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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB Polling Matters TV Show on BREXIT turnout, T

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  • Options
    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    edited April 2016
    @AlastairMeeks


    'It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.'


    Maybe if you occasionally came down from your Ivory tower,you might realize that many people are struggling to find basic housing, get their kids into local schools,get a GP's appointment when they are actually ill and not have their wages relentlessly forced down due to the never ending uncontrolled supply of cheap labour..

    What a post EU agreement looks like is to say the least not high on their priority list.



  • Options
    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083

    tyson said:

    It is difficult not to ridicule such moronic thinking. If I didn't know better I would assume that the Brexit bunch have been consumed by a brain disease that inhibits all rational thought.

    Seriously, why would a farmer want to leave the EU when his livelihood depends on it?

    There is no other explanation for the madness of Brexit thinking other than nonsense, stupidity, or the kind of reactionary nationalism that has caused Europe so much harm in the last century.

    And this is me being quite kind and reasonable.


    tyson said:

    Brexit is about as intellectually rigorous as being a Millwall fan and kicking the shit of a Fulham fan for supporting Fulham.

    Brexit is nihilistic nonsense.

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    Another REMAINER insulting people advocating LEAVE.
    Project Fear isn't working so now it's just insults.
    Brexiteers smell of wee....
    Remainers smell of oui.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,760

    The comments tonight are very reminiscent of The Day The Polls Turned last year

    Nope. Remain will win.

    Leave sympathisers
    Without them, Leave have no chance.
    I've moved to Remain this evening.



    Cameron's deal might be crap, but Leave are giving no assurances that we will retain what we already have.
    No surprise whats - for precisely this reason.

    So a straw man.
    Perhaps my loyalty to the UK is stronger.

    Unfortunately, as wonderful as Richard and Robert are, they won't be able to gift us membership of the EFTA/EEA.

    The report says there's no automaticity nor any guarantee that we will get membership nor that we will get favourable terms.

    The most damning part of the report said it was very reminiscent of the Scottish Nationalist movement who were convinced they could force the rest of the UK into a currency union.
    I'm not playing your loyalty to the UK trolling game.

    Your report may well ha Dave's lead.

    It's your vote but I'm not going to conceal my disappointment.
    I haven't, the co-author is an ardent Leaver. His final conclusion was painful for him.

    The report was well resourced, and took in a lot of impartial evidence.

    On the balance of probabilities Brexit is too higher a risk for the company, the sector and the UK as a whole.
    I can get how it's a risk for your business and that you should vote for what's best for you, but it's quite a jump to say that applies to the UK as a whole when there is a large enough body of evdience to say the reverse.
    Last time the banking/financial services industry went mammary glands up, it wasn't good news for the UK.
    No, and the reolution of it has been even worse banks are still too big to fail and Cameron put no blood on the carpet to show the financial sector there are consequences.

    It simply highlights the fact that we need to diversify the UK economic base, something imo we will never do whilst in the EU, it sucks the lifeblood out of us.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    TOPPING said:

    It is precisely the position of many on here, much perhaps to their irritation (they are certainly irritated by those who point it out).

    Yet it is by your account "not a credible position to take."

    A shame that a perfectly coherent option, albeit with drawbacks (similarly to the other options including staying in) is deemed not credible.

    It's not that it isn't a credible position for people to take, its that it isn't a credible position for VTLC to take, because the great bulk of their current support will be assuming Leave means LEAVE. We have a group of very intelligent, successful, most internationalist and libertarian businessmen and women on here who would do very well out of an EEA solution, but it is not going to be a common view amongst non political geeks, most of whom will have forgotten the EEA ever existed and will be supporting VLTC on the grounds of sovereignty or immigration. Risking losing all this later group, and the kippers, to pick up a handful of libertarian businessmen would be politically foolish.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,389
    Polruan said:

    tyson said:

    It is difficult not to ridicule such moronic thinking. If I didn't know better I would assume that the Brexit bunch have been consumed by a brain disease that inhibits all rational thought.

    Seriously, why would a farmer want to leave the EU when his livelihood depends on it?

    There is no other explanation for the madness of Brexit thinking other than nonsense, stupidity, or the kind of reactionary nationalism that has caused Europe so much harm in the last century.

    And this is me being quite kind and reasonable.


    tyson said:

    Brexit is about as intellectually rigorous as being a Millwall fan and kicking the shit of a Fulham fan for supporting Fulham.

    Brexit is nihilistic nonsense.

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    Another REMAINER insulting people advocating LEAVE.
    Project Fear isn't working so now it's just insults.
    Brexiteers smell of wee....
    Remainers smell of oui.
    POTD
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,785
    Alistair said:

    tyson said:


    I just don't get the nihilism of Brexit. There was an interview with some farmers, farmers who rely on EU subsidies, and they supported Brexit.

    I'm a firm Remainer but CAP and EU Farm subsidies are a terrible, terrible reason to vote Remain.
    As the Economist once observed, the CAP is seen by the French as the crowning glory of the EU, by the British as a protectionist monstrosity fit only for destruction......
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    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited April 2016

    Let's face it, the EFTA/EEA lark hardly enters the imagination of most Leavers. They just want a return to a Silver Jubilee world where we all where union-jack bowlers and trade in shillings. What annoys me is that once they've wreaked their mayhem, they won't be around to sort out the consequences, preferring instead to blame their ills on the World Government that resides beyond the North Pole.

    Another REMAINER insulting people advocating LEAVE?
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,389

    The comments tonight are very reminiscent of The Day The Polls Turned last year

    Nope. Remain will win.

    Leave sympathisers
    Without them, Leave have no chance.
    I've moved to Remain this evening.



    Cameron's deal might be crap, but Leave are giving no assurances that we will retain what we already have.
    No surprise whats - for precisely this reason.

    So a straw man.
    Perhaps my loyalty to the UK is stronger.

    Unfortunately, as wonderful as Richard and Robert are, they won't be able to gift us membership of the EFTA/EEA.

    The report says there's no automaticity nor any guarantee that we will get membership nor that we will get favourable terms.

    The most damning part of the report said it was very reminiscent of the Scottish Nationalist movement who were convinced they could force the rest of the UK into a currency union.
    I'm not playing your loyalty to the UK trolling game.

    Your report may well ha Dave's lead.

    It's your vote but I'm not going to conceal my disappointment.
    I haven't, the co-author is an ardent Leaver. His final conclusion was painful for him.

    The report was well resourced, and took in a lot of impartial evidence.

    On the balance of probabilities Brexit is too higher a risk for the company, the sector and the UK as a whole.
    I can get how it's a risk for your business and that you should vote for what's best for you, but it's quite a jump to say that applies to the UK as a whole when there is a large enough body of evdience to say the reverse.
    Last time the banking/financial services industry went mammary glands up, it wasn't good news for the UK.
    No, and the reolution of it has been even worse banks are still too big to fail and Cameron put no blood on the carpet to show the financial sector there are consequences.

    It simply highlights the fact that we need to diversify the UK economic base, something imo we will never do whilst in the EU, it sucks the lifeblood out of us.
    a) there was plenty of blood on the carpet
    b) ironic as we are eschewing (rightly IMO) the two mechanisms (SSM and SRM) that would help to lessen the likelihood of another banking crisis and make those participants, ie the banks, pay more should there be one.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,785

    We've 70 days to go of this. Urgh.


    Look on the bright side - it could have lasted as long as SINDYRef - that went on for years......and there's no turnips!
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    Indigo said:

    TOPPING said:

    runnymede said:



    'Well, you either take the view that yes, OUT means OUT and the rest is details, or you might take the view that it is beholden upon Leave to explain just what OUT means.

    I am probably 35:65 on the issue.'

    I think it's really simple.

    Without a LEAVE vote, there is no chance at all of stopping EU immigration. With a LEAVE vote, there is a chance but it is not guaranteed. Ergo if you want to stop EU immigration you vote LEAVE.

    Yes absolutely. Hence my point that I don't get the EEA solution as favoured by several on here. One of the Anti-EU Internet Heroes on here the other night even pointed me to a website where a majority of people wanted EEA/EFTA.

    I think it is not unreasonable to ask for clarity.
    Given that immigration/control of borders is (alleged to be, at any rate) one of the factors driving Leave voters, it is indeed pertinent to ask what campaign leaders envisage will happen afterwards.
    AIUI staying in the EEA or whatever means the border deal we have now.

    And we’re at a point in the economic cycle where UK offers attractions for economic migrants, however temporary. Will that always be the caser. I can clearly recall when the reverse was true.
    Pulling up the drawbridge is Cloud Cuckoo Land stuff. There will have to be some sort of associate-membership arrangement with the same immigration obligations that we have now. But you can't blame Leave for obfuscating on this. Admitting to it would kill Leave stone dead.
    Nonsense.

    Leave will be playing for complete leave of the EU and bilateral trade agreements, if they go for EEA they will lose half their support. EEA might make sense to some better informed people, but politically it's a dead duck. You can't campaign on "we need to leave the EU, but join the almost-EU", its not a credible position to take. Vote Leave's message will be there is no status quo, the EU is going somewhere and probably not where we want to go, we need to be in control of our own destiny. It's a simple message and on the evidence easy to sell.
    Don’t you mean a SIMPLISTIC message?
    It needs to be, if you are explaining you are losing.

    Most of the public are not going to give this more than a few minutes thought, anything deep is going to pass them by.

    "Labour isn't working"

    Simplistic ? yes. Effective ? hell yes!
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,997
    Miss Vance, but lots of porkies ;)
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    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited April 2016

    Let's face it, the EFTA/EEA lark hardly enters the imagination of most Leavers. They just want a return to a Silver Jubilee world where we all where union-jack bowlers and trade in shillings. What annoys me is that once they've wreaked their mayhem, they won't be around to sort out the consequences, preferring instead to blame their ills on the World Government that resides beyond the North Pole.

    You sound so much more reasonable when you are running around spouting idiotic abuse.. or is it rattled ? I have never been able to tell the difference.

    Leave is currently supported by half the voters, so nice of you to dismiss their views so glibly.
    tyson said:

    It is difficult not to ridicule such moronic thinking. If I didn't know better I would assume that the Brexit bunch have been consumed by a brain disease that inhibits all rational thought.

    Ah, and here is Mr Tyson slagging off half the population as well. You Remainers are such nice people, I don't recall anyone for Leave abusing half the voting population in such terms.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,785

    Growing hysteria from the Remain camp on PB this morning.


    They've just had Corbyn speak for REMAIN - can you blame them?
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,785

    Miss Vance, but lots of porkies ;)

    No shortage of those.......
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Has Jezza really been arguing Leave equals loads of dodgy individuals and companies will make a bee line for the UK?
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,471
    @TSE

    No true ardent Leaver would reach such a conclusion - just look at Michael Gove.

    We know the worst case scenario of Brexit with no deal - WTO rules. OpenEurope estimates a 2-3% fall in GDP, which is less than we grow in a single year. Not ideal but certainly not catastrophic and a deal will be there to be made.

    The rest is scaremongering.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,760
    TOPPING said:

    The comments tonight are very reminiscent of The Day The Polls Turned last year

    Nope. Remain will win.

    Leave sympathisers
    Without them, Leave have no chance.
    I've moved to Remain this evening.



    Cameron's deal might be crap, but Leave are giving no assurances that we will retain what we already have.
    No surprise whats - for precisely this reason.

    So a straw man.
    Perhaps my loyalty to the UK is stronger.

    Unfortunately, as wonderful as Richard and Robert are, they won't be able to gift us membership of the EFTA/EEA.

    The report says there's no automaticity nor any guarantee that we will get membership nor that we will get favourable terms.

    The most damning part of the report said it was very reminiscent of the Scottish Nationalist movement who were convinced they could force the rest of the UK into a currency union.
    I'm not plaial evidence.

    On the balance of probabilities Brexit is too higher a risk for the company, the sector and the UK as a whole.
    I can get how it's a risk for your business and that you should vote for what's best for you, but it's quite a jump to say that applies to the UK as a whole when there is a large enough body of evdience to say the reverse.
    Last time the banking/financial services industry went mammary glands up, it wasn't good news for the UK.
    No, and the reolution of it has been even worse banks are still too big to fail and Cameron put no blood on the carpet to show the financial sector there are consequences.

    It simply highlights the fact that we need to diversify the UK economic base, something imo we will never do whilst in the EU, it sucks the lifeblood out of us.
    a) there was plenty of blood on the carpet
    b) ironic as we are eschewing (rightly IMO) the two mechanisms (SSM and SRM) that would help to lessen the likelihood of another banking crisis and make those participants, ie the banks, pay more should there be one.
    We all missed it then.

    Executives rewarded for failure, no-one senior went to jail, no banks have been broken up, we continue to bail out RBS and taxpayers will never see their money back.

    Blood on the carpet ? Pah.



  • Options
    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,317
    john_zims said:

    @AlastairMeeks


    'It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.'


    Maybe if you occasionally came down from your Ivory tower,you might realize that many people are struggling to find basic housing, get their kids into local schools,get a GP's appointment when they are actually ill and not have their wages relentlessly forced down due to the never ending uncontrolled supply of cheap labour..

    What a post EU agreement looks like is to say the least not high on their priority list.

    What the hell's wrong with cheap labour? Why should I, or anyone else, have endure abyssal service just because it's home grown? You're probably not old enough to remember, but the British plumber was a staple of 1970s comedy: turned up weeks late, charged the earth, always did a crap job. If Leave is just a mandate for cowboys then you can stick it.
  • Options

    @TSE

    No true ardent Leaver would reach such a conclusion - just look at Michael Gove.

    We know the worst case scenario of Brexit with no deal - WTO rules. OpenEurope estimates a 2-3% fall in GDP, which is less than we grow in a single year. Not ideal but certainly not catastrophic and a deal will be there to be made.

    The rest is scaremongering.

    Do you have a link to that Open Europe estimate?
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,289
  • Options
    tyson said:



    Seriously, why would a farmer want to leave the EU when his livelihood depends on it?

    Maybe farmers don't believe Remain's ridiculous scare stories. It may be hard to believe but we did have a farming industry before we joined the EU. If the government is making such efforts to save the steel industry then of course they are going to make sure we have a viable farming sector in the future. Some small farmers may actually be better off as EU subsidies mainly seem to benefit the large agribusinesses.

    Even if some farmers are worse off it is worth remembering that people don't just vote on economics alone. Some people voted Labour last time around despite the fact they would be hit by the Mansion tax.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,508
    Alistair said:

    tyson said:


    I just don't get the nihilism of Brexit. There was an interview with some farmers, farmers who rely on EU subsidies, and they supported Brexit.

    I'm a firm Remainer but CAP and EU Farm subsidies are a terrible, terrible reason to vote Remain.
    And they have seriously damaged the nation's health. By subsidising output and guaranteeing a price for cash crops, they have all but destroyed mixed farming, and therefore given us the explosion of nitrogen fertilisers, exhausted mineral free soils, low nutrition vegetables and grains, and poor quality milk. They don't do this any more, but in the meantime they've effectively malnourished the national diet and made your '5 a day' all but worthless.

    Socialists - f**king the world up and not apologising since 1848.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,471

    The comments tonight are very reminiscent of The Day The Polls Turned last year

    Nope. Remain will win.

    Leave sympathisers including AndyJS, you(?), SeanT, AnneJGP, Philip Thompson, Stodge and Cyclefree *still* aren't 100% sure they'll vote Leave, and this is before the campaign has even begun.

    Those who aren't sure abstain, or default to the status quo, on the day.

    Without them, Leave have no chance.
    I've moved to Remain this evening.

    Our work produced our final report on what Brexit means for ourselves and the businesses we deal with.

    Without access to the financial passport and the single market, there would be a cascade of damage to ourselves and the UK economy.

    One of the authors of the report was an ardent leaver.

    Cameron's deal might be crap, but Leave are giving no assurances that we will retain what we already have.
    No surprise whats - for precisely this reason.

    So a straw man.
    Perhaps my loyalty to the UK is stronger.

    Unfortunately, as wonderful as Richard and Robert are, they won't be able to gift us membership of the EFTA/EEA.

    The
    I'm not playing your loyalty to the UK trolling game.

    Your report may well ha Dave's lead.

    It's your vote but I'm not going to conceal my disappointment.
    I haven't, the co-author is an ardent Leaver. His final conclusion was painful for him.

    The report was well resourced, and took in a lot of impartial evidence.

    On the balance of probabilities Brexit is too higher a risk for the company, the sector and the UK as a whole.
    I can get how it's a risk for your business and that you should vote for what's best for you, but it's quite a jump to say that applies to the UK as a whole when there is a large enough body of evdience to say the reverse.
    Crossrail did a Brexit analysis and report a few weeks ago which concluded.. (drumroll...)

    No material impact.

    And we follow all sorts of EU interoperability and procurement rules, and aren't fully due to be open until the end of 2019 right slap bang in the middle of the 'transition' period.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,471

    @TSE

    No true ardent Leaver would reach such a conclusion - just look at Michael Gove.

    We know the worst case scenario of Brexit with no deal - WTO rules. OpenEurope estimates a 2-3% fall in GDP, which is less than we grow in a single year. Not ideal but certainly not catastrophic and a deal will be there to be made.

    The rest is scaremongering.

    Do you have a link to that Open Europe estimate?
    Voila: http://openeurope.org.uk/intelligence/britain-and-the-eu/what-if-there-were-a-brexit/
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137

    Project Fear intensifies:

    @JonathanEley · 23m23 minutes ago

    Now it's getting really serious. Brexit could drag down house prices, says Moody’s: http://on.ft.com/1Q6s2A7

    So - Brexit to make house prices more accessible to millions?
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    No wonder it was so incredibly divisive for Scotland. It's tribalism writ large.

    We've 70 days to go of this. Urgh.


    Look on the bright side - it could have lasted as long as SINDYRef - that went on for years......and there's no turnips!
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097

    The comments tonight are very reminiscent of The Day The Polls Turned last year

    Nope. Remain will win.

    Leave sympathisers
    Without them, Leave have no chance.
    I've moved to Remain this evening.



    Cameron's deal might be crap, but Leave are giving no assurances that we will retain what we already have.
    No surprise whats - for precisely this reason.

    So a straw man.
    Perhaps my loyalty to the UK is stronger.

    Unfortunately, as wonderful as Richard and Robert are, they won't be able to gift us membership of the EFTA/EEA.

    The report says there's no automaticity nor any guarantee that we will get membership nor that we will get favourable terms.

    The most damning part of the report said it was very reminiscent of the Scottish Nationalist movement who were convinced they could force the rest of the UK into a currency union.
    I'm not playing your loyalty to the UK trolling game.

    Your report may well ha Dave's lead.

    It's your vote but I'm not going to conceal my disappointment.
    I haven't, the co-author is an ardent Leaver. His final conclusion was painful for him.

    The report was well resourced, and took in a lot of impartial evidence.

    On the balance of probabilities Brexit is too higher a risk for the company, the sector and the UK as a whole.
    I can get how it's a risk for your business and that you should vote for what's best for you, but it's quite a jump to say that applies to the UK as a whole when there is a large enough body of evdience to say the reverse.
    Last time the banking/financial services industry went mammary glands up, it wasn't good news for the UK.
    No, and the reolution of it has been even worse banks are still too big to fail and Cameron put no blood on the carpet to show the financial sector there are consequences.

    It simply highlights the fact that we need to diversify the UK economic base, something imo we will never do whilst in the EU, it sucks the lifeblood out of us.
    The US at least allowed Lehmans to be sacrificed
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    PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    Hmm.. My mother's carers have just told me they have had a pay cut. There used to be several levels of carers but now there is a single level - at the minimum wage - from £7.72 now £7.20. One of them has just set up married life at 25 in a single room of a shared house.

    Last year the company set up a company pension (required now). They offered a £100 company contribution. I don't think anybody signed up.

    So this is the EU for most people now, poor wages, no future career.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822

    Mr. Mark, Japanese stuff is overrated, according to the excellent Lindy Beige, who rates both Celtic and Viking swords more highly.

    [If you're into history, in particular (his Youtube channel has other stuff), it's well worth giving him a look].

    How fascinating. Thanx for the tip
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    @TSE

    No true ardent Leaver would reach such a conclusion - just look at Michael Gove.

    We know the worst case scenario of Brexit with no deal - WTO rules. OpenEurope estimates a 2-3% fall in GDP, which is less than we grow in a single year. Not ideal but certainly not catastrophic and a deal will be there to be made.

    The rest is scaremongering.

    Do you have a link to that Open Europe estimate?
    Voila: http://openeurope.org.uk/intelligence/britain-and-the-eu/what-if-there-were-a-brexit/
    Thank you.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097
    Corbyn preferred to Osborne as PM by 34% to 21%. Cameron and Boris lead Jezza
    http://order-order.com/2016/04/14/corbyn-preferred-to-osborne-as-pm/
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    First big laugh out loud this morning :smiley:
    Polruan said:

    tyson said:

    It is difficult not to ridicule such moronic thinking. If I didn't know better I would assume that the Brexit bunch have been consumed by a brain disease that inhibits all rational thought.

    Seriously, why would a farmer want to leave the EU when his livelihood depends on it?

    There is no other explanation for the madness of Brexit thinking other than nonsense, stupidity, or the kind of reactionary nationalism that has caused Europe so much harm in the last century.

    And this is me being quite kind and reasonable.


    tyson said:

    Brexit is about as intellectually rigorous as being a Millwall fan and kicking the shit of a Fulham fan for supporting Fulham.

    Brexit is nihilistic nonsense.

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    Another REMAINER insulting people advocating LEAVE.
    Project Fear isn't working so now it's just insults.
    Brexiteers smell of wee....
    Remainers smell of oui.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137
    Polruan said:

    tyson said:

    It is difficult not to ridicule such moronic thinking. If I didn't know better I would assume that the Brexit bunch have been consumed by a brain disease that inhibits all rational thought.

    Seriously, why would a farmer want to leave the EU when his livelihood depends on it?

    There is no other explanation for the madness of Brexit thinking other than nonsense, stupidity, or the kind of reactionary nationalism that has caused Europe so much harm in the last century.

    And this is me being quite kind and reasonable.


    tyson said:

    Brexit is about as intellectually rigorous as being a Millwall fan and kicking the shit of a Fulham fan for supporting Fulham.

    Brexit is nihilistic nonsense.

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    Another REMAINER insulting people advocating LEAVE.
    Project Fear isn't working so now it's just insults.
    Brexiteers smell of wee....
    Remainers smell of oui.
    Very good....
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097
    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,221
    edited April 2016
    Well, well: more evidence of Sadiq Khan taking on Islamic extremists.... or perhaps not.

    http://hurryupharry.org/2016/04/13/sadiq-khan-on-yusuf-al-qaradawi/
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited April 2016
    PAW said:

    Hmm.. My mother's carers have just told me they have had a pay cut. There used to be several levels of carers but now there is a single level - at the minimum wage - from £7.72 now £7.20. One of them has just set up married life at 25 in a single room of a shared house.

    Last year the company set up a company pension (required now). They offered a £100 company contribution. I don't think anybody signed up.

    So this is the EU for most people now, poor wages, no future career.

    Could the wage change be down to Osborne's new "living wage" i.e. in order to up the pay of some, they have reduced the pay of others and thus have a single pay bracket.

    There was a report in the Guardian a few days ago where they were reporting on what companies where doing and many were cutting benefits such as free lunches.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,915
    runnymede said:



    'Well, you either take the view that yes, OUT means OUT and the rest is details, or you might take the view that it is beholden upon Leave to explain just what OUT means.

    I am probably 35:65 on the issue.'

    I think it's really simple.

    Without a LEAVE vote, there is no chance at all of stopping EU immigration. With a LEAVE vote, there is a chance but it is not guaranteed. Ergo if you want to stop EU immigration you vote LEAVE.

    It's only that simple if immigration is the prevailing concern. It really isn't for me, it's more the abstract sovereignty issue, but I recognise the former is more compelling and real for most people.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,356
    Charles said:

    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Indigo said:

    TOPPING said:

    runnymede said:




    .
    Quite so. I am in that camp. The bit that worries me in the Vote Leave pdf http://www.voteleavetakecontrol.org/our_case
    setting out their position is this:

    "Second, all European countries, in and out of the euro, should be able to trade freely and cooperate in a friendly way. This does not require the supremacy of European law ."

    With respect to them that is nonsense. How do we have free trade without a regulator that can impose its decisions on the parties? I remember the nonsense when Japan claimed that skis could not be imported because they had a different kind of snow. If Germany decides they need a different kind of bank or Italy a different kind of insurance we need to be able to stop them or there is no free trade at all.

    That requires the supremacy of EU law, at least in the area of the single market. Worse alternatives are available (such as the NAFTA tribunals you have referred to) but some form of regulation which binds the hands of the UK government is an essential component of any meaningful trade deal. I hesitate to use the word but it is dishonest to pretend otherwise.
    I think you are over-reading it, perhaps because of your background as a lawyer.

    Clearly in a free trade area you have a system of conflict resolution.

    But here they are equally clearly referring to to EU law in general (as in the ECJ) - although in practice I suspect that many of the judgements voters are concerned about are ECHR not ECJ ;)
    The same assertion is made about 5 times in about 5 different places Charles. I suspect that Gove has had a hand in this. It is a bit too similar to the nonsense (from a legalistic point of view) about having a British bill of rights instead of the ECHR.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,508

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    The problem you have with this line of argument is that you fail to admit that the leave campaign have precisely zero official status with the government after June 23rd.
    Zero official status. But Leave campaigners such as yourself want to wash your hands of sorting out the sets of problems that you are keen to create. By explaining now what Leave wants Leave to look like would give a strong policy steer to the government after 23 June.

    "Not my problem guv" is a contemptible attitude.
    Chorus of squeals from Remains because Leave won't charge into the obvious Remain beartrap of dictating Government policy for the next 20 years.

    You'd have to have a heart of stone etc.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137

    Mr. Mark, Japanese stuff is overrated, according to the excellent Lindy Beige, who rates both Celtic and Viking swords more highly.

    [If you're into history, in particular (his Youtube channel has other stuff), it's well worth giving him a look].


    You expect me to take seriously someone called Beige? I don't recall him being a contender for Spectrum's top agent in the days of Captain Scarlet....
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,915
    Sean_F said:

    Let's face it, the EFTA/EEA lark hardly enters the imagination of most Leavers. They just want a return to a Silver Jubilee world where we all where union-jack bowlers and trade in shillings. What annoys me is that once they've wreaked their mayhem, they won't be around to sort out the consequences, preferring instead to blame their ills on the World Government that resides beyond the North Pole.

    No, we want to establish a far-right dictatorship.
    You fool, that's supposed to be a secret goal!
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited April 2016
    I don't know...some people are into Sadomasochism...this appears to be one of those "extremists" ones :-)
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,997
    Mr. Mark, if you're judging people based on their Spectrum credentials, that's madness.

    Although, if you are, you should check out some books by Thaddeus 'Colonel' White, including The Adventures of Sir Edric: http://www.amazon.co.uk/Adventures-Edric-Hero-Hornska-Book-ebook/dp/B01DOSP9ZK/
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Alistair said:

    tyson said:


    I just don't get the nihilism of Brexit. There was an interview with some farmers, farmers who rely on EU subsidies, and they supported Brexit.

    I'm a firm Remainer but CAP and EU Farm subsidies are a terrible, terrible reason to vote Remain.
    As the Economist once observed, the CAP is seen by the French as the crowning glory of the EU, by the British as a protectionist monstrosity fit only for destruction......
    Reform of CAP would probably be one of the biggest boosts to third world prosperity and political stability that Europe could do.
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    Mr. Eagles, the currency comparison is wrong.

    The Yes campaign wanted it, the rest of the UK did not.

    Post UK exit, both the UK and the EU will want a trading relationship. You can argue about how that might work precisely, but the EU is not going to try and stop all trade between it and the UK.

    But can you guarantee they'll give us terms comparable to what we have now?
    It's the future. Nobody can guarantee anything. Remain can't guarantee we won't be forced into the Euro and Schengen.
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    Indigo said:


    Leave didn't create the problem. The government did, they asked the question. You as a lawyer, of all people should know that it's foolish to ask a question if you don't want to know the answer. A government that asks a question of the population on the future of the country, and isn't prepared and planned for any eventuality is negligent.

    In addition, about three months ago Cameron was strutting around the TV studios telling us that if he didn't get a slightly larger bit of fluff than the one currently on offer he was perfectly prepared to leave the EU, and was sure we would be fine going it alone, and yet we are supposed to believe him when a couple of months later when he says leaving would be a complete disaster and we would be badly damaged if we went alone, and with a straight face as well.

    Moreover, it's unfair to treat "Leave" as one homogeneous bloc when they contain people from a spectrum of political opinions. There are good left-wing reasons to vote Leave. There are good right-wing reasons to vote Leave. There are good liberal reasons to vote Leave.

    Of course, there are good left and right and liberal wing reasons to vote to remain, too. But it seems quite unreasonable to me to expect an entirely unlikely coalition, who have coalesced around this issue based on quite diverse reasoning, to decide on a concrete programme (which, of course, they have no means of implementing).

    Remain has a "default advantage" in this sense, it just means "business as usual" so even Corbyn and Cameron and Clegg can agree on it. Though in the long run, do you think that they should be condemned for not putting together a coherent vision for Britain's future in Europe? This is something that Cyclefree and others here have been asking for. What's the endgame - Britain to join the federal "Inner Core"? Adopt the euro but in other aspects remain on the periphery? Fight to make the EU more of a trading club than a political union? A more liberal Europe? A more social Europe? The charge that we are sleepwalking into We Know What What has some validity. But I don't expect that Corbyn and Cameron and the more europhile Lib Dems to have a common vision for EU2030.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,883

    PAW said:

    Hmm.. My mother's carers have just told me they have had a pay cut. There used to be several levels of carers but now there is a single level - at the minimum wage - from £7.72 now £7.20. One of them has just set up married life at 25 in a single room of a shared house.

    Last year the company set up a company pension (required now). They offered a £100 company contribution. I don't think anybody signed up.

    So this is the EU for most people now, poor wages, no future career.

    Could the wage change be down to Osborne's new "living wage" i.e. in order to up the pay of some, they have reduced the pay of others and thus have a single pay bracket.

    There was a report in the Guardian a few days ago where they were reporting on what companies where doing and many were cutting benefits such as free lunches.
    No such thing as a free lunch!
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,508
    Polruan said:

    tyson said:

    It is difficult not to ridicule such moronic thinking. If I didn't know better I would assume that the Brexit bunch have been consumed by a brain disease that inhibits all rational thought.

    Seriously, why would a farmer want to leave the EU when his livelihood depends on it?

    There is no other explanation for the madness of Brexit thinking other than nonsense, stupidity, or the kind of reactionary nationalism that has caused Europe so much harm in the last century.

    And this is me being quite kind and reasonable.


    tyson said:

    Brexit is about as intellectually rigorous as being a Millwall fan and kicking the shit of a Fulham fan for supporting Fulham.

    Brexit is nihilistic nonsense.

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    Another REMAINER insulting people advocating LEAVE.
    Project Fear isn't working so now it's just insults.
    Brexiteers smell of wee....
    Remainers smell of oui.
    Masterful.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097
    JOURNALIST Julia Hartley-Brewer has revealed that she once threatened to punch a Tory MP — now a “very senior” minister — who groped her knee three times at a dinner.

    The talkRADIO host told Sky News: “The third time, I said, ‘Either you don’t put your hand on my knee again or I’m going to punch you in the face.’ He seemed to understand.”
    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/7074143/Tory-MP-who-called-top-journo-totty-is-unmasked-as-Bonking-Bob-Stewart.html
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137
    At least with Paddy, it would be over quickly!

    "Sir Paddy Ashdown's fame stems as much from a peccadillo and reports that he lasted nine-and-a-half seconds in the sack as from leading the Liberal Democrats for 11 years."

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2001/mar/19/profiles.parliament
  • Options
    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    edited April 2016
    @Stark_Dawning


    'What the hell's wrong with cheap labour? Why should I, or anyone else, have endure abyssal service just because it's home grown? You're probably not old enough to remember, but the British plumber was a staple of 1970s comedy: turned up weeks late, charged the earth, always did a crap job. If Leave is just a mandate for cowboys then you can stick it.'


    Nothing wrong with cheap labour as long as it's not your own wages being cut.
  • Options
    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    Alistair said:

    Alistair said:

    tyson said:


    I just don't get the nihilism of Brexit. There was an interview with some farmers, farmers who rely on EU subsidies, and they supported Brexit.

    I'm a firm Remainer but CAP and EU Farm subsidies are a terrible, terrible reason to vote Remain.
    As the Economist once observed, the CAP is seen by the French as the crowning glory of the EU, by the British as a protectionist monstrosity fit only for destruction......
    Reform of CAP would probably be one of the biggest boosts to third world prosperity and political stability that Europe could do.
    Indeed. Which is why it won't happen.
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    kle4 said:

    runnymede said:



    'Well, you either take the view that yes, OUT means OUT and the rest is details, or you might take the view that it is beholden upon Leave to explain just what OUT means.

    I am probably 35:65 on the issue.'

    I think it's really simple.

    Without a LEAVE vote, there is no chance at all of stopping EU immigration. With a LEAVE vote, there is a chance but it is not guaranteed. Ergo if you want to stop EU immigration you vote LEAVE.

    It's only that simple if immigration is the prevailing concern. It really isn't for me, it's more the abstract sovereignty issue, but I recognise the former is more compelling and real for most people.
    IIRC Only 16% cited immigration as most important in recent polling, it's a symptom of bigger sovereignty issues. I think Leave can quite easily umbrella many issues like this.

    And have done so using micro disparate campaigning. There's many talking to their own special interest. I follow a dozen on Twitter and it's fascinating
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,279
    HYUFD said:

    Corbyn preferred to Osborne as PM by 34% to 21%. Cameron and Boris lead Jezza
    http://order-order.com/2016/04/14/corbyn-preferred-to-osborne-as-pm/

    Does anybody seriously think this is what the public actually thinks or will think come GE 2020?
  • Options

    HYUFD said:

    Corbyn preferred to Osborne as PM by 34% to 21%. Cameron and Boris lead Jezza
    http://order-order.com/2016/04/14/corbyn-preferred-to-osborne-as-pm/

    Does anybody seriously think this is what the public actually thinks or will think come GE 2020?
    Yes if Osborne is Leader.
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822

    PAW said:

    Hmm.. My mother's carers have just told me they have had a pay cut. There used to be several levels of carers but now there is a single level - at the minimum wage - from £7.72 now £7.20. One of them has just set up married life at 25 in a single room of a shared house.

    Last year the company set up a company pension (required now). They offered a £100 company contribution. I don't think anybody signed up.

    So this is the EU for most people now, poor wages, no future career.

    Could the wage change be down to Osborne's new "living wage" i.e. in order to up the pay of some, they have reduced the pay of others and thus have a single pay bracket.

    There was a report in the Guardian a few days ago where they were reporting on what companies where doing and many were cutting benefits such as free lunches.
    Reports on Sky said this, makes sense - literally no free lunches on the taxpayer.
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    The problem you have with this line of argument is that you fail to admit that the leave campaign have precisely zero official status with the government after June 23rd.
    Zero official status. But Leave campaigners such as yourself want to wash your hands of sorting out the sets of problems that you are keen to create. By explaining now what Leave wants Leave to look like would give a strong policy steer to the government after 23 June.

    "Not my problem guv" is a contemptible attitude.
    Chorus of squeals from Remains because Leave won't charge into the obvious Remain beartrap of dictating Government policy for the next 20 years.

    You'd have to have a heart of stone etc.
    Well quite. It's absurd.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,471
    HYUFD said:

    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744

    That photo is toxic to Cameron.

    Whose idea was that?

    At the very least he shouldn't have been sitting next to them in a row.
  • Options
    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited April 2016

    kle4 said:

    runnymede said:



    'Well, you either take the view that yes, OUT means OUT and the rest is details, or you might take the view that it is beholden upon Leave to explain just what OUT means.

    I am probably 35:65 on the issue.'

    I think it's really simple.

    Without a LEAVE vote, there is no chance at all of stopping EU immigration. With a LEAVE vote, there is a chance but it is not guaranteed. Ergo if you want to stop EU immigration you vote LEAVE.

    It's only that simple if immigration is the prevailing concern. It really isn't for me, it's more the abstract sovereignty issue, but I recognise the former is more compelling and real for most people.
    IIRC Only 16% cited immigration as most important in recent polling, it's a symptom of bigger sovereignty issues. I think Leave can quite easily umbrella many issues like this.

    And have done so using micro disparate campaigning. There's many talking to their own special interest. I follow a dozen on Twitter and it's fascinating
    Does anything more need to be said in mainstream broadcast channels about immigration? Leaflets reminding voters in working class areas would probably suffice to encourage Labour voters to stay at home or vote LEAVE.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,471
    Do they have Arron Banks with a purple rosette just out of shot?
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    :+1:

    Well put, Mr Ears

    Indigo said:


    Leave didn't create the problem. The government did, they asked the question. You as a lawyer, of all people should know that it's foolish to ask a question if you don't want to know the answer. A government that asks a question of the population on the future of the country, and isn't prepared and planned for any eventuality is negligent.

    In addition, about three months ago Cameron was strutting around the TV studios telling us that if he didn't get a slightly larger bit of fluff than the one currently on offer he was perfectly prepared to leave the EU, and was sure we would be fine going it alone, and yet we are supposed to believe him when a couple of months later when he says leaving would be a complete disaster and we would be badly damaged if we went alone, and with a straight face as well.

    Moreover, it's unfair to treat "Leave" as one homogeneous bloc when they contain people from a spectrum of political opinions. There are good left-wing reasons to vote Leave. There are good right-wing reasons to vote Leave. There are good liberal reasons to vote Leave.

    Of course, there are good left and right and liberal wing reasons to vote to remain, too. But it seems quite unreasonable to me to expect an entirely unlikely coalition, who have coalesced around this issue based on quite diverse reasoning, to decide on a concrete programme (which, of course, they have no means of implementing).

    Remain has a "default advantage" in this sense, it just means "business as usual" so even Corbyn and Cameron and Clegg can agree on it. Though in the long run, do you think that they should be condemned for not putting together a coherent vision for Britain's future in Europe? This is something that Cyclefree and others here have been asking for. What's the endgame - Britain to join the federal "Inner Core"? Adopt the euro but in other aspects remain on the periphery? Fight to make the EU more of a trading club than a political union? A more liberal Europe? A more social Europe? The charge that we are sleepwalking into We Know What What has some validity. But I don't expect that Corbyn and Cameron and the more europhile Lib Dems to have a common vision for EU2030.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097

    HYUFD said:

    Corbyn preferred to Osborne as PM by 34% to 21%. Cameron and Boris lead Jezza
    http://order-order.com/2016/04/14/corbyn-preferred-to-osborne-as-pm/

    Does anybody seriously think this is what the public actually thinks or will think come GE 2020?
    In the present climate yes
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Arhhh so you are not a Tory supporter, let me hand you over to my colleague...
  • Options
    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536

    PAW said:

    Hmm.. My mother's carers have just told me they have had a pay cut. There used to be several levels of carers but now there is a single level - at the minimum wage - from £7.72 now £7.20. One of them has just set up married life at 25 in a single room of a shared house.

    Last year the company set up a company pension (required now). They offered a £100 company contribution. I don't think anybody signed up.

    So this is the EU for most people now, poor wages, no future career.

    Could the wage change be down to Osborne's new "living wage" i.e. in order to up the pay of some, they have reduced the pay of others and thus have a single pay bracket.

    There was a report in the Guardian a few days ago where they were reporting on what companies where doing and many were cutting benefits such as free lunches.
    Reports on Sky said this, makes sense - literally no free lunches on the taxpayer.
    What on earth did people expect to happen? Companies volunteering to slash their own profit margins?
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Pandas last over 4 minutes apparently

    At least with Paddy, it would be over quickly!

    "Sir Paddy Ashdown's fame stems as much from a peccadillo and reports that he lasted nine-and-a-half seconds in the sack as from leading the Liberal Democrats for 11 years."

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2001/mar/19/profiles.parliament
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,865
    HYUFD said:

    Corbyn preferred to Osborne as PM by 34% to 21%. Cameron and Boris lead Jezza
    http://order-order.com/2016/04/14/corbyn-preferred-to-osborne-as-pm/

    I'd be very inclined to vote for Jezza over Boy George.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,097

    HYUFD said:

    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744

    That photo is toxic to Cameron.

    Whose idea was that?

    At the very least he shouldn't have been sitting next to them in a row.
    I imagine they were each ringing their own party's supporters but nonetheless a gift to UKIP
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited April 2016

    Pandas last over 4 minutes apparently

    At least with Paddy, it would be over quickly!

    "Sir Paddy Ashdown's fame stems as much from a peccadillo and reports that he lasted nine-and-a-half seconds in the sack as from leading the Liberal Democrats for 11 years."

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2001/mar/19/profiles.parliament
    But the ones in captivity apparently have to be shown explicit movies to get them going first...
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,865
    edited April 2016

    HYUFD said:

    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744

    That photo is toxic to Cameron.

    Whose idea was that?

    At the very least he shouldn't have been sitting next to them in a row.
    Number one rule of being a success is that you aren't seen with losers. Why is Cameron (a two time election winner and Prime Minister) being pictured with serial losers like Paddy and Kinnock?

    Cameron really is blowing it isn't he? He got the second term and now he's destroying it all...
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,508

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    The problem you have with this line of argument is that you fail to admit that the leave campaign have precisely zero official status with the government after June 23rd.
    Zero official status. But Leave campaigners such as yourself want to wash your hands of sorting out the sets of problems that you are keen to create. By explaining now what Leave wants Leave to look like would give a strong policy steer to the government after 23 June.

    "Not my problem guv" is a contemptible attitude.
    Chorus of squeals from Remains because Leave won't charge into the obvious Remain beartrap of dictating Government policy for the next 20 years.

    You'd have to have a heart of stone etc.
    Well quite. It's absurd.
    The concept of a Government y'know, governing, seems quite beyond them. I suppose it has been a while.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,044

    Mr. Indigo, that's intensely depressing. Germany's going to the dogs.

    Well, he has technically committed a crime. (In that insulting a foreign head of state is - bizarrely - a crime in Germany.)

    I would have thought that this comes under the heading of the Streisland Effect: prosecuting will make the video much better known. And, the trial will find him not guilty irrespective.
  • Options
    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536

    On the EU/EFTA option the Bruges Group ran a poll a couple of years ago that found massive support for this versus the EU. So I don't think we should assume it's a non-starter.

    http://www.brugesgroup.com/media-centre/comment/37-comment-and-analysis/591-71-said-they-would-prefer-britain-to-leave-the-eu-and-join-efta
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,471
    GIN1138 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744

    That photo is toxic to Cameron.

    Whose idea was that?

    At the very least he shouldn't have been sitting next to them in a row.
    Number one rule of being a success is that you aren't seen with losers. Why is Cameron (a two time election winner and Prime Minister) being pictured with serial losers like Paddy and Kinnock?

    Cameron really is blowing it isn't he? He got the second term and now he's destroying it all...
    I'm now 50:50 as to whether I want him to continue as PM after the referendum, now, regardless of the result.

    That photo is a serious mistake.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,997
    Mr. 1000, that's... crazy. I hope he gets found innocent and that stupid law is repealed.
  • Options

    NEW THREAD NEW THREAD

  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    The problem you have with this line of argument is that you fail to admit that the leave campaign have precisely zero official status with the government after June 23rd.
    Zero official status. But Leave campaigners such as yourself want to wash your hands of sorting out the sets of problems that you are keen to create. By explaining now what Leave wants Leave to look like would give a strong policy steer to the government after 23 June.

    "Not my problem guv" is a contemptible attitude.
    Chorus of squeals from Remains because Leave won't charge into the obvious Remain beartrap of dictating Government policy for the next 20 years.

    You'd have to have a heart of stone etc.
    Well quite. It's absurd.
    The concept of a Government y'know, governing, seems quite beyond them. I suppose it has been a while.
    If Leave refuses to set out a prospectus, wins and the Government then decides to interpret the decision as it thinks fit, the immediate screams of pain and outrage from the Leave campaigners will be as if they had all simultaneously caught their scrotums in their zips.
  • Options
    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651

    :+1:

    Well put, Mr Ears

    Indigo said:


    Leave didn't create the problem. The government did, they asked the question. You as a lawyer, of all people should know that it's foolish to ask a question if you don't want to know the answer. A government that asks a question of the population on the future of the country, and isn't prepared and planned for any eventuality is negligent.

    In addition, about three months ago Cameron was strutting around the TV studios telling us that if he didn't get a slightly larger bit of fluff than the one currently on offer he was perfectly prepared to leave the EU, and was sure we would be fine going it alone, and yet we are supposed to believe him when a couple of months later when he says leaving would be a complete disaster and we would be badly damaged if we went alone, and with a straight face as well.

    Moreover, it's unfair to treat "Leave" as one homogeneous bloc when they contain people from a spectrum of political opinions. There are good left-wing reasons to vote Leave. There are good right-wing reasons to vote Leave. There are good liberal reasons to vote Leave.

    Of course, there are good left and right and liberal wing reasons to vote to remain, too. But it seems quite unreasonable to me to expect an entirely unlikely coalition, who have coalesced around this issue based on quite diverse reasoning, to decide on a concrete programme (which, of course, they have no means of implementing).

    Remain has a "default advantage" in this sense, it just means "business as usual" so even Corbyn and Cameron and Clegg can agree on it. Though in the long run, do you think that they should be condemned for not putting together a coherent vision for Britain's future in Europe? This is something that Cyclefree and others here have been asking for. What's the endgame - Britain to join the federal "Inner Core"? Adopt the euro but in other aspects remain on the periphery? Fight to make the EU more of a trading club than a political union? A more liberal Europe? A more social Europe? The charge that we are sleepwalking into We Know What What has some validity. But I don't expect that Corbyn and Cameron and the more europhile Lib Dems to have a common vision for EU2030.
    My "We Know Not What" came out a bit mangled but you get the gist.
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    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,508
    GIN1138 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744

    That photo is toxic to Cameron.

    Whose idea was that?

    At the very least he shouldn't have been sitting next to them in a row.
    Number one rule of being a success is that you aren't seen with losers. Why is Cameron (a two time election winner and Prime Minister) being pictured with serial losers like Paddy and Kinnock?

    Cameron really is blowing it isn't he? He got the second term and now he's destroying it all...
    Kinnock is by far the worst - Telethon to keep him and his ghastly family trousering millions in EU salaries?
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    edited April 2016
    I wonder if those who worry about immigrants from the EU are keeping under the radar for fear of being accused of being racist.

    Presumably they would have no problem responding LEAVE in the polling though.
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    PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    edited April 2016
    FrancisUrquhart,

    short call rates in Bournemouth is £21/hour/ per person arranged through the council in a block deal. That is meant to be the rate the agency actually gets since the Care Act last year so I think the agency could have absorbed the cost really - for just a few senior carers after all and many carers are short hours.

    Rates arranged directly with the agency are double, I think.

    2 and 3/4 hours a day for 2 carers every day is around £42,000 (I think) a year for me to find. It is irritating to find the carers get so little.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,137

    HYUFD said:

    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744

    That photo is toxic to Cameron.

    Whose idea was that?
    The Leave agents embedded into the heart of the Remain campaign are doing excellent work....
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,892

    HYUFD said:

    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744

    That photo is toxic to Cameron.

    Whose idea was that?

    At the very least he shouldn't have been sitting next to them in a row.
    Not toxic at all. Quite the reverse. It tells me all the leading parties support Remain. If that spooks you wait until the 48 sheets come out with Redwood-Gove-IDS-Farage-Johnson-Galloway.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    I'm shocked https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/labour-party/news/73791/labour-hit-fresh-entryism-row-after-registered
    Labour has been hit by a fresh entryism row after it emerged some of the party's registered supporters have given their backing to Green party candidates for next month's council elections.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Roger said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744

    That photo is toxic to Cameron.

    Whose idea was that?

    At the very least he shouldn't have been sitting next to them in a row.
    Not toxic at all. Quite the reverse. It tells me all the leading parties support Remain. If that spooks you wait until the 48 sheets come out with Redwood-Gove-IDS-Farage-Johnson-Galloway.
    You don't understand. In yet another parallel with the Scottish independence debate, every item of news without exception is viewed by Leave supporters as good news for Leave and bad news for Remain.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,044

    @TSE

    No true ardent Leaver would reach such a conclusion - just look at Michael Gove.

    We know the worst case scenario of Brexit with no deal - WTO rules. OpenEurope estimates a 2-3% fall in GDP, which is less than we grow in a single year. Not ideal but certainly not catastrophic and a deal will be there to be made.

    The rest is scaremongering.

    I think a disorderly exit from the EU, where we did not reach a deal with the rest of the group, but simply repealed the European Communities Act have significantly worse effect than 2-3% on GDP, at least initially.

    There would be a lot more uncertainty than under EFTA/EEA, certain things would be in legal limbo (including double taxation treatment and the sale of - for example - investment products to French citizens from UK firms.)

    These are not reasons to stay. But they are reasons to make sure we exit sensibly.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,785

    Chorus of squeals from Remains because Leave won't charge into the obvious Remain beartrap of dictating Government policy for the next 20 years.

    Not the next 20 years - just the next 2 years after Cameron invokes Article 50 on June 24th would be helpful......four freedoms, or not?
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    Polruan said:

    tyson said:

    It is difficult not to ridicule such moronic thinking. If I didn't know better I would assume that the Brexit bunch have been consumed by a brain disease that inhibits all rational thought.

    Seriously, why would a farmer want to leave the EU when his livelihood depends on it?

    There is no other explanation for the madness of Brexit thinking other than nonsense, stupidity, or the kind of reactionary nationalism that has caused Europe so much harm in the last century.

    And this is me being quite kind and reasonable.


    tyson said:

    Brexit is about as intellectually rigorous as being a Millwall fan and kicking the shit of a Fulham fan for supporting Fulham.

    Brexit is nihilistic nonsense.

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    Another REMAINER insulting people advocating LEAVE.
    Project Fear isn't working so now it's just insults.
    Brexiteers smell of wee....
    Remainers smell of oui.
    Unlike the LEAVE grannies.
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    How bad do you to be that Corbyn is considered a better prospective PM than you? And given Osborne's dire numbers recently (I remember one where only 8% IIRC saw him as a future PM or something along those lines) I can take that poll at face value. Looks like not just "anybody" will beat Corbyn in 2020. Hopefully this sparks the Tories to think about electing a leader that will be welcomed by many throughout the country as opposed to somebody who only Tory members like....
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,471
    Roger said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cameron, Paddy Ashdown and Neil Kinnock man a 'Vote Remain' phonebank together
    https://twitter.com/montie/status/720550604515487744

    That photo is toxic to Cameron.

    Whose idea was that?

    At the very least he shouldn't have been sitting next to them in a row.
    Not toxic at all. Quite the reverse. It tells me all the leading parties support Remain. If that spooks you wait until the 48 sheets come out with Redwood-Gove-IDS-Farage-Johnson-Galloway.
    I rest my case.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,279

    I'm shocked https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/labour-party/news/73791/labour-hit-fresh-entryism-row-after-registered

    Labour has been hit by a fresh entryism row after it emerged some of the party's registered supporters have given their backing to Green party candidates for next month's council elections.
    You'd have to have a heart of stone, not to laugh.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,969

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    It is remarkable how irresponsible - and additionally dishonest - so many Remain campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the fact that a vote for Remain is not a vote for status quo but for more integration and a continued move towards political union.
    Remain is offering a prospectus. Leave is not. You can criticise the Remain prospectus for being fanciful, implausible or dishonest, but it is offering one.

    Leave? It simply hasn't got as far as aspiring to coherence.
    Leave is being honest about the various different options available and the consequences. They are not pretending it is a simple solution. Remain is pretending that it will be business as usual. In this they are being dishonest. Their prospectus is false.
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    It's remarkable how irresponsible - in the deepest sense of the word - so many Leave campaigners are. Unable or unwilling to face up to the deep contradictions in their ranks, they seek to pass the responsibility for what a Leave vote would mean onto the shoulders of someone who is avowedly in favour of staying in the EU.

    The nonchalance with which - even for the policy that has been their touchstone for decades - they disavow the hard work of trying to make their incoherent policy work is astonishing.

    The problem you have with this line of argument is that you fail to admit that the leave campaign have precisely zero official status with the government after June 23rd.
    Zero official status. But Leave campaigners such as yourself want to wash your hands of sorting out the sets of problems that you are keen to create. By explaining now what Leave wants Leave to look like would give a strong policy steer to the government after 23 June.

    "Not my problem guv" is a contemptible attitude.
    I'm not a Leave "campaigner". But the government can and will ignore anything that happened pre June 23rd after June 23rd.

    Just like they did with the last referendum which was only about a common market.
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