Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Today should have been a day for Jeremy Corbyn to shine and

13»

Comments

  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    notme said:
    Can you get odds on when Jack W will row back on his prediction that Trump will get crushed by Clinton? It's not happening, folks. Believe me.
    I would have thought the Trump will win Democrat states in the rust belt, but will struggle in Colorado, Arizona and Florida.

    It should be an interesting contest.
    First of all Trump will have to repair the GOP, right now it's dead as an organization, when 39% of party voters have an unfavourable opinion about their own party you know that it's dead.

    As the polls show, there is massive hate within the republican party for their own party.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,943

    rcs1000 said:

    MP_SE said:

    Mariella Frostrup shouting her kid is European on the Agenda - lol

    Lol.

    I have yet to meet anyone in real life who claims to be European before British. But then again I am not part of the Islington dinner party set.
    But what is Europe? Unless you can come up with a universal definition of what Europe actually is, you cannot actually accurately describe yourself as European.

    Membership of the EU - not enough. Can participate in Eurovision? No. Can compete in European sports competitions? No.

    Europe doesn't really exist - so we can't be European!
    Have you read Amartya Sen's Identity and Violence?

    I think he makes a very persuasive case that we all have multiple 'identities' that overlap, and give us context. So, if I meet a guy who's Korean and has a mobile game development studio, we'll have the shared context (or identity) that is we're both technology entrepreneurs. Likewise, if I meet an English guy in a bar in Sweden, then it's being English that is the shared bond. We all have multiple things that we identify as being.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons that the early Nationalist Germans felt that Jews could never be good Germans was because they had the mixed loyalties towards Judaism and Germany.

    Anyway, you are surely right that only a very small number of people primarily identify as "European". But every year when the Ryder Cup is on, that become part of your identity, even as you may loathe the the EU.
    Interesting you use that example. That's the only three days in two years that I feel even remotely European.
    If you are in a reception for a Japanese pharmaceutical company in Kyoto, and it's all Japanese people who don't speak English, and one Dutch guy who does, you suddenly find that he's the guy you want to hang out with! At that moment, with three hours of incomprehension and forced politeness ahead of you, you are grateful to find one guy with whom you have some incredibly tenuous link. (In this case European football!)
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,943
    Speedy said:

    This poll shows Trump's troubles in the GE

    I urge you to watch the video below. It's the first real set-piece speech that Trump has made since he's been a serious contender. He simply has a level of charisma that Hillary cannot hope to match and projects decisiveness and leadership. Whatever 'it' is, he's got it.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    rcs1000 said:

    MP_SE said:

    Mariella Frostrup shouting her kid is European on the Agenda - lol

    Lol.

    I have yet to meet anyone in real life who claims to be European before British. But then again I am not part of the Islington dinner party set.
    But what is Europe? Unless you can come up with a universal definition of what Europe actually is, you cannot actually accurately describe yourself as European.

    Membership of the EU - not enough. Can participate in Eurovision? No. Can compete in European sports competitions? No.

    Europe doesn't really exist - so we can't be European!
    Have you read Amartya Sen's Identity and Violence?

    I think he makes a very persuasive case that we all have multiple 'identities' that overlap, and give us context. So, if I meet a guy who's Korean and has a mobile game development studio, we'll have the shared context (or identity) that is we're both technology entrepreneurs. Likewise, if I meet an English guy in a bar in Sweden, then it's being English that is the shared bond. We all have multiple things that we identify as being.

    Interestingly, one of the reasons that the early Nationalist Germans felt that Jews could never be good Germans was because they had the mixed loyalties towards Judaism and Germany.

    Anyway, you are surely right that only a very small number of people primarily identify as "European". But every year when the Ryder Cup is on, that become part of your identity, even as you may loathe the the EU.
    Interesting you use that example. That's the only three days in two years that I feel even remotely European.
    I find it distasteful that the European Team uses the EU flag. But having said that I'm not sure if there is any recognizable European symbol.

    The Ryder Cup is developing into the most exciting 'major' golf tournament, unlike the President's Cup, which is dire and unexciting.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    notme said:

    FBI announced they think they have JUST found a way to unlock that iPhone....

    Yeah yeah, we believe you. JUST found out....I think you mean you already knew, but it was a pain in the ass and probably required a super computer to do some fairly heavy lifting. But the court case ain't looking so hot and probably a way to spin it back on to Apple.

    Surely a brute force unlock is just not feasible, even with multiple super computers working in parallel. You cant break your way through the door, you have to knock on the window while trying to sneak someone down the chimney.
    You aren't thinking like a hacker ;-) ....various supposedly sound methods have been broken even when in theory they can't be via brute force.

    Remember the virus that screwed up Iran nuclear development, that installed itself on windows machines and broke a supposed one way algorithm. Between the time it was written and its discovery, by coincidence academics theorized the one way algorithm it used was vulnerable to a weird work around. Then they discovered that somebody in the US / Isreali spooks had already worked it out and fully implemented it.

    Snowdon showed that stuff like OpenVPN has also been comprised.
    Stuxnet?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,943
    Tim_B said:

    notme said:

    FBI announced they think they have JUST found a way to unlock that iPhone....

    Yeah yeah, we believe you. JUST found out....I think you mean you already knew, but it was a pain in the ass and probably required a super computer to do some fairly heavy lifting. But the court case ain't looking so hot and probably a way to spin it back on to Apple.

    Surely a brute force unlock is just not feasible, even with multiple super computers working in parallel. You cant break your way through the door, you have to knock on the window while trying to sneak someone down the chimney.
    You aren't thinking like a hacker ;-) ....various supposedly sound methods have been broken even when in theory they can't be via brute force.

    Remember the virus that screwed up Iran nuclear development, that installed itself on windows machines and broke a supposed one way algorithm. Between the time it was written and its discovery, by coincidence academics theorized the one way algorithm it used was vulnerable to a weird work around. Then they discovered that somebody in the US / Isreali spooks had already worked it out and fully implemented it.

    Snowdon showed that stuff like OpenVPN has also been comprised.
    Stuxnet?
    There's a fabulous book about Stuxnet called Zero Day, that I highly recommend reading.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,943
    NEW THREAD
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    Tim_B said:

    notme said:

    FBI announced they think they have JUST found a way to unlock that iPhone....

    Yeah yeah, we believe you. JUST found out....I think you mean you already knew, but it was a pain in the ass and probably required a super computer to do some fairly heavy lifting. But the court case ain't looking so hot and probably a way to spin it back on to Apple.

    Surely a brute force unlock is just not feasible, even with multiple super computers working in parallel. You cant break your way through the door, you have to knock on the window while trying to sneak someone down the chimney.
    You aren't thinking like a hacker ;-) ....various supposedly sound methods have been broken even when in theory they can't be via brute force.

    Remember the virus that screwed up Iran nuclear development, that installed itself on windows machines and broke a supposed one way algorithm. Between the time it was written and its discovery, by coincidence academics theorized the one way algorithm it used was vulnerable to a weird work around. Then they discovered that somebody in the US / Isreali spooks had already worked it out and fully implemented it.

    Snowdon showed that stuff like OpenVPN has also been comprised.
    Stuxnet?
    Yes.

    "We have confirmed that Flame uses a yet unknown MD5 chosen-prefix collision attack,"

    http://arstechnica.com/security/2012/06/flame-crypto-breakthrough/
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Speedy said:

    This poll shows Trump's troubles in the GE

    I urge you to watch the video below. It's the first real set-piece speech that Trump has made since he's been a serious contender. He simply has a level of charisma that Hillary cannot hope to match and projects decisiveness and leadership. Whatever 'it' is, he's got it.
    I did watch it, and yes it has made an impact on the NeverTrump's.

    However there is no dispute that the first thing that Trump must do is repair the image and unity of the republican party, you can't have 39% of your own party voters hate their party and expect them to vote party candidates in elections.

    The same applies for the other candidates like Cruz and Kasich:

    http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsnyt-poll-who-do-gop-voters-blame-for-violence-at-donald-trump-rallies/

    "Few Cruz and Kasich supporters would be enthusiastic about Trump, though most say they would support him. Still, 34 percent of Cruz and Kasich supporters would not support Donald Trump if he became the nominee. Conversely, 22 percent of Trump voters would not support Kasich and 33 percent would not support Cruz if either of them won the nomination."

  • In some ways, Corbyn keeping his powder dry maybe wasn't a terrible thing as now the story will be secondary to Europe again, given the Brussels explosions. Let the Tories have their fight.
This discussion has been closed.