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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Questioning the patriotism of Remain voters will not win th

SystemSystem Posts: 12,293
edited 2015 27 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Questioning the patriotism of Remain voters will not win the referendum for Leave

This week William Hague explained why he would vote for the UK to Remain in the UK in the upcoming referendum, as a former Tory leader and Foreign Secretary this inevitably led to a lot of comment about someone who has been considered a Eurosceptic voting for Remain.

Read the full story here


«13

Comments

  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    You still undecided TSE?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,744

    You still undecided TSE?

    I'm still leaning towards Leave.
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    Still a great jumper. It's like that one of her in a tank. Only it's with here in a jumper
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492

    You still undecided TSE?

    I'm still leaning towards Leave.
    Yeah and I hope Arsenal win the league

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,144
    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,233
    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,144
    Out will play the patriotism card in EUref as Yes played the nationalism card in indyref, however that in itself will not be enough to win
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,744

    You still undecided TSE?

    I'm still leaning towards Leave.
    Yeah and I hope Arsenal win the league

    Some of you Kippers do immense damage to Leave's cause with your attitude and sneering.

    Judging your posts today and in the past, had Cameron announced he was voting for Leave, you'd be voting for Remain.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    You are having a giraffe
    The inference being Hague is no longer a patriot because he is planning to vote for Remain. Questioning the patriotism of Remain voters will ultimately backfire, insulting the voters is seldom a vote winner and will put off potential voters, and as Doctor Johnson observed, patriotism is the last refuge of a scoundrel
    It the pinnacle of cheek after all the anti-kipper hatchet jobs and questioning the sanity of right wing Tories we regularly see on this site. Sauce for the goose.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,233

    You still undecided TSE?

    I'm still leaning towards Leave.
    Yeah and I hope Arsenal win the league

    Some of you Kippers do immense damage to Leave's cause with your attitude and sneering.

    Judging your posts today and in the past, had Cameron announced he was voting for Leave, you'd be voting for Remain.
    Kippers make us PB Tories look positively balanced. :D
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    edited 2015 27
    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)

    If a month's worth of rain falls in a day, it would be logical that the rainfall for that month would be exceptional, since it wont be dry the rest of the month. Exceptional months seem to be fairly evenly distributed over the past century.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,233
    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    "Remain should avoid the language of David Cameron on UKIP when talking about Leavers"

    He means Fruitcakes, Nutters and Loonies!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited 2015 27
    On topic, to be fair, questioning an In-supporting politician's patriotism, and an In-supporting average voter's patriotism, are very different things. Though I agree that just shouting "you just hate Britain" at mild-mannered Mr and Mrs Bloggs who are concerned about how the economy would survive outside the EU, would be a recipe for disaster for "Out".
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492

    You still undecided TSE?

    I'm still leaning towards Leave.
    Yeah and I hope Arsenal win the league

    Some of you Kippers do immense damage to Leave's cause with your attitude and sneering.

    Judging your posts today and in the past, had Cameron announced he was voting for Leave, you'd be voting for Remain.
    Is that really the best you can do TSE?

    The slightest bit of criticism of Dave and you retreat to your default position, there is not a person in the world that will make a decision on the EU based on what I post on here, plenty will look at Cameron telling lies and decide whether they can trust him or not.

    Ah yes, you say, but we're in govt.

    I find your subservience extraordinary.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,144
    edited 2015 27
    Barbara Windsor set to become a Dame in New Years Honours according to the Times, she is also a Tory apparently but unlike Crosby will be few complaints
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    edited 2015 27
    I think the leave campaign would be better off highlighting the continued loss of sovereignty should we remain in the EU. The final destination remains the same in a single or two speed EU. If people are fine with that, then so be it.

    Leave the cheap insults (such as calling those wanting to leave the EU quitters) to the remain campaign.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,144
    Danny565 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
    It also suggested Osborne would end up PM, hung parliament or not
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,744
    JBriskin said:

    "Remain should avoid the language of David Cameron on UKIP when talking about Leavers"

    He means Fruitcakes, Nutters and Loonies!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

    Poor Dave, got into trouble for being honest.

    Next time we criticise a politician for being relentlessly on message remember the opprobrium they attract when they are honest

    *Innocent face*
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,774
    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
    It also suggested Osborne would end up PM, hung parliament or not
    OICIPM??
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,027
    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    Even if Labour don't get a credible leader before the election, there has to be a good chance of them doing so afterwards. Winning the election is one thing but life could be very difficult back in office, as it was for John Major.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,233
    edited 2015 27
    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Yeah. But that only tells us that Yorkshire isn't wetter than Cornwall. In fact, it must be drier. Which may make the current rainfall (wait for it) even more unprecedented. The rainfall record in Yorkshire may be a tenth of that of Cornwall for all we know (obviously it isn't.. but we can't know that from one number saying the highest rainfall was at another point in the country).
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,233

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
    It also suggested Osborne would end up PM, hung parliament or not
    OICIPM??
    OMPH-T-A-BITRICIPM? :D
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,108
    To pick up on a couple of comments to my previous FPT, the view within the LDs from minute one of the Coalition was we had to be in it for the duration not just for 90% of the Parliament. The same was true for the Conservatives.

    The predictable jibe from Threequidder about the LDs functioning as "an internal opposition" within the Coalition is part of the rewriting of history from those on the Conservative side who were never well disposed toward the Coalition but didn't have the courage to challenge Cameron directly. That view is fortunately countered by those of more sensible send pragmatic disposition within Conservative ranks.

    The initial Coalition agreement was a frail creature and nobody could foresee a full five year legislative programme. I regret some of the measures the LDs supported but as they were in the Agreement it's all down to that dirty concept of compromise.

    I am proud the Party managed to stop or water down some measures which were not part of the Agreement and I applaud the Conservatives who voted for LD measures with which they probably disagreed but which were part of the Agreement. Again, that's compromise.

    I think there was a window of opportunity in 2012-13 to renegotiate the Coalition and its modus operandi. That might have ended the Agreement or strengthened it but to simply jog on with what was effectively a botched rushed arrangement organised by tired people was and is unsatisfactory.

    As an LD, I regret the 2015 GE outcome but I don't regret for a nanosecond being in Government and having the power to get things done.
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    It was an Ad Hominem attack TSE - the type that I'm given to understand is just not approved of round these parts - being of a higher class
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,774
    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
    It also suggested Osborne would end up PM, hung parliament or not
    OICIPM??
    OMPH-T-A-BITRICIPM? :D
    Exactly!!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,233

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
    It also suggested Osborne would end up PM, hung parliament or not
    OICIPM??
    OMPH-T-A-BITRICIPM? :D
    Exactly!!
    Tim would be so proud :D;)
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739
    Actually TSE in spite of the impression you like to give I would suggest that Reckless maintained his mind on major political issues. It was the Tory party - or at least the leadership of that party - that changed their stated views.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,144

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
    It also suggested Osborne would end up PM, hung parliament or not
    OICIPM??
    As long as CICILL
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 125,144

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    Even if Labour don't get a credible leader before the election, there has to be a good chance of them doing so afterwards. Winning the election is one thing but life could be very difficult back in office, as it was for John Major.
    Yes but we would be looking at the 2025 election then, not 2020
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,774
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
    It also suggested Osborne would end up PM, hung parliament or not
    OICIPM??
    OMPH-T-A-BITRICIPM? :D
    Exactly!!
    Tim would be so proud :D;)
    LOL Tim hates Corbyn more than most PB Tories TBF
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    stodge said:

    To pick up on a couple of comments to my previous FPT, the view within the LDs from minute one of the Coalition was we had to be in it for the duration not just for 90% of the Parliament. The same was true for the Conservatives.

    The predictable jibe from Threequidder about the LDs functioning as "an internal opposition" within the Coalition is part of the rewriting of history from those on the Conservative side who were never well disposed toward the Coalition but didn't have the courage to challenge Cameron directly. That view is fortunately countered by those of more sensible send pragmatic disposition within Conservative ranks.

    The initial Coalition agreement was a frail creature and nobody could foresee a full five year legislative programme. I regret some of the measures the LDs supported but as they were in the Agreement it's all down to that dirty concept of compromise.

    I am proud the Party managed to stop or water down some measures which were not part of the Agreement and I applaud the Conservatives who voted for LD measures with which they probably disagreed but which were part of the Agreement. Again, that's compromise.

    I think there was a window of opportunity in 2012-13 to renegotiate the Coalition and its modus operandi. That might have ended the Agreement or strengthened it but to simply jog on with what was effectively a botched rushed arrangement organised by tired people was and is unsatisfactory.

    As an LD, I regret the 2015 GE outcome but I don't regret for a nanosecond being in Government and having the power to get things done.

    I voted Lib Dem - a little reluctantly but I felt that they deserved reward for doing the right thing for the country and going into coalition, even though they spent half the time wishing they weren't. A less generous PM could have kicked them out when they reneged on the boundaries.
  • Hertsmere_PubgoerHertsmere_Pubgoer Posts: 3,476
    There are some of the more excitable types on Twitter this evening going on about Diane Abbot becoming shadow FS.
    Seems an excellent idea to me.
    Just hope she remembers that I was one of her staunchest supporters in Hertsmere CLP in 2010.
  • JBriskinJBriskin Posts: 2,380
    Well makes a change from those millions and millions of LD voters that didn't even vote LD that got upset about the coalition I guess
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    If you see the world from a fixed perspective - in this case, the idea that the EU is the root of all evil - you will not understand those who do not share that fixed perspective. The idea that anything might be more important than leaving the EU no doubt baffles Mark Reckless.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,027
    stodge said:

    To pick up on a couple of comments to my previous FPT, the view within the LDs from minute one of the Coalition was we had to be in it for the duration not just for 90% of the Parliament. The same was true for the Conservatives.

    The predictable jibe from Threequidder about the LDs functioning as "an internal opposition" within the Coalition is part of the rewriting of history from those on the Conservative side who were never well disposed toward the Coalition but didn't have the courage to challenge Cameron directly. That view is fortunately countered by those of more sensible send pragmatic disposition within Conservative ranks.
    ...

    But too many Lib Dem MPs and ministers (never mind activists) looked and sounded as if they wanted to act as an opposition. That they didn't - their record on voting against the whip was not at all rebellious - is beside the point or maybe even reinforced a public impression that they wanted to say one thing and do another.

    Perhaps the proof of the pudding was the 2015 election. What measures did the Lib Dems campaign on as having successfully delivered in government? If they were right to go into office (and I agree that they were) then it follows that they should be proud of and stand on their record, yet far too often they seemed to want to distance themselves from it.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,744

    There are some of the more excitable types on Twitter this evening going on about Diane Abbot becoming shadow FS.
    Seems an excellent idea to me.
    Just hope she remembers that I was one of her staunchest supporters in Hertsmere CLP in 2010.

    She's going to reward you by inviting you to join her on a motorbike holiday in what was East Germany.
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Diane Abbott is a total prat and would be a monumental disaster for the UK as Foreign Secretary
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    LOL Tim hates Corbyn more than most PB Tories TBF

    His Twitter timeline is joyous, but it's probably time he changed his handle to JCorbynGenius...
  • Hertsmere_PubgoerHertsmere_Pubgoer Posts: 3,476

    There are some of the more excitable types on Twitter this evening going on about Diane Abbot becoming shadow FS.
    Seems an excellent idea to me.
    Just hope she remembers that I was one of her staunchest supporters in Hertsmere CLP in 2010.

    She's going to reward you by inviting you to join her on a motorbike holiday in what was East Germany.
    I hope it's a motorbike with sidecar.
    We can be like Olive and Arthur of On The Buses fame.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,052

    Diane Abbott is a total prat and would be a monumental disaster for the UK as Foreign Secretary

    On a purely practical level, to me at least, she's terrible at putting across a message. Her media manner might be ok for a couch pundit non official spokesman, but as a position of authority is awful.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 58,161

    You still undecided TSE?

    I'm still leaning towards Leave.
    Yeah and I hope Arsenal win the league

    Man: I hope you're not going to be canvassing for Leave.

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @MomentumHudds: @hilarybennmp Shadow Cabinet reshuffle soon lad. So you'll have more time to spend with your constituents.

    @PeoplesMomentum: Just to be clear this tweet is not endorsed by Momentum and we do not think it is acceptable. https://t.co/F87mAU3uOF

    @MrHarryCole: Splitter https://t.co/k5xd55whkw
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 58,161

    Actually TSE in spite of the impression you like to give I would suggest that Reckless maintained his mind on major political issues. It was the Tory party - or at least the leadership of that party - that changed their stated views.

    Is that true? When Reckless joined the Conservative party it was much more Europhilic. Don't forget: in the 1990s, the debate - inside the highest levels of the Conservative Party - was not about in the EU or out the EU; it was in the Euro or out the Euro. People like Teddy Taylor were marginalised in a way that Eurosceptics in the Conservative Party simply are not done so today.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 58,161
    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    Do you have a moving average on that chart?
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,027
    One quick nit-pick re the intro: I'm not sure it's fair to say that "Tory leaders do have a history have of changing their views on the EU", in this case implying that Thatcher did. She was campaigning in 1975 for the UK to stay in the EEC, which was a forerunner of, but a rather different beast to, the EU. I'm not sure that Thatcher's view ever changed on whether it would be in Britain's interest to be a member of an organisation like the EU; what changed was the organisation, not her opinion.

    She did change her mind on whether Britain should have signed the SEA but that doesn't imply that it was necessarily wrong to join in the first place or that even the SEA made EEC / EC membership inadvisable, though she clearly felt that the Maastricht Treaty (never mind later ones) did.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,744
    edited 2015 27

    One quick nit-pick re the intro: I'm not sure it's fair to say that "Tory leaders do have a history have of changing their views on the EU", in this case implying that Thatcher did. She was campaigning in 1975 for the UK to stay in the EEC, which was a forerunner of, but a rather different beast to, the EU. I'm not sure that Thatcher's view ever changed on whether it would be in Britain's interest to be a member of an organisation like the EU; what changed was the organisation, not her opinion.

    She did change her mind on whether Britain should have signed the SEA but that doesn't imply that it was necessarily wrong to join in the first place or that even the SEA made EEC / EC membership inadvisable, though she clearly felt that the Maastricht Treaty (never mind later ones) did.

    I meant in the sense, as the situation changes/evolves so do the views of Tory leaders, past and present.

    Perhaps evolve would have been a better choice of word in the thread header than change
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    FTPT

    Dredging doesn't stop flooding given extreme rainfall. When the rainfall is heavy the volume of water that drains into the river from the surrounding country side massively dwarfs the rivers capacity even if dredged.
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,368
    I just can't see Jezza's Ho as Foreign Secretary.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739
    rcs1000 said:

    Actually TSE in spite of the impression you like to give I would suggest that Reckless maintained his mind on major political issues. It was the Tory party - or at least the leadership of that party - that changed their stated views.

    Is that true? When Reckless joined the Conservative party it was much more Europhilic. Don't forget: in the 1990s, the debate - inside the highest levels of the Conservative Party - was not about in the EU or out the EU; it was in the Euro or out the Euro. People like Teddy Taylor were marginalised in a way that Eurosceptics in the Conservative Party simply are not done so today.
    Reckless wasn't involved in the Tory party in any significant way in the 1990s. At least not at any significant level. Although he was involved with the party from early to mid 2000s he wasn't elected an MP until 2010 and was the 13th most rebellious Tory MP whilst he was a member of the party. He never moved in his views on the EU and only left the party when it became clear that Cameron was in no way serious about any significant change in our relationship with the EU. Remember Carswell gave as one of his reasons for leaving the realisation that Cameron would only try and negotiate the absolute minimum of change necessary to secure a Yes vote. Something that a number of PB Tories denied when it was claimed and which has now turned out to be absolutely correct.

    It is the Tory party position under Cameron which has moved from the demand for significant change to one of slight tinkering.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,274
    On the LDs.

    The aim of a political party (as Jezza is now proving as the exception) is to be in power.

    For the LDs, after all kinds of batshit crazy politics they found themselves...

    ...

    ...in power.

    And dear god did they get the mother of all shellackings from their own supporters (and ofc Lab=>LD switchers) for it.

    Nick Clegg played a blinder IMO. To go from protest/NOTA party to being in government is an impossible hand and Nick did as well as he could, trying to balance his responsibilities to his voters on the one hand, and the government of which he was a part on the other.

    I'm sure those Lab=>LD switchers would have preferred the LDs to refuse to go into coalition, but that ignored the realities of the vote share. Of course what they actually wanted was for the LDs to form a coalition with Lab.

    Poor old Nick - I wonder how history will treat him. Harshly I suspect but I hope not.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,246
    Alistair said:

    FTPT

    Dredging doesn't stop flooding given extreme rainfall. When the rainfall is heavy the volume of water that drains into the river from the surrounding country side massively dwarfs the rivers capacity even if dredged.

    From what I've read about this, there isn't a catch-all solution. In upland areas, try to prevent surges of water from getting downstream. Hence woodland, peat moors etc to act as sponges. Further downstream near tidal reaches, dredging can make a large difference in getting the water out to sea as quickly as possible.

    SuDS in new housing developments should also make a significant difference, if expensively.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    I suspect, though, that the country's tolerance* for a given level of rain is lower than 100 years ago so you need to factor that secular trend in your analysis.

    * By tolerance I mean increased run off due to concrete, building in risk areas, etc. I'm not referring to the fact that we have devolved into a bunch of whining jessies
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642

    rcs1000 said:

    Actually TSE in spite of the impression you like to give I would suggest that Reckless maintained his mind on major political issues. It was the Tory party - or at least the leadership of that party - that changed their stated views.

    Is that true? When Reckless joined the Conservative party it was much more Europhilic. Don't forget: in the 1990s, the debate - inside the highest levels of the Conservative Party - was not about in the EU or out the EU; it was in the Euro or out the Euro. People like Teddy Taylor were marginalised in a way that Eurosceptics in the Conservative Party simply are not done so today.
    Reckless wasn't involved in the Tory party in any significant way in the 1990s. At least not at any significant level. Although he was involved with the party from early to mid 2000s he wasn't elected an MP until 2010 and was the 13th most rebellious Tory MP whilst he was a member of the party. He never moved in his views on the EU and only left the party when it became clear that Cameron was in no way serious about any significant change in our relationship with the EU. Remember Carswell gave as one of his reasons for leaving the realisation that Cameron would only try and negotiate the absolute minimum of change necessary to secure a Yes vote. Something that a number of PB Tories denied when it was claimed and which has now turned out to be absolutely correct.

    It is the Tory party position under Cameron which has moved from the demand for significant change to one of slight tinkering.
    It will be fascinating to compare Cameron's proposed reforms in the run-up to the general election to the final package.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739
    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Yeah. But that only tells us that Yorkshire isn't wetter than Cornwall. In fact, it must be drier. Which may make the current rainfall (wait for it) even more unprecedented. The rainfall record in Yorkshire may be a tenth of that of Cornwall for all we know (obviously it isn't.. but we can't know that from one number saying the highest rainfall was at another point in the country).
    Yorkshire holds the record for the highest recorded rainfall in 2 hours in the British Isles. From 1956 - 6.1 inches in 2 hours. That's a lot of water.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739
    Alistair said:

    FTPT

    Dredging doesn't stop flooding given extreme rainfall. When the rainfall is heavy the volume of water that drains into the river from the surrounding country side massively dwarfs the rivers capacity even if dredged.

    What stops flooding in extreme rainfall is flood plains and water meadows. Trouble is in many places we keep building on these.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,354
    CD13 said:

    I just can't see Jezza's Ho as Foreign Secretary.

    That is a deeply misogynist statement. I don't have any time for the person I think you are talking about but really, if that is your idea of humour you need to have a think to yourself.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,233
    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    I suspect, though, that the country's tolerance* for a given level of rain is lower than 100 years ago so you need to factor that secular trend in your analysis.

    * By tolerance I mean increased run off due to concrete, building in risk areas, etc. I'm not referring to the fact that we have devolved into a bunch of whining jessies
    Indigo and I are arguing over what counts as unprecedented in terms of rainfall. Ability to cope is not relevant for this particular point, although I must say I enjoyed you clarifying remark at the end there :D
  • David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    TOPPING said:

    On the LDs.

    The aim of a political party (as Jezza is now proving as the exception) is to be in power.

    For the LDs, after all kinds of batshit crazy politics they found themselves...

    ...

    ...in power.

    And dear god did they get the mother of all shellackings from their own supporters (and ofc Lab=>LD switchers) for it.

    Nick Clegg played a blinder IMO. To go from protest/NOTA party to being in government is an impossible hand and Nick did as well as he could, trying to balance his responsibilities to his voters on the one hand, and the government of which he was a part on the other.

    I'm sure those Lab=>LD switchers would have preferred the LDs to refuse to go into coalition, but that ignored the realities of the vote share. Of course what they actually wanted was for the LDs to form a coalition with Lab.

    Poor old Nick - I wonder how history will treat him. Harshly I suspect but I hope not.

    A lot of socialists switched from Labour to Lib Dem because of Iraq and Blair, thinking that Lib Dems were Labour lite.

    The Liberal part of Lib Dems are economic liberals and work comfortably with Conservatives. The Social Democrat liberals are not so keen on being economically liberal. So lots of Labour lite Lib Dems left after the coalition was formed.

    The shake out of Labour switchers back to Labour should enable Lib Dems to show they are neither left nor right but liberal in both economic and social policies.

    However, we are yet to see how the recent new joiners will feel about policy and they are nearly a third of the membership.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Well, if that rain fell in Cornwall, what is the record for England?
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903

    rcs1000 said:

    Actually TSE in spite of the impression you like to give I would suggest that Reckless maintained his mind on major political issues. It was the Tory party - or at least the leadership of that party - that changed their stated views.

    Is that true? When Reckless joined the Conservative party it was much more Europhilic. Don't forget: in the 1990s, the debate - inside the highest levels of the Conservative Party - was not about in the EU or out the EU; it was in the Euro or out the Euro. People like Teddy Taylor were marginalised in a way that Eurosceptics in the Conservative Party simply are not done so today.
    Reckless wasn't involved in the Tory party in any significant way in the 1990s. At least not at any significant level. Although he was involved with the party from early to mid 2000s he wasn't elected an MP until 2010 and was the 13th most rebellious Tory MP whilst he was a member of the party. He never moved in his views on the EU and only left the party when it became clear that Cameron was in no way serious about any significant change in our relationship with the EU. Remember Carswell gave as one of his reasons for leaving the realisation that Cameron would only try and negotiate the absolute minimum of change necessary to secure a Yes vote. Something that a number of PB Tories denied when it was claimed and which has now turned out to be absolutely correct.

    It is the Tory party position under Cameron which has moved from the demand for significant change to one of slight tinkering.
    He left the party for the self serving reason that he thought - quite wrongly because he is thick - that he would lose his seat to UKIP. In the end he lost it back to the tories.
    Carswells reasons for leaving the tory party were all made up as well - he is no different to the typical LD, happy just to carp and not interested in the tricky problems of being in power. Instead he has joined a party of 'angry nativists'.

    We have negotiations and we have a referendum, allegedly what UKIP want. Yet all you can do is pathetically bleat, 'foul!'
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133

    TOPPING said:

    On the LDs.

    The aim of a political party (as Jezza is now proving as the exception) is to be in power.

    For the LDs, after all kinds of batshit crazy politics they found themselves...

    ...

    ...in power.

    And dear god did they get the mother of all shellackings from their own supporters (and ofc Lab=>LD switchers) for it.

    Nick Clegg played a blinder IMO. To go from protest/NOTA party to being in government is an impossible hand and Nick did as well as he could, trying to balance his responsibilities to his voters on the one hand, and the government of which he was a part on the other.

    I'm sure those Lab=>LD switchers would have preferred the LDs to refuse to go into coalition, but that ignored the realities of the vote share. Of course what they actually wanted was for the LDs to form a coalition with Lab.

    Poor old Nick - I wonder how history will treat him. Harshly I suspect but I hope not.

    A lot of socialists switched from Labour to Lib Dem because of Iraq and Blair, thinking that Lib Dems were Labour lite.
    And because they were told, in C/LD marginals, that they needed to do so "to keep the Tories out".
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PA: #Breaking Jeremy Corbyn says he has created a "unifying, dynamic, inclusive new shadow cabinet" with women taking the majority of roles.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    DavidL said:

    CD13 said:

    I just can't see Jezza's Ho as Foreign Secretary.

    That is a deeply misogynist statement. I don't have any time for the person I think you are talking about but really, if that is your idea of humour you need to have a think to yourself.
    Nothing wrong with that. You need to lighten up.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739
    RobD said:

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    I suspect, though, that the country's tolerance* for a given level of rain is lower than 100 years ago so you need to factor that secular trend in your analysis.

    * By tolerance I mean increased run off due to concrete, building in risk areas, etc. I'm not referring to the fact that we have devolved into a bunch of whining jessies
    Indigo and I are arguing over what counts as unprecedented in terms of rainfall. Ability to cope is not relevant for this particular point, although I must say I enjoyed you clarifying remark at the end there :D
    Perhaps not surprisingly, 'months rainfall in a day' events are actually quite common. For example it is surprising how few days in December actually have any rain in most places in England. The average number of days with rain in December is either 11 or 12 depending on which records you look at. Newspapers and the media in general love these types of comparisons but they really aren't that meaningful. Its a lot of rain and our drainage systems probably won't deal with it. It has ever been so.


  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,354
    Adding to my previous comment I regret to say that a lot of the posts today were pretty unpleasant and frankly no fun to read. The extremism of many of the Kippers on here is, frankly, repulsive and is destroying the site.

    I will dip in in the New Year in the hope that some sort of sanity has returned.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Yeah. But that only tells us that Yorkshire isn't wetter than Cornwall. In fact, it must be drier. Which may make the current rainfall (wait for it) even more unprecedented. The rainfall record in Yorkshire may be a tenth of that of Cornwall for all we know (obviously it isn't.. but we can't know that from one number saying the highest rainfall was at another point in the country).
    Yorkshire holds the record for the highest recorded rainfall in 2 hours in the British Isles. From 1956 - 6.1 inches in 2 hours. That's a lot of water.
    It is indeed. The worst I have been through was Hurricane Floyd, which dumped nearly 17" in less than 24 hours in parts of VA.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739

    rcs1000 said:

    Actually TSE in spite of the impression you like to give I would suggest that Reckless maintained his mind on major political issues. It was the Tory party - or at least the leadership of that party - that changed their stated views.

    Is that true? When Reckless joined the Conservative party it was much more Europhilic. Don't forget: in the 1990s, the debate - inside the highest levels of the Conservative Party - was not about in the EU or out the EU; it was in the Euro or out the Euro. People like Teddy Taylor were marginalised in a way that Eurosceptics in the Conservative Party simply are not done so today.
    Reckless wasn't involved in the Tory party in any significant way in the 1990s. At least not at any significant level. Although he was involved with the party from early to mid 2000s he wasn't elected an MP until 2010 and was the 13th most rebellious Tory MP whilst he was a member of the party. He never moved in his views on the EU and only left the party when it became clear that Cameron was in no way serious about any significant change in our relationship with the EU. Remember Carswell gave as one of his reasons for leaving the realisation that Cameron would only try and negotiate the absolute minimum of change necessary to secure a Yes vote. Something that a number of PB Tories denied when it was claimed and which has now turned out to be absolutely correct.

    It is the Tory party position under Cameron which has moved from the demand for significant change to one of slight tinkering.
    He left the party for the self serving reason that he thought - quite wrongly because he is thick - that he would lose his seat to UKIP. In the end he lost it back to the tories.
    Carswells reasons for leaving the tory party were all made up as well - he is no different to the typical LD, happy just to carp and not interested in the tricky problems of being in power. Instead he has joined a party of 'angry nativists'.

    We have negotiations and we have a referendum, allegedly what UKIP want. Yet all you can do is pathetically bleat, 'foul!'
    As always Flightpath you are taking bigoted, blinkered rubbish. I would have thought that after your performance on here over the last year on this issue you would be too ashamed to actually put in an appearance.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,274

    TOPPING said:

    On the LDs.

    The aim of a political party (as Jezza is now proving as the exception) is to be in power.

    For the LDs, after all kinds of batshit crazy politics they found themselves...

    ...

    ...in power.

    And dear god did they get the mother of all shellackings from their own supporters (and ofc Lab=>LD switchers) for it.

    Nick Clegg played a blinder IMO. To go from protest/NOTA party to being in government is an impossible hand and Nick did as well as he could, trying to balance his responsibilities to his voters on the one hand, and the government of which he was a part on the other.

    I'm sure those Lab=>LD switchers would have preferred the LDs to refuse to go into coalition, but that ignored the realities of the vote share. Of course what they actually wanted was for the LDs to form a coalition with Lab.

    Poor old Nick - I wonder how history will treat him. Harshly I suspect but I hope not.

    A lot of socialists switched from Labour to Lib Dem because of Iraq and Blair, thinking that Lib Dems were Labour lite.

    The Liberal part of Lib Dems are economic liberals and work comfortably with Conservatives. The Social Democrat liberals are not so keen on being economically liberal. So lots of Labour lite Lib Dems left after the coalition was formed.

    The shake out of Labour switchers back to Labour should enable Lib Dems to show they are neither left nor right but liberal in both economic and social policies.

    However, we are yet to see how the recent new joiners will feel about policy and they are nearly a third of the membership.
    I think you're right about the Labour Lite but not sure it was on account of Blair/Iraq - we'd had 2005 for them to flounce about that.

    Or rather, not only on account of it. I think also it was that Lab supporters found themselves unable to vote for Brown following the economic collapse. Pictures of queues outside Northern Rock (a long way from dodgy CDS sales) and the genuine fear of a bank run, amongst other things, rendered Lab unfit for government in the eyes of many sensible Lab types. Rightly or wrongly they perceived an enormous mismanagement of the economy.

    Of course to vote Cons was unthinkable, so LDs it was.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739
    MTimT said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Yeah. But that only tells us that Yorkshire isn't wetter than Cornwall. In fact, it must be drier. Which may make the current rainfall (wait for it) even more unprecedented. The rainfall record in Yorkshire may be a tenth of that of Cornwall for all we know (obviously it isn't.. but we can't know that from one number saying the highest rainfall was at another point in the country).
    Yorkshire holds the record for the highest recorded rainfall in 2 hours in the British Isles. From 1956 - 6.1 inches in 2 hours. That's a lot of water.
    It is indeed. The worst I have been through was Hurricane Floyd, which dumped nearly 17" in less than 24 hours in parts of VA.
    Bloody Americans. Always have to do it bigger and better :-)
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    GeoffM said:

    DavidL said:

    CD13 said:

    I just can't see Jezza's Ho as Foreign Secretary.

    That is a deeply misogynist statement. I don't have any time for the person I think you are talking about but really, if that is your idea of humour you need to have a think to yourself.
    Nothing wrong with that. You need to lighten up.
    No its a pathetic comment. Abbott is as crass as they come a political idiot. CD13's comment was totally needless.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739
    DavidL said:

    Adding to my previous comment I regret to say that a lot of the posts today were pretty unpleasant and frankly no fun to read. The extremism of many of the Kippers on here is, frankly, repulsive and is destroying the site.

    I will dip in in the New Year in the hope that some sort of sanity has returned.

    Don't worry David. Some of what you write is pretty repulsive as well.
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    MTimT said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Well, if that rain fell in Cornwall, what is the record for England?
    You missed out a word - 'rest' as in the 'rest of England'.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,246
    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    I suspect, though, that the country's tolerance* for a given level of rain is lower than 100 years ago so you need to factor that secular trend in your analysis.

    * By tolerance I mean increased run off due to concrete, building in risk areas, etc. I'm not referring to the fact that we have devolved into a bunch of whining jessies
    Our resilience to flooding is much poorer. 100 years ago most houses had very little to get damaged in a flood; now we have wall-to-wall carpets, TVs, fitted kitchens etc, etc. Where a quick sluice-out would have been the main job in some houses, now it's much more complex.

    Waterproof plaster in houses susceptible to flooding has to be a partial way forward. It means you don't have to chop out the polluted plaster that got wet, wait for the walls to dry, and then replaster before you move back in.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,774
    Corbyn for PM ‏@Corbyn4nextPM 21h21 hours ago
    Lynton Crosby (Tory election strategist)is to be given knighthood for a contribution to public services,
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    MTimT said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Well, if that rain fell in Cornwall, what is the record for England?
    You missed out a word - 'rest' as in the 'rest of England'.
    No, I didn't.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739

    Charles said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    I suspect, though, that the country's tolerance* for a given level of rain is lower than 100 years ago so you need to factor that secular trend in your analysis.

    * By tolerance I mean increased run off due to concrete, building in risk areas, etc. I'm not referring to the fact that we have devolved into a bunch of whining jessies
    Our resilience to flooding is much poorer. 100 years ago most houses had very little to get damaged in a flood; now we have wall-to-wall carpets, TVs, fitted kitchens etc, etc. Where a quick sluice-out would have been the main job in some houses, now it's much more complex.

    Waterproof plaster in houses susceptible to flooding has to be a partial way forward. It means you don't have to chop out the polluted plaster that got wet, wait for the walls to dry, and then replaster before you move back in.
    Very true. If you look at the old houses in many of these areas prone to flooding - the Middle and lower Trent Valley is a good example - then they tended to have flagged lower floors and all the furniture was removable. The idea was that if a flood was coming you moved everything upstairs, opened your front and back doors and let the water flow through. A good flow through helped prevent the build up of sediment as well although some was inevitable.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    MTimT said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Well, if that rain fell in Cornwall, what is the record for England?
    You missed out a word - 'rest' as in the 'rest of England'.
    Some in Kernow would disagree with that :)
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    edited 2015 27

    Corbyn for PM ‏@Corbyn4nextPM 21h21 hours ago
    Lynton Crosby (Tory election strategist)is to be given knighthood for a contribution to public services,

    Ed Miliband got Spencer Livermore a peerage - and he lost.
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    MTimT said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Yeah. But that only tells us that Yorkshire isn't wetter than Cornwall. In fact, it must be drier. Which may make the current rainfall (wait for it) even more unprecedented. The rainfall record in Yorkshire may be a tenth of that of Cornwall for all we know (obviously it isn't.. but we can't know that from one number saying the highest rainfall was at another point in the country).
    Yorkshire holds the record for the highest recorded rainfall in 2 hours in the British Isles. From 1956 - 6.1 inches in 2 hours. That's a lot of water.
    It is indeed. The worst I have been through was Hurricane Floyd, which dumped nearly 17" in less than 24 hours in parts of VA.
    Bloody Americans. Always have to do it bigger and better :-)
    Looks like Reunion has the record at the appropriately named location of Foc-Foc. Close to 72" in 24 hours!!!
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
    It also suggested Osborne would end up PM, hung parliament or not
    OICIPM??
    OMPH-T-A-BITRICIPM? :D
    Exactly!!
    Tim would be so proud :D;)
    LOL Tim hates Corbyn more than most PB Tories TBF
    What is Tim's twitter account called ?
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    MTimT said:

    MTimT said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Well, if that rain fell in Cornwall, what is the record for England?
    You missed out a word - 'rest' as in the 'rest of England'.
    No, I didn't.
    Oh yes you did.
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Timtwit
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    SeanT said:

    Has anyone noticed that some weird shit is happening in Corsica?

    While we were all watching Le Pen, Nationalists seized power in Ajaccio. And now there are proper race riots.

    http://tinyurl.com/nfoh6hv

    http://www.france24.com/en/20151227-corsica-demos-banned-after-two-days-anti-arab-protests

    The Corsican flag is unusual;
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flag_and_coat_of_arms_of_Corsica
  • Hertsmere_PubgoerHertsmere_Pubgoer Posts: 3,476

    MTimT said:

    MTimT said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Well, if that rain fell in Cornwall, what is the record for England?
    You missed out a word - 'rest' as in the 'rest of England'.
    No, I didn't.
    Oh yes you did.
    Yay! It's pantomime season on PB
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    Corbyn for PM ‏@Corbyn4nextPM 21h21 hours ago
    Lynton Crosby (Tory election strategist)is to be given knighthood for a contribution to public services,

    That is beneath contempt. The whole honours system was disreputable anyway - now its a private fiefdom owned by the Tory party.
  • TomTom Posts: 273
    stodge said:

    To pick up on a couple of comments to my previous FPT, the view within the LDs from minute one of the Coalition was we had to be in it for the duration not just for 90% of the Parliament. The same was true for the Conservatives.

    The predictable jibe from Threequidder about the LDs functioning as "an internal opposition" within the Coalition is part of the rewriting of history from those on the Conservative side who were never well disposed toward the Coalition but didn't have the courage to challenge Cameron directly. That view is fortunately countered by those of more sensible send pragmatic disposition within Conservative ranks.

    The initial Coalition agreement was a frail creature and nobody could foresee a full five year legislative programme. I regret some of the measures the LDs supported but as they were in the Agreement it's all down to that dirty concept of compromise.

    I am proud the Party managed to stop or water down some measures which were not part of the Agreement and I applaud the Conservatives who voted for LD measures with which they probably disagreed but which were part of the Agreement. Again, that's compromise.

    I think there was a window of opportunity in 2012-13 to renegotiate the Coalition and its modus operandi. That might have ended the Agreement or strengthened it but to simply jog on with what was effectively a botched rushed arrangement organised by tired people was and is unsatisfactory.

    As an LD, I regret the 2015 GE outcome but I don't regret for a nanosecond being in Government and having the power to get things done.

    I think all of that is fair and as I said on pt I think the lib Dems did the right thing for the country. I assume there is an analysis of the lib/con marginals? Was it left libs leaving or lib con switchers that did for you? I think if in the early stages it had been done as more business than pleasure it might have been a bit different. Interesting from this and previous thread is that it is the cons who like clegg most - which may not be a good thing for a lib dem leader!
  • MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    The title of this piece mad me laugh - and think of the run up to the 2015 election:

    http://nypost.com/2015/12/27/hey-outraged-liberals-twitter-is-not-real-life/
  • TomTom Posts: 273
    surbiton said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Danny565 said:

    FPT:

    Danny565 said:

    stodge said:



    The problem for the Conservatives is that Cameron won the 2015 election, not the Conservative Party. I am convinced the majority was won by hundreds of thousands of people voting for the Cameron Party and its candidates. Once Cameron leaves the scene, his successor will have to maintain the bloc. As prospective successors find themselves marginalised, the question then becomes whether the winning bloc will fragment once the glue has gone.

    This can't be said often enough. A great many swing voters disregard "the ishoos" completely these days and just vote on which President they would prefer. God knows how many times at the last two elections I've heard things like "I'm usually Labour, but I just can't stand that Brown / can't see that Miliband standing next to Putin in photos / think that Cameron seems a nice dad and husband".

    The PBTories who think that the public are going to overlook Osborne's personality flaws for the sake of (supposedly) the stronger economic management don't want to acknowledge that, of course.
    Er...I acknowledge it every time Osborne for PM is mentioned. And unlike most who go on about it, I will actually be voting on the matter...
    Richard Nabavi and DavidL (to name just two) have repeatedly said it doesn't matter how dislikeable Osborne is, if the supposed "economic miracle" is still going on.

    As any Labour canvasser from the last two elections will tell you, the view that you can convince voters to overlook the personality of leaders is rather optimistic.
    Yet even Osborne was preferred to Corbyn in the last Opinium poll, until Labour get a credible leader Osborne's personality will not be a significant issue
    The Osborne-Corbyn poll pointed to a tight hung parliament.
    It also suggested Osborne would end up PM, hung parliament or not
    OICIPM??
    OMPH-T-A-BITRICIPM? :D
    Exactly!!
    Tim would be so proud :D;)
    LOL Tim hates Corbyn more than most PB Tories TBF
    What is Tim's twitter account called ?
    Scroll down the front page ogh quotes him in an obl piece.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    surbiton said:

    Corbyn for PM ‏@Corbyn4nextPM 21h21 hours ago
    Lynton Crosby (Tory election strategist)is to be given knighthood for a contribution to public services,

    That is beneath contempt. The whole honours system was disreputable anyway - now its a private fiefdom owned by the Tory party.
    Lord Livermore?
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    SeanT said:

    surbiton said:

    Corbyn for PM ‏@Corbyn4nextPM 21h21 hours ago
    Lynton Crosby (Tory election strategist)is to be given knighthood for a contribution to public services,

    That is beneath contempt. The whole honours system was disreputable anyway - now its a private fiefdom owned by the Tory party.
    lol. Because, of course, new Labour never gamed the honours system, by ennobling donors, or anything like that.

    The problem for standard British lefties like you is not that you are all grotesque hypocrites, we knew that already, it's that, since your defeat last year, you have been revealed as mewling, juvenile, silly, self-pitying, laughable, toy-smashing, nappy-soiling halfwits, as well.
    Have you taken a vow to be nice to people ? You were not like this before. "juvenile, laughable"... is hardly an insult. You should try to do better.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,052
    surbiton said:

    Corbyn for PM ‏@Corbyn4nextPM 21h21 hours ago
    Lynton Crosby (Tory election strategist)is to be given knighthood for a contribution to public services,

    That is beneath contempt. The whole honours system was disreputable anyway - now its a private fiefdom owned by the Tory party.
    Don't be hyperbolic. I have no problem with people believing people like Crosby should not receive an honour for such a service, but there are far worse examples of awards to people for far less out there, and to hold this award as somehow the epitome of how bad the system is, just undermines those who have a problem with the system as a whole. Because if someone does support the system we have, in general, then it is nothing to be concerned at. If someone does not support the system, then it may be worth being concerned at, but not as a specific example, just that it exists.
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903

    MTimT said:

    MTimT said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    But that isn't what is pertinent to the question at hand. What should be plotted is the daily rainfall total. Having a months worth of rain in a month isn't bad, having it in a day is.
    That data doesn't appear to be publicly available, along with the rainfall on the afore mentioned potting shed ;)
    But you see my point? I think the rainfall record in Cornwall is frankly irrelevant.
    No, the rainfall record FOR ENGLAND, which happened for occur in Cornwall.
    Well, if that rain fell in Cornwall, what is the record for England?
    You missed out a word - 'rest' as in the 'rest of England'.
    No, I didn't.
    Oh yes you did.
    Yay! It's pantomime season on PB
    oh no its not
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,744
    Crosby getting a knighthood is a disgrace.

    He deserves a Royal Dukedom as a minimum, perhaps make him Governor-General of Australia too.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited 2015 27
    rcs1000 said:

    Indigo said:

    RobD said:

    I am not saying at all this was due to global warming (in fact, my previous posts on this on an earlier thread will show how much I dislike global warming being ascribed to every major weather event), just that the rainfall levels are at the very high end of the distribution of rainfall levels. I'd like the rainfall levels in that particular area as it will show just how much of an outlier it is or is not. It isn't as if Cornwall and Yorkshire are the same place.

    I just knocked this up for the monthly rainfall data from Bradford, the nearest Metoffice collection centre that has been open since 1908, the graph appears broadly the same now as it did 100 years ago.

    http://i.imgur.com/afUZEGX.jpg
    Do you have a moving average on that chart?
    The gradient of the trend line is 0.001!

    Eskdalemuir weather station has a gradient of 0.0225 on it's monthly rainfall

    Of note is that these figures obviously don't have this December in them yet.
This discussion has been closed.