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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB/Polling Matters end of year podcast. Looking ahead t
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB/Polling Matters end of year podcast. Looking ahead to 2016 (WH2016, EURef & May elections)
In part 2 of the PB/Polling Matters End of 2015 special, Keiran, Rob and Matt look ahead to 2016 and discuss the race for the White House, EU referendum, May elections and more including:
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"Vote OUT and sack Nigel Farage from his MEP job."
http://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/563490/Even-Nick-Clegg-disagrees-Deputy-PM-blasts-plans-EU-army-dangerous-fantasy
When I read that I assumed it was talking about the Left's obsession with race, gender and sexuality. But I guess that it also applies to the likes of Trump and Farage. Ultimately, these things are not what most people think about when they vote and until Labour get back to talking about everyday people and their concerns (am I better off or worse off, etc.), they will never win another election.
The left take the patronising and paternalist view that all people of color, or for that matter women think about is their race and/or gender, and that this necessarily trumps (excuse the pun) any other consideration they might have.
Possibly some people think there are more useful dimensions upon which to base their world outlook than the colour of their skin and the number of ovaries they possess.... I believe even the majority.
http://blog.cryptographyengineering.com/2015/12/on-juniper-backdoor.html
As international encryption expert Bruce Schneier put it, putting backdoors in hardware for the government is rather like putting your keys under the doormat and then hoping that only the police will use them
https://www.schneier.com/cryptography/archives/2015/11/keys_under_doormats.html
Hope you all got nice presents for Christmas. And gave them too, of course.
Identity politics, I hope, is a short-term trend of whining idiot children and one-eyed self-interested fools. Class will remain an issue, as it has been part of British thinking since Britain first existed, and part of English thinking since the Saxon, Jutes and Angles were divided into first and second class ships.
Got a biography of Antigonus Monopthalmus, so I'm looking forward to getting further into it.
Pretty sure it was widely predicted.
Crisis in the eurozone probably isn't helping. I wonder when that will flare up again. Greece being on the forefront of the Merkel-endorsed exodus probably won't help the national finances.
I read posts on here from people talking about public spending like its confetti, one or two get upset when I call them money tree shakers. Have a look at France if they feel offended.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/politics/article4649979.ece
The attached article is quite interesting on the topic of "identity" - http://www.spiked-online.com/spiked-review/article/the-crisis-of-character#.Vn5QAq_fWrU.
And then are the politicians who love community politics because it makes it easy for lazy politicians to interact with only a few leaders and to think about and categorise people in a one- dimensional way rather than understand and appreciate their infinite variety.
"Identity politics" is from Planet Stupid.
Economic history suggests that the quickest and easiest way to increase national income is to increase income inequality.
What matters is reducing absolute poverty, not fiddling about with inequality. Someone else earning more money or having a higher pay rise than me doesn't make me poorer.
As to your example, if the millionaire's departure reduces prices in local shops, yes it is better. If she was the only local employer, maybe not.
This is a screenshot (probably 4K, mind) from The Witcher 3:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CWhfrfSUsAADGWh.jpg:large
If games firms can marry graphics like that to VR, we could see some crazy games in the next 5-10 years (so far, early VR games seem focused on horror and the obvious pilot genre).
Big issue seems to be locomotion. In-game hands could be solved by progress with gloves that register in VR, but moving around seems a bugger. Some sort of treadmill could work but that's a pain in the arse (needs, money, room, and it's hard to believe it could properly mirror the VR world).
Mr. Root, I'll take your word for it. Not been south for ages. Last time was probably a family holiday in Devon.
Unfortunately, resentment is what fuels politics. The old seven-year-old's moan of "it's not fair." And it gives a feeling of superiority to point it out - a double whammy. So if you earn more than most, you can still gain the warm feeling by campaigning on behalf of any other group you like. Obviously giving your own money or getting your own hands dirty is out of the question.
So let's give a genuine Merry Christmas to those who do genuinely care. Volunteers, Charities whose CE doesn't earn £150,000 a year, the Salvation Army. Even the odd footballer, although they are few and far between.
Not the journalists and column writers whose crocodile tears earn them a fortune.
2)RED warning by Met Office for rain in parts of LANCASHIRE who are going to cop it 4 inches or so by reckoning over 6-9 hrs
26 December 2015 - A Red 'take action' warning for rainfall has been issued for parts of Lancashire today.
A band of rain will become slow-moving for a time today across Lancashire. 50 to 80 mm is expected to fall in a 6 to 9 hour period through to early afternoon, with over 100 mm likely over high ground over a longer period of time. It is the intensity of this rainfall, on already saturated ground that has sparked the issuing of the Met Office's most severe warning. This is expected to lead to widespread river flooding and surface water flooding
Amber and Yellow warnings are also in place for other parts of Lancashire, Cumbria, northwest Wales and parts of Scotland. The Amber 'be prepared' warning covers those areas more sensitive to the expected rainfall, and covers parts of northwest England, including Cumbria, Lancashire, western parts of both North and West Yorkshire, as well as parts of Merseyside and Greater Manchester.
The yellow 'be aware' warning area is larger and spreads down into North Wales and north, just into southern Scotland. A further 50 to 80 mm of rain is likely quite widely across the yellow and amber warning areas. Please be aware of the potential for flooding and some disruption to transport.
Had a lot of rain here already. Lucky with the particular site of the house (if we get flooded, most of Yorkshire would be underwater) but I expect local flooding may well occur.
The Times lead is interesting. Even the Times are beginning to see the light and the fire thats been started under British society.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/politics/article4649979.ece
"I don't care how much or how little I have, just so long as the folk I dislike have less."
An Irish Marxist once called it tuppence halfpenny looking down on tuppence.
Can any of our technically gifted posters point me at software that will manage a small GP surgery intranet? About 200 forms and letters to access from each PC on a network, with a search function (so, for example, a form for hearing aid clinic referral could be found under 'hearing' or 'audiology').
I have looked at some of the advertised software products and they seem to be very expensive and aimed at managing 1000's of documents.
Can be web-based, but musn't involve anything complicated for updating.
Many thanks, in anticipation.
"Would you rather the US economy grew at 3.5% per year, and the Japanese at 4.0%; or the US economy grew at 2.0% and the Japanese at 1.0%?"
The vast majority of people chose the latter option.
Yes that nasty Times for reporting that someone has noticed that Muslim community leaders are blocking a programme that tries to find out who is trying to kill us all. Shame on me for mentioning it
Maybe if we don't mention it, it will just go away?
Shhhhhhhhhhh
Seasons greetings to all at PB.
But not just journalists, politicians are as culpable, they seem to think they know what's best for the rest of us. The best example for me is Yvette Cooper who tilts her head to one side and simpers, or that ghastly Tory, first name is Matthew, who is small business minister or something. A more patronising tosser you'll struggle to find.
Compare it with the proportion of tip-offs during the troubles that came from Catholic priests. If it is comparable, no problem; if it is dramatically lower, then there's an issue.
Read the report of the Parliamentary Commission on Banking Standards and the section on silence and whistleblowing. The culture of denial and silence it describes in banking could just as easily describe the culture of silence and denial that exists in too many parts of the Muslim community. When I read about some Muslim leaders and mosques refusing to co-operate with Prevent because they are more worried about how it will make them look, I see people whose concern with the appearance of things, with the appearance of "honour" rather than with the reality has badly skewed their moral compass. They need calling out on this.
The most important metric is not percentage of tip offs per se, but percentage in tip offs that check out.
If 60% come from family members, then the rest might divide into roughly equally quarters: religious leaders, neighbors, friends, other.
It's also important to compare the proportion to other religious leaders and terrorism. What proportion of IRA tip-offs came from priests? I would guess not a very high proportion either.
The cretins that cry "raaaaacist" never learn, they just have a hard on to feel good about themselves
The blood and bodily fluids of the victims is on their virtue signalling hands
Everyone always knows nothing about anything. And if anyone asks inconvenient questions the default response is to scream abuse.
This pattern is most prevalent in cultist, supremacist ** organisations,
Note that the BBC, NHS, parliament, plods are supremacist - 'envy of the world', 'mother of parliaments' etc.
#onenation
http://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2015-12-14/funds-meant-for-islamic-state-group-found-in-laundry-court-hears/7026368
http://abc7.com/news/oc-man-planned-to-join-terrorist-group-isis/200764/
http://www.jihadwatch.org/2015/03/convicted-jihad-terrorist-whines-that-his-mother-and-the-fbi-violated-his-rights
http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/datasets-and-tables/data-selector.html?cdid=NRJS&dataset=qna&table-id=J3
This was referenced on the Sun front page last week.
Thou shalt consume and consume and consume and consume being the great economic commandment.
I dare say the BBC have already been reporting from shopping centres.
I am sorry I did.
At this time of year I would expect to see a bit of reflection, a few forecasts and hopefully a little humour. Instead we have todays's site contaminated by humourless anti-Muslim rants. Perhaps a little reflection on the meaning of Christmas tide would enable these poor souls with nothing better to do this Boxing Day to see the world in a slightly less prejudiced way - or perhaps not.
By the way don't bother to tell me how naive/lefty/SNP I am. Like most normal folk I am off to offer up the turkey in a slightly different way from yesterday.
All nonsense of course, real people are more complex and have multiple affinities. It is simpler though for political parties of all stripes to depict us all as sheep defined by gender, class, race or occupation.
Perhaps the ITV companies were better at keeping things quiet or perhaps people with those proclivities gravitated to an organisation where they knew things would be overlooked.
firearms really are a no-no in Britain. The police are all over it and the law draconian. If you are caught with a single handgun and ammunition, you are looking at 10 years. Intent to supply is fifteen.
When you get to modern assault rifles and such, the sky is the limit.
Edited extra bit: still utterly pissing it down.
https://twitter.com/DailyMailUK/status/680689283787800576
Of course kippers whine differently to Corbynistas, but whine they do nevertheless.
Happy Winterval one and all (apart from those resident in the Southern Hemisphere or tropics where other seasonal celebrations are appropriate).
Do we think the luvvies on here would be sticking up for the kippers or staying true to their blind prejudice?
Point taken, but I think there's a distinction to make between anti-muslim rants and pointing out that the prevailing attitude in the West to islam may be changing, even in 'enlightened' circles.
I would argue the latter is certainly the case.