politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Might Balls be Labour’s answer at 100/1?
As the extraordinary episode in Labour’s history that is Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership enters what looks like a chaotic death-throw, eyes and minds inevitably turn to what – and who – comes next.
I am shown three doors. Behind one is the next PM, behind the other two are losing betting slips
I choose door one. The host opens door three to reveal someone who won two elections in Remain friendly London and has just won a decisive Leave vote in the rest of England.
I'm not sure it's support for the end of the Union. It's just consistency. In the crudest of brush strokes (I can't be arsed to write a nuanced essay). The UK didn't like the direction the EU was heading, and has chosen to leave. Scotland did not. Therefore it can't have its own referendum because....reasons? Doesn't make sense. I'd agree that the UK's decision is a material change.
I do think that Sindy II would have to be a once in a generation referendum though.
The only politician on the left who has talked any sense since the referendum seems to be Blair. I honestly think he'd be their best hope at the next election, everyone else is utterly hopeless.
Can someone tell me who the last shadow cabinet minister to resign was?
I've got it as Seema Malhotra, the eighth one to go.
Honestly shadow cabinet ministers are dropping like Carthaginians at Zama
Malhotra. Burnham's ruled himself out! Possibly a couple of Eagles and Falconer to come. Although anyone in the Shad Cabinet who might want to be leader will probably stay put.
I backed Balls for leader once before, and he let me down badly. I actually rather miss him. If he had been running Labour Remain they might have made a better fist of it.
Can someone tell me who the last shadow cabinet minister to resign was?
I've got it as Seema Malhotra, the eighth one to go.
Honestly shadow cabinet ministers are dropping like Carthaginians at Zama
Malhotra. Burnham's ruled himself out! Possibly a couple of Eagles and Falconer to come. Although anyone in the Shad Cabinet who might want to be leader will probably stay put.
Two Eagles and a Falconer?
I'm sure I can make an avian related pun out of that in a thread header.
He is enamored with calling this the end the death ect ect of Corbyn.
I can't actually understand how he believes all this when Corbyn is standing on such solid ground and his enemies on such flimsy ground.
The battlefield (europe) could not have been more favourable for Corbyn (except foreign policy), especially after the Labour MP's have been proven so out of touch on the issue.
And don't forget the lingering animosity towards the MP's from Labour, the main reason why Corbyn was elected was because the Labour party hates it's own MP's. The view is that the MP's are some kind of out of touch aristocrats who need the chop, and their behaviour proves it.
I see from the previous thread that Michael Howard is being touted by some of the great and good of pbCOM- tongue in cheek. I've been name dropping today, De Piero (sorry for confusing her with an Italian legend Del Piero), but I had the misfortune to be sat next to Michael Howard one time during a Kent social event. Enough said. He was not the most pleasant company.
John O's post earlier....read that. That is where the Tories are at, and they'll go for Boris, warts and all. God help em, but the die is cast.
Personally I really like him as a person. Obviously not a politician I support but otherwise I have a lot of time for him.
I like Ed Balls as a person too.
He had a brain the size of Mars, and always had Osborne on his toes, ditto Gove when he was shadow education secretary.
Good choice, if he could neutralise the Corbynites he might even get this floating voters vote.
The thing about the politicians at the top of our political parties at the moment is that they are all disasters plumbing new depths of unpopularity... until the next lot come along and suddenly they don't seem quite so bad.
Personally I really like him as a person. Obviously not a politician I support but otherwise I have a lot of time for him.
I like Ed Balls as a person too.
He had a brain the size of Mars, and always had Osborne on his toes, ditto Gove when he was shadow education secretary.
Good choice, if he could neutralise the Corbynites he might even get this floating voters vote.
The thing about the politicians at the top of our political parties at the moment is that they are all disasters plumbing new depths of unpopularity... until the next lot come along and suddenly they don't seem quite so bad.
Very true, glad to see the back of him, then this happens.
Personally I really like him as a person. Obviously not a politician I support but otherwise I have a lot of time for him.
I like Ed Balls as a person too.
He had a brain the size of Mars, and always had Osborne on his toes, ditto Gove when he was shadow education secretary.
Good choice, if he could neutralise the Corbynites he might even get this floating voters vote.
The thing about the politicians at the top of our political parties at the moment is that they are all disasters plumbing new depths of unpopularity... until the next lot come along and suddenly they don't seem quite so bad.
This. When we're waxing nostalgic about Ed Balls, you know we're currently circling the plughole.
Sadly, I have to say that I will be cheering on Iceland tomorrow, a first for me because I have always followed England, and even though I love Kindly Uncle Roy.
Can someone tell me who the last shadow cabinet minister to resign was?
I've got it as Seema Malhotra, the eighth one to go.
Honestly shadow cabinet ministers are dropping like Carthaginians at Zama
Have we got a list of confirmed resignations?
LabList:
Hilary Benn, Shadow Foreign Secretary (Sacked last night) Heidi Alexander, Shadow Health Gloria De Piero, Shadow Young People and Voter Registration Ian Murray, Shadow Scotland Lucy Powell, Shadow Education Kerry McCarthy, Shadow Environment Lilian Greenwood, Shadow Transport Seema Malhotra, Shadow Chief Secretary to the Treasury
This is knackering. You try to escape and this monumental clusterfuck sucks you back in.
I'm still not getting any fucking work done.
Aaaaaargh
Somebody asked me pre-thread what might induce buyer's remorse, in me (Bremorse is the technical term). If this howling chaos continues that might do it, simply because I need to concentrate, and earn some bloody cash.
That was me and thanks for the entertaining if facetious response.
Can someone tell me who the last shadow cabinet minister to resign was?
I've got it as Seema Malhotra, the eighth one to go.
Honestly shadow cabinet ministers are dropping like Carthaginians at Zama
Have we got a list of confirmed resignations?
LabList:
Hilary Benn, Shadow Foreign Secretary (Sacked last night) Heidi Alexander, Shadow Health Gloria De Piero, Shadow Young People and Voter Registration Ian Murray, Shadow Scotland Lucy Powell, Shadow Education Kerry McCarthy, Shadow Environment Lilian Greenwood, Shadow Transport Seema Malhotra, Shadow Chief Secretary to the Treasury
Are we sure De Piero's resignation was anything to do with Corbyn? If that was her brief should she have been the first out the door on Friday morning?
This is knackering. You try to escape and this monumental clusterfuck sucks you back in.
I'm still not getting any fucking work done.
Aaaaaargh
Somebody asked me pre-thread what might induce buyer's remorse, in me (Bremorse is the technical term). If this howling chaos continues that might do it, simply because I need to concentrate, and earn some bloody cash.
You'll need that cash pal to offset your negative equity.
Karen Buck ✔ @KarenPBuckMP 2/..Labour has duty to be serious opposition and credible government in waiting. Jeremy Corbyn is not the leader we need now. 1:49 PM - 26 Jun 2016 135 135 Retweets 117 117 likes
Sadly, I have to say that I will be cheering on Iceland tomorrow, a first for me because I have always followed England, and even though I love Kindly Uncle Roy.
Sod it...the French have scored....
I'm torn, Iceland is the most stunning country and one I wouldn't mind living in. Happy for either winning really.
The only politician on the left who has talked any sense since the referendum seems to be Blair. I honestly think he'd be their best hope at the next election, everyone else is utterly hopeless.
Are you sure there isn't anyone you can think of that Labour members are less likely to select ;-) Especially with Chilcot coming out next week.
Karen Buck ✔ @KarenPBuckMP 2/..Labour has duty to be serious opposition and credible government in waiting. Jeremy Corbyn is not the leader we need now. 1:49 PM - 26 Jun 2016 135 135 Retweets 117 117 likes
@iainjwatson: 1/2 I'm told by well placed source that #Labour party has legal advice that Jeremy Corbyn would NOT automatically be on leadership ballot
@iainjwatson: 2/2 but that Labour's NEC could over rule this and ensure he is on the ballot but might be open to messy legal challenge
@iainjwatson: 1/2 I'm told by well placed source that #Labour party has legal advice that Jeremy Corbyn would NOT automatically be on leadership ballot
@iainjwatson: 2/2 but that Labour's NEC could over rule this and ensure he is on the ballot but might be open to messy legal challenge
If Labout MPs don't put Corbyn forward for election they will be deselected by their local party.
Personally I really like him as a person. Obviously not a politician I support but otherwise I have a lot of time for him.
I like Ed Balls as a person too.
He had a brain the size of Mars, and always had Osborne on his toes, ditto Gove when he was shadow education secretary.
Good choice, if he could neutralise the Corbynites he might even get this floating voters vote.
The thing about the politicians at the top of our political parties at the moment is that they are all disasters plumbing new depths of unpopularity... until the next lot come along and suddenly they don't seem quite so bad.
This. When we're waxing nostalgic about Ed Balls, you know we're currently circling the plughole.
Indeed and I am surprised by some on here who seem to have short memories. A couple fo reminders: Ed Balls was Gordon Brown's advisor and henchman. The clusterfuck of City Regulation was largely down to Balls, as I think much of what Brown came up as Chancellor. Balls was also a close associate of that shit McBride, worked in the same office as him and yet mysteriously had no knowledge of what McBride was up to. Lets not bother to mention his house flipping and expenses extravaganza, which may have been legal but was morally as straight as a corkscrew.
Why people should feel nostalgic over such a man is beyond me.
Personally I really like him as a person. Obviously not a politician I support but otherwise I have a lot of time for him.
I like Ed Balls as a person too.
He had a brain the size of Mars, and always had Osborne on his toes, ditto Gove when he was shadow education secretary.
Good choice, if he could neutralise the Corbynites he might even get this floating voters vote.
The thing about the politicians at the top of our political parties at the moment is that they are all disasters plumbing new depths of unpopularity... until the next lot come along and suddenly they don't seem quite so bad.
This. When we're waxing nostalgic about Ed Balls, you know we're currently circling the plughole.
Indeed and I am surprised by some on here who seem to have short memories. A couple fo reminders: Ed Balls was Gordon Brown's advisor and henchman. The clusterfuck of City Regulation was largely down to Balls, as I think much of what Brown came up as Chancellor. Balls was also a close associate of that shit McBride, worked in the same office as him and yet mysteriously had no knowledge of what McBride was up to. Lets not bother to mention his house flipping and expenses extravaganza, which may have been legal but was morally as straight as a corkscrew.
Why people should feel nostalgic over such a man is beyond me.
plus the years of front-bench gurning and silly hand gestures
I think we're in territory where we need to get on with a true realignment. Any would-be Labour leader should be considering whether they'd be better off founding a new party or defecting.
@iainjwatson: 1/2 I'm told by well placed source that #Labour party has legal advice that Jeremy Corbyn would NOT automatically be on leadership ballot
@iainjwatson: 2/2 but that Labour's NEC could over rule this and ensure he is on the ballot but might be open to messy legal challenge
If Labout MPs don't put Corbyn forward for election they will be deselected by their local party.
No they won't. Momentum may try and target some of the ringleaders by loading the local party a la Militant....all local MP's have friendly enough relations with their local members.
My local brach split when it was taken over by Militant. Most Labour party members are a gentle sort.
@iainjwatson: 1/2 I'm told by well placed source that #Labour party has legal advice that Jeremy Corbyn would NOT automatically be on leadership ballot
@iainjwatson: 2/2 but that Labour's NEC could over rule this and ensure he is on the ballot but might be open to messy legal challenge
If Labout MPs don't put Corbyn forward for election they will be deselected by their local party.
Why is everyone so certain that Corbyn has the support of the local parties? Even the selectorate who would have been heavily EU? Talk of at least a couple of motions of no confidence passed already.
I'd support that, but with May as Foreign Secretary with responsibility for negotiating our way out of the Brexit mess. The role would be of real consequence for the first time in ages.
This is knackering. You try to escape and this monumental clusterfuck sucks you back in.
I'm still not getting any fucking work done.
Aaaaaargh
Somebody asked me pre-thread what might induce buyer's remorse, in me (Bremorse is the technical term). If this howling chaos continues that might do it, simply because I need to concentrate, and earn some bloody cash.
You'll need that cash pal to offset your negative equity.
Lower house prices are good for those seeking to buy a house and those seeking to buy a more expensive house. The majority.
Higher house prices only benefit those exiting the housing market or downsizing.
Note also a lower pound is good for UK exports, especially when we have such a need to increase exports and close the big trade gap.
I can maybe understand Cameron keeping a low profile, for a couple of days, he must be in shock. But the Chancellor of the Exchequer should be on the TV 24/7, reassuring the markets, offering alternatives, yet zip.
Dereliction of duty.
To be fair I'm not sure he's really the man for publicly reassuring the markets given what he said before the referendum.
Comments
Hard work from Mr Herdson today!
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/747063721894252544
And thank you David for your threads today, positively Meeksian in the output and turnaround time
I choose door one. The host opens door three to reveal someone who won two elections in Remain friendly London and has just won a decisive Leave vote in the rest of England.
Do I switch?
If Balls is Labour's answer, then what the heck was the question?
I'm not sure it's support for the end of the Union. It's just consistency. In the crudest of brush strokes (I can't be arsed to write a nuanced essay). The UK didn't like the direction the EU was heading, and has chosen to leave. Scotland did not. Therefore it can't have its own referendum because....reasons? Doesn't make sense. I'd agree that the UK's decision is a material change.
I do think that Sindy II would have to be a once in a generation referendum though.
Personally I really like him as a person. Obviously not a politician I support but otherwise I have a lot of time for him.
The only politician on the left who has talked any sense since the referendum seems to be Blair. I honestly think he'd be their best hope at the next election, everyone else is utterly hopeless.
I've got it as Seema Malhotra, the eighth one to go.
Honestly shadow cabinet ministers are dropping like Carthaginians at Zama
Mr. Pulpstar, I bet there's less differential front end grip, too.
He had a brain the size of Mars, and always had Osborne on his toes, ditto Gove when he was shadow education secretary.
#Frexit.
Should focus MPs minds, especially REMAIN MPs who are at odds with their LEAVE activists.
Expect plenty of threat of de-selection if MPs don't go along with BREXIT.
I'm sure I can make an avian related pun out of that in a thread header.
I can't actually understand how he believes all this when Corbyn is standing on such solid ground and his enemies on such flimsy ground.
The battlefield (europe) could not have been more favourable for Corbyn (except foreign policy), especially after the Labour MP's have been proven so out of touch on the issue.
And don't forget the lingering animosity towards the MP's from Labour, the main reason why Corbyn was elected was because the Labour party hates it's own MP's.
The view is that the MP's are some kind of out of touch aristocrats who need the chop, and their behaviour proves it.
The ignorance of people on social media knows no limit.
Whereas, those on politicalbetting .............
John O's post earlier....read that. That is where the Tories are at, and they'll go for Boris, warts and all. God help em, but the die is cast.
If Brady knocks out the French, can we be honorary members of the PL?
https://twitter.com/GovHowardDean/status/747044702332006400
Scottish Labour did not, instead they installed those aristocrats as their leaders, so the Labour voters had enough and left.
The SNP does not control the UK parliament and will not block BREXIT.
The petition about a second referendum has zero status and is trivial.
The media are getting too excited over nothing.
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/06/corbyn-coup-running-tally-frontbench-resignations/
Sod it...the French have scored....
Hilary Benn, Shadow Foreign Secretary (Sacked last night)
Heidi Alexander, Shadow Health
Gloria De Piero, Shadow Young People and Voter Registration
Ian Murray, Shadow Scotland
Lucy Powell, Shadow Education
Kerry McCarthy, Shadow Environment
Lilian Greenwood, Shadow Transport
Seema Malhotra, Shadow Chief Secretary to the Treasury
The way things are going right now, the SNP could field candidates in England and they would be voted for. Just to stop the madness...
We all look forward to that.
2/..Labour has duty to be serious opposition and credible government in waiting. Jeremy Corbyn is not the leader we need now.
1:49 PM - 26 Jun 2016
135 135 Retweets 117 117 likes
Isn't she his PPS?
Ireland = The Maginot Line
SDP II now looking more and more inevitable...
http://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/06/justine-greening-the-country-cant-wait-until-october-johnson-and-may-should-reach-an-agreement-and-take-over-now.html
@iainjwatson: 2/2 but that Labour's NEC could over rule this and ensure he is on the ballot but might be open to messy legal challenge
SNP and Scotland have me themselves unpopular in England.
IRAMomentumWhy people should feel nostalgic over such a man is beyond me.
EU has far more to lose from Brexit than we do
My local brach split when it was taken over by Militant. Most Labour party members are a gentle sort.
@PolhomeEditor: More Shadow Cabinet resignations coming after 4pm.
https://twitter.com/TomJamesScott/status/747052029974036480
Lower house prices are good for those seeking to buy a house and those seeking to buy a more expensive house. The majority.
Higher house prices only benefit those exiting the housing market or downsizing.
Note also a lower pound is good for UK exports, especially when we have such a need to increase exports and close the big trade gap.