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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The EURef betting numbers remain solid for IN

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,232
    RodCrosby said:

    @HYUFD

    You can hear how ill Johnson was in that phone call, gasping for breath.

    That was the real reason he declined renomination in '68. He guessed he wouldn't live to serve a full term.

    Turned out he was only two days out in his estimation...

    Yes he died in Jan 1973
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    OT

    Ray Tomlinson, the man who invented email has died.

    Although of course it had to be the case it is now so ubiquitous that it is strange to think that someone actually 'invented' email. RIP to someone who it can truly be said changed the world.

    http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/mar/07/ray-tomlinson-email-inventor-and-selector-of-symbol-dies-aged-74

    He'll still get spam, alive or dead...
  • Options
    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory
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    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited March 2016

    How much longer will the news be filled with migrant problems? Can it really go on for 4 more months? The news tonight on the EU considering setting a timetable for Turkey's entry to the EU and dropping visa requirements etc hardly helps the REMAIN cause. Or do our PB REMAINERS see this all as mere flesh wounds?

    No idea how this will pan out - it could go either way for or against but leave need to be very careful that they do not give an impression that they are cold and uncaring in what is proving to be a human tragedy of biblical proportions
    I agree but LEAVE can sit back and let this all fill the senses of the voters.
    I glance at my screen and watch real human beings in distress ....because of the ineffectivness of the EU. PS oh look here is another EU proposal to have quotas on migrants dished around the EU countries... up pops Cameron saying oh not not us that EU proposal does not apply. UK viewers then wonder is he as good as his word - or will being in the EU mean we will have more?
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    flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    hunchman said:

    How much longer will the news be filled with migrant problems? Can it really go on for 4 more months? The news tonight on the EU considering setting a timetable for Turkey's entry to the EU and dropping visa requirements etc hardly helps the REMAIN cause. Or do our PB REMAINERS see this all as mere flesh wounds?

    Its amazing that 10 years ago when Turkey was a good deal more democratic than it is today, that the EU blocked its wish to join, and now after Erdogan has dragged the country downhill, the EU is falling over itself to get Turkey into the club. You couldn't make it up. After all the Western meddling in Syria in order to facilitate the oil pipeline through there and overthrow the Assad regime with a puppet western facing government, it has come to this, never mind the human rights abuses, the abject treatment of the Kurds, and wanting to ratchet tensions and pi$$ off Russia even further.....well it takes the wretched EU to tick all those ghastly boxes.
    Put the tin foil hat back on
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,232

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    TIME TO CHALLENGE POLLING WEIGHTINGS
    1. The betting markets are influenced by the polls (Statement of the bleeding obvious).
    2. Key to this is how accurate are the polls (2nd Statement of the bleeding obvious).
    4. One of the major causes of inaccurate polls for the GE was having too many young voters and too few 65+ Conservative leaning voters in the polling samples.
    5. Yougov stated in an recent article that for every voter in 18-24 range there should be 3 in the 65+ range.
    6. So why in the 2nd & 3rd March Yougov data was there just a weighting of 197 18-25 and only 356 65+ ? This produced a small REMAIN 3% (40%) lead whereas it probably should have been ?????

    At the general election the Tories benefited from support from both high turnout groups, the old and the middle class, at the referendum the middle classes will back Remain while the old will back Leave thus somewhat cancelling each other out
    That may be correct. But first why are the polling companies weighting Young voters vs 65+ in a way that is disproportionate with how they voted at the GE?
    Nearly 60% of 18-24s voted at the general election according to the BES, a bit lower than the overall figure of 66% but not vastly so
    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/generalelection/general-election-2015-highest-turnout-since-1997-10235076.html
    "Although we’ll never know precisely how the different generations voted in 2015, best estimates suggest that around 43% of 18-24 year olds voted compared to around 78% of over 65s. With 6m 18-24 year olds in the UK and over 11 million over 65s that means that the over 65s carry more than three and a half times more weight than the youngest cohort."

    https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/02/26/analysis-dont-get-too-comfortable-out-campaign-has/

    The BES data is from just a few days after the GE. The Yougov data is from last month. As well as turnout there are almost twice as many 65+ people than in the 18-24 segment.
    So what, the BES data was obviously conducted from actual voters and the yougov figures are very vague. The point was on turnout as a percentage
    By now the Yougov data on actual voting % by age should be coming from the marked register data and not a survey where the young usually are wrong about whether they will/are voting.
    The BES survey was from those who actually voted
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Lots of info in that article. Daniel Korski - the oaf who railroaded elderly retired military folk into political statements. Pass the sick bucket.
    I think Carswell agree's -

    Douglas Carswell MP ‏@DouglasCarswell
    @DanielKorski - key architect of Downing St Project Fear
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Sharapova failed a drugs test at the Australian Open:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/35750285

    I have more than a little sympathy for her, if her excuse turns out to be true.

    He was taking a substance for ten years as prescribed by a doctor, and then that substance was added to the banned drugs list in January. Yet she knew it by a different (non-generic?) name.

    I can imagine it's easy to do. Then again, she's supposed to be a professional ...
    To be fair I looked very closely at buying the only manufacturer of mildronate about a decade ago (it's a lovely little Latvian company called Grindeks) & I didn't know it had a different name - as far as I was aware it was only sold in Russia and the Baltics...
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591

    hunchman said:

    How much longer will the news be filled with migrant problems? Can it really go on for 4 more months? The news tonight on the EU considering setting a timetable for Turkey's entry to the EU and dropping visa requirements etc hardly helps the REMAIN cause. Or do our PB REMAINERS see this all as mere flesh wounds?

    Its amazing that 10 years ago when Turkey was a good deal more democratic than it is today, that the EU blocked its wish to join, and now after Erdogan has dragged the country downhill, the EU is falling over itself to get Turkey into the club. You couldn't make it up. After all the Western meddling in Syria in order to facilitate the oil pipeline through there and overthrow the Assad regime with a puppet western facing government, it has come to this, never mind the human rights abuses, the abject treatment of the Kurds, and wanting to ratchet tensions and pi$$ off Russia even further.....well it takes the wretched EU to tick all those ghastly boxes.
    Put the tin foil hat back on
    You never do debate the issues do you?! I'm fine with you disagreeing with my posts, but its time you played the ball and not the man a bit more.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,293

    ITV News at Ten, Turkish PM, getting VIP treatment in Brussels (nice!) states "Turkey is ready to join the EU" .... and he's not being discouraged by an EU, apparently desperate to stop the flow of migrants ... Meanwhile, in Turkey an increasingly authoritarian government is taking over major (criticising) newspapers and hosing down protesters ..... Turkey Join not good for REmain .... But, they can have our place ...

    Bit of typical diplomatic flannel to get the Turks onside. Both they and the EU that the prospect of Turkish entry is further off than it has been in a decade.
    In 20 years, Turkey has closed 1 single chapter of the required 35 to be eligible to join. The prospect of membership is a good carrot to dangle but the reality of accession negotiations can only be a stick with which to beat the Erdogan government.
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    hunchman said:

    How much longer will the news be filled with migrant problems? Can it really go on for 4 more months? The news tonight on the EU considering setting a timetable for Turkey's entry to the EU and dropping visa requirements etc hardly helps the REMAIN cause. Or do our PB REMAINERS see this all as mere flesh wounds?

    Its amazing that 10 years ago when Turkey was a good deal more democratic than it is today, that the EU blocked its wish to join, and now after Erdogan has dragged the country downhill, the EU is falling over itself to get Turkey into the club. You couldn't make it up. After all the Western meddling in Syria in order to facilitate the oil pipeline through there and overthrow the Assad regime with a puppet western facing government, it has come to this, never mind the human rights abuses, the abject treatment of the Kurds, and wanting to ratchet tensions and pi$$ off Russia even further.....well it takes the wretched EU to tick all those ghastly boxes.
    The brand image of the EU would be a useful thing to assess in the minds of the UK voters. If we get this filling the media week after week after week, it is going to have a pernicious effect.
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    nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    Carole Malone ‏@thecarolemalone
    Hounding John Longworth out of his job was shameful. What next - Cameron having people arrested for what they think http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/turning-britain-democracy-dictatorship-hounding-7511809

    Front of the mail doesn't look good for No10.

    81% in the voodoo poll in the Mirror want to be out of the EU...

    The Labour-supporting Mirror. Awkward.
    There was Mike saying it had been a good day for In.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,036
    Anyone trading US POTUS has the tinfoil hat firmly on right now :D
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    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    OT

    Ray Tomlinson, the man who invented email has died.

    Although of course it had to be the case it is now so ubiquitous that it is strange to think that someone actually 'invented' email. RIP to someone who it can truly be said changed the world.

    http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/mar/07/ray-tomlinson-email-inventor-and-selector-of-symbol-dies-aged-74

    The generation that created Unix, TCP/IP, the proto-Internet and so much else is dying off. The real revolutionaries.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    BBC Newsnight ‏@BBCNewsnight 2m2 minutes ago
    Jens Spahn, deputy German Deputy Finance Minister: "I don't see Turkey joining the EU within the next three to five years." #newsnight

    Very reassuring - not.
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    flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    He says he resigned because it was the 'right thing to do'.
    The BCC president says resignation "agreed mutually between Mr Longworth and the BCC Board, and there were no external factors involved".
    Having listened to Longworth Mr Tyke he does come across as a professional yorkshireman. I'm sure you might want to disagree.
  • Options

    How much longer will the news be filled with migrant problems? Can it really go on for 4 more months? The news tonight on the EU considering setting a timetable for Turkey's entry to the EU and dropping visa requirements etc hardly helps the REMAIN cause. Or do our PB REMAINERS see this all as mere flesh wounds?

    No idea how this will pan out - it could go either way for or against but leave need to be very careful that they do not give an impression that they are cold and uncaring in what is proving to be a human tragedy of biblical proportions
    I agree but LEAVE can sit back and let this all fill the senses of the voters.
    I glance at my screen and watch real human beings in distress ....because of the ineffectivness of the EU. PS oh look here is another EU proposal to have quotas on migrants dished around the EU countries... up pops Cameron saying oh not not us that EU proposal does not apply. UK viewers then wonder is he as good as his word - or will being in the EU mean we will have more?
    I am sure everyone on this forum is seriously concerned about this crisis and the daily suffering . David Cameron's statements have been consistent from day one as he led Europe on the right way of dealing with the crisis. Indeed the negotiations in the EU tonight are not dissimilar, though there is a long way to go before anything will change. I do think that remain as represented by DC do have creditability and those in leave will need to say how they would deal with the refugee crisis on a compassionate basis as the daily suffering will increase the demand in the UK to show compassion
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,081

    Lots of info in that article. Daniel Korski - the oaf who railroaded elderly retired military folk into political statements. Pass the sick bucket.
    Do you think old people are useless and incapable of doing politics?
    Maybe as a compromise, LEAVE would agree to having the referendum decided only by under-65s?
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    He says he resigned because it was the 'right thing to do'.
    The BCC president says resignation "agreed mutually between Mr Longworth and the BCC Board, and there were no external factors involved".
    Having listened to Longworth Mr Tyke he does come across as a professional yorkshireman. I'm sure you might want to disagree.
    Ok,bigger story on way.

    Iain Martin ‏@iainmartin1
    Anyone going on about John Longworth, stop it. Read story in @FT about Merkel's draft deal. Huge story, biggest of referendum so far.
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    BBC Newsnight ‏@BBCNewsnight 2m2 minutes ago
    Jens Spahn, deputy German Deputy Finance Minister: "I don't see Turkey joining the EU within the next three to five years." #newsnight

    Very reassuring - not.

    Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Iain Martin ‏@iainmartin1
    Can only assume deal gets quashed, but what then? The leading leader in Europe came up with nuts migration plan. Credibility gone, surely?
  • Options

    The economic and security case for Turkish membership of the EU is therefore stronger than ever.**

    William Hague (Foreign Secretary) and Alexander Stubb (Finish Foreign Minister) in the FT, September 8, 2010.

    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/0cc72202-bb7f-11df-a136-00144feab49a.html#axzz42GEBoe00

    ** No doubt Fox will state that they were diplomatically flannelling ...
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Usual smoke and mirrors from the government, and especially George Osborne over Hinkley point. Amid the Chinese state visit, he stated last October that a deal had been done with the Chinese putting up part financing for the deal. Well 5 months later, we find out that no deal was done, EDF has still to make its investment decision, and finding that costs are going up all the while, not least to comply with the ridiculous 2020 climate change obligations that the UK alone signed up for, meanwhile a gaping hole in the future energy needs of the country is appearing. And the guaranteed electricity price promised to EDF equates to oil at around $300 a barrel by 2025 - some value for the taxpayer and the ordinary consumer that! You really couldn't make it up:

    http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/mar/07/hinkley-point-c-nuclear-project-in-crisis-as-edf-finance-director-resigns
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    BBC Newsnight ‏@BBCNewsnight 2m2 minutes ago
    Jens Spahn, deputy German Deputy Finance Minister: "I don't see Turkey joining the EU within the next three to five years." #newsnight

    Very reassuring - not.

    Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon
    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Just think of the billions that Bloomberg saved from spending on election consultants who produced this:

    https://twitter.com/BuzzFeedAndrew/status/706966222336823296

    Pity for Schoen Consulting that their presentation was so unbelievable that not even Bloomberg believed them.

    P.S. The above plus the Jeb Bush campaign plus the Marco Rubio campaign proves that most election consultants in America are just scammers.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Douglas Murray ‏@DouglasKMurray
    Frau Merkel's brilliant new migration plan: to save Europe she is going to destroy Europe: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2bde51d6-e4a2-11e5-ac45-5c039e797d1c.html#axzz42Ezg7g8Y
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,036
    And what do you know, Michael Bloomberg is back at 230/880...
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    flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    hunchman said:

    hunchman said:

    How much longer will the news be filled with migrant problems? Can it really go on for 4 more months? The news tonight on the EU considering setting a timetable for Turkey's entry to the EU and dropping visa requirements etc hardly helps the REMAIN cause. Or do our PB REMAINERS see this all as mere flesh wounds?

    Its amazing that 10 years ago when Turkey was a good deal more democratic than it is today, that the EU blocked its wish to join, and now after Erdogan has dragged the country downhill, the EU is falling over itself to get Turkey into the club. You couldn't make it up. After all the Western meddling in Syria in order to facilitate the oil pipeline through there and overthrow the Assad regime with a puppet western facing government, it has come to this, never mind the human rights abuses, the abject treatment of the Kurds, and wanting to ratchet tensions and pi$$ off Russia even further.....well it takes the wretched EU to tick all those ghastly boxes.
    Put the tin foil hat back on
    You never do debate the issues do you?! I'm fine with you disagreeing with my posts, but its time you played the ball and not the man a bit more.
    You just draw bogus scenarios out of thin air. So come off it.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048

    How much longer will the news be filled with migrant problems? Can it really go on for 4 more months? The news tonight on the EU considering setting a timetable for Turkey's entry to the EU and dropping visa requirements etc hardly helps the REMAIN cause. Or do our PB REMAINERS see this all as mere flesh wounds?

    No idea how this will pan out - it could go either way for or against but leave need to be very careful that they do not give an impression that they are cold and uncaring in what is proving to be a human tragedy of biblical proportions
    I agree but LEAVE can sit back and let this all fill the senses of the voters.
    I glance at my screen and watch real human beings in distress ....because of the ineffectivness of the EU. PS oh look here is another EU proposal to have quotas on migrants dished around the EU countries... up pops Cameron saying oh not not us that EU proposal does not apply. UK viewers then wonder is he as good as his word - or will being in the EU mean we will have more?
    I am sure everyone on this forum is seriously concerned about this crisis and the daily suffering . David Cameron's statements have been consistent from day one as he led Europe on the right way of dealing with the crisis. Indeed the negotiations in the EU tonight are not dissimilar, though there is a long way to go before anything will change. I do think that remain as represented by DC do have creditability and those in leave will need to say how they would deal with the refugee crisis on a compassionate basis as the daily suffering will increase the demand in the UK to show compassion
    If the rest of the European leaders (and those from countries outside the European continent) had used Cameron's plan as a blueprint for how to deal with this crisis I seriously believe we would be an entirely different position right now, a lot more people in genuine need would have been helped and a lot fewer people would have died.

    Now I think it is probably too late, at least to get the situation resolved without a lot more heartache and probably a lot more deaths.

    Cameron called this one absolutely right. Merkel was absolutely wrong.
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    Douglas Murray ‏@DouglasKMurray
    Frau Merkel's brilliant new migration plan: to save Europe she is going to destroy Europe: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2bde51d6-e4a2-11e5-ac45-5c039e797d1c.html#axzz42Ezg7g8Y

    Behind the paywall but I expect she will destroy herself very soon - how the mighty have fallen
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048

    BBC Newsnight ‏@BBCNewsnight 2m2 minutes ago
    Jens Spahn, deputy German Deputy Finance Minister: "I don't see Turkey joining the EU within the next three to five years." #newsnight

    Very reassuring - not.

    Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon
    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested.
    Actually if you had bothered paying attention you would have seen that most of the serious Leave posters on here had already said it was a stupid suggestion and won't happen for decades if ever.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548


    The economic and security case for Turkish membership of the EU is therefore stronger than ever.**

    William Hague (Foreign Secretary) and Alexander Stubb (Finish Foreign Minister) in the FT, September 8, 2010.

    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/0cc72202-bb7f-11df-a136-00144feab49a.html#axzz42GEBoe00

    ** No doubt Fox will state that they were diplomatically flannelling ...

    Bearing in mind that six years later, nothing has changed, I would take that as a pretty firm indication that it is indeed flannel!
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    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @foxinsoxuk

    'Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon

    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested'


    The EU is playing a blinder for Leave.
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    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,925
    Pulpstar said:

    OllyT said:

    Speedy said:

    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/03/trump-kasich-in-tight-ohio-race.html

    Trump 38
    Kasich 35
    Cruz 15
    Rubio 5

    Trump 40
    Kasich 55

    I think Kasich is in prime position in Ohio.

    If Trump is still competitive (ahead by 3) post debate, on Katich's home turf then I would say he's home and dry overall.

    Why have you ignored the Fox2Detroit Michigan poll which was carried out all post debate and gives Trump a 22% lead. You have told us that all the post debate polls show Trump's lead vanishing which is shall we say a little economical with the truth.

    Seriously if anyone is daft enough to be betting on your tips they will be bankrupt by the end of the month!.
    We all need to make our own judgements as bettors, @Speedy isn't responsible for anyone's trading decisions.
    Pulpstar said:

    OllyT said:

    Speedy said:

    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/03/trump-kasich-in-tight-ohio-race.html

    Trump 38
    Kasich 35
    Cruz 15
    Rubio 5

    Trump 40
    Kasich 55

    I think Kasich is in prime position in Ohio.

    If Trump is still competitive (ahead by 3) post debate, on Katich's home turf then I would say he's home and dry overall.

    Why have you ignored the Fox2Detroit Michigan poll which was carried out all post debate and gives Trump a 22% lead. You have told us that all the post debate polls show Trump's lead vanishing which is shall we say a little economical with the truth.

    Seriously if anyone is daft enough to be betting on your tips they will be bankrupt by the end of the month!.
    We all need to make our own judgements as bettors, @Speedy isn't responsible for anyone's trading decisions.
    Fair enough everyone can have their own opinions and he can tell people he thinks Kasich is going to win Michigan as he did yesterday, that's fine. However I draw the line at making statements about polls that are simply untrue. Stating that all the post-debate have shown Trump's leads disappearing is not true and it's clear that some people do bet on tips given on PB. I think at least he should acknowledge he made a mistake and not continue as though nothing happened. Perhaps I am just being too stodgy!
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    john_zims said:

    @foxinsoxuk

    'Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon

    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested'


    The EU is playing a blinder for Leave.

    Get your money on then! Betfair has moved towards remain over the last few weeks.
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    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    Merkel seems to be blindly flailing about now
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    EPG said:

    Lots of info in that article. Daniel Korski - the oaf who railroaded elderly retired military folk into political statements. Pass the sick bucket.
    Do you think old people are useless and incapable of doing politics?
    Maybe as a compromise, LEAVE would agree to having the referendum decided only by under-65s?
    Don't be daft. But are you comfortable with a 92 year old feeling pressured to sign something?
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12172525/War-hero-felt-pressured-by-No.10-into-signing-pro-Europe-letter.html

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    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    john_zims said:

    @foxinsoxuk

    'Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon

    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested'


    The EU is playing a blinder for Leave.

    Get your money on then! Betfair has moved towards remain over the last few weeks.
    Sorry to say that there has been a bit of movement towards Leave in the last day or so. It's a dodgy 3.3 right now.
  • Options

    BBC Newsnight ‏@BBCNewsnight 2m2 minutes ago
    Jens Spahn, deputy German Deputy Finance Minister: "I don't see Turkey joining the EU within the next three to five years." #newsnight

    Very reassuring - not.

    Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon
    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested.
    Actually if you had bothered paying attention you would have seen that most of the serious Leave posters on here had already said it was a stupid suggestion and won't happen for decades if ever.
    I am not sure that Mr Farage is on the same hymn sheet but then maybe he is not one of the serious leavers you refer to
  • Options

    BBC Newsnight ‏@BBCNewsnight 2m2 minutes ago
    Jens Spahn, deputy German Deputy Finance Minister: "I don't see Turkey joining the EU within the next three to five years." #newsnight

    Very reassuring - not.

    Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon
    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested.
    Actually if you had bothered paying attention you would have seen that most of the serious Leave posters on here had already said it was a stupid suggestion and won't happen for decades if ever.
    I am not sure that Mr Farage is on the same hymn sheet but then maybe he is not one of the serious leavers you refer to
    LEAVE do not need to say much. The media are talking about the proposal because it is the EU that are negotiating it.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,293
    On the face of it, doesn't this draft Merkel plan owe a lot to Cameron's position about only taking people from camps? By linking the numbers to the number of people illegally entering Greece and simultaneously removing the incentive to do so, it could quickly reduce the flow dramatically. That's the optimistic intepretation...
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Wanderer said:

    john_zims said:

    @foxinsoxuk

    'Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon

    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested'


    The EU is playing a blinder for Leave.

    Get your money on then! Betfair has moved towards remain over the last few weeks.
    Sorry to say that there has been a bit of movement towards Leave in the last day or so. It's a dodgy 3.3 right now.
    I got on at 4, was hoping that that the odds would be tighter by now so I could cash out all green. Why don't the pb kippers put their money where their mouth is?
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    runnymede said:

    Merkel seems to be blindly flailing about now

    Just like the open doors to 1 million. She seems to make a habit of it. Probably made promises to Cameron which were undeliverable.
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Speedy said:

    Pong said:

    @speedy

    Perhaps I'm not getting something, but the link in your tweet said;

    "Mitt Romney has filed paperwork with FEC to run in the current election"

    Where's the evidence?

    It's not Romney himself but an election organization that is Romney's:

    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/3/6/1496911/--Romney-For-President-Inc-filed-with-FEC-Feb-1-2016
    The bit at the bottom is kinda important.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048

    BBC Newsnight ‏@BBCNewsnight 2m2 minutes ago
    Jens Spahn, deputy German Deputy Finance Minister: "I don't see Turkey joining the EU within the next three to five years." #newsnight

    Very reassuring - not.

    Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon
    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested.
    Actually if you had bothered paying attention you would have seen that most of the serious Leave posters on here had already said it was a stupid suggestion and won't happen for decades if ever.
    I am not sure that Mr Farage is on the same hymn sheet but then maybe he is not one of the serious leavers you refer to
    I didn't know Farage posted on here.
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    Wanderer said:

    john_zims said:

    @foxinsoxuk

    'Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon

    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested'


    The EU is playing a blinder for Leave.

    Get your money on then! Betfair has moved towards remain over the last few weeks.
    Sorry to say that there has been a bit of movement towards Leave in the last day or so. It's a dodgy 3.3 right now.
    I got on at 4, was hoping that that the odds would be tighter by now so I could cash out all green. Why don't the pb kippers put their money where their mouth is?
    Well, you could cash out now :)
  • Options

    BBC Newsnight ‏@BBCNewsnight 2m2 minutes ago
    Jens Spahn, deputy German Deputy Finance Minister: "I don't see Turkey joining the EU within the next three to five years." #newsnight

    Very reassuring - not.

    Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon
    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested.
    Actually if you had bothered paying attention you would have seen that most of the serious Leave posters on here had already said it was a stupid suggestion and won't happen for decades if ever.
    I am not sure that Mr Farage is on the same hymn sheet but then maybe he is not one of the serious leavers you refer to
    I didn't know Farage posted on here.
    Good answer
  • Options
    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,925

    Carole Malone ‏@thecarolemalone
    Hounding John Longworth out of his job was shameful. What next - Cameron having people arrested for what they think http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/turning-britain-democracy-dictatorship-hounding-7511809

    Front of the mail doesn't look good for No10.

    81% in the voodoo poll in the Mirror want to be out of the EU...

    The Labour-supporting Mirror. Awkward.
    The outers are massively more energised at the moment there is absolutely no doubt about that. They have waited 25 years for this opportunity, they are swarming over every voodoo poll and comment blog available. Does it signify anything re the outcome in June, I very much doubt it.
  • Options
    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Stephen Pollard ‏@stephenpollard
    This may be the most barking idea proposed by a serious political figure I have ever come across http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2bde51d6-e4a2-11e5-ac45-5c039e797d1c.html#axzz42Ezg7g8Y

  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Wanderer said:

    Wanderer said:

    john_zims said:

    @foxinsoxuk

    'Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon

    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested'


    The EU is playing a blinder for Leave.

    Get your money on then! Betfair has moved towards remain over the last few weeks.
    Sorry to say that there has been a bit of movement towards Leave in the last day or so. It's a dodgy 3.3 right now.
    I got on at 4, was hoping that that the odds would be tighter by now so I could cash out all green. Why don't the pb kippers put their money where their mouth is?
    Well, you could cash out now :)
    Nah. Surely Leave can do a bit better at some point over the next few months? They could hardly do worse.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    edited March 2016
    It amazing how many of these top athletics appear to have some terribly serious long term conditions that you would think would provide a huge barrier to actually becoming a world class sports person. All these runners with Thyroid Imbalances, now Sharapova taking a drug for a heart condition.
  • Options
    OllyT said:

    Carole Malone ‏@thecarolemalone
    Hounding John Longworth out of his job was shameful. What next - Cameron having people arrested for what they think http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/turning-britain-democracy-dictatorship-hounding-7511809

    Front of the mail doesn't look good for No10.

    81% in the voodoo poll in the Mirror want to be out of the EU...

    The Labour-supporting Mirror. Awkward.
    The outers are massively more energised at the moment there is absolutely no doubt about that. They have waited 25 years for this opportunity, they are swarming over every voodoo poll and comment blog available. Does it signify anything re the outcome in June, I very much doubt it.
    Very similar to the Scots Nats at the moment
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    OllyT said:

    Carole Malone ‏@thecarolemalone
    Hounding John Longworth out of his job was shameful. What next - Cameron having people arrested for what they think http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/turning-britain-democracy-dictatorship-hounding-7511809

    Front of the mail doesn't look good for No10.

    81% in the voodoo poll in the Mirror want to be out of the EU...

    The Labour-supporting Mirror. Awkward.
    The outers are massively more energised at the moment there is absolutely no doubt about that. They have waited 25 years for this opportunity, they are swarming over every voodoo poll and comment blog available. Does it signify anything re the outcome in June, I very much doubt it.
    Weeeell Cap'n, it signifies something: Leave have way more enthusiasm and Remain needs to turn out meh/whatever voters to win.
  • Options
    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,925
    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory


    If the man held a paid position that required his political neutrality on the issue and he spoke either for or against it then it is inevitable some one would complain. He was very unwise and paid the price.
  • Options

    It amazing how many of these top athletics appear to have some terribly serious long term conditions that you would think would provide a huge barrier to actually becoming a world class sports person. All these runners with Thyroid Imbalances, now Sharapova taking a drug for a heart condition.

    Thought it was diabetes related
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,036
    Pong said:

    Speedy said:

    Pong said:

    @speedy

    Perhaps I'm not getting something, but the link in your tweet said;

    "Mitt Romney has filed paperwork with FEC to run in the current election"

    Where's the evidence?

    It's not Romney himself but an election organization that is Romney's:

    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/3/6/1496911/--Romney-For-President-Inc-filed-with-FEC-Feb-1-2016
    The bit at the bottom is kinda important.
    Are you tempted to "pick the pennies in front of the bulldozer" with Romney :D ?
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory

    I don't know about conspiracy theories or not, but I got grief on here earlier when I suggested that if the BCC had taken the BBC approach to breaches of impartiality i.e these comments were in a personal capacity, the organisation remains neutral, this would have all blown over after one day.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336

    It amazing how many of these top athletics appear to have some terribly serious long term conditions that you would think would provide a huge barrier to actually becoming a world class sports person. All these runners with Thyroid Imbalances, now Sharapova taking a drug for a heart condition.

    Thought it was diabetes related
    I am not a doctor, just going on what the Telegraph say one would take Meldonium for

    "Meldonium , also known as mildronate, is a Latvian-manufactured drug popular for fighting heart disease in former Soviet Union countries."
  • Options

    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory

    I don't know about conspiracy theories or not, but I got grief on here earlier when I suggested that if the BCC had taken the BBC approach to breaches of impartiality i.e these comments were in a personal capacity, the organisation remains neutral, this would have all blown over after one day.
    Yes and now we have members of the BCC coming out strongly in support of remain - it was probably inevitable
  • Options
    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,925
    Wanderer said:

    OllyT said:

    Carole Malone ‏@thecarolemalone
    Hounding John Longworth out of his job was shameful. What next - Cameron having people arrested for what they think http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/turning-britain-democracy-dictatorship-hounding-7511809

    Front of the mail doesn't look good for No10.

    81% in the voodoo poll in the Mirror want to be out of the EU...

    The Labour-supporting Mirror. Awkward.
    The outers are massively more energised at the moment there is absolutely no doubt about that. They have waited 25 years for this opportunity, they are swarming over every voodoo poll and comment blog available. Does it signify anything re the outcome in June, I very much doubt it.
    Weeeell Cap'n, it signifies something: Leave have way more enthusiasm and Remain needs to turn out meh/whatever voters to win.
    and there are over 3 months to go so I wouldn't go opening the champagne just yet!
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048
    OllyT said:

    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory


    If the man held a paid position that required his political neutrality on the issue and he spoke either for or against it then it is inevitable some one would complain. He was very unwise and paid the price.
    I assume on that basis that those BCC regional chairmen will also be suspended for having come out in favour of Remain?
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    I don't know about conspiracy theories or not, but I got grief on here earlier when I suggested that if the BCC had taken the BBC approach to breaches of impartiality i.e these comments were in a personal capacity, the organisation remains neutral, this would have all blown over after one day.

    Personal capacity? The guy was the director-general of the BCC, giving the keynote speech at their conference. This isn't hard to understand, surely?
  • Options

    It amazing how many of these top athletics appear to have some terribly serious long term conditions that you would think would provide a huge barrier to actually becoming a world class sports person. All these runners with Thyroid Imbalances, now Sharapova taking a drug for a heart condition.

    Thought it was diabetes related
    I am not a doctor, just going on what the Telegraph say one would take Meldonium for

    "Meldonium , also known as mildronate, is a Latvian-manufactured drug popular for fighting heart disease in former Soviet Union countries."
    Thanks for that - it does seem more likely as she of Russian origin
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    Stephen Pollard ‏@stephenpollard
    This may be the most barking idea proposed by a serious political figure I have ever come across http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2bde51d6-e4a2-11e5-ac45-5c039e797d1c.html#axzz42Ezg7g8Y

    What serious figure? She's clearly lost it, and needs to be sectioned...
  • Options

    OllyT said:

    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory


    If the man held a paid position that required his political neutrality on the issue and he spoke either for or against it then it is inevitable some one would complain. He was very unwise and paid the price.
    I assume on that basis that those BCC regional chairmen will also be suspended for having come out in favour of Remain?
    Depends on their regional committees but there is considerable support in BCC for remain
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048

    OllyT said:

    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory


    If the man held a paid position that required his political neutrality on the issue and he spoke either for or against it then it is inevitable some one would complain. He was very unwise and paid the price.
    I assume on that basis that those BCC regional chairmen will also be suspended for having come out in favour of Remain?
    Depends on their regional committees but there is considerable support in BCC for remain
    Not according to their own polling there isn't.
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    OllyT said:

    Wanderer said:

    OllyT said:

    Carole Malone ‏@thecarolemalone
    Hounding John Longworth out of his job was shameful. What next - Cameron having people arrested for what they think http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/turning-britain-democracy-dictatorship-hounding-7511809

    Front of the mail doesn't look good for No10.

    81% in the voodoo poll in the Mirror want to be out of the EU...

    The Labour-supporting Mirror. Awkward.
    The outers are massively more energised at the moment there is absolutely no doubt about that. They have waited 25 years for this opportunity, they are swarming over every voodoo poll and comment blog available. Does it signify anything re the outcome in June, I very much doubt it.
    Weeeell Cap'n, it signifies something: Leave have way more enthusiasm and Remain needs to turn out meh/whatever voters to win.
    and there are over 3 months to go so I wouldn't go opening the champagne just yet!
    I'm not even opening the special offer Co-Op prosecco. (I'm not a Leaver btw.)
  • Options

    OllyT said:

    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory


    If the man held a paid position that required his political neutrality on the issue and he spoke either for or against it then it is inevitable some one would complain. He was very unwise and paid the price.
    I assume on that basis that those BCC regional chairmen will also be suspended for having come out in favour of Remain?
    Depends on their regional committees but there is considerable support in BCC for remain
    Not according to their own polling there isn't.
    The last poll I read was 60% for remain but there is considerable support for remain in BCC
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,380
    As with our referendum, there are domestic politics involved in the EU discussions - Merkel has three state elections next week which are not expectede to go well, and an EU deal would be handy purely in the sense of "At last they're getting a grip". Whether it will actually work I'm not sure - the human pressures involved may make any kind of solution impossible, regardless of the EU.

    It's possible that the surprisingly successful cease-fire in Syria will be easing the push pressure a bit, though. It had got to the point that even perennial optimists and patriots of one kind or another must have felt that the time had come to head for Europe at all costs rather than just wait to be killed. The same people may now be saying "Well, maybe it'll work out, let's give it a little while".
  • Options
    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Pulpstar said:

    Pong said:

    Speedy said:

    Pong said:

    @speedy

    Perhaps I'm not getting something, but the link in your tweet said;

    "Mitt Romney has filed paperwork with FEC to run in the current election"

    Where's the evidence?

    It's not Romney himself but an election organization that is Romney's:

    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/3/6/1496911/--Romney-For-President-Inc-filed-with-FEC-Feb-1-2016
    The bit at the bottom is kinda important.
    Are you tempted to "pick the pennies in front of the bulldozer" with Romney :D ?
    I'm happy enough to let both of my Romney/Ryan bets play out. Not worth laying at current odds now a brokered convention is looking so much more likely.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    edited March 2016

    I don't know about conspiracy theories or not, but I got grief on here earlier when I suggested that if the BCC had taken the BBC approach to breaches of impartiality i.e these comments were in a personal capacity, the organisation remains neutral, this would have all blown over after one day.

    Personal capacity? The guy was the director-general of the BCC, giving the keynote speech at their conference. This isn't hard to understand, surely?
    You appear to miss my point...for a second time. What I am saying is that if they had come up with some BS spin rather than giving him the boot, this story would have gone away within a day. BCC bod says something, BCC says we like to stay neutral, everybody jogs on. In the grand scheme of things it is still all small beer.
  • Options

    As with our referendum, there are domestic politics involved in the EU discussions - Merkel has three state elections next week which are not expectede to go well, and an EU deal would be handy purely in the sense of "At last they're getting a grip". Whether it will actually work I'm not sure - the human pressures involved may make any kind of solution impossible, regardless of the EU.

    It's possible that the surprisingly successful cease-fire in Syria will be easing the push pressure a bit, though. It had got to the point that even perennial optimists and patriots of one kind or another must have felt that the time had come to head for Europe at all costs rather than just wait to be killed. The same people may now be saying "Well, maybe it'll work out, let's give it a little while".

    I would like to think you are right about that but I am not sure if it is not a bit premature
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    It amazing how many of these top athletics appear to have some terribly serious long term conditions that you would think would provide a huge barrier to actually becoming a world class sports person. All these runners with Thyroid Imbalances, now Sharapova taking a drug for a heart condition.

    Thought it was diabetes related
    I am not a doctor, just going on what the Telegraph say one would take Meldonium for

    "Meldonium , also known as mildronate, is a Latvian-manufactured drug popular for fighting heart disease in former Soviet Union countries."
    Sounds very dodgy. No decent trial evidence for heart failure but builds up exercise tolerance and is popular in old soviet block countries. Hard to see why it is banned.

  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048

    OllyT said:

    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory


    If the man held a paid position that required his political neutrality on the issue and he spoke either for or against it then it is inevitable some one would complain. He was very unwise and paid the price.
    I assume on that basis that those BCC regional chairmen will also be suspended for having come out in favour of Remain?
    Depends on their regional committees but there is considerable support in BCC for remain
    Not according to their own polling there isn't.
    The last poll I read was 60% for remain but there is considerable support for remain in BCC
    They have 104,000 members. There was an open invite to members to take part in the poll (rather than a targeted representative poll) and only 2000 replies were received.

    To claim this was representative of the views of the BCC membership is laughable given it represented less than 2% of those eligible to take part. It is a voodoo poll no better than the Mirror poll quoted earlier.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    The Guardian and BBC accounts of the proposed deal with Turkey are rather different from the FT account, suggesting it is Turkey's proposal, not Angela Merkel's:

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/mar/07/eu-offers-another-3bn-to-turkey-at-emergency-migration-summit

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-35749837

    Either way, it looks a non-starter without considerable modification.
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    Wanderer said:

    Wanderer said:

    john_zims said:

    @foxinsoxuk

    'Don't worry they will not be in the EU for decades if ever - remember all 28 have to vote in favour and that's not going to happen any time soon

    Ssh. Project Fear (subsection Leave) aren't interested'


    The EU is playing a blinder for Leave.

    Get your money on then! Betfair has moved towards remain over the last few weeks.
    Sorry to say that there has been a bit of movement towards Leave in the last day or so. It's a dodgy 3.3 right now.
    I got on at 4, was hoping that that the odds would be tighter by now so I could cash out all green. Why don't the pb kippers put their money where their mouth is?
    Well, you could cash out now :)
    Nah. Surely Leave can do a bit better at some point over the next few months? They could hardly do worse.
    Even if Leave is headed for a 10-point defeat I think it will head under 3.0 again due to some combination of polls and events.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited March 2016

    You appear to miss my point...for a second time. What I am saying is that if they had come up with some BS spin rather than giving him the boot, this story would have gone away within a day. BCC bod says something, BCC says we like to stay neutral, everybody jogs on. In the grand scheme of things it is still all small beer.

    True, it's very small beer.

    But I think it would have been impossible for the BCC to try to spin it as you suggest, given his position and the occasion.
  • Options

    OllyT said:

    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory


    If the man held a paid position that required his political neutrality on the issue and he spoke either for or against it then it is inevitable some one would complain. He was very unwise and paid the price.
    I assume on that basis that those BCC regional chairmen will also be suspended for having come out in favour of Remain?
    Depends on their regional committees but there is considerable support in BCC for remain
    Not according to their own polling there isn't.
    The last poll I read was 60% for remain but there is considerable support for remain in BCC
    They have 104,000 members. There was an open invite to members to take part in the poll (rather than a targeted representative poll) and only 2000 replies were received.

    To claim this was representative of the views of the BCC membership is laughable given it represented less than 2% of those eligible to take part. It is a voodoo poll no better than the Mirror poll quoted earlier.
    Maybe but you cannot deny the BCC has got many remain members and indeed this was the reason they wanted to stay neutral. Anyway not for the first time my tablet battery is flashing lowe at me so may I wish one and all a very good night
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336

    It amazing how many of these top athletics appear to have some terribly serious long term conditions that you would think would provide a huge barrier to actually becoming a world class sports person. All these runners with Thyroid Imbalances, now Sharapova taking a drug for a heart condition.

    Thought it was diabetes related
    I am not a doctor, just going on what the Telegraph say one would take Meldonium for

    "Meldonium , also known as mildronate, is a Latvian-manufactured drug popular for fighting heart disease in former Soviet Union countries."
    Sounds very dodgy. No decent trial evidence for heart failure but builds up exercise tolerance and is popular in old soviet block countries. Hard to see why it is banned.

    Did you mean to say that? That reads like you think it should be allowed, despite as you state it builds up exercise tolerance.
  • Options
    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    OllyT said:

    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory


    If the man held a paid position that required his political neutrality on the issue and he spoke either for or against it then it is inevitable some one would complain. He was very unwise and paid the price.
    I assume on that basis that those BCC regional chairmen will also be suspended for having come out in favour of Remain?
    Depends on their regional committees but there is considerable support in BCC for remain
    Not according to their own polling there isn't.
    The last poll I read was 60% for remain but there is considerable support for remain in BCC
    They have 104,000 members. There was an open invite to members to take part in the poll (rather than a targeted representative poll) and only 2000 replies were received.

    To claim this was representative of the views of the BCC membership is laughable given it represented less than 2% of those eligible to take part. It is a voodoo poll no better than the Mirror poll quoted earlier.
    Maybe but you cannot deny the BCC has got many remain members and indeed this was the reason they wanted to stay neutral. Anyway not for the first time my tablet battery is flashing lowe at me so may I wish one and all a very good night
    Neutral you say -

    https://t.co/JBW8eVj9sC
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Schengen has collapsed in barbed wire and border controls between EU countries. And now in a further blow to EU unity, tensions ratcheting up over Gibraltar - its all interconnected in the domino effect of the wider collapse of the Euro and the EU just starting to gather momentum:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/spain/10223065/Gibraltar-dispute-is-a-serious-concern-says-David-Cameron.html

    And less than a week now to the 13th / 14th March 2016 turn date where investors start to lose faith in ever lower interest rates stimulating the Eurozone economy.

    Good night all.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048

    OllyT said:

    runnymede said:

    Exclusive: David Cameron aide complained about John Longworth to British Chambers of Commerce hours before he was suspended

    Nah - it's all a wild conspiracy theory


    If the man held a paid position that required his political neutrality on the issue and he spoke either for or against it then it is inevitable some one would complain. He was very unwise and paid the price.
    I assume on that basis that those BCC regional chairmen will also be suspended for having come out in favour of Remain?
    Depends on their regional committees but there is considerable support in BCC for remain
    Not according to their own polling there isn't.
    The last poll I read was 60% for remain but there is considerable support for remain in BCC
    They have 104,000 members. There was an open invite to members to take part in the poll (rather than a targeted representative poll) and only 2000 replies were received.

    To claim this was representative of the views of the BCC membership is laughable given it represented less than 2% of those eligible to take part. It is a voodoo poll no better than the Mirror poll quoted earlier.
    Maybe but you cannot deny the BCC has got many remain members and indeed this was the reason they wanted to stay neutral. Anyway not for the first time my tablet battery is flashing lowe at me so may I wish one and all a very good night
    Honestly who knows. We know that big businesses like the EU more than small businesses and given that the vast majority of the 104,000 BCC members will be small or micro- businesses I don't know how anyone can claim to know what they think overall and how that should be reflected by the BCC.

    Interestingly out of the 2,064 replies that gave information, 1,012 (49%) said they did not export anything to the EU.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    It amazing how many of these top athletics appear to have some terribly serious long term conditions that you would think would provide a huge barrier to actually becoming a world class sports person. All these runners with Thyroid Imbalances, now Sharapova taking a drug for a heart condition.

    Thought it was diabetes related
    I am not a doctor, just going on what the Telegraph say one would take Meldonium for

    "Meldonium , also known as mildronate, is a Latvian-manufactured drug popular for fighting heart disease in former Soviet Union countries."
    Sounds very dodgy. No decent trial evidence for heart failure but builds up exercise tolerance and is popular in old soviet block countries. Hard to see why it is banned.

    Did you mean to say that? That reads like you think it should be allowed, despite as you state it builds up exercise tolerance.
    The last sentence was meant ironically. I can see no legitimate use for the drug.
  • Options
    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    edited March 2016
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,336
    edited March 2016

    It amazing how many of these top athletics appear to have some terribly serious long term conditions that you would think would provide a huge barrier to actually becoming a world class sports person. All these runners with Thyroid Imbalances, now Sharapova taking a drug for a heart condition.

    Thought it was diabetes related
    I am not a doctor, just going on what the Telegraph say one would take Meldonium for

    "Meldonium , also known as mildronate, is a Latvian-manufactured drug popular for fighting heart disease in former Soviet Union countries."
    Sounds very dodgy. No decent trial evidence for heart failure but builds up exercise tolerance and is popular in old soviet block countries. Hard to see why it is banned.

    Did you mean to say that? That reads like you think it should be allowed, despite as you state it builds up exercise tolerance.
    The last sentence was meant ironically. I can see no legitimate use for the drug.
    Sorry, I should have got that..

    "I received an email on 22 December from Wada about the changes happening to the banned list and you can see prohibited items - and I didn't click on that link."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/35750285

    She is a top level professional athlete with access to any number of world leading doctors, sports medicine professionals etc. You would think that anything like this you would be printing out and sending to several doctors ASAP saying does this affect anything I take (and also filing any responses). In todays world, the dog eat my homework, or the classic in athletes case "The doorbell was broken" just doesn't wash.
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    dugarbandierdugarbandier Posts: 2,596

    It amazing how many of these top athletics appear to have some terribly serious long term conditions that you would think would provide a huge barrier to actually becoming a world class sports person. All these runners with Thyroid Imbalances, now Sharapova taking a drug for a heart condition.

    Thought it was diabetes related
    I am not a doctor, just going on what the Telegraph say one would take Meldonium for

    "Meldonium , also known as mildronate, is a Latvian-manufactured drug popular for fighting heart disease in former Soviet Union countries."
    Sounds very dodgy. No decent trial evidence for heart failure but builds up exercise tolerance and is popular in old soviet block countries. Hard to see why it is banned.

    Did you mean to say that? That reads like you think it should be allowed, despite as you state it builds up exercise tolerance.
    The last sentence was meant ironically. I can see no legitimate use for the drug.
    Sorry, I should have got that..

    "I received an email on 22 December from Wada about the changes happening to the banned list and you can see prohibited items - and I didn't click on that link."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/tennis/35750285

    She is a top level professional athlete with access to any number of world leading doctors, sports medicine professionals etc. You would think that anything like this you would be printing out and sending to several doctors ASAP saying does this affect anything I take (and also filing any responses). In todays world, the dog eat my homework, or the classic in athletes case "The doorbell was broken" just doesn't wash.
    you could at least try a "the mafia has spiked my sample in a dispute sparked by a malaysian betting syndicate"....
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,863

    OllyT said:

    Carole Malone ‏@thecarolemalone
    Hounding John Longworth out of his job was shameful. What next - Cameron having people arrested for what they think http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/turning-britain-democracy-dictatorship-hounding-7511809

    Front of the mail doesn't look good for No10.

    81% in the voodoo poll in the Mirror want to be out of the EU...

    The Labour-supporting Mirror. Awkward.
    The outers are massively more energised at the moment there is absolutely no doubt about that. They have waited 25 years for this opportunity, they are swarming over every voodoo poll and comment blog available. Does it signify anything re the outcome in June, I very much doubt it.
    Very similar to the Scots Nats at the moment
    Some things are similar, some things different.

    With EURef at least we have a reasonable minority of LEAVErs (on these boards, albeit not in the campaigns) who say 'this is the plan, not everyone will like it, but it would work' - that was a rarity with SINDYREF where the vast majority of Nats were 'Too wee, too poor, too stupid, we've heard it all before, its all about GOTV....' 'What about the currency?' 'Too wee, too poor......repeat ad infinitum......

    The similarities are - any criticism of a LEAVE proposal is 'TalkingScotland Britain down', any exposure of gaps in LEAVE thinking is 'PROJECT FEAR' and a general view that 'its all a Westminster/Fleet Street conspiracy'.

    In two days we will get the GERS numbers so we can see quite how catastrophically bad SINDY's finances would have been - though I hear Whisky Export Duty is up one million percent......

    http://blog.mcnalu.net/gers-revenue-2014-15.html
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,027
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,863
    NEW THREAD
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