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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov CON member ratings of the three still in the race raise questions over Gove
In its recent party membership polling YouGov has introduced a ratings question with a simple format “Generally speaking, do you have a positive or negative opinion of the following people?”
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So will it have that big an impact?
I have however discovered my sister in law went to the same grammar school and was in the same year as Leadsom. Unfortunately I can't add to the sum of public knowledge as she can only remember her as being a quiet girl.
Also in Gove vs Leadsom, Gove is reportedly keeping Osborne on-side. Among the Leave MPs they're competing for I would have thought that would push them towards Ms Leadsom.
May says she doesn't visit TV studios. Is that because her TV interview performances are not a strength?
That's the trouble with long enquiries on well-known issues. It's one thing to investigate why a plane crashed or whether flood defences need to be rethought - nobody really knows in advance. But on something like this people form opinions and stick to them. Has there ever been an enquiry that radically changed minds?
The launch of House of Lords 1660-1715 vols last night: longer and cheaper than Chilcot! https://t.co/g3XJIwiju3 https://t.co/oUYAjZ9Ge2
twitter.com/JGForsyth/status/750067438004436992
One curious thing is that she doesn't seem to have graduated until the age of 24, presumably meaning she had 3 "gap years" or equivalent. As I remember, even one gap year would have been fairly unusual at that time.
@IsabelOakeshott: Gove/supporters going round telling MPs 'we can't have Andrea in final, she's crazy'; asking them to help get Gove into final two
MikeK Posts: 8,405
10:33AM
david_herdson said:
TheScreamingEagles said:
I hear Andrea Leadsom was only 45 minutes away from becoming Chief Executive of Barclays or have I got my stories mixed up?
Probably. She was too busy getting Apollo 13 back to earth.
You pretty gruesomely sarcastic today Mr Herdson. Whats the matter, lost a few £'s on the Brexit?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3676271/Does-Angela-Leadsom-s-CV-stack-Leadership-contender-s-backers-accused-making-claims-City-career-not-stand-up.html
I suppose it takes one to know one.
Javid has a plan. Good man. Any plan is better than no plan. Off to hobble around with the dogs. Play nicely
For all the talk of experience, it was Leadsom's successful experience in the BBC and ITV debates that has made her a candidate. If May can't replicate that in the General Election then she should not be a candidate.
That I think will have an effect on the membership vote.
Banks in the 1990s and beyond were promoting managers who sold most products to customers regardless of customer needs. Managers who tried to promote long term customer relationships with good advice were overlooked or even sacked.
Leadsom seems to have been head of the the team dealing with Barclays financial service customers in the 1990's. As a standalone business it would make it into the FTSE 250. The only question is whether she achieved the position by ignoring customer needs or did not progress futher because she did take account of customer needs.
http://www.economist.com/news/britain/21701695-despite-claims-some-lawyers-act-parliament-not-needed-invoke-article-50-who
Leadsom had a career before politics, joined Parliament recently and is a currently serving minister.
The two are not remotely comparable. The worst that can be said about Leadsom is that this may be too early for her, that she's not served in the cabinet yet. There seems to be no suggestion that she would never reach cabinet level otherwise.
1. She is claiming - or allowing her supporters to claim - that her vast City experience ("managing funds and large teams") is one reason why despite her very limited political experience she is fit to be PM at this critical time. So the nature of what she did matters to see if it really does give her the sort of experience that would be worth considering. And bear in mind that successful business people don't necessarily make successful politicians (cf: Archie Norman).
2. If what she said about herself is untrue / exxaggerated / a lie (take your pick depending on how charitable you feel) then that raises serious questions about her probity and judgment, both key qualities I would have thought for a potential PM.
Being able to string a few coherent sentences together in a debate or TV interview is a pretty low bar frankly.
Is she Corbyn, no, but it could be a similar error. More so if she's going to PM rather than just LoO
Between 1977 and 1983 May worked at the Bank of England, and from 1985 to 1997 as a financial consultant and senior advisor in International Affairs at the Association for Payment Clearing Services.
So May's record in finance is far less distibguished than Leadsom's.
https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/most-labour-mps-represent-a-constituency-that-voted-leave-36f13210f5c6
Brexit - and all its ramifications - will only be a part of what the PM will have to deal with (though a very big part) and true believers are rarely the best people to implement pragmatically and sensibly and efficiently a decision such as Brexit, which - depending on how it is handled from now on - could have catastrophic / disastrous / so-so / good / good enough consequences in the short and medium-terms.
Leadsom may win a General Election, she recently fronted a winning campaign in the two biggest televised debates during the campaign. Corbyn has never in his life come close to doing anything like that.
Leadsome is centrist enough to have made ministerial level within six years of entering Parliament. That is not comparable to someone who couldn't become Minister for picking up dog turds after three decades.
Her six years as Home Secretary is unprecedented since WWII, the vast majority of her predecessors in that role being forced out by a major scandal or policy failing.
"The Guardian contacted several senior City sources who worked at BZW and Barclays at the same time as Leadsom, but could find none who could recall her spell at the bank, which concluded 19 years ago."
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/04/andrea-leadsoms-the-city-high-profile-roles-under-radar-barclays-brexit-negotiations
I'm not too bothered about tittle-tattle that she's a pain to work for or a micro manager or whatever. It's all partisan sniping between factions. The same applies to CV nitpicking or tax returns or who banks with Coutts et al. May was invisible during the Remain campaign - there was no bigger debate to be involved in. She hedged her bets and been slippery - I don't admire that sort of behaviour.
'When Edmund Hillary reached the summit of Everest, Andrea Leadsom popped her head out of her tent and offered him a biscuit.'
And how we laughed.
But they'll want to see a winner too. The hustings will be important to see the two candidates side-by-side. It think this is what is rattling the May supporters most. They appear convinced that Ms Leadsom is good at retail politics.
The next five years could be brutal. And yet they're thinking about parachuting a rookie into the job? Some are even talking about the parliament after next.
Utterly bizarre. A politician at the top of his/her game will do well to survive this roller coaster ride.
@vb2b: "I was running the investment team at Barclays" Leadsom at July 2010 Treasury cttee hearing https://t.co/w2HhZ6Z2oY https://t.co/lWWjIn1Tr8
To pretend she 'fronted' this campaign is shameless re-writing history. Much as it seems her CV was.
Anyone want to guess how far in front Andrea is?
I am with @Stark_Dawning on this. She is the anti-candidate. Anti-candidates are doing quite well atm.
*And yes I do know the difference and the egregious nature of her miswriting. But then we are a rarefied bunch on PB.
Leadsom says when Barings collapsed because of the Nick Leeson fraud, it was one of her customers and consequently she attended emergency meeting(s) with Eddie George, Governor of the BofE. Surely not a claim to make if not true.
I'm going to put my straw poll out again on Friday to see if there has been any movement towards Leadsom. I don't expect anything.