https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/2094/UK-General-Public-Still-Opposed-to-EMU-But-Hostility-to-EMU-Well-Down-From-Last-Year.aspx
(admittedly only one company!)
LDEM: 34.7% (+34.7)
IND: 16.6% (+16.6)
CON: 14.8% (-5.8)
LAB: 14.5% (-5.7)
MK: 12.8% (-0.9)
UKIP: 6.6% (-21.9)
LD surge!
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/771468282616541184
More importantly, reforming public services. They are not to be run for the providers, but for the consumers.
"It was least popular in November 2000, when 71% were opposed to it and just 18% were in favour.
At its most popular in January 2002, 31% of people said they would vote "yes" to joining, while 56% opted for "no"."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/7806936.stm
LD 300
Ind 144
Con 128
Lab 125
Meb K 111
UKIP 57
It is true, the thread headers that are pure clickbait cum trolling insightful commentary get the most comments
The stupidest bit about imposition is that our hospital HR departments do not know what they are supposed to be implementing. Our juniors have been working a month without knowing what they will be paid, which shifts they will be doing or where they will rotate to next. Imposition is a shambles already.
Forgot about Charlton Heston as big boss guy too. It's beyond fab.
The whole horse vs motorcycle elevator stunt! I haven't stopped giggling for for almost an hour
Full movie on YouTube.
'A F*****G TRAITOR' Counter terror cops hunt foul-mouthed Jeremy Corbyn supporter who launched a vile tirade threatening to HANG moderate Labour MP Ruth Smeeth
Stoke-on-Trent MP Ruth Smeeth is receiving special protection from cops after the foul-mouthed death threat
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/1712291/counter-terror-cops-hunt-foul-mouthed-jeremy-corbyn-supporter-who-launched-a-vile-tirade-threatening-to-hang-moderate-labour-mp-ruth-smeeth/
Do you think you have rumbled a secret plan to privatise the NHS. Another one? So soon? *innocent face*
This was Liverpool Vs West Ham in 1972 . https://t.co/s5LtqrX1Zd