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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP vote down sharply in all this week’s local by-election

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    Speaking of Lib Dems not seen this posted:

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/11/tim-farron-legalisation-cannabis-recreational-use

    Seems SOP for them when in the deep brown stuff and looking for a headline.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,010

    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    Excellent news!

    The Tories splitting and the seppukku of Corbynism will do the LDs a lot of good as the years pass to the next GE.
    Wishful thinking there, Doc? The LibDems would need to be renamed the Lazarus Party to bounce back in 2020.
    Of course it is wishful, but the self destructing blue and red parties are a great opportunity.
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/british/specials/liberal-democrat-specials/220703637/

    Lib Dems under 8.5 seats @ 9-4.

    Great price.
  • Options
    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    Mortimer said:


    Standard of living?

    How are you defining standard of living? As a twenty/thirty year old in a normal job I could afford the deposit and the mortgage on a house without parental assistance. I could afford to go out with Herslef two or three nights a week, to stop off on the way home from work for a quick couple of pints with my mates every evening I wanted to and to smoke as much as I wanted to. My diet in those days was pretty much the same as it is now but I eat out much less. So aside from the gadgets, which didn't exist then, how has the living standards of a 20/30 year old improved since the seventies.
  • Options
    MTimT said:

    Sandpit said:

    Love Blondie and Villa Lobos!

    Will try the others, any tracks?

    I love Anya Marina, she's so funny and seductive.

    Youtu.be/yBx-p7kkxxQ

    Omnium said:

    I'm after some more music recommendations. I detest jungle and rap et al - so anything else is cool for me. Any genre from any era.

    Unless you know their work really well - Roxy Music.
    You may never have heard of them, but - The Be Good Tanyas
    Alarming that I'm suggesting this, but - Seth Lakeman
    I know you'll have your doubts, but - Blondie

    A random selection. Let me know if you (unexpectedly) approve.

    Edit: To add something classical - Villa-Lobos
    That video is a cross between Kate Bush and Lady Gaga!
    In parts, it was almost an upbeat female Leonard Cohen
    Isn't that the definition of the anti-Leonard Cohen? Best their paths never cross for the sake of all humanity.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    Last for the night.
    Ted Cruz managed to make a small issue into a big issue out of his porn star ad by pulling it off air:

    https://twitter.com/TheLeadCNN/status/698258654152257536

    Goodnight.

    Oh and on topic, I would like to see results from lots of Tory council by-elections before I can make any judgement on the effects of the EU ref. and UKIP.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    edited February 2016
    I was so hooked on SoA that I marathoned six seasons and paid to watch the final.

    Did you know Jax was in Grange Hill! He was jolly convincing.

    This is my other nerdy hobby spotting where actors have appeared before.

    One of my favourites is Jensen Ackles from Supernatural where he plays a serial monster killer - now in S11 and his early life in Days of Our Lives - it's beyond funny

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtxtyVpVgis

    I loved Justified and just watched it again for nth time.

    I've done SoA twice and still give it a solid 9 of 10

    The Shield has so much more fun involved and comedy. It's SoA and Justifed combined.

    Isn't Walton FAB as Venus? He's so convincing as Boyd and her.

    I adored The Shield - it was perfect.

    I was talking to a mate about it and noted Walton Goggins was not only in that but Justified and Sons of Anarchy - as a drag queen. He's one of my favourite actors and plays so many roles most convincingly.

    Sandpit said:

    @Plato - I've never seen Breaking Bad actually.

    I need to watch that.

    Never seen Breaking Bad?
    Some of the best TV of the last decade, prepare to disappear for a week watching it!
    Recently rewatched The Shield, and I think it might be better than The Wire. Definitely better than Sons of Anarchy and Justified and I like both of those shows a lot. It is massively under rated show.
    For me SoA had some dodgy seasons in the middle, where it didn't really know where it was going. But the start and end (excluding the dodgy CGI ending) were great.

    Justified was solid throughout for me. Goggins being great it in.
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    Sean_F said:

    jayfdee said:

    Remain or leave,I am a genuine undecided.
    I am put off by both sides of the argument,I am definitely not a Kipper, I do not read the express, or the mail for that matter.
    Just cannot see me siding with Farage and the Kippers, but not sure about remaining either.
    Plenty of time yet to decide.

    If you support Remain, you're siding with Gerry Adams and Eddie Izzard.
    Quite. I simply don't understand this desire to vote the opposite way to an individual you don't particularly like, but have probably never met, just to arbitrate yourself to make a point.

    During the indyref, I was on the same side as Eddie Izzard, George Galloway, Emma Thompson and Richard Dawkins.

    The thought that might affect my vote never even entered my head.
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    Excellent news!

    The Tories splitting and the seppukku of Corbynism will do the LDs a lot of good as the years pass to the next GE.
    Wishful thinking there, Doc? The LibDems would need to be renamed the Lazarus Party to bounce back in 2020.
    Of course it is wishful, but the self destructing blue and red parties are a great opportunity.
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    Fair enough, Doc. I'll still be here, God willing, when you are ready to place your bet on the Lib Dems increasing their number of seats.
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    FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486

    Mortimer said:


    Standard of living?

    How are you defining standard of living? As a twenty/thirty year old in a normal job I could afford the deposit and the mortgage on a house without parental assistance. I could afford to go out with Herslef two or three nights a week, to stop off on the way home from work for a quick couple of pints with my mates every evening I wanted to and to smoke as much as I wanted to. My diet in those days was pretty much the same as it is now but I eat out much less. So aside from the gadgets, which didn't exist then, how has the living standards of a 20/30 year old improved since the seventies.
    I saw a great tweet recently

    Something like, "young people are spoiled these days with their iPads and smartphones, back in my day all you could do was buy property in central London"
  • Options
    BTW if we lament the state of politicians here and in the USA spare a thought for Peruvians heading to the polls in their Presidential election shortly:

    https://news.vice.com/article/an-alleged-killer-a-plagiarist-and-a-jailed-ex-leaders-kid-meet-perus-presidential-field

    URL says it all.
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    Sean_F said:

    We should note that the online polls showing close or Leave leads in the EU referendum are the same polls that show UKIP support up on last May's GE . The phone pollsters with large Remain leads also have UKIP support down on the last GE .
    These results and many others recently give a good clue as to whether we should place more faith in the telephone pollsters rather than the online ones with panels overstuffed with UKIP supporters .

    Telephone polls understated UKIP in 2015. And, no telephone poll has UKIP under 10%, a score which the Lib Dems would love to have.
    The true position of Leave/Remain is probably midway (or thereabouts) between the phone and online polls.

    So I expect it's at about an 8-9% lead for Remain (54-46 or similar) but a lot depends on turnout.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    Excellent news!

    The Tories splitting and the seppukku of Corbynism will do the LDs a lot of good as the years pass to the next GE.
    Wishful thinking there, Doc? The LibDems would need to be renamed the Lazarus Party to bounce back in 2020.
    Of course it is wishful, but the self destructing blue and red parties are a great opportunity.
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    But the fundamental point will still remain the same. The Lib Dems have no purpose. They are a disparate crowd of confused malcontents bereft of any sensible or practical ideas whose time has passed. The sooner they disappear permanently the better for everyone.
    I think that we are already seeing how pisspoor and hamfisted the majority Tory government is in comparison with the Coalition. It will not be long before people look back on the Coalalition as a golden era of government. I think probably as soon as Cameron is gone that view will be a commonplace. With the Labour party controlled by Corbyns unsavoury friends the LDs will be back. Sane centrist politics are a vote winner.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,041

    But the fundamental point will still remain the same. The Lib Dems have no purpose. They are a disparate crowd of confused malcontents bereft of any sensible or practical ideas whose time has passed. The sooner they disappear permanently the better for everyone.

    My inkling is that in 2020 with the boundary changes the Lib Dems will be down to 1 or 2 MPs. (Tim Farron and possible Alistair Carmichael). Not that I would bet on it this far out.

    In theory the Lib Dems should be doing well as a replacement for Labour. Given the position they find themselves in and Tim's desire to focus on the same viewpoint as Corbyn they are unfortunately utterly screwed...
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    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    Freggles said:

    Mortimer said:


    Standard of living?

    How are you defining standard of living? As a twenty/thirty year old in a normal job I could afford the deposit and the mortgage on a house without parental assistance. I could afford to go out with Herslef two or three nights a week, to stop off on the way home from work for a quick couple of pints with my mates every evening I wanted to and to smoke as much as I wanted to. My diet in those days was pretty much the same as it is now but I eat out much less. So aside from the gadgets, which didn't exist then, how has the living standards of a 20/30 year old improved since the seventies.
    I saw a great tweet recently

    Something like, "young people are spoiled these days with their iPads and smartphones, back in my day all you could do was buy property in central London"
    A lovely tweet, Mr. Freggles, because it conveys a truth at so many levels.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    Excellent news!

    The Tories splitting and the seppukku of Corbynism will do the LDs a lot of good as the years pass to the next GE.
    Wishful thinking there, Doc? The LibDems would need to be renamed the Lazarus Party to bounce back in 2020.
    Of course it is wishful, but the self destructing blue and red parties are a great opportunity.
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    Fair enough, Doc. I'll still be here, God willing, when you are ready to place your bet on the Lib Dems increasing their number of seats.
    I may well want to take that up, but I didnt actually propose that. I just pointed out that the LDs had 8 times as many MPs as the kippers. I suspect the kippers will have zero after the next general election though.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Nigel Farage very good on the LBC phone in.
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    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    Excellent news!

    The Tories splitting and the seppukku of Corbynism will do the LDs a lot of good as the years pass to the next GE.
    Wishful thinking there, Doc? The LibDems would need to be renamed the Lazarus Party to bounce back in 2020.
    Of course it is wishful, but the self destructing blue and red parties are a great opportunity.
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    But the fundamental point will still remain the same. The Lib Dems have no purpose. They are a disparate crowd of confused malcontents bereft of any sensible or practical ideas whose time has passed. The sooner they disappear permanently the better for everyone.
    I dunno about that. You are right that they serve no purpose if they continue to flap aimlessly between 'not being Labour' and 'not being the Tories'. If, however, they plant their principles somewhere (ok ok they might have to find out what they are first) as a politically and socially Liberal party and carve out an identity there then I believe they have a purpose, and an important one at that (I might even vote for them).
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    YossariansChildYossariansChild Posts: 536
    edited February 2016
    Foxinsoxuk Posts: 10,867
    9:45PM
    Richard_Tyndall s

    I think that we are already seeing how pisspoor and hamfisted the majority Tory government is in comparison with the Coalition. It will not be long before people look back on the Coalalition as a golden era of government. I think probably as soon as Cameron is gone that view will be a commonplace. With the Labour party controlled by Corbyns unsavoury friends the LDs will be back. Sane centrist politics are a vote winner.

    Perhaps yes, perhaps no. No one will argue with 'sane centrist politics' (no! I demand Insane politics!) Lib Dem politics has to come from principle and not just some Clintonesque triangulation between Labour and Tory. You might not be following the news or election results around the world but people are fed up with that style of politics. Find a core belief. Social and Economic Liberalism say. And stick with it through thick and thin. Then the Lib Dems have a chance. Else with fear of Corbyn the Tories will have a bigger majority, UKIP will be further entrenched in the North and East as the 3rd English party and the Lib Dems will remain where they are now - on a par with the DUP and slightly ahead of Plaid and the Greens.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    edited February 2016
    Other stuff that may be new to PBers = used in Sons of Anarchy

    White Buffalo - some great tracks from him.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cu8qsC1WLiE
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    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    ...
    ....
    ...
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    But the fundamental point will still remain the same. The Lib Dems have no purpose. They are a disparate crowd of confused malcontents bereft of any sensible or practical ideas whose time has passed. The sooner they disappear permanently the better for everyone.
    I dunno about that. You are right that they serve no purpose if they continue to flap aimlessly between 'not being Labour' and 'not being the Tories'. If, however, they plant their principles somewhere (ok ok they might have to find out what they are first) as a politically and socially Liberal party and carve out an identity there then I believe they have a purpose, and an important one at that (I might even vote for them).
    There is no point to the LDs. The last thing they want is to actually do anything, they do not want to be in government, they ran away from the last one they were in. Clegg was deputy Prime Minister. That was not good enough for them. To sustain themselves in local govt they were just 2 faced.
  • Options
    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    edited February 2016

    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    Excellent news!

    The Tories splitting and the seppukku of Corbynism will do the LDs a lot of good as the years pass to the next GE.
    Wishful thinking there, Doc? The LibDems would need to be renamed the Lazarus Party to bounce back in 2020.
    Of course it is wishful, but the self destructing blue and red parties are a great opportunity.
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    Fair enough, Doc. I'll still be here, God willing, when you are ready to place your bet on the Lib Dems increasing their number of seats.
    I may well want to take that up, but I didnt actually propose that. I just pointed out that the LDs had 8 times as many MPs as the kippers. I suspect the kippers will have zero after the next general election though.
    Naughty, naughty, Doc. You are now trying to re-introduce a topic that wasn't there in your post that I first replied to, i.e the subject of our discussion, and which I ignored as irrelevant when you did drop it in.

    Anyway, it is now just coming up to 10:00pm, which is the hour Herself has decided should leave the computer and go to bed. So good night, all. Thanks for your interesting posts and God bless.

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    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @eek

    Agree, I would have put it slightly higher at 3 - 4 MP's

    Nobody takes Farron seriously he hasn't evolved from student politics, Lamb would have been a more serious leader.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,010
    GOP Watch:

    Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Marco Rubio and Jeb! at Faith Family forum.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?list=PLlP7NlH5ac6IoUR0tm7gm1OqrZgkmg-PY&v=vaw9nxyn6CE

    Meanwhile Trump has headed to Tampa, Florida for a YUUUUUUGE rally.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LJ3bm5zoMQw
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    And only 11% want electoral reform.

    They're done, stick a fork in them.

    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    ...
    ....
    ...
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    But the fundamental point will still remain the same. The Lib Dems have no purpose. They are a disparate crowd of confused malcontents bereft of any sensible or practical ideas whose time has passed. The sooner they disappear permanently the better for everyone.
    I dunno about that. You are right that they serve no purpose if they continue to flap aimlessly between 'not being Labour' and 'not being the Tories'. If, however, they plant their principles somewhere (ok ok they might have to find out what they are first) as a politically and socially Liberal party and carve out an identity there then I believe they have a purpose, and an important one at that (I might even vote for them).
    There is no point to the LDs. The last thing they want is to actually do anything, they do not want to be in government, they ran away from the last one they were in. Clegg was deputy Prime Minister. That was not good enough for them. To sustain themselves in local govt they were just 2 faced.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited February 2016
    @YossariansChild

    Were the kippers entrenched in last nights results, or entombed? ;-)
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,010
    Cruz - Two greatest tragedies: Roe vs Wade and gay marriage decisions.

    He'll make sure to elect "constitutional conservative" SCOTUS and could elect up to 4 !
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    YossariansChildYossariansChild Posts: 536
    edited February 2016

    flightpath01 Posts: 4,319
    10:01PM
    There is no point to the LDs. The last thing they want is to actually do anything, they do not want to be in government, they ran away from the last one they were in. Clegg was deputy Prime Minister. That was not good enough for them. To sustain themselves in local govt they were just 2 faced.

    I agree with all of that Im giving them a way back - find principle and go back to that. They have nothing to lose so they might as well. With Farron going on about legalising Cannabis for medicinal use. Go the whole way Liberal way on legalising cannabis. Say that in the PCC elections a vote for a Lib Dem PCC will mean that that PCC will instruct local plod to ignore (ok 'deprioritise') possession of Cannabis in their PCC area. Bang news profile. phone-in talk shows Lib Dems everywhere looking relevant. Doesn't matter its not going to get them 20% in the polls right now they are 6% and facing Jim Gilmore like status. This would get them somewhere at least.
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    eekeek Posts: 25,041
    john_zims said:

    @eek

    Agree, I would have put it slightly higher at 3 - 4 MP's

    Nobody takes Farron seriously he hasn't evolved from student politics, Lamb would have been a more serious leader.

    I would have said the same then remembered the boundary charges utterly screw up most of the seats of those who will stand in 2020...
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    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    Excellent news!

    The Tories splitting and the seppukku of Corbynism will do the LDs a lot of good as the years pass to the next GE.
    Wishful thinking there, Doc? The LibDems would need to be renamed the Lazarus Party to bounce back in 2020.
    Of course it is wishful, but the self destructing blue and red parties are a great opportunity.
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    But the fundamental point will still remain the same. The Lib Dems have no purpose. They are a disparate crowd of confused malcontents bereft of any sensible or practical ideas whose time has passed. The sooner they disappear permanently the better for everyone.
    I dunno about that. You are right that they serve no purpose if they continue to flap aimlessly between 'not being Labour' and 'not being the Tories'. If, however, they plant their principles somewhere (ok ok they might have to find out what they are first) as a politically and socially Liberal party and carve out an identity there then I believe they have a purpose, and an important one at that (I might even vote for them).
    But they don't seem to have any principles and hence I don't see they have any purpose.
  • Options
    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited February 2016

    Sean_F said:

    We should note that the online polls showing close or Leave leads in the EU referendum are the same polls that show UKIP support up on last May's GE . The phone pollsters with large Remain leads also have UKIP support down on the last GE .
    These results and many others recently give a good clue as to whether we should place more faith in the telephone pollsters rather than the online ones with panels overstuffed with UKIP supporters .

    Telephone polls understated UKIP in 2015. And, no telephone poll has UKIP under 10%, a score which the Lib Dems would love to have.
    The true position of Leave/Remain is probably midway (or thereabouts) between the phone and online polls.

    So I expect it's at about an 8-9% lead for Remain (54-46 or similar) but a lot depends on turnout.
    I'm not sure I agree with that.

    Just meaning the midpoint between the online & phone polls as the "true" position doesn't make much sense to me. I'm not even convinced the current position is more likely than not to be within the range bounded by the phone/online polling figures.
  • Options



    I think that we are already seeing how pisspoor and hamfisted the majority Tory government is in comparison with the Coalition. It will not be long before people look back on the Coalalition as a golden era of government. I think probably as soon as Cameron is gone that view will be a commonplace. With the Labour party controlled by Corbyns unsavoury friends the LDs will be back. Sane centrist politics are a vote winner.

    The Coalition were equally pisspoor and hamfisted. The only difference is everyone could blame the Lib Dems and now the Tories have no one to hide behind. The idea that the coalition was any sort of golden era or that the Lib Dems are anything other than useful idiots is fanciful.
  • Options
    EPGEPG Posts: 6,055

    And only 11% want electoral reform.

    They're done, stick a fork in them.


    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.

    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    But the fundamental point will still remain the same. The Lib Dems have no purpose. They are a disparate crowd of confused malcontents bereft of any sensible or practical ideas whose time has passed. The sooner they disappear permanently the better for everyone.
    I dunno about that. You are right that they serve no purpose if they continue to flap aimlessly between 'not being Labour' and 'not being the Tories'. If, however, they plant their principles somewhere (ok ok they might have to find out what they are first) as a politically and socially Liberal party and carve out an identity there then I believe they have a purpose, and an important one at that (I might even vote for them).
    There is no point to the LDs. The last thing they want is to actually do anything, they do not want to be in government, they ran away from the last one they were in. Clegg was deputy Prime Minister. That was not good enough for them. To sustain themselves in local govt they were just 2 faced.
    You won't be winning majorities on 37 per cent forever. Do you want those votes to go to New Corbyn Labour?
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    @YossariansChild

    Were the kippers entrenched in last nights results, or entombed? ;-)

    Thats my point. Lib Dems should stop whatabouting other parties and concentrate on their own policies, issues and above all principles. Gloating over the mishaps of other parties worked in the 1980s and 90s when the Lib Dems had no record and there was no other third parties. Now there is competition it doesn't butter any parsnips.

  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548



    I think that we are already seeing how pisspoor and hamfisted the majority Tory government is in comparison with the Coalition. It will not be long before people look back on the Coalalition as a golden era of government. I think probably as soon as Cameron is gone that view will be a commonplace. With the Labour party controlled by Corbyns unsavoury friends the LDs will be back. Sane centrist politics are a vote winner.

    The Coalition were equally pisspoor and hamfisted. The only difference is everyone could blame the Lib Dems and now the Tories have no one to hide behind. The idea that the coalition was any sort of golden era or that the Lib Dems are anything other than useful idiots is fanciful.
    While the kippers are even more pisspoor and hamfisted, and better characterised as useless idiots than useful ones!
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    @YossariansChild

    Were the kippers entrenched in last nights results, or entombed? ;-)

    Thats my point. Lib Dems should stop whatabouting other parties and concentrate on their own policies, issues and above all principles. Gloating over the mishaps of other parties worked in the 1980s and 90s when the Lib Dems had no record and there was no other third parties. Now there is competition it doesn't butter any parsnips.

    I agree, and that is why I voted for Norman Lamb.
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    @Richard_Tyndall

    But they don't seem to have any principles and hence I don't see they have any purpose.

    Mine was a Spartan if they do find principles. They may or may not have deep down somewhere only CERN or the folk who found Gravitation Waves can detect. No matter. No one is paying them serious attention anyhow. So they can use this time to come up with some. Shhhh.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Alex Deane @ajcdeane
    Contrast PM's speech in #Hamburg extolling virtues of UK remaining in #EU & cabinet requirement of neutrality until negotiations concluded
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Will you be voting for Corbyn Labour? I doubt it.

    We all know it, you know it. The rest is journalists filling column inches to create a faux contest.
    EPG said:

    And only 11% want electoral reform.

    They're done, stick a fork in them.


    Snip
    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.

    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at these real election results better prospects of gaining more.

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    But the fundamental point will still remain the same. The Lib Dems have no purpose. They are a disparate crowd of confused malcontents bereft of any sensible or practical ideas whose time has passed. The sooner they disappear permanently the better for everyone.
    I dunno about that. You are right that they serve no purpose if they continue to flap aimlessly between 'not being Labour' and 'not being the Tories'. If, however, they plant their principles somewhere (ok ok they might have to find out what they are first) as a politically and socially Liberal party and carve out an identity there then I believe they have a purpose, and an important one at that (I might even vote for them).
    There is no point to the LDs. The last thing they want is to actually do anything, they do not want to be in government, they ran away from the last one they were in. Clegg was deputy Prime Minister. That was not good enough for them. To sustain themselves in local govt they were just 2 faced.
    You won't be winning majorities on 37 per cent forever. Do you want those votes to go to New Corbyn Labour?
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,005

    PClipp said:

    First. Like the Lib Dems in Eastleigh. Lib Dem fightback well under way.

    Excellent news!

    The Tories splitting and the seppukku of Corbynism will do the LDs a lot of good as the years pass to the next GE.
    Wishful thinking there, Doc? The LibDems would need to be renamed the Lazarus Party to bounce back in 2020.
    Of course it is wishful, but the self destructing blue and red parties are a great opportunity.
    Fair go. An opportunity for someone, but that party would have to have a clear set of ideas that chimed with that national mood and a history which does not include manifest and manifold breaches of promise. All of which rather leaves the Lib Dems stuffed.

    I should not be surprised if the Lib Dems achieved just one or, maybe, two MPs at the next general election. Going into government killed their unique selling point.
    8 times the number of kipper MPs! And looking at

    You think the number of Lib Dem MPs will increase at the next GE? I sense a bet coming on. Same stakes as last time or will you be wanting odds?

    I always felt guilty about our last bet and it was laid at about this time of night. So if you fancy a gentle wager on the Lib Dems having more than 8 seats after the next GE drop me a PM tommorow.
    Four and a half years is too early to make that bet. We need to see the fallout of the May elections and EU referendum first. A lot depends on whether the Tories and/or kippers implode and whether Labour MPs depose Corbyn for someone electable.
    But the fundamental point will still remain the same. The Lib Dems have no purpose. They are a disparate crowd of confused malcontents bereft of any sensible or practical ideas whose time has passed. The sooner they disappear permanently the better for everyone.
    I think that we are already seeing how pisspoor and hamfisted the majority Tory government is in comparison with the Coalition. It will not be long before people look back on the Coalalition as a golden era of government. I think probably as soon as Cameron is gone that view will be a commonplace. With the Labour party controlled by Corbyns unsavoury friends the LDs will be back. Sane centrist politics are a vote winner.
    Never say never, but last year's election was a far more shattering defeat for the Lb Dems than i thought possible.

    And often, it flew in the face of local election results.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Another account

    We are delighted to launch @US_Votes, following the US Presidential Election and Primary Season!
  • Options



    I think that we are already seeing how pisspoor and hamfisted the majority Tory government is in comparison with the Coalition. It will not be long before people look back on the Coalalition as a golden era of government. I think probably as soon as Cameron is gone that view will be a commonplace. With the Labour party controlled by Corbyns unsavoury friends the LDs will be back. Sane centrist politics are a vote winner.

    The Coalition were equally pisspoor and hamfisted. The only difference is everyone could blame the Lib Dems and now the Tories have no one to hide behind. The idea that the coalition was any sort of golden era or that the Lib Dems are anything other than useful idiots is fanciful.
    While the kippers are even more pisspoor and hamfisted, and better characterised as useless idiots than useful ones!
    The kippers are. That's expected of them The Kippers have not gone into government promising a new kind of politics and subsequently sold themselves out. Whether that's fair or not regardless that comparison is a losing one for the Lib Dems. Fight a battle you can win and the Lib Dems can only do that once they have defined themselves as something other than the Median point between other parties.
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited February 2016
    Pong said:

    Sean_F said:

    We should note that the online polls showing close or Leave leads in the EU referendum are the same polls that show UKIP support up on last May's GE . The phone pollsters with large Remain leads also have UKIP support down on the last GE .
    These results and many others recently give a good clue as to whether we should place more faith in the telephone pollsters rather than the online ones with panels overstuffed with UKIP supporters .

    Telephone polls understated UKIP in 2015. And, no telephone poll has UKIP under 10%, a score which the Lib Dems would love to have.
    The true position of Leave/Remain is probably midway (or thereabouts) between the phone and online polls.

    So I expect it's at about an 8-9% lead for Remain (54-46 or similar) but a lot depends on turnout.
    I'm not sure I agree with that.

    Just meaning the midpoint between the online & phone polls as the "true" position doesn't make much sense to me. I'm not even convinced the current position is more likely than not to be within the range bounded by the phone/online polling figures.
    BTW, do we know if the online pollsters have tried phone polling their online survey respondents with the same questions and compared the results?

    Random question for anyone not just for @casino_royale !
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,010
    Ted Cruz will also be building a wall with Mexico ! He'll give the contract to Trump lol.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    Welcome to Pakistan, young lovers:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-35560515
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    YossariansChildYossariansChild Posts: 536
    edited February 2016
    @EPG


    You won't be winning majorities on 37 per cent forever. Do you want those votes to go to New Corbyn Labour?

    For that to work that 11% would have to be existing Conservative voters who would switch to 'New Corbyn Labour.' Is there any evidence for this stampede?
  • Options
    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @foxinsoxuk

    The Lib Dems will be remembered for reneging on their key 2010 manifesto pledge & trying to be in government and opposition at the same time.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @tnewtondunn: EXCL: Thirteen ministers have pledged to campaign to leave the EU, Brexit MPs say - 1 in 8 of Tory front bench; https://t.co/dxtqxRgSDt
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091



    I think that we are already seeing how pisspoor and hamfisted the majority Tory government is in comparison with the Coalition. It will not be long before people look back on the Coalalition as a golden era of government. I think probably as soon as Cameron is gone that view will be a commonplace. With the Labour party controlled by Corbyns unsavoury friends the LDs will be back. Sane centrist politics are a vote winner.

    IMO, the majority Tory government has so far been slightly more tolerable than the Coalition.

    Mainly because the balance of power now lies with some independent-minded Tory MPs (the Heidi Allens and Johnny Mercers), who frankly have more spine than the Lib Dem MPs had in the last parliament. I doubt the tax credit cuts would've been stopped if the Coalition was still going.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Tom Newton Dunn ✔ @tnewtondunn
    EXCL: Thirteen ministers have pledged to campaign to leave the EU, Brexit MPs say - 1 in 8 of Tory front bench; http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/6928178/Rebellion-looming-THIRTEEN-government-ministers-will-reject-PMs-EU-renegotiation-deal.html
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    @Plato

    Apologies. I know you have, rightly, a thing about replies to quotes. Alas its late and im not the best at this sort of tech and so am making a right Jeremy Corbyn of it. Sorry!
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    YossariansChildYossariansChild Posts: 536
    edited February 2016
    For all Trump fans out there: http://www.haaretz.com/world-news/.premium-1.702986

    Edit - the 'collars' don't seem to match the 'cuffs'. I would have thought that someone as rich as The Donald would have had a bespoke merkin.
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    Danny565 said:
    He's woken up next to Bill? Hope he washed his dress.
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    Not sure if this is a repost of another poll.

    BREAKING: New SC Presidential Primary Poll released!

    This latest survey of likely SC GOP Presidential Primary voters is a result

    of our Caucus’ intense voter analytics effort for the upcoming election cycle.

    Out of 1200+ SC statewide likely Republican voters

    February 11th -12th

    Bush 13%

    Carson 5%

    Cruz 15.5%

    Kasich 8.5%

    Rubio 12.5%

    Trump 34.5%

    Undecided 11%

    http://schousegop.org/sc-poll-results/
  • Options

    Alex Deane @ajcdeane
    Contrast PM's speech in #Hamburg extolling virtues of UK remaining in #EU & cabinet requirement of neutrality until negotiations concluded

    Cameron is panicking about how poor final deal will be, so now resorting to breaking his own commitment to cabinet.
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    edited February 2016
    Mwah!

    @Plato

    Apologies. I know you have, rightly, a thing about replies to quotes. Alas its late and im not the best at this sort of tech and so am making a right Jeremy Corbyn of it. Sorry!

  • Options

    Alex Deane @ajcdeane
    Contrast PM's speech in #Hamburg extolling virtues of UK remaining in #EU & cabinet requirement of neutrality until negotiations concluded

    Cameron is panicking about how poor final deal will be, so now resorting to breaking his own commitment to cabinet.
    He is leading the govt negotiations. He is the crowns first minister - he appoints all the others. Your attempted comparison is specious.
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    Sean_F said:

    jayfdee said:

    Remain or leave,I am a genuine undecided.
    I am put off by both sides of the argument,I am definitely not a Kipper, I do not read the express, or the mail for that matter.
    Just cannot see me siding with Farage and the Kippers, but not sure about remaining either.
    Plenty of time yet to decide.

    If you support Remain, you're siding with Gerry Adams and Eddie Izzard.
    Quite. I simply don't understand this desire to vote the opposite way to an individual you don't particularly like, but have probably never met, just to arbitrate yourself to make a point.

    During the indyref, I was on the same side as Eddie Izzard, George Galloway, Emma Thompson and Richard Dawkins.

    The thought that might affect my vote never even entered my head.
    Can't stand Farage but my vote will decided on the issues. Can't help but think the association issue is the last refuge of those who know other arguments for Remain are on weak grounds.
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    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642

    Alex Deane @ajcdeane
    Contrast PM's speech in #Hamburg extolling virtues of UK remaining in #EU & cabinet requirement of neutrality until negotiations concluded

    Cameron is now arguing that the EU protects the UK from North Korea.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Re music. At this time of night, only a couple of jazz ballads will do...

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeFTuW6stE8
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfzWK2XVt00
  • Options

    Mwah!

    @Plato

    Apologies. I know you have, rightly, a thing about replies to quotes. Alas its late and im not the best at this sort of tech and so am making a right Jeremy Corbyn of it. Sorry!

    *blushes*
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Mr Dawkins has suffered a serious stroke so will be off the agenda for a while

    Sean_F said:

    jayfdee said:

    Remain or leave,I am a genuine undecided.
    I am put off by both sides of the argument,I am definitely not a Kipper, I do not read the express, or the mail for that matter.
    Just cannot see me siding with Farage and the Kippers, but not sure about remaining either.
    Plenty of time yet to decide.

    If you support Remain, you're siding with Gerry Adams and Eddie Izzard.
    Quite. I simply don't understand this desire to vote the opposite way to an individual you don't particularly like, but have probably never met, just to arbitrate yourself to make a point.

    During the indyref, I was on the same side as Eddie Izzard, George Galloway, Emma Thompson and Richard Dawkins.

    The thought that might affect my vote never even entered my head.
    Can't stand Farage but my vote will decided on the issues. Can't help but think the association issue is the last refuge of those who know other arguments for Remain are on weak grounds.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited February 2016
    I've just realised what a fantastically pleasing similarity there is between the Michelson-Morley experiment of 1887, which threw Newtonian space-time and Maxwell's theories into turmoil and eventually led to Einstein's Special Theory of Relativity, and the Ligo experiment which has just vindicated the predictions of Einstein's General Theory of Relativity.
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    I find this sort of jazz annoying - it farts about and contradicts itself. Its like being stabbed with fork

    There's no other genre that irritates more.
    RodCrosby said:

    Re music. At this time of night, only a couple of jazz ballads will do...

    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeFTuW6stE8
    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfzWK2XVt00

  • Options
    Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    edited February 2016
    I'd quite forgotten that Foundation Trusts have the power to opt out of national terms and conditions. Would be nice if Tory reforms came to bite Hunt where it hurts.

    It's a shame when you think of great Tory ministers of the past that it's now come to this - ministers as shambolic and clueless as Hunt and Grayling. Even between them the whelk stall would be too much.

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/hospitals-jeremy-hunt-junior-doctors-contract?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    SATURDAY: CBS News to host the next #GOPDebate in Greenville, S.C.; watch at 9pm ET https://t.co/hIeJ65GIpi https://t.co/AGbTGyv8EV
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Plato - if you like the Frogman, you might like this


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Lu4SbebpuE
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    This feels right

    Interesting Facts
    90% of adults say they used to play outside in the street as kids. Only 29% of kids do so today.
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    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    MP_SE said:

    Alex Deane @ajcdeane
    Contrast PM's speech in #Hamburg extolling virtues of UK remaining in #EU & cabinet requirement of neutrality until negotiations concluded

    Cameron is now arguing that the EU protects the UK from North Korea.
    There are so many lies being told by the Kippers and so any equivalent untruths told by the Remainers, its almost impossible to have a civilised discussion..

    It will be the nastiness of the Booers that will do for them in the end. I think it unlikely that LEAVE will win, because undecided are likely to vote for the status quo.....and that's probably the best result in the end ..
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,015
    x

    I find this sort of jazz annoying - it farts about and contradicts itself. Its like being stabbed with fork

    There's no other genre that irritates more.

    RodCrosby said:

    Re music. At this time of night, only a couple of jazz ballads will do...

    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeFTuW6stE8
    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfzWK2XVt00

    Habib Koite - din din wo is a nice song that's a little out of the ordinary
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    MP_SE said:

    Alex Deane @ajcdeane
    Contrast PM's speech in #Hamburg extolling virtues of UK remaining in #EU & cabinet requirement of neutrality until negotiations concluded

    Cameron is now arguing that the EU protects the UK from North Korea.
    It's also done a damn fine job of protecting us from sabre-toothed tigers, Prime Minister....
  • Options
    Interesting analysis: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/gop-deathmatch-three-men-will-enter-the-winner-will-probably-lose-to-trump-anyway/?ex_cid=538twitter

    This leaped out
    "natesilver: I mean, this talk about how Bush “beat expectations” is pretty ridiculous. So far, Jeb! has replicated Rudy Giuliani’s numbers almost exactly. Rudy got 4 percent and finished in sixth place in Iowa. Bush got 3 percent and finished in sixth place. Rudy got 9 percent and finished in fourth place in New Hampshire. Jeb got 11 percent and finished in fourth.
    Giuliani is widely regarded as having run one of the most embarrassing campaigns in presidential history. You can certainly say that Rubio blew it, and when we see reporting suggesting that some Republican party elites think that too, that’s valuable to know.
    But you can’t credibly say that Jeb’s campaign has been anything other than a miserable failure so far."

  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Jeez. Are you this boring in real life?
    Chris_A said:

    I'd quite forgotten that Foundation Trusts have the power to opt out of national terms and conditions. Would be nice if Tory reforms came to bite Hunt where it hurts.

    It's a shame when you think of great Tory ministers of the past that it's now come to this - ministers as shambolic and clueless as Hunt and Grayling. Even between them the whelk stall would be too much.

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/hospitals-jeremy-hunt-junior-doctors-contract?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

  • Options
    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,008

    Not sure if this is a repost of another poll.

    BREAKING: New SC Presidential Primary Poll released!

    This latest survey of likely SC GOP Presidential Primary voters is a result

    of our Caucus’ intense voter analytics effort for the upcoming election cycle.

    Out of 1200+ SC statewide likely Republican voters

    February 11th -12th

    Bush 13%

    Carson 5%

    Cruz 15.5%

    Kasich 8.5%

    Rubio 12.5%

    Trump 34.5%

    Undecided 11%

    http://schousegop.org/sc-poll-results/

    Interesting.

    Bush has overtaken Rubio and catching up with Cruz.

    Trump will win of course but if Bush comes 2nd he has the big mo.
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    MP_SE said:

    Alex Deane @ajcdeane
    Contrast PM's speech in #Hamburg extolling virtues of UK remaining in #EU & cabinet requirement of neutrality until negotiations concluded

    Cameron is now arguing that the EU protects the UK from North Korea.
    It's also done a damn fine job of protecting us from sabre-toothed tigers, Prime Minister....
    I don't see any sabre tooth tigers around. Do you?
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    I find this sort of jazz annoying - it farts about and contradicts itself. Its like being stabbed with fork

    There's no other genre that irritates more.

    RodCrosby said:

    Re music. At this time of night, only a couple of jazz ballads will do...

    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeFTuW6stE8
    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfzWK2XVt00

    It can be complex - melodically, harmonically, and rhythmically. That is what jazz is about, I suppose, freeing oneself from the simple tramlines that most music trundles down and creating something original and deeply personal, while entirely logical.
  • Options
    Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237

    Jeez. Are you this boring in real life?

    Chris_A said:

    I'd quite forgotten that Foundation Trusts have the power to opt out of national terms and conditions. Would be nice if Tory reforms came to bite Hunt where it hurts.

    It's a shame when you think of great Tory ministers of the past that it's now come to this - ministers as shambolic and clueless as Hunt and Grayling. Even between them the whelk stall would be too much.

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/hospitals-jeremy-hunt-junior-doctors-contract?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    Well the Tories must be getting worried as it appears to be shoot the messenger time. Par for the course from Plato.
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    As I said on the previous thread Ukip is effectively finished in it's present form, skint, rudderless and pointless now we have the referendum. If we Remain the race is run, if we Leave I'd love to see a new Libertarian party formed around the likes of Carswell, Hannan and some of the more individual MPs on both sides. Not sure it will happen but wishful thinking.
  • Options
    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    I'm allergic to this genre. My IQ is insulted by rap most of the time, jazz is clever dickery with added smug

    The plonky piano and discordant brass makes me wince.
    isam said:

    x



    I find this sort of jazz annoying - it farts about and contradicts itself. Its like being stabbed with fork

    There's no other genre that irritates more.

    RodCrosby said:

    Re music. At this time of night, only a couple of jazz ballads will do...

    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeFTuW6stE8
    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfzWK2XVt00

    Habib Koite - din din wo is a nice song that's a little out of the ordinary
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    Chris_A said:

    I'd quite forgotten that Foundation Trusts have the power to opt out of national terms and conditions. Would be nice if Tory reforms came to bite Hunt where it hurts.

    It's a shame when you think of great Tory ministers of the past that it's now come to this - ministers as shambolic and clueless as Hunt and Grayling. Even between them the whelk stall would be too much.

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/hospitals-jeremy-hunt-junior-doctors-contract?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    I wonder. If they stick to the existing deal, that'll mean the headline salary will be 13.5% lower, won't it?
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    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited February 2016
    MP_SE said:

    Alex Deane @ajcdeane
    Contrast PM's speech in #Hamburg extolling virtues of UK remaining in #EU & cabinet requirement of neutrality until negotiations concluded

    Cameron is now arguing that the EU protects the UK from North Korea.
    Probably protects us from other planets aliens.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    That's fun.
    chestnut said:

    Plato - if you like the Frogman, you might like this


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Lu4SbebpuE

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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    edited February 2016
    The Guardian ✔ @guardian
    The Guardian front page, Saturday 13 February 2016: British ‘Alcatraz’ plan for Islamist terrorists pic.twitter.com/Njgh8nYHF

    Government considers single secure jail unit for Islamist terrorists

    Proposal to replace dispersal system with British ‘Alcatraz’ to house convicted terrorists has alarmed prison chiefs

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/government-considers-single-supermax-jail-islamist-terrorists
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Can I send that to Pseuds Corner?
    RodCrosby said:

    I find this sort of jazz annoying - it farts about and contradicts itself. Its like being stabbed with fork

    There's no other genre that irritates more.

    RodCrosby said:

    Re music. At this time of night, only a couple of jazz ballads will do...

    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeFTuW6stE8
    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfzWK2XVt00

    It can be complex - melodically, harmonically, and rhythmically. That is what jazz is about, I suppose, freeing oneself from the simple tramlines that most music trundles down and creating something original and deeply personal, while entirely logical.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited February 2016

    As I said on the previous thread Ukip is effectively finished in it's present form, skint, rudderless and pointless now we have the referendum. If we Remain the race is run, if we Leave I'd love to see a new Libertarian party formed around the likes of Carswell, Hannan and some of the more individual MPs on both sides. Not sure it will happen but wishful thinking.

    If it's Leave, UKIP won't be dead at all. The debate about our place in Europe would not come to an end as a result of a Leave result, because no-one currently has the faintest idea what Leave actually entails. A Leave result would mean that UKIP becomes the anti-EEA-option party, arguing for an end to the freedom of movement part of the EU relationship, in contrast to a large block of the establishment, and some of the Leave side, who will be arguing for an EEA-style deal to minimise the economic damage .
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    Barnesian said:

    Not sure if this is a repost of another poll.

    BREAKING: New SC Presidential Primary Poll released!

    This latest survey of likely SC GOP Presidential Primary voters is a result

    of our Caucus’ intense voter analytics effort for the upcoming election cycle.

    Out of 1200+ SC statewide likely Republican voters

    February 11th -12th

    Bush 13%

    Carson 5%

    Cruz 15.5%

    Kasich 8.5%

    Rubio 12.5%

    Trump 34.5%

    Undecided 11%

    http://schousegop.org/sc-poll-results/

    Interesting.

    Bush has overtaken Rubio and catching up with Cruz.

    Trump will win of course but if Bush comes 2nd he has the big mo.
    I think Saturday's debate is all about who comes 2nd to Trump. It could end up being a Mexican standoff between Cruz, Bush and Rubio. Rubio might feel the greater pressure to put up a strong performance though I cant see anyone doing a Christie. Now would be the time for Trump to be all aloof statesmanlike. Not that thats ever going to happen.
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    isamisam Posts: 41,015

    I'm allergic to this genre. My IQ is insulted by rap most of the time, jazz is clever dickery with added smug

    The plonky piano and discordant brass makes me wince.

    isam said:

    x



    I find this sort of jazz annoying - it farts about and contradicts itself. Its like being stabbed with fork

    There's no other genre that irritates more.

    RodCrosby said:

    Re music. At this time of night, only a couple of jazz ballads will do...

    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZeFTuW6stE8
    ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfzWK2XVt00

    Habib Koite - din din wo is a nice song that's a little out of the ordinary
    Habib koite isn't jazz or rap

    http://youtu.be/A4vV5_ViE4w
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    I do hope it's in the South Atlantic. The best policy the BNP ever had.

    The Guardian ✔ @guardian
    The Guardian front page, Saturday 13 February 2016: British ‘Alcatraz’ plan for Islamist terrorists pic.twitter.com/Njgh8nYHF

    Government considers single secure jail unit for Islamist terrorists

    Proposal to replace dispersal system with British ‘Alcatraz’ to house convicted terrorists has alarmed prison chiefs

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/government-considers-single-supermax-jail-islamist-terrorists

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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956

    Mortimer said:

    MTimT said:

    Speedy said:

    A small campaign update on S.Carolina, to give you an idea about what may happen in tomorrow's debate.

    Rubio goes full conservative:
    http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article59957276.html

    "Sen. Marco Rubio channeled Tipper Gore on the campaign trail this week, railing against the harmful influence of contemporary music, movies and other hubs of pop culture."

    However he's a hypocrite too:

    "Last April, the Washington Post aggregated a number of Rubio’s past statements in which he expressed appreciation for Eminem, Tupac and other rap stars.

    He also attacked everybody:
    http://www.cbsnews.com/news/marco-rubio-trashes-donald-trump-john-kasich-goes-after-jeb-bush/

    Cruz attacks Rubio and Trump as pro-gay marriage:
    http://hotair.com/archives/2016/02/12/cruz-lets-face-it-rubio-and-trump-are-using-obamas-talking-points-on-gay-marriage/

    He also released an ad attacking Hillary to replace his Rubio one with the porn star he had to take down.

    Trump meanwhile has released a ton of positive ads about himself.
    And attacks Cruz as a liar:
    http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/trump-ted-cruz-liar-219190

    Bush attacks Rubio on foreign policy:
    http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/jeb-bush-calls-marco-rubios-foreign-policy-attacks/story?id=368

    Carson attacks Cruz about Iowa:
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/ben-carson-south-carolina_us_56bde591e4b0b40245c61769

    So to recap:

    Rubio attacks everyone but Cruz.
    Cruz attacks Trump and Rubio.
    Trump attacks Cruz.
    Bush attacks Rubio.
    Carson attacks Cruz.
    No word from Kasich

    Typical Lamestream media bias forgetting the political Brobdingnagian that is Jim Gillmore. Yesterday he did this: Thursday, Feb. 11, 2016

    7:35 a.m. Phone interview with WRNN Myrtle Beach
    8:30 a.m. Interview with South Carolina Radio News Network, Charleston, SC
    9:10 a.m. Interview with 98 Rock radio, Charleston, SC
    9:45 a.m. Interview with John Cumulous Radio, Charleston, SC

    Gilmorementum baby!
    Keeping his 1200% contest on contest improvement, look for him to break triple digits!!
    How is he still in the race?
    I find your faithlessness troubling Mortimer.
    "But for the cowardly and unbelieving and abominable and murderers and immoral persons and sorcerers and idolaters and all liars, their part will be in the lake that burns with fire and brimstone, which is the second death."
    Post of the day!
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956

    Mortimer said:


    Standard of living?

    How are you defining standard of living? As a twenty/thirty year old in a normal job I could afford the deposit and the mortgage on a house without parental assistance. I could afford to go out with Herslef two or three nights a week, to stop off on the way home from work for a quick couple of pints with my mates every evening I wanted to and to smoke as much as I wanted to. My diet in those days was pretty much the same as it is now but I eat out much less. So aside from the gadgets, which didn't exist then, how has the living standards of a 20/30 year old improved since the seventies.
    Affordability of foreign holidays, better furnished homes, better (and cheaper) availability of food, medical advances....


    Need I go on?
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Fox News
    .@jasonrileywsj: "@realDonaldTrump beat @tedcruz among Evangelicals in New Hampshire." #SpecialReport https://t.co/m7pHwtbMmM
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    I do hope it's in the South Atlantic. The best policy the BNP ever had.

    The Guardian ✔ @guardian
    The Guardian front page, Saturday 13 February 2016: British ‘Alcatraz’ plan for Islamist terrorists pic.twitter.com/Njgh8nYHF

    Government considers single secure jail unit for Islamist terrorists

    Proposal to replace dispersal system with British ‘Alcatraz’ to house convicted terrorists has alarmed prison chiefs

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/government-considers-single-supermax-jail-islamist-terrorists

    It sounds more like the maze prison than to compare to alcatraz .
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956

    Mortimer said:

    MTimT said:

    My dad was a Pye TV dealer in the 70s - I had a copy of Popcorn for my stocking filler.

    The 70s seem like distant history but so very near - its very weird

    Got to add the best stalking song from Clarence Frogman, the lyrics are ace

    https://youtu.be/ZwBkKF1P9VA

    Seriously, anything.

    I've got Elizabethan lutes to heavy metal. There's something about most rap and that whole thing that grates on my IQ.

    I've only found one band I like that does gangsta stuff and they're Nigger BlueGrass as a brand. They did the soundtrack for lots of Justified - Gangstagrass, the lyrics are very clever.

    Ever heard Prince Buster?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PLsqiyNk6fE&list=PLFC985CC6FACDABE6&index=6

    Play 10 commandments - just for the leftie misogynists.
    How about Judge Dread by Prince Buster, a song to make the hang'em and flog'em brigade go weak at the knees.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PF3CGENBhn0

    Py(i)e International, Let me in... Sounds like something Adam Johnson had on his car stereo..
    A great decade - I was born! Seriously though its probably the one decade I am curious enough I would like to go back to and live in and see for myself. Yes three-day week, Kiddie fiddling at the BBC, inexplicable amounts of orange and beige etc put me off but it does seem so very different and interesting. Dunno really why.
    As a teen...
    ....
    Standard of living?

    Thats the thing isnt it? Though we like to go on about the past the fact is it was irredeemably grimmer than now. Go back 100 years and its literally shit. Shit everywhere. I mean take away sanitation, antiseptics, antibiotics, dentistry and surgery what has the modern world done for us?
    Quite.

    I was born in the 80s. There was some good music in the 90s, but compared to today the progress of life was boring and slow. It took ages to book a holiday or complete a transaction for anything that your local high st didn't sell. I might have had a frightfully provincial upbringing, but one just didn't encounter the foods (either in restaurants or shops) that one does now. Eating out was expensive. Coffee was DISGUSTING almost everywhere.
  • Options
    blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492

    As I said on the previous thread Ukip is effectively finished in it's present form, skint, rudderless and pointless now we have the referendum. If we Remain the race is run, if we Leave I'd love to see a new Libertarian party formed around the likes of Carswell, Hannan and some of the more individual MPs on both sides. Not sure it will happen but wishful thinking.

    If it's Leave, UKIP won't be dead at all. The debate about our place in Europe would not come to an end as a result of a Leave result, because no-one currently has the faintest idea what Leave actually entails. A Leave result would mean that UKIP becomes the anti-EEA-option party, arguing for an end to the freedom of movement part of the EU relationship, in contrast to a large block of the establishment, and some of the Leave side, who will be arguing for an EEA-style deal to minimise the economic damage .
    I don't see it that way at all.If we Leave the Tory party's recriminations could be fatal, Nigel will ride off into the financial sunset (good luck to him) and a measured, low tax, small state, entrepreneurial group will emerge. I want to Leave a) because I don;t want to be governed by Brussles and b) it will change the shape of our politics for the better.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956
    I think there were capital controls in the 70s too - £50 limit taking overseas?
  • Options



    I think that we are already seeing how pisspoor and hamfisted the majority Tory government is in comparison with the Coalition. It will not be long before people look back on the Coalalition as a golden era of government. I think probably as soon as Cameron is gone that view will be a commonplace. With the Labour party controlled by Corbyns unsavoury friends the LDs will be back. Sane centrist politics are a vote winner.

    The Coalition were equally pisspoor and hamfisted. The only difference is everyone could blame the Lib Dems and now the Tories have no one to hide behind. The idea that the coalition was any sort of golden era or that the Lib Dems are anything other than useful idiots is fanciful.
    While the kippers are even more pisspoor and hamfisted, and better characterised as useless idiots than useful ones!
    UKIP had one job which was to put pressure on the Tories to make sure we got a referendum. They were partially successful in this but their own idiocy - primarily due to Farage - meant that they were no where near as effective as they should and could have been.

    In case you missed it many Eurosceptics on here have, since the election, tuned their back on the party. It was never anything more than a tool to us to achieve an aim and whilst it had some success it certainly wasn't enough to keep us supporting it in its current form.

    You see that is the difference between sensible people and idiot party fanatics like you. We don't believe in party right or wrong. I still hope UKIP will disappear once LEAVE have won the referendum. They are really no more useful than the Lib Dems. The difference being they will actually have achieved something unlike your sorry excuse for a party.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Chris_A said:

    I'd quite forgotten that Foundation Trusts have the power to opt out of national terms and conditions. Would be nice if Tory reforms came to bite Hunt where it hurts.

    It's a shame when you think of great Tory ministers of the past that it's now come to this - ministers as shambolic and clueless as Hunt and Grayling. Even between them the whelk stall would be too much.

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/hospitals-jeremy-hunt-junior-doctors-contract?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    I wonder. If they stick to the existing deal, that'll mean the headline salary will be 13.5% lower, won't it?
    I am yet to meet a junior doctor who does not prefer the old contract. The 13.5% basic payrise is out done by the 33% paycut, even before the other issues.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956
    Chris_A said:

    Jeez. Are you this boring in real life?

    Chris_A said:

    I'd quite forgotten that Foundation Trusts have the power to opt out of national terms and conditions. Would be nice if Tory reforms came to bite Hunt where it hurts.

    It's a shame when you think of great Tory ministers of the past that it's now come to this - ministers as shambolic and clueless as Hunt and Grayling. Even between them the whelk stall would be too much.

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/hospitals-jeremy-hunt-junior-doctors-contract?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    Well the Tories must be getting worried as it appears to be shoot the messenger time. Par for the course from Plato.
    National T&Cs are a joke. Why should someone who works in Durham get paid the same as someone in Surrey?
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    PBS America has a great docu on Alcatraz. Worth seeing if it's still on.

    I visited there a few years ago. Grim.

    I do hope it's in the South Atlantic. The best policy the BNP ever had.

    The Guardian ✔ @guardian
    The Guardian front page, Saturday 13 February 2016: British ‘Alcatraz’ plan for Islamist terrorists pic.twitter.com/Njgh8nYHF

    Government considers single secure jail unit for Islamist terrorists

    Proposal to replace dispersal system with British ‘Alcatraz’ to house convicted terrorists has alarmed prison chiefs

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/feb/12/government-considers-single-supermax-jail-islamist-terrorists

    It sounds more like the maze prison than to compare to alcatraz .
This discussion has been closed.