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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn drops to his lowest level yet amongst those who vote
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn drops to his lowest level yet amongst those who voted LAB last May
Every month for more than 40 years the pollster Ipsos MORI has carried out leader ratings. The question format has been the same simply asking people whether they are satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of the leaders.
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It's hard to see a way forward for Labour at the moment. They're nearly unelectable under Corbyn, and they can't get rid of him. Meanwhile, he's working hard to change the party so they're more unelectable.
To be elected, they're hoping on a massive economic crash and Conservative problems that would make the Major years appear Zen-like.
And it's always a problem when any organisation be it a political party or a business - sits back and relies on their competitors making a mistake.
The differences with the Blair opposition years up to 1997 are extreme.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-35432341
Not good. It'd be interesting to know what the problem with the engines is.
There is no effective opposition to the government of the day, and the sensible centre left in the PLP seem unwilling to do anything about the situation - despite clear evidence that a bunch (!) of them are going to get deselected on the new boundaries and a whole bunch more defeated at the polls.
They've probably only got a small window to do it before May, after which the story becomes the EU referendum, possible change of PM and government mid-term popularity giving Labour an artificial boost as was seen with Ed. If they've not moved by Conference then there will be a further strengthening of the membership vs the elected representatives.
The moderates need to understand what they stand for, then do something about it. As we saw in the leadership campaign though, the former of these is proving tricky as its not going to be a million miles away from where the government are already.
Which political party do you think has the best team of leaders to deal with the country's problems?
OA (18-34)
Con: 43 (32)
Lab: 16 (25)
Of course the older (55+) are in no doubt: 50 ; 11
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integrated_electric_propulsion
It sounds as if in certain circumstances there's a mismatch between generated power and demand for it! Adding another genny as a solution suggests the problem is quite fundamental, so either someone messed up in the design process or what was delivered in systems didn't match what was specified. I've never designed a military ship myself, but I'd guess that every ampere is accounted for in the design and for some reason they've found themselves a few short on this ship.
Among VI (Con VI on Con, Lab VI on Lab)
Which political party do you think is the most clear and united about what its policies should be?
Con: 64
Lab; 31
Obviously the best kid for the job, selected through a rigorous process of interviewing the leader's children ...
Has he ever done anything useful or productive to improve people's lives or support them that I have missed?
One assumes that the custodians of the various scholarships on offer at these prestigious institutions will now make it clear to the recipients that they will be expected to behave themselves or face defunding in future.
http://nippon.zaidan.info/seikabutsu/2003/00916/pdf/igtc2003tokyo_os203.pdf
The front page of the Times online there's a piece about parliament moving, snag is its to a building that was secretly put in some sort of Islamic trust so under Sharia Law drinking is forbidden. I wonder what Cameron will look like doing PMQs in a burka
Net support:
OA: -24
Scot: -17
Con: -57
Lab: +26
But then......
Get rid of all nuclear weapons in Britain even if other countries keep theirs.
Net support:
OA: -46
Scot: -52
Con: -68
Lab: -26
I guess that having everything electric rather than various different mechanical and hydraulic systems removes complexity and adds flexibility, if there's enough power to go around.
Mind you its about time that our MPs stopped drinking on the job.
On a serious note I'd like to know who sold the building and what was done with the money
What makes me even more positive about RAONIC is Murray's distractions. He is due to be a father in a matter of day's and his father-in-law collapsed in the stadium. As Murray admits he's struggled a little with his focus and there could be a key moment in this match where that proves costly. http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2016/jan/27/andy-murray-milos-raonic-australian-open-tennis-semi-finals
There will be a part of him that wants to be with his wife rather than slogging it out here for the chance to play Djokovic on Sunday. I think he's worth taking on.
There was probably an Islamic bank involved somewhere along the line, that sort of term would be standard in their terms and wasn't spotted until now they were thinking of using the building for something else.
One hopes the money found its way to the Treasury as an exceptional income line somewhere, to go towards the £1.6trn debt!
He's also very good at whinging about ship numbers, whilst he spent years cosying up to the Labour government responsible for the Elizabeth Class. What was he doing during this time?
A more interesting question, is have they managed to fit any propellors to the carrier that's been floated...
In betting terms, this suggests that the value lies in Cameron calling an early election (to get a mandate for Lords reform, inter alia) and for a further collapse in turnout.
I can understand why prospective donors might be upset if the college starts trashing the reputation of one of their biggest ever benefactors.
Would never have happened in Sir Zelman's day...
This may seem like a non-story but if MPs do actually move there the tabloids will be in a frenzy about Sharia Law in parliament, quite rightly. Everybody should and must be treated equally under the law.
In the sandpit we often see prototype cars driving around in the summer - combination of heat, humidity and the sandy environment conspire to kill cars in all sorts of unnusual ways.
It's absolutely ridiculous.
Always worth keeping an eye on these property deals though, Private Eye had a long running story on a building sold about a decade ago to a Carribean shell company clearly set up as a tax avoidance strategy.
With Cameron the best performing leader and toxic Farage polling as badly as Corbyn, perhaps the leader ratings will be a better predictor for the EURef than the EURef polls.
Popular Dave vs Toxic Farage, there's only going to be one outcome isn't there ?
If you own a building, you can impose whatever conditions you want when you are renting it.
So: you can say "you can rent my building for x thousand a month, but no live music, etc etc".
Someone, at somewhere down the line, entered into a sale-and-leaseback agreement without reading the small print.
Statism at it's worst, telling MPs they can't have a shandy because it breaks Sharia Law is utterly ridiculous.
HMRC sold their property estate to Mapeley who at the time were based in the Caymans.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2010/apr/08/revenue-tax-offshore-millions-avoidance
Yet more inept negotiation by one G Brown.
Btw your last line is exactly my point, more useless government.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3421597/Young-migrants-rampage-child-refugee-centre-Sweden-forcing-terrified-staff-lock-office-19-people-rampage-makeshift-weapons.html
Daily Mail also running a poor story in sense of "evidence" is nonsense, but it is true, that loads of migrants claiming to be kids aren't really kids. We know this is tactic has long been used, and (surprisingly to me at least) it is very very difficult to establish exact age. There was a case in the UK with a gang of Nigerians who had committed a number of violent crimes and the authorities wanted to deport, but all claimed to be kids. The court demanded testing and it was still very difficult to establish if they were minors when they were committing the crimes. I believe in the end the judge said they were adults and had them deported.
Jess Phillips's comments about the good people who frequent Broad Street in Birmingham on a Saturday night are beyond crass. I must admit, I have never had a night out in Birmingham, but I imagine it to be much like any other town or city. Lots of youngsters having too much to drink and probably having more fun than me.
I doubt that a regular Saturday night in Birmingham involves a gang of young men physically assaulting women en masse. Once again the left's retort to someone pointing out a possible consequence of an open door immigration policy is to say "yeah, but white men (and let's be clear, Phillips's comments were aimed at the white men of Birmingham) are just as bad".
I'm sure there's some technical term for this but I call it the Guardian's hierarchy of victims. And in this case, immigrants trump women.
If they breached the clause, you would be able to kick them out. Same here.
Doesn't seem to be anything dodgy (yet) about this one, apart from either no-one reading the lease agreement properly, or reading it and being fine because they didn't intend to open a bar there at the time.
That sort of terminology is quite usual for banks that operate in Islamic countries or have Islamic backing, they are also good at finding ways around that sort of thing if required. They already tie themselves in knots to avoid charging 'interest' on a loan.
There's a few hotels in Dubai that got caught by something similar, even a couple of proper 5* hotels in the business district that offer rooms for $100 a night because they don't have a licence. The hotel next door does though!
Its because it breaks the terms of the lease
Look, drinking is legal, drink driving is illegal.
OA - Lab VI - Scot
Build & arm: 52 - 36 - 46
Build & not arm: 28 - 34 - 32
Not build: 16 - 26 - 17
So not even Labour voters support him - and the only group to do are the 18-24 year olds....
I'd hope all academics would take that view.
What don't or should I know about him?
One of my tenants is a firm of solicitors, at Christmas they gave me a case of red wine.
Its called the law of unintended consequences, as I repeatedly say, govt is useless, just leave people alone.
When I last rented I signed both a "no pets" and "no smoking" clause on the property, neither of which is unusual whatsoever and both of which are legal. This is no different at all.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1254304/Brown-bully-Key-No10-figure-tells-pushed-shouted-PM.html
If - back in the early 1900s - you had rented a house in New Earswick, which was built by Joseph Rowntree, then your lease would also have prevented you from drinking on the premises. (Almost all the chocolate moguls were big on temperence.)
You can legally impose whatever conditions you like on a lease. If someone breaks the terms of the lease, they haven't committed a criminal act, but you would have cause to kick them out for breach of contract.
@alanferrier
Following a night's reflection, it's clear that my tweet was misleading, crudely presented and ill-advised. 1/4
In retrospect, I should have left dates on the tweets to make it clear that I was not describing a conversation. 2/4
I have made donations to both @jk_rowling's charity, Lumos, and to @WomenForIndy, 3/4
and will be taking a break from Twitter for a while to regain some much-needed perspective. 4/4
(Tho what he's doing giving money to 'Women for Indy'.....)
If they did, many of our leading universities would be in serious financial trouble.
That 25% are chuffed to bits.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-israel-security-snowden-idUSKCN0V70U7?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&utm_source=twitter