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  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    JackW said:

    Benn's was an outstanding speech given the context of opposing his party leader, the majority of Labour MP's, the nature of the Commons occasion and the widespread acclaim from members on all sides of the HoC, except the SNP and other odds and sods.

    Indeed. It is the context that makes speeches great (oratorical competence is necessary but not sufficient).
  • isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Just in case Ukip do win, and 7/2 shots do win sometimes I suppose, remember we have already been warned on here about the hatred between Bickley and Carswell

    (snip)

    Did people use the word 'hatred' ? ISTR posters were commenting on the fact that the two might well have different views on some important issues, which might be problematic in a party with only two MPs.
    What are these different views?
    I saw Bickley making a cup of tea in the UKIP base in Oldham and he used skimmed milk. Carswell is a strict semi skimmed man; he feels very strongly about this.

    Problems for UKIP
    You'll also notice one is wearing jeans and no tie, the other slacks with a tie, irreversible divisions.

    Carswell has long been an extremely vocal critic of Berghaus apparel
    On a serious note Douglas conducted himself as a proper Parliamentarian yesterday, went along to the debate, listened to both sides and voted accordingly. The standard of MPs would increase enormously if there were no whips and members voted with their conscience.

    There would be no government either.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JamesTapsfield: Formalising rival powerbases. Frank Field still thinking the unthinkable https://t.co/H3f8ncp6wo
  • Pulpstar said:

    Has there ever been a bigger gulf of class between Shadow Foreign Sec and shadow Home Sec ?

    Yes. When William Hague was Shadow Foreign Secretary and David Davis was Shadow Home Secretary. Hague oozes class.

    I'll put my claws away now.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Those are screen burning pixels on Abbot.
    Scott_P said:
  • Mr. P, that was *my* idea! :p

    [No, really, I did raise the idea of a diarchy in Labour some days ago, perhaps a week or two].
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,169
    edited December 2015
    Scott_P said:

    @rosschawkins: Alan Yentob quits BBC

    AND THERE WAS MUCH REJOICING !!

    About bloody time too!

    Shame he wasn't fired with loss of pension though, can we hope that the police investigating Kids Company might now take an interest in what he was doing there as chair of the Trustees?
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492

    isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Just in case Ukip do win, and 7/2 shots do win sometimes I suppose, remember we have already been warned on here about the hatred between Bickley and Carswell

    (snip)

    Did people use the word 'hatred' ? ISTR posters were commenting on the fact that the two might well have different views on some important issues, which might be problematic in a party with only two MPs.
    What are these different views?
    I saw Bickley making a cup of tea in the UKIP base in Oldham and he used skimmed milk. Carswell is a strict semi skimmed man; he feels very strongly about this.

    Problems for UKIP
    You'll also notice one is wearing jeans and no tie, the other slacks with a tie, irreversible divisions.

    Carswell has long been an extremely vocal critic of Berghaus apparel
    On a serious note Douglas conducted himself as a proper Parliamentarian yesterday, went along to the debate, listened to both sides and voted accordingly. The standard of MPs would increase enormously if there were no whips and members voted with their conscience.

    There would be no government either.
    Really, why?

  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,269
    dr_spyn said:

    Stop the War will continue to hold to democratic account all those MPs who vote for war.

    http://stopwar.org.uk/index.php/resources/stop-the-war-statements/stop-the-war-statement-on-uk-parliament-s-decision-to-bomb-syria

    Does STW have elections to its policy making bodies?

    Who the F*** are STW to say that they rather than the electorate should hold MPs to account?
  • Pulpstar said:

    Has there ever been a bigger gulf of class between Shadow Foreign Sec and shadow Home Sec ?

    Yes. When William Hague was Shadow Foreign Secretary and David Davis was Shadow Home Secretary. Hague oozes class.

    I'll put my claws away now.
    Davis was quite effective as Shadow HS; opposition suits him.
  • Apols if already posted. I'm off to see if PB has ever had a poster called Bickmeister

    John Bickley, UKIP's candidate in Thursday's Oldham West and Royton by-election, believes Labour "deliberately encouraged" mass immigration to drive down working class wages, while climate change is a "non problem" invented to achieve "socialist objectives", according to his postings in the comments sections of news stories.

    In addition to being UKIP's candidate in the party's make-or-break by-election, Bickley had a sideline as an anti-immigration and climate change sceptic in the comments section of the Guardian and other websites, where he made dozens of posts under the name "bickmeister" over a five-year period.

    In one comment "bickmeister" claimed "Labour deliberately encouraged mass immigration, destroying working class jobs & wages" and another he said that global warming sits alongside other government and media "scares", such as AIDS, which have "proved to be global damp squids" [sic].

    http://bzfd.it/1XBkvmQ
  • Scott_P said:

    What's more, he's proven how effective he,and others like him, can be inside the shadow cabinet. It was only opposition from Benn and co that resulted in even a nominally free vote.

    @iainmartin1: Labour will have to split. Here's how to do it. (Me for @CapX on saving moderate Labour) https://t.co/0KVUuAZHop via @CapX
    Martin is right about what the so called moderates should do. The only thing wrong with it is they should have done it this morning.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842
    kjohnw said:
    Surely Labour MPs know they have to act now and act fast.

    Get rid of Corbyn and then declare that membership of Momentum is incompatible with membership of Labour and carry out a purge of those who use threats and violence as a political tool.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,027
    isam said:
    Fair bit of expectation management going on everywhere. I mean, a seat like this shouldn't have ever been in doubt.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,169
    Cyclefree said:

    Sandpit said:

    The Twitter feed on '66 Labour MPs' is a great demonstration of the 'new politics'.....

    The new 'kind and gentle' politics that was sending photos of dead children to MPs yesterday, and is now calling them child murderers. Nice, kind and gentle politics.
    I am frankly sick of this. What about photos of a pilot burnt alive in a cage? What about photos of young girls raped to death, of children tortured because their parents wouldn't abandon Christianity? What about photos of mass graves of murdered women? What about photos of what a gay man looks like after he's been thrown off a building and then stoned?

    Those banners saying: "Don't bomb Syria" should read "Don't bomb IS".

    Because that's what those protestors are FOR. They may think they're for rainbows and peace and holding hands and teaching the world to sing in harmony. But they're not. Here and now in this world as it is, they are for doing nothing about terrorists, they are for doing nothing against those who slaughter people as they eat and talk to their lovers and friends, they are for doing nothing against people who burn women alive for not doing extreme sex acts, they are for doing nothing against those who slaughter children for being Christian, and all the ghastly rest of it. They may like to think they are not but that is what, objectively, they are for when they say "let's not bomb IS".

    They have blood on their hands. Inaction has consequences just as much as action.

    I am sick of these people claiming the moral high ground. So self-centred are they, so concerned with keeping their precious hands clean are they that they turn away from the fact that they are complicit in the crimes they ignore.

    It is time this was rammed down by their throats.

    "For evil to triumph it is enough that good men do nothing"

    I'm not even sure that all of them are good men but, even assuming that they are, they certainly want to do nothing.

    Benn's reference in his speech to the Good Samaritan, to not walking by on the other side, was well said. I am not going to be told that only those who refuse to act are moral. I am not prepared to give such people a free pass on this.
    Well said Ms Cyclefree - as always.
  • DearPBDearPB Posts: 439
    Wanderer said:
    I don't believe the Lib Dems will have done enough canvassing this time nor have enough historical data to have any knowledge at all. No more informed than any other vaguely interested local opinion.
  • Should be noted Carswell's father was one of the first doctors to identify HIV/AIDS
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:
    Fair bit of expectation management going on everywhere. I mean, a seat like this shouldn't have ever been in doubt.
    I didn't think so, I thought it would be 1/50, and have backed labour -16 at 6/5!
  • isam said:

    I am not for one minute predicting that the Syrian bombing will turn out to be the new Iraq, but I think it is worth reflecting that the MP's that voted for Iraq in 2003 probably felt just as those who voted for Syria yesterday do, ie they weren't bloodthirsty warmongers, they were torn over what to do

    Now they are viewed slightly suspiciously, and admitting to having voted for Iraq is the equivalent of owning up to dropping one in a lift, while those who didn't make it a bulletpoint on their CV... will be interesting to see how this develops and who plays which role ten years hence

    Agree to a certain extent, although I think yesterday's debate was better than the one before Iraq (although to be fair I'd have to listen to the latter again).

    However I find it slightly odd that MPs should think that way about matters of foreign affairs, when decisions they make on domestic issues have more more effect on the lives and wellbeing of their constituents.
    isam's right about how a lot of MPs in 2003 felt. I think JJ's view is odd - wars are about killing people and potentially sending people to die, most MPs' work is about whether tax credits go up or down and whether HS2 should go through the constituuency, not to mention more trivial matters. Of course war/peace is more important and more of an issue to worry about.

    I seem to be unusual but I think Corbyn, Benn and McDonnell are all behaving well. Benn's speech attacks Cameron for his "terrorist" stuff and then properly addresses the main issue. Corbyn has a long piece on his FB page denouncing people from any side who intimidate MPs and he's stressing the right of all MPs to take their own view - consistently with his own record. McDonnell praises Benn's speech but notes that Blair's speech in similar circumstances was brilliant too and sometimes the outcome isn't what one wants. The outriders on both sides who tell each other to fuck off or claim that colleagues are Trots or Tories are the people getting in the way of an adult dialogue.

    Whether the decision last night was sensible is a different matter. I doubt it, but will be glad to be proved wrong.
    The question is not so much what Corbyn says in relation to internal discipline as what he does (or doesn't do).
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    SeanT said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Sandpit said:

    The Twitter feed on '66 Labour MPs' is a great demonstration of the 'new politics'.....

    The new 'kind and gentle' politics that was sending photos of dead children to MPs yesterday, and is now calling them child murderers. Nice, kind and gentle politics.
    I am frankly sick of this. What about photos of a pilot burnt alive in a cage? What about photos of young girls raped to death, of children tortured because their parents wouldn't abandon Christianity? What about photos of mass graves of murdered women? What about photos of what a gay man looks like after he's been thrown off a building and then stoned?

    Those banners saying: "Don't bomb Syria" should read "Don't bomb IS".

    Because that's what those protestors are FOR. They may think they're for rainbows and peace and holding hands and teaching the world to sing in harmony. But they're not. Here and now in this world as it is, they are for doing nothing about terrorists, they are for doing nothing against those who slaughter people as they eat and talk to their lovers and friends, they are for doing nothing against people who burn women alive for not doing extreme sex acts, they are for doing nothing against those who slaughter children for being Christian, and all the ghastly rest of it. They may like to think they are not but that is what, objectively, they are for when they say "let's not bomb IS".

    They have blood on their hands. Inaction has consequences just as much as action.

    I am sick of these people claiming the moral high ground. So self-centred are they, so concerned with keeping their precious hands clean are they that they turn away from the fact that they are complicit in the crimes they ignore.

    It is time this was rammed down by their throats.

    "For evil to triumph it is enough that good men do nothing"

    I'm not even sure that all of them are good men but, even assuming that they are, they certainly want to do nothing.

    Benn's reference in his speech to the Good Samaritan, to not walking by on the other side, was well said. I am not going to be told that only those who refuse to act are moral. I am not prepared to give such people a free pass on this.


    Bravo. I fucking loathe these preening Stop the War wankers. I've got a couple of close friends who are posting this crap on FB and I'm finding it hard to stay silent.
    Daesh would not hesitate for one second to throw Stop the War supporters to their deaths from office blocks. They're fools.
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838

    SeanT said:

    GeoffM said:

    Sandpit said:

    Morning all. A great speech from Hilary Benn - when watched a second time this morning rather than when a little squiffy well after midnight!
    Whole 14 minute speech here.
    www.youtube.com/watch?v=n2GTNK4VsXs

    Thanks for posting this - I didn't see it last night.

    After all of the breathless hype I was vaguely disappointed.
    It's quite good, but not the Nuremberg Rally quality of speech that is being sold on here.
    I agree, it was the walking dog of speeches. It wasn't so much that it was done well, it was that it was done at all - a Shadow Cabinet minister giving a reasonable and coherent analysis of why his party should support a "war".

    Nonetheless Benn is now very clearly the front runner in the After Corbyn Candidates.

    It was certainly a lot better than either Dave's or Jezza's. Clipped, fluent fury is what he gave us. It was a controlled release of pent-up emotion: "What the fuck are we doing with this fool behind me as leader? This is what Labour really should be about." I suspect it worked more magic for those of us who had despaired of ever again hearing our principles spoken out loud by a frontbench Labour politician. It gave us hope, which maybe in the cold light of day we should not have allowed ourselves. But it felt very good at the time.

    A ranting emotional laden speech was the last thing you want from a prime minister.

    Maybe - but it is reasonable to expect a clear and compelling one when the PM is making the case for military action. Dave failed on that front yesterday.

    Agreed, Cameron could have had a major political triumph in the HoC yesterday, but for the stupid comment the day before. When even moderates such as Gisela attacked you.
    I think that's true. On the other hand, politically, having a news cycle dominated by "terrorist sympathisers" is probably a lot more valuable than the effect of a good speech in the House.
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492
    isam said:
    I've no idea what's going on in Oldham but I hope the reliable source is at the travel agent tomorrow having secured around 25% on his money in a day

  • Apols if already posted. I'm off to see if PB has ever had a poster called Bickmeister

    John Bickley, UKIP's candidate in Thursday's Oldham West and Royton by-election, believes Labour "deliberately encouraged" mass immigration to drive down working class wages, while climate change is a "non problem" invented to achieve "socialist objectives", according to his postings in the comments sections of news stories.

    In addition to being UKIP's candidate in the party's make-or-break by-election, Bickley had a sideline as an anti-immigration and climate change sceptic in the comments section of the Guardian and other websites, where he made dozens of posts under the name "bickmeister" over a five-year period.

    In one comment "bickmeister" claimed "Labour deliberately encouraged mass immigration, destroying working class jobs & wages" and another he said that global warming sits alongside other government and media "scares", such as AIDS, which have "proved to be global damp squids" [sic].

    http://bzfd.it/1XBkvmQ

    Gets my vote
  • Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:

    @rosschawkins: Alan Yentob quits BBC

    AND THERE WAS MUCH REJOICING !!

    About bloody time too!

    Shame he wasn't fired with loss of pension though, can we hope that the police investigating Kids Company might now take an interest in what he was doing there as chair of the Trustees?
    The moment he spoke uninvited to journalists in the BBC asking them questions about the Kids Company investigations, is the moment he should have been sacked without compensation. But one of his friends is the DG and the Chairman of the Trustees is a chocolate tea pot.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,779
    Morning all :)

    Managed to listen to Hilary Benn's speech this morning. Perhaps not quite the tour de force as some on here have proclaimed but what it did (and superbly) was to encapsulate the arguments for intervention in a 12 or 13 minute speech. Cameron sounded waffly, awkward and unconvincing in comparison and looked far from comfortable at Benn's performance.

    Many other backbenchers spoke well to particular aspects for and against intervention but the forensic nature of Benn's closing argument was extremely strong. I particularly liked his reference to Labour's past internationalism and he damned Corbyn with faint phrase -"honest and principled".

    There's no question PMQs with Cameron vs Benn would be entertaining and the toughest for the Conservative leader since he faced up to Blair. Benn, though, isn't a Mark 2 Blair for all his words last night and Labour still has to come up with coherent policies across the range of issues. Where I do disagree with some is Benn would not simply be Michael Howard, shoring up the core vote. He "could" reach out and regain those former Labour voters lost to UKIP and the Conservatives and that would be the nightmare for the Tories.

    So, of course, the media is all over the military action and it would be nice to see the diplomatic and humanitarian efforts promised by the Prime Minister given the same attention and focus as the aerial campaign.

    The political and other divides in Syria needs concerted international effort - the problem is we have to recognise Russia's strategic interests in the area. I doubt Putin is much bothered with Assad but he's much more concerned about the bases at Latakia and Tartus. As soon as all sides recognise the continuing Russian presence (whether they like it or not), the sooner the grand coalition can be built and the real issue of the ground war can be addressed.

    Unless something dramatic happens, the concern I have is that in six months, we will be back debating sending in ground troops - Benn and others alluded to that yesterday. I suspect we're a long way from a majority on that for all yesterday's fine speeches.
  • Apols if already posted. I'm off to see if PB has ever had a poster called Bickmeister

    John Bickley, UKIP's candidate in Thursday's Oldham West and Royton by-election, believes Labour "deliberately encouraged" mass immigration to drive down working class wages, while climate change is a "non problem" invented to achieve "socialist objectives", according to his postings in the comments sections of news stories.

    In addition to being UKIP's candidate in the party's make-or-break by-election, Bickley had a sideline as an anti-immigration and climate change sceptic in the comments section of the Guardian and other websites, where he made dozens of posts under the name "bickmeister" over a five-year period.

    In one comment "bickmeister" claimed "Labour deliberately encouraged mass immigration, destroying working class jobs & wages" and another he said that global warming sits alongside other government and media "scares", such as AIDS, which have "proved to be global damp squids" [sic].

    http://bzfd.it/1XBkvmQ

    Carswell's father was an AIDS doctor in Africa. He is opposed to Ukip's immigration policy isn't he?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,139

    isam said:

    I am not for one minute predicting that the Syrian bombing will turn out to be the new Iraq, but I think it is worth reflecting that the MP's that voted for Iraq in 2003 probably felt just as those who voted for Syria yesterday do, ie they weren't bloodthirsty warmongers, they were torn over what to do

    Now they are viewed slightly suspiciously, and admitting to having voted for Iraq is the equivalent of owning up to dropping one in a lift, while those who didn't make it a bulletpoint on their CV... will be interesting to see how this develops and who plays which role ten years hence

    Agree to a certain extent, although I think yesterday's debate was better than the one before Iraq (although to be fair I'd have to listen to the latter again).

    However I find it slightly odd that MPs should think that way about matters of foreign affairs, when decisions they make on domestic issues have more more effect on the lives and wellbeing of their constituents.
    isam's right about how a lot of MPs in 2003 felt. I think JJ's view is odd - wars are about killing people and potentially sending people to die, most MPs' work is about whether tax credits go up or down and whether HS2 should go through the constituuency, not to mention more trivial matters. Of course war/peace is more important and more of an issue to worry about.

    (snip)
    Yet we get told by some on the left that this government's misguided domestic policies will kill thousands. Matters of war and peace are vitally important, but so are the bread and butter policies which can help or hinder their constituents. The policies that can help this family out of poverty or lose these breadwinners their jobs. The policies that says this woman gets the cancer treatment she needs, or the ones that say this gay couple can get married.

    Then there's the fact that comparing last night's vote with the Iraq vote in 2003 is silly. The scale and nature of the proposed actions are totally different, and especially as they are just an extension of what is already happening over Iraq.

    If only MPs put as much independent thinking and fine words into everyday domestic votes as they do matters of war and peace.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @kerushton: Am told that there were shouts of 'yes! get in!' in the BBC news room as Yentob's departure was announced.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,169

    @election_data · 2m2 minutes ago
    Going for 32% turnout in #OldhamWest .

    I like the sound of that number.

    The higher the turnout the better it will be for Labour.

    My guess is that a turnout of 20% is a 3-way fight, 30% a two way fight and 40% a clear Lab win.

    33% might make for a close contest, now can UKIP get out the WWC vote on a cold and wet December day?
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492

    Apols if already posted. I'm off to see if PB has ever had a poster called Bickmeister

    John Bickley, UKIP's candidate in Thursday's Oldham West and Royton by-election, believes Labour "deliberately encouraged" mass immigration to drive down working class wages, while climate change is a "non problem" invented to achieve "socialist objectives", according to his postings in the comments sections of news stories.

    In addition to being UKIP's candidate in the party's make-or-break by-election, Bickley had a sideline as an anti-immigration and climate change sceptic in the comments section of the Guardian and other websites, where he made dozens of posts under the name "bickmeister" over a five-year period.

    In one comment "bickmeister" claimed "Labour deliberately encouraged mass immigration, destroying working class jobs & wages" and another he said that global warming sits alongside other government and media "scares", such as AIDS, which have "proved to be global damp squids" [sic].

    http://bzfd.it/1XBkvmQ

    Gets my vote
    And mine

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,347
    edited December 2015

    Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:

    @rosschawkins: Alan Yentob quits BBC

    AND THERE WAS MUCH REJOICING !!

    About bloody time too!

    Shame he wasn't fired with loss of pension though, can we hope that the police investigating Kids Company might now take an interest in what he was doing there as chair of the Trustees?
    The moment he spoke uninvited to journalists in the BBC asking them questions about the Kids Company investigations, is the moment he should have been sacked without compensation. But one of his friends is the DG and the Chairman of the Trustees is a chocolate tea pot.
    He hasn't fully "resigned". He has just quit from his creative director role (at the end of the year), he is going to focus his efforts on programme making and TV production.

    http://order-order.com/2015/12/03/alan-yentob-quits/
  • Re TSE

    "In one comment "bickmeister" claimed "Labour deliberately encouraged mass immigration,"

    That is self evidently true.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @MrHarryCole: Labour's by-election candidate called Ukip "disgruntled political obsessives and rejects". AKA former Labour voters: https://t.co/nKvPYlsFhf
  • Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:

    @rosschawkins: Alan Yentob quits BBC

    AND THERE WAS MUCH REJOICING !!

    About bloody time too!

    Shame he wasn't fired with loss of pension though, can we hope that the police investigating Kids Company might now take an interest in what he was doing there as chair of the Trustees?
    That must save the licence fee at least a £1.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842
    Wanderer said:

    SeanT said:

    GeoffM said:

    Sandpit said:

    Morning all. A great speech from Hilary Benn - when watched a second time this morning rather than when a little squiffy well after midnight!
    Whole 14 minute speech here.
    www.youtube.com/watch?v=n2GTNK4VsXs

    Thanks for posting this - I didn't see it last night.

    After all of the breathless hype I was vaguely disappointed.
    It's quite good, but not the Nuremberg Rally quality of speech that is being sold on here.
    I agree, it was the walking dog of speeches. It wasn't so much that it was done well, it was that it was done at all - a Shadow Cabinet minister giving a reasonable and coherent analysis of why his party should support a "war".

    Nonetheless Benn is now very clearly the front runner in the After Corbyn Candidates.

    It was certainly a lot better than either Dave's or Jezza's. Clipped, fluent fury is what he gave us. It was a controlled release of pent-up emotion: "What the fuck are we doing with this fool behind me as leader? This is what Labour really should be about." I suspect it worked more magic for those of us who had despaired of ever again hearing our principles spoken out loud by a frontbench Labour politician. It gave us hope, which maybe in the cold light of day we should not have allowed ourselves. But it felt very good at the time.

    A ranting emotional laden speech was the last thing you want from a prime minister.

    Maybe - but it is reasonable to expect a clear and compelling one when the PM is making the case for military action. Dave failed on that front yesterday.

    Agreed, Cameron could have had a major political triumph in the HoC yesterday, but for the stupid comment the day before. When even moderates such as Gisela attacked you.
    I think that's true. On the other hand, politically, having a news cycle dominated by "terrorist sympathisers" is probably a lot more valuable than the effect of a good speech in the House.
    And there is no denying that Corbyn and McDonnell are more than sympathisers. Their words and actions over the past 30 years prove that beyond a shadow of a doubt.

    And now they are contaminating the Labour Party for years to come.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,169

    isam said:

    I am not for one minute predicting that the Syrian bombing will turn out to be the new Iraq, but I think it is worth reflecting that the MP's that voted for Iraq in 2003 probably felt just as those who voted for Syria yesterday do, ie they weren't bloodthirsty warmongers, they were torn over what to do

    Now they are viewed slightly suspiciously, and admitting to having voted for Iraq is the equivalent of owning up to dropping one in a lift, while those who didn't make it a bulletpoint on their CV... will be interesting to see how this develops and who plays which role ten years hence

    Agree to a certain extent, although I think yesterday's debate was better than the one before Iraq (although to be fair I'd have to listen to the latter again).

    However I find it slightly odd that MPs should think that way about matters of foreign affairs, when decisions they make on domestic issues have more more effect on the lives and wellbeing of their constituents.
    isam's right about how a lot of MPs in 2003 felt. I think JJ's view is odd - wars are about killing people and potentially sending people to die, most MPs' work is about whether tax credits go up or down and whether HS2 should go through the constituuency, not to mention more trivial matters. Of course war/peace is more important and more of an issue to worry about.

    I seem to be unusual but I think Corbyn, Benn and McDonnell are all behaving well. Benn's speech attacks Cameron for his "terrorist" stuff and then properly addresses the main issue. Corbyn has a long piece on his FB page denouncing people from any side who intimidate MPs and he's stressing the right of all MPs to take their own view - consistently with his own record. McDonnell praises Benn's speech but notes that Blair's speech in similar circumstances was brilliant too and sometimes the outcome isn't what one wants. The outriders on both sides who tell each other to fuck off or claim that colleagues are Trots or Tories are the people getting in the way of an adult dialogue.

    Whether the decision last night was sensible is a different matter. I doubt it, but will be glad to be proved wrong.
    If Corbyn was serious in condemning intimidation, he would be suspending members on an hourly basis for their hate-filled actions - but he isn't.

    By failing to act against his supporters who use threats and intimidation, he is giving them the green light to continue.

    How long before someone gets hurt by a Momentum member?
    Yep, someone - preferably Corbyn himself - needs to vociferously call off the mob before one of the knuckleheaded idiots does something stupid.
  • Yentob is not gone from the BBC and will continue to be funded by the licence fee.
    he will "focus on programme making and TV production – including of course the Imagine Series. I will also continue supporting Christine Langan and her team as Chairman of BBC Films."
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,514

    Cyclefree said:

    It was a fantastic speech. I would still probably have voted against the government but I can respect the obviously genuine passion of Hilary Benn while disagreeing with his cause. I think that many Labour supporters will feel similarly, meaning that moves by the misnamed Left Unity to get
    deselections may get less traction.

    As for future leadership prospects, I'm much more doubtful. If there's a coronation, he now looks plausible. But I can't see any likely route to a coronation.

    It was a fantastic speech not so much because it made the case for bombing but because it made the moral case for Labour, for a decent Labour, for an outward looking Labour, for a Labour that understands that you fight fascists, you don't justify them or appease them or invite them to tea and call them friends, for Labour as a moral crusade, for a Labour that remembers its history, for a Labour on the side of liberal democracy not on the side of its enemies, for a Labour that is prepared to call out evil for what it is and to do so clearly and unequivocally without endless whataboutery.

    The section where he describes the contempt which IS has for everyone in the chamber, for our values, freedoms and our democracy was very powerful and contrasts with the weaselly and contemptible justification by the likes of Livingstone of suicide bombers as some sort of martyrs.
    That's a really good comment. As you say, he made a very positive case for a different Labour from the one Jeremy Corbyn offers. He's the first Labour MP to do that since the election.
    I agree. Cyclefree makes a good comment very eloquently.
  • Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:

    @rosschawkins: Alan Yentob quits BBC

    AND THERE WAS MUCH REJOICING !!

    About bloody time too!

    Shame he wasn't fired with loss of pension though, can we hope that the police investigating Kids Company might now take an interest in what he was doing there as chair of the Trustees?
    The moment he spoke uninvited to journalists in the BBC asking them questions about the Kids Company investigations, is the moment he should have been sacked without compensation. But one of his friends is the DG and the Chairman of the Trustees is a chocolate tea pot.
    He hasn't fully "resigned". He has just quit from his creative director role (at the end of the year), he is going to focus his efforts on programme making and TV production.

    http://order-order.com/2015/12/03/alan-yentob-quits/
    Shame on the BBC. But it will enable Select Committee MPs to carry on interviewing him...
  • blackburn63blackburn63 Posts: 4,492

    Re TSE

    "In one comment "bickmeister" claimed "Labour deliberately encouraged mass immigration,"

    That is self evidently true.

    Of course its true, labour don't deny it

  • Wonder how much we will still be paying for the foldy bike tw@t despite his "resignation".
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,139
    Scott_P said:

    @BethRigby: Alan Yentob has resigned from #BBC as creative director, am told he WILL stay on as presenter of Imagine

    To be fair, 'Creative director' sounds like it was the perfect role for him. Kids Company were certainly 'creative' in most of the things they did, not least the use of public money.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    watford30 said:

    Daesh would not hesitate for one second to throw Stop the War supporters to their deaths from office blocks. They're fools.

    Perhaps we should drop them in by parachute with their placards in their back-packs.

    Let them take their message to Syria.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842
    Sandpit said:

    isam said:

    I am not for one minute predicting that the Syrian bombing will turn out to be the new Iraq, but I think it is worth reflecting that the MP's that voted for Iraq in 2003 probably felt just as those who voted for Syria yesterday do, ie they weren't bloodthirsty warmongers, they were torn over what to do

    Agree to a certain extent, although I think yesterday's debate was better than the one before Iraq (although to be fair I'd have to listen to the latter again).

    However I find it slightly odd that MPs should think that way about matters of foreign affairs, when decisions they make on domestic issues have more more effect on the lives and wellbeing of their constituents.
    isam's right about how a lot of MPs in 2003 felt. I think JJ's view is odd - wars are about killing people and potentially sending people to die, most MPs' work is about whether tax credits go up or down and whether HS2 should go through the constituuency, not to mention more trivial matters. Of course war/peace is more important and more of an issue to worry about.

    I seem to be unusual but I think Corbyn, Benn and McDonnell are all behaving well. Benn's speech attacks Cameron for his "terrorist" stuff and then properly addresses the main issue. Corbyn has a long piece on his FB page denouncing people from any side who intimidate MPs and he's stressing the right of all MPs to take their own view - consistently with his own record. McDonnell praises Benn's speech but notes that Blair's speech in similar circumstances was brilliant too and sometimes the outcome isn't what one wants. The outriders on both sides who tell each other to fuck off or claim that colleagues are Trots or Tories are the people getting in the way of an adult dialogue.

    Whether the decision last night was sensible is a different matter. I doubt it, but will be glad to be proved wrong.
    If Corbyn was serious in condemning intimidation, he would be suspending members on an hourly basis for their hate-filled actions - but he isn't.

    By failing to act against his supporters who use threats and intimidation, he is giving them the green light to continue.

    How long before someone gets hurt by a Momentum member?
    Yep, someone - preferably Corbyn himself - needs to vociferously call off the mob before one of the knuckleheaded idiots does something stupid.
    The stupid has already started. Just look at that 'final solution' tweet that has been circulating this morning. And Livingstone supporting de-selection.

    There is no shortage of stupid in the Corbyn camp
  • isam said:

    I am not for one minute predicting that the Syrian bombing will turn out to be the new Iraq, but I think it is worth reflecting that the MP's that voted for Iraq in 2003 probably felt just as those who voted for Syria yesterday do, ie they weren't bloodthirsty warmongers, they were torn over what to do

    Now they are viewed slightly suspiciously, and admitting to having voted for Iraq is the equivalent of owning up to dropping one in a lift, while those who didn't make it a bulletpoint on their CV... will be interesting to see how this develops and who plays which role ten years hence

    Agree to a certain extent, although I think yesterday's debate was better than the one before Iraq (although to be fair I'd have to listen to the latter again).

    However I find it slightly odd that MPs should think that way about matters of foreign affairs, when decisions they make on domestic issues have more more effect on the lives and wellbeing of their constituents.
    isam's right about how a lot of MPs in 2003 felt. I think JJ's view is odd - wars are about killing people and potentially sending people to die, most MPs' work is about whether tax credits go up or down and whether HS2 should go through the constituuency, not to mention more trivial matters. Of course war/peace is more important and more of an issue to worry about.

    (snip)
    Yet we get told by some on the left that this government's misguided domestic policies will kill thousands. Matters of war and peace are vitally important, but so are the bread and butter policies which can help or hinder their constituents. The policies that can help this family out of poverty or lose these breadwinners their jobs. The policies that says this woman gets the cancer treatment she needs, or the ones that say this gay couple can get married.

    Then there's the fact that comparing last night's vote with the Iraq vote in 2003 is silly. The scale and nature of the proposed actions are totally different, and especially as they are just an extension of what is already happening over Iraq.

    If only MPs put as much independent thinking and fine words into everyday domestic votes as they do matters of war and peace.
    The Tory dissenters were just the usual trouble makers looking to oppose and embarrass Cameron at every opportunity. A small number.
    Labour's dissenters are totemic of a far wider split within the party. At the moment I see it as irreconcilable since the basic thrust of labour membership is pacifist and far left. That has been bottled up for years but now they have a leader in their image.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,769
    Notice how Tom Watson was/is

    a) Voted in by the members
    b) Still in the shadow cabinet
    c) Voted against Corbyn
    d) Remained very quiet yesterday otherwise...
  • I assume she's referring to the response to Benn's speech.

    Chris Bryant MP ‏@RhonddaBryant 12m12 minutes ago
    Chris Bryant MP Retweeted Mhairi Black MP
    You know that is untrue. The vote was greeted in somber silence. Chris Bryant MP added,
    Mhairi Black MP @MhairiBlack
    Very dark night in parliament.Will never forget the noise of some Labour and Tory cheering together at the idea of bombs falling #SyriaVote
  • Ouch.

    @georgeeaton: Dennis Skinner called Hilary Benn "Ramsay McBenn" in the Commons. Rebuked by Chris Bryant.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    This is not socialism, it is surrender. French concert-goers are not being AK-47ed because the Americans ousted Saddam or because Jews can now climb beyond the seventh step to Me’arat ha-Machpela. The Islamic State seeks a global caliphate in which infidels must convert to their pseudo-Quranic ideology or die. The US Air Force could bomb Tel Aviv and Western leaders withdraw every last soldier from the Middle East. It would neither deter nor provoke ISIS. They don’t care what we do. They want us dead.

    ...

    This was an opportunity for the Nats to prove they are more than the party of grievance. Nicola Sturgeon is fond of saying that Scotland should be independent because we’re just as good as every other country. Syrians are just as good as us, their entitlement to freedom from theocratic fascists no lesser than our right to vary our income tax rates.

    The SNP is adept at putting a kilt on conservatism and calling it social democracy. However sincerely MPs might oppose war, their party’s stance will appeal to every hard-hearted Little Scotlander crowing “not in my name”. Not in my name: Never has a statement of insular reaction so audaciously posed as the voice of progressive conscience.
    http://news.stv.tv/scotland-decides/analysis/1334625-stephen-daisley-on-the-house-of-commons-debate-on-isis-and-syria/
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    isam said:

    isam said:

    Just in case Ukip do win, and 7/2 shots do win sometimes I suppose, remember we have already been warned on here about the hatred between Bickley and Carswell

    (snip)

    Did people use the word 'hatred' ? ISTR posters were commenting on the fact that the two might well have different views on some important issues, which might be problematic in a party with only two MPs.
    What are these different views?
    I saw Bickley making a cup of tea in the UKIP base in Oldham and he used skimmed milk. Carswell is a strict semi skimmed man; he feels very strongly about this.

    Problems for UKIP
    Ha!

    Seriously though, I cannot back a man who uses skimmed milk, or white water as I call it. I knew ukip were awful extremists
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    Ouch.

    @georgeeaton: Dennis Skinner called Hilary Benn "Ramsay McBenn" in the Commons. Rebuked by Chris Bryant.

    Didn't Dennis vote for David Miliband a few years ago?
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    edited December 2015
    Bickmeister is that a character from Die Meisterace von Nuremburg by Richard Wagner.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    It's worth noting, BTW, that opposition to airstrikes is actually one of Corbyn's less unpopular stances on defence/foreign policies.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @aljwhite: Here's a summary of the "media coverage" Yentob cited as the reason he's gone https://t.co/cdmHZdznN5 https://t.co/zzRvtLVSka
  • Yentob "quitting" is just like all those who in positions of power at the BBC who were sacked over SavilleGate and McApline etc etc etc.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Scott_P said:

    @MrHarryCole: Labour's by-election candidate called Ukip "disgruntled political obsessives and rejects". AKA former Labour voters: https://t.co/nKvPYlsFhf

    Except he was talking about party activists, not voters.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Oldham Yardsticks;

    2015 54.8 Miliband
    2010 45.5 Brown
    2005 49.1 Blair
    2001 51.2 Blair
    1997 58.8 Blair
    1992 52.8 Kinnock (ex Royton)
    1987 49.4 Kinnock
    1983 44.1 Foot
    1979 52.4 Callaghan
    1974 53.2 Wilson
    1974 48.4 Wilson
    1970 48.1 Wilson

    Vote ceiling and floor highlighted
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Reliable Lib Dem source tells me Labour victory in Oldham will be far more comfortable than expected.

    Never thought otherwise myself. Much like Corbyn carrying his party more comfortably than some prediction. He's still the leader the members want and the plp appear to agree with, despite a sizable minority against him.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,169

    Sandpit said:

    isam said:

    Agree to a certain extent, although I think yesterday's debate was better than the one before Iraq (although to be fair I'd have to listen to the latter again).

    However I find it slightly odd that MPs should think that way about matters of foreign affairs, when decisions they make on domestic issues have more more effect on the lives and wellbeing of their constituents.
    isam's right about how a lot of MPs in 2003 felt. I think JJ's view is odd - wars are about killing people and potentially sending people to die, most MPs' work is about whether tax credits go up or down and whether HS2 should go through the constituuency, not to mention more trivial matters. Of course war/peace is more important and more of an issue to worry about.

    I seem to be unusual but I think Corbyn, Benn and McDonnell are all behaving well. Benn's speech attacks Cameron for his "terrorist" stuff and then properly addresses the main issue. Corbyn has a long piece on his FB page denouncing people from any side who intimidate MPs and he's stressing the right of all MPs to take their own view - consistently with his own record. McDonnell praises Benn's speech but notes that Blair's speech in similar circumstances was brilliant too and sometimes the outcome isn't what one wants. The outriders on both sides who tell each other to fuck off or claim that colleagues are Trots or Tories are the people getting in the way of an adult dialogue.

    Whether the decision last night was sensible is a different matter. I doubt it, but will be glad to be proved wrong.
    If Corbyn was serious in condemning intimidation, he would be suspending members on an hourly basis for their hate-filled actions - but he isn't.

    By failing to act against his supporters who use threats and intimidation, he is giving them the green light to continue.

    How long before someone gets hurt by a Momentum member?
    Yep, someone - preferably Corbyn himself - needs to vociferously call off the mob before one of the knuckleheaded idiots does something stupid.
    The stupid has already started. Just look at that 'final solution' tweet that has been circulating this morning. And Livingstone supporting de-selection.

    There is no shortage of stupid in the Corbyn camp
    To be honest the 'final solution' comment is deeply unpleasant but IMHO on the right side of the line of free speech.

    Clear death threats against named individuals and the publication of personal details are over the line and the police need to step in quickly. I fear that Hillary Benn will have a couple of the thin blue line keeping him company for a few days, until this all dies down a little.
  • Sandpit said:

    @election_data · 2m2 minutes ago
    Going for 32% turnout in #OldhamWest .

    I like the sound of that number.

    The higher the turnout the better it will be for Labour.

    My guess is that a turnout of 20% is a 3-way fight, 30% a two way fight and 40% a clear Lab win.

    33% might make for a close contest, now can UKIP get out the WWC vote on a cold and wet December day?
    It's the other way round. UKIP need people to come out to overturn Labour's postal vote lead. If they come out, it'll be to protest.

    And it won't be a three-way contest no matter what.
  • Ouch.

    @georgeeaton: Dennis Skinner called Hilary Benn "Ramsay McBenn" in the Commons. Rebuked by Chris Bryant.

    Ironic given that MacDonald lost his seat in 1918 due to his pacifism in 1914.
  • Two "high-ranking" Fifa officials have been arrested in a dawn raid at a Swiss hotel on suspicion of accepting millions of dollars of bribes.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/34991874
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,169

    Sandpit said:

    @election_data · 2m2 minutes ago
    Going for 32% turnout in #OldhamWest .

    I like the sound of that number.

    The higher the turnout the better it will be for Labour.

    My guess is that a turnout of 20% is a 3-way fight, 30% a two way fight and 40% a clear Lab win.

    33% might make for a close contest, now can UKIP get out the WWC vote on a cold and wet December day?
    It's the other way round. UKIP need people to come out to overturn Labour's postal vote lead. If they come out, it'll be to protest.

    And it won't be a three-way contest no matter what.
    Yeah but I've got a 1000/3 bet on the Tories!

    My thinking was that if there was an exceptionally low turnout then the middle class oldies would be those few that did, although you might be right about the Labour postal vote. Perhaps they were all collected last Friday after prayers.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842
    Sandpit said:


    To be honest the 'final solution' comment is deeply unpleasant but IMHO on the right side of the line of free speech.

    Clear death threats against named individuals and the publication of personal details are over the line and the police need to step in quickly. I fear that Hillary Benn will have a couple of the thin blue line keeping him company for a few days, until this all dies down a little.

    Calling for the mass execution of those who voted for the extension of bombing to Syria-based terrorists is over that line, to my mind. But either way, it is utterly stupid and should bring him to the attention of his employers...

    Benn should be offered whatever protection he needs for as long as is necessary.

    And it is dreadful that we are even having to think in those terms. All because a Labour leader and his cohorts believe that intimidation and threats are appropriate political weapon.
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited December 2015

    Yentob "quitting" is just like all those who in positions of power at the BBC who were sacked over SavilleGate and McApline etc etc etc.

    Indeed. The Perps are always shuffled around to other departments or promoted, even the worst offenders are allowed to retire on full pension - but never sacked.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    edited December 2015
    In his decades in the HoC, has Skinner achieved anything at all? A Bill? Or led a change in policy? Anything?

    Ouch.

    @georgeeaton: Dennis Skinner called Hilary Benn "Ramsay McBenn" in the Commons. Rebuked by Chris Bryant.

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @emmahaslett: Corbyn in trouble, Yentob out. It's a dark day for beards.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,165

    Hell YES!

    Scott_P said:

    @rosschawkins: Alan Yentob quits BBC

    AND THERE WAS MUCH REJOICING !!

    Something we can all agree on. Good riddance to the toad.
  • Ouch.

    @georgeeaton: Dennis Skinner called Hilary Benn "Ramsay McBenn" in the Commons. Rebuked by Chris Bryant.

    Ironic given that MacDonald lost his seat in 1918 due to his pacifism in 1914.
    Indeed.

    I'm coming to the conclusion Labour is now unleadable

    Even if they depose Corbyn, the Corbynites haven't gone away you know
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    JonathanD said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Reliable Lib Dem source tells me Labour victory in Oldham will be far more comfortable than expected.

    UKIP are generally useless at by-elections (and elections) so this wouldn't be surprising. Labour folk will vote for the party even if they dislike the leader.

    Not all of them will.

    So much of the focus has been on Labour, but what would a bad result for UKIP be? A failure to get a head of steam among white working class voters would surely be a significant setback. It does need to come a close second at least, doesn't it?

    A very good question, Mr. Observer, and one I hope someone in UKIP has been asking those in charge of the Party. I said before the GE that is UKIP won less than 4 four seats it would be very disappointing result and should trigger some serious heart searching as to why. I don't know of any evidence that that analysis ever took place.

    To be sure the Miliband in Salmond's pocket poster and meme cost UKIP a lot of votes and probably a few seats, but was that the only reason? Who knows, but UKIP don't seem to have even asked the question.

    Then we have Farage's piece in the Telegraph yesterday. One can admire and maybe even agree with the ambition but no gentleman would have written that article - vulgar, in bad taste and creating a hostage for the future. Sometimes Farage seems like an old man in a hurry.

    So what does UKIP need to achieve today. Well, I am not expecting them to win (I said on here weeks ago that I think Labour will hold on comfortably) but anything less than, say, a 30% vote share would have to be classed as a major disappointment regardless of turnout. Anything below 20% (i.e. approaching their polling figures nationally) would be a disaster. If UKIP can get to within a few percentage points of the Labour share then I think they will have done well and are on track to make some gains in 2020 - but only if they do a lot of that other work.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474

    In his decades in the HoC, has Skinner achieved anything at all? A Bill? Or led a change in policy? Anything?

    Ouch.

    @georgeeaton: Dennis Skinner called Hilary Benn "Ramsay McBenn" in the Commons. Rebuked by Chris Bryant.

    As an MP of such longstanding, he's made a lot of money.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    I'm coming to the conclusion Labour is now unleadable

    Even if they depose Corbyn, the Corbynites haven't gone away you know

    @Maomentum_: Only Blairites and media talk about ideological purity vs winning elections. We on the left are not talking about winning elections at all.
  • Grintz latest:

    Comrade Grintz ☭ ‏@DarrenGrintz 25m25 minutes ago
    We need to organise more #ANTIFA protests outside the offices of warmongering
    murderers like @stellacreasy.
    #OccupyStellaCreasy

    Perhaps BBC should be looking at this guy rather than Yentob.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,165

    chestnut said:

    US Shootings:

    The two attackers were named as Syed Rizwan Farook, a 28-year-old man, and Tashfeen Malik, a 27-year-old woman. Police said they were in a relationship and possibly married.

    Looks like the guy "went postal" at a gathering with his colleagues, came back with his wife tooled up to the hilt and determined to take out as many as he could.

    Thankfully seems that religion wasn't a factor (depending on what comments sparked him in the first place). But the fact remain that every 3 months, Americans inflict the death toll of 9/11 on each other. One event defined American attitudes for the twenty-first century. But we have now had the equivalent death toll of fifty 9/11s since that fateful day - but America refuses to confront gun control. Extraordinary.
    I feel like a stuck record saying this every time this happens, but there are countries with more guns than the States and less gun crime, and countries with less guns than the States and more gun crime. It's a profound sickness at the heart of that country that creates these dreadful events - something far harder to deal with than restricting the sale of weapons.
    Are there many countries with higher gun ownership than the US?

    In any case, much like keeping sharp objects away from people with certain mental illnesses, isn't the US's 'profound sickness' a pretty good reason for lowering/restricting gun ownership there?
    I read an article recently that every time there's a similar shooting in US gun sales go up.

    Hardly surprising; it would be my response too.
  • McDonnell: 'Greatest oratory can lead to greatest mistakes'
  • Has Benn really done any favours for himself with the Labour leadership electorate? Unless he can orchestrate a coronation, but that would have its own problems.
  • Mr. Eagles, do you think it's worse than the Conservatives 1997-2003?

    Even dire periods can be recovered from, provided there isn't a strategic loss. After Basil II, Byzantium had numerous dire emperors, but under Alexius and John Comnenus was again very powerful. It was only after the loss of Anatolian land [which also meant a permanent loss of military manpower] and the Fourth Crusade that the Eastern Empire entered an inescapable spiral of decline.
  • kjohnw said:
    Surely Labour MPs know they have to act now and act fast.

    Get rid of Corbyn and then declare that membership of Momentum is incompatible with membership of Labour and carry out a purge of those who use threats and violence as a political tool.
    Anyone know what the actual practical timetables look like here?

    Is there a position you can deselect people from before the actual pre-general-election candidate selection happens? If not, when would the candidate selection be?

    Also what other procedural things might entrench the left's position if they can hang on to the leadership for a year or two?
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,662
    edited December 2015
    Mr. Borough, an appalling tweet.

    A female murderer is properly called a murderess. Honestly.

    Edited extra bit: on a serious note, that is a rancid and despicable comment. The tweeter is certainly a C word, but 'comrade' it is not.
  • Grintz latest:

    Comrade Grintz ☭ ‏@DarrenGrintz 25m25 minutes ago
    We need to organise more #ANTIFA protests outside the offices of warmongering
    murderers like @stellacreasy.
    #OccupyStellaCreasy

    Perhaps BBC should be looking at this guy rather than Yentob.

    So much for the "advice" by the BBC paper pushers that BBC employees should be careful what they write on twitter and consider their duty to impartiality...
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited December 2015
    It's unfortunate for sane Labour MPs that the first big fight with the entryists has been on this particular issue, for two reasons. Firstly, as Alastair Meeks has pointed out, it's an issue on which party members tend to side with Corbyn. Secondly, it's an issue on which sensible people can have different views*, so it's not the case that the 66 are necessarily the same MPs who would potentially form an alternative non-Corbyn group. Still, the 66 are now likely to form the core of the anti-Corbynistas, with Hilary Benn as de facto leader of that group.

    As others have pointed out, though, that doesn't make him favourite to be next leader of the party. Rather the reverse, I think; if the next leader is not another hard-left extremist, he or she will have to be a unifying figure, and what we will see now is hardly going to be an edifying or unifying exchange of fraternal greetings between the 66 and the membership. It is, instead, going to be an increasingly vicious civil war which will harden views on both sides and engender increasing bitterness. It's very hard to see Benn emerging now as a unifying figure from that maelstrom.

    Gradually the bitterness and reprisals against moderate MPs will extend to more and more MPs, including some who at the moment see themselves as Corbyn supporters. That is always how the hard left operates, with lots of small groups fighting each other, with passionate hatred, over arcane ideological or personal differences. It is hard to see a road to recovery for Labour any time soon.

    Of course none of this is a surprise. It was predicted here and elsewhere back in July, when it first started to look as though Corbyn could win the leadership contest.

    * Having said that, I don't see how one could simultaneously oppose the government last night, yet at the same time back action in Iraq, back the UN resolution, and not criticise France and the US for their work in trying to disrupt ISIS in Syria. Corbyn's position is at least consistent, whereas those simply opposing the UK's new role in Syria, without also taking the other three positions, are not being consistent.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    I see Russia's murder rate is even worse than that of the US.

    Twice as many deaths, with half the population. Staggering.

    http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/russia-legalises-guns-self-defence-murder-rates-among-highest-world-1475681
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,580
    watford30 said:

    In his decades in the HoC, has Skinner achieved anything at all? A Bill? Or led a change in policy? Anything?

    Ouch.

    @georgeeaton: Dennis Skinner called Hilary Benn "Ramsay McBenn" in the Commons. Rebuked by Chris Bryant.

    As an MP of such longstanding, he's made a lot of money.
    Skinner claims low expenses doesn't he?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited December 2015

    JonathanD said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Reliable Lib Dem source tells me Labour victory in Oldham will be far more comfortable than expected.

    UKIP are generally useless at by-elections (and elections) so this wouldn't be surprising. Labour folk will vote for the party even if they dislike the leader.

    Not all of them will.

    So much of the focus has been on Labour, but what would a bad result for UKIP be?

    A very good question, Mr. Observer, and one I hope someone in UKIP has been asking those in charge of the Party. I said before the GE that is UKIP won less than 4 four seats it would be very disappointing result and should trigger some serious heart searching as to why. I don't know of any evidence that that analysis ever took place.

    To be sure the Miliband in Salmond's pocket poster and meme cost UKIP a lot of votes and probably a few seats, but was that the only reason? Who knows, but UKIP don't seem to have even asked the question.

    Then we have Farage's piece in the Telegraph yesterday. One can admire and maybe even agree with the ambition but no gentleman would have written that article - vulgar, in bad taste and creating a hostage for the future. Sometimes Farage seems like an old man in a hurry.

    So what does UKIP need to achieve today. Well, I am not expecting them to win (I said on here weeks ago that I think Labour will hold on comfortably) but anything less than, say, a 30% vote share would have to be classed as a major disappointment regardless of turnout. Anything below 20% (i.e. approaching their polling figures nationally) would be a disaster. If UKIP can get to within a few percentage points of the Labour share then I think they will have done well and are on track to make some gains in 2020 - but only if they do a lot of that other work.
    When the by election was announced, no one on here, including Antifrank, Richard Nabavi, Tissue Price, Pong, Pulpstar, ie the well regarded betting thinkers, as well as myself, thought it would be anything other than an easy Labour win

    As it stands the opinion poll (Westminster VI) ratings for Labour and UKIP are around the same level as they were when Labour won by 33% in May. There should be no real reason to ecpect anything other than a comfy Labour win

    The problem is, in a fragile betting market the outsider has been backed and the favourite was unsteady, and people will use the fact that UKIP went 8/1>3/1 as an excuse to brand it a big failure if they don't almost win

    Farage's schtick always seems to be to ramp up expectations rather than play them down.. maybe it is ill judged



  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842
    kle4 said:

    watford30 said:

    In his decades in the HoC, has Skinner achieved anything at all? A Bill? Or led a change in policy? Anything?

    Ouch.

    @georgeeaton: Dennis Skinner called Hilary Benn "Ramsay McBenn" in the Commons. Rebuked by Chris Bryant.

    As an MP of such longstanding, he's made a lot of money.
    Skinner claims low expenses doesn't he?
    Doesn't he also have an extensive property portfolio?
  • Oscar Pistorius verdict changed to murder

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-34993002

    Murdering scumbag......
  • Mr. Eagles, do you think it's worse than the Conservatives 1997-2003?

    Even dire periods can be recovered from, provided there isn't a strategic loss. After Basil II, Byzantium had numerous dire emperors, but under Alexius and John Comnenus was again very powerful. It was only after the loss of Anatolian land [which also meant a permanent loss of military manpower] and the Fourth Crusade that the Eastern Empire entered an inescapable spiral of decline.

    Yes. Whilst I despaired a lot in 2001-2003, the party still had some sanity to it.

    IDS didn't generate the zeal and fervour that Corbyn does

    Corbyn could not have been met with more messianic fervour than if he’d rode into Parliament on a donkey and people had laid out palm trees in front of him.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Oscar Pistorius verdict changed to murder

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-34993002

    Murdering scumbag......

    Indeed

    Poor Reeva. Hope her parents find some small consolation at this verdict
  • isam said:


    Farage's schtick always seems to be to ramp up expectations rather than play them down.. maybe it is ill judged

    It's not ideal but if you want to win a seat under FPTP you don't have much option than to play the Winning Here card.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,514

    Which is the most divided party between its members and its representatives? Its the Lib Dems!
    The Conservatives have just a minority of its MPs against the action, similar to the views in its members.
    Labour has a majority of its MPs against, similar to the views of its members.
    The SNP has all its MPs against which is probably a greater share than its members views but still very close.
    The LDs have 6 of its 8 MPs for this and 2 out of 3 of its members against.... (LDVoice survey)
    Over looked is the big gap between LD MPs and their members views.

    Which LDs voted against? I heard just Norman Lamb.
    Just Norman afaik. He voted in line with 2 out of 3 LD members, the 6 LD MPs who voted "for" are way out of line with their membership.
    Mark Williams (Ceredigion) also voted against. 6 LDs for; 2 against.

    I was against, though Benn's speech had a big impact on me and could have swayed me if I was in the HoC on the night.

    I thought Corbyn was very poor. He didn't even develop the line about throttling ISIL's supply lines of men, money and guns coming through Turkey and elsewhere.

    I'm pleased that the British bombs this morning seem to be directed at oil installations rather than cities.
  • Mr. Eagles, do you think it's worse than the Conservatives 1997-2003?

    Even dire periods can be recovered from, provided there isn't a strategic loss. After Basil II, Byzantium had numerous dire emperors, but under Alexius and John Comnenus was again very powerful. It was only after the loss of Anatolian land [which also meant a permanent loss of military manpower] and the Fourth Crusade that the Eastern Empire entered an inescapable spiral of decline.

    Yes. Whilst I despaired a lot in 2001-2003, the party still had some sanity to it.

    IDS didn't generate the zeal and fervour that Corbyn does

    Corbyn could not have been met with more messianic fervour than if he’d rode into Parliament on a donkey and people had laid out palm trees in front of him.
    In a way, UKIP has been very good for the tories, as they've syphoned off the more right wing of the party.
  • New Thread New Thread

  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,165
    watford30 said:

    I see Russia's murder rate is even worse than that of the US.

    Twice as many deaths, with half the population. Staggering.

    http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/russia-legalises-guns-self-defence-murder-rates-among-highest-world-1475681

    Rather proves the point re. gun ownership.

    I believe Mexico also has lower gun ownership/stricter controls but a higher death rate, and Switzerland had more and a lower one.
  • watford30 said:

    I see Russia's murder rate is even worse than that of the US.

    Twice as many deaths, with half the population. Staggering.

    http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/russia-legalises-guns-self-defence-murder-rates-among-highest-world-1475681

    Rather proves the point re. gun ownership.

    I believe Mexico also has lower gun ownership/stricter controls but a higher death rate, and Switzerland had more and a lower one.
    But ammunition in Switzerland is very strictly controlled...
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    kle4 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Just in case Ukip do win, and 7/2 shots do win sometimes I suppose, remember we have already been warned on here about the hatred between Bickley and Carswell

    (snip)

    Did people use the word 'hatred' ? ISTR posters were commenting on the fact that the two might well have different views on some important issues, which might be problematic in a party with only two MPs.
    What are these different views?
    I saw Bickley making a cup of tea in the UKIP base in Oldham and he used skimmed milk. Carswell is a strict semi skimmed man; he feels very strongly about this.

    Problems for UKIP
    Ha!

    Seriously though, I cannot back a man who uses skimmed milk, or white water as I call it. I knew ukip were awful extremists
    Hear, hear. I speak as a long standing crusader for the whole milk popular front.
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    isam said:


    When the by election was announced, no one on here, including Antifrank, Richard Nabavi, Tissue Price, Pong, Pulpstar, ie the well regarded betting thinkers, as well as myself, thought it would be anything other than an easy Labour win

    As it stands the opinion poll (Westminster VI) ratings for Labour and UKIP are around the same level as they were when Labour won by 33% in May. There should be no real reason to ecpect anything other than a comfy Labour win

    The problem is, in a fragile betting market the outsider has been backed and the favourite was unsteady, and people will use the fact that UKIP went 8/1>3/1 as an excuse to brand it a big failure if they don't almost win

    Farage's schtick always seems to be to ramp up expectations rather than play them down.. maybe it is ill judged

    Quite so, Mr. Isam. It is a constant source of amazement to me that even here, on a site populated by supposed sophisticated gamblers, people still regard bookies' odds as an indicator of likely outcome.
This discussion has been closed.