@Grinbin5: So much fence sitting #SNP must have to constantly pick splinters out their backsides, dangerous with pants on fire. https://t.co/JVbXEvKXFY
I see you are ignoring the result of the investigation of one of your previous favourite smears. Proven to be a lying toad yet again. You are not so particular about correcting your smears when you have been proven to be lying through your teeth.
WRT bullying, surely everyone gets bullied at school on occasion? I know I did and I wasn't unusual.
I was never bullied at school. At the time I was the only non white student at my school.
Nor was I, and there was virtually no bullying at all in the (international Danish-based) school that I was aware of (I once intervened when there was an attempt to throw a kid into the shower, but that was a single incident in a number of years).
I think that we have become accustomed in Britain (and some other countries) to think of unpleasant behaviour as normal and something one needs to learn to deal with without recourse to authority. I think that's a mistaken view - if you have a good childhood with a pleasant school environment, you're able to shrug off unpleasant behaviour (without usually needing authority) when you encounter it later because you'll feel secure in yourself (I genuinely don't care if SeanT thinks I'm a moron, for instance). If you start off with an unpleasant environment you will develop unpredictable coping strategies, frrom counter-aggression to cowering submission.
A super PAC supporting former tech executive Carly Fiorina's run reported raising $3.5 million -- with a half-million dollar lift from a super PAC supporting GOP presidential rival Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.).
The pro-Cruz PAC, Keep the Promise I, reported the disbursement Friday in a document filed with the Federal Election Commission. That is...unusual, to say the least.
Just stuck a tenner on Kasich at 9/1. If this story is true, Cruz will surely have to drop out, which makes Kasich the last anti-Trump candidate in the race. While he is running on a moderate platform, conservatives would surely prefer him to Trump? If he can take it to the convention, he would likely pick up most of Rubio's delegates
As a white adult heterosexual male in 1973, can I defend the times?
There was racism, sexism and probably a few isms that had yet to be invented. But as well, there was a degree of self-awareness and personal shame from doing bad things that seems to be disappearing.
We gave up seats to old gits and women. If we got very drunk, we vomited and urinated in private as far as possible. Fat people were fewer, but no one was offended by being called fat if they were morbidly obese (or pretended they weren't.
Oh, and no one in their teens explained to the old gits what life was like in the thirties.
Just stuck a tenner on Kasich at 9/1. If this story is true, Cruz will surely have to drop out, which makes Kasich the last anti-Trump candidate in the race. While he is running on a moderate platform, conservatives would surely prefer him to Trump? If he can take it to the convention, he would likely pick up most of Rubio's delegates
WRT bullying, surely everyone gets bullied at school on occasion? I know I did and I wasn't unusual.
I was never bullied at school. At the time I was the only non white student at my school.
Nor was I, and there was virtually no bullying at all in the (international Danish-based) school that I was aware of (I once intervened when there was an attempt to throw a kid into the shower, but that was a single incident in a number of years).
I think that we have become accustomed in Britain (and some other countries) to think of unpleasant behaviour as normal and something one needs to learn to deal with without recourse to authority. I think that's a mistaken view - if you have a good childhood with a pleasant school environment, you're able to shrug off unpleasant behaviour (without usually needing authority) when you encounter it later because you'll feel secure in yourself (I genuinely don't care if SeanT thinks I'm a moron, for instance). If you start off with an unpleasant environment you will develop unpredictable coping strategies, frrom counter-aggression to cowering submission.
Girls, particularly those from the tougher estates, could be far more cruel than boys, and exploited to the full the unwritten rule that as a boy you never touched them.
Just stuck a tenner on Kasich at 9/1. If this story is true, Cruz will surely have to drop out, which makes Kasich the last anti-Trump candidate in the race. While he is running on a moderate platform, conservatives would surely prefer him to Trump? If he can take it to the convention, he would likely pick up most of Rubio's delegates
If Cruz drops out then Trump has this, he will be able to take it over the line.
Just stuck a tenner on Kasich at 9/1. If this story is true, Cruz will surely have to drop out, which makes Kasich the last anti-Trump candidate in the race. While he is running on a moderate platform, conservatives would surely prefer him to Trump? If he can take it to the convention, he would likely pick up most of Rubio's delegates
The Trump campaign must be high fiving it around the office right now. Things couldn't possibly be going better for them.
Imagine the atmosphere when Hillary is asked to comment on this....
I'm not sure about safe spaces and the like. I put it down as a cause of elongated childhoods that extend into the late twenties. Life can be unfair and nasty at times - but you need to be exposed to real life to some extent (and protected to some extent, although not totally).
I remember discussing my childhood with a young, right-on colleague who was a public schoolboy. When I suggested the mix of people was fairly normal on my council estate, he declared himself 'offended' when I went on to suggest ..."but there were the usual bunch of gypsies, tramps and thieves you get everywhere."
Wow, that's the best page to read for the details. It's unbelievable that this was an open secret among journalists (c.f. thething hashtag on Twitter) throughout the campaign.
'His detached view FWIW was that Remain ought to - also arguably cynically - contrast life in Britain in 1973 with life now and major on "Don't go back to isolation". Obviously withdrawal would not really mean a return to black and white TV etc. but the subliminal message would be that things have got better while we were in the EU and withdrawal was to pull out of that process. ' I would argue that everyday life has not changed that much since 1973 . Mobile phones and PCs and that is it.Most other changes are refinements of gadgets which were already available.
Wow, that's the best page to read for the details. It's unbelievable that this was an open secret among journalists (c.f. thething hashtag on Twitter) throughout the campaign.
I think this is outrageous. The idiot who accosted a Muslim woman and asked her to explain/justify the Belgian attacks [and subsequently tweeted about it] has now been charged: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-35898029
The bloke's an utter fool, but [almost] everyone responded appropriately by mocking the contemptible buffoon. Police action is excessive.
I believe someone who vaguely knows him claims he is mentally ill and has had some sort of breakdown. Not sure if arresting and charging someone is the best thing to do.
I'm not sure about safe spaces and the like. I put it down as a cause of elongated childhoods that extend into the late twenties. Life can be unfair and nasty at times - but you need to be exposed to real life to some extent (and protected to some extent, although not totally).
I remember discussing my childhood with a young, right-on colleague who was a public schoolboy. When I suggested the mix of people was fairly normal on my council estate, he declared himself 'offended' when I went on to suggest ..."but there were the usual bunch of gypsies, tramps and thieves you get everywhere."
Obviously not a fan of Cher?
Well, we're all being anecdotal here, and there's probably more than one way of coping with the issues that arise in life. Like a lot of (former) politicians I'm resilient, and attribute it to an agreeable childhood. If I'd had a childhood where I learned to thump and be thumped, that'd be a way of coping too, but I'm not convinced it would have been better either for me or for the people I interacted with.
The fact that life can be unfair and nasty at times is clear - the question is whether you prepare for it best by experiencing that at school (what you might call the homeopathic approach) or by getting used to feeling confident and cheerful about life, so that the odd unpleasant incident doesn't really matter.
'His detached view FWIW was that Remain ought to - also arguably cynically - contrast life in Britain in 1973 with life now and major on "Don't go back to isolation". Obviously withdrawal would not really mean a return to black and white TV etc. but the subliminal message would be that things have got better while we were in the EU and withdrawal was to pull out of that process. ' I would argue that everyday life has not changed that much since 1973 . Mobile phones and PCs and that is it.Most other changes are refinements of gadgets which were already available.
You spend your entire day using electronic devices. You don't need to go to the shops. Your car actually works when you turn it on.
I'd say the changes are at least as significant as in the previous 40 years.
Edit to add: nothing to do with the EU, of course. Merely a reflection that there has been fairly rapid technological change.
Just stuck a tenner on Kasich at 9/1. If this story is true, Cruz will surely have to drop out, which makes Kasich the last anti-Trump candidate in the race. While he is running on a moderate platform, conservatives would surely prefer him to Trump? If he can take it to the convention, he would likely pick up most of Rubio's delegates
What's the point in being the last anti-Trump candidate in the race? The anti-Trump candidates haven't got enough votes between them, let alone any of them having enough individually.
If you look up #TheThing and go back to March 10th – March 14th, what you’ll find are multiple conversations about finding someone, anyone, to report on the Ted Cruz affairs. The group pushing for the requested articles were seemingly all supporters of Marco Rubio.
The apparent thinking was if they could get the media to pick-up the story prior to Super Tuesday, it would finish off Ted Cruz and allow Marco Rubio to win in several key elections and states.
Unfortunately, the truth-tellers ran into the corporate side of the media enterprises. Breitbart owned by pro-Cruz Super-PAC funder Robert Mercer was one of the roadblocks. The editor, Ben Shapiro, also now being named as one of the political advocates who would not allow his chosen candidate to be ‘outed”. Shapiro is also the Editor of The Daily Wire, which is also owned by a Pro-Cruz Super-PAC team, The Wilks Brothers.
Can't help feeling Trump's Lying Ted meme had this nuke in mind. His opposition research would know the rumours months ago.
Whether Trump wins or loses, I think even his bitterest opponent would concede he has played a stormer.
For himself but for the Democrats too.
Maybe, but it will be much closer than you think. Trump has destroyed his opponents. He hasn't even started on Hillary.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
Jack W, I'm hoping that Hilary and the Donald will exchange the vilest insults during the campaign. And everything piece of mud they fling at each other will be true.
Jack W, I'm hoping that Hilary and the Donald will exchange the vilest insults during the campaign. And everything piece of mud they fling at each other will be true.
I can see during the debates in October, if Hillary gets shrill, Trump replies with.
'With that kind of attitude I can see why Bill cheated on you so many times'
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
'His detached view FWIW was that Remain ought to - also arguably cynically - contrast life in Britain in 1973 with life now and major on "Don't go back to isolation". Obviously withdrawal would not really mean a return to black and white TV etc. but the subliminal message would be that things have got better while we were in the EU and withdrawal was to pull out of that process. ' I would argue that everyday life has not changed that much since 1973 . Mobile phones and PCs and that is it.Most other changes are refinements of gadgets which were already available.
You spend your entire day using electronic devices. You don't need to go to the shops. Your car actually works when you turn it on.
I'd say the changes are at least as significant as in the previous 40 years.
Edit to add: nothing to do with the EU, of course. Merely a reflection that there has been fairly rapid technological change.
It's at least arguable that the single market in Europe has incentivised the creation of technical standards around a lot of products.
'I'd say the changes are at least as significant as in the previous 40 years. '
I would disagree there. Forty odd years earlier in the early 1930s very few people had the basic appliances. How many then owned a car or had access to a telephone at home? Electricity was very much a luxury and most people did not have a wireless. Outside toilets etc were the norm.Holidays unknown to the majority. Very few people would opt to return to that world whereas many today opt out of PCs and the Mobile phone culture and quite a number are happy to continue relying on vinyl records for entertainment. I am sure that someone from 1973 could relate far better to the world of today than to circa 1930.
Jack W, I'm hoping that Hilary and the Donald will exchange the vilest insults during the campaign. And everything piece of mud they fling at each other will be true.
I can see during the debates in October, if Hillary gets shrill, Trump replies with.
'With that kind of attitude I can see why Bill cheated on you so many times'
It isn;t what Bill may or may not have done.
It's what Hillary may or may not have done to assist him.
Hillary Clinton may prove to be a nightmare candidate for the democrats.
WRT bullying, surely everyone gets bullied at school on occasion? I know I did and I wasn't unusual.
I was never bullied at school. At the time I was the only non white student at my school.
Nor was I, and there was virtually no bullying at all in the (international Danish-based) school that I was aware of (I once intervened when there was an attempt to throw a kid into the shower, but that was a single incident in a number of years).
I think that we have become accustomed in Britain (and some other countries) to think of unpleasant behaviour as normal and something one needs to learn to deal with without recourse to authority. I think that's a mistaken view - if you have a good childhood with a pleasant school environment, you're able to shrug off unpleasant behaviour (without usually needing authority) when you encounter it later because you'll feel secure in yourself (I genuinely don't care if SeanT thinks I'm a moron, for instance). If you start off with an unpleasant environment you will develop unpredictable coping strategies, frrom counter-aggression to cowering submission.
I think that very similar to what I have been saying. In a well run society (and schools are a microcosm of society) social norms are developed that mean that such behaviour as bullying are so outlandish that they never occur. Historically Scandanavian societes are an excellent example of such normative use of Focaults diffuse social power such that low crime rates combined with prisons that are considered ridiculously soft by our standards.
The introduction of large numbers of people with different social norms will be a major source of culture clash, if for example migrants come from a culture where social norms are expressed in other ways. For example if women go out dressed in Western style revealing clothes in many Middle Eastern countries they are considered fair game for sexual harrassment or worse (indeed this would be the use of Foucaults diffuse social power to reinforce a misogynistic heirarchical structure).
In such a situation social conflict is to be expected until either the issue is resolved by social pressure, or more authoritarian means may be required.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
Jack W, I'm hoping that Hilary and the Donald will exchange the vilest insults during the campaign. And everything piece of mud they fling at each other will be true.
Trump may be a political outsider but he's a society insider and if there is any non-public domain scandal about Hillary he will know about it and know how to exploit it.
Huma Abedin will probably be a household name before long.
Or about 500 acres, which is enough for about 5000-6000 houses :-)
Enough for 37,800 inhabitants, a railway station, lots of luxury hotels, a couple of casinos, a lot of restaraunts, the most expensive nightclub in the world (Jimmyz), and a Grand Prix. It's also got some quite nice public spaces.
It's amazing how much you can fit in three quarters of a square mile.
Incredibly, Cruz's price has as yet barely moved on Betfair's GOP Nominee market where he is on offer at 7.2 - 7.4. Kasich has narrowed very slightly to 17 - 18, so no real push for him. Trump remains at 1.41 - 1.43.
Jack W, I'm hoping that Hilary and the Donald will exchange the vilest insults during the campaign. And everything piece of mud they fling at each other will be true.
I can see during the debates in October, if Hillary gets shrill, Trump replies with.
'With that kind of attitude I can see why Bill cheated on you so many times'
Hillary - "Well Donald by your own account if Americans want a big dick in the White House, you're the man .."
'I'd say the changes are at least as significant as in the previous 40 years. '
I would disagree there. Forty odd years earlier in the early 1930s very few people had the basic appliances. How many then owned a car or had access to a telephone at home? Electricity was very much a luxury and most people did not have a wireless. Outside toilets etc were the norm.Holidays unknown to the majority. Very few people would opt to return to that world whereas many today opt out of PCs and the Mobile phone culture and quite a number are happy to continue relying on vinyl records for entertainment. I am sure that someone from 1973 could relate far better to the world of today than to circa 1930.
No nothing has changed in the last 40 years...nothing significant...no...just that tiny fact you can now access basically every bit of information every created ever instantly and send messages around the world instantly...nothing significant. Now most people's lives wouldn't function without that ability.
That has to be one of the most bonkers things I have read on here.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
-31 favorability.
Yes and many polls predict that Cruz would beat Hillary,
What do you reckon to that now?
Trump has zero friends. All the polls are being run by organisations that cannot abide him, including (and indeed especially) the republican side.
Those GOP candidates who have dropped out have technically only 'suspended' their campaigns - rather than closing them down completely. Do they not have the option of re-entering as a result of a dramatic change in the circumstances?
Those GOP candidates who have dropped out have technically only 'suspended' their campaigns - rather than closing them down completely. Do they not have the option of re-entering as a result of a dramatic change in the circumstances?
Jack W, I'm hoping that Hilary and the Donald will exchange the vilest insults during the campaign. And everything piece of mud they fling at each other will be true.
I can see during the debates in October, if Hillary gets shrill, Trump replies with.
'With that kind of attitude I can see why Bill cheated on you so many times'
Hillary - "Well Donald by your own account if Americans want a big dick in the White House, you're the man .."
It isn;t about Bill, its about what Hillary did or didn't do to protect him. That is Trump's......er......trump
Those GOP candidates who have dropped out have technically only 'suspended' their campaigns - rather than closing them down completely. Do they not have the option of re-entering as a result of a dramatic change in the circumstances?
An Easter campaign resurrection?
Even Christ would have a bit of trouble coming back from this...
'His detached view FWIW was that Remain ought to - also arguably cynically - contrast life in Britain in 1973 with life now and major on "Don't go back to isolation". Obviously withdrawal would not really mean a return to black and white TV etc. but the subliminal message would be that things have got better while we were in the EU and withdrawal was to pull out of that process. ' I would argue that everyday life has not changed that much since 1973 . Mobile phones and PCs and that is it.Most other changes are refinements of gadgets which were already available.
You spend your entire day using electronic devices. You don't need to go to the shops. Your car actually works when you turn it on.
I'd say the changes are at least as significant as in the previous 40 years.
Edit to add: nothing to do with the EU, of course. Merely a reflection that there has been fairly rapid technological change.
It's at least arguable that the single market in Europe has incentivised the creation of technical standards around a lot of products.
Technical standards set by organisations such as the International Organisation for Standardisation (ISO). The ISO alone have published more than 19,000 standards since the 40s.
Then there is the United Nations Economic Commission Europe (UNECE) who are responsible for the majority of technical standardisation for transport (including docks, railways, road networks, etc).
I could go on and on and on. It is a myth that the EU initiates a significant amount of technical standards.
Those GOP candidates who have dropped out have technically only 'suspended' their campaigns - rather than closing them down completely. Do they not have the option of re-entering as a result of a dramatic change in the circumstances?
'. Now most people's lives wouldn't function without that ability.' I would find it very difficult without the Internet - though I do not use mobile phones other than for long distance car travel. Many people,however, are perfectly content to do without modern modes of communication made available by PCs etc. In saying that I am not referring to older people of 75+ but a good few in their 40s and 50s. So whilst the technology is there, many choose not to make use of it.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
-31 favorability.
Yes and many polls predict that Cruz would beat Hillary,
What do you reckon to that now?
Trump has zero friends. All the polls are being run by organisations that cannot abide him, including (and indeed especially) the republican side.
'Many' polls put Cruz ahead in a Hillary Cruz matchup? I do not think so.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
Trump needs 64 more electoral votes that Romney did.
Even if he were to win Michigan, Ohio and Pennylvania (and not lose anything in return), he'd still be short. And I wonder if a couple of states with very significant Hispanic populations might be in play for the Democrats - Arizona, for example.
'. Now most people's lives wouldn't function without that ability.' I would find it very difficult without the Internet - though I do not use mobile phones other than for long distance car travel. Many people,however, are perfectly content to do without modern modes of communication made available by PCs etc. In saying that I am not referring to older people of 75+ but a good few in their 40s and 50s.
The world would now not function without the Internet. Its that simple. It isn't a choice or a luxury like a 100" UHD flat screen tv vs a 40" HD one. It doesn't matter if you personally opt out of directly using it, your whole life is shaped by interaction with it, as every service you use day to day relies on it.
'I'd say the changes are at least as significant as in the previous 40 years. '
I would disagree there. Forty odd years earlier in the early 1930s very few people had the basic appliances. How many then owned a car or had access to a telephone at home? Electricity was very much a luxury and most people did not have a wireless. Outside toilets etc were the norm.Holidays unknown to the majority. Very few people would opt to return to that world whereas many today opt out of PCs and the Mobile phone culture and quite a number are happy to continue relying on vinyl records for entertainment. I am sure that someone from 1973 could relate far better to the world of today than to circa 1930.
I would suggest the big difference between 1930 and 1973 was that so many people essentially got to live the middle class lifestyle. Most of the things you mention existed in 1930, but were not available to more than a small number.
...The sex scandal reports come one day after Donald Trump's wife, Melania, was slut-shamed in an attack ad that showed an old nude photo of her.
Sources claim Ted's mistresses include a powerful political consultant, a D.C. attorney, and a prostitute. “Private detectives are digging into at least five affairs Ted Cruz supposedly had,” a Washington insider told the National Enquirer. “The leaked details are an attempt to destroy what’s left of his White House campaign.”
Cruz, the son of a Christian evangelical pastor, has capitalized on his self-proclaimed religious piety to win the Republican primaries in religious states like Utah and Iowa.
... The group, led by fired political strategist Liz Mair, suggested Melania is not fit to be First Lady because she posed nude years ago when she was a model.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
-31 favorability.
Yes and many polls predict that Cruz would beat Hillary,
What do you reckon to that now?
Trump has zero friends. All the polls are being run by organisations that cannot abide him, including (and indeed especially) the republican side.
So the polls that broadly have been accurate on the GOP nomination are being skewed against Trump to favour Clinton for POTUS.
'The world would now not function without the Internet. Its that simple. It isn't a choice or a luxury like a 100" UHD flat screen tv vs a 40" HD one'
But there are millions of people even in developed countries such as our own who do not use it - and have no intention of doing so. Just as I refuse to carry around a mobile phone!
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
-31 favorability.
Yes and many polls predict that Cruz would beat Hillary,
What do you reckon to that now?
Trump has zero friends. All the polls are being run by organisations that cannot abide him, including (and indeed especially) the republican side.
'Many' polls put Cruz ahead in a Hillary Cruz matchup? I do not think so.
OK split hairs. Most polls give Cruz a way better chance against Hillary than Trump. ''Hey, republicans, Cruz is the better candidate guys''
'The world would now not function without the Internet. Its that simple. It isn't a choice or a luxury like a 100" UHD flat screen tv vs a 40" HD one'
But there are millions of people even in developed countries such as our own who do not use it - and have no intention of doing so. Just as I refuse to carry around a mobile phone!
Internet != mobile phone. And it matter not if you personally use internet services, it still impacts and shapes your life. 100 year old in a care home, all their service is provided in part with use of internet enabled systems.
You are frankly totally bonkers if you think that nothing significant has changed in the past 30-40 years. If the Internet was switched off tomorrow, the world would not function.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
-31 favorability.
Yes and many polls predict that Cruz would beat Hillary,
What do you reckon to that now?
Trump has zero friends. All the polls are being run by organisations that cannot abide him, including (and indeed especially) the republican side.
'Many' polls put Cruz ahead in a Hillary Cruz matchup? I do not think so.
OK split hairs. Most polls give Cruz a way better chance against Hillary than Trump. ''Hey, republicans, Cruz is the better candidate guys''
Still believe the polls?
Yes, they have been broadly accurate given certain provisos over demographic make up.
'His detached view FWIW was that Remain ought to - also arguably cynically - contrast life in Britain in 1973 with life now and major on "Don't go back to isolation". Obviously withdrawal would not really mean a return to black and white TV etc. but the subliminal message would be that things have got better while we were in the EU and withdrawal was to pull out of that process. ' I would argue that everyday life has not changed that much since 1973 . Mobile phones and PCs and that is it.Most other changes are refinements of gadgets which were already available.
You spend your entire day using electronic devices. You don't need to go to the shops. Your car actually works when you turn it on.
I'd say the changes are at least as significant as in the previous 40 years.
Edit to add: nothing to do with the EU, of course. Merely a reflection that there has been fairly rapid technological change.
It's at least arguable that the single market in Europe has incentivised the creation of technical standards around a lot of products.
Technical standards set by organisations such as the International Organisation for Standardisation (ISO). The ISO alone have published more than 19,000 standards since the 40s.
Then there is the United Nations Economic Commission Europe (UNECE) who are responsible for the majority of technical standardisation for transport (including docks, railways, road networks, etc).
I could go on and on and on. It is a myth that the EU initiates a significant amount of technical standards.
But it is also worth remembering that a large chunk of EU legislation that we implement is actually generated by these international standards bodies - just via the EU.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
-31 favorability.
Yes and many polls predict that Cruz would beat Hillary,
What do you reckon to that now?
Trump has zero friends. All the polls are being run by organisations that cannot abide him, including (and indeed especially) the republican side.
So the polls that broadly have been accurate on the GOP nomination are being skewed against Trump to favour Clinton for POTUS.
It's a view.
Well there are polls and polls. Its interesting how Trump is a lion the republican race only polls and yet withers in the face of Hillary's fiery righteousness when its repub v. dem.
And how those Turkeys in the repub race fly like eagles when it comes to facing Hillary.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
Trump needs 64 more electoral votes that Romney did.
Even if he were to win Michigan, Ohio and Pennylvania (and not lose anything in return), he'd still be short. And I wonder if a couple of states with very significant Hispanic populations might be in play for the Democrats - Arizona, for example.
The essentials of Clinton/Trump are as you stated.
Trump has to expand his map, expand his base, expand his minority reach and expand his ratings.
Politics hasn't seen such expansion since Eric Pickles volunteered to be inflated to become an alternate London flood barrier.
I must admit, I thought that Trump would run Hillary close, and that - while it would be close - she would probably just edge it.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
If Trump runs a smart campaign, which has to be a safe assumption at this point, it's hard to see how he does worse than Romney, nor how Clinton does as well as Obama.
-31 favorability.
Yes and many polls predict that Cruz would beat Hillary,
What do you reckon to that now?
Trump has zero friends. All the polls are being run by organisations that cannot abide him, including (and indeed especially) the republican side.
So the polls that broadly have been accurate on the GOP nomination are being skewed against Trump to favour Clinton for POTUS.
It's a view.
Well there are polls and polls. Its interesting how Trump is a lion the republican race only polls and yet withers in the face of Hillary's fiery righteousness when its repub v. dem.
And how those Turkeys in the repub race fly like eagles when it comes to facing Hillary.
Comments
https://twitter.com/Sputnik_Not/status/713317536918585345?s=09
Jesse Jackson and Gary Hart spring to mind. The PAC hush money allegations and CNN staffer just drags in all manner of other angles.
And all the networks are avoiding the whole thing as Twitter explodes. Wonder who'll go first?
I think that we have become accustomed in Britain (and some other countries) to think of unpleasant behaviour as normal and something one needs to learn to deal with without recourse to authority. I think that's a mistaken view - if you have a good childhood with a pleasant school environment, you're able to shrug off unpleasant behaviour (without usually needing authority) when you encounter it later because you'll feel secure in yourself (I genuinely don't care if SeanT thinks I'm a moron, for instance). If you start off with an unpleasant environment you will develop unpredictable coping strategies, frrom counter-aggression to cowering submission.
As a white adult heterosexual male in 1973, can I defend the times?
There was racism, sexism and probably a few isms that had yet to be invented. But as well, there was a degree of self-awareness and personal shame from doing bad things that seems to be disappearing.
We gave up seats to old gits and women. If we got very drunk, we vomited and urinated in private as far as possible. Fat people were fewer, but no one was offended by being called fat if they were morbidly obese (or pretended they weren't.
Oh, and no one in their teens explained to the old gits what life was like in the thirties.
Imagine the atmosphere when Hillary is asked to comment on this....
Could be totally wrong, but isn't Trump a friend of the NE too? Washington Post obviously know stuff too.
Easiest answer ever.
I'm not sure about safe spaces and the like. I put it down as a cause of elongated childhoods that extend into the late twenties. Life can be unfair and nasty at times - but you need to be exposed to real life to some extent (and protected to some extent, although not totally).
I remember discussing my childhood with a young, right-on colleague who was a public schoolboy. When I suggested the mix of people was fairly normal on my council estate, he declared himself 'offended' when I went on to suggest ..."but there were the usual bunch of gypsies, tramps and thieves you get everywhere."
Obviously not a fan of Cher?
I would argue that everyday life has not changed that much since 1973 . Mobile phones and PCs and that is it.Most other changes are refinements of gadgets which were already available.
The fact that life can be unfair and nasty at times is clear - the question is whether you prepare for it best by experiencing that at school (what you might call the homeopathic approach) or by getting used to feeling confident and cheerful about life, so that the odd unpleasant incident doesn't really matter.
It is pure humbug. A devout Christian should never have had pre-marital sex - never mind cheating on his wife!
It's a view.
I'd say the changes are at least as significant as in the previous 40 years.
Edit to add: nothing to do with the EU, of course. Merely a reflection that there has been fairly rapid technological change.
Sporting's spread for the referendum turnout is 60%- 62%.
Their spread for those voting REMAIN is largely unchanged at 53% - 54%.
I'd be a seller on both these spreads, but DYOR.
Increasingly, I am of the opinion that Trump does not have a broad enough coalition to win the election. He's managed to get an incredibly firm 38-40% of the electorate, but I think Hillary will comfortable manage to get two-thirds of the other 60% out to vote against him.
So, somewhat sadly, I'm going to call this one as a reasonably comfortable win for Hillary.
As you're an old git too, we can agree to vary (not differ).
'With that kind of attitude I can see why Bill cheated on you so many times'
I would disagree there. Forty odd years earlier in the early 1930s very few people had the basic appliances. How many then owned a car or had access to a telephone at home? Electricity was very much a luxury and most people did not have a wireless. Outside toilets etc were the norm.Holidays unknown to the majority. Very few people would opt to return to that world whereas many today opt out of PCs and the Mobile phone culture and quite a number are happy to continue relying on vinyl records for entertainment. I am sure that someone from 1973 could relate far better to the world of today than to circa 1930.
It's what Hillary may or may not have done to assist him.
Hillary Clinton may prove to be a nightmare candidate for the democrats.
The #CruzSexScandal has been trending number one in America for 12 hours straight and now trending worldwide https://t.co/hNmwOvViR5
The introduction of large numbers of people with different social norms will be a major source of culture clash, if for example migrants come from a culture where social norms are expressed in other ways. For example if women go out dressed in Western style revealing clothes in many Middle Eastern countries they are considered fair game for sexual harrassment or worse (indeed this would be the use of Foucaults diffuse social power to reinforce a misogynistic heirarchical structure).
In such a situation social conflict is to be expected until either the issue is resolved by social pressure, or more authoritarian means may be required.
http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/03/24/the-national-enquirer-runs-story-of-multiple-ted-cruz-affairs/
Small world as they say.
ok - but it would still be fornication!
Huma Abedin will probably be a household name before long.
It's amazing how much you can fit in three quarters of a square mile.
About 80% of #cruzsexscandal tweets are wondering how he got 5 women to sleep with him.
And Twitter won't autocomplete the hashtag with over 250k tweets.
Trump remains at 1.41 - 1.43.
That has to be one of the most bonkers things I have read on here.
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2016/03/24/surrey_road_daubed/
They didn't do anything. I guess next time he should try writing "Trump for President".
What do you reckon to that now?
Trump has zero friends. All the polls are being run by organisations that cannot abide him, including (and indeed especially) the republican side.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-china-blog-35897905
Then there is the United Nations Economic Commission Europe (UNECE) who are responsible for the majority of technical standardisation for transport (including docks, railways, road networks, etc).
I could go on and on and on. It is a myth that the EU initiates a significant amount of technical standards.
And he's announced he's quitting politics.
I would find it very difficult without the Internet - though I do not use mobile phones other than for long distance car travel. Many people,however, are perfectly content to do without modern modes of communication made available by PCs etc. In saying that I am not referring to older people of 75+ but a good few in their 40s and 50s.
So whilst the technology is there, many choose not to make use of it.
Even if he were to win Michigan, Ohio and Pennylvania (and not lose anything in return), he'd still be short. And I wonder if a couple of states with very significant Hispanic populations might be in play for the Democrats - Arizona, for example.
It's a view.
But there are millions of people even in developed countries such as our own who do not use it - and have no intention of doing so. Just as I refuse to carry around a mobile phone!
Still believe the polls?
You are frankly totally bonkers if you think that nothing significant has changed in the past 30-40 years. If the Internet was switched off tomorrow, the world would not function.
https://twitter.com/IAmVerySilky/status/713247897878470656
And how those Turkeys in the repub race fly like eagles when it comes to facing Hillary.
Trump has to expand his map, expand his base, expand his minority reach and expand his ratings.
Politics hasn't seen such expansion since Eric Pickles volunteered to be inflated to become an alternate London flood barrier.