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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Keiran Pedley on why Jeremy Corbyn should not automatically

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  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    DaveDave said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    JohnO said:

    AndyJS said:

    "'Desperate' commuters on Southern trains are considering a fare strike and will hold a demonstration at Victoria station tomorrow in a "show of anger".
    Hundreds of people have expressed an interest in the rush hour demonstration, scheduled for 5.30pm, claiming lives are being "ruined" by the company's service."

    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/transport/southern-railway-desperate-commuters-to-hold-victoria-station-protest-a3292251.html

    What do we want - Southern Trains
    When do we want it - 18.00, calling at Clapham Jct, East Croydon, Redhill and Gatwick Airport
    Nationalisation of Southern Trains is the answer. Corbyn is the man.
    Nationalisation and then rolling over to the unions?
    Nationalisation is banned under EU law. It won't be post Brexit.
    I don't really get the desire for railway nationalisation. The railways are so much better than when I was younger. More timely, better furnished, lots of cheap advance tickets available. More competition, not less, is surely the answer...

    Edit: that said, my experiences of Southern are less positive. Too big a network?
    If BR had had the £5 billion a year subsidy that this lot get rather than the less than one billion a year they got things would have been somewhat different.
    Sure, sure - but it didn't; and wasn't the main reason for privatisation the recognition that investment was required but not forthcoming with BR a state vehicle?
    The source of the money is the same - you and I the taxpayer.

    No, privatisation was so they could do to the railways what they did to the coal mines. However the TOCs were good at selling the product, passenger numbers went up and the government and the road lobby to their utter horror realised that the rail lobby which had vanished in 1948 upon nationalisation - giving the road lobby free rein - had been reborn and was back with a venegence.
    I suggest you read about Major's motivation for rail privatisation - I can't remember what is was (was it the cost of gilts?) exactly but there were serious reasons why railway infrastructure couldn't get the investment it needed as a state vehicle.

    Probably because Government accounting was stuck in the dark ages (largely still is).

  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    alex. said:

    One of my most deeply held beliefs is that the British people have not really changed nearly as much as the liberal metro commentariat would have us believe. The Tory party in the country is especially untouched by the vagaries of modernisation.
    We Conservatives are being offered a choice between someone who likes us, our values and believes we can win with them and someone who seems to think our Blairite opponents still hold all the trump cards and that our best chance lies in aping them.

    The Tory party in the country may be largely unchanged. There you have your partial explanation for why membership numbers are a fraction of what they were in its heyday.

    But May, a Blairite clone? Based on what? The "nasty party" speech? That's just ridiculous.
    My main concern, and I'm going to be voting for her, is that she has presided over record immigration despite manifesto commitments/ambitions to limit it. And at the same time apparently not instituted any of the steps that might be needed to limit it...
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Idiotic French TV editors again, almost missing a goal while showing replays.
  • valleyboyvalleyboy Posts: 606
    SeanT said:

    Monty said:

    SeanT said:

    How bad is this match?

    How bad is this tournament?

    BREXIT.

    Every game involving Portugal has been poor.
    Almost every game has been poor. A deeply mediocre tournament, a real shame after the last World Cup.

    England were amongst the worst, of course.
    A tournament enlivened by a gallant and sometimes exciting Welsh side.

  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Time for someone to open a book on how long before Sean gets himself banned again....

    Sean never really gets banned - just sent to the drunk tank once in a while ;)
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    Is Casino Royale around at the moment? Am missing his posts...
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    SeanT said:

    Thought: top level international rugby is nearly always more exciting, pumped and tension-fuelled than football.

    Just at the top, mind.

    Top class rugby players all care more about their country than their club. That isn't true in many countries in football: England obviously, but the same disease appears in other countries. Germany and Brazil are the notable exceptions.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    SeanT said:

    Monty said:

    SeanT said:

    How bad is this match?

    How bad is this tournament?

    BREXIT.

    Every game involving Portugal has been poor.
    Almost every game has been poor. A deeply mediocre tournament, a real shame after the last World Cup.

    England were amongst the worst, of course.
    Russia were pisspoor. Made England look good. Hosts for the World Cup....
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346

    SeanT said:

    Monty said:

    SeanT said:

    How bad is this match?

    How bad is this tournament?

    BREXIT.

    Every game involving Portugal has been poor.
    Almost every game has been poor. A deeply mediocre tournament, a real shame after the last World Cup.

    England were amongst the worst, of course.
    Russia were pisspoor. Made England look good. Hosts for the World Cup....
    And such delightful fans. It'll be a true festival of football in 2018.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,717
    edited July 2016
    Mortimer said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    kle4 said:

    I suppose the thinking behind keeping Corbyn off the ballot is it might cause an exodus of lefty members (presuming the non far lefties who also voted for him are more prepared to stick around), rather than force the MPs to potentially have to leave if they challenge him and fail (given their actions have gone far beyond usual challenges)?

    So they WANT to lose more than half the membership??

    Where exactly do they think their ground troops and money is going to come from?
    The ground troops won't by and large be affected, since very few of the post GE intake care for proper campaigning with the public at large as opposed to resolutionary socialism and groupthink on social media. Nor will it be the end of the world e....
    Corbyn voters are by no means limited to just the "post GE intake". And Labour members who are Corbyn-sceptic, but who will nonetheless be outraged at the PLP trying to rig leadership elections and to split the party for their own egos, will go even deeper into the long-term membership base.
    "The PLP trying to rig leadership elections and to split the party for their own egos". Your perspective, not mine. I think that Neil Kinnock had a better take on it, as has Keiran Pedley above.


    If the existing membership have turned against Corbyn, then why do the "moderates" apparently not think they could beat him if he was on the ballot?

    May's local elections, where Labour got just 31% of the vote and lost seats, was one of the worst c
    The English Locals saw LAB gain seats compared to EICIPMs high point of 2012.

    Agreed that wasnt the media n
    Labour lost 18 seats and their 31% voteshare was risible
    HY - genuinely interrstdd, what are your political views at the moment? Don't I recall you being, at some point, a Tory activist?
    I was and attended a dinner with fellow former members of Warwick Uni Tories last night at the RAC Club, including the Tory candidate for Merthyr Tydfil at the last election and a Scottish New York banker who paid for most of the drinks but I have not been active for years and voted LD at the last general election. However I recently registered as a supporter and have now rejoined the party and would be happy with May. On the Labour side as you can gather I quite like the look of Chuka but personally would still vote for May
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,931
    Mortimer said:

    Is Casino Royale around at the moment? Am missing his posts...

    Since his conversion to Remain, he's been off the site.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,292
    SeanT said:

    Thought: top level international rugby is nearly always more exciting, pumped and tension-fuelled than football.

    Just at the top, mind.

    I disagree Sean - I'd say pretty much any rugby match is more exciting than it's football equivalent. For so much of football, nothing of any importance to the outcome happens. Football basically relies on people really caring who wins. Contrast to say, tennis, where people happily turn up without knowing who they will be watching: their joy is in seeing the sport, not backing one side. (I personally can't get gripped by tennis either, but that's just me).
  • ConcanvasserConcanvasser Posts: 165
    I understand that some people equate traditional Tories with Corbyn voters. I think they are mistaken. If we put in Andrea we get a PM and government straight away with a fair chance of maintaining that state of affairs till 2020. I like Jezza and will vote to keep him if given the chance again for my existing £3 stake however he was always a play thing. Voting Andrea is about putting someone straight into No 10.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,387
    edited July 2016
    Mortimer said:

    Has anyone asked the question about who would contend to lead a breakaway Labour/SDP party?

    Surely that would have to go to arbitration?

    Any update from Charlie Falconer?
    His status is to be decided by the NEC on Tuesday.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658

    I understand that some people equate traditional Tories with Corbyn voters. I think they are mistaken. If we put in Andrea we get a PM and government straight away with a fair chance of maintaining that state of affairs till 2020. I like Jezza and will vote to keep him if given the chance again for my existing £3 stake however he was always a play thing. Voting Andrea is about putting someone straight into No 10.

    Quite. Scary, isn't it?
  • BigIanBigIan Posts: 198

    John_M said:

    It was interesting to read the arguments on LabourLeave.

    It just shows how strange and diverse motivations were during EUref that people like me, Charles, Sean and Plato were on the same side as the leader of ASLEF.

    LabourLeave had the best campaign. If only Corbyn had fronted it - he could have owned the result, and told a vast swathe of the unconnected and disaffected that he represented their worries....
    Then they probably wouldn't have had the best campaign, would they?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Mortimer said:

    Is Casino Royale around at the moment? Am missing his posts...

    His last post was on 29th June:

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/06/29/sdp2-is-a-real-possibility-within-4-months/
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,717
    edited July 2016

    In all this talk about Labour losing their northern WWC seats to UKIP if they go with a Chuka type candidate, there are two things to consider:

    1) Did Northern Labour Voters actually break for Leave in massive numbers, or was it actually the case that former Non-Voters plus UKIP swung Sunderland etc?

    2) How sure can we be that those same people will turnout at a GE and vote UKIP?

    I think in reality Labour's northern seats are safer than we assume. I would hazard a guess that they are already close to core vote in those seats, it's just that the opposition is split between UKIP and and Non-Voters so Labour win regardless.

    Labour needs to take seats off of Tories. A seat won from a Tory is +2 for Labour (+1 Labour, -1 Tory), a seat won from a lib dem or SNP is only +1 for Labour (+1 Labour, 0 Tory).

    They need old Blair-now Cameron seats. Corbyn can't do that, a Chuka type could, in 2020 the tories will be the 10 year incumbent government, presiding most likely over a brexit recession, with a PM far less charismatic than DC was. 2020 is there for the taking.

    I agree, though I think Chuka is more likely to win in 2025 than 2020.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,931

    SeanT said:

    Monty said:

    SeanT said:

    How bad is this match?

    How bad is this tournament?

    BREXIT.

    Every game involving Portugal has been poor.
    Almost every game has been poor. A deeply mediocre tournament, a real shame after the last World Cup.

    England were amongst the worst, of course.
    Russia were pisspoor. Made England look good. Hosts for the World Cup....
    Russia is all about the fans, not the football.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    HYUFD said:

    Mortimer said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    kle4 said:

    I suppose the thinking behind keeping Corbyn off the ballot is it might cause an exodus of lefty members (presuming the non far lefties who also voted for him are more prepared to stick around), rather than force the MPs to potentially have to leave if they challenge him and fail (given their actions have gone far beyond usual challenges)?

    So they WANT to lose more than half the membership??

    Where exactly do they think their ground troops and money is going to come from?
    The ground troops won't by and large be affected, since very few of the post GE intake care for proper campaigning with the public at large as opposed to resolutionary socialism and groupthink on social media. Nor will it be the end of the world e....
    Corbyn voters are by no means limited to just the "post GE intake". And Labour members who are Corbyn-sceptic, but who will nonetheless be outraged at the PLP trying to rig leadership elections and to split the party for their own egos, will go even deeper into the long-term membership base.
    "The PLP trying to rig leadership elections and to split the party for their own egos". Your perspective, not mine. I think that Neil Kinnock had a better take on it, as has Keiran Pedley above.


    If the existing membership have turned against Corbyn, then why do the "moderates" apparently not think they could beat him if he was on the ballot?

    May's local elections, where Labour got just 31% of the vote and lost seats, was one of the worst c
    The English Locals saw LAB gain seats compared to EICIPMs high point of 2012.

    Agreed that wasnt the media n
    Labour lost 18 seats and their 31% voteshare was risible
    HY - genuinely interrstdd, what are your political views at the moment? Don't I recall you being, at some point, a Tory activist?
    I was and attended a dinner with fellow former members of Warwick Uni Tories last night at the RAC Club, including the Tory candidate for Merthyr Tydfil at the last election and a Scottish New York banker who paid for most of the drinks but I have not been active for years and voted LD at the last general election. However I recently registered as a supporter and have now rejoined the party and would be happy with May. On the Labour side as you can gather I quite like the look of Chuka but personally would still vote for May
    Glad to hear you're back in the fold!
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    eek said:

    In all this talk about Labour losing their northern WWC seats to UKIP if they go with a Chuka type candidate, there are two things to consider:

    1) Did Northern Labour Voters actually break for Leave in massive numbers, or was it actually the case that former Non-Voters plus UKIP swung Sunderland etc?

    2) How sure can we be that those same people will turnout at a GE and vote UKIP?

    I think in reality Labour's northern seats are safer than we assume. I would hazard a guess that they are already close to core vote in those seats, it's just that the opposition is split between UKIP and and Non-Voters so Labour win regardless.

    Labour needs to take seats off of Tories. A seat won from a Tory is +2 for Labour (+1 Labour, -1 Tory), a seat won from a lib dem or SNP is only +1 for Labour (+1 Labour, 0 Tory).

    They need old Blair-now Cameron seats. Corbyn can't do that, a Chuka type could, in 2020 the tories will be the 10 year incumbent government, presiding most likely over a brexit recession, with a PM far less charismatic than DC was. 2020 is there for the taking.

    Can I ask you where you live? Trust me, as someone who lives up North, Labour is a goner around here. The only reason they win is inertia and the lack of another party to vote for...

    UKIP are perfectly positioned to be that other party....
    Admittedly I live in Paris so I'm no expert on Labour in the north! I'd certainly agree that Labour is a party on life support around there, but all parties have a floor, and I don't see how Labour's floor can drop much lower than 2015 - Miliband offered nothing special, UKIP was at a peak, and we have voted to leave the EU (I caveat my earlier post by saying that a Chuka type needs to accept we are leaving the EU, otherwise yes I could see a big UKIP vote). If we accept leaving the EU, I think UKIP still seem too 'amateur' to be seen as a party of government, and will struggle to sweep significant seats in the north.

    Additionally, there's no guarantee that UKIP will choose a UKIP leader that could appeal there, Paul Nuttall has dropped out, and a Diane James type is more likely to appeal to Tory seats in the south.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    rcs1000 said:

    Mortimer said:

    Is Casino Royale around at the moment? Am missing his posts...

    Since his conversion to Remain, he's been off the site.
    You almost had me for a moment there, Mr Robert...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855

    Danny565 said:

    alex. said:

    Danny565 said:

    Monty said:

    surbiton said:

    Monty said:

    Danny565 said:

    Regardless of what technicalities can be found for Corbyn to be kept off the ballot, the bottom line is:

    If Angela Eagle (or any other "moderate") thinks she can't even beat CORBYN in an election, how the hell is she going to have a chance against a far more formidable opponent in the Tories at the next General Election??

    Because they are entirely different electorates. The sea of hard-left entryists and £3 Tory idiots (step forward several PB posters) will re-elect Corbyn as they have no interest in Labour winning elections. The country wants a reasonable alternative to Conservatives. Labour's problem in a nutshell.
    And, the person who will beat the Tories is a wet lettuce ? You must be joking !
    Eagle is obviously a stalking horse. Surely, you can see that?

    Stalking horse for who? Which specific candidate would perform better in a general election than Corbyn would?

    "Corbyn is not doing well" is not the same thing as "there is someone else available who would do better than Corbyn".
    Anyone who does not limit the extent of options to their Shadow ministerial team to around 50 MPs would do better. Trying to argue that it doesn't matter if Corbyn is shite, everyone else would be shiter is just defeatism. Would you use the same argument if he emerged from the next election with 130 MPs?
    Call it defeatism if you want, but I think it's realism. Corbyn IS shite, but, after hearing from people just how AWFULLY the Remain campaign was perceived, I do genuinely believe he would do better in a general election than any of these "moderates" who, like Remain, would just be career politicians speaking in jargon, pushing forward the same old tired "steady as she goes" message.

    The idea that Jeremy Corbyn is not a career politician who does not speak in jargon is an intriguing one. How old is he, how long has he been an MP and what did he do before that?

    I can well believe he is a breath of fresh air compared to some leaders. But I have severe doubts he is as transformative as his most radical supporters think. He's not immune to spouting meaningless guff like any other politician for example.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,405

    Monty said:

    SeanT said:

    Monty said:

    SeanT said:

    How bad is this match?

    How bad is this tournament?

    BREXIT.

    Every game involving Portugal has been poor.
    Almost every game has been poor. A deeply mediocre tournament, a real shame after the last World Cup.

    England were amongst the worst, of course.
    There's been a few good games. Wales v Belgium. Croatia were good fun too. But generally poor for some reason. Not sure why.
    The group stages were fun, lots of late goals - the Group F final games were amazing.

    But the KO stage has pretty much sucked.
    France v. Germany was good
    As was Wales v. Belgium :)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,855
    nunu said:

    kle4 said:

    SeanT said:

    surbiton said:

    SeanT said:

    HaroldO said:

    SeanT said:

    HYUFD said:

    SeanT said:

    You bastard LEAVE voters. Just booked a hire car for my trip to Switzerland tomorrow

    Jeepers. The £.

    Pffffff!!

    Mind you you are at least going to a non-EU nation and one of our future likely partners in EFTA, would be interesting to see if, as a Brit, you get a warm welcome, I hope so!
    Yes indeed. I have several dinners and lunches with some Swiss dudes and dudettes, quite high up in the tourism industry.

    Will be fascinating to get their take on Brexit. In my experience, so far, Europeans are deeply intrigued by what we've done - in good and bad ways.
    I am spending Xmas in Poland, fully expect to be cross questioned by everyone I meet as to why we voted Brexit.
    I may just stay drunk the entire time.
    From my reading of European websites, the Poles are amongst the most sympathetic to Brexit.
    So, the 800k will go back ? How will I get my Polish bread ?
    No. We'll enter EEA and everyone can stay where they are. Unless the mad Leadsom wins.

    She may well do so.
    We need controls on immigration even if it means a classic British fudge, as long as low skilled migration is controlled most of the country will be happy.
    Potentially. If May cannot convince people she can do that though, even if she can, Leadsom can really hit home hard.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,405
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Mortimer said:

    Is Casino Royale around at the moment? Am missing his posts...

    Since his conversion to Remain, he's been off the site.
    He converted to REMAIN??!!

    You joke, I presume?
    Yes is an attempt at a joke by Smithson Jr. :)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,717
    Mortimer said:

    HYUFD said:

    Mortimer said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    kle4 said:

    I suppose the thinking behind keeping Corbyn off the ballot is it might cause an exodus of lefty members (presuming the non far lefties who also voted for him are more prepared to stick around), rather than force the MPs to potentially have to leave if they challenge him and fail (given their actions have gone far beyond usual challenges)?

    So they WANT to lose more than half the membership??

    Where exactly do they think their ground troops and money is going to come from?
    The ground troops won't by and large be affected, since very few of the post GE intake care for proper campaigning with the public at large as opposed to resolutionary socialism and groupthink on social media. Nor will it be the end of the world e....
    Corbyn voters are by no means limited to just the "post GE intake". And Labour members who are Corbyn-sce.
    "The PL


    If the existing membership have turned against Corbyn, then why do the "moderates" apparently not think they could beat him if he was on the ballot?

    May's local elections, where Labour got just 31% of the vote and lost seats, was one of the worst c
    The English Locals saw LAB gain seats compared to EICIPMs high point of 2012.

    Agreed that wasnt the media n
    Labour lost 18 seats and their 31% voteshare was risible
    HY - genuinely interrstdd, what are your political views at the moment? Don't I recall you being, at some point, a Tory activist?
    I was and attended a dinner with fellow former members of Warwick Uni Tories last night at the RAC Club, including the Tory candidate for Merthyr Tydfil at the last election and a Scottish New York banker who paid for most of the drinks but I have not been active for years and voted LD at the last general election. However I recently registered as a supporter and have now rejoined the party and would be happy with May. On the Labour side as you can gather I quite like the look of Chuka but personally would still vote for May
    Glad to hear you're back in the fold!
    Indeed, with Corbyn and UKIP as the alternative I am firmly back
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,844
    kle4 said:

    Danny565 said:

    alex. said:

    Danny565 said:

    Monty said:

    surbiton said:

    Monty said:

    Danny565 said:

    Regardless of what technicalities can be found for Corbyn to be kept off the ballot, the bottom line is:

    If Angela Eagle (or any other "moderate") thinks she can't even beat CORBYN in an election, how the hell is she going to have a chance against a far more formidable opponent in the Tories at the next General Election??

    Because they are entirely different electorates. The sea of hard-left entryists and £3 Tory idiots (step forward several PB posters) will re-elect Corbyn as they have no interest in Labour winning elections. The country wants a reasonable alternative to Conservatives. Labour's problem in a nutshell.
    And, the person who will beat the Tories is a wet lettuce ? You must be joking !
    Eagle is obviously a stalking horse. Surely, you can see that?

    Stalking horse for who? Which specific candidate would perform better in a general election than Corbyn would?

    "Corbyn is not doing well" is not the same thing as "there is someone else available who would do better than Corbyn".
    Anyone who does not limit the extent of options to their Shadow ministerial team to around 50 MPs would do better. Trying to argue that it doesn't matter if Corbyn is shite, everyone else would be shiter is just defeatism. Would you use the same argument if he emerged from the next election with 130 MPs?
    Call it defeatism if you want, but I think it's realism. Corbyn IS shite, but, after hearing from people just how AWFULLY the Remain campaign was perceived, I do genuinely believe he would do better in a general election than any of these "moderates" who, like Remain, would just be career politicians speaking in jargon, pushing forward the same old tired "steady as she goes" message.

    The idea that Jeremy Corbyn is not a career politician who does not speak in jargon is an intriguing one. How old is he, how long has he been an MP and what did he do before that?

    I can well believe he is a breath of fresh air compared to some leaders. But I have severe doubts he is as transformative as his most radical supporters think. He's not immune to spouting meaningless guff like any other politician for example.
    His interview this morning was full of repeated lines that had been carefully prepared for him so he could appear reasonable. It was classic meaningless guff.
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346

    I understand that some people equate traditional Tories with Corbyn voters. I think they are mistaken. If we put in Andrea we get a PM and government straight away with a fair chance of maintaining that state of affairs till 2020. I like Jezza and will vote to keep him if given the chance again for my existing £3 stake however he was always a play thing. Voting Andrea is about putting someone straight into No 10.

    I think there will be moves at the NEC to get rid of the ridiculous £3 entryists.
    Please vote for the untested CV embellisher with wacky policies.
    I could do with a laugh.
  • alex. said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    DaveDave said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    JohnO said:

    AndyJS said:

    "'Desperate' commuters on Southern trains are considering a fare strike and will hold a demonstration at Victoria station tomorrow in a "show of anger".
    Hundreds of people have expressed an interest in the rush hour demonstration, scheduled for 5.30pm, claiming lives are being "ruined" by the company's service."

    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/transport/southern-railway-desperate-commuters-to-hold-victoria-station-protest-a3292251.html

    What do we want - Southern Trains
    When do we want it - 18.00, calling at Clapham Jct, East Croydon, Redhill and Gatwick Airport
    Nationalisation of Southern Trains is the answer. Corbyn is the man.
    Nationalisation and then rolling over to the unions?
    Nationalisation is banned under EU law. It won't be post Brexit.
    I don't really get the desire for railway nationalisation. The railways are so much better than when I was younger. More timely, better furnished, lots of cheap advance tickets available. More competition, not less, is surely the answer...

    Edit: that said, my experiences of Southern are less positive. Too big a network?
    If BR had had the £5 billion a year subsidy that this lot get rather than the less than one billion a year they got things would have been somewhat different.
    Sure, sure - but it didn't; and wasn't the main reason for privatisation the recognition that investment was required but not forthcoming with BR a state vehicle?
    The source of the money is the same - you and I the taxpayer.

    No, privatisation was so they could do to the railways what they did to the coal mines. However the TOCs were good at selling the product, passenger numbers went up and the government and the road lobby to their utter horror realised that the rail lobby which had vanished in 1948 upon nationalisation - giving the road lobby free rein - had been reborn and was back with a venegence.
    I suggest you read about Major's motivation for rail privatisation - I can't remember what is was (was it the cost of gilts?) exactly but there were serious reasons why railway infrastructure couldn't get the investment it needed as a state vehicle.

    Probably because Government accounting was stuck in the dark ages (largely still is).

    But it isnt getting private investment now. Just three times as much state investment?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Mortimer said:

    Is Casino Royale around at the moment? Am missing his posts...

    Since his conversion to Remain, he's been off the site.
    Did he convert to Remain?
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Personally I hate penalties. They are not football.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587
    edited July 2016
    I think Kevin is entirely wrong. I'm not yet committed to vote for any candidate, since I'd like to give space for the candidates to say what they stand for and I do see the difficulties in the current situation. But I would not bother to take part in an election where the currently elected leader was excluded. I'd see the result as illegitimate and would not regard the winner as the party leader. I suspect most members would feel the same. A winning challenge is one thing. A non-contest is something else, and ould merely shift the battle into further rounds in the NEC and the conference.

    It would also fail to address the basic issue: does the party accept that it's time to change from Corbyn to a new leader? The challengers can only hope to win in any real sense if they actually *win the vote*.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,844
    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    What is the current make-up of the NEC? Who has replaced The Eagle?
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,191
    Monty said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Personally I hate penalties. They are not football.
    No but you a) have to have a result and b) can't keep playing until the players keel over from exhaustion. So penalties is a reasonable way to break a deadlock.
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346

    I think Kevin is entirely wrong. I'm not yet committed to vote for any candidate, since I'd like to give space for the candidates to say what they stand for and I do see the difficulties in the current situation. But I would not bother to take part in an election where the currently elected leader was excluded. I'd see the result as illegitimate and would not regard the winner as the party leader. I suspect most members would feel the same. A winning challenge is one thing. A non-contest is something else, and ould merely shift the battle into further rounds in the NEC and the conference.

    It would also fail to address the basic issue: does the party accept that it's time to change from Corbyn to a new leader? The challengers can only hope to win in any real sense if they actually *win the vote*.

    Disagree. The leader must have the support of the MPs. This is a parliamentary democracy after all. If the prospective leader can't muster enough parliamentary support they shouldn't be on the ballot otherwise it leads to ridiculous situations like we have at the moment with an isolated leader and a split divided party.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    I know nothing about football, but if it's a draw after 90 minutes why not send the goalkeepers off?
  • annakannak Posts: 14
    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Mortimer said:

    Is Casino Royale around at the moment? Am missing his posts...

    Since his conversion to Remain, he's been off the site.
    Did he convert to Remain?
    Did he really convert to Remain. WHY? I must have missed it. He was always so certain about it.
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Captains wouldn't choose to anyway. Players hate penalties apart from goalkeepers.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    AndyJS said:

    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
    Reduce number of players playing. Every five minutes, a player has to go off on each side. Game stretched. First goal wins.
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    RoyalBlue said:

    I know nothing about football, but if it's a draw after 90 minutes why not send the goalkeepers off?

    Yes. Better than penalties.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,296
    ToryJim said:

    Monty said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Personally I hate penalties. They are not football.
    No but you a) have to have a result and b) can't keep playing until the players keel over from exhaustion. So penalties is a reasonable way to break a deadlock.
    They should start the game with penalties. Then we'd know who had the advantage during the game.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,191
    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    I think if they succeed in keeping him off the ballot there will be problems. If they let him on the ballot there will be problems. It seems to me there is no way this ends well or cleanly.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,931
    Jobabob said:

    AndyJS said:

    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
    Reduce number of players playing. Every five minutes, a player has to go off on each side. Game stretched. First goal wins.
    Completely agree.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Interesting article:

    "Help! I’m falling out of the middle class
    I earn less than the median income, and far less than my parents. I should never have followed my dreams
    Henry Jeffreys"

    http://www.spectator.co.uk/2016/07/help-im-falling-out-of-the-middle-class/
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,844
    ToryJim said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    I think if they succeed in keeping him off the ballot there will be problems. If they let him on the ballot there will be problems. It seems to me there is no way this ends well or cleanly.
    Agreed. This is a mess of their own making. The fall-out from the Corbyn experiment will have long-lasting damage.

    If you select the nuclear option, you have to live with the damage.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    AndyJS said:

    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
    Better by the team with fewer cards. It would keep games clean.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    tlg86 said:

    ToryJim said:

    Monty said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Personally I hate penalties. They are not football.
    No but you a) have to have a result and b) can't keep playing until the players keel over from exhaustion. So penalties is a reasonable way to break a deadlock.
    They should start the game with penalties. Then we'd know who had the advantage during the game.
    But then the team who won on penalties would just have 11 men in their box!
  • ConcanvasserConcanvasser Posts: 165
    Nick P is surely on the money when he says a non contest (where Jez is excluded ) will be seen as illegitimate. If they are that sure Jez is a dud then defeat him openly.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,409
    Robert's been a very naughty boy

    Casino Royale is on holiday
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,843
    Jobabob said:

    AndyJS said:

    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
    Reduce number of players playing. Every five minutes, a player has to go off on each side. Game stretched. First goal wins.
    And if all the players get sent off before a goal is scored?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783
    Monty said:

    I think Kevin is entirely wrong. I'm not yet committed to vote for any candidate, since I'd like to give space for the candidates to say what they stand for and I do see the difficulties in the current situation. But I would not bother to take part in an election where the currently elected leader was excluded. I'd see the result as illegitimate and would not regard the winner as the party leader. I suspect most members would feel the same. A winning challenge is one thing. A non-contest is something else, and ould merely shift the battle into further rounds in the NEC and the conference.

    It would also fail to address the basic issue: does the party accept that it's time to change from Corbyn to a new leader? The challengers can only hope to win in any real sense if they actually *win the vote*.

    Disagree. The leader must have the support of the MPs. This is a parliamentary democracy after all. If the prospective leader can't muster enough parliamentary support they shouldn't be on the ballot otherwise it leads to ridiculous situations like we have at the moment with an isolated leader and a split divided party.

    But Labour members need to decide whether Labour exists to win power via Parliament or for other reasons. That's what all this is about now. Either they support Corbyn, and opt for Labour not being a political party that aspires to win power, or they side with the PLP because they believe that it is. This is not a decision that can be ducked forever.

  • MontyMonty Posts: 346

    AndyJS said:

    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
    Better by the team with fewer cards. It would keep games clean.
    No, that would be awful. Teams need midfielders willing to get the occasional card.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    edited July 2016

    Nick P is surely on the money when he says a non contest (where Jez is excluded ) will be seen as illegitimate. If they are that sure Jez is a dud then defeat him openly.

    Corbyn would tell his people not to take part. The result would be a North Korean level of comical - and Corbyn still stands up at PMQs.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @TelePolitics: 'I've been under attack, it's been shattering': Andrea Leadsom apologises to Theresa May over motherhood comments… https://t.co/my2eexP2yN
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    I think Kevin is entirely wrong. I'm not yet committed to vote for any candidate, since I'd like to give space for the candidates to say what they stand for and I do see the difficulties in the current situation. But I would not bother to take part in an election where the currently elected leader was excluded. I'd see the result as illegitimate and would not regard the winner as the party leader. I suspect most members would feel the same. A winning challenge is one thing. A non-contest is something else, and ould merely shift the battle into further rounds in the NEC and the conference.

    It would also fail to address the basic issue: does the party accept that it's time to change from Corbyn to a new leader? The challengers can only hope to win in any real sense if they actually *win the vote*.

    I think Nick is right about the politics here, however the disputed wording of the rules is interpreted.

    But, putting yourself in the shoes of a 'plotter', the strong possibility that the contest might be seen as illegitimate has to be balanced against the alternative, namely that Corbyn gets re-elected. It's a choice between a civil war where your side ends up holding the reins of power and the other side are left fuming and dispossessed, or a civil war where your side loses and has no choice but to split off and form another party - an option which many
    see as tantamount to political suicide. There are no good options.

  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112
    edited July 2016

    ToryJim said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    I think if they succeed in keeping him off the ballot there will be problems. If they let him on the ballot there will be problems. It seems to me there is no way this ends well or cleanly.
    Agreed. This is a mess of their own making. The fall-out from the Corbyn experiment will have long-lasting damage.

    If you select the nuclear option, you have to live with the damage.
    Exactly. What japes it was for Labour MPs to nominate Jezza. Oh. He won? Well that is a harsh lesson to learn.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Nick P is surely on the money when he says a non contest (where Jez is excluded ) will be seen as illegitimate. If they are that sure Jez is a dud then defeat him openly.

    I agree. Corbyn needs to be sent packing in a fair fight. If he wins again it is extinction time for any hopes of government.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783

    Nick P is surely on the money when he says a non contest (where Jez is excluded ) will be seen as illegitimate. If they are that sure Jez is a dud then defeat him openly.

    It depends, though. If the result is that a lot of hard left entryists up sticks and join the Greens then it's hardly a tragedy. However, Labour does need to decide what it is and the sooner the better.

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,158
    Scott_P said:

    @TelePolitics: 'I've been under attack, it's been shattering': Andrea Leadsom apologises to Theresa May over motherhood comments… https://t.co/my2eexP2yN

    If that had been her first reaction this would have been the ultimate non-story.
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    edited July 2016

    Monty said:

    I think Kevin is entirely wrong. I'm not yet committed to vote for any candidate, since I'd like to give space for the candidates to say what they stand for and I do see the difficulties in the current situation. But I would not bother to take part in an election where the currently elected leader was excluded. I'd see the result as illegitimate and would not regard the winner as the party leader. I suspect most members would feel the same. A winning challenge is one thing. A non-contest is something else, and ould merely shift the battle into further rounds in the NEC and the conference.

    It would also fail to address the basic issue: does the party accept that it's time to change from Corbyn to a new leader? The challengers can only hope to win in any real sense if they actually *win the vote*.

    Disagree. The leader must have the support of the MPs. This is a parliamentary democracy after all. If the prospective leader can't muster enough parliamentary support they shouldn't be on the ballot otherwise it leads to ridiculous situations like we have at the moment with an isolated leader and a split divided party.

    But Labour members need to decide whether Labour exists to win power via Parliament or for other reasons. That's what all this is about now. Either they support Corbyn, and opt for Labour not being a political party that aspires to win power, or they side with the PLP because they believe that it is. This is not a decision that can be ducked forever.

    Only one answer to that. I think we have enough pressure groups already and I have a visceral hatred of the mindset that elections are unimportant.
    This may well be the end of the Labour Party. If so, then so be it. Something else will emerge. Nature abhors a vacuum.
    And do we have a vacuum currently.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,717
    AndyJS said:

    Interesting article:

    "Help! I’m falling out of the middle class
    I earn less than the median income, and far less than my parents. I should never have followed my dreams
    Henry Jeffreys"

    http://www.spectator.co.uk/2016/07/help-im-falling-out-of-the-middle-class/

    Interesting but he lives in London which has a significantly higher average income and cost of living than the nation as a whole and is an arts graduate which explains his situation a little. If he moved out to Kent or Essex he would get more bang for his buck and could still commute to the big city for work and leisure
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Jobabob said:

    AndyJS said:

    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
    Reduce number of players playing. Every five minutes, a player has to go off on each side. Game stretched. First goal wins.
    And if all the players get sent off before a goal is scored?
    1 vs 1 is the minimum!
  • MontyHallMontyHall Posts: 226
    Monty said:

    SeanT said:

    How bad is this match?

    How bad is this tournament?

    BREXIT.

    Every game involving Portugal has been poor.
    The 3-3 with Hungary was one of the best matches of the tournament.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,296

    tlg86 said:

    ToryJim said:

    Monty said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Personally I hate penalties. They are not football.
    No but you a) have to have a result and b) can't keep playing until the players keel over from exhaustion. So penalties is a reasonable way to break a deadlock.
    They should start the game with penalties. Then we'd know who had the advantage during the game.
    But then the team who won on penalties would just have 11 men in their box!
    Maybe, but that would only last as long as the game was level. It would have the same effect as away goals being settled in the second leg - i.e. one team has a half goal advantage.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Tory party rules don't require the Leader to be on the ballot. In fact the Leader is explicitly excluded. What is it specifically that makes such an outcome "illegitimate"?
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    MontyHall said:

    Monty said:

    SeanT said:

    How bad is this match?

    How bad is this tournament?

    BREXIT.

    Every game involving Portugal has been poor.

    The 3-3 with Hungary was one of the best matches of the tournament.
    Fair point. I'd forgotten that one.

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270

    AndyJS said:

    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
    Better by the team with fewer cards. It would keep games clean.
    There is a case to be made that if a player is sent off, that is an automatic penalty up for the other side....
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807

    Nick P is surely on the money when he says a non contest (where Jez is excluded ) will be seen as illegitimate. If they are that sure Jez is a dud then defeat him openly.

    I agree. Corbyn needs to be sent packing in a fair fight. If he wins again it is extinction time for any hopes of government.
    He's lost a vote of no confidence. He should have gone weeks ago. Now no holds are barred.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,405

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    1998 World Cup had the "Golden Goal" - the team wot scores first in extra time wins!
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768

    Nick P is surely on the money when he says a non contest (where Jez is excluded ) will be seen as illegitimate. If they are that sure Jez is a dud then defeat him openly.

    It depends, though. If the result is that a lot of hard left entryists up sticks and join the Greens then it's hardly a tragedy. However, Labour does need to decide what it is and the sooner the better.

    Yet hard right supporters like yourself aren't even prepared to join the party as there is mo inspiring Blairite candidate
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,931

    AndyJS said:

    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
    Better by the team with fewer cards. It would keep games clean.
    How about number of corners?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783
    Monty said:

    Monty said:

    I think Kevin is entirely wrong. I'm not yet committed to vote for any candidate, since I'd like to give space for the candidates to say what they stand for and I do see the difficulties in the current situation. But I would not bother to take part in an election where the currently elected leader was excluded. I'd see the result as illegitimate and would not regard the winner as the party leader. I suspect most members would feel the same. A winning challenge is one thing. A non-contest is something else, and ould merely shift the battle into further rounds in the NEC and the conference.

    It would also fail to address the basic issue: does the party accept that it's time to change from Corbyn to a new leader? The challengers can only hope to win in any real sense if they actually *win the vote*.

    Disagree. The leader must have the support of the MPs. This is a parliamentary democracy after all. If the prospective leader can't muster enough parliamentary support they shouldn't be on the ballot otherwise it leads to ridiculous situations like we have at the moment with an isolated leader and a split divided party.

    But Labour members need to decide whether Labour exists to win power via Parliament or for other reasons. That's what all this is about now. Either they support Corbyn, and opt for Labour not being a political party that aspires to win power, or they side with the PLP because they believe that it is. This is not a decision that can be ducked forever.

    Only one answer to that. I think we have enough pressure groups already and I have a visceral hatred of the mindset that elections are unimportant.
    This may well be the end of the Labour Party. If so, then so be it. Something else will emerge. Nature abhors a vacuum.
    And do we have a vacuum currently.

    I completely agree.

  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    Jobabob said:

    AndyJS said:

    TOPPING said:

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    Just what I was thinking. It didn't work after 90 why should it work after 120?
    Maybe it should be decided by shots on goal.
    Reduce number of players playing. Every five minutes, a player has to go off on each side. Game stretched. First goal wins.
    And if all the players get sent off before a goal is scored?
    You can't play with fewer than seven. Law 3(1).
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    Lovely training-ground free kick from Portugal....
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    GOAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAL!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,405
    PORTUGAL!!!!!!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Portugal score.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,717
    Portugal score!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,409
    Huzzah for our oldest ally.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,768
    Jobabob said:

    Nick P is surely on the money when he says a non contest (where Jez is excluded ) will be seen as illegitimate. If they are that sure Jez is a dud then defeat him openly.

    I agree. Corbyn needs to be sent packing in a fair fight. If he wins again it is extinction time for any hopes of government.
    He's lost a vote of no confidence. He should have gone weeks ago. Now no holds are barred.
    Careful what you wish for.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112
    Excellent goal.

    Should be an interesting few minutes now.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Always good to see the French lose.
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    ToryJim said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    I think if they succeed in keeping him off the ballot there will be problems. If they let him on the ballot there will be problems. It seems to me there is no way this ends well or cleanly.
    If they are going to try to kill Corbyn off on a procedure which isn't even clear, then they risk leaving the door open to McDonnell, who might have a shot at the nomination.

    That would be just as bad, like voting in Ernst Rohm.
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346

    Please, can the captains/managers just agree that the end of the 90, we go straight to penalties? 30 minutes of fannying around as people wonder about what number penalty they will be taking adds nothing to the spectacle.

    1998 World Cup had the "Golden Goal" - the team wot scores first in extra time wins!
    It was awful. Both teams were terrified of conceding and played extremely defensively.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,717
    Y0kel said:

    ToryJim said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    I think if they succeed in keeping him off the ballot there will be problems. If they let him on the ballot there will be problems. It seems to me there is no way this ends well or cleanly.
    If they are going to try to kill Corbyn off on a procedure which isn't even clear, then they risk leaving the door open to McDonnell, who might have a shot at the nomination.

    That would be just as bad, like voting in Ernst Rohm.
    Though Eagle beat McDonnell in the last members' poll, even if she was trailing Corbyn
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,405
    Y0kel said:

    ToryJim said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    I think if they succeed in keeping him off the ballot there will be problems. If they let him on the ballot there will be problems. It seems to me there is no way this ends well or cleanly.
    If they are going to try to kill Corbyn off on a procedure which isn't even clear, then they risk leaving the door open to McDonnell, who might have a shot at the nomination.

    That would be just as bad, like voting in Ernst Rohm.
    Except Hitler killed Rohm in 1934, during the Night of the Long Knives.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783

    Nick P is surely on the money when he says a non contest (where Jez is excluded ) will be seen as illegitimate. If they are that sure Jez is a dud then defeat him openly.

    It depends, though. If the result is that a lot of hard left entryists up sticks and join the Greens then it's hardly a tragedy. However, Labour does need to decide what it is and the sooner the better.

    Yet hard right supporters like yourself aren't even prepared to join the party as there is mo inspiring Blairite candidate

    Joined last week and now a proud member with the North Leamington CLP :-)

    This is not about Corbyn anymore. It's about what Labour should be: a protest movement for its members or a parliamentary party that prioritises winning power.

  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,387
    HYUFD said:

    Y0kel said:

    ToryJim said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    I think if they succeed in keeping him off the ballot there will be problems. If they let him on the ballot there will be problems. It seems to me there is no way this ends well or cleanly.
    If they are going to try to kill Corbyn off on a procedure which isn't even clear, then they risk leaving the door open to McDonnell, who might have a shot at the nomination.

    That would be just as bad, like voting in Ernst Rohm.
    Though Eagle beat McDonnell in the last members' poll, even if she was trailing Corbyn
    I would vote McDonnell ahead of Eagle.
  • Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    Y0kel said:

    ToryJim said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    I think if they succeed in keeping him off the ballot there will be problems. If they let him on the ballot there will be problems. It seems to me there is no way this ends well or cleanly.
    If they are going to try to kill Corbyn off on a procedure which isn't even clear, then they risk leaving the door open to McDonnell, who might have a shot at the nominations.

    That would be just as bad, like voting in Ernst Rohm.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,920
    It's got more detail on it than May released though (for the one year that's covered).

    I tend to agree with Rod on this. It's all irrelevant to someone's suitability for the job.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,783
    Y0kel said:

    ToryJim said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour NEC members tell me they think they can keep Corbyn off the ballot - if vote is secret.

    I think if they succeed in keeping him off the ballot there will be problems. If they let him on the ballot there will be problems. It seems to me there is no way this ends well or cleanly.
    If they are going to try to kill Corbyn off on a procedure which isn't even clear, then they risk leaving the door open to McDonnell, who might have a shot at the nomination.

    That would be just as bad, like voting in Ernst Rohm.

    The rules are clear on where McDonnell stands: he would definitely need the requisite number of nominations to run.

  • MontyMonty Posts: 346

    Nick P is surely on the money when he says a non contest (where Jez is excluded ) will be seen as illegitimate. If they are that sure Jez is a dud then defeat him openly.

    It depends, though. If the result is that a lot of hard left entryists up sticks and join the Greens then it's hardly a tragedy. However, Labour does need to decide what it is and the sooner the better.

    Yet hard right supporters like yourself aren't even prepared to join the party as there is mo inspiring Blairite candidate

    Joined last week and now a proud member with the North Leamington CLP :-)

    This is not about Corbyn anymore. It's about what Labour should be: a protest movement for its members or a parliamentary party that prioritises winning power.

    Great to have you on board. I've been a member for over 20 years. Considered leaving when Corbyn became leader.
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