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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » We can’t assume that the Donald is out of it yet

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  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769
    welshowl said:

    JonathanD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    JonathanD said:

    Charles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Off topic:

    The law around this sort of crap needs to be tightened up

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-nottinghamshire-35472617

    If they couldn't prove who was driving the car how would tightening the law help?
    Increase the penalty for not declaring the driver?
    :+1: If you're the named hirer of a vehicle and it's involved in an accident, and fail to know who was driving it then the law should act as if you were the driver.
    If it's hired by a company, joint and several liability on the directors.
    Sounds good to me.
    What if it was stolen while on hire then, and you genuinely don't know who the driver was?
    Vehicle reported as stolen; no public interest to prosecute; law framed as not being strict liability; magistrates discretion for mitigating factors
    e.g. Hire car stolen whilst left on employer's premises at weekend, involved in accident on Sunday before Directors realise it was stolen.
    If you frame the law as a strict liability, the directors have to be found guilty by the magistrates ! So you don't, although alot of motoring law is.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,269

    Indigo said:

    Oh... and there I was thinking you were interested in the future of your country, sorry, my mistake.

    You need to a get a sense of humour chip.

    Whether we are in or out of the EU, I will be optimistic about the future of this country, I care about it deeply.
    Amen.

    To be fair, I think Cameron sincerely believes the same: I have no doubt he's genuinely patriotic and thinks it's in the best interests of the UK to Remain part of the EU club. He thinks seats at tables like this are worth almost any price in the broader UK national interest, and doesn't think we'd get anything better if we left.

    I think he's totally wrong, lacks confidence, imagination and negotiating skills, and is being disingenuous with the deal to the voters, and attempting to bully all his MPs, but I don't see him as someone who doesn't care about the UK.
    Every single PM since we joined has ended up having European battles (except possibly Callaghan) and that is because, fundamentally, we simply have not addressed in an adult way the divide which exists between our conception of what Europe should be and the role of the nation state and the conception which is largely shared by most Continental European states of what Europe should be.

    Nothing in this proposed deal addresses that. And so, regardless of a Remain result, which is what I expect, the EU will continue to be an unresolved running sore in British politics and will flare up from time to time, almost regardless of which party is in power.

    The British political class has confused membership of international fora with having a strategy and using one's influence to achieve that. Appearance is all.

    Maybe the post-Suez criticism that Britain has not yet found a role has some truth in it......

  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    edited February 2016

    Pulpstar said:

    Charles said:

    Sure, but at the moment it's 6 points + a fine.

    Tough to go much higher without breaching natural justice for what could just be an administrative oversight

    This could surely be dealt with either by giving the courts discretion to be sensible about administrative oversight, or by having two different offences, one an 'aggravated' offence involving injury.
    One of the issues with alot of motoring law is that it is all "strict liability" and courts have very little discretion. That's an error in my view.
    Not all is lost. Some years back, I had six points on my licence. A speeding ticket came through for a car that both my wife and I used. We genuinely didn't know who had driven that car on the day concerned. I asked for a picture, but the rear view of the car from the camera didn't give any clues to the driver*. As it was registered in my name, I had to respond. Because of the 6 point penalty for not giving the name of the party driving, I said that I had to plead guilty because I couldn't risk 12 points and a ban.

    It came before the magistrates - where the court refused to accept my guilty plea. The prosecutor got rather flustered - and couldn't show who was driving either. In the end, it got thrown out. So in that case, I felt the court had been eminently sensible!

    *Cameras which face the car and take an image of the driver would cure this issue. But then, they would be much more visible - and wouldn't generate as much revenue.
    Indeed, for many jurisdictions in the US, speeding (and to a far lesser extent, red light) tickets are all about revenue generation not road safety. A couple of places have elected officials on a platform of removing cameras as they are nothing more than an additional tax.

    Generally speaking, if you are done for speeding or red light by a camera, the owner of the vehicle pays the fine but points cannot be put on the license as there is no proof of who was driving.
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400
    welshowl said:

    JonathanD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    JonathanD said:

    Charles said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Off topic:

    The law around this sort of crap needs to be tightened up

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-nottinghamshire-35472617

    If they couldn't prove who was driving the car how would tightening the law help?
    Increase the penalty for not declaring the driver?
    :+1: If you're the named hirer of a vehicle and it's involved in an accident, and fail to know who was driving it then the law should act as if you were the driver.
    If it's hired by a company, joint and several liability on the directors.
    Sounds good to me.
    What if it was stolen while on hire then, and you genuinely don't know who the driver was?
    As long as it is reported stolen within a set time scale of becoming aware of the theft then there could easily be an exemption.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Rob Hutton
    In passing, I note that of the many LEAVE campaigns, only @Grassroots_Out has a website with a clear message. https://t.co/aoQwECPcdZ
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769

    Pulpstar said:

    Charles said:

    Sure, but at the moment it's 6 points + a fine.

    Tough to go much higher without breaching natural justice for what could just be an administrative oversight

    This could surely be dealt with either by giving the courts discretion to be sensible about administrative oversight, or by having two different offences, one an 'aggravated' offence involving injury.
    One of the issues with alot of motoring law is that it is all "strict liability" and courts have very little discretion. That's an error in my view.
    Not all is lost. Some years back, I had six points on my licence. A speeding ticket came through for a car that both my wife and I used. We genuinely didn't know who had driven that car on the day concerned. I asked for a picture, but the rear view of the car from the camera didn't give any clues to the driver*. As it was registered in my name, I had to respond. Because of the 6 point penalty for not giving the name of the party driving, I said that I had to plead guilty because I couldn't risk 12 points and a ban.

    It came before the magistrates - where the court refused to accept my guilty plea. The prosecutor got rather flustered - and couldn't show who was driving either. In the end, it got thrown out. So in that case, I felt the court had been eminently sensible!

    *Cameras which face the car and take an image of the driver would cure this issue. But then, they would be much more visible - and wouldn't generate as much revenue.
    Blimey ! A court refusing to accept a guilty plea. That must be a very rare event for UK motoring law :D
  • Pulpstar said:

    Charles said:

    Sure, but at the moment it's 6 points + a fine.

    Tough to go much higher without breaching natural justice for what could just be an administrative oversight

    This could surely be dealt with either by giving the courts discretion to be sensible about administrative oversight, or by having two different offences, one an 'aggravated' offence involving injury.
    One of the issues with alot of motoring law is that it is all "strict liability" and courts have very little discretion. That's an error in my view.
    Not all is lost. Some years back, I had six points on my licence. A speeding ticket came through for a car that both my wife and I used. We genuinely didn't know who had driven that car on the day concerned. I asked for a picture, but the rear view of the car from the camera didn't give any clues to the driver*. As it was registered in my name, I had to respond. Because of the 6 point penalty for not giving the name of the party driving, I said that I had to plead guilty because I couldn't risk 12 points and a ban.

    It came before the magistrates - where the court refused to accept my guilty plea. The prosecutor got rather flustered - and couldn't show who was driving either. In the end, it got thrown out. So in that case, I felt the court had been eminently sensible!

    *Cameras which face the car and take an image of the driver would cure this issue. But then, they would be much more visible - and wouldn't generate as much revenue.
    Its perfectly possible - I have known it happen to a relative - with genuine extenuating circumstances if you get to 12 points to appeal against a disqualification and succeed. You still get the fine and the 12 points of course and you are on borrowed time until the previous convictions drop off. But a genuine need to drive, say an infirm relative or important work, can be a mitigating circumstance. The magistrates do seem to deliberate at length on it but its quite plausible.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,179
    Rand Paul suspending campaign. The winnowing begins.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769

    On topic, Rand Paul has just suspended his campaign.

    Will anyone take the £20 to lay at 990.0 ?

    My red on Bush is only half the size needed to pinch £2 I'm afraid.
  • ''When AccountingWEB approached McDonnell’s press office for clarification we were threatened with legal action. '' ho ho ho
  • I was interested to see that the letter seeking a delay to the referendum was signed not just by Nicola Sturgeon but also by the Carwyn Jones, Arlene Foster and Martin McGuinness. This isn't just about the SNP vs Westminster, it's Westminster vs the devolved governments.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited February 2016
    Cyclefree said:

    Nothing in this proposed deal addresses that. And so, regardless of a Remain result, which is what I expect, the EU will continue to be an unresolved running sore in British politics and will flare up from time to time, almost regardless of which party is in power.

    It's not true that this proposed deal doesn't address that. It addresses it directly, with an explicit acknowledgement (I think for the first time in a formal EU document) of the reality that we are not going in the direction of closer union. In practical terms, that's an important move because it is likely to lead to an outer ring and an inner (Eurozone) ring, with closer union increasingly concentrated in the inner ring:

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-architecture-analysis-idUKKCN0VB1UT

    I really don't see how Cameron could conceivably have got more on this point.

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,207
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Charles said:

    Sure, but at the moment it's 6 points + a fine.

    Tough to go much higher without breaching natural justice for what could just be an administrative oversight

    This could surely be dealt with either by giving the courts discretion to be sensible about administrative oversight, or by having two different offences, one an 'aggravated' offence involving injury.
    One of the issues with alot of motoring law is that it is all "strict liability" and courts have very little discretion. That's an error in my view.
    Not all is lost. Some years back, I had six points on my licence. A speeding ticket came through for a car that both my wife and I used. We genuinely didn't know who had driven that car on the day concerned. I asked for a picture, but the rear view of the car from the camera didn't give any clues to the driver*. As it was registered in my name, I had to respond. Because of the 6 point penalty for not giving the name of the party driving, I said that I had to plead guilty because I couldn't risk 12 points and a ban.

    It came before the magistrates - where the court refused to accept my guilty plea. The prosecutor got rather flustered - and couldn't show who was driving either. In the end, it got thrown out. So in that case, I felt the court had been eminently sensible!

    *Cameras which face the car and take an image of the driver would cure this issue. But then, they would be much more visible - and wouldn't generate as much revenue.
    Blimey ! A court refusing to accept a guilty plea. That must be a very rare event for UK motoring law :D
    I was quite chuffed, as I argued my own case!
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,207
    Pulpstar said:

    "When AccountingWEB approached McDonnell’s press office for clarification we were threatened with legal action "

    Might have been worse. Could have been their knee-caps that were threatened....
  • I was quite chuffed, as I argued my own case!

    Clearly not very well, since what you were arguing for was rejected!
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''Maybe the post-Suez criticism that Britain has not yet found a role has some truth in it......''

    Yes this is a debate we never have in the UK. What kind of country do we want to be? what are we aiming at? What's our identity?

    As Richard Nabavi points out, what is leave's vision?
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    Cyclefree said:

    Nothing in this proposed deal addresses that. And so, regardless of a Remain result, which is what I expect, the EU will continue to be an unresolved running sore in British politics and will flare up from time to time, almost regardless of which party is in power.

    It's not true that this proposed deal doesn't address that. It addresses it directly, with an explicit acknowledgement (I think for the first time in a formal EU document) of the reality that we are not going in the direction of closer union. In practical terms, that's an important move because it is likely to lead to an outer ring and an inner (Eurozone) ring, with closer union increasingly concentrated in the inner ring:

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-architecture-analysis-idUKKCN0VB1UT

    I really don't see how Cameron could conceivably have got more on this point.

    But until someone tells the ECJ, which means changing its founding principles and the treaties it uses for guidance, we are all following the same path to ever closer union, regardless of the political niceties.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    x

    Rob Hutton
    In passing, I note that of the many LEAVE campaigns, only @Grassroots_Out has a website with a clear message. https://t.co/aoQwECPcdZ

    They have quite a range of politicians too.. .The Manchester event had a trade unionist, a Lab MP, 2 Tory MPs, Farage and Heffer
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,207
    taffys said:

    ''Maybe the post-Suez criticism that Britain has not yet found a role has some truth in it......''

    Yes this is a debate we never have in the UK. What kind of country do we want to be? what are we aiming at? What's our identity?

    As Richard Nabavi points out, what is leave's vision?

    Bezzie mates - just not fuck-buddies.....
  • Indigo said:

    But until someone tells the ECJ, which means changing its founding principles and the treaties it uses for guidance, we are all following the same path to ever closer union, regardless of the political niceties.

    They are telling the ECJ. That's what this legally-binding document is about. It will also be incorporated in the next treaty revision.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,207

    I was quite chuffed, as I argued my own case!

    Clearly not very well, since what you were arguing for was rejected!
    It was called a negotiation.... It may be a concept that has recently passed you by... ;-)
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,179
    taffys said:

    ''Maybe the post-Suez criticism that Britain has not yet found a role has some truth in it......''

    Yes this is a debate we never have in the UK. What kind of country do we want to be? what are we aiming at? What's our identity?

    As Richard Nabavi points out, what is leave's vision?

    It's a question that should be posed to both sides of the debate. Begrudgingly staying in does not provide a vision worth fighting for either.
  • isam said:

    x

    Rob Hutton
    In passing, I note that of the many LEAVE campaigns, only @Grassroots_Out has a website with a clear message. https://t.co/aoQwECPcdZ

    They have quite a range of politicians too.. .The Manchester event had a trade unionist, a Lab MP, 2 Tory MPs, Farage and Heffer
    Is Grassroots_Out part of Leave.EU, or a separate grouping?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,692
    MTimT said:

    This is from the right-wing NY Observer, so caveats about the source. But if this is indeed true, things do not look good for Hillaryworld:

    "Discussions with Intelligence Community officials have revealed that Ms. Clinton’s “unclassified” emails included Holy Grail items of American espionage such as the true names of Central Intelligence Agency intelligence officers serving overseas under cover. Worse, some of those exposed are serving under non-official cover. NOCs (see this for an explanation of their important role in espionage) are the pointy end of the CIA spear and they are always at risk of exposure – which is what Ms. Clinton’s emails have done.

    "Not only have these spies had their lives put in serious risk by this, it’s a clear violation of Federal law. The Intelligence Identities Protection Act of 1982, enacted due to the murder of the CIA’s station chief in Athens after his cover was blown by the left-wing media, makes it a Federal crime to divulge the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence if that person has not previous been publicly acknowledged to be working for our spy agencies."

    She's still available to sell at 2.04 on Betfair for next President. I'd be selling all the way out to 2.4, maybe even to 2.5.

    (Note in up to my eyeballs in this market, so may not be completely impartial.)
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    edited February 2016
    That's the problem they have now, squabbling over post Leave world.

    The wrong sort of Leave voters.
    taffys said:

    ''Maybe the post-Suez criticism that Britain has not yet found a role has some truth in it......''

    Yes this is a debate we never have in the UK. What kind of country do we want to be? what are we aiming at? What's our identity?

    As Richard Nabavi points out, what is leave's vision?

  • I was quite chuffed, as I argued my own case!

    Clearly not very well, since what you were arguing for was rejected!
    It was called a negotiation.... It may be a concept that has recently passed you by... ;-)
    LOL!
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    x

    Rob Hutton
    In passing, I note that of the many LEAVE campaigns, only @Grassroots_Out has a website with a clear message. https://t.co/aoQwECPcdZ

    They have quite a range of politicians too.. .The Manchester event had a trade unionist, a Lab MP, 2 Tory MPs, Farage and Heffer
    Is Grassroots_Out part of Leave.EU, or a separate grouping?
    I think it is separate.. I haven't really looked to be honest
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Bezzie mates - just not fuck-buddies.....

    That will not be enough. If we're going to be truly independent, then we may have to live without a good trade deal with the EU., because in order to get a good deal we will have to make concessions on immigration etc, as Richard has eloquently pointed out.

    We will need to build new alliances with countries not aligned to major power blocs, and many of these are probably our natural allies anyway.

    We will need to spend much more on defence, in my view, and in particular Marine defence.

    Not being an EU vassal via EU or EEA will have all sorts of implications, which will need to be explained.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,179
    Trump proving again that he's a man who bears grudges.

    Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump

    Ted Cruz didn't win Iowa, he stole it. That is why all of the polls were so wrong and why he got far more votes than anticipated. Bad!

    During primetime of the Iowa Caucus, Cruz put out a release that @RealBenCarson was quitting the race, and to caucus (or vote) for Cruz.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    I was quite chuffed, as I argued my own case!

    Clearly not very well, since what you were arguing for was rejected!
    It was called a negotiation.... It may be a concept that has recently passed you by... ;-)
    Also, reverse psychology. Useful on teenagers too.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    isam said:

    x

    Rob Hutton
    In passing, I note that of the many LEAVE campaigns, only @Grassroots_Out has a website with a clear message. https://t.co/aoQwECPcdZ

    They have quite a range of politicians too.. .The Manchester event had a trade unionist, a Lab MP, 2 Tory MPs, Farage and Heffer
    Is Grassroots_Out part of Leave.EU, or a separate grouping?
    Kate Hoey and Peter Bone

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3383217/New-group-mobilise-Brexit-vote-Campaign-group-Grassroots-aims-target-ordinary-voters-want-leave.html
  • Rand Paul suspending campaign. The winnowing begins.

    Shame, someone I had a lot of respect for. You knew there was no funny money behind him.

    Should benefit Trump though, who stole his foreign policies and thus most of his voters.
  • Oh dear, - if McDonnell was applying for the top job, I’d put his CV to the bottom of the pile.
  • Trump proving again that he's a man who bears grudges.

    Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump

    Ted Cruz didn't win Iowa, he stole it. That is why all of the polls were so wrong and why he got far more votes than anticipated. Bad!

    During primetime of the Iowa Caucus, Cruz put out a release that @RealBenCarson was quitting the race, and to caucus (or vote) for Cruz.

    In the UK, nobody likes a bad loser. In the US neither does Trump.

    Unless it's him.
  • Trump proving again that he's a man who bears grudges.

    Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump

    Ted Cruz didn't win Iowa, he stole it. That is why all of the polls were so wrong and why he got far more votes than anticipated. Bad!

    During primetime of the Iowa Caucus, Cruz put out a release that @RealBenCarson was quitting the race, and to caucus (or vote) for Cruz.

    Sounds like Farage after Oldham West & Royton
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Trump meltdown.

    Dig out your Rubio betting slips.
  • rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    This is from the right-wing NY Observer, so caveats about the source. But if this is indeed true, things do not look good for Hillaryworld:

    "Discussions with Intelligence Community officials have revealed that Ms. Clinton’s “unclassified” emails included Holy Grail items of American espionage such as the true names of Central Intelligence Agency intelligence officers serving overseas under cover. Worse, some of those exposed are serving under non-official cover. NOCs (see this for an explanation of their important role in espionage) are the pointy end of the CIA spear and they are always at risk of exposure – which is what Ms. Clinton’s emails have done.

    "Not only have these spies had their lives put in serious risk by this, it’s a clear violation of Federal law. The Intelligence Identities Protection Act of 1982, enacted due to the murder of the CIA’s station chief in Athens after his cover was blown by the left-wing media, makes it a Federal crime to divulge the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence if that person has not previous been publicly acknowledged to be working for our spy agencies."

    She's still available to sell at 2.04 on Betfair for next President. I'd be selling all the way out to 2.4, maybe even to 2.5.

    (Note in up to my eyeballs in this market, so may not be completely impartial.)
    Why would the SoS be given the real names of people like this, CIA operatives abroad? Why would these names be on any email server?
    Despite everything - what has Hillary done. Has she divulged the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence?
    I am not a Hillary fan BTW, but its a poor indictment of the USA that she is the most plausible candidate for president.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,179
    Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump 14s14 seconds ago

    Based on the fraud committed by Senator Ted Cruz during the Iowa Caucus, either a new election should take place or Cruz results nullified.


    No comment...
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    That's the problem they have now, squabbling over post Leave world.

    I guess there's a role for a powerful country that scoops up alliances with countries that are outside the power bloc world eg Australia and New Zealand, Norway, Canada, Iceland, etc.

    Whether these countries want or need our increased friendship, or backing, is quite another matter, however.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    taffys said:

    Bezzie mates - just not fuck-buddies.....

    That will not be enough. If we're going to be truly independent, then we may have to live without a good trade deal with the EU., because in order to get a good deal we will have to make concessions on immigration etc, as Richard has eloquently pointed out.

    We will need to build new alliances with countries not aligned to major power blocs, and many of these are probably our natural allies anyway.

    We will need to spend much more on defence, in my view, and in particular Marine defence.

    Not being an EU vassal via EU or EEA will have all sorts of implications, which will need to be explained.

    Our defence is governed by our relations with NATO, not the EU. None of that changes with Brexit.

    I cannot see that a good negotiator - which Cameron clearly is not - would have problems getting a good trade deal for the UK with the EU. They need access to our economy as much as we need access to theirs. We would (should) not be approaching the negotiating table as beggars, but as any other business looking at a proposed transaction.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,207
    MTimT said:

    This is from the right-wing NY Observer, so caveats about the source. But if this is indeed true, things do not look good for Hillaryworld:

    "Discussions with Intelligence Community officials have revealed that Ms. Clinton’s “unclassified” emails included Holy Grail items of American espionage such as the true names of Central Intelligence Agency intelligence officers serving overseas under cover. Worse, some of those exposed are serving under non-official cover. NOCs (see this for an explanation of their important role in espionage) are the pointy end of the CIA spear and they are always at risk of exposure – which is what Ms. Clinton’s emails have done.

    "Not only have these spies had their lives put in serious risk by this, it’s a clear violation of Federal law. The Intelligence Identities Protection Act of 1982, enacted due to the murder of the CIA’s station chief in Athens after his cover was blown by the left-wing media, makes it a Federal crime to divulge the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence if that person has not previous been publicly acknowledged to be working for our spy agencies."

    If that source gets supported, then it is about as bad as it can get for Hillary.

    Biden and Warren bets looking a whole lotta rosy....
  • taffys said:

    Bezzie mates - just not fuck-buddies.....

    That will not be enough. If we're going to be truly independent, then we may have to live without a good trade deal with the EU., because in order to get a good deal we will have to make concessions on immigration etc, as Richard has eloquently pointed out.

    We will need to build new alliances with countries not aligned to major power blocs, and many of these are probably our natural allies anyway.

    We will need to spend much more on defence, in my view, and in particular Marine defence.

    Not being an EU vassal via EU or EEA will have all sorts of implications, which will need to be explained.

    I've heard it said that Mexico has a free trade deal inc services with EU.
  • I can only assume that Donald Trump hit his twitter account before heading to bed after a particularly wild night out last night.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    This is from the right-wing NY Observer, so caveats about the source. But if this is indeed true, things do not look good for Hillaryworld:

    "Discussions with Intelligence Community officials have revealed that Ms. Clinton’s “unclassified” emails included Holy Grail items of American espionage such as the true names of Central Intelligence Agency intelligence officers serving overseas under cover. Worse, some of those exposed are serving under non-official cover. NOCs (see this for an explanation of their important role in espionage) are the pointy end of the CIA spear and they are always at risk of exposure – which is what Ms. Clinton’s emails have done.

    "Not only have these spies had their lives put in serious risk by this, it’s a clear violation of Federal law. The Intelligence Identities Protection Act of 1982, enacted due to the murder of the CIA’s station chief in Athens after his cover was blown by the left-wing media, makes it a Federal crime to divulge the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence if that person has not previous been publicly acknowledged to be working for our spy agencies."

    She's still available to sell at 2.04 on Betfair for next President. I'd be selling all the way out to 2.4, maybe even to 2.5.

    (Note in up to my eyeballs in this market, so may not be completely impartial.)
    Why would the SoS be given the real names of people like this, CIA operatives abroad? Why would these names be on any email server?
    Despite everything - what has Hillary done. Has she divulged the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence?
    I am not a Hillary fan BTW, but its a poor indictment of the USA that she is the most plausible candidate for president.
    I find it baffling that you have a hard time understanding why what she is alleged to have done in this article would be a problem for her either legally or politically.
  • Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump 14s14 seconds ago

    Based on the fraud committed by Senator Ted Cruz during the Iowa Caucus, either a new election should take place or Cruz results nullified.


    No comment...

    A nice bit of satiricism from the Dilbert cartoonist.

    http://blog.dilbert.com/post/138541628036/news-flash-cartoonist-gets-one-wrong

    As I was watching the final tally on the Republican side, I noticed that the result coincidentally matched what I would expect from a rigged election.

    I’m not saying the election was rigged. I have no evidence of such a thing, and I’m sure the good people of Iowa are honest and competent.

    But just for fun, watch me build my case for a rigged election.

    If you had the power to rig the vote in Iowa – either to hurt Trump, or help Rubio – what election result would do the best job?

    A Rubio first-place win would raise too many questions. Even a second-place finish would raise questions. But how about a strong third? Yes, that’s the ticket. You would engineer the vote so Rubio got the strongest possible third-place showing without overtaking Trump. And that is exactly how the vote tally went.

    As a hypothetical vote-rigger, you don’t care too much about Cruz winning Iowa because he will have trouble in New Hampshire where Rubio will get another shot at surprising.

    I’m not saying the vote in Iowa was rigged. I’m just saying the result is exactly the same as what one would expect from a well-engineered and rigged election. But that could be a coincidence.


    Of course this is America so...
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769

    I can only assume that Donald Trump hit his twitter account before heading to bed after a particularly wild night out last night.

    These tweets are all errm in the last hour. Nice of him to give Ted Cruz the free publicity though.
  • Pulpstar said:

    I can only assume that Donald Trump hit his twitter account before heading to bed after a particularly wild night out last night.

    These tweets are all errm in the last hour. Nice of him to give Ted Cruz the free publicity though.
    As I said, a particularly wild night out.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769
    MTimT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    This is from the right-wing NY Observer, so caveats about the source. But if this is indeed true, things do not look good for Hillaryworld:

    "Discussions with Intelligence Community officials have revealed that Ms. Clinton’s “unclassified” emails included Holy Grail items of American espionage such as the true names of Central Intelligence Agency intelligence officers serving overseas under cover. Worse, some of those exposed are serving under non-official cover. NOCs (see this for an explanation of their important role in espionage) are the pointy end of the CIA spear and they are always at risk of exposure – which is what Ms. Clinton’s emails have done.

    "Not only have these spies had their lives put in serious risk by this, it’s a clear violation of Federal law. The Intelligence Identities Protection Act of 1982, enacted due to the murder of the CIA’s station chief in Athens after his cover was blown by the left-wing media, makes it a Federal crime to divulge the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence if that person has not previous been publicly acknowledged to be working for our spy agencies."

    She's still available to sell at 2.04 on Betfair for next President. I'd be selling all the way out to 2.4, maybe even to 2.5.

    (Note in up to my eyeballs in this market, so may not be completely impartial.)
    Why would the SoS be given the real names of people like this, CIA operatives abroad? Why would these names be on any email server?
    Despite everything - what has Hillary done. Has she divulged the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence?
    I am not a Hillary fan BTW, but its a poor indictment of the USA that she is the most plausible candidate for president.
    I find it baffling that you have a hard time understanding why what she is alleged to have done in this article would be a problem for her either legally or politically.
    I think alot of Democrat voters would vote for Hilary even if she was charged tbh.
  • MTimT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    This is from the right-wing NY Observer, so caveats about the source. But if this is indeed true, things do not look good for Hillaryworld:

    "Discussions with Intelligence Community officials have revealed that Ms. Clinton’s “unclassified” emails included Holy Grail items of American espionage such as the true names of Central Intelligence Agency intelligence officers serving overseas under cover. Worse, some of those exposed are serving under non-official cover. NOCs (see this for an explanation of their important role in espionage) are the pointy end of the CIA spear and they are always at risk of exposure – which is what Ms. Clinton’s emails have done.

    "Not only have these spies had their lives put in serious risk by this, it’s a clear violation of Federal law. The Intelligence Identities Protection Act of 1982, enacted due to the murder of the CIA’s station chief in Athens after his cover was blown by the left-wing media, makes it a Federal crime to divulge the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence if that person has not previous been publicly acknowledged to be working for our spy agencies."

    She's still available to sell at 2.04 on Betfair for next President. I'd be selling all the way out to 2.4, maybe even to 2.5.

    (Note in up to my eyeballs in this market, so may not be completely impartial.)
    Why would the SoS be given the real names of people like this, CIA operatives abroad? Why would these names be on any email server?
    Despite everything - what has Hillary done. Has she divulged the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence?
    I am not a Hillary fan BTW, but its a poor indictment of the USA that she is the most plausible candidate for president.
    I find it baffling that you have a hard time understanding why what she is alleged to have done in this article would be a problem for her either legally or politically.
    Consider the author, not so baffling then is it?
  • Indigo said:

    But until someone tells the ECJ, which means changing its founding principles and the treaties it uses for guidance, we are all following the same path to ever closer union, regardless of the political niceties.

    They are telling the ECJ. That's what this legally-binding document is about. It will also be incorporated in the next treaty revision.
    The EEA or rather EFTA has its court as well.
  • PaulyPauly Posts: 897
    edited February 2016

    Indigo said:

    But until someone tells the ECJ, which means changing its founding principles and the treaties it uses for guidance, we are all following the same path to ever closer union, regardless of the political niceties.

    They are telling the ECJ. That's what this legally-binding document is about. It will also be incorporated in the next treaty revision.
    What happens to our deal if the treaty fails to be ratified by one or more member states?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,207


    Despite everything - what has Hillary done. Has she divulged the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence?

    Can you say she hasn't? Do we know what level of security her own private server had? Maybe she had a Mcafee top of the range product....

    Hard to believe that the Russians and the Chinese for example wouldn't be constantly trawling for a bit of stupidity such as this.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769
    edited February 2016
    Will Paul endorse Ted Cruz, or Rubio ?
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    Very amusing, including the Trump=Hitler thought experiment.
    LondonBob said:

    Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump 14s14 seconds ago

    Based on the fraud committed by Senator Ted Cruz during the Iowa Caucus, either a new election should take place or Cruz results nullified.


    No comment...

    A nice bit of satiricism from the Dilbert cartoonist.

    http://blog.dilbert.com/post/138541628036/news-flash-cartoonist-gets-one-wrong

    As I was watching the final tally on the Republican side, I noticed that the result coincidentally matched what I would expect from a rigged election.

    I’m not saying the election was rigged. I have no evidence of such a thing, and I’m sure the good people of Iowa are honest and competent.

    But just for fun, watch me build my case for a rigged election.

    If you had the power to rig the vote in Iowa – either to hurt Trump, or help Rubio – what election result would do the best job?

    A Rubio first-place win would raise too many questions. Even a second-place finish would raise questions. But how about a strong third? Yes, that’s the ticket. You would engineer the vote so Rubio got the strongest possible third-place showing without overtaking Trump. And that is exactly how the vote tally went.

    As a hypothetical vote-rigger, you don’t care too much about Cruz winning Iowa because he will have trouble in New Hampshire where Rubio will get another shot at surprising.

    I’m not saying the vote in Iowa was rigged. I’m just saying the result is exactly the same as what one would expect from a well-engineered and rigged election. But that could be a coincidence.


    Of course this is America so...
  • Pauly said:

    What happens to our deal if the treaty fails to be ratified by one or more member states?

    Dunno.

    But really, this line of argument is silly. After all, if we leave, we've got a much, much bigger example of the same problem, negotiating with exactly the same people, requiring the same 28 country unanimity, from a position of likely ill-will, and with no pre-agreed starting position.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    *Cameras which face the car and take an image of the driver would cure this issue. But then, they would be much more visible - and wouldn't generate as much revenue.

    In Scotland, this was a feature, not a bug. Images that showed faces clearly were deemed a threat to privacy (as i understand it), not because you might identify the driver, but because you might identify a passenger
  • PaulyPauly Posts: 897

    Pauly said:

    What happens to our deal if the treaty fails to be ratified by one or more member states?

    Dunno.

    But really, this line of argument is silly. After all, if we leave, we've got a much, much bigger example of the same problem, negotiating with exactly the same people, requiring the same 28 country unanimity, from a position of likely ill-will, and with no pre-agreed starting position.
    That is not necessarily the case if treaty ratification by law requires referenda in some member states - and the population use it as an opportunity to express eurosceptic sentiments without disagreeing with our proposals. Whereas the parliament's government is in favor.
  • Pauly said:

    What happens to our deal if the treaty fails to be ratified by one or more member states?

    Dunno.

    But really, this line of argument is silly. After all, if we leave, we've got a much, much bigger example of the same problem, negotiating with exactly the same people, requiring the same 28 country unanimity, from a position of likely ill-will, and with no pre-agreed starting position.
    Careful now - its not the done thing to talk the bleedin obvious to outers.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited February 2016
    Pauly said:

    That is not necessarily the case if treaty ratification by law requires referenda in some member states - and the population use it as an opportunity to express eurosceptic sentiments without disagreeing with our proposals. Whereas the parliament's government is in favor.

    In that case the proposed binding legal agreement would still be in place. Getting it fully incorporated in the treaties would mean waiting till the next time.

    BTW it's a common misconception that the treaties are not revised. They are sometimes revised with minor technical changes without triggering referendums etc.
  • eekeek Posts: 27,939
    MTimT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    This is from the right-wing NY Observer, so caveats about the source. But if this is indeed true, things do not look good for Hillaryworld:

    "Discussions with Intelligence Community officials have revealed that Ms. Clinton’s “unclassified” emails included Holy Grail items of American espionage such as the true names of Central Intelligence Agency intelligence officers serving overseas under cover. Worse, some of those exposed are serving under non-official cover. NOCs (see this for an explanation of their important role in espionage) are the pointy end of the CIA spear and they are always at risk of exposure – which is what Ms. Clinton’s emails have done.

    "Not only have these spies had their lives put in serious risk by this, it’s a clear violation of Federal law. The Intelligence Identities Protection Act of 1982, enacted due to the murder of the CIA’s station chief in Athens after his cover was blown by the left-wing media, makes it a Federal crime to divulge the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence if that person has not previous been publicly acknowledged to be working for our spy agencies."

    She's still available to sell at 2.04 on Betfair for next President. I'd be selling all the way out to 2.4, maybe even to 2.5.

    (Note in up to my eyeballs in this market, so may not be completely impartial.)
    Why would the SoS be given the real names of people like this, CIA operatives abroad? Why would these names be on any email server?
    Despite everything - what has Hillary done. Has she divulged the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence?
    I am not a Hillary fan BTW, but its a poor indictment of the USA that she is the most plausible candidate for president.
    I find it baffling that you have a hard time understanding why what she is alleged to have done in this article would be a problem for her either legally or politically.
    I find it baffling that you think the SoS has access to all information all the time.... The idea that the SoS would want to have the names of people working undercover is utterly implausible....
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''After all, if we leave, we've got a much, much bigger example of the same problem, negotiating with exactly the same people, requiring the same 28 country unanimity, from a position of likely ill-will, and with no pre-agreed starting position. ''

    True but we'd be bargaining from a much, much stronger position. Our own courts, our own border controls, our own laws, the supremacy of parliament, and outside all these ludicrous treaty obligations signed by the likes of Blair.

    In order to keep all these things, and not get steamrollered like Norway into accepting an EEA type arrangement, the trade deal might end up being pretty sh8t.

    So effing what. The EU is shrinking in terms of importance all the time.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769
    Checking through the issues (Rand Paul is NOT his Dad), Cruz and Paul are very closely aligned on taxes and guns, opposites on foreign policy (So Paul is to Rubio too though).

    Immigration is an interesting one - Paul looks to be more 'c' conservative and less libertarian than his Dad on that one. Not a million miles from Cruz.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,207
    Scott_P said:

    *Cameras which face the car and take an image of the driver would cure this issue. But then, they would be much more visible - and wouldn't generate as much revenue.

    In Scotland, this was a feature, not a bug. Images that showed faces clearly were deemed a threat to privacy (as i understand it), not because you might identify the driver, but because you might identify a passenger
    Given the extraordinary level of cctv coverage across the UK, hard to see how that one flies...
  • runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    'This is why Cameron's deal is so bad, it expressly provides the means for a new hegemon, the eurozone, to lord it over us, "objectively".'

    The FO used to argue that being in the EU would allow us to prevent that, of course. And while we had veto powers, that argument had some force.

    But then we gave them all away. So now that old chestnut of an argument is redundant. Instead we negotiate empty forms of words or hope people will be nice to us.


  • SeanT said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Indigo said:

    Oh... and there I was thinking you were interested in the future of your country, sorry, my mistake.

    You need to a get a sense of humour chip.

    Whether we are in or out of the EU, I will be optimistic about the future of this country, I care about it deeply.
    Amen.

    UK.
    Every single PM since we joined has ended up having European battles (except possibly Callaghan) and that is because, fundamentally, we simply have not addressed in an adult way the divide which exists between our conception of what Europe should be and the role of the nation state and the conception which is largely shared by most Continental European states of what Europe should be.

    Nothing in this proposed deal addresses that. And so, regardless of a Remain result, which is what I expect, the EU will continue to be an unresolved running sore in British politics and will flare up from time to time, almost regardless of which party is in power.

    The British political class has confused membership of international fora with having a strategy and using one's influence to achieve that. Appearance is all.

    Maybe the post-Suez criticism that Britain has not yet found a role has some truth in it......

    Every sovereign of Great Britain, and every king or queen of England, since the days of Athelstan, has wrestled with the same problem. We are an island offshore a continent, when that continent coalesces under a hegemon - Spain of the armada, Napoleonic France, Hitler's Germany - it generally means trouble for us.

    So we are best served by keeping Europe balanced and divided. This is why Cameron's deal is so bad, it expressly provides the means for a new hegemon, the eurozone, to lord it over us, "objectively".



    There is an argument (in which the Foreign Office have been very consistent) that we should be pro-Europe so we can be anti-Europe for precisely those reasons.

    However, time and time again we have been pro-Europe and got Europe being anti-UK rather than anti-Europe in the interests of the UK, so I have no idea why they cleave to this line other than the perks.

    I rather agree with Robert Smithson. This strategic position is now best served by the UK leading an outer ring of non-eurozone countries through a beefed-up UK dominated EFTA with ad-hoc alliances with EU states on an ad-hoc basis according to our national interest.
  • Trump come across as a donkey. But Republicans like them some donkey-brained conspiracy theories so now to hurt him.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    We are an island offshore a continent, when that continent coalesces under a hegemon - Spain of the armada, Napoleonic France, Hitler's Germany - it generally means trouble for us.

    That is true but the game is changing. Communications are getting better all the time and its getting easier and easier to develop relationships with countries far more amenable to Britain's outlook than Europe.

    In fifty years a new age jet will take you to Sydney in two hours, Jo'burg in 45 minutes. That's the future. Lets turn France into a flyover state.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''In the interest of fairness, the Spanish think the EU/UK deal is terrible - because Cameron got all he wanted.''

    In that respect, you have to feel a bit sorry for Dave. Between here and Brussels must be like between here and Mars.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,692
    taffys said:

    We are an island offshore a continent, when that continent coalesces under a hegemon - Spain of the armada, Napoleonic France, Hitler's Germany - it generally means trouble for us.

    That is true but the game is changing. Communications are getting better all the time and its getting easier and easier to develop relationships with countries far more amenable to Britain's outlook than Europe.

    In fifty years a new age jet will take you to Sydney in two hours, Jo'burg in 45 minutes. That's the future. Lets turn France into a flyover state.

    I hope you are right about the plane... It sounds really cool
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,179
    runnymede said:

    'This is why Cameron's deal is so bad, it expressly provides the means for a new hegemon, the eurozone, to lord it over us, "objectively".'

    The FO used to argue that being in the EU would allow us to prevent that, of course. And while we had veto powers, that argument had some force.

    But then we gave them all away. So now that old chestnut of an argument is redundant. Instead we negotiate empty forms of words or hope people will be nice to us.

    In the old days of that policy, Europe was the centre of world power (at least as far as it applied to us). If we want to apply the same principle to the modern era then we should be trying to finesse a multi-polar world where no single block, whether the US or the Eurozone or Russia or China dominates.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @realDonaldTrump: Ted Cruz didn't win Iowa, he stole it. That is why all of the polls were so wrong and why he got far more votes than anticipated. Bad!

    @realDonaldTrump: Based on the fraud committed by Senator Ted Cruz during the Iowa Caucus, either a new election should take place or Cruz results nullified.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,269

    Cyclefree said:

    Nothing in this proposed deal addresses that. And so, regardless of a Remain result, which is what I expect, the EU will continue to be an unresolved running sore in British politics and will flare up from time to time, almost regardless of which party is in power.

    It's not true that this proposed deal doesn't address that. It addresses it directly, with an explicit acknowledgement (I think for the first time in a formal EU document) of the reality that we are not going in the direction of closer union. In practical terms, that's an important move because it is likely to lead to an outer ring and an inner (Eurozone) ring, with closer union increasingly concentrated in the inner ring:

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-architecture-analysis-idUKKCN0VB1UT

    I really don't see how Cameron could conceivably have got more on this point.

    I disagree. We get nothing out of this acknowledgment (or statement of the bleeding obvious, as it might also be known). Laws can still be imposed on us without our consent and we can now be discriminated against. So being in that outer ring brings us no advantages beyond what we already have now and one pretty appalling disadvantage, an acceptance that we can be discriminated against. Why is that an advantage to us?

  • rcs1000 said:

    taffys said:

    We are an island offshore a continent, when that continent coalesces under a hegemon - Spain of the armada, Napoleonic France, Hitler's Germany - it generally means trouble for us.

    That is true but the game is changing. Communications are getting better all the time and its getting easier and easier to develop relationships with countries far more amenable to Britain's outlook than Europe.

    In fifty years a new age jet will take you to Sydney in two hours, Jo'burg in 45 minutes. That's the future. Lets turn France into a flyover state.

    I hope you are right about the plane... It sounds really cool
    I'm glad I will never fly at 5000mph. Any notion of what the ticket would cost? Its a preposterous notion to hang an anti French prejudice against.
    Just who are the countries where its easier to get a relationship better than our current allies? As far as I can see the Outer policy is to fall over themselves to create a whole list of new enemies.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    eek said:

    MTimT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MTimT said:

    This is from the right-wing NY Observer, so caveats about the source. But if this is indeed true, things do not look good for Hillaryworld:

    "Discussions with Intelligence Community officials have revealed that Ms. Clinton’s “unclassified” emails included Holy Grail items of American espionage such as the true names of Central Intelligence Agency intelligence officers serving overseas under cover. Worse, some of those exposed are serving under non-official cover. NOCs (see this for an explanation of their important role in espionage) are the pointy end of the CIA spear and they are always at risk of exposure – which is what Ms. Clinton’s emails have done.

    "Not only have these spies had their lives put in serious risk by this, it’s a clear violation of Federal law. The Intelligence Identities Protection Act of 1982, enacted due to the murder of the CIA’s station chief in Athens after his cover was blown by the left-wing media, makes it a Federal crime to divulge the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence if that person has not previous been publicly acknowledged to be working for our spy agencies."

    She's still available to sell at 2.04 on Betfair for next President. I'd be selling all the way out to 2.4, maybe even to 2.5.

    (Note in up to my eyeballs in this market, so may not be completely impartial.)
    Why would the SoS be given the real names of people like this, CIA operatives abroad? Why would these names be on any email server?
    Despite everything - what has Hillary done. Has she divulged the true identity of any covert operative serving U.S. intelligence?
    I am not a Hillary fan BTW, but its a poor indictment of the USA that she is the most plausible candidate for president.
    I find it baffling that you have a hard time understanding why what she is alleged to have done in this article would be a problem for her either legally or politically.
    I find it baffling that you think the SoS has access to all information all the time.... The idea that the SoS would want to have the names of people working undercover is utterly implausible....
    Are you missing the point that this report is about emails on her server - i.e. emails sent to her in her official capacity? And what does her wanting the names have to do with anything? If emails identifying the names were on her private server in her house, then she is responsible for that information being there.

    This is not 'access to all the information all the time', this is information alleged to have been sent to her and kept on her private server in her private home.
  • Pauly said:

    That is not necessarily the case if treaty ratification by law requires referenda in some member states - and the population use it as an opportunity to express eurosceptic sentiments without disagreeing with our proposals. Whereas the parliament's government is in favor.

    In that case the proposed binding legal agreement would still be in place. Getting it fully incorporated in the treaties would mean waiting till the next time.

    BTW it's a common misconception that the treaties are not revised. They are sometimes revised with minor technical changes without triggering referendums etc.
    I am sure John Major shared your confidence about the ECJ being unable to override or circumvent agreed 'legally binding' deals right up until the moment the ECJ did just that. You should go back and reread Major's rather sad and angry letter of September 1996 where he makes clear how badly he was duped.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    Pauly said:

    What happens to our deal if the treaty fails to be ratified by one or more member states?

    Dunno.

    But really, this line of argument is silly. After all, if we leave, we've got a much, much bigger example of the same problem, negotiating with exactly the same people, requiring the same 28 country unanimity, from a position of likely ill-will, and with no pre-agreed starting position.
    Except for the existing ENP program which details how the EU behaves in terms of trade and relationships with neighbouring countries, including the requirement to negotiate trade agreements on the most generous of terms.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 22,573
    >Lets turn France into a flyover state.

    Heh.
  • Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum all dropping out. Great news for Ted Cruz to mop up tea party and evangelical support.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769

    Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum all dropping out. Great news for Ted Cruz to mop up tea party and evangelical support.

    When did Santorum drop out ?
  • Pulpstar said:

    Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum all dropping out. Great news for Ted Cruz to mop up tea party and evangelical support.

    When did Santorum drop out ?
    Boo, I wanted to do a Santorum surge thread.
  • Pulpstar said:

    Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum all dropping out. Great news for Ted Cruz to mop up tea party and evangelical support.

    When did Santorum drop out ?
    Not official yet but he's just cancelled a bunch of events and is flying to DC.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474

    rcs1000 said:

    taffys said:

    We are an island offshore a continent, when that continent coalesces under a hegemon - Spain of the armada, Napoleonic France, Hitler's Germany - it generally means trouble for us.

    That is true but the game is changing. Communications are getting better all the time and its getting easier and easier to develop relationships with countries far more amenable to Britain's outlook than Europe.

    In fifty years a new age jet will take you to Sydney in two hours, Jo'burg in 45 minutes. That's the future. Lets turn France into a flyover state.

    I hope you are right about the plane... It sounds really cool
    I'm glad I will never fly at 5000mph. Any notion of what the ticket would cost? Its a preposterous notion to hang an anti French prejudice against.
    Just who are the countries where its easier to get a relationship better than our current allies? As far as I can see the Outer policy is to fall over themselves to create a whole list of new enemies.
    Presumably this fancy airplane will be powered by the fusion reactors we've been waiting for since the 1960s?

    As if any aircraft will be flying at 5000 mph. Military maybe, and probably unmanned, but passenger? No, not unless the self loading freight is wearing a G suit, and is willing to die in a quite spectacular way if anything goes wrong.
  • runnymede said:

    'This is why Cameron's deal is so bad, it expressly provides the means for a new hegemon, the eurozone, to lord it over us, "objectively".'

    The FO used to argue that being in the EU would allow us to prevent that, of course. And while we had veto powers, that argument had some force.

    But then we gave them all away. So now that old chestnut of an argument is redundant. Instead we negotiate empty forms of words or hope people will be nice to us.

    In the old days of that policy, Europe was the centre of world power (at least as far as it applied to us). If we want to apply the same principle to the modern era then we should be trying to finesse a multi-polar world where no single block, whether the US or the Eurozone or Russia or China dominates.
    So that mean we should not attach ourselves to any one but swing between them as needed. Leave it is then.
  • Good afternoon, everyone.

    F1: Renault's new car looks alright:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/formula1/35482377
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    runnymede said:

    'This is why Cameron's deal is so bad, it expressly provides the means for a new hegemon, the eurozone, to lord it over us, "objectively".'

    The FO used to argue that being in the EU would allow us to prevent that, of course. And while we had veto powers, that argument had some force.

    But then we gave them all away. So now that old chestnut of an argument is redundant. Instead we negotiate empty forms of words or hope people will be nice to us.

    In the old days of that policy, Europe was the centre of world power (at least as far as it applied to us). If we want to apply the same principle to the modern era then we should be trying to finesse a multi-polar world where no single block, whether the US or the Eurozone or Russia or China dominates.
    So that mean we should not attach ourselves to any one but swing between them as needed. Leave it is then.

    We have no eternal allies, and we have no perpetual enemies. Our interests are eternal and perpetual, and those interests it is our duty to follow

  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''Just who are the countries where its easier to get a relationship better than our current allies? As far as I can see the Outer policy is to fall over themselves to create a whole list of new enemies. ''

    Just as no in deal would ever please some Skeptics, so no out deal would ever please you.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    The biggest revelation at today’s PMQs was not that Cameron’s backbenchers are divided over Europe or that Labour backbenchers are phoning Dignitas for leadership advice.

    No, it’s that the people of Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales are too thick to handle democracy. At least, you could conclude that from what the supremely pompous Angus Robertson, the SNP’s Westminster leader, told the chamber today.
    http://order-order.com/2016/02/03/sketch-comrade-corbyn-unites-the-tories/
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sponsored/technology/technology-trends/12046493/hypersonic-jet.html

    OK hands up, its FOUR hours to Sydney.

    But this is by 2030, mind.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    taffys said:

    ''Just who are the countries where its easier to get a relationship better than our current allies? As far as I can see the Outer policy is to fall over themselves to create a whole list of new enemies. ''

    Just as no in deal would ever please some Skeptics, so no out deal would ever please you.

    Personally I just scroll past, his unique combination of punctuation-free cut and paste, and frothing incoherence, needs more effort to decode than I can be bothered to spend.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,179
    taffys said:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sponsored/technology/technology-trends/12046493/hypersonic-jet.html

    OK hands up, its FOUR hours to Sydney.

    But this is by 2030, mind.

    For some reason futurologists are obsessed with flying. In Back to the Future they thought we'd have flying cars in 2015 but still be using fax machines. The real revolution with the internet and mobile communications seems to have taken them by surprise.
  • Pulpstar said:

    Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum all dropping out. Great news for Ted Cruz to mop up tea party and evangelical support.

    When did Santorum drop out ?
    Boo, I wanted to do a Santorum surge thread.
    You can do a Santorum Dump thread instead
  • Pulpstar said:

    Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum all dropping out. Great news for Ted Cruz to mop up tea party and evangelical support.

    When did Santorum drop out ?
    Boo, I wanted to do a Santorum surge thread.
    You can do a Santorum Dump thread instead
    I like your thinking.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769

    taffys said:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sponsored/technology/technology-trends/12046493/hypersonic-jet.html

    OK hands up, its FOUR hours to Sydney.

    But this is by 2030, mind.

    For some reason futurologists are obsessed with flying. In Back to the Future they thought we'd have flying cars in 2015 but still be using fax machines. The real revolution with the internet and mobile communications seems to have taken them by surprise.
    Hey, Back to the future had video conferencing !

    Sadly the Cubs couldn't fulfil the prophecy.
  • Indigo said:

    taffys said:

    ''Just who are the countries where its easier to get a relationship better than our current allies? As far as I can see the Outer policy is to fall over themselves to create a whole list of new enemies. ''

    Just as no in deal would ever please some Skeptics, so no out deal would ever please you.

    Personally I just scroll past, his unique combination of punctuation-free cut and paste, and frothing incoherence, needs more effort to decode than I can be bothered to spend.
    Oh dear dedums then - too hard to try a bit of comprehension, better not to try thinking?. Your own very comment is meaningless - and no list of countries.
  • Pauly said:

    That is not necessarily the case if treaty ratification by law requires referenda in some member states - and the population use it as an opportunity to express eurosceptic sentiments without disagreeing with our proposals. Whereas the parliament's government is in favor.

    In that case the proposed binding legal agreement would still be in place. Getting it fully incorporated in the treaties would mean waiting till the next time.

    BTW it's a common misconception that the treaties are not revised. They are sometimes revised with minor technical changes without triggering referendums etc.
    I am sure John Major shared your confidence about the ECJ being unable to override or circumvent agreed 'legally binding' deals right up until the moment the ECJ did just that. You should go back and reread Major's rather sad and angry letter of September 1996 where he makes clear how badly he was duped.
    Have you a link to the Major letter?
    Would make interesting reading with the passage of time.

  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited February 2016
    Cyclefree said:

    I disagree. We get nothing out of this acknowledgment (or statement of the bleeding obvious, as it might also be known). Laws can still be imposed on us without our consent and we can now be discriminated against. So being in that outer ring brings us no advantages beyond what we already have now and one pretty appalling disadvantage, an acceptance that we can be discriminated against. Why is that an advantage to us?

    It depends what you mean by an advantage.

    In a formal sense, compared with what we could have negotiated before Blair and Brown threw away most of the vetos and other bargaining chips, it's poor. Compared with the immediate pre-negotiation situation, where ever-closer union was built into the treaties and we were theoretically at least all moving in the same direction, albeit at different speeds, it's an improvement.

    In a practical sense, and admittedly somewhat optimistically, I think this could mark the beginning of a change of approach. Rather than seeing us as deadweights impeding what they want to do (and everyone agrees the Eurozone has severe structural issues), it provides a route by which, without losing face, they can get on with their ever-closer union and not involve us. It will be so much easier for them to do so that I'm moderately confident that that is how it will work out.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,654

    Talking of successful betting strategies by me

    I don't want to DavidL the England cricket team, but I'm going to back England to win the World T20 tournament.

    You can get 8/1 with some bookies.

    I am trying not to feel hurt. ;-)
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    taffys said:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sponsored/technology/technology-trends/12046493/hypersonic-jet.html

    OK hands up, its FOUR hours to Sydney.

    But this is by 2030, mind.

    For some reason futurologists are obsessed with flying. In Back to the Future they thought we'd have flying cars in 2015 but still be using fax machines. The real revolution with the internet and mobile communications seems to have taken them by surprise.
    I have an old Osborne book of Computer published back in 1983 (I think) thought that in 30 years time everyone would have a palm sized pocket computer with a touch screen, voice recognition and connected over a radio network.

    The fools!
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    On topic, there is more to the Trump allegations than just bluster, it seems.

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/carson-other-campaigns-sabotaged-us-dirty-tricks-n509396
This discussion has been closed.