Mr. VW, worth noting the NE was a good area for UKIP in the General Election. If there's high turnout in London, that could counterbalance this.
Edited extra bit: Dr. Prasannan, I think you're confusing Sunderland/Newcastle. Former should be 54% Leave for parity. Roughly the reverse, I think, for Newcastle.
BBC woman reporting from Sunderland looks close to tears. Expecting a great LEAVE result then!
It's taken the wind out of a lot of BBC and Sky sails. Sky were unbearable earlier - they were virtually claiming Remain victory before a single result.
I just can't get over the Newcastle result. The residential areas within the city boundaries are affluent and full of students. I've seen nothing but remain literature within the city centre.
I wonder how much of the expert predictions etc are hindered by student movement, most GEs are in May when students will be in there university constituencies. In late June they'll be back in their home ones.
I just can't get over the Newcastle result. The residential areas within the city boundaries are affluent and full of students. I've seen nothing but remain literature within the city centre.
I just can't get over the Newcastle result. The residential areas within the city boundaries are affluent and full of students. I've seen nothing but remain literature within the city centre.
Students have all gone home.
That concerns me about the Newcastle result, lets see. GBPUSD looking uneasy in the 1.4830's - primed for another drop............
I just can't get over the Newcastle result. The residential areas within the city boundaries are affluent and full of students. I've seen nothing but remain literature within the city centre.
Students have all gone home.
Its Jesmond and Gosforth vs Kenton, Byker, Benwell. Trad Labour voters are speaking.
Curtice is miles out, UKIP won 14% in Newcastle Central at the general election 13% nationally, his model saying it would be a Remain landslide is farcical, it should be a truly marginal area!!
Remember there will be 110% turn out in parts of London... ;-)
Oh God. The establishment rigging the UK to remain in the EU because of Muslim election fraud would be every swivel eyed conspiracy theory rolled into one.
I wonder how much of the expert predictions etc are hindered by student movement, most GEs are in May when students will be in there university constituencies. In late June they'll be back in their home ones.
I said this earlier. I was on a uni campus today & the polling station there was obviously a ghost town & I thought at the time I wonder if Cameron has made a mistake here. 2 weeks earlier and this place would be rammed.
Curtice is miles out, UKIP won 14% in Newcastle Central at the general election 13% nationally, his model saying it would be a Remain landslide is farcical, it should be a truly marginal area!!
Curtice is miles out, UKIP won 14% in Newcastle Central at the general election 13% nationally, his model saying it would be a Remain landslide is farcical, it should be a truly marginal area!!
Mr. L, indeed. We might be waiting for Birmingham (ETA 4am) and Leeds (ETA 5am), but if turnout's higher they may be later. Over 700,000 in the former, and half a million in the latter.
Remember there will be 110% turn out in parts of London... ;-)
Oh God. The establishment rigging the UK to remain in the EU because of Muslim election fraud would be every swivel eyed conspiracy theory rolled into one.
Using pencils to do so!
For those that didn't realise...It's a joke folks...we have been doing it all day.
Curtice is miles out, UKIP won 14% in Newcastle Central at the general election 13% nationally, his model saying it would be a Remain landslide is farcical, it should be a truly marginal area!!
Yes, but more Labour than Con for the rest of the vote. Remain should have been on 55. So, they've missed, but not by a mile.
He had already told Dimbleby 20% - which was the figure that mattered - and Dimbleby hadn't digested that.
And Dimbleby said how many postal votes - so answer not 9m anyway - Curtice may have been mentally trying to work out number of postal votes which would be about 7.5m.
I still have a feeling that the Swindon and Oxfordshires of this country will seal it for remain. It's the hope that kills you...
The British in general are very conservative with a small c...it's why I believe miliband got smashed in middle.england. They might not like Tories / Cameron, left wing ed + SNP sound a bit risky.
Scotland is supposed to be 60:40 for Remain overall, so far I'd reckon (given Glasgow and Edinburgh still to come), I'd reckon it's looking like it'll be pretty close to that.
Where was Clackmananshire leave on the spreadsheet for 50/50. 42.2% by my reckoning. If Scotland only 58:42 that would be good for leave if Clackmananshire representative of Scotland.
Curtice is miles out, UKIP won 14% in Newcastle Central at the general election 13% nationally, his model saying it would be a Remain landslide is farcical, it should be a truly marginal area!!
Yes, but more Labour than Con for the rest of the vote. Remain should have been on 55. So, they've missed, but not by a mile.
So what, Wandsworth has a Tory MP in Putney but UKIP got only 5% there in the general election so it will comfortably vote Remain
Scotland is supposed to be 60:40 for Remain overall, so far I'd reckon (given Glasgow and Edinburgh still to come), I'd reckon it's looking like it'll be pretty close to that.
Comments
I suggest that is quite important. Audibly more noise at the Leave party.
shes just asked why is Dimbleby getting cross
So, it's Brexit, then.
Wow.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rcCW31tfojk
He had already told Dimbleby 20% - which was the figure that mattered - and Dimbleby hadn't digested that.
And Dimbleby said how many postal votes - so answer not 9m anyway - Curtice may have been mentally trying to work out number of postal votes which would be about 7.5m.
*chuckles evilly*
I desperately want Remain to win now. Yet I feel a frisson of excitement that it may not!