@Morris_Dancer Yes I saw his 'resignation' from 2013 on twitter! I can't say I'm shocked, but it's yet another person which Labour have (sadly) alienated.
@Plato_Says Thanks for the link, I hadn't see the whole article. I'd only heard of the news due to Dan Hodges trending on twitter.
@Tissue_Price He's resigned (for a second time) this week. Naturally, Twitter are all very happy about it. By 2020, Twitter, Corbyn and Abbott will be all that is left of Labour at this rate.
Mr. 1983, it may also be a test-run for China when it comes to the islands disputed between themselves and Japan (who currently possess them). Taiwan also claims those islands but is not really in a position to pursue that.
The corollary of Chinese militarist expansion (almost as soon as he became president, Xi Jinping was said to be keen on bolstering the military) may be the resurgence of Japanese nationalism and willingness to deploy military assets, even if only in self-defence.
Mr. D, not only that, it's practically to the coastline of multiple nations.
The extent may be piss-taking, so they can be conciliatory (ahem) and graciously allow countries a mile or two of coastal water to call their own.
It's apalling behaviour. However there's bugger all we can do about it, and China knows there's bugger all we can do about it. If anyone thinks differently, they can take their complaint to the last century of policians who've reduced us to our current state.
Yes, the Russian Navy has seen quite a decline over the last couple of decades. One assumes the cash has been siphoned off into various Swiss bank accounts. Shame about those Mistrals that the French sold to Egypt.
Where has the Admiral Kuznetsov broken down this week?
A brokered convention isn't impossible with a new compromise candidate. Or an establishment-backed candidate drafted to stop Trump is conceivable. The odds on both must be low now though.
@Tissue_Price He's resigned (for a second time) this week. Naturally, Twitter are all very happy about it. By 2020, Twitter, Corbyn and Abbott will be all that is left of Labour at this rate.
A brokered convention isn't impossible with a new compromise candidate. Or an establishment-backed candidate drafted to stop Trump is conceivable. The odds on both must be low now though.
I'm not sure the odds are that low. The conventional idea is that one leading candidate emerges after the early primaries, others drop out, and later primaries just rubber-stamp the leader. But if the leading candidate is Trump, there will be enormous pressure from the establishment and from donors to keep someone - anyone! - who is vaguely credible in the race. That could mean that some of the later winner-takes-all states could go non-Trump, denying him the majority he needs to prevent selection by horse-trading. More likely an existing candidate than a new one, though.
Having said all that, there is still time for the picture to change dramatically even before Super Tuesday.
A brokered convention isn't impossible with a new compromise candidate. Or an establishment-backed candidate drafted to stop Trump is conceivable. The odds on both must be low now though.
I'm not sure the odds are that low. The conventional idea is that one leading candidate emerges after the early primaries, others drop out, and later primaries just rubber-stamp the leader. But if the leading candidate is Trump, there will be enormous pressure from the establishment and from donors to keep someone - anyone! - who is vaguely credible in the race. That could mean that some of the later winner-takes-all states could go non-Trump. More likely an existing candidate than a new one, though.
Having said all that, there is still time for the picture to change dramatically even before Super Tuesday.
I don't think the primaries will follow the conventional route (excuse the pun, but you made it first) if Trump is still doing well. Acquainting oneself with "delegate math" is vital.
A brokered convention isn't impossible with a new compromise candidate. Or an establishment-backed candidate drafted to stop Trump is conceivable. The odds on both must be low now though.
I'm not sure the odds are that low. The conventional idea is that one leading candidate emerges after the early primaries, others drop out, and later primaries just rubber-stamp the leader. But if the leading candidate is Trump, there will be enormous pressure from the establishment and from donors to keep someone - anyone! - who is vaguely credible in the race. That could mean that some of the later winner-takes-all states could go non-Trump. More likely an existing candidate than a new one, though.
Having said all that, there is still time for the picture to change dramatically even before Super Tuesday.
1) I don't think there's going to be a brokered convention. There's no reason to assume this year is going to be any different from any other election cycle in the recent past.
2) I don't think that Donald Trump is going to look unstoppable once the primary round actually starts. I'm of the Nate Silver school that thinks that the public haven't really tuned in properly yet. So I don't think a stop Trump candidate will be required.
3) I agree with you that if I'm wrong about either (1) or (2), the establishment will swing behind an existing candidate rather than draft someone else new in.
BTW, saddo that I am, I had a dream last night that Trump made a dramatic announcement in tonight's debate: that the whole thing had been a big joke and he was pulling out.
Mr. 1983, it may also be a test-run for China when it comes to the islands disputed between themselves and Japan (who currently possess them). Taiwan also claims those islands but is not really in a position to pursue that.
The corollary of Chinese militarist expansion (almost as soon as he became president, Xi Jinping was said to be keen on bolstering the military) may be the resurgence of Japanese nationalism and willingness to deploy military assets, even if only in self-defence.
How India reacts will also be interesting to see.
I don't think that's a particularly fair competition these days (except in the sense of Japan being a US proxy).
India won't do a thing. It's sensible for them to be diplomatically in the middle and let the great powers court them. I also just don't think they'd be very effective for some reason. If you have those sorts of financial resources and you can't organise a Commonwealth Games without dissentry in the pool and bridges falling down, what hope have you of sending an Armada to sort out the Chinese?
LA schools closed because of a threat is big news. However NY schools have treated it as a hoax.
And Major Tim Peake is the first ever Brit to go to Space Station. However several hundred others have already been over the last few years. Even Howard Wolowitz went a couple of years ago!
Mr. 1983, it may also be a test-run for China when it comes to the islands disputed between themselves and Japan (who currently possess them). Taiwan also claims those islands but is not really in a position to pursue that.
The corollary of Chinese militarist expansion (almost as soon as he became president, Xi Jinping was said to be keen on bolstering the military) may be the resurgence of Japanese nationalism and willingness to deploy military assets, even if only in self-defence.
How India reacts will also be interesting to see.
I don't think that's a particularly fair competition these days (except in the sense of Japan being a US proxy).
India won't do a thing. It's sensible for them to be diplomatically in the middle and let the great powers court them. I also just don't think they'd be very effective for some reason. If you have those sorts of financial resources and you can't organise a Commonwealth Games without dissentry in the pool and bridges falling down, what hope have you of sending an Armada to sort out the Chinese?
True, but the Indians currently have more aircraft carriers than the UK...
LA schools closed because of a threat is big news. However NY schools have treated it as a hoax.
And Major Tim Peake is the first ever Brit to go to Space Station. However several hundred others have already been over the last few years. Even Howard Wolowitz went a couple of years ago!
Mr. 1983, it may also be a test-run for China when it comes to the islands disputed between themselves and Japan (who currently possess them). Taiwan also claims those islands but is not really in a position to pursue that.
The corollary of Chinese militarist expansion (almost as soon as he became president, Xi Jinping was said to be keen on bolstering the military) may be the resurgence of Japanese nationalism and willingness to deploy military assets, even if only in self-defence.
How India reacts will also be interesting to see.
I don't think that's a particularly fair competition these days (except in the sense of Japan being a US proxy).
India won't do a thing. It's sensible for them to be diplomatically in the middle and let the great powers court them. I also just don't think they'd be very effective for some reason. If you have those sorts of financial resources and you can't organise a Commonwealth Games without dissentry in the pool and bridges falling down, what hope have you of sending an Armada to sort out the Chinese?
True, but the Indians currently have more aircraft carriers than the UK...
I'm sure they've even got planes to go on them too, but I'm not sure anyone should be using the Royal Navy as a measure of success these days.
Mr. 1983, it may also be a test-run for China when it comes to the islands disputed between themselves and Japan (who currently possess them). Taiwan also claims those islands but is not really in a position to pursue that.
The corollary of Chinese militarist expansion (almost as soon as he became president, Xi Jinping was said to be keen on bolstering the military) may be the resurgence of Japanese nationalism and willingness to deploy military assets, even if only in self-defence.
How India reacts will also be interesting to see.
I don't think that's a particularly fair competition these days (except in the sense of Japan being a US proxy).
India won't do a thing. It's sensible for them to be diplomatically in the middle and let the great powers court them. I also just don't think they'd be very effective for some reason. If you have those sorts of financial resources and you can't organise a Commonwealth Games without dissentry in the pool and bridges falling down, what hope have you of sending an Armada to sort out the Chinese?
True, but the Indians currently have more aircraft carriers than the UK...
Mr. 1983, it may also be a test-run for China when it comes to the islands disputed between themselves and Japan (who currently possess them). Taiwan also claims those islands but is not really in a position to pursue that.
The corollary of Chinese militarist expansion (almost as soon as he became president, Xi Jinping was said to be keen on bolstering the military) may be the resurgence of Japanese nationalism and willingness to deploy military assets, even if only in self-defence.
How India reacts will also be interesting to see.
I don't think that's a particularly fair competition these days (except in the sense of Japan being a US proxy).
India won't do a thing. It's sensible for them to be diplomatically in the middle and let the great powers court them. I also just don't think they'd be very effective for some reason. If you have those sorts of financial resources and you can't organise a Commonwealth Games without dissentry in the pool and bridges falling down, what hope have you of sending an Armada to sort out the Chinese?
True, but the Indians currently have more aircraft carriers than the UK...
But do they work?
Well, the former HMS Hermes (INS Viraat since 1987) is actually coming to the end of her useful life, she will be retired next year.
Mr. Pulpstar, ha, I missed the 'Yorkshire' bit at first.
If Sinfield won SPOTY it'd be a shock, but there will be many people from Yorkshire voting for him. I'm not into rugby league, but even I know about the treble and his stellar career.
Mr. Pulpstar, ha, I missed the 'Yorkshire' bit at first.
If Sinfield won SPOTY it'd be a shock, but there will be many people from Yorkshire voting for him. I'm not into rugby league, but even I know about the treble and his stellar career.
Hmm I think Murray is justifiably fav, but Sinfield has a remote chance. Lay Ennis Hill at 5-2 is perhaps the bet.
Mr. Pulpstar, Murray should get the Scottish vote (which I think is basically the same size as the Yorkshire vote). There's no stand out achievement (Hamilton won in F1 but it was not a great season), so maybe backing an outsider makes sense.
BTW, saddo that I am, I had a dream last night that Trump made a dramatic announcement in tonight's debate: that the whole thing had been a big joke and he was pulling out.
If I were Trump, I would make a dramatic announcement on stage, but not that one.
Instead since Trump asked from CNN to pay 5$ million to a veterans charity in order to appear on stage, but CNN refused, so I would have done an announcement on live TV on stage at the very beginning of the debate saying that "I always keep my word, Donald Trump always keeps his word, since CNN didn't give the money to the veterans charity, I will keep my word and leave the debate, always remember Trump keeps his word" and then I would have left the stage to the jaw dropping audience of tens of millions and made TV history.
And all that would remain on the mind of the audience after the debate would be the phrase "Trump always keeps his word".
Of course with Trump you never know, he might do a similar thing tonight.
They must be low rent cruise missiles Russian has, when they can hit a block of flats during a test that went wrong, but nobody was hurt
Unless nobody was hurt because they were vaporised before their synapses had time to fire up?
Well it says they were evacuated. But who knows....
Guesswork, but if it was a test the missile might have only had a dummy warhead. The fire might have been caused by a combination of propellent and items in the flat (e.g. gas mains).
Or there might have been a translation error, and the flats might have been evacuated before the test (although that's unlikely).
BTW, saddo that I am, I had a dream last night that Trump made a dramatic announcement in tonight's debate: that the whole thing had been a big joke and he was pulling out.
If I were Trump, I would make a dramatic announcement on stage, but not that one.
Instead since Trump asked from CNN to pay 5$ million to a veterans charity in order to appear on stage, but CNN refused, so I would have done an announcement on live TV on stage at the very beginning of the debate saying that "I always keep my word, Donald Trump always keeps his word, since CNN didn't give the money to the veterans charity, I will keep my word and leave the debate, always remember Trump keeps his word" and then I would have left the stage to the jaw dropping audience of tens of millions and made TV history.
And all that would remain on the mind of the audience after the debate would be the phrase "Trump always keeps his word".
Of course with Trump you never know, he might do a similar thing tonight.
LOL, that would be funny if he does, and I won't rule it out, his calculation would be - does this get me the headlines and media attention to such an extent over the next few days that it drowns out any coverage of the others, and he may conclude that it does!!!
Mr. 1983, it may also be a test-run for China when it comes to the islands disputed between themselves and Japan (who currently possess them). Taiwan also claims those islands but is not really in a position to pursue that.
The corollary of Chinese militarist expansion (almost as soon as he became president, Xi Jinping was said to be keen on bolstering the military) may be the resurgence of Japanese nationalism and willingness to deploy military assets, even if only in self-defence.
How India reacts will also be interesting to see.
I don't think that's a particularly fair competition these days (except in the sense of Japan being a US proxy).
India won't do a thing. It's sensible for them to be diplomatically in the middle and let the great powers court them. I also just don't think they'd be very effective for some reason. If you have those sorts of financial resources and you can't organise a Commonwealth Games without dissentry in the pool and bridges falling down, what hope have you of sending an Armada to sort out the Chinese?
China spanked India in '62 iirc. No earthly reason why they couldn't do it again.
BTW, saddo that I am, I had a dream last night that Trump made a dramatic announcement in tonight's debate: that the whole thing had been a big joke and he was pulling out.
If I were Trump, I would make a dramatic announcement on stage, but not that one.
Instead since Trump asked from CNN to pay 5$ million to a veterans charity in order to appear on stage, but CNN refused, so I would have done an announcement on live TV on stage at the very beginning of the debate saying that "I always keep my word, Donald Trump always keeps his word, since CNN didn't give the money to the veterans charity, I will keep my word and leave the debate, always remember Trump keeps his word" and then I would have left the stage to the jaw dropping audience of tens of millions and made TV history.
And all that would remain on the mind of the audience after the debate would be the phrase "Trump always keeps his word".
Of course with Trump you never know, he might do a similar thing tonight.
LOL, that would be funny if he does, and I won't rule it out, his calculation would be - does this get me the headlines and media attention to such an extent over the next few days that it drowns out any coverage of the others, and he may conclude that it does!!!
It certainly would, because of 3 factors:
1. Because no one has left any debate while on live TV and certainly not on his terms in 60 years of world TV. 2. Because it will be totally unexpected.
1+2= continuous repeats of the clip of that moment, people will want to watch it for decades in the future, like sometimes we watch famous moments from debates from the past on youtube.
And also: 3. Because of conditional reasoning to imprint on the minds of the audience the phrase "Trump always keeps his word" so that every time people hear about Trump they will automatically think about integrity.
“I think you can have three candidates—Cruz, Trump, and Rubio—go all the way to California [which votes on June 7],” says Republican strategist Scott Reed, the campaign manager for Bob Dole in 1996. “Because of the way the calendar is designed, with so many delegates being proportional up until March 15, then winner-take-all, it’s going to be very hard for someone to get to the magic number [needed for the nomination] until later than ever. California may really matter this time.”
“I think you can have three candidates—Cruz, Trump, and Rubio—go all the way to California [which votes on June 7],” says Republican strategist Scott Reed, the campaign manager for Bob Dole in 1996. “Because of the way the calendar is designed, with so many delegates being proportional up until March 15, then winner-take-all, it’s going to be very hard for someone to get to the magic number [needed for the nomination] until later than ever. California may really matter this time.”
You should have asked me instead, I'm much better at predicting the GOP race so far than any other, so far close to (if not at) 100% accuracy.
So here's the list of states that matter: 1. Iowa If Trump wins Iowa, he wins the nomination-period. If Trump doesn't win Iowa, then the person who does will be his main challenger, unless Trump also loses N.H.
2. N.Hampshire If Trump hasn't won Iowa, then he needs N.H or he's out, same goes for those who haven't won Iowa. If the person who won Iowa also wins N.H. then he is the nominee.
3. S.Carolina The delusional's last stand, if those who have failed to win the last 2 are still in the race and have lost S.C. then they are will truly be sidelined by everyone including their last supporters.
4. The southern states on Super Tuesday. Trump has to win a majority of those the states to keep momentum. His challenger has to win his home state to avoid a collapse, and a majority of southern states to build momentum.
Although Scott Reed was a campaign manager 20 years ago for Bob Dole, he has no idea about the modern world, especially if his last hope to nominate Rubio is California.
Michael Bloomberg is considering a run, whatever that article says. PBers be assured, I have actual knowledge of this :-)
If he runs, tell us in advance so I can bet on Trump winning the presidency, as Bloomberg will get more votes from democrats than republicans, like John Anderson did in 1980.
Rubio might have violated Congressional Ethics Rules, it's a big deal, last time it cost the head of Jim Wright then House Speaker in 1989, however since Rubio is leaving politics anyway and not seeking re-election it doesn't affect republicans in the Senate:
"Just seven weeks shy of the Iowa caucuses, Rubio worst-case scenario isn’t what the Ethics Committee might do to him following a lengthy investigation, given that he’s already made it clear he plans to leave the chamber next year either way. It’s what his GOP rivals might do with this new tidbit in those seven weeks, given Rubio’s already well-documented problems with money."
But it will still terminate his campaign to run for president.
"The European Commission has unveiled plans for a new EU border agency that would be capable of deploying guards to a country’s frontiers in an emergency — even if the national government objected."
"The plan must still be approved by EU member states and the European Parliament but a commission official said it already enjoyed the backing of France and Germany, the two largest EU members."
"Under the new proposal, a weighted majority of EU countries could vote to override Greek objections and send in assistance — even if Athens voted against the plan in Brussels.
Officials acknowledged giving powers to an EU agency to send in guards — some of whom could be armed and empowered with the right to force migrants into registration centres — over the objections of a national government could lead to tensions."
Can you just imagine it - the French and Germans invading Greece to man their borders? Me neither.
Officials acknowledged giving powers to an EU agency to send in guards — some of whom could be armed and empowered with the right to force migrants into registration centres — over the objections of a national government could lead to tensions."
In Scotland its who will lose least badly v the SNP. Its too early for voters to have their revenge on the SNP, but that moment is moving closer, just not this time.
"The European Commission has unveiled plans for a new EU border agency that would be capable of deploying guards to a country’s frontiers in an emergency — even if the national government objected."
"The plan must still be approved by EU member states and the European Parliament but a commission official said it already enjoyed the backing of France and Germany, the two largest EU members."
"Under the new proposal, a weighted majority of EU countries could vote to override Greek objections and send in assistance — even if Athens voted against the plan in Brussels.
Officials acknowledged giving powers to an EU agency to send in guards — some of whom could be armed and empowered with the right to force migrants into registration centres — over the objections of a national government could lead to tensions."
Can you just imagine it - the French and Germans invading Greece to man their borders? Me neither.
In Scotland its who will lose least badly v the SNP. Its too early for voters to have their revenge on the SNP, but that moment is moving closer, just not this time.
Rubio and Bush are clearly the establishment's favourite candidates, they may prefer Cruz to Trump with a gun to their head but Cruz is too radical and populist to be the establishment candidate
Comments
@Plato_Says Thanks for the link, I hadn't see the whole article. I'd only heard of the news due to Dan Hodges trending on twitter.
The corollary of Chinese militarist expansion (almost as soon as he became president, Xi Jinping was said to be keen on bolstering the military) may be the resurgence of Japanese nationalism and willingness to deploy military assets, even if only in self-defence.
How India reacts will also be interesting to see.
Hell, they're ALL lays at the current odds!
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-35101209
I make that a 4% swing to homeowners from non-homeowners in just 12 months.
No wonder the kids are Corbynistas. Without rich parents, they're fucked.
Maximum equality!
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-1581.html
Where has the Admiral Kuznetsov broken down this week?
I'm not currently involved but long Cruz looks like the most sensible play at the moment.
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/10/stop-trying-to-make-bloomberg-happen/411514/
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-35106935
EU border force: armed , foreign police coming in uninvited, taking over territory to organise deportations https://t.co/5LjWiIg9n9
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-3350.html
Bush and Rubio both completely at sea (Compared to their odds) in their home state - Florida !!
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-3555.html
Having said all that, there is still time for the picture to change dramatically even before Super Tuesday.
2) I don't think that Donald Trump is going to look unstoppable once the primary round actually starts. I'm of the Nate Silver school that thinks that the public haven't really tuned in properly yet. So I don't think a stop Trump candidate will be required.
3) I agree with you that if I'm wrong about either (1) or (2), the establishment will swing behind an existing candidate rather than draft someone else new in.
Never waste a good crisis...
Moody Slayer
#Moments.
Election night 2015. https://t.co/WguWFtVALT
India won't do a thing. It's sensible for them to be diplomatically in the middle and let the great powers court them. I also just don't think they'd be very effective for some reason. If you have those sorts of financial resources and you can't organise a Commonwealth Games without dissentry in the pool and bridges falling down, what hope have you of sending an Armada to sort out the Chinese?
LA schools closed because of a threat is big news. However NY schools have treated it as a hoax.
And Major Tim Peake is the first ever Brit to go to Space Station. However several hundred others have already been over the last few years. Even Howard Wolowitz went a couple of years ago!
These aren't the missiles you're looking for!
INS Vikramaditya commissioned two years ago:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/INS_Vikramaditya
https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=INS_Viraat&redirect=no
http://blogs.new.spectator.co.uk/2015/12/the-welfare-bill-could-become-a-benefits-trap-so-im-proposing-an-amendment/
Kevin Sinfield crushing Ennis Hill in battle for Yorkshire SPOTY
http://fans.vote/ACkNGZ4GHUw/yorkshire-post-sport/who-is-your-yorkshire-sports-hero-of-2015?&ref=results
If Sinfield won SPOTY it'd be a shock, but there will be many people from Yorkshire voting for him. I'm not into rugby league, but even I know about the treble and his stellar career.
Hope this has the Wimbledon effect on the future for scientists and astronauts.
http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/03526/ndo-launch-tim-pea_3526917b.jpg
during a test that went wrong, but nobody was hurt
Unless nobody was hurt because they were vaporised before their synapses had time to fire up?
Instead since Trump asked from CNN to pay 5$ million to a veterans charity in order to appear on stage, but CNN refused, so I would have done an announcement on live TV on stage at the very beginning of the debate saying that "I always keep my word, Donald Trump always keeps his word, since CNN didn't give the money to the veterans charity, I will keep my word and leave the debate, always remember Trump keeps his word" and then I would have left the stage to the jaw dropping audience of tens of millions and made TV history.
And all that would remain on the mind of the audience after the debate would be the phrase "Trump always keeps his word".
Of course with Trump you never know, he might do a similar thing tonight.
Or there might have been a translation error, and the flats might have been evacuated before the test (although that's unlikely).
@dpletka · 16m16 minutes ago
Guess who said this. You simply won't believe it. (Hint: it's @JohnKerry )
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CWSMutzW4AArwUu.jpg
1. Because no one has left any debate while on live TV and certainly not on his terms in 60 years of world TV.
2. Because it will be totally unexpected.
1+2= continuous repeats of the clip of that moment, people will want to watch it for decades in the future, like sometimes we watch famous moments from debates from the past on youtube.
And also:
3. Because of conditional reasoning to imprint on the minds of the audience the phrase "Trump always keeps his word" so that every time people hear about Trump they will automatically think about integrity.
http://www.nationaljournal.com/next-america/newsdesk/states-that-could-pick-gop-nominee?mref=home_top_side_1
Key quote:
“I think you can have three candidates—Cruz, Trump, and Rubio—go all the way to California [which votes on June 7],” says Republican strategist Scott Reed, the campaign manager for Bob Dole in 1996. “Because of the way the calendar is designed, with so many delegates being proportional up until March 15, then winner-take-all, it’s going to be very hard for someone to get to the magic number [needed for the nomination] until later than ever. California may really matter this time.”
Eoin of the Bungle.
Meanwhile his chums, the Vlads, are dropping cluster bombs and phosphorous on random Syrians.
So here's the list of states that matter:
1. Iowa
If Trump wins Iowa, he wins the nomination-period.
If Trump doesn't win Iowa, then the person who does will be his main challenger, unless Trump also loses N.H.
2. N.Hampshire
If Trump hasn't won Iowa, then he needs N.H or he's out, same goes for those who haven't won Iowa.
If the person who won Iowa also wins N.H. then he is the nominee.
3. S.Carolina
The delusional's last stand, if those who have failed to win the last 2 are still in the race and have lost S.C. then they are will truly be sidelined by everyone including their last supporters.
4. The southern states on Super Tuesday.
Trump has to win a majority of those the states to keep momentum.
His challenger has to win his home state to avoid a collapse, and a majority of southern states to build momentum.
Although Scott Reed was a campaign manager 20 years ago for Bob Dole, he has no idea about the modern world, especially if his last hope to nominate Rubio is California.
http://m.heraldscotland.com/news/13791462.Corbyn_predicts_Labour_will_win_in_next_year_s_Scottish_Parliament_elections/
Is it any wonder the SNP sweep the boards here.
ABC national poll:
Trump 38 +6
Cruz 15 +8
Rubio 12 +1
Carson 12 -10
Bush 5 -1
Christie 4 +2
Kasich 2 -1
Paul 2 -1
Fiorina 1 -3
This is probably the last debate with Paul and Fiorina on stage.
PPP Iowa:
Trump 28 +6
Cruz 25 +11
Rubio 14 +4
Carson 10 -11
Bush 7 +2
Christie 3 0
Fiorina 3 -2
Huckabee 3 -3
Kasich 2 0
Also, Rubio might get sucked into a corruption scandal:
http://www.nationaljournal.com/s/125957/did-marco-rubios-donors-fund-book-that-put-800-000-into-rubios-pocket?mref=recommended_1
Rubio might have violated Congressional Ethics Rules, it's a big deal, last time it cost the head of Jim Wright then House Speaker in 1989, however since Rubio is leaving politics anyway and not seeking re-election it doesn't affect republicans in the Senate:
"Just seven weeks shy of the Iowa caucuses, Rubio worst-case scenario isn’t what the Ethics Committee might do to him following a lengthy investigation, given that he’s already made it clear he plans to leave the chamber next year either way. It’s what his GOP rivals might do with this new tidbit in those seven weeks, given Rubio’s already well-documented problems with money."
But it will still terminate his campaign to run for president.
It's hilarious. Believe it when I see it - but strange things are happening right now...
@CourtNewsUK: Saudi millionaire cleared of raping teen after claiming he accidentally penetrated her when he slipped and fell
Although there is a chance for an SNP-Green coalition.
Who said that british justice is blind.
http://illuminatus.wikia.com/wiki/Fernando_Poo
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/9421c7d8-a333-11e5-bc70-7ff6d4fd203a.html?ftcamp=published_links/rss/brussels/feed//product#axzz3uPrLcApJ
"The European Commission has unveiled plans for a new EU border agency that would be capable of deploying guards to a country’s frontiers in an emergency — even if the national government objected."
"The plan must still be approved by EU member states and the European Parliament but a commission official said it already enjoyed the backing of France and Germany, the two largest EU members."
"Under the new proposal, a weighted majority of EU countries could vote to override Greek objections and send in assistance — even if Athens voted against the plan in Brussels.
Officials acknowledged giving powers to an EU agency to send in guards — some of whom could be armed and empowered with the right to force migrants into registration centres — over the objections of a national government could lead to tensions."
Can you just imagine it - the French and Germans invading Greece to man their borders? Me neither.
He is a natural Tory !