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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As doctors stage their 3rd strike Ipsos-MORI finds that th
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As doctors stage their 3rd strike Ipsos-MORI finds that they are still getting strong public support
Public support for the third round of junior doctors’ strikes is as high as it was for the first two strikes in January and February, according to new polling from Ipsos MORI.
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CNN
CNN
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-35760912
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MHRYdL8Lw3L6OXiHnKZHi1vo6vUblQhuKg7FPDFuuQ0/edit?usp=sharing
Even in the unlikely event of Rubio winning his home state, and the polls have narrowed, his performance elsewhere is dire. It's almost a vanity project for him now.
Boris appears trying to hide under a wooly hat after his unfortunate email was made public-and by all accounts his staff were queuing up to reveal it-but he came out fighting."LOOORHAHAHMMMCHOOHMMCHORRRMM" he boomed into the microphones ..........
..........Then a shock appearance by Nigel Lawson looking ever more the pantomime dame to give Laura Kuinsberg the scoop that explained it all.... "Mark Carney is after a job at Goldman Sacks"
Another successful day for the LEAVERS FiINEST ended with 'Lurch' himself........
Jacob Rees Mogg looking like a Dickensian grave digger informed the select committee that Mark Carney had 'demeaned the office of Governor and were beneath his dignity'
('One Flew Over The Cuckoos's Nest' is showing on a screen near you)
Meanwhile Rubio is now just embarrassing himself.
CNN
Given her very strong performance in the south she will still be the nominee but come the general really important states like Ohio (esp if Kasich is on the ticket), Michigan, Minnesota
and maybe even Illinois will be a major battleground.
In any event maximum political difficulty will be well away from an election season.
Come November "very left/democratic leaning democratic independents" will vote for any Democrat over Trump.
There will be some WWC seepage to Trump but it is a diminishing demographic who are less likely to vote and Trump will be sunk by the female vote who do turn out and where Trumps negatives are vast.
There is no chance that Illinois will be a major battleground.
Eh, good job all you Remainers are FOR freedom of movement, wouldn't want to exclude anybody would we.
CNN
Rubio has gone hockey-stick...
He is doing, isn't he?
In a shock poll 92% of the Royal family have come out for Brexit.
"I wouldn't trust the Krauts as far as I could throw them" said Her Royal Highness Baroness Marie-Christine Anne Agnes Hedwig, Ida, Princess Michael of Kent.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/nov/20/peter-bone-not-defecting-ukip-tory-eu-referendum
Remind me foxy - I thought you were FOR freedom of movement?
Now I'm sad, but a bit relieved.
Very happy with my 4-5 on the Dems.That's my one and only bet for POTUS and I'm holding.
Of course if Peter Bone would tell us what was going to happen after Brexit, then there would be less concern in the markets.
'dinners at the German embassy in London which are being held to influence UK-based opinion formers including BBC staff'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3483278/Anti-EU-business-chief-knifed-Downing-Street-gives-angry-revealing-interview.html
Trump 9/10 - Everything except Eye da Hoe
Cruz 7/10 - Some unexpected seconds. Idaho.
Sanders 7/10 - Looks to have avoided the 15% cutoff in Ms, sensational win it looks like in Michigan. Still not doing enough with the delegate totals, but some promise in the rust belt now. Bernie supporters will be pumped by this one.
Hillary 5/10 - Mathematically fine. Optically... not so good. She looks to be utterly WEAK AS PISS in the states that actually matter. Warning signs for the general methinks in Michigan. Ms isn't going blue.
Kasich 3/10 - 3rd place in Michigan is dire behind Ted Cruz for a man basing his entire strategy on rust belt/New England.
Rubi ZerOH DEAR.
I'm not even ruling Rubio out winning Florida given this utterly crazy season thus far.
The GOP establishment lies in tatters, and it's clear the Democrats have a very poor frontrunner on their hands now we're moving out of Dixie.
Blacks, Hispanics, Women, Moderates, Independents, College Educated?
Winning the GOP nomination is one thing but appealing to voters most likely to vote is another. The GOP establishment know Trump is a disaster for November but they were blindsided and outflanked by the Trump insurgency and reacted too little too late.
The race for the GOP nomination is over and with it any chance the GOP had of beating Clinton.
After yesterdays Carney spat at The Select Committee and your espoused LEAVE stance I take it that Jacob Rees-Moggy is your favourite MP? ....
Perhaps best to stop there
Whereas Hillary seems to be further ahead in Illinois, but I wonder about that too. One shouldn't overreact though. Unless one should.
Bad omens in Michigan for the Democrats, Trump won Macomb county big, Reagan Democrats turning out. Sanders Clinton slog fest will continue, two weak candidates unable to put the other away. Sanders attracting voters with similar policies to Trump on foreign policy, trade and DC corruption.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/112R0zDRQLC2cxE1op0TY-IBq_PTtcxpwgfbu87DI45w/edit#gid=0
Ohio should be easier in theory than Michigan. And certainly Illinois.
The only clear winner last night was DONALD J TRUMP
Perhaps they will respond by getting the Archbishop of Canterbury to claim God favours REMAIN
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12186850/Exclusive-David-Cameron-aide-complained-about-John-Longworth-to-British-Chambers-of-Commerce-hours-before-he-was-suspended.html
What threats were made??
Well, an awful night for any sane GOP'er, actually, but their prospects of being the last-ditch non-cruz/non-trump candidate improved a bit.
I'm no longer prepared to lay their combined odds above 50/1 (or 100/1 each) - I had previously been laying small amounts up to 200/1.
2% chance one of them emerges from a brokered convention as the only viable GOP option to take to the general looks about right.
Say it ain't so.
BTW, yes I am talking up my book. This is not a tip. etc. etc.
Rubio rising by one delegate overnight. Clearly a game changer.
I'm a committed Leaver (albeit EFTA/EEA), but the Turkey scare stories rank up there with "3 million jobs" or "increasing our influence in the world" or "this is a good deal", etc.
Apparently a lot of ex military in the Hawaii Republican voter base, hence the victory. I was worried Cruz would be bussing in Mormons or something. Cruz likely to come under sustained Trump attack now.
Still over a month until we have an official Leave campaign...
What really depresses me is the fact that politics is still being run in the UK by scum like Korski. In this respect, the misrule of Blair and Campbell has never ended. There is no danger whatever of us getting back to serious politics when people like this dominate the process.
Sanders worked the better college educated AA well and got some important endorsements. There was also some complacency in the Clinton camp. Delegate wise Michigan was almost a wash but Clinton's huge win in Mississippi means she extends her delegate lead further.