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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If all goes to Dave’s plan British voters will be filling in one of these in just 144 days
There’s something about seeing a ballot paper that makes an election very real and all the signs are that Cameron & Co are using their best endeavours to get it out of the way as soon as possible.
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Czech politicians have taken to social media in outrage following their president's suggestion that the prime minister could be "got rid of" by shooting him.
President Milos Zeman - who is known for his outspokenness - admitted in a radio interview in December he wished he could sack Prime Minister Bohuslav Sobotka. At a public meeting in southern Moravia on Monday, the president was asked how he would get rid of the prime minister, to which he replied: "The democratic option is one way, through free elections. The undemocratic option is a Kalashnikov."
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-news-from-elsewhere-35420550
Young @MattChorley's homework will be marked on 20 Feb (Times Red Box email)
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZu4vjEXEAI_oGV.png
I half agree with Matt Chorley. I think the deal is essentially done (indeed, a couple of EU figures have more or less said as much). But for maximum impact, I think we'll get one more bit of panto at the February meeting and a "grand" bargain struck at the April meeting, just in time for the local election cycle.
Mr. Slackbladder, aye, had a high elf sorceress in Skyrim I got to level 60 odd.
I do hope Elder Scrolls VI comes out soon. I'd guess 2017 is the very earliest it might.
A grudging "In" vote is coming. And the issue will not be settled at all, despite this talk of the referendum "deciding once and for all" or "lancing the boil".
Just trying to 'finish' Fallout. It's a game which I actually think is now 'too' big.
Yes, I realise that begs a further question.
REMAIN = Traitor Pig-Dogs!
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burr–Hamilton_duel
The Burr–Hamilton duel was a duel between two prominent American politicians: the former secretary of the treasury, Alexander Hamilton, and sitting vice president, Aaron Burr, on July 11, 1804.[1] At Weehawken, in New Jersey, Burr shot and mortally wounded Hamilton. Hamilton was carried to the home of William Bayard on the Manhattan shore, where he died the next day.
http://www.u.tv/News/2016/01/26/SAS-acted-disproportionately-in-Loughgall-52929
I thought at one point Jurgen Klopp (pbuh) was going to kill Alberto Moreno
Which is strange, as as atrractive as Ms Berry is, I wouldn't put her at the top of list.
On Fallout 4, I'm finding that I'm just wanting to 'finish' the main story now. I've lvl 57, so a bit overpowered, and i've ploughed a lot LOT of time into it now.
It was 02:45 here by the time it all finished, wasn't amused at getting about three hours' sleep!
Am I right in saying that the only Liverpool win you've seen live this season was against the 4th division side the other week?
And don't even think about trying to get Wembley tickets!! :P
My friend is a Wembley debenture holder and is getting me tickets for the final.
It's a big step up from Fallout 3, I think.
I ask because the level of don't knows at c.10% seem very low to me compared to the online polls. I know the online pollsters use a more 'politically engaged' panel. So that would suggest most people out there on the street have already made up their mind it's better to stay in. A bit like Cameron.
Really?
If you believe the phone polls, then the 7/1 Ladbrokes odds for Remain at 60-65% looks like value.
* Disclaimer: you never know.
I'd venture further into collective nouns but that's dangerous territory today it seems.
However it's way before the lagershed for further details on that subject.
Mr. F, alas, I agree with that prediction. We need a First Amendment type law. I'd be staggered if we got anywhere close to it.
George Eaton @georgeeaton
Neil Kinnock: Corbyn may have to resign or face leadership challenge if Labour fails to improve http://bit.ly/1ZSPhUj
Though generally pessimistic about Remain, even I would agree it's favourite if the referendum is in June.
Seriously though, great to see Liverpool at Wembley again, really hoping it's the derby game.
Edit: by which I mean become its leader
The snap referendum is then held only a few weeks later (say 6-8 weeks) leaving very little time for Leave to establish itself, whilst throughout the year Remain have been drip dripping out scare stories and endorsements according to their battlegrid and have secured a clear public narrative.
I think Leave need to compel May to put up or shut up by end Feb at the latest. One more month.
The migrant crisis won't get better in that time. It might be improving by mid-2017. At the moment, I think the migrant crisis is the only issue that could conceivably win it for Leave.
Bizarre advertorial in the New Statesman. Reminds me of the weird SEO junk ads that started to clog up Liberal Conspiracy when Sunny was trying to milk a bit of cash out of the blog's last legs (or to be more generous, get the hosting bill paid).
My all-time favourite was "British government to back health?", a piece of nonsense that starts ... then after all this, morphs into an advert for compression socks.
I also quite liked The Business of Holidays (which rather disturbingly used a twee discussion about Valentine's Day presents to spam a link for gifts for grandparents) and Taking Charge of Costs of Education, which decries the increasing cost of going to university, and which turns out to be the hook to advertise a credit card comparison service on.
For irony alone, one of left-wing "new media's" crowning moments. I feel sorry for all the trendy young lefty people who seek a career as a "professional writer" working on the internet - the new frontier of technology! - and find themselves having to type out this kind of tripe.
I have less than zero interest in football, and don't understand why others do.
I'm also writing a thread comparing Corbyn and the Corbynistas to King Théoden and The Rohirrim and the 2020 general election being their cavalry charge at The Battle of The Pelennor Fields.
That scene still gives me the goosebumps and possibly the horn as I have a thing for cavalry charges.
The Indyref question was the other way round though.
I'll bet Rachel Cohen is a member of the Jezbollah.
migrants as a bunch.. ..Yvette Cooper even tried to tie his remark into showing disrespect to victims of the Holocaust...Time for the Party to disband
One of the notable changes in the Roman army as the West declined was a reduction in the legion to just 1,000 men, and an emphasis instead on cavalry.
The Thessalians had great cavalry, and lost to the Macedonians. The Numidians had great cavalry, and lost to the Romans. The Romans had worthless cavalry, and conquered everyone for centuries.
Edited extra bit: the French had great cavalry at Agincourt, for that matter.
http://www.harvard-digital.co.uk/euro/pamphlet.htm#back
Libor trial latest: Jury finds 5 of 6 brokers NOT GUILTY. More soon.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/674647a6-c4f9-11e5-808f-8231cd71622e.html?ftcamp=published_links/rss/brussels/feed//product#axzz3ySTlWyGL
"Brussels took its first step towards reimposing border checks on Greece on Wednesday, announcing it had found “serious deficiencies” with Athens’ handling of the massive influx of refugees from the Middle East and giving it three months to fix its migrant system."
"Alongside the Schengen move, the European Commission has also recommended sending assistance to Macedonia so it can shore up its border with Greece — the main crossing point for refugees moving north into Germany and points north."
Half of American say they'd be less likely to support an atheist for president https://t.co/yePSRFWZPE https://t.co/S1frxH7lj3
https://twitter.com/JamieRoss7/status/692340184390733824
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/pmqs/12124618/PMQs-live-Jeremy-Corbyn-and-David-Cameron-go-head-to-head-on-January-27.html
Admittedly, that was running away from the enemy.
Edited extra bit: Alexander had one in his very early kingship. I forget the place, unfortunately (it's in Dodge's biography).
Alexander had just become king and the hegemony over Greece, Epirus etc that his father had established needed to be put back together, as the 'allies' had chosen to try and stop being submissive to Macedon upon Philip's death.
Alexander was campaigning somewhere or other (maybe Illyria/Epirus?), and found himself in an impossible position. He couldn't retreat, but his enemies had huge numbers of skirmishers and any advance seemed impossible.
He adopted an ingenious but very odd strategem. Retiring to a safe distance, he had the army go through drills. The sarissa is a tricky spear to use, being around 16 feet long [at this time], so there are lots of manoeuvres that need to be learnt. He had the army go through that, then practice wheeling, turning, etc. For hours.
The enemy watched, then grew bored, then half of them nodded off. And then Alexander suddenly had the whole army charge.
The enemy were crushed. Naturally.
http://www.itv.com/news/update/2013-01-23/the-1975-european-referendum-in-pictures/
I've been thinking about problems with your operating margin idea. There are two possible isses:
1. Genuinely cross border transactions: If I sign up as an Amazon Web Services customer, where my contract is with Amazon Inc (and the server I'm renting is in the US), does that count as part of UK sales, or do we just add up the consolidated sales of UK limited companies as part of the Amazon group?
2. Companies where there are lots of different margin profiles (i.e. conglomerates). If I have a widget distribution business in the US earning me margins on 2% on massive volumes, and I have a software business in the UK with margins of 25%, leading to an overall group margin of 3%, then I'll just pay tax at 3% on my UK software business. It will encourage companies to bulk up low margin businesses to make it hard to catch them.
Do you believe that the United Kingdom of Great Britain is:
[ ] Wonderful, and I'd like to stay in the EU please
[ ] Utterly shit, and I'd like to make it worse by leaving the EU
A jury has acquitted five out of six brokers in the trial over the rigging of the global interbank #Libor rate
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/09/11/yes-we-khan-sadiq-khan-wins-the-london-mayoral-nomination-59-to-41/
But, if the cavalry have managed to outflank the infantry, or catch them unawares, then the carnage is terrible on the other side, eg the charge of the Heavy Brigade at Waterloo inflicted thousands of casualties on the French infantry.
As it happens, some notable Roman commanders like Claudius Marcellus, Belisarius and Pompey made their names as cavalry fighters.
Edited extra bit: Mr. F, Edward II was not a great leader of men.
Averages of the 7 Swedish opinion polls conducted so far this year:
Socialists 23.9%
Moderate 23.1%
Sweden Democrats 21.5%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedish_general_election,_2018#Poll_results