politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The battles between Corbyn and his MPs are not going to go away
Monday evening saw the regular Parliamentary Labour Party meeting in the Commons and by all accounts this was a pretty boisterous affair with the leader being shouted over.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
If that's true and they do manage to lose, can we expect mass resignations then? If so will it be SDP Mk 2?
I think it's terrific the way the Lords have selflessly made the case for their abolition.
There is an argument, not one I think I have more than 4% support for but which I can understand, which says that with FPTP there are millions of voters who didn't vote for the government and are effectively without a voice (especially so now, of course, with Jezza).
Under such circumstances to have a combatative HoL which puts forward an alternative view but without final sanction is not wholly a bad thing.
There is certainly an argument for that.
Keep FPTP for the Commons and allow it primacy (i.e. it can always implement things via the Parliament act).
But introduce PR for the Lords so that UKIP (and others) at least get a voice.
There's no good reason to elect lords based on geographical constituencies.
I'd favour STV -with each constituency being a strict age band.
So every 6th May, only those aged 18, 28, 38, 48, , , vote.
JC is not the problem. The problem is the people who voted him into the leadership: they despise Middle England (not that I'd ever live there either) and Labour's opponents will bang that drum for two or three Parliaments to come.
Yes indeed. Meantime the likes of David Davis, who lord be thnked never made it to be home secretary, witters on in his usual self serving way to try to hinder GCHQ and MI5 as much as possible.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Re Oldham I'm keen to see how ukip are approaching it, there are a couple of high profile very capable people locally such as Nuttall and Wolfe who could make a big difference.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
Are there running battles between the Senate and the House of Representatives in Australia? (Which is PR - in effect - for the Upper House). IIRC, the PM has to be from the lower house.
FPT - Someone asked me about Quince (Colchester) - I have not met the man so have no strong opinion either way.
I met Sir Bob several times and there was no doubt he worked hard for his constituents, the last time I saw him was on election day itself and he was visibly a different man from the other times I saw him, he knew what was coming.
What I can also say is that the tories (with limited success) are now copying the "get stuck in " approach adopted by our lib dem councillors and both parties are in frequent contact to see what they can do for the people of our area.
Our Lb Dem activists are a bit miffed by this it seems (well, some of them in any event)
One Lib Dem in particular is very, very visible and also I have to say very attentive to the people of the area.
If they chose him as their next candidate for here I would very sorely tempted to vote for him, but to be fair I and my wife were very conflicted about voting for Sir Bob but in the end keeping Labour out was deemed to be the overriding factor for both of us. Under Corbyn that would be true in spades.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Re Oldham I'm keen to see how ukip are approaching it, there are a couple of high profile very capable people locally such as Nuttall and Wolfe who could make a big difference.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
UKIP will win if Labour loses their Blairite voters to the LibDems, and their patriotic WWC voters to UKIP.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Probably. But the best thing for them really, on reflection, is to wait for the result to see what happens. They will no doubt have a thought anyway that Corbyn is 66 anyway and may just get worn down. Not having any direct intelligence about how determined and successful 'Momentum' is at infiltrating and taking over the party then it is difficult to know how fatal it is for the 'moderates' to wait or hesitate before jumping ship.
Corbyn it seems to be turning out is just very bad at politics, even his own brand of politics. I would imagine he would want to make as few public statements and appearances as possible - at least until his minders get him to practice a bit more. However no matter how dim he is, there can be little doubt surely that those behind him are serious about transmogrifying the Labour Party and of course the PLP. I do not think they care about winning the next election.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Re Oldham I'm keen to see how ukip are approaching it, there are a couple of high profile very capable people locally such as Nuttall and Wolfe who could make a big difference.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
I'm optimistic for UKIP. I put some money on them at 8/1 earlier on this week.
Everything Corbyn has done this week is designed to help UKIP in Oldham
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Re Oldham I'm keen to see how ukip are approaching it, there are a couple of high profile very capable people locally such as Nuttall and Wolfe who could make a big difference.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
There's always optimistic "canvassing" feedback from canvassers. It's one thing activists of all parties have in common.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Re Oldham I'm keen to see how ukip are approaching it, there are a couple of high profile very capable people locally such as Nuttall and Wolfe who could make a big difference.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
I'm optimistic for UKIP. I put some money on them at 8/1 earlier on this week.
Everything Corbyn has done this week is designed to help UKIP in Oldham
I hope you're right but the strategy is interesting, there is a fine line between whipping up the WWC and creating resentment in what I understand is a heavily muslim populated area. The word "racist" will be on the lips of every labour campaigner.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Re Oldham I'm keen to see how ukip are approaching it, there are a couple of high profile very capable people locally such as Nuttall and Wolfe who could make a big difference.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
I'm optimistic for UKIP. I put some money on them at 8/1 earlier on this week.
Everything Corbyn has done this week is designed to help UKIP in Oldham
Let's not forget that ISIS are doing their bit as well. I for one am not going to fall into their trap.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Re Oldham I'm keen to see how ukip are approaching it, there are a couple of high profile very capable people locally such as Nuttall and Wolfe who could make a big difference.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
There's always optimistic "canvassing" feedback from canvassers. It's one thing activists of all parties have in common.
Ordinarily I agree, but in the GE Labour campaigners here were very disillusioned. The kippers are overly optimistic as a rule though.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
The old 'definition of insanity' line springs to mind.
Yes indeed. Meantime the likes of David Davis, who lord be thnked never made it to be home secretary, witters on in his usual self serving way to try to hinder GCHQ and MI5 as much as possible.
If the government stopped fannying around and gave sweeping powers to the spooks in MI5 and GCHQ, and stopped trying to tack on totalitarian crap about giving a subset to the tax man and local councils it would fly through parliament.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
That gives them 52 months to find a strategy, a prospectus and a coherent alternative. They've wasted the last 8 months.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
It shouldn't be. By-elections are quickly forgotten or written off even when they shouldn't be. OW&R will not be a watershed moment for Labour, whatever the result. If UKIP do win, Labour (or Corbynites) will put it down to a racist electorate (see the 2001 result, for example), and UKIP being willing to stir it in the aftermath of Paris. It won't be true but for Corbynites, it will be believable. Resignations, had they happened, would be secondary though you're right that Corbynites would still point the finger.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
I'm beginning to think Corbyn will resign soon, he must realise that he's way out of his depth in so many respects. He must crave the days he could go on protests in relative anonymity.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
That gives them 52 months to find a strategy, a prospectus and a coherent alternative. They've wasted the last 8 months.
But only 2 months of Jez as leader. This is supposed to be his honeymoon period. Things generally go down hill from this point onwards for the Leader of Her Majesty's Most Loyal Opposition.
JC is not the problem. The problem is the people who voted him into the leadership: they despise Middle England (not that I'd ever live there either) and Labour's opponents will bang that drum for two or three Parliaments to come.
IA is right. There are three parts to the equation and JC is the symptom of it rather than the problem itself. The issue - and Mike rightly flags up again the question of deselections in this context - is that the membership / Labour electorate is massively out of step with the PLP. However, Mike's right that the problem will not go away until that tension is resolved.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
That gives them 52 months to find a strategy, a prospectus and a coherent alternative. They've wasted the last 8 months.
But only 2 months of Jez as leader. This is supposed to be his honeymoon period. Things generally go down hill from this point onwards for the Leader of Her Majesty's Most Loyal Opposition.
'Are there running battles between the Senate and the House of Representatives in Australia? (Which is PR - in effect - for the Upper House). IIRC, the PM has to be from the lower house.'
Robert - the Australian Senate is a very different beast, designed to be similar to the US Senate in powers etc. And it played a key role in the crisis involving the Whitlam government in 1975...
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
That gives them 52 months to find a strategy, a prospectus and a coherent alternative. They've wasted the last 8 months.
But only 2 months of Jez as leader. This is supposed to be his honeymoon period. Things generally go down hill from this point onwards for the Leader of Her Majesty's Most Loyal Opposition.
Strange to think there was a time when even Ed Miliband was on 40+ in the polls...
The interview last night on channel 4 summed up the tragedy-cum-farce that is the modern Labour Party. Well worth a view.
It is between the Labour shadow defence minister and the man Corbyn put in charge to lead the review in the post Trident policy.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClEn9twKyRM&sns=em
On reflection this appointment of Livingstone is perhaps the most totemic thing in the whole span of Corbyn's leadership to date. It is surely a clear indication of the way the Labour Party will go.
BTW - given his actions it is now surely time to drop the happy chappy pally soubriquet 'Ken' when it comes to talking about the odious Livingstone. Indeed what with him effectively in charge of labour defence policy and the egregious Watson the deputy leader, just what have Labour come to?
France could face the risk of chemical or bacterial warfare in its fight against Islamist militants, Manuel Valls, the FR said on Thursday.
"We must not rule anything out. I say it with all the precautions needed. But we know and bear in mind that there is also a risk of chemical or bacteriological weapons," Mr Valls told parliament.
"The macabre imagination of the masterminds is limitless," he said in a speech in the lower house of parliament meant to gain approval to an extension of the state of emergency.
Context is everything. Politician pulls every theoretical risk from the air in the hope his request for extended emergency powers wont receive too much scrutiny - shocker!
"The old 'definition of insanity' line springs to mind."
You're not allowed to use the word 'insane' anymore-or loopy or screwball or fruitcake or barking or batty or crackers or nutters-in case you insult someone who actually is.
The English language is certainy going to lose its colour
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Probably. But the best thing for them really, on reflection, is to wait for the result to see what happens. They will no doubt have a thought anyway that Corbyn is 66 anyway and may just get worn down. Not having any direct intelligence about how determined and successful 'Momentum' is at infiltrating and taking over the party then it is difficult to know how fatal it is for the 'moderates' to wait or hesitate before jumping ship.
Corbyn it seems to be turning out is just very bad at politics, even his own brand of politics. I would imagine he would want to make as few public statements and appearances as possible - at least until his minders get him to practice a bit more. However no matter how dim he is, there can be little doubt surely that those behind him are serious about transmogrifying the Labour Party and of course the PLP. I do not think they care about winning the next election.
I don't know what else we expected? That he is not fit to be LotO, in terms that has sustained our political process for the past few decades, is no surprise to us or him. He is already in turmoil that he was required to compromise his views on the state's use of force (the UK state, hence the oppressor state), and going to see the Queen of all things.
His endgame is to create an agit-group which pursues narrowly-defined left wing goals and needs all the agit-prop warriors of old. Once he has populated the group accordingly then he can sit and agitate. Against what? Whaddya got?
Truly for him the present is a different country.
It is far from an opposition or government in waiting but it is what he wants to do and I can't believe there is any surprise from anyone that this is the case.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
That gives them 52 months to find a strategy, a prospectus and a coherent alternative. They've wasted the last 8 months.
But only 2 months of Jez as leader. This is supposed to be his honeymoon period. Things generally go down hill from this point onwards for the Leader of Her Majesty's Most Loyal Opposition.
Strange to think there was a time when even Ed Miliband was on 40+ in the polls...
Next May, you can see Labour not winning the London Mayoralty, losing their majority in Wales, losing a plethora of English council seats, and the electoral money shot, finishing third behind the Tories in Scotland.
Even worse than Ed Miliband isn't a sobriquet you want.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Probably. But the best thing for them really, on reflection, is to wait for the result to see what happens. They will no doubt have a thought anyway that Corbyn is 66 anyway and may just get worn down. Not having any direct intelligence about how determined and successful 'Momentum' is at infiltrating and taking over the party then it is difficult to know how fatal it is for the 'moderates' to wait or hesitate before jumping ship. n.
I don't know what else we expected? That he is not fit to be LotO, in terms that has sustained our political process for the past few decades, is no surprise to us or him. He is already in turmoil that he was required to compromise his views on the state's use of force (the UK state, hence the oppressor state), and going to see the Queen of all things.
His endgame is to create an agit-group which pursues narrowly-defined left wing goals and needs all the agit-prop warriors of old. Once he has populated the group accordingly then he can sit and agitate. Against what? Whaddya got?
Truly for him the present is a different country.
It is far from an opposition or government in waiting but it is what he wants to do and I can't believe there is any surprise from anyone that this is the case.
The question is how much damage he does to the labour party either temporary or permanent.
If it was just a matter of ousting him, and replacing with Benn/Cooper/Jarvis whoever then thats one thing.
It's the fallout from the member which is the real issue, when the PLP reject the person which was very clearly elected by them.
Two world cups and three times player of the year.
Jonah Lomu was surely one of the greatest wingers ever.
The Conservatives should aim to be like the All Blacks. Always striving to do their best, even if their level above the opposition is as great as NZ - France in the RWC quarters earlier this year.
The PLP is divorced from the membership. The membership is divorced from reality. NickP and his mates knew they were voting for someone who hangs out with apologists for terrorism and they knew that as leader he would surround himself with others who do the same. Thus, NickP and his mates are getting what they wanted: the end of Labour as a credible party of government. Lucky them. It's not everyday we get exactly what we vote for.
JC is not the problem. The problem is the people who voted him into the leadership: they despise Middle England (not that I'd ever live there either) and Labour's opponents will bang that drum for two or three Parliaments to come.
I actually think the problem is the utter lack of talent within the labour party. I'm really not sure how many people actually voted for JC as the perfect candidate and how many for JC can't be worse than the other 3 pigmies.
The real weakness in Labour is two fold:
1) its got an internal fight to make between remaining left wing or fighting for the middle ground. 2) it has few MPs of talent due to past purges..
France could face the risk of chemical or bacterial warfare in its fight against Islamist militants, Manuel Valls, the FR said on Thursday.
"We must not rule anything out. I say it with all the precautions needed. But we know and bear in mind that there is also a risk of chemical or bacteriological weapons," Mr Valls told parliament.
"The macabre imagination of the masterminds is limitless," he said in a speech in the lower house of parliament meant to gain approval to an extension of the state of emergency.
Context is everything. Politician pulls every theoretical risk from the air in the hope his request for extended emergency powers wont receive too much scrutiny - shocker!
And now it's the headline story on BBC News online.
It'd be good to know if there's some hard intelligence behind this - it doesn't sound like it. But he's right; there is a risk. The question is how big that risk is, if it is in any way quantifiable.
Mr. Slackbladder, Zhuge Liang argued that choosing jobs for people rather than people for jobs leads to failure.
Mr. Jonathan, I do sympathise. The country needs a credible alternative government, to hold the Conservatives to account during this Parliament and to be a viable option come the General Election.
... You're not allowed to use the word 'insane' anymore-or loopy or screwball or fruitcake or barking or batty or crackers or nutters-in case you insult someone who actually is. The English language is certainy going to lose its colour
I would blame the lefty PC brigade for this. Who would you credit for it Rog?
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
I'm beginning to think Corbyn will resign soon, he must realise that he's way out of his depth in so many respects. He must crave the days he could go on protests in relative anonymity.
Corbyn's the lid on the Labour pressure cooker. He goes and all hell will break loose, as the various factions turn on each other.
I admire loyalty as a general rule - but Ken's remarks were beyond the pale and appointing him to be Maria's minder/Corbyn's man so transparent. Then we have Andrew Fisher apparently getting a slapped wrist for all his antics, and staying in their Party/keeping his job. And Diane's Christmas cards...
If you're one of the Comrade Cronies - you can do anything you fancy.
France could face the risk of chemical or bacterial warfare in its fight against Islamist militants, Manuel Valls, the FR said on Thursday.
"We must not rule anything out. I say it with all the precautions needed. But we know and bear in mind that there is also a risk of chemical or bacteriological weapons," Mr Valls told parliament.
"The macabre imagination of the masterminds is limitless," he said in a speech in the lower house of parliament meant to gain approval to an extension of the state of emergency.
Context is everything. Politician pulls every theoretical risk from the air in the hope his request for extended emergency powers wont receive too much scrutiny - shocker!
And now it's the headline story on BBC News online.
It'd be good to know if there's some hard intelligence behind this - it doesn't sound like it. But he's right; there is a risk. The question is how big that risk is, if it is in any way quantifiable.
I liked Putin's justification - this is revenge for the Metrojet, prepare to be flattened. Far more honest than the bullshit we got from Tony Blair over Iraq !
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Re Oldham I'm keen to see how ukip are approaching it, there are a couple of high profile very capable people locally such as Nuttall and Wolfe who could make a big difference.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
I'm optimistic for UKIP. I put some money on them at 8/1 earlier on this week.
Everything Corbyn has done this week is designed to help UKIP in Oldham
If I were in Oldham I'd definitely be voting UKIP. I imagine many erstwhile Labour supporters up there to do so. Humiliating defeat in election after election is the only possible way party members might be brought to their senses.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Probably. But the best thing for them really, on reflection, is to wait for the result to see what happens. They will no doubt have a thought anyway that Corbyn is 66 anyway and may just get worn down. Not having any direct intelligence about how determined and successful 'Momentum' is at infiltrating and taking over the party then it is difficult to know how fatal it is for the 'moderates' to wait or hesitate before jumping ship. n.
I don't know what else we expected? That he is not fit to be LotO, in terms that has sustained our political process for the past few decades, is no surprise to us or him. He is already in turmoil that he was required to compromise his views on the state's use of force (the UK state, hence the oppressor state), and going to see the Queen of all things.
His endgame is to create an agit-group which pursues narrowly-defined left wing goals and needs all the agit-prop warriors of old. Once he has populated the group accordingly then he can sit and agitate. Against what? Whaddya got?
Truly for him the present is a different country.
It is far from an opposition or government in waiting but it is what he wants to do and I can't believe there is any surprise from anyone that this is the case.
The question is how much damage he does to the labour party either temporary or permanent.
If it was just a matter of ousting him, and replacing with Benn/Cooper/Jarvis whoever then thats one thing.
It's the fallout from the member which is the real issue, when the PLP reject the person which was very clearly elected by them.
Most Lab members I know would jump at an alternative centre-left party the idea of which I appreciate doesn't have a great historical track record. But the disconnect is so intense atm, and it is looking to intensify still more, that I can't see an alternative.
The PLP is divorced from the membership. The membership is divorced from reality. NickP and his mates knew they were voting for someone who hangs out with apologists for terrorism and they knew that as leader he would surround himself with others who do the same. Thus, NickP and his mates are getting what they wanted: the end of Labour as a credible party of government. Lucky them. It's not everyday we get exactly what we vote for.
Quite, on QT last week a man in the audience berated the Sun editor for picking on Corbyn, as the Sun man said:
"It's not us, its the labour party that are picking on him."
It will get worse for the likes of Mr Palmer, when Corbyn goes the decision making process in selecting the replacement will be hilarious as they perform about turn after about turn.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
That gives them 52 months to find a strategy, a prospectus and a coherent alternative. They've wasted the last 8 months.
But only 2 months of Jez as leader. This is supposed to be his honeymoon period. Things generally go down hill from this point onwards for the Leader of Her Majesty's Most Loyal Opposition.
Strange to think there was a time when even Ed Miliband was on 40+ in the polls...
Next May, you can see Labour not winning the London Mayoralty, losing their majority in Wales, losing a plethora of English council seats, and the electoral money shot, finishing third behind the Tories in Scotland.
Even worse than Ed Miliband isn't a sobriquet you want.
International Rescue being parachuted in to Huddersfield would be the icing on the cake of Labour's ongoing drama.
... You're not allowed to use the word 'insane' anymore-or loopy or screwball or fruitcake or barking or batty or crackers or nutters-in case you insult someone who actually is. The English language is certainy going to lose its colour
I would blame the lefty PC brigade for this. Who would you credit for it Rog?
But that is not the issue. Livingstone used an extensive stream of rude invective invoking mental illness about a man who he and everyone knew was suffering from clinical depression. He did not simply say, 'Oh that's bonkers'.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
I'm beginning to think Corbyn will resign soon, he must realise that he's way out of his depth in so many respects. He must crave the days he could go on protests in relative anonymity.
The stress may force him out. But do they then go for another lefty wild cat (McDonnel) or a sensible hard leftie such as Tricket.
"The old 'definition of insanity' line springs to mind."
You're not allowed to use the word 'insane' anymore-or loopy or screwball or fruitcake or barking or batty or crackers or nutters-in case you insult someone who actually is.
The English language is certainy going to lose its colour
Is that a feeble attempt to defend Ken Livingstone's attack on Kevan Jones yesterday?
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Re Oldham I'm keen to see how ukip are approaching it, there are a couple of high profile very capable people locally such as Nuttall and Wolfe who could make a big difference.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
I'm optimistic for UKIP. I put some money on them at 8/1 earlier on this week.
Everything Corbyn has done this week is designed to help UKIP in Oldham
I hope you're right but the strategy is interesting, there is a fine line between whipping up the WWC and creating resentment in what I understand is a heavily muslim populated area. The word "racist" will be on the lips of every labour campaigner.
I am sure Labour would be dismayed if someone tried to make the white man angry.
They never would have tried anything like that, right?
One short sentence that encapsulates almost everything that is wrong the Labour party.
"Ken Livingstone is chairing Labour's defence review"
I'm mean, seriously.
He was on Radio 5 this morning and flippantly, because he was as always getting narked, suggested spending £20 billion on mental health care rather than submarines. I can not see Ken seriously thinking about defence, he's been given the job to deliver an already chosen answer.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Probably. But the best thing for them really, on reflection, is to wait for the result to see what happens. They will no doubt have a thought anyway that Corbyn is 66 anyway and may just get worn down. Not having any direct intelligence about how determined and successful 'Momentum' is at infiltrating and taking over the party then it is difficult to know how fatal it is for the 'moderates' to wait or hesitate before jumping ship.
.
Early signs are the Momentum is not living up to the hype - in my CLP membership has doubled but the numbers attending meetings is up by only 30-40% and the number actually taking part in doorstep work has not increased at all. A few hard left activists have appeared but their numbers are small. Momentum is certainly not an organised mass movement of new members - seems to me that many of the new members are a kind of political flashmob and they could melt away as quickly as they appeared when the electoral consequences of Corbyn become clear. This could be as soon as OWR but more likely the elections next May.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
Probably. But the best thing for them really, on reflection, is to wait for the result to see what happens. They will no doubt have a thought anyway that Corbyn is 66 anyway and may just get worn down. Not having any direct intelligence about how determined and successful 'Momentum' is at infiltrating and taking over the party then it is difficult to know how fatal it is for the 'moderates' to wait or hesitate before jumping ship. n.
I don't know what else we expected? That he is not fit to be LotO, in terms that has sustained our political process for the past few decades, is no surprise to us or him. He is already in turmoil that he was required to compromise his views on the state's use of force (the UK state, hence the oppressor state), and going to see the Queen of all things.
His endgame is to create an agit-group which pursues narrowly-defined left wing goals and needs all the agit-prop warriors of old. Once he has populated the group accordingly then he can sit and agitate. Against what? Whaddya got?
Truly for him the present is a different country.
It is far from an opposition or government in waiting but it is what he wants to do and I can't believe there is any surprise from anyone that this is the case.
The question is how much damage he does to the labour party either temporary or permanent.
If it was just a matter of ousting him, and replacing with Benn/Cooper/Jarvis whoever then thats one thing.
It's the fallout from the member which is the real issue, when the PLP reject the person which was very clearly elected by them.
Most Lab members I know would jump at an alternative centre-left party the idea of which I appreciate doesn't have a great historical track record. But the disconnect is so intense atm, and it is looking to intensify still more, that I can't see an alternative.
'Left wing politics has had its day,' you should tell your friends. It's failed time and again; all over the world. Don't save the labour party, put it out of its misery. A bunch of misfits led by Hilary Benn is hardly going to save the world.
The Conservatives should aim to be like the All Blacks. Always striving to do their best, even if their level above the opposition is as great as NZ - France in the RWC quarters earlier this year.
I fear the sight of semi naked Conservative warriors in the shape of Nicholas Soames and Eric Pickles doing the haka is one of the few possibilities left to send Jezza into Downing Street and much of the nation into lifelong therapy.
France could face the risk of chemical or bacterial warfare in its fight against Islamist militants, Manuel Valls, the FR said on Thursday.
"We must not rule anything out. I say it with all the precautions needed. But we know and bear in mind that there is also a risk of chemical or bacteriological weapons," Mr Valls told parliament.
"The macabre imagination of the masterminds is limitless," he said in a speech in the lower house of parliament meant to gain approval to an extension of the state of emergency.
Context is everything. Politician pulls every theoretical risk from the air in the hope his request for extended emergency powers wont receive too much scrutiny - shocker!
And now it's the headline story on BBC News online.
It'd be good to know if there's some hard intelligence behind this - it doesn't sound like it. But he's right; there is a risk. The question is how big that risk is, if it is in any way quantifiable.
The PLP is divorced from the membership. The membership is divorced from reality. NickP and his mates knew they were voting for someone who hangs out with apologists for terrorism and they knew that as leader he would surround himself with others who do the same. Thus, NickP and his mates are getting what they wanted: the end of Labour as a credible party of government. Lucky them. It's not everyday we get exactly what we vote for.
Personally whilst voting firmly against Corbyn in the election, I wanted to reserve judgement on his leadership until Christmas on the basis that the increased engagement in politics he inspired was interesting and potentially positive.
Regarding Hilary Benn, he seems rather too nice and accommodating to lead anything. Corbyn pushed him straight off the NEC. If Jezza goes, I'd be genuinely concerned about McIRA leadership. Trickett even more so.
JC is not the problem. The problem is the people who voted him into the leadership: they despise Middle England (not that I'd ever live there either) and Labour's opponents will bang that drum for two or three Parliaments to come.
I actually think the problem is the utter lack of talent within the labour party. I'm really not sure how many people actually voted for JC as the perfect candidate and how many for JC can't be worse than the other 3 pigmies. [my italics - DH]
The real weakness in Labour is two fold:
1) its got an internal fight to make between remaining left wing or fighting for the middle ground. 2) it has few MPs of talent due to past purges..
But JC is now showing himself to be *a lot* worse than Cooper or Burnham would have been. Sure, they wouldn't have set the world on fire and Burnham looked horribly prone to succumbing to whatever pressure he was under at any given time, but they wouldn't be imploding the party in the way Corbyn is had one of them won.
I've left Kendall out, partly as she was never going to win anyway and partly because there may well still have been some kind of civil war had she, by some extraordinary turn of events, done so.
Anyone else thinking we've not had mass Labour resignations in the last few days was because they know if Labour lost Oldham West & Royton they'd get the blame?
No. There's always an excuse not to act. That's just the current one.
This can't go on like this for another four and a half years. Surely ?
Tissue Price's quote from Waiting For Godot is the perfect summation of Labour right now:
"I can't go on like this.'" "That's what you think."
This time it'll be different.
Why? The non-Corbynites have no strategy, no prospectus and no coherent alternative. All they have is an appalled sense of impending doom.
Because they won't be able to deal with 52 more months of this.
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
I'm beginning to think Corbyn will resign soon, he must realise that he's way out of his depth in so many respects. He must crave the days he could go on protests in relative anonymity.
The stress may force him out. But do they then go for another lefty wild cat (McDonnel) or a sensible hard leftie such as Tricket.
I don't see the age issue with JC - That may be because I'm 61, but he could lead until he was 70 easily.
I also don't get the stress argument. He is accustomed to having his views lampooned, ridiculed and dismissed by press,colleagues and the public outside his comfort blanket. The antagonism towards him will be water off a ducks back.
He knows he is right in his mission to move the Labour Party left. A little temporary personal discomfort is a minor inconvenience to put up with when the project is moving ahead.
Indeed, while the focus is on him and policy there is less scrutiny of the 'in party' amendments that are going on. A very satisfactory outcome.
I've gone from a Labour Party member to an ABC (Anyone but Corbyn) voter in the course of a few months. I can't blame Tories for revelling in the moment, technically as I live in a Labour super-marginal I could be classed as a Tory voter right now. However I think the existentialist talk about the Labour Party is way off the mark. Those clamouring for Corbyn to go need to be careful what they wish for - a replacement by someone like Dan Jarvis would have me switching back and rejoining in a moment. The focus would then move to things like the tax credits and Tory divisions on Europe which are going to get very nasty soon I suspect. 2020 is a long way away and I would have thought it was in the Tories best interests to keep Corbyn in place.
And to think this Labour pickle all traces back to bottler Brown and the election that wasn't...
I think you're wrong. I reckon if he had gone for it, Labour would have gone down to heavier defeat in 2012 and the LDs would now be in a stronger position.
The 19-year-old suspected of being the bomber who built the suicide belts used in the Paris attacks has reportedly turned himself in to police, writes Rory Mulholland in Paris.
They found two sticks of plastic "C4" explosives. "There is no established link wih the Paris attacks," added a spokesman. A judicial investigation has been opened.
Comments
We'll see how things develop, though.
The by-election may be more interesting than earlier appeared to be the case.
I'd favour STV -with each constituency being a strict age band.
So every 6th May, only those aged 18, 28, 38, 48, , , vote.
Enormo-haddock Voting (EHV) is the only way to guarantee good governance, with the revising chamber becoming the House of Octo-Lemurs.
It is between the Labour shadow defence minister and the man Corbyn put in charge to lead the review in the post Trident policy.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClEn9twKyRM&sns=em
That said, Miliband lasted five years without challenge. Brown took Labour to 19% in one poll and they couldn't even unite to topple him.
This may be different. But we'll see.
I'm also interested in what the core message is, in light of Paris do they play the jingoist WWC card or take a more moderate approach and hope that tories will vote for them.
Fascinating scenario unfolding up there, I hear optimistic feedback albeit with a mountain to climb.
Are there running battles between the Senate and the House of Representatives in Australia? (Which is PR - in effect - for the Upper House). IIRC, the PM has to be from the lower house.
A Labour source texts:
“It’s the worst day since Monday.”
Now that is what an omnishambles looks like.
FPT - Someone asked me about Quince (Colchester) - I have not met the man so have no strong opinion either way.
I met Sir Bob several times and there was no doubt he worked hard for his constituents, the last time I saw him was on election day itself and he was visibly a different man from the other times I saw him, he knew what was coming.
What I can also say is that the tories (with limited success) are now copying the "get stuck in " approach adopted by our lib dem councillors and both parties are in frequent contact to see what they can do for the people of our area.
Our Lb Dem activists are a bit miffed by this it seems (well, some of them in any event)
One Lib Dem in particular is very, very visible and also I have to say very attentive to the people of the area.
If they chose him as their next candidate for here I would very sorely tempted to vote for him, but to be fair I and my wife were very conflicted about voting for Sir Bob but in the end keeping Labour out was deemed to be the overriding factor for both of us. Under Corbyn that would be true in spades.
"I can't go on like this.'"
"That's what you think."
They will no doubt have a thought anyway that Corbyn is 66 anyway and may just get worn down. Not having any direct intelligence about how determined and successful 'Momentum' is at infiltrating and taking over the party then it is difficult to know how fatal it is for the 'moderates' to wait or hesitate before jumping ship.
Corbyn it seems to be turning out is just very bad at politics, even his own brand of politics. I would imagine he would want to make as few public statements and appearances as possible - at least until his minders get him to practice a bit more.
However no matter how dim he is, there can be little doubt surely that those behind him are serious about transmogrifying the Labour Party and of course the PLP. I do not think they care about winning the next election.
Everything Corbyn has done this week is designed to help UKIP in Oldham
As said, 4 and a half years of this? Something has to give.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ImQn8UG3JOc
Got better with Maria Eagle 'being very silly'.......
And there should 'Absolutely not' be a free vote on Syria......
Labour MPs saw what happened in Scotland. They know no majority is safe now.
Labour are now insane.
Robert - the Australian Senate is a very different beast, designed to be similar to the US Senate in powers etc. And it played a key role in the crisis involving the Whitlam government in 1975...
Corbyn could well go lower, though only if the Lib Dems and/or UKIP get their act together.
BTW - given his actions it is now surely time to drop the happy chappy pally soubriquet 'Ken' when it comes to talking about the odious Livingstone.
Indeed what with him effectively in charge of labour defence policy and the egregious Watson the deputy leader, just what have Labour come to?
"The old 'definition of insanity' line springs to mind."
You're not allowed to use the word 'insane' anymore-or loopy or screwball or fruitcake or barking or batty or crackers or nutters-in case you insult someone who actually is.
The English language is certainy going to lose its colour
His endgame is to create an agit-group which pursues narrowly-defined left wing goals and needs all the agit-prop warriors of old. Once he has populated the group accordingly then he can sit and agitate. Against what? Whaddya got?
Truly for him the present is a different country.
It is far from an opposition or government in waiting but it is what he wants to do and I can't believe there is any surprise from anyone that this is the case.
Even worse than Ed Miliband isn't a sobriquet you want.
Is it ideological foolishness or do they actively seek to harm the UK ?
If it was just a matter of ousting him, and replacing with Benn/Cooper/Jarvis whoever then thats one thing.
It's the fallout from the member which is the real issue, when the PLP reject the person which was very clearly elected by them.
"Ken Livingstone is chairing Labour's defence review"
I'm mean, seriously.
Two world cups and three times player of the year.
Jonah Lomu was surely one of the greatest wingers ever.
The Conservatives should aim to be like the All Blacks. Always striving to do their best, even if their level above the opposition is as great as NZ - France in the RWC quarters earlier this year.
The real weakness in Labour is two fold:
1) its got an internal fight to make between remaining left wing or fighting for the middle ground.
2) it has few MPs of talent due to past purges..
And now it's the headline story on BBC News online.
It'd be good to know if there's some hard intelligence behind this - it doesn't sound like it. But he's right; there is a risk. The question is how big that risk is, if it is in any way quantifiable.
Mr. Jonathan, I do sympathise. The country needs a credible alternative government, to hold the Conservatives to account during this Parliament and to be a viable option come the General Election.
If you're one of the Comrade Cronies - you can do anything you fancy.
It'd be good to know if there's some hard intelligence behind this - it doesn't sound like it. But he's right; there is a risk. The question is how big that risk is, if it is in any way quantifiable.
I liked Putin's justification - this is revenge for the Metrojet, prepare to be flattened. Far more honest than the bullshit we got from Tony Blair over Iraq !
Most Lab members I know would jump at an alternative centre-left party the idea of which I appreciate doesn't have a great historical track record. But the disconnect is so intense atm, and it is looking to intensify still more, that I can't see an alternative.
"It's not us, its the labour party that are picking on him."
It will get worse for the likes of Mr Palmer, when Corbyn goes the decision making process in selecting the replacement will be hilarious as they perform about turn after about turn.
PLEASE let it happen !
They never would have tried anything like that, right?
" Is that a feeble attempt to defend Ken Livingstone's attack on Kevan Jones yesterday?"
I thought Ken ws pathetic yesterday. Carlotta sums it up best "He started it miss..."
I'm just bored with people being outraged at the wrong things.
It'd be good to know if there's some hard intelligence behind this - it doesn't sound like it. But he's right; there is a risk. The question is how big that risk is, if it is in any way quantifiable.
From Libya?
http://www.ibtimes.com/isis-chemical-weapons-libya-military-warns-islamic-state-might-have-mustard-gas-sarin-1824080
I am not sure I am going to make it. :-(
If Jezza goes, I'd be genuinely concerned about McIRA leadership. Trickett even more so.
I've left Kendall out, partly as she was never going to win anyway and partly because there may well still have been some kind of civil war had she, by some extraordinary turn of events, done so.
I also don't get the stress argument. He is accustomed to having his views lampooned, ridiculed and dismissed by press,colleagues and the public outside his comfort blanket.
The antagonism towards him will be water off a ducks back.
He knows he is right in his mission to move the Labour Party left. A little temporary personal discomfort is a minor inconvenience to put up with when the project is moving ahead.
Indeed, while the focus is on him and policy there is less scrutiny of the 'in party' amendments that are going on. A very satisfactory outcome.