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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Super Tuesday – the night goes on

SystemSystem Posts: 12,267
edited March 2016 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Super Tuesday – the night goes on

Super Tuesday results as at 0200 GMT via @politicalwire pic.twitter.com/lS5iKxpZjw

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Comments

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Off to bed now, big winners of the night Trump and Clinton but both Cruz and Sanders have at least one a state or two which is enough to keep them going for a few weeks. Rubio looks to have won nowhere as yet and is surely bowing out when Trump beats him in Florida in a fortnight
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    Oklahoma has been called for Ted Cruz by some networks

    With 49% in CNN has it Cruz 34.2%, Trump 29.8%, Rubio 23.9%
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ok/Rep
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Brit anti-Trump reporter seems to be outstaying her welcome in redneck bar....
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,736
    CNN also now projecting Oklahoma for Sanders

    Sanders 51.8%
    Clinton 40.5%
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ok/Dem
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    Fifth, like Carson!
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Trump's lead in Vermont down to 4%...
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    How badly does Rubio have to do before he pulls out? Less than 25% in most states tonight.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Both Cruz and Rubio bellow 20 in Alabama.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    Trump's lead in Vermont down to 4%...

    2.1%
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Speedy said:

    Both Cruz and Rubio bellow 20 in Alabama.

    Near clean-sweep for Trump then, as forecast by the polls...
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    Trump's lead in Vermont down to 4%...

    Don't make me uncall it.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Tim_B said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    Trump's lead in Vermont down to 4%...

    2.1%
    where are you looking? I've got http://vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us/Index.html#/
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/results/2016/primary/gop/president/vermont/
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    edited March 2016
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    Tim_B said:

    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    Trump's lead in Vermont down to 4%...

    2.1%
    where are you looking? I've got http://vtelectionresults.sec.state.vt.us/Index.html#/
    Fox News

    35% reporting -
    Trump 32.9%
    Kasich 30.7%
    Rubio 19.6%
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Time for Rubio to drop out.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Come on I've got +£3.3k on Cruz for nominee !!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Seriously if Rubio can't win in VA...
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    The Rubio project is in disarray :D
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    HYUFD said:

    Off to bed now, big winners of the night Trump and Clinton but both Cruz and Sanders have at least one a state or two which is enough to keep them going for a few weeks. Rubio looks to have won nowhere as yet and is surely bowing out when Trump beats him in Florida in a fortnight

    Keep them burning money in a similar fashion and length as the Daily Mirror "New Day" title.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,943
    Pulpstar said:

    Seriously if Rubio can't win in VA...

    If there's an 8 state win threshold at the convention then Cruz is the only one who realistically has any chance.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    CNN is speculating about Rubio dropping out.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Love the way Betfair *still* has Ru-bi-oh? at 6/1.

    Lol. Evidence?
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Pulpstar said:

    The Rubio project is in disarray :D

    I may not be +3.3k but my £650 is properly (slightly over) hedged with Cruz... Cruz v Trump suits me just fine
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Oh my God how much do they love Rubio at CNN
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Pulpstar said:

    Time for Rubio to drop out.

    He's going to hang on until Florida in 2 weeks. He's 20 points underwater there.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Carson not dropping out...
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Off topic, seriously bad news for Osborne in that members poll. Vindicates Boris' decision to back Leave.

    Wouldn't surprise me if Osborne goes all out now to try and strip down members rights.

    I hope he fails. Dismally.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Christie is talking.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Trump's chief bitch out for him.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Casino_Royale said:

    Off topic, seriously bad news for Osborne in that members poll. Vindicates Boris' decision to back Leave.

    Wouldn't surprise me if Osborne goes all out now to try and strip down members rights.

    I hope he fails. Dismally.

    I don't. I have laid Boris and backed George :D
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Christie doesn't look very happy.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,943
    RodCrosby said:

    Carson not dropping out...

    Neither is he turning on or tuning in.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    TRUMP!
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Trump speaks.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Trump speaking.
    He also doesn't look happy.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    edited March 2016
    Here's the Donald!

    Starts with a Hillary joke.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Make America Great Again vs Make America Whole Again.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Trump rather deliciously laying into "the little senator" Rubio.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    No evidence from the polls that Rubio can beat Trump in Florida.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-3555.html
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    LOL. Now he's bigging up Trump Corp. Almost surreal.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Trump leading by 8 in Arkansas with 29% in.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    I think you're letting your book go to your head
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,943
    RobD said:

    LOL. Now he's bigging up Trump Corp. Almost surreal.

    I noticed Trump Jr on stage... Maybe he's announcing a hand over.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    As expected Trump now sounding a lot more moderate.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    As expected Trump now sounding a lot more moderate.
    Yeah, when he gets the nom, I doubt we'll hear any more on a wall, or a ban on muslims for instance.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    As expected Trump now sounding a lot more moderate.
    He has to be careful, Cruz is lurking in the darkness of the far right.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    edited March 2016
    Tax cuts for the middle classes - is that the first sign of policy from Team Trump?

    But no major announcement, he's just showing how much he has the press wrapped around his finger dragging them all out to the conference.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Speedy said:

    Trump leading by 8 in Arkansas with 29% in.

    7 with 37% in
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    WHERE ARE YOUR THREE STATES NOW MARCO???
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    Trump knows what he's doing.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2016
    Trump: Cruz has a shot.

    He makes a great pitch for unity.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    Casino_Royale said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    Trump knows what he's doing.
    The question is, does Obama know what he's doing?


    ... titters.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    As expected Trump now sounding a lot more moderate.
    Yeah, when he gets the nom, I doubt we'll hear any more on a wall, or a ban on muslims for instance.
    Any specifics?
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    edited March 2016
    Rubio just hit 10s.... Edit 30 secs later: 14s
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited March 2016
    Trump: "big assumption that Hillary's going to be allowed to run..."
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    TheWhiteRabbit said:

    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    As expected Trump now sounding a lot more moderate.
    Yeah, when he gets the nom, I doubt we'll hear any more on a wall, or a ban on muslims for instance.
    Any specifics?
    Yeah, that's been sorely lacking recently!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Pulpstar said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Off topic, seriously bad news for Osborne in that members poll. Vindicates Boris' decision to back Leave.

    Wouldn't surprise me if Osborne goes all out now to try and strip down members rights.

    I hope he fails. Dismally.

    I don't. I have laid Boris and backed George :D
    I hope you intend to trade out of that later.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Rubio-Cruz crossover on Betfair coming.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Trump is complimenting Cruz hard.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    edited March 2016
    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio-Cruz crossover on Betfair coming.

    Great news, I'm sure your 3.3k will make a fine trading bet - I'd get out now
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited March 2016
    Rubio could fall behind Cruz very soon on Betfair. Absolutely deserved based on his abysmal performance.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    Casino_Royale said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    Trump knows what he's doing.
    He's doing very well at this press conference.

    What do we think of Christie as his VP pick?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    I think it's time to call Arkansas for Trump.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,943
    Informed comment from Bonnie Greer on Sky - "This is the first time I've sat through a Trump speech."
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2016
    Rubio has won Minnesota it seems.
    That's a first.

    Though too early to tell.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Speedy said:

    Rubio has won Minnesota it seems.
    That's a first.

    Though too early to tell.

    Well the count is currently at 1,000 votes only...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    williamglenn said:

    Informed comment from Bonnie Greer on Sky - "This is the first time I've sat through a Trump speech."

    She's desperate to say that Trump is only interested in angry white men, and that somehow he shouldnt be *allowed* to be president if he can't appeal to Greer's own demographic.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Speedy said:

    Rubio has won Minnesota it seems.
    That's a first.

    Though too early to tell.

    PR, irrelevant to the delegate count.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    RodCrosby said:

    Speedy said:

    Rubio has won Minnesota it seems.
    That's a first.

    Though too early to tell.

    PR, irrelevant to the delegate count.
    important to the future delegate count though!
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    RodCrosby said:

    Speedy said:

    Rubio has won Minnesota it seems.
    That's a first.

    Though too early to tell.

    PR, irrelevant to the delegate count.
    Momentum and expectations.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Sandpit said:

    williamglenn said:

    Informed comment from Bonnie Greer on Sky - "This is the first time I've sat through a Trump speech."

    She's desperate to say that Trump is only interested in angry white men, and that somehow he shouldnt be *allowed* to be president if he can't appeal to Greer's own demographic.
    I suspect Trump will be far quicker and more nimble than the Clinton machine.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,172
    I take it back, he just spent about five minutes talking about the wall :D
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Sandpit said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    Trump knows what he's doing.
    He's doing very well at this press conference.

    What do we think of Christie as his VP pick?
    Christie is a good pick.

    I must confess if I were American, I'd probably go for Trump/Christie over Clinton requiem.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    AndyJS said:

    Rubio could fall behind Cruz very soon on Betfair. Absolutely deserved based on his abysmal performance.

    You mean his Dad being a bartender isn't enough?
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Casino_Royale said:

    AndyJS said:

    Rubio could fall behind Cruz very soon on Betfair. Absolutely deserved based on his abysmal performance.

    You mean his Dad being a bartender isn't enough?
    Don't forget his mom.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Trump is talking very calmly and seriously.
    Usually his speeches are a comedic mess.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    Casino_Royale said:

    Sandpit said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Trump sounding dare I say it

    Presidential................

    Trump knows what he's doing.
    He's doing very well at this press conference.

    What do we think of Christie as his VP pick?
    Christie is a good pick.

    I must confess if I were American, I'd probably go for Trump/Christie over Clinton requiem.
    I'm with you there. One thing for sure is the campaign will be very nasty - both Trump and Clinton have a whole load of baggage, only some of which has come out so far. Trump will try and portray her as corrupt, and if that sticks she's in real trouble.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Tim_B said:

    Casino_Royale said:

    AndyJS said:

    Rubio could fall behind Cruz very soon on Betfair. Absolutely deserved based on his abysmal performance.

    You mean his Dad being a bartender isn't enough?
    Don't forget his mom.
    From Las Vegas.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    edited March 2016
    Speedy said:

    Trump is talking very calmly and seriously.
    Usually his speeches are a comedic mess.

    It's not a speech - it's a press conference: a world of difference.

    Carried live on all 3 news networks, sucking all the oxygen out of other candidates coverage.

    He's the candidate and beginning to look like one.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    By the way, how many here are in the UK and up past 3am watching this?
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    A brokered convention inches closer.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    I'm calling Minnesota for Rubio.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,943
    Pong said:

    A brokered convention inches closer.

    Cruz + Rubio ahead of Trump on delegate counts at the moment - http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/01/upshot/super-tuesday-live-republican-delegate-estimates.html
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Pong said:

    A brokered convention inches closer.

    They will simply wont drop out.
    Trump didn't sweep Super Tuesday.

    Cruz won 2 states
    Rubio won 1 state.
    Trump has won 6 states.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Sandpit said:

    By the way, how many here are in the UK and up past 3am watching this?

    It's just after 10pm here.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    I've ditched most of my Rubio red, can see that slimy little shit coming back after his "big win" in Minnesota.

    Sold a touch of Cruz at 20 too.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Pulpstar said:

    I've ditched most of my Rubio red, can see that slimy little shit coming back after his "big win" in Minnesota.

    Sold a touch of Cruz at 20 too.

    Same.

    God, you really dislike Rubio!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Speedy said:

    Trump is talking very calmly and seriously.
    Usually his speeches are a comedic mess.

    All an act.

    Trump is a very clever man.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    For those who don't know, Cruz is speaking from the Redneck Country Club in Stafford TX.

    Honest!
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    williamglenn said:

    Pong said:

    A brokered convention inches closer.

    Cruz + Rubio ahead of Trump on delegate counts at the moment - http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/01/upshot/super-tuesday-live-republican-delegate-estimates.html
    Nice, but I don't think that includes existing delegates.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    Tim_B said:

    Sandpit said:

    By the way, how many here are in the UK and up past 3am watching this?

    It's just after 10pm here.
    7am here, I got up early to watch.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Cruz is calling for others to drop out.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Sandpit said:

    Tim_B said:

    Sandpit said:

    By the way, how many here are in the UK and up past 3am watching this?

    It's just after 10pm here.
    7am here, I got up early to watch.
    Where are you?
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Sandpit said:

    Tim_B said:

    Sandpit said:

    By the way, how many here are in the UK and up past 3am watching this?

    It's just after 10pm here.
    7am here, I got up early to watch.
    I'm in Atlanta GA- where are you?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    A lady
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    edited March 2016
    Cruz speaking now. seems to be pleading for everyone else to quit as he's the only man who can beat the Donald. Not returning Trumps's kind words either.

    Channelling JFK now!
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2016
    One on one Cruz loses to Trump by 15 points.
    Same margin for Rubio though.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Right, back to bed after that bout of insomnia.

    Final thought: Trump now taking about being "a unifier".

    I can seriously see him being President in 9 months.

    That is all. Good night.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2016
    Cruz is making Trump look like a sane person.
    That's good for Trump in a GE, bad for Trump in the primaries.
This discussion has been closed.