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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Another contender enters the LAB race which could be drawn

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  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Pulpstar said:

    Freggles said:

    It's like 2015 never happened.

    YOU CANNOT WIN AN ELECTION UNLESS YOU HAVE A CLEAR LEAD ON "IS A STRONG LEADER" , THE ECONOMY OR "BEST PM"

    But you can win a referendum with any old bollocks ;)
    Remain didn't.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756
    Moses_ said:

    RodCrosby said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.
    They're relying on nothing, but a tortured reading of the rules, and wishful thinking for words that are not even there.

    It's crystal clear now that the rules were amended by conference in 2010 to remove the very ambiguity the plotters are now claiming to rely on...
    https://twitter.com/MadMazTotalRock/status/752085081947250688
    I would say that's pretty clear cut. It states "challengers" need nominees. Feck all about the sitting tenant requiring them.

    However....

    If they declare a leadership contest when a challenger has achieved the required number of nominations as per this rule then if the present leader wishes to continue in post does the leader by default then also become a "challenger" ( for the position) and if that's so then they would I suppose need the required nominations.

    Or not?
    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,169
    It is remarkable to note that there is a poster on here who attempts to defend Corbyn by smearing Hodge's conduct as leader of Islington, without pausing to reflect what seat Corbyn sits for and whether any problems within the Labour Party there might also affect him.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,655

    Pulpstar said:

    IanB2 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.

    I'm not a Corbynite but I think he has been treated terribly by the Labour and wider establishment. Like it or not, he earned a mandate that should have entitled him to put a prospectus to the public in a GE. If that crashed and burnt then so be it. But the Labour Party has to get away from the relentless on-messaging and meaningless sloganizing that it descended into after 2001.
    :+1:
    That's the real tragedy of it all. Even if the rebels regain the leadership, they don't have a better platform, nor someone more in touch with their core voters - their life is better because they don't have to sit in parliament behind Corbyn, but when it comes to the GE it doesn't seem to me that they will be any better off?
    It's the same 200 odd seats whether its Eagle, Smith or Corbyn I reckon. Actually probably less if it is Eagle.
    I agree of coUrse if there is an SDP2

    Could be less as left of centre vote splits and 400+ Tories are returned.

    Some talk about whether the "moderates" should be allowed in the Lib Dems. I said that we should think very carefully before allowing them in. Doubt Tim Farron will be overly keen to have the worst of the schemers in..
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    @Sean_F

    He'd be mad to. It would look ridiculous in the eyes of the public: Corbyn challenges own party because they say he needs 38 MPs to support his candidacy, just like every other candidate, and just like Lord Kinnock did in 1988.

    To be clear, I don't think the NEC will see sense tomorrow. But if they do, Corbyn is finished.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    nunu said:

    RobD said:

    oops

    Rachel Johnson ‏@RachelSJohnson 14m14 minutes ago
    Dear @jonsnowC4 you know I love you and @Channel4News but I will say this just once. Never introduce me as sister of Boris again. Thank you

    smear by association? :D
    They inly have her on because of who her brother is.
    I have some sympathy for her.

    When I considered public service my mother protested in the strongest possible terms.

    She's spent the first 20 years of her life as someone's daughter. The next 20 as someone's wife. Then she had 20 as someone's sister. Said she refused to be known for the rest of her life as someone's mother...
    She should have considered it a noble sacrifice for the greater good of the country!
    Noble sacrifice went out of fashion when the Lancastrians trounced the Yorkists.
  • DeClareDeClare Posts: 483
    John_M said:

    RobD said:

    DeClare said:

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Snap election not possible, the Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011 requires a two thirds majority of the House of Commons to vote for one.
    The Conservatives might all vote for one, but why would Labour or the SNP? Labour are having a civil war and the SNP already have 56 out of a possible 59 seats and so have nothing to gain.
    You can have a vote of no confidence with a simple majority, can't you?
    Yes.
    That would require the Conservatives to have no confidence in themselves and their new Prime Minister.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112
    DeClare said:

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Snap election not possible, the Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011 requires a two thirds majority of the House of Commons to vote for one.
    The Conservatives might all vote for one, but why would Labour or the SNP? Labour are having a civil war and the SNP already have 56 out of a possible 59 seats and so have nothing to gain.
    I mean I know they are not really one, but for a serious Opposition to decline such an opportunity would be an explicit admission not only that they could not provide a better government to the incumbent, but that the voting public thought the same.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,158
    DeClare said:

    John_M said:

    RobD said:

    DeClare said:

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Snap election not possible, the Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011 requires a two thirds majority of the House of Commons to vote for one.
    The Conservatives might all vote for one, but why would Labour or the SNP? Labour are having a civil war and the SNP already have 56 out of a possible 59 seats and so have nothing to gain.
    You can have a vote of no confidence with a simple majority, can't you?
    Yes.
    That would require the Conservatives to have no confidence in themselves and their new Prime Minister.
    Yeah, but it would be obvious why they are doing it, and it's not because they lack confidence, it's just the mechanism they are forced to go through.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    RobD said:

    DeClare said:

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Snap election not possible, the Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011 requires a two thirds majority of the House of Commons to vote for one.
    The Conservatives might all vote for one, but why would Labour or the SNP? Labour are having a civil war and the SNP already have 56 out of a possible 59 seats and so have nothing to gain.
    You can have a vote of no confidence with a simple majority, can't you?
    Yes. The Act is flawed because the PCP can just call a NCV on itself presumably?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,169
    TOPPING said:

    I mean I know they are not really one, but for a serious Opposition to decline such an opportunity would be an explicit admission not only that they could not provide a better government to the incumbent, but that the voting public thought the same.

    It would be a moment of sober realism from Labour.

    But they've not been big on that lately, so I shouldn't worry too much.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,765

    DeClare said:

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Snap election not possible, the Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011 requires a two thirds majority of the House of Commons to vote for one.
    The Conservatives might all vote for one, but why would Labour or the SNP? Labour are having a civil war and the SNP already have 56 out of a possible 59 seats and so have nothing to gain.
    Why would the Conservatives want a snap election? More particularly, why would Theresa May? At best she'd gain a year in power -- except once you give up five-year terms, we will likely return to four year parliaments, which is where Theresa May came in.
    I've said for months that a snap election was for the birds. One was mooted originally because it was felt that Boris would look ridiculous as PM amid the Brexit chaos, so had to get a mandate to stabilise his position. That doesn't apply to May, who's very much continuity-Cameron, so she'll serve out her allocated time.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    IanB2 said:


    Except that the argument moves at that point to the extent to which the NEC's constitutional role as interpreter of the rules means that their interpretation can be overturned?

    That's clear, as I've shown many times.

    There's no clause in the Labour Rules which purports to oust the Courts from being the final arbiter of questions of law.
    And if there was, it would in any case be contrary to public policy and void.

    Lee v Showmen's Guild of GB [1952] 2 QB 329, per Denning LJ
    'Although the jurisdiction of a domestic tribunal is founded on contract, express or implied, nevertheless the parties are not free to make any contract they like. There are important limitations imposed by public policy. The tribunal must, for instance, observe the principles of natural justice. .. Another limitation arises out of the well-known principle that parties cannot by contract oust the ordinary courts from their jurisdiction. They can, of course, agree to leave questions of law, as well as questions of fact, to the decision of the domestic tribunal. They can, indeed, make the tribunal the final arbiter on questions of fact, but they cannot make it the final arbiter on questions of law. They cannot prevent its decisions being examined by the courts. If parties should seek, by agreement, to take the law out of the hands of the courts and put it into the hands of a private tribunal, without any recourse at all to the courts in case of error of law, then the agreement is to that extent contrary to public policy and void.
    ...
    '[the court] cannot permit a domestic tribunal to deprive a member of his livelihood or to injure him in it, unless the contract, on its true construction, gives the tribunal power to do so.
    I repeat "on its true construction," because I desire to emphasize that the true construction of the contract is to be decided by the courts and by no one else. [It was] argued that it was for the committee of the guild to construe the rules, and that, so long as they put an honest construction on them, their construction was binding on the members, even though it was a wrong construction. I cannot agree with that contention. The rules are the contract between the members. The committee cannot extend their jurisdiction by giving a wrong interpretation to the contract, no matter how honest they may be. They have only such jurisdiction as the contract on its true interpretation confers on them, not what they think it confers. The scope of their jurisdiction is a matter for the courts, and not for the parties, let alone for one of them.'


    See also
    Baker v Jones [1954] 1 WLR 1005
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    If Corbyn is kept off the ballot against the party rules, and an electable leader then wins a GE, could the left try to install him as PM through a legal challenge?

    Arf!
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    IanB2 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.

    I'm not a Corbynite but I think he has been treated terribly by the Labour and wider establishment. Like it or not, he earned a mandate that should have entitled him to put a prospectus to the public in a GE. If that crashed and burnt then so be it. But the Labour Party has to get away from the relentless on-messaging and meaningless sloganizing that it descended into after 2001.
    :+1:
    That's the real tragedy of it all. Even if the rebels regain the leadership, they don't have a better platform, nor someone more in touch with their core voters - their life is better because they don't have to sit in parliament behind Corbyn, but when it comes to the GE it doesn't seem to me that they will be any better off?
    It's the same 200 odd seats whether its Eagle, Smith or Corbyn I reckon. Actually probably less if it is Eagle.
    I agree of coUrse if there is an SDP2

    Could be less as left of centre vote splits and 400+ Tories are returned.

    Some talk about whether the "moderates" should be allowed in the Lib Dems. I said that we should think very carefully before allowing them in. Doubt Tim Farron will be overly keen to have the worst of the schemers in..
    Apparently Roy Jenkins was planning to become a Liberal in 1980, but the Liberals encouraged him to form a new party instead.
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    Impressed with the Tories being very clinical in electing a new Prime Minister less than 3 weeks after the last one resigned. They took less time than the NHS takes to appoint a health care assistant.

    Labour just on self-destruct with the joker as leader. Are these guys for real?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,295
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    IanB2 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.

    I'm not a Corbynite but I think he has been treated terribly by the Labour and wider establishment. Like it or not, he earned a mandate that should have entitled him to put a prospectus to the public in a GE. If that crashed and burnt then so be it. But the Labour Party has to get away from the relentless on-messaging and meaningless sloganizing that it descended into after 2001.
    :+1:
    That's the real tragedy of it all. Even if the rebels regain the leadership, they don't have a better platform, nor someone more in touch with their core voters - their life is better because they don't have to sit in parliament behind Corbyn, but when it comes to the GE it doesn't seem to me that they will be any better off?
    It's the same 200 odd seats whether its Eagle, Smith or Corbyn I reckon. Actually probably less if it is Eagle.
    I agree of coUrse if there is an SDP2

    Could be less as left of centre vote splits and 400+ Tories are returned.

    Some talk about whether the "moderates" should be allowed in the Lib Dems. I said that we should think very carefully before allowing them in. Doubt Tim Farron will be overly keen to have the worst of the schemers in..
    It didn't make sense for them to join the liberals in the 1980s and the same applies now.

    If they form a new party I think it will be more difficult for the LibDems to move into a formal alliance than it was back then.

    But this doesn't rule out agreements not to contest a limited range of seats on each side.

    But a better scenario would be a broader agreement, involving as many of the non-Tory parties as possible, on a once-only basis around a common platform centred around constitutional reform.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,169
    One good thing Jeremy Corbyn has done is make sure that it's not only the female politicians who are being judged for their sartorial choices - which is of course a despicable relic of a chauvinist past.

    Admittedly it's because he is one of only two men in history with less dress sense than me (Wossy being the other) but it's a start.

    I've still not heard of any markets on Theresa's shoes, by the way. Maybe another sign of progress?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112
    ydoethur said:

    TOPPING said:

    I mean I know they are not really one, but for a serious Opposition to decline such an opportunity would be an explicit admission not only that they could not provide a better government to the incumbent, but that the voting public thought the same.

    It would be a moment of sober realism from Labour.

    But they've not been big on that lately, so I shouldn't worry too much.
    Yes true.

    As my grandmother used to day, now is not the time for logic.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783

    ydoethur said:

    Is Len McCluskey for real, or is he on a colossal wind-up? His endorsement of Corbyn is moving from fulsome to adulatory.

    Think you call it solidarity

    No, you call it a six figure salary, a great pension package and all your closest challengers being on the left.

  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,740
    edited July 2016
    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,169
    TOPPING said:

    ydoethur said:

    TOPPING said:

    I mean I know they are not really one, but for a serious Opposition to decline such an opportunity would be an explicit admission not only that they could not provide a better government to the incumbent, but that the voting public thought the same.

    It would be a moment of sober realism from Labour.

    But they've not been big on that lately, so I shouldn't worry too much.
    Yes true.

    As my grandmother used to day, now is not the time for logic.
    Labour will be just left with their Bones!

    (Sorry to steal a Trekkie pun, @TheScreamingEagles but I couldn't resist!)
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    I reckon David Miliband comes back to lead SDP2

    Whether he could win a By-Election is doubtful but not absolutely necessary
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,655
    Will any of the Labour moderates/172 come out and state that they should think Jezza should be on the ballot. The positions are NOT mutually exclusive, and any that does so would go up in my estimation.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Sean_F said:

    Moses_ said:

    RodCrosby said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.
    They're relying on nothing, but a tortured reading of the rules, and wishful thinking for words that are not even there.

    It's crystal clear now that the rules were amended by conference in 2010 to remove the very ambiguity the plotters are now claiming to rely on...
    https://twitter.com/MadMazTotalRock/status/752085081947250688
    I would say that's pretty clear cut. It states "challengers" need nominees. Feck all about the sitting tenant requiring them.

    However....

    If they declare a leadership contest when a challenger has achieved the required number of nominations as per this rule then if the present leader wishes to continue in post does the leader by default then also become a "challenger" ( for the position) and if that's so then they would I suppose need the required nominations.

    Or not?
    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.
    I agree I do but even so If a contest is declared then they would become " a challenger".

    Unless it states clearly such a contest can continue with a leader who has not resigned which is a political coup in all but name.

    Awkward.
  • DaveDaveDaveDave Posts: 76
    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783
    SMukesh said:

    Impressed with the Tories being very clinical in electing a new Prime Minister less than 3 weeks after the last one resigned. They took less time than the NHS takes to appoint a health care assistant.

    Labour just on self-destruct with the joker as leader. Are these guys for real?

    The hard left is not interested in Parliamentary democracy. The workers will rise from the streets to instal a genuine socialist dictatorship of the proletariat. Corbyn, Milne etc genuinely believe this and as with all revolutionaries they have their useful idiot helpers!

  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768

    ydoethur said:

    Is Len McCluskey for real, or is he on a colossal wind-up? His endorsement of Corbyn is moving from fulsome to adulatory.

    Think you call it solidarity

    No, you call it a six figure salary, a great pension package and all your closest challengers being on the left.

    How much do Blairite MPs get.

    Money for old rope.

    BTW did you rejoin before 24/6/16?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,169
    MikeL said:

    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

    I'd already posted on that. I have wondered since though if she found that there was tactical voting involved and her genuine level of support was lower.

    It was too low, realistically. Even IDS got north of 30% and that was in a race where if I remember correctly three votes separated all the candidates on the final ballot.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783

    ydoethur said:

    Is Len McCluskey for real, or is he on a colossal wind-up? His endorsement of Corbyn is moving from fulsome to adulatory.

    Think you call it solidarity

    No, you call it a six figure salary, a great pension package and all your closest challengers being on the left.

    How much do Blairite MPs get.

    Money for old rope.

    BTW did you rejoin before 24/6/16?

    Blairite MPs get the same as all other MPs and a lot less than Len McCluskey.

  • A google image search of Teresa brings up mostly pictures of Theresa, and a few photoshops that require mind bleach!
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    To quote Rhod Gilbert

    Never seen such a mess since Abu Hamza agreed to help his neighbour catch the pet Budgie
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Pulpstar said:

    Will any of the Labour moderates/172 come out and state that they should think Jezza should be on the ballot. The positions are NOT mutually exclusive, and any that does so would go up in my estimation.

    He can get on the ballot if he gets the required nominations. He should count himself bloody lucky - if he were bound by Tory Party rules he wouldn't even be able to run! What are Liberal rules by the way?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    MikeL said:

    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

    Does the 84 include her?

    In which case it would be 83/329 [25.22%] as you can't really win your own support
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    Moses_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    Moses_ said:

    RodCrosby said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.
    They're relying on nothing, but a tortured reading of the rules, and wishful thinking for words that are not even there.

    It's crystal clear now that the rules were amended by conference in 2010 to remove the very ambiguity the plotters are now claiming to rely on...
    https://twitter.com/MadMazTotalRock/status/752085081947250688
    I would say that's pretty clear cut. It states "challengers" need nominees. Feck all about the sitting tenant requiring them.

    However....

    If they declare a leadership contest when a challenger has achieved the required number of nominations as per this rule then if the present leader wishes to continue in post does the leader by default then also become a "challenger" ( for the position) and if that's so then they would I suppose need the required nominations.

    Or not?
    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.
    I agree I do but even so If a contest is declared then they would become " a challenger".

    Unless it states clearly such a contest can continue with a leader who has not resigned which is a political coup in all but name.

    Awkward.
    He would be the incumbent, not a challenger
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768

    ydoethur said:

    Is Len McCluskey for real, or is he on a colossal wind-up? His endorsement of Corbyn is moving from fulsome to adulatory.

    Think you call it solidarity

    No, you call it a six figure salary, a great pension package and all your closest challengers being on the left.

    How much do Blairite MPs get.

    Money for old rope.

    BTW did you rejoin before 24/6/16?

    Blairite MPs get the same as all other MPs and a lot less than Len McCluskey.

    Did you rejoin before 24.6.16?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,169
    edited July 2016
    Jobabob said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Will any of the Labour moderates/172 come out and state that they should think Jezza should be on the ballot. The positions are NOT mutually exclusive, and any that does so would go up in my estimation.

    He can get on the ballot if he gets the required nominations. He should count himself bloody lucky - if he were bound by Tory Party rules he wouldn't even be able to run! What are Liberal rules by the way?
    Liberal rules are that the last MP standing is entitled to be called the Glorious Prince of Orange?

    And on that bombshell, I'm off to bed. Good night.

    Edit- if you're really interested it's here, page 26:

    https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/libdems/pages/376/attachments/original/1457978310/LD_Federal_Constitution.pdf?1457978310

    Basically, a vote of no confidence triggers an election, but it looks as though the leader can stand again if nominated. No shortcuts allows for though.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Moses_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    Moses_ said:

    RodCrosby said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.
    They're relying on nothing, but a tortured reading of the rules, and wishful thinking for words that are not even there.

    It's crystal clear now that the rules were amended by conference in 2010 to remove the very ambiguity the plotters are now claiming to rely on...
    https://twitter.com/MadMazTotalRock/status/752085081947250688
    I would say that's pretty clear cut. It states "challengers" need nominees. Feck all about the sitting tenant requiring them.

    However....

    If they declare a leadership contest when a challenger has achieved the required number of nominations as per this rule then if the present leader wishes to continue in post does the leader by default then also become a "challenger" ( for the position) and if that's so then they would I suppose need the required nominations.

    Or not?
    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.
    I agree I do but even so If a contest is declared then they would become " a challenger".

    Unless it states clearly such a contest can continue with a leader who has not resigned which is a political coup in all but name.

    Awkward.
    The courts will look for plain meanings...

    "challenger
    noun [ C ] UK /ˈtʃæl.ɪn.dʒər/ US /ˈtʃæl.ɪn.dʒɚ/
    someone who tries to win a competition, fight, or sports event from someone who has previously won it"

    http://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/challenger
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,405
    ydoethur said:

    MikeL said:

    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

    I'd already posted on that. I have wondered since though if she found that there was tactical voting involved and her genuine level of support was lower.

    It was too low, realistically. Even IDS got north of 30% and that was in a race where if I remember correctly three votes separated all the candidates on the final ballot.
    No it was 6 votes:

    Clarke 59
    IDS 54
    Portillo 53

    Full details
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,295
    saddened said:

    Moses_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    Moses_ said:

    RodCrosby said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.
    They're relying on nothing, but a tortured reading of the rules, and wishful thinking for words that are not even there.

    It's crystal clear now that the rules were amended by conference in 2010 to remove the very ambiguity the plotters are now claiming to rely on...
    https://twitter.com/MadMazTotalRock/status/752085081947250688
    I would say that's pretty clear cut. It states "challengers" need nominees. Feck all about the sitting tenant requiring them.

    However....

    If they declare a leadership contest when a challenger has achieved the required number of nominations as per this rule then if the present leader wishes to continue in post does the leader by default then also become a "challenger" ( for the position) and if that's so then they would I suppose need the required nominations.

    Or not?
    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.
    I agree I do but even so If a contest is declared then they would become " a challenger".

    Unless it states clearly such a contest can continue with a leader who has not resigned which is a political coup in all but name.

    Awkward.
    He would be the incumbent, not a challenger
    The next stage is the NEC, which has now reputable legal opinions in support of both positions. Thus the decision is entirely political, and the only question right now is whether the rebels have the votes to rule that Corbyn needs nominations. Only if we get to that point does the possibility of legal challenge arise and, as with any legal action, there will be a a range of pros and cons not solely limited to objective assessment of the rules.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    MikeL said:

    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

    Does that include the speaker?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,450
    DeClare said:

    John_M said:

    RobD said:

    DeClare said:

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Jobabob said:

    Timing of NEC meeting is interesting. Coronation of May might concentrate minds.

    1. Centrist electable Tory PM
    2. Possible snap election

    Hmm.

    Snap election not possible, the Fixed Term Parliaments Act 2011 requires a two thirds majority of the House of Commons to vote for one.
    The Conservatives might all vote for one, but why would Labour or the SNP? Labour are having a civil war and the SNP already have 56 out of a possible 59 seats and so have nothing to gain.
    You can have a vote of no confidence with a simple majority, can't you?
    Yes.
    That would require the Conservatives to have no confidence in themselves and their new Prime Minister.
    As long as it's with Theresa's support (would be a bit odd if it wasn't) that wouldn't be a problem.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    Moses_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    Moses_ said:

    RodCrosby said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.
    They're relying on nothing, but a tortured reading of the rules, and wishful thinking for words that are not even there.

    It's crystal clear now that the rules were amended by conference in 2010 to remove the very ambiguity the plotters are now claiming to rely on...
    https://twitter.com/MadMazTotalRock/status/752085081947250688
    I would say that's pretty clear cut. It states "challengers" need nominees. Feck all about the sitting tenant requiring them.

    However....

    If they declare a leadership contest when a challenger has achieved the required number of nominations as per this rule then if the present leader wishes to continue in post does the leader by default then also become a "challenger" ( for the position) and if that's so then they would I suppose need the required nominations.

    Or not?
    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.
    I agree I do but even so If a contest is declared then they would become " a challenger".

    Unless it states clearly such a contest can continue with a leader who has not resigned which is a political coup in all but name.

    Awkward.
    There are tons of grey areas, those you cite above plus the fact that the leader needs to command the support of the PLP. Indeed, the NCV was only never specified to be binding because it was assumed that any leader who lost one would immediately stand down. The rules have been drafted incredibly badly, but were done on the assumption that anyone leading a great British party of state would have a sense of honour. Fitalass's post up thread is worth reading - as she says, the Corbynistas have tested the rules to their very limits.
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759

    SMukesh said:

    Impressed with the Tories being very clinical in electing a new Prime Minister less than 3 weeks after the last one resigned. They took less time than the NHS takes to appoint a health care assistant.

    Labour just on self-destruct with the joker as leader. Are these guys for real?

    The hard left is not interested in Parliamentary democracy. The workers will rise from the streets to instal a genuine socialist dictatorship of the proletariat. Corbyn, Milne etc genuinely believe this and as with all revolutionaries they have their useful idiot helpers!

    Sad to see a major political party behave like a pack of loons. That idiot Ed Miliband has a lot to answer for with his 3 quid reform.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,169
    edited July 2016

    ydoethur said:

    MikeL said:

    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

    I'd already posted on that. I have wondered since though if she found that there was tactical voting involved and her genuine level of support was lower.

    It was too low, realistically. Even IDS got north of 30% and that was in a race where if I remember correctly three votes separated all the candidates on the final ballot.
    No it was 6 votes:

    Clarke 59
    IDS 54
    Portillo 53

    Full details
    Thanks. Knew it was close. Doesn't change the basic point that May had far more than the other two put together which was not the case in 2001.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    ydoethur said:

    Jobabob said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Will any of the Labour moderates/172 come out and state that they should think Jezza should be on the ballot. The positions are NOT mutually exclusive, and any that does so would go up in my estimation.

    He can get on the ballot if he gets the required nominations. He should count himself bloody lucky - if he were bound by Tory Party rules he wouldn't even be able to run! What are Liberal rules by the way?
    Liberal rules are that the last MP standing is entitled to be called the Glorious Prince of Orange?

    And on that bombshell, I'm off to bed. Good night.

    Edit- if you're really interested it's here, page 26:

    https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/libdems/pages/376/attachments/original/1457978310/LD_Federal_Constitution.pdf?1457978310

    Basically, a vote of no confidence triggers an election, but it looks as though the leader can stand again if nominated. No shortcuts allows for though.
    So exactly what the PLP are proposing the Labour rules are. Fair enough
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783

    ydoethur said:

    Is Len McCluskey for real, or is he on a colossal wind-up? His endorsement of Corbyn is moving from fulsome to adulatory.

    Think you call it solidarity

    No, you call it a six figure salary, a great pension package and all your closest challengers being on the left.

    How much do Blairite MPs get.

    Money for old rope.

    BTW did you rejoin before 24/6/16?

    Blairite MPs get the same as all other MPs and a lot less than Len McCluskey.

    Did you rejoin before 24.6.16?

    No, afterwards.

  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    Dream on.

    Labour members and the unions would just not accept such an undemocratic move
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    If Corbyn cannot get 50 odd people to support him in Parliament, then what credibility is left?
  • DaveDaveDaveDave Posts: 76
    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    Time will tell. Corbyn should be ballot
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052
    Did any clever person have an accumulator on Brexit, May and the destruction of the Labour Party? All in time for the summer holidays? We've been in uncharted territory so often in the last three weeks that the Ordnance Survey website now just says "Here be dragons."

    One consolation of Labour's impending split is that Knowsley council might finally go No Overall Control.
  • So let me just get this clear in my mind - since the referendum the pro-remain Prime Minister has resigned and is replaced by a pro-remain minister who isn't half as competent as he was. Meanwhile the Labour Party are forcing their leader to have an election so that they can elect a new leader...who will probably be the leader they have now.

    It all makes perfect sense
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Jobabob said:

    Moses_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    Moses_ said:

    RodCrosby said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.
    They're relying on nothing, but a tortured reading of the rules, and wishful thinking for words that are not even there.

    It's crystal clear now that the rules were amended by conference in 2010 to remove the very ambiguity the plotters are now claiming to rely on...
    https://twitter.com/MadMazTotalRock/status/752085081947250688
    I would say that's pretty clear cut. It states "challengers" need nominees. Feck all about the sitting tenant requiring them.

    However....

    If they declare a leadership contest when a challenger has achieved the required number of nominations as per this rule then if the present leader wishes to continue in post does the leader by default then also become a "challenger" ( for the position) and if that's so then they would I suppose need the required nominations.

    Or not?
    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.
    I agree I do but even so If a contest is declared then they would become " a challenger".

    Unless it states clearly such a contest can continue with a leader who has not resigned which is a political coup in all but name.

    Awkward.
    There are tons of grey areas, those you cite above plus the fact that the leader needs to command the support of the PLP. Indeed, the NCV was only never specified to be binding because it was assumed that any leader who lost one would immediately stand down. The rules have been drafted incredibly badly, but were done on the assumption that anyone leading a great British party of state would have a sense of honour. Fitalass's post up thread is worth reading - as she says, the Corbynistas have tested the rules to their very limits.
    That's all supposition, and trying to replace the actual rules with ones you would prefer...
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783
    SMukesh said:

    SMukesh said:

    Impressed with the Tories being very clinical in electing a new Prime Minister less than 3 weeks after the last one resigned. They took less time than the NHS takes to appoint a health care assistant.

    Labour just on self-destruct with the joker as leader. Are these guys for real?

    The hard left is not interested in Parliamentary democracy. The workers will rise from the streets to instal a genuine socialist dictatorship of the proletariat. Corbyn, Milne etc genuinely believe this and as with all revolutionaries they have their useful idiot helpers!

    Sad to see a major political party behave like a pack of loons. That idiot Ed Miliband has a lot to answer for with his 3 quid reform.

    Yep, only one leader of a major political party has been worse than Ed: the man who succeeded him.

  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,999
    Jobabob said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Will any of the Labour moderates/172 come out and state that they should think Jezza should be on the ballot. The positions are NOT mutually exclusive, and any that does so would go up in my estimation.

    He can get on the ballot if he gets the required nominations. He should count himself bloody lucky - if he were bound by Tory Party rules he wouldn't even be able to run! What are Liberal rules by the way?
    A Conservative MP only needs the support of two MPs to enter a party leadership contest.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,405
    edited July 2016
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    MikeL said:

    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

    I'd already posted on that. I have wondered since though if she found that there was tactical voting involved and her genuine level of support was lower.

    It was too low, realistically. Even IDS got north of 30% and that was in a race where if I remember correctly three votes separated all the candidates on the final ballot.
    No it was 6 votes:

    Clarke 59
    IDS 54
    Portillo 53

    Full details
    Thanks. Knew it was close. Doesn't change the basic point that May had far more than the other two put together which was not the case in 2001.
    If one Tory MP had voted for Portillo instead of for IDS, the former could have been Tory Leader!

    But we probably would never have had any Great British Railway journeys....

    (PS. I did Southampton to Weymouth for the first time today:)
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Jobabob said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Will any of the Labour moderates/172 come out and state that they should think Jezza should be on the ballot. The positions are NOT mutually exclusive, and any that does so would go up in my estimation.

    He can get on the ballot if he gets the required nominations. He should count himself bloody lucky - if he were bound by Tory Party rules he wouldn't even be able to run! What are Liberal rules by the way?
    A Conservative MP only needs the support of two MPs to enter a party leadership contest.
    Yes but not when they are a leader who has lost a NCV - can't run
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783

    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    If Corbyn cannot get 50 odd people to support him in Parliament, then what credibility is left?

    Corbyn genuinely doesn't care about Parliament.

  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,655
    edited July 2016
    Jobabob said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Will any of the Labour moderates/172 come out and state that they should think Jezza should be on the ballot. The positions are NOT mutually exclusive, and any that does so would go up in my estimation.

    He can get on the ballot if he gets the required nominations. He should count himself bloody lucky - if he were bound by Tory Party rules he wouldn't even be able to run! What are Liberal rules by the way?
    1. Leadership election rules
    Leadership elections are called when the Leader of the Liberal Democrats resigns, dies, or loses his seat in Parliament; or if a vote of no confidence in the Leader is passed by a majority of Liberal Democrat MPs, or at least 75 local parties. Nominations must be of Members of the Parliamentary Party in the House of Commons and need the support of 10% of Liberal Democrat MPs, as well as 200 party members drawn from no less than 20 local parties. A postal ballot of all party members is held to determine who will become the next leader.

    Very very clear. Quite similiar to the Conservative rules in some ways.

    Corbyn would be out under these rules of course - but each party must respect its own rules and he undoubtedly should be IN under Labour rules.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    RodCrosby said:

    Jobabob said:

    Moses_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    Moses_ said:

    RodCrosby said:

    theakes said:

    Re NEC: There is other legal opinion that says the opposite, my reading is that the nomination issue only applies to challengers. However it will I presume end up in the Courts, heaven knows how long that will take, what with the need to adjourn so that the matter can be given consideration and then there are the prospect of appeals, hey ho sometime next year then.

    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.
    They're relying on nothing, but a tortured reading of the rules, and wishful thinking for words that are not even there.

    It's crystal clear now that the rules were amended by conference in 2010 to remove the very ambiguity the plotters are now claiming to rely on...
    https://twitter.com/MadMazTotalRock/status/752085081947250688
    I would say that's pretty clear cut. It states "challengers" need nominees. Feck all about the sitting tenant requiring them.

    However....

    If they declare a leadership contest when a challenger has achieved the required number of nominations as per this rule then if the present leader wishes to continue in post does the leader by default then also become a "challenger" ( for the position) and if that's so then they would I suppose need the required nominations.

    Or not?
    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.
    I agree I do but even so If a contest is declared then they would become " a challenger".

    Unless it states clearly such a contest can continue with a leader who has not resigned which is a political coup in all but name.

    Awkward.
    There are tons of grey areas, those you cite above plus the fact that the leader needs to command the support of the PLP. Indeed, the NCV was only never specified to be binding because it was assumed that any leader who lost one would immediately stand down. The rules have been drafted incredibly badly, but were done on the assumption that anyone leading a great British party of state would have a sense of honour. Fitalass's post up thread is worth reading - as she says, the Corbynistas have tested the rules to their very limits.
    That's all supposition, and trying to replace the actual rules with ones you would prefer...
    I'm not trying to replace anything. I am merely saying that there are lots of grey areas. You are the only making concrete claims (which are based on the rules you would prefer)
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,999
    RodCrosby said:

    Moses_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    Moses_ said:

    RodCrosby said:



    I have to say, based on the rules posted here the PLP will lose. As far as I can see the PLP is relying entirely on precedent.

    They're relying on nothing, but a tortured reading of the rules, and wishful thinking for words that are not even there.

    It's crystal clear now that the rules were amended by conference in 2010 to remove the very ambiguity the plotters are now claiming to rely on...
    https://twitter.com/MadMazTotalRock/status/752085081947250688
    I would say that's pretty clear cut. It states "challengers" need nominees. Feck all about the sitting tenant requiring them.

    However....

    If they declare a leadership contest when a challenger has achieved the required number of nominations as per this rule then if the present leader wishes to continue in post does the leader by default then also become a "challenger" ( for the position) and if that's so then they would I suppose need the required nominations.

    Or not?
    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.
    I agree I do but even so If a contest is declared then they would become " a challenger".

    Unless it states clearly such a contest can continue with a leader who has not resigned which is a political coup in all but name.

    Awkward.
    The courts will look for plain meanings...

    "challenger
    noun [ C ] UK /ˈtʃæl.ɪn.dʒər/ US /ˈtʃæl.ɪn.dʒɚ/
    someone who tries to win a competition, fight, or sports event from someone who has previously won it"

    http://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/challenger
    Quite.

    There's also the matter of due process. As a leadership election is only declared if a candidate submits a properly-documented challenge, with all the MPs/MEPs supporting it, then a leader is always placed in a reactive position. True, he or she could be obliged to secure the 20% each year as a failsafe but I'm pretty sure that the precedent will be that leaders never have in the past. If that's the case then a challenger could simply wait until just before the deadline before submitting, leaving the leader stranded simply by playing the timetable. That consideration doesn't apply to any other MP, only the leader. As such, due process would have to be - as is implied in the rules anyway - automatic entry to the ballot.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,295
    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    I would expect most of the Tory arguments to be over, now, at least until the shape of Brexit becomes clear. Which leaves Labour very exposed with potentially months of wrangling to come.
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    Having seen Eagle on tv a couple of times I thought she was awful so googled her.

    Angela Eagle MP (born 17 February 1961) is a British Labour Party politician, who has been the Member of Parliament (MP) for Wallasey since the 1992 general election. Eagle was born in Yorkshire and studied PPE at Oxford University, before working for the CBI and then a trade union.

    She's even more predictably awful than I thought.

    No idea what May will be like as PM, if the opposition is going to be of this standard she'll have more problems from within her own party.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,999
    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Will any of the Labour moderates/172 come out and state that they should think Jezza should be on the ballot. The positions are NOT mutually exclusive, and any that does so would go up in my estimation.

    He can get on the ballot if he gets the required nominations. He should count himself bloody lucky - if he were bound by Tory Party rules he wouldn't even be able to run! What are Liberal rules by the way?
    A Conservative MP only needs the support of two MPs to enter a party leadership contest.
    Yes but not when they are a leader who has lost a NCV - can't run
    That is true.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/11/corbyn-supporters-protest-over-labour-nec-meeting?CMP=twt_gu

    The coup leaders want Corbyn to be excluded from the meeting and a secret ballot

    Extraordinary to what lengths they will go to.

    Aint gonna end well for them IMO
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112
    Mark3 said:

    ydoethur said:

    It is remarkable to note that there is a poster on here who attempts to defend Corbyn by smearing Hodge's conduct as leader of Islington, without pausing to reflect what seat Corbyn sits for and whether any problems within the Labour Party there might also affect him.

    Now she has led an attempt to destroy the entire Labour party
    I think she's midway down quite a long queue.

  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    If Corbyn cannot get 50 odd people to support him in Parliament, then what credibility is left?
    Well that's exactly the nub of the view of my former Corbyn-sympathetic wife and my numerous Corbynite friends (some of whom who are party members and actually voted for him, to my horror). They can't see why he shouldn't have to get nominations: anything less just looks like clinging on.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,355
    nunu said:

    MikeL said:

    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

    Does that include the speaker?
    deputy speakers?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,655

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/11/corbyn-supporters-protest-over-labour-nec-meeting?CMP=twt_gu

    The coup leaders want Corbyn to be excluded from the meeting and a secret ballot

    Extraordinary to what lengths they will go to.

    Aint gonna end well for them IMO

    Do you think Tom Watson should be allowed to continue as Deputy ? He is clearly at the heart of these shennanigans imo. A vote on his deputyship should be called - if one of the Corbynistas can gather the neccesary signatures of course...
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,999

    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    Dream on.

    Labour members and the unions would just not accept such an undemocratic move
    What do you think they would do if the NEC did rule to require Corbyn to garner nominations, and the courts upheld that decision?

    Were it not for the expectation that the courts would rule the other way - i.e. in Corbyn's favour - it would make a great deal of sense to keep him off the ballot precisely in order to rid the party of the infiltrators and nutcases.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768

    ydoethur said:

    Is Len McCluskey for real, or is he on a colossal wind-up? His endorsement of Corbyn is moving from fulsome to adulatory.

    Think you call it solidarity

    No, you call it a six figure salary, a great pension package and all your closest challengers being on the left.

    How much do Blairite MPs get.

    Money for old rope.

    BTW did you rejoin before 24/6/16?

    Blairite MPs get the same as all other MPs and a lot less than Len McCluskey.

    Did you rejoin before 24.6.16?

    No, afterwards.

    No NEC vote as things stand.

    The battle for the NEC is where its at.

    Hence all the shananagans re tomorrows meeting.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769
    Back from my CLP. 147 members joined since Brexit, Backed a Corbyn motion 2 to 1.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112
    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    If Corbyn cannot get 50 odd people to support him in Parliament, then what credibility is left?
    Well that's exactly the nub of the view of my former Corbyn-sympathetic wife and my numerous Corbynite friends (some of whom who are party members and actually voted for him, to my horror). They can't see why he shouldn't have to get nominations: anything less just looks like clinging on.
    The difference with the Cons and with Lab is that in all likelihood someone with a some degree of pragmatism and common sense whispered into Andrea's ear that enough was enough.

    The only people doing the whispering in Lab are Seumas Milne and John McDonnell.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,717
    BBC Comres poll has 66% backing entry to the single market as more important than cutting immigration given a straight choice between the two
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,769

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/11/corbyn-supporters-protest-over-labour-nec-meeting?CMP=twt_gu

    The coup leaders want Corbyn to be excluded from the meeting and a secret ballot

    Extraordinary to what lengths they will go to.

    Aint gonna end well for them IMO

    There is now no way this can end well.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    Just had dinner with somebody who was sat next to Theresa May at a formal dinner a couple of weeks back. Never one to flinch from the direct question, he asked her "why did you change from Leave to Remain?" She bristled. "I was undecided..." was her reply.

  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/11/corbyn-supporters-protest-over-labour-nec-meeting?CMP=twt_gu

    The coup leaders want Corbyn to be excluded from the meeting and a secret ballot

    Extraordinary to what lengths they will go to.

    Aint gonna end well for them IMO

    Corbyn supporters should refuse any secret ballot, and insist on somehow recording and publishing their vote [e.g. photo/twitter], thereby revealing those who do want a secret ballot to be the plotters...
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,405

    Having seen Eagle on tv a couple of times I thought she was awful so googled her.

    Angela Eagle MP (born 17 February 1961) is a British Labour Party politician, who has been the Member of Parliament (MP) for Wallasey since the 1992 general election. Eagle was born in Yorkshire and studied PPE at Oxford University, before working for the CBI and then a trade union.

    She's even more predictably awful than I thought.

    No idea what May will be like as PM, if the opposition is going to be of this standard she'll have more problems from within her own party.

    "Angela Eagle" is an Old English phrase meaning "extremely lighweight" :lol:

    :lol::lol:
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Anyone remember decapitation? At the end of 2004, Mike was asking us whether Theresa May would survive in Maidenhead :)

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2004/12/30/our-election-prediction-competition/
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,409
    edited July 2016
  • MikeOMikeO Posts: 2
    I just watched the BBC News at 10.

    I am a bit surprised that none of the senior reporters seem to understand the British Constitution. I thought that might have been a requirement for the job...
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    Dream on.

    Labour members and the unions would just not accept such an undemocratic move
    You throw this word undemocratic an awful lot. You don't seem to grasp its meaning. Here are the facts:

    A) the PLP 172 are elected by millions on a centre-left platform
    B) They are only asking Corbyn to find 50 nominations, the same as any other candidate
    C) Corbyn has lost a NCV. Were he bound by Tory rules he wouldn't even be able to run, never mind seek nominations

    I don't see why seeking 50 nominations from those with a mandate of their electorate is in any way undemocratic.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,655
    TOPPING said:

    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    If Corbyn cannot get 50 odd people to support him in Parliament, then what credibility is left?
    Well that's exactly the nub of the view of my former Corbyn-sympathetic wife and my numerous Corbynite friends (some of whom who are party members and actually voted for him, to my horror). They can't see why he shouldn't have to get nominations: anything less just looks like clinging on.
    The difference with the Cons and with Lab is that in all likelihood someone with a some degree of pragmatism and common sense whispered into Andrea's ear that enough was enough.

    The only people doing the whispering in Lab are Seumas Milne and John McDonnell.
    Seumas Milne, McDonnell and Tom Watson without doubt - but the rules are clear !
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    HYUFD said:

    BBC Comres poll has 66% backing entry to the single market as more important than cutting immigration given a straight choice between the two

    Does that mean BBC paid Comres for a poll? Disgraceful if so, their function is to report the news in an unbiased manner not waste licence payer's money.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865
    Mark3 said:

    Moses_ said:

    Sean_F said:

    A sitting Leader isn't a challenger.

    I agree I do but even so If a contest is declared then they would become " a challenger".

    Unless it states clearly such a contest can continue with a leader who has not resigned which is a political coup in all but name.

    Awkward.
    The sitting leader remains the leader during the contest unless he has resigned or otherwise been removed from office. So long as he is leader he is not a challenger. That flows from the accepted meanings of "leader" and "challenger".

    Ok
    That means he has to be on the ballot as he hasn't resigned and hasn't been removed from office unless a NCV means removal from office?

    I can see how lawyers earn their mullah now arguing about a single word for days on end.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,999

    nunu said:

    MikeL said:

    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

    Does that include the speaker?
    deputy speakers?
    330 excludes the speaker but includes Eleanor Laing (who voted) and David Cameron (who didn't).
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270

    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    Dream on.

    Labour members and the unions would just not accept such an undemocratic move
    What do you think they would do if the NEC did rule to require Corbyn to garner nominations, and the courts upheld that decision?

    Were it not for the expectation that the courts would rule the other way - i.e. in Corbyn's favour - it would make a great deal of sense to keep him off the ballot precisely in order to rid the party of the infiltrators and nutcases.
    They will write in for Corbyn on the ballot paper. It will be clear he has won a landslide....
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    DaveDave said:

    Jobabob said:

    DaveDave said:

    Labour may be seen as a rabble but if Tories argue like Ferrets then they will be ok. I just can't see a split party. Everyone knows that the election is lost if a split.

    The NEC needs to apply the necessary medicine tomorrow. It will be easier to overcome the fallout from that than Corbyn automatically making the ballot in the face of an precedented PLP rebellion.
    Time will tell. Corbyn should be ballot
    If he can find 50 MPs to support his candidacy then yes he should
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    Pulpstar said:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/11/corbyn-supporters-protest-over-labour-nec-meeting?CMP=twt_gu

    The coup leaders want Corbyn to be excluded from the meeting and a secret ballot

    Extraordinary to what lengths they will go to.

    Aint gonna end well for them IMO

    Do you think Tom Watson should be allowed to continue as Deputy ? He is clearly at the heart of these shennanigans imo. A vote on his deputyship should be called - if one of the Corbynistas can gather the neccesary signatures of course...
    I think it looks like he could be in trouble.

    Of course Dennis Skinner gave his views on this earlier "Deselection"

    In my view if Corbyn is kept off the ballot all bets are off.

    Many Many CLPs will call for deselections.

    SDP2 only likely outcome in my view
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,655
    Sunil's "Be Leave" and now Marquee Mark's avatar.

    Hello to all Sun journo headline writers lurking...
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    HYUFD said:

    BBC Comres poll has 66% backing entry to the single market as more important than cutting immigration given a straight choice between the two

    The public are mad.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783

    ydoethur said:

    Is Len McCluskey for real, or is he on a colossal wind-up? His endorsement of Corbyn is moving from fulsome to adulatory.

    Think you call it solidarity

    No, you call it a six figure salary, a great pension package and all your closest challengers being on the left.

    How much do Blairite MPs get.

    Money for old rope.

    BTW did you rejoin before 24/6/16?

    Blairite MPs get the same as all other MPs and a lot less than Len McCluskey.

    Did you rejoin before 24.6.16?

    No, afterwards.

    No NEC vote as things stand.

    The battle for the NEC is where its at.

    Hence all the shananagans re tomorrows meeting.

    I've joined to vote against Corbyn and to get involved more generally. Who knows where all this ends.

  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    I was just thinking that?!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,405

    nunu said:

    MikeL said:

    Leadsom statement today:

    "I won the support of 84 colleagues ..... nevertheless this is less than 25% of the Parliamentary party"

    330 Con MPs

    84/330 = 25.45%

    Does that include the speaker?
    deputy speakers?
    330 excludes the speaker but includes Eleanor Laing (who voted) and David Cameron (who didn't).
    Is Bercow still a Tory member (as opposed to a Tory MP, of course)?
This discussion has been closed.