Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s Trident review. Winning a battle but the losing th

2

Comments

  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    A good article on the political impact of long-term demographic change in the US:

    http://www.vox.com/2016/1/14/10761208/democrats-doomed

    Executive summary: It ain't quite as simple as you think

    Before the 2015 GE many people were saying the Tories couldn't win a majority because of unfavourable demographics.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,464

    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    @MaxPB

    Pulpstar said:


    We'd be like Canada and Australia. In terrible danger, I guess.

    "Neither Canada nor Australia are a globally relevant defence power."

    Why the f*ck did we get Nuclear weapons in the first place ! Great idea that was...
    Because we couldn't trust the Americans, and feared the Soviets.
    It seems to have slung an expensive albatross around our necks though !
    When states like Pakistan and North Korea have the weapons, not to mention Russia, it's sensible for us to do so too.
    I also wouldn't be surprised to see either Qatar or Saudi Arabia secretly acquire the bomb and neither are to be trusted.
    Qatar has about 250,000 citizens and no nuclear power plants. It's also not a very big place. Building a nuclear facility without anybody noticing would be tricky.

    Saudi Arabia - on the other hand - which has a nasty repressive government, funds Wahabbi groups around the world, has tens of millions of citizens, and has tonnes of space, would be both much more likely and much more serious.
    A Saudi bomb becomes ever more likely if they doubt the seriousness of international commitment to effectively monitoring/dissuading Iran from the same. (Iran have their own problems, including - as they would see it - deterring any threat of American or Israeli aggression, and the fact they border nuclear-armed Pakistan and not so long ago came close to a "hot" war against them. Iran is therefore strongly motivated to continue to pursue the bomb regardless of the relationship with Saudi Arabia. For the Saudis, an Iranian bomb is a red line.)

    Would be interesting to know TimT's views as he is probably the most expert commentator on here.
    I think I'm right in saying that the only country to have developed nuclear weapons not in response to the threat of an enemy possessing them, is South Africa. It's also the only country to have unilaterally disarmed (if we exclude ex-Soviet states other than Russia). The chain-reaction of proliferation is very difficult to prevent when countries feel their existence at risk and alliances with a nuclear power unreliable.
  • Options
    MaxPB said:

    watford30 said:

    MaxPB said:

    This might enrage Mr Llama but why don't we look at a nuclear deterrent delivered via the RAF.

    We just don't have the air capability for second strike response that Trident gives us. Having a continuous deterrent is one of the few advantages of Trident. Keeping planes in the air safe from being attacked isn't easy and having them on the ground doesn't give us the ability to strike back since they can be destroyed.
    And the RAF don't have any aircraft capable of carrying bomb loads the distances required. Developing such would waste billions, probably more than new submarines if the MoD's record is anything to go by.
    Yes, we would need to buy into the US B2 replacement programme or develop our own intercontinental nuclear bomber. Neither would be very cheap.
    We could, of course, implant today a bunch of nuclear warheads in secret concrete coffins in the desired target list - to be detonated by encoded email instruction. Mwaaaahahahaha. Only joking. Bit a lot cheaper and more effective than building our own B2.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,245

    taffys said:

    Great time to buy.

    It is. People are only thinking about the negative effects of plunging energy prices. It takes much longer for the benefits to flow through.

    Rather more to the global economic situation than that surely?

    Debt is running at colossal levels globally, where is demand going to come from?
    Non government debt to GDP has shrunk in most developed countries.

    See: http://www.thstailwinds.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/debt-delusion-pdf.pdf

    There's a couple of points here that are really important:

    1. Corporate debt has increased, but net debt has largely declined. Why? Because companies are running with higher gross cash balances to lower refinancing risk.

    2. The creation of bad banks creates double counting.

    3. Bank debt has fallen quite sharply in the last eight years, even though nominal GDP has rise.
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Insert the missing name of the Prime Minister:

    @ftbrussels [ ] rebuked for ‘demonising’ EU on.ft.com/1U0g0fP
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    On the previous point of a non-CASD, looking at an air delivery system. Not only would we have to negotiate with the Americans for a new type of missile, we would also have to buy their planes. The cost would be higher and it would be even less independent than what we have now.

    Obviously a truly independent programme would be very costly and we just don't have the infrastructure for nuclear weapons development in the UK, but moving to an air deterrent would be prohibitively costly and would require opening up the Polaris agreement, which is not something we should be doing with a hostile POTUS like Obama in office.
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Sorry for braking one of the newest PB tradition and not live commenting on the GOP last night, unfortunately you're not allowed the luxury when you have a severe case of gastroenteritis.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,237

    I think I'm right in saying that the only country to have developed nuclear weapons not in response to the threat of an enemy possessing them, is South Africa. It's also the only country to have unilaterally disarmed (if we exclude ex-Soviet states other than Russia). The chain-reaction of proliferation is very difficult to prevent when countries feel their existence at risk and alliances with a nuclear power unreliable.

    Two points on this general discussion:

    *) One of those two ex-Soviet states that got rid of their nukes was Ukraine. That ended well for them, didn't it? The Budapest Memorandum - and the west's craven inability to uphold what they signed - has set back non-proliferation for years.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum_on_Security_Assurances

    *) There have been lots of allegations of cooperation between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan with the latter's nuclear weapons program, including of deals whereby Saudi would receive Pakistani nukes.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_program_of_Saudi_Arabia#Pakistan.27s_involvement
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    @MaxPB

    Pulpstar said:


    We'd be like Canada and Australia. In terrible danger, I guess.

    "Neither Canada nor Australia are a globally relevant defence power."

    Why the f*ck did we get Nuclear weapons in the first place ! Great idea that was...
    Because we couldn't trust the Americans, and feared the Soviets.
    It seems to have slung an expensive albatross around our necks though !
    When states like Pakistan and North Korea have the weapons, not to mention Russia, it's sensible for us to do so too.
    I also wouldn't be surprised to see either Qatar or Saudi Arabia secretly acquire the bomb and neither are to be trusted.
    Qatar has about 250,000 citizens and no nuclear power plants. It's also not a very big place. Building a nuclear facility without anybody noticing would be tricky.

    Saudi Arabia - on the other hand - which has a nasty repressive government, funds Wahabbi groups around the world, has tens of millions of citizens, and has tonnes of space, would be both much more likely and much more serious.
    Which is why I said acquire rather than develop. Though you are correct that Saudi Arabia pose a much bigger threat than Qatar. If Iran does end up developing the bomb then who knows what happens in the region. The Americans might even be stupid enough to sanction a Saudi weapons programme to oppose Iran.
    The Saudis bankrolled the Pakistani nuclear weapons program, of course with the condition of access to their nuclear weapons arsenal.
    So the Saudis already have access to nukes, for a price.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,036
    Speedy said:

    Sorry for braking one of the newest PB tradition and not live commenting on the GOP last night, unfortunately you're not allowed the luxury when you have a severe case of gastroenteritis.

    Damn !

    Seems like the Trump juggernaut rolls on anyway.
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Pulpstar said:

    Speedy said:

    Sorry for braking one of the newest PB tradition and not live commenting on the GOP last night, unfortunately you're not allowed the luxury when you have a severe case of gastroenteritis.

    Damn !

    Seems like the Trump juggernaut rolls on anyway.
    I'll be the judge on that (along with Iowa voters), off to watch the debate on youtube and see how they all did.
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    @MrSpeedy – can’t say I missed the live commentary :lol: - but hope you get well soon.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,543
    rcs1000 said:

    taffys said:

    Great time to buy.

    It is. People are only thinking about the negative effects of plunging energy prices. It takes much longer for the benefits to flow through.

    Rather more to the global economic situation than that surely?

    Debt is running at colossal levels globally, where is demand going to come from?
    Non government debt to GDP has shrunk in most developed countries.

    See: http://www.thstailwinds.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/debt-delusion-pdf.pdf

    There's a couple of points here that are really important:

    1. Corporate debt has increased, but net debt has largely declined. Why? Because companies are running with higher gross cash balances to lower refinancing risk.

    2. The creation of bad banks creates double counting.

    3. Bank debt has fallen quite sharply in the last eight years, even though nominal GDP has rise.
    My 12 year old correctly anticipated that the release of the team of the year on FIFA16 would oversupply the market with an adverse impact on prices given the quantity of money in the game is relatively fixed, liquidated his team, called the bottom of the market correctly on Tuesday and bought the same squad back with over £1.5m profit in just over a week.

    Am I wasting my time working? I increasingly feel so.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,245
    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    taffys said:

    Great time to buy.

    It is. People are only thinking about the negative effects of plunging energy prices. It takes much longer for the benefits to flow through.

    Rather more to the global economic situation than that surely?

    Debt is running at colossal levels globally, where is demand going to come from?
    Non government debt to GDP has shrunk in most developed countries.

    See: http://www.thstailwinds.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/debt-delusion-pdf.pdf

    There's a couple of points here that are really important:

    1. Corporate debt has increased, but net debt has largely declined. Why? Because companies are running with higher gross cash balances to lower refinancing risk.

    2. The creation of bad banks creates double counting.

    3. Bank debt has fallen quite sharply in the last eight years, even though nominal GDP has rise.
    My 12 year old correctly anticipated that the release of the team of the year on FIFA16 would oversupply the market with an adverse impact on prices given the quantity of money in the game is relatively fixed, liquidated his team, called the bottom of the market correctly on Tuesday and bought the same squad back with over £1.5m profit in just over a week.

    Am I wasting my time working? I increasingly feel so.
    Does he have any advice on this current stock market?
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,543
    rcs1000 said:

    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    taffys said:

    Great time to buy.

    It is. People are only thinking about the negative effects of plunging energy prices. It takes much longer for the benefits to flow through.

    Rather more to the global economic situation than that surely?

    Debt is running at colossal levels globally, where is demand going to come from?
    Non government debt to GDP has shrunk in most developed countries.

    See: http://www.thstailwinds.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/debt-delusion-pdf.pdf

    There's a couple of points here that are really important:

    1. Corporate debt has increased, but net debt has largely declined. Why? Because companies are running with higher gross cash balances to lower refinancing risk.

    2. The creation of bad banks creates double counting.

    3. Bank debt has fallen quite sharply in the last eight years, even though nominal GDP has rise.
    My 12 year old correctly anticipated that the release of the team of the year on FIFA16 would oversupply the market with an adverse impact on prices given the quantity of money in the game is relatively fixed, liquidated his team, called the bottom of the market correctly on Tuesday and bought the same squad back with over £1.5m profit in just over a week.

    Am I wasting my time working? I increasingly feel so.
    Does he have any advice on this current stock market?
    I am seriously tempted to get him working on it. He has the considerable advantage of not yet having had any classes in economics yet.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    taffys said:

    Great time to buy.

    It is. People are only thinking about the negative effects of plunging energy prices. It takes much longer for the benefits to flow through.

    Rather more to the global economic situation than that surely?

    Debt is running at colossal levels globally, where is demand going to come from?
    Non government debt to GDP has shrunk in most developed countries.

    See: http://www.thstailwinds.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/debt-delusion-pdf.pdf

    There's a couple of points here that are really important:

    1. Corporate debt has increased, but net debt has largely declined. Why? Because companies are running with higher gross cash balances to lower refinancing risk.

    2. The creation of bad banks creates double counting.

    3. Bank debt has fallen quite sharply in the last eight years, even though nominal GDP has rise.
    My 12 year old correctly anticipated that the release of the team of the year on FIFA16 would oversupply the market with an adverse impact on prices given the quantity of money in the game is relatively fixed, liquidated his team, called the bottom of the market correctly on Tuesday and bought the same squad back with over £1.5m profit in just over a week.

    Am I wasting my time working? I increasingly feel so.
    It's a shame it's not real money!
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,543
    MaxPB said:

    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    taffys said:

    Great time to buy.

    It is. People are only thinking about the negative effects of plunging energy prices. It takes much longer for the benefits to flow through.

    Rather more to the global economic situation than that surely?

    Debt is running at colossal levels globally, where is demand going to come from?
    Non government debt to GDP has shrunk in most developed countries.

    See: http://www.thstailwinds.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/debt-delusion-pdf.pdf

    There's a couple of points here that are really important:

    1. Corporate debt has increased, but net debt has largely declined. Why? Because companies are running with higher gross cash balances to lower refinancing risk.

    2. The creation of bad banks creates double counting.

    3. Bank debt has fallen quite sharply in the last eight years, even though nominal GDP has rise.
    My 12 year old correctly anticipated that the release of the team of the year on FIFA16 would oversupply the market with an adverse impact on prices given the quantity of money in the game is relatively fixed, liquidated his team, called the bottom of the market correctly on Tuesday and bought the same squad back with over £1.5m profit in just over a week.

    Am I wasting my time working? I increasingly feel so.
    It's a shame it's not real money!
    If it was I think I would be watching the next 3 days of the Test in SA.
  • Options
    Would it be fair to say that Donald Trump - in marked contrast to other 'outsider' and some 'insider' candidates both in the current contest and in previous contests - has actually got better and better in successive debates?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @MichaelLCrick: Livingstone says Thornberry can run Lab defence review solo, as they agree on Trident. Lab source says Ken never ran defence review anyway
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Scott_P said:

    @MichaelLCrick: Livingstone says Thornberry can run Lab defence review solo, as they agree on Trident. Lab source says Ken never ran defence review anyway

    Labour HQ pedantry - Livingstone was appointed co-chair of Labour's defence review.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,106

    Would it be fair to say that Donald Trump - in marked contrast to other 'outsider' and some 'insider' candidates both in the current contest and in previous contests - has actually got better and better in successive debates?

    The BBC summary seemed to think so, at least that he had improved as a debater, and given I doubt they are a fan of his, I presume it must be so.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,106
    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    Even as a joke it strikes me as pompous and arrogant.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    I think we know enough about Thornberry to make a judgement that while she probably wasn't being serious she was trying to belittle the opponent's military career.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,464
    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    You could do it on the basis of "do you realise how ridiculous it is" and with a degree of humility. Whether that was how Thornberry did it is only something that those there can know.
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,739
    Patrick said:

    MaxPB said:

    watford30 said:

    MaxPB said:

    This might enrage Mr Llama but why don't we look at a nuclear deterrent delivered via the RAF.

    We just don't have the air capability for second strike response that Trident gives us. Having a continuous deterrent is one of the few advantages of Trident. Keeping planes in the air safe from being attacked isn't easy and having them on the ground doesn't give us the ability to strike back since they can be destroyed.
    And the RAF don't have any aircraft capable of carrying bomb loads the distances required. Developing such would waste billions, probably more than new submarines if the MoD's record is anything to go by.
    Yes, we would need to buy into the US B2 replacement programme or develop our own intercontinental nuclear bomber. Neither would be very cheap.
    We could, of course, implant today a bunch of nuclear warheads in secret concrete coffins in the desired target list - to be detonated by encoded email instruction. Mwaaaahahahaha. Only joking. Bit a lot cheaper and more effective than building our own B2.
    Embassies, diplomatic bags?
    Or is that cheating - and what if it gets hacked?
  • Options
    geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,189

    Would it be fair to say that Donald Trump - in marked contrast to other 'outsider' and some 'insider' candidates both in the current contest and in previous contests - has actually got better and better in successive debates?

    Mark Steyn certainly thinks he's pretty good at local hustings.
    http://www.steynonline.com/7408/notes-on-a-phenomenon
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Labour HQ pedantry - Livingstone was appointed co-chair of Labour's defence review.

    That was yesterday's history.

    Today's history is that Ken was never part of the defence review
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,106
    AndyJS said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    Even as a joke it strikes me as pompous and arrogant.
    Well, yes. Doesn't mean it couldn't be funny, if delivered right, even then.It's not beyond the pale, as a joke. But she may not have the charisma to pull it off (never met her of course, but she's a politician not a comedian of course, so I doubt she does)
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,229
    DavidL said:

    I feel Donald Brind's pain. I don't think Jeremy Corbyn can sack anyone else in the short term. Ken Livingstone's retrospective non-involvement is as much as can practically be done now.

    Given that she and Ken apparently agree on everything his involvement is an unnecessary and pointless aggravation that isn't going to change anything.

    I know Labour is in a very sad place but the idea that Des Browne is "more credible" than those currently holding the shadow post, even if it is true is deeply depressing.

    In Scotland we have seen what happens when one of the natural governing parties self-destructs and leaves a government with no effective opposition. It is not pretty and does not lead to good governance. The temptation to simply laugh at the depth of the hole that Corbyn is still frantically digging should be resisted. It is not good for the country.
    David, you seriously think the UK is any different to Scotland, it is indeed worse and equivalent to having a fox in a chicken coop. In my opinion the UK position is much worse, at least the SNP lean to the centre.
  • Options
    BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    MaxPB said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    I think we know enough about Thornberry to make a judgement that while she probably wasn't being serious she was trying to belittle the opponent's military career.
    I think you have hit the nail on the head there.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,543
    malcolmg said:

    DavidL said:

    I feel Donald Brind's pain. I don't think Jeremy Corbyn can sack anyone else in the short term. Ken Livingstone's retrospective non-involvement is as much as can practically be done now.

    Given that she and Ken apparently agree on everything his involvement is an unnecessary and pointless aggravation that isn't going to change anything.

    I know Labour is in a very sad place but the idea that Des Browne is "more credible" than those currently holding the shadow post, even if it is true is deeply depressing.

    In Scotland we have seen what happens when one of the natural governing parties self-destructs and leaves a government with no effective opposition. It is not pretty and does not lead to good governance. The temptation to simply laugh at the depth of the hole that Corbyn is still frantically digging should be resisted. It is not good for the country.
    David, you seriously think the UK is any different to Scotland, it is indeed worse and equivalent to having a fox in a chicken coop. In my opinion the UK position is much worse, at least the SNP lean to the centre.
    No I think the problem is the same in both countries. Neither administration has any effective opposition and it doesn't do either of them any favours.
  • Options
    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    Herself has come home earlier than expected and caught me in the act - of listening to "Blondie, Parallel Lines". A difficult evening awaits.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Speedy said:

    Sorry for braking one of the newest PB tradition and not live commenting on the GOP last night, unfortunately you're not allowed the luxury when you have a severe case of gastroenteritis.

    There are so many jokes that could lead me to make.

    But I will restrain myself out of common decency (and the fact I am cooking breakfast)
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Scott_P said:

    Labour HQ pedantry - Livingstone was appointed co-chair of Labour's defence review.

    That was yesterday's history.

    Today's history is that Ken was never part of the defence review
    Been out for most of the day – should have guessed someone was sacked during the interim.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,543

    Herself has come home earlier than expected and caught me in the act - of listening to "Blondie, Parallel Lines". A difficult evening awaits.

    Sexiest pop star ever. As they say on the BBC occasionally voting on this matter has now closed.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    If he was "gobsmacked" as Don claims then it clearly wasn't delivered (or not delivered effectively) as a joke.
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Scott_P said:

    @MichaelLCrick: Livingstone says Thornberry can run Lab defence review solo, as they agree on Trident. Lab source says Ken never ran defence review anyway

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/12101832/We-already-know-exactly-why-Labour-lost.-But-nobody-in-the-party-cares.html

    "Actually, there may be some value in the Beckett report after all. It could be retained, but with the date on the front cover amended to 8 May, 2020. Then when Labour loses again, it can simply be reissued with a minimum of fuss.

    In fact, “Why Labour Lost” could become a regular publication. Awaited with the same anticipation in the political world as a publication like Wisden, or the new edition of the Oxford English dictionary. “So what’s your favourite edition of “Why Labour Lost”?”. “Hard one. Have to say, I have a special fondness for the bound, Lisa Nandy, 2025 version."

    We know why Labour lost. Labour lost because that’s just what Labour does these days."
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,543
    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    If he was "gobsmacked" as Don claims then it clearly wasn't delivered (or not delivered effectively) as a joke.
    Someone once thought leaving a note saying there was no money left in the Treasury was a joke. In fairness it wasn't the worse.

    I find the fact that her "understanding" of the military seems to have been gleaned by pursuing dishonest claims of abuse on behalf of a firm that was willing to destroy inconvenient evidence rather more of a concern.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,106
    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    If he was "gobsmacked" as Don claims then it clearly wasn't delivered (or not delivered effectively) as a joke.
    I'm not defending her, I have no reason to do so, I can just see how it could have been funny, not that it was in this instance. But as far as nastiness goes, it's pretty tame. Strikes more as someone who thought they were being really clever but were not.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,229
    DavidL said:

    malcolmg said:

    DavidL said:

    I feel Donald Brind's pain. I don't think Jeremy Corbyn can sack anyone else in the short term. Ken Livingstone's retrospective non-involvement is as much as can practically be done now.

    Given that she and Ken apparently agree on everything his involvement is an unnecessary and pointless aggravation that isn't going to change anything.

    I know Labour is in a very sad place but the idea that Des Browne is "more credible" than those currently holding the shadow post, even if it is true is deeply depressing.

    In Scotland we have seen what happens when one of the natural governing parties self-destructs and leaves a government with no effective opposition. It is not pretty and does not lead to good governance. The temptation to simply laugh at the depth of the hole that Corbyn is still frantically digging should be resisted. It is not good for the country.
    David, you seriously think the UK is any different to Scotland, it is indeed worse and equivalent to having a fox in a chicken coop. In my opinion the UK position is much worse, at least the SNP lean to the centre.
    No I think the problem is the same in both countries. Neither administration has any effective opposition and it doesn't do either of them any favours.
    We are in agreement then
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,464
    TGOHF said:

    Scott_P said:

    @MichaelLCrick: Livingstone says Thornberry can run Lab defence review solo, as they agree on Trident. Lab source says Ken never ran defence review anyway

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/12101832/We-already-know-exactly-why-Labour-lost.-But-nobody-in-the-party-cares.html

    "Actually, there may be some value in the Beckett report after all. It could be retained, but with the date on the front cover amended to 8 May, 2020. Then when Labour loses again, it can simply be reissued with a minimum of fuss.

    In fact, “Why Labour Lost” could become a regular publication. Awaited with the same anticipation in the political world as a publication like Wisden, or the new edition of the Oxford English dictionary. “So what’s your favourite edition of “Why Labour Lost”?”. “Hard one. Have to say, I have a special fondness for the bound, Lisa Nandy, 2025 version."

    We know why Labour lost. Labour lost because that’s just what Labour does these days."
    You could have made a similar joke about the Liberals in 1922. Turns out it would have been accurate.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,031
    Good afternoon, everyone.

    I believe Swiss Des is the same chap who 'expressed a degree of regret that can be equated to an apology'. I think his view is incredible, if he thinks Trident was right in 2007 and wrong in 2015. Whilst the geopolitical scene has changed, a lot of it is the same.

    Not only that, nukes are a long-term insurance policy. If a threat suddenly arises you can't order them for next day delivery from Amazon Prime.

    On Thornberry: if I were maintaining an active space cannon list, she may well make the top 10.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,229

    Herself has come home earlier than expected and caught me in the act - of listening to "Blondie, Parallel Lines". A difficult evening awaits.

    Few halfs needed Hurst, dull the bollocking
  • Options
    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Blondie..couldn't sing... but who cared..
  • Options
    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    edited January 2016
    When working with the Military..mainly US..UK..and the IDF I have always been given an "Honorary Officers Rank" usually Captain or sometimes Major..just to facilitate easy movement in the area of operation..but if a Corporal or any other rank told me to do something in an action area then I would just simply do it....and never ever tell them what to do..They all outranked me..
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    When working with the Military..mainly US..UK..and the IDF I have always been given an "Honorary Officers Rank" usually Captain or sometimes Major..just to facilitate easy movement in the area of operation..but if a Corporal or any other rank told me to do something in an action area then I would just simply do it....and never ever tell them what to do..They all outranked me..

    When I worked at the Edinburgh Military Tattoo, the boss ate in the Officer's Mess, but he would never tell anyone he was an officer
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013
    edited January 2016
    DavidL said:

    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    If he was "gobsmacked" as Don claims then it clearly wasn't delivered (or not delivered effectively) as a joke.
    Someone once thought leaving a note saying there was no money left in the Treasury was a joke. In fairness it wasn't the worse.

    I find the fact that her "understanding" of the military seems to have been gleaned by pursuing dishonest claims of abuse on behalf of a firm that was willing to destroy inconvenient evidence rather more of a concern.
    When you add together all the stories of pursuing false allegations, overcharging, and destruction of evidence that involve this particular firm, you can see that their referral to the SDT is long overdue.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Just occurred to me that Ken could return to the Commons as MP for Tooting if Khan wins the mayoral election. He could then be fast-tracked into Corbyn's shadow cabinet.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,679

    Pulpstar said:

    I agree with Don

    Thought you were in favour of Trident myself...
    I'm and I'm not.

    As first principle I am.

    Given our financial position, and the cutting to the conventional forces, I'm tempted to spend the money on the conventional forces, maybe two full Airborne Air Assault Divisions.

    This might enrage Mr Llama but why don't we look at a nuclear deterrent delivered via the RAF.

    The bit I agree with Don was this bit

    With all due respect, as they say, to Emily Thornberry and Ken Livingstone, Jeremy Corbyn might do well to sack them and hand over the review to a more credible convenor – for the good of the party and of the country.
    YES TSE. Well said that man.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,044
    Just catching up, yet another hundred from Joe Root setting the scene for a good England total after a crap start.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,044
    edited January 2016
    On topic, what on Earth is Emily Thornberry doing anywhere near a defence review? All she knows about the military is cleaned from her ambulance-chasing scumbag lawyer friends with a penchant for shredding documents.

    Why is Corbyn even bothering with a defence review? We all know that given half a chance he'd abolish the military completely.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,543
    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    Charles said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    If he was "gobsmacked" as Don claims then it clearly wasn't delivered (or not delivered effectively) as a joke.
    Someone once thought leaving a note saying there was no money left in the Treasury was a joke. In fairness it wasn't the worse.

    I find the fact that her "understanding" of the military seems to have been gleaned by pursuing dishonest claims of abuse on behalf of a firm that was willing to destroy inconvenient evidence rather more of a concern.
    When you add together all the stories of pursuing false allegations, overcharging, and destruction of evidence that involve this particular firm, you can see that their referral to the SDT is long overdue.
    Indeed, I was involved in a class action with them 20 years ago now. Took me a while to feel clean again.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited January 2016
    O/T:

    "The rights agenda is a game of scissors paper stone — Melissa Kite
    A road resurfacer will trump a middle-class woman every time (unless she is a lesbian adopter"


    http://www.spectator.co.uk/2016/01/the-rights-agenda-is-a-game-of-scissors-paper-stone/
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @KennyFarq: One in five SNP supporters would vote No in indyref2 or are undecided. What a wonderfully contrary nation we are. https://t.co/MRiFDDIeHL
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JohnRentoul: Corbyn's "deluded" followers are heading for "total and utter disaster": @ProfTimBale https://t.co/o5LlroU9Kf https://t.co/R9EQQIHtjZ
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,679
    Scott_P said:

    @KennyFarq: One in five SNP supporters would vote No in indyref2 or are undecided. What a wonderfully contrary nation we are. https://t.co/MRiFDDIeHL

    And those are just the ones who admit it.
  • Options
    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Sandpit said:

    On topic, what on Earth is Emily Thornberry doing anywhere near a defence review? All she knows about the military is cleaned from her ambulance-chasing scumbag lawyer friends with a penchant for shredding documents.

    Why is Corbyn even bothering with a defence review? We all know that given half a chance he'd abolish the military completely.

    The rate the government is going, there won't be much left by the time Corbyn gets in. That's the irony: a grown-up opposition would be able to attack the government on this.
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    JohnLoony said:

    rcs1000 said:

    PAW said:

    I have an idea Janner had a standing ovation from MPs when he appeared in the Commons after the first accusation was made. I seem to remember it that way.

    As a Lord, how would he appear in the Commons?
    The allegations were first made in 1991 when he was still an MP.

    I first heard about Janner. And Smith. And Savile... in the mid-1980s from a friend who was a Met police officer...

    These were all open secrets 30 years ago.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Herself has come home earlier than expected and caught me in the act - of listening to "Blondie, Parallel Lines". A difficult evening awaits.

    Heart of Glass, then Atomic?
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited January 2016
    Scott_P said:

    @KennyFarq: One in five SNP supporters would vote No in indyref2 or are undecided. What a wonderfully contrary nation we are. https://t.co/MRiFDDIeHL

    Aberdeenshire is one of the SNP's strongest areas in terms of elections but in the referendum it voted pretty heavily against independence. A lot of SNP supporters in that area probably fit the stereotype of being "Tartan Tories".
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,229

    Scott_P said:

    @KennyFarq: One in five SNP supporters would vote No in indyref2 or are undecided. What a wonderfully contrary nation we are. https://t.co/MRiFDDIeHL

    And those are just the ones who admit it.
    They may be voting SNP but if not for independence , which is SNP reason for existing , it is debatable calling them "supporters". Kenny is a complete prat in any event.
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    @JohnRentoul: Corbyn's "deluded" followers are heading for "total and utter disaster": @ProfTimBale https://t.co/o5LlroU9Kf https://t.co/R9EQQIHtjZ

    I see that Professor Bale is channelling @AlastairMeeks:

    Given all this, those [within Labour] whose instincts are closer to the majority of the electorate, and whose proposals are more workable in the real world than those of the Corbynistas will ever be, need to come up with big ideas as well as big politicians.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,464
    malcolmg said:

    Scott_P said:

    @KennyFarq: One in five SNP supporters would vote No in indyref2 or are undecided. What a wonderfully contrary nation we are. https://t.co/MRiFDDIeHL

    And those are just the ones who admit it.
    They may be voting SNP but if not for independence , which is SNP reason for existing , it is debatable calling them "supporters". Kenny is a complete prat in any event.
    As the SNP have been one of Scotland's parties of government since at least 2007, is it not reasonable to think that quite a large number of their supporters will be backing them on their handling of domestic policy rather than the independence question? That is, after all, the relevant consequence of their vote in May.
  • Options
    RodCrosby said:

    JohnLoony said:

    rcs1000 said:

    PAW said:

    I have an idea Janner had a standing ovation from MPs when he appeared in the Commons after the first accusation was made. I seem to remember it that way.

    As a Lord, how would he appear in the Commons?
    The allegations were first made in 1991 when he was still an MP.

    I first heard about Janner. And Smith. And Savile... in the mid-1980s from a friend who was a Met police officer...

    These were all open secrets 30 years ago.
    Janner and Smith in Private Eye circa 30 years ago.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,036
    AndyJS said:

    Scott_P said:

    @KennyFarq: One in five SNP supporters would vote No in indyref2 or are undecided. What a wonderfully contrary nation we are. https://t.co/MRiFDDIeHL

    Aberdeenshire is one of the SNP's strongest areas in terms of elections but in the referendum it voted pretty heavily against independence. A lot of SNP supporters in that area probably fit the stereotype of being "Tartan Tories".
    Aberdeen must be getting hammered by the oil crash.
  • Options
    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited January 2016

    Sandpit said:

    On topic, what on Earth is Emily Thornberry doing anywhere near a defence review? All she knows about the military is cleaned from her ambulance-chasing scumbag lawyer friends with a penchant for shredding documents.

    Why is Corbyn even bothering with a defence review? We all know that given half a chance he'd abolish the military completely.

    The rate the government is going, there won't be much left by the time Corbyn gets in. That's the irony: a grown-up opposition would be able to attack the government on this.
    So many roads lead back to Labour, Gordon Brown and the Pork Barrel Carrier contracts. Plus the other black holes he dug. All those lovely PFI contracts that suck money out.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Pulpstar said:

    Aberdeen must be getting hammered by the oil crash.

    And the impossible floods
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,106
    I see the Archbishop of Canterbury has said it was 'not for us to divide the body of Christ, it is not for us to divide the church' (lower case C on the BBC on Church).

    ...so, he wants to unify with the Catholics, Othordox, etc etc? Or are the divisions we already have OK?

    That said, it's their church, they can keep whatever rules they want I guess.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,255

    Cyclefree said:

    MikeK said:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-35304528
    Lord Janner 'abused 12 at children's homes'
    Twelve former residents of children's homes say they were abused by Lord Janner, a BBC investigation has found, as criminal proceedings end.

    Isn't it marvelous that Janner escaped prosecution while he was alive. Was it because he was a QC and a Lord, and therefore had clout and some power?

    It was because the CPS did not do their job properly, as they have admitted.

    And to be pedantic, what the BBC has found are 12 residents of children's homes who are claiming that they were abused by Lord Janner. The BBC is in no position to make any finding of fact on criminal matters.

    The accusations and others may be true but how do we know? Did the BBC go looking? On the face of it it all seems pretty nasty. Equally we have seen cases which have turned out to be spurious.
    All good points. I find myself very uneasy at the way in which we automatically assume that allegations are true, just because the alleged crime is child abuse. It is precisely because it is such a serious crime that we should both investigate promptly and thoroughly and also remember that allegations are just that, allegations, and people are innocent until proved guilty after a trial. That last principle is a very important one which we have been too willing to discard in the wave of emotional parading of our disgust at what is a horrible crime.

  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,031
    Miss Cyclefree, similar to rape allegations in that respect.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,036
    Cyclefree said:

    and people are innocent until proved guilty after a trial.

    What happens if they are errm either dead or deemed not fit to stand ?
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,255
    BigRich said:

    MaxPB said:

    kle4 said:

    Charles said:

    Haven't read the thread yet, but wanted to comment on this quickly:

    Emily Thornberry ... tells a great story ... At a hustings she told the gobsmacked Major Brazier “I outrank you, you know”.

    That's not a great story.

    That's arrogant and unpleasant. And thoroughly disrespectful of someone, whether you agree with him or not, served our country.

    I have never come across anyone, and I mean anyone, who has tried to pull rank on that basis.

    What a nasty, petty person she must be

    Depending on how it was delivered I can see it being an amusing thing to say, so long as one was clear that obviously honorary rank was not really equivalent to actual rank and service.
    I think we know enough about Thornberry to make a judgement that while she probably wasn't being serious she was trying to belittle the opponent's military career.
    I think you have hit the nail on the head there.
    If you have to boast about how important you are, even as a joke, you probably aren't.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,031
    edited January 2016
    Mr. Pulpstar, can't presume guilt. This isn't Cardassia Prime.

    Edited extra bit: Miss Cyclefree:

    Edited extra bit 2: video link didn't work *and* I just realised, even though it's a few years old now, some people may still be well behind so it might be a spoiler. Anyway, I agree.

    As Thatcher said, if you need to tell people you're a lady, you're not.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,036

    Mr. Pulpstar, can't presume guilt. This isn't Cardassia Prime.

    Jimmy Saville is an innocent man on this basis :)
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,031
    Mr. Pulpstar, I'm not saying guilt can't be proven. I'm saying you can't punish the dead, and guilt mustn't be presumed.

    [I'm assuming you're referring to the guilt bit, rather than suggesting the Cardassian legal system would find Savile innocent (one L. Just remember he's vile)].
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    AndyJS said:

    A good article on the political impact of long-term demographic change in the US:

    http://www.vox.com/2016/1/14/10761208/democrats-doomed

    Executive summary: It ain't quite as simple as you think

    Before the 2015 GE many people were saying the Tories couldn't win a majority because of unfavourable demographics.
    Taking entire groups of people for granted. Sounds like a recipe for success!
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    Pulpstar said:

    Mr. Pulpstar, can't presume guilt. This isn't Cardassia Prime.

    Jimmy Saville is an innocent man on this basis :)
    In a strictly legal sense, I suppose so.
  • Options
    On the subject of rape, this is an interesting and moving article from a viewpoint we rarely hear about:

    http://www.vox.com/2016/1/13/10737742/husband-rapist

    The wedding photo is particularly poignant.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,255
    Pulpstar said:

    Cyclefree said:

    and people are innocent until proved guilty after a trial.

    What happens if they are errm either dead or deemed not fit to stand ?
    If they're dead, they're dead. No trial can happen. So it becomes a matter of history. And if they're alive and unfit to plead, then they are innocent as a matter of law.

    I yield to no-one in my disgust at child abuse. But I also remember plenty of cases where there were miscarriages of justice so even the legal system gets it wrong, let alone people making allegations to journalists.

    Remember Lord McAlpine.
    Remember Stefan Kiszko.
    Remember the Birmingham Six, the Guildford Four, the Maguire Seven.

    And there are plenty more.


  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,044
    edited January 2016

    Miss Cyclefree, similar to rape allegations in that respect.

    There was another student in the papers this week, name and photos everywhere. Acquitted of rape after a drunken night out, the allegation seemingly made under pressure from the accuser''s boyfriend as she didn't want to admit being unfaithful.

    Whilst one might expect to see her in court later for the spurious allegation, at the moment she is anonymous and he has his photo on the front pages. Trials should be either in public completely or reporting restrictions placed until their conclusion, the current system doesn't work for a lot of cases.
    (Not putting a link for obvious reasons)
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,031
    Mr. Sandpit, I agree entirely. The current approach is indefensible.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,255
    Sandpit said:

    Miss Cyclefree, similar to rape allegations in that respect.

    There was another student in the papers this week, name and photos everywhere. Acquitted of rape after a drunken night out, the allegation seemingly made under pressure from the accuser''s boyfriend as she didn't want to admit being unfaithful.

    Whilst one might expect to see her in court later for the spurious allegation, at the moment she is anonymous and he has his photo on the front pages. Trials should be either in public completely or reporting restrictions placed until their conclusion, the current system doesn't work for a lot of cases.
    (Not putting a link for obvious reasons)
    I tend to the view that either both parties are anonymous or neither are. I don't like anonymity when it comes to justice (save in very exceptional cases e.g children or matters of national security) so I do feel that the anonymity rules should be looked at again.

  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Pulpstar said:

    I agree with Don

    Thought you were in favour of Trident myself...
    I'm and I'm not.

    As first principle I am.

    Given our financial position, and the cutting to the conventional forces, I'm tempted to spend the money on the conventional forces, maybe two full Airborne Air Assault Divisions.

    This might enrage Mr Llama but why don't we look at a nuclear deterrent delivered via the RAF.

    The bit I agree with Don was this bit

    With all due respect, as they say, to Emily Thornberry and Ken Livingstone, Jeremy Corbyn might do well to sack them and hand over the review to a more credible convenor – for the good of the party and of the country.
    If you are to have a nuclear deterrent it must be an undetectable, always-at-sea, submarine threat that can launch from anywhere in the world.

    Anything else opens up the possibility of mad nutter thinking they can co-ordinate the sabotage of the known locations of your nuclear launch sites and so they may have a go. (unless you go to America like levels of multiple launch sites which is not feasible for the UK).

    Plane launched, Cruise missile launched, they're out - they are all non-starters for various reasons.
  • Options
    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    'he suggested they could complete the job within 10 weeks.'


    Why bother with the sham when Livingstone, Thornberry & Corbyn have already made up their minds ?
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,044

    On the subject of rape, this is an interesting and moving article from a viewpoint we rarely hear about:

    http://www.vox.com/2016/1/13/10737742/husband-rapist

    The wedding photo is particularly poignant.

    Very poignant example of how people can be very badly treated by the justice system just because they don't fit into a predefined pigeonhole. One would like to hope there would be counselling available for someone in that lady's sad situation today.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,036
    I suppose on occasion law and truth do meet.
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    john_zims said:

    'he suggested they could complete the job within 10 weeks.'


    Why bother with the sham when Livingstone, Thornberry & Corbyn have already made up their minds ?

    I do find myself wondering what "the job" might consist of.
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    “Under our Constitution, a naturalized citizen stands on an equal footing with the native citizen in all respects, save that of eligibility to the Presidency."
    Luria v. United States, 231 US 9, 24 (1913)

    "We start from the premise that the rights of citizenship of the native born and of the naturalized person are of the same dignity and are coextensive. The only difference drawn by the Constitution is that only the "natural born" citizen is eligible to be President. Art. II,§ 1." Schneider v. Rusk, 377 US 163, 165 (1964)

    In 1971, the SCOTUS [Rogers v. Bellei, 401 U.S. 815] discussed the very Act, without which Cruz would be no more any kind of an American citizen than I am, and both the opinion and dissent(s) found that people who gain their citizenship (even at birth) under this Act are naturalized citizens...

    J BLACKMUN, delivering the opinion of the Court
    'Mr. Justice Gray has observed that the first sentence of the Fourteenth Amendment was "declaratory of existing rights, and affirmative of existing law," United States v. Wong Kim Ark, 169 U.S. at 169 U. S. 688. Then follows a most significant sentence:
    "But it [the first sentence of the Fourteenth Amendment] has not touched the acquisition of citizenship by being born abroad of American parents; and has left that subject to be regulated, as it had always been, by Congress, in the exercise of the power conferred by the Constitution to establish an uniform rule of naturalization."
    Thus, at long last, there emerged an express constitutional definition of citizenship. .... The definition obviously did not apply to any acquisition of citizenship by being born abroad of an American parent. That type, and any other not covered by the Fourteenth Amendment, was necessarily left to proper congressional action.

    'Our National Legislature indulged the foreign-born child with presumptive citizenship... rather than to deny him citizenship outright, as concededly it had the power to do, and relegate the child, if he desired American citizenship, to the more arduous requirements of the usual naturalization process... The proper emphasis is on what the statute permits him to gain from the possible starting point of noncitizenship, not on what he claims to lose from the possible starting point of full citizenship to which he has no constitutional right in the first place.'

    [my emphases]
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,596
    john_zims said:

    'he suggested they could complete the job within 10 weeks.'


    Why bother with the sham when Livingstone, Thornberry & Corbyn have already made up their minds ?

    In early Jan Livingston was saying it might take months as the is a lot of academic research to review.

    They are just making it up as they go along.
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    J BLACK, dissenting
    'Although those Americans who acquire their citizenship under statutes conferring citizenship on the foreign-born children of citizens are not popularly thought of as naturalized citizens, the use of the word "naturalize" in this way has a considerable constitutional history. Congress is empowered by the Constitution to "establish an uniform Rule of Naturalization," Art. I, § 8. Anyone acquiring citizenship solely under the exercise of this power is, constitutionally speaking, a naturalized citizen. The first congressional exercise of this power, entitled "An Act to establish an uniform Rule of Naturalization," was passed in 1790 at the Second Session of the First Congress.

    'However, the clearest expression of the idea that Bellei and others similarly situated should for constitutional purposes be considered as naturalized citizens is to be found in United States v. Wong Kim Ark,169 U. S. 649 (1898):
    "Every person born in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, becomes at once a citizen of the United States, and needs no naturalization. A person born out of the jurisdiction of the United States can only become a citizen by being naturalized, either by treaty, as in the case of the annexation of foreign territory, or by authority of Congress, exercised either by declaring certain classes of persons to be citizens, as in the enactments conferring citizenship upon foreign-born children of citizens, or by enabling foreigners individually to become citizens by proceedings in the judicial tribunals, as in the ordinary provisions of the naturalization acts."'

    J BRENNAN, dissenting
    'Concededly, petitioner was a citizen at birth, not by constitutional right, but only through operation of a federal statute. ...citizens whose naturalization was carried out within the physical bounds of the United States, and those, like Bellei, who may be naturalized overseas... includes those naturalized through operation of an Act of Congress, wherever they may be at the time.'

    [my emphases]
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    Alistair said:


    If you are to have a nuclear deterrent it must be an undetectable, always-at-sea, submarine threat that can launch from anywhere in the world.

    Anything else opens up the possibility of mad nutter thinking they can co-ordinate the sabotage of the known locations of your nuclear launch sites and so they may have a go. (unless you go to America like levels of multiple launch sites which is not feasible for the UK).

    Plane launched, Cruise missile launched, they're out - they are all non-starters for various reasons.

    Just so. I used to toss around these ideas as though they were obvious, better and cheaper alternatives to Trident but they are not. If you think we should have nuclear weapons (and I do) then a continuously at sea system is the only sensible option (that I've heard of).

    It's better to have no nukes than nukes which are temptingly first-strikeable or which require you to go through some visible ramp up (like the idea of having subs in port that only put to sea in a crisis).
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,596

    Scott_P said:

    @JohnRentoul: Corbyn's "deluded" followers are heading for "total and utter disaster": @ProfTimBale https://t.co/o5LlroU9Kf https://t.co/R9EQQIHtjZ

    I see that Professor Bale is channelling @AlastairMeeks:

    Given all this, those [within Labour] whose instincts are closer to the majority of the electorate, and whose proposals are more workable in the real world than those of the Corbynistas will ever be, need to come up with big ideas as well as big politicians.
    "The ecstatic Labour delegates sitting around me in the Brighton Centre listening to Jeremy Corbyn give his first party conference speech as leader were lovely people. But they were utterly deluded."

  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,380
    edited January 2016
    Cyclefree said:



    I tend to the view that either both parties are anonymous or neither are. I don't like anonymity when it comes to justice (save in very exceptional cases e.g children or matters of national security) so I do feel that the anonymity rules should be looked at again.

    Unless there is a need to gather further evidence or warn people, I don't see the advantage of publicising names of people accused of anything. If you buy a tabloid you discover that a George Smith of 17 Acacia Gardens has been accused of X. Either you know George or you don't. If you do, you probably know about the case anyway. If you don't, it does nobody any good at all, except give the reader a certain prurient interest ("hey, I drove by there only last month!"). But not only does it damage the defendant before conviction, it encourages false accusations and discourages true ones (because the complainant will be guessed at by people in the know, and in non-rape cases will actually be identified).

    After conviction, obviously it's open season.
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    Cyclefree said:



    I tend to the view that either both parties are anonymous or neither are. I don't like anonymity when it comes to justice (save in very exceptional cases e.g children or matters of national security) so I do feel that the anonymity rules should be looked at again.

    Unless there is a need to gather further evidence or warn people, I don't see the advantage of publicising names of people accused of anything. If you buy a tabloid you discover that a George Smith of 17 Acacia Gardens has been accused of X. Either you know George or you don't. If you do, you probably know about the case anyway. If you don't, it does nobody any good at all, except give the reader a certain prurient interest ("hey, I drove by there only last month!"). But not only does it damage the defendant before conviction, it encourages false accusations and discourages true ones (because the complainant will be guessed at by people in the know, and in non-rape cases will actually be identified).

    After conviction, obviously it's open season.
    I agree. People who are charged but not convicted inevitably suffer a lot of harm (psychological and/or material) but we should do whatever we can to limit that and, realistically, that means anonymity before conviction.
  • Options
    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Wanderer said:

    john_zims said:

    'he suggested they could complete the job within 10 weeks.'


    Why bother with the sham when Livingstone, Thornberry & Corbyn have already made up their minds ?

    I do find myself wondering what "the job" might consist of.
    Asking 'Stop the War' what conclusions any review should reach.
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    watford30 said:

    Wanderer said:

    john_zims said:

    'he suggested they could complete the job within 10 weeks.'


    Why bother with the sham when Livingstone, Thornberry & Corbyn have already made up their minds ?

    I do find myself wondering what "the job" might consist of.
    Asking 'Stop the War' what conclusions any review should reach.
    I'm seeing 9 weeks, 6 days, 23 hours and 59 minutes of leisure stretching ahead of us comrades.
This discussion has been closed.