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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters TV show looks at the Sanders

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    tlg86 said:

    There may be trouble ahead:

    [snip]

    The letter revealed the UKSA’s concerns focus on differences between ONS migration figures and data produced by other government departments - which have shown a discrepancy of more than a million EU migrants over the last five years.

    Here are the mid-year population estimates for 2011 published by ONS in 2013:

    http://tinyurl.com/j2t46mb

    The estimate of 56,170,900 was slightly higher than the Census estimate of 56,075,912 (March, 2011).

    This suggests to me that if something has started to go wrong with population estimates it has happened since the 2011 Census.
    Partly, but this is not to neglect the problem that the Census has failed to record both legal and illegal presences in the UK on an increasing scale in recent decades.

    But the pressure on the UK's housing stock has probably ratcheted up further in the last few years.
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    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited March 2016

    Andrew Neil
    ORB poll: Remain 51% (+3%); Leave 49% (-3%). Majority of Tory voters (56%) back quit. Online BMG poll: 41% Remain, 45% Leave, 14% undecided

    56% of Conservative voters for LEAVE is ahead of my guesstimates of 53%.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    :+1:
    Charles said:

    All the clever people are backing Remain

    https://twitter.com/Scientists4EU/status/715463610110226432

    Vast majority of grants have an EU brand on them.

    All of the money coming from UK taxpayers.
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