Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Sadiq could be quite hard for Zac or any other Tory to

13

Comments

  • Options
    JWisemannJWisemann Posts: 1,082
    TudorRose said:

    pinkrose said:

    TudorRose said:

    pinkrose said:

    TudorRose said:

    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:



    My job is not under threat from "half a million" new arrivals in your scenario (well nearly all won't speak passable English for starters - and why should they from their perspective?), they will not be competing me out of housing, nor am I concerned about primary school places, and I've been registered down the GP's for three decades so no problem there either. So I'm alright jack BUT there are plenty less well off than me for whom these and other issues will be a concern, and that's before you foist cultural change on them willy nilly. Oh and do the dangers matter of attracting more to plod across the Balkans in worsening Autumn weather in what could soon look like a 21st century version of Napoleon's retreat from Moscow? Let's put our brains aside and have a good emote and show "leadership" that's far better isn't it?


    The answer is not to isolate ourselves from the rest of the world and turn into mean and nasty fortress Britain but to invest in a massive house building programme to address the needs of future immigration and our current population, to provide new school places and invest in hospitals and services needed to cope with our rising population.

    Finland has raised taxes on the wealthy and are talking about bringing in a solidarity tax, something like that would raise the money needed to fund housing and infrastructure needed.
    A 'solidarity tax' is an oxymoron. It simply encourages the wealthy to show solidarity with another country.
    No a solidarity tax, provides the revenue to build the infrastructure (housing etc) and provide the services needed for a strong, cohesive, multi racial, multi ethnic, multi cultural modern Britain.
    But only if people stick around to pay it....

    Of course, Len McCluskey seems to believe that it's OK to disobey the parts of the law you don't like, so presumably that extends to paying tax?
    Any solidarity tax, to provide housing for example would need to be levied on properties or land. Of course people can avoid tax by leaving the country but they cant take land and property with them.

    They can by selling it. It's part of the free market system we currently operate in this country.
    Or are you suggesting that perhaps Labour should or would sieze land/property to prevent this? If so I can see an enormous flight of capital from the UK if Labour ever get close to 35% in the polls again.
    If they sell it then someone owns it, who will then be taxed. It's quite simple. Wealth taxes are coming, it's just a matter of how long the spivs hold out.
  • Options
    Jezza hasn't actually been elected yet.
  • Options
    There's some tribalists on here but also some clever, impartial people. Any labour defections to ukip as a result of Corbyn?
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,137
    edited September 2015
    Mr. Eh, vielleicht. They may simply form or join enclaves, rather than integrating.

    Edited extra bit: Mr. 1983, a point worth remembering.
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited September 2015
    justin124 said:

    Local election results in Scotland yesterday do not look bad for Labour compared to recent polls and May 2015.

    Well, Edinburgh was their best least-worst area in May.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 21,162
    edited September 2015

    Speedy said:

    I fully expect that Corbyn will be the most hated man in history among conservatives, on par with vitriol that Labour has with Thatcher.

    The only thing I will definitely enjoy is the blown fuses and pacemakers of Tories every time Corbyn is on TV.

    Not unless he becomes prime minister.
    If he becomes PM (which he won't) I should think everybody will be too busy stashing their savings under the mattress and getting the fastest flight out of the country to be especially hateful...

    If this nutter became PM it would be a case of the last person out of Britain please turn out the lights... Literally! :^O

    #goodnightirene
  • Options
    TudorRose said:

    pinkrose said:

    TudorRose said:



    Any solidarity tax, to provide housing for example would need to be levied on properties or land. Of course people can avoid tax by leaving the country but they cant take land and property with them.

    They can by selling it. It's part of the free market system we currently operate in this country.
    Or are you suggesting that perhaps Labour should or would sieze land/property to prevent this? If so I can see an enormous flight of capital from the UK if Labour ever get close to 35% in the polls again.
    That makes no sense! If people sell their property or land in order to move abroad to avoid taxation then whoever purchases the property will have to pay tax on it just as the previous owner would have done. So the revenue would still come in. If a person owns a flat and pays council tax then sells it the next owner pays the council tax. That would be the same with any solidarity tax levied on property or land.
  • Options
    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460
    glw said:

    Crackers to think this time tomorrow Comrade Corbyn *might* be Labour leader.

    I still can't quite believe it despite everything. The general election result was a huge surprise, but it seems that Labour's leadership election will utterly eclipse it.
    Cameron must be appearing as Aladdin in panto at Xmas somewhere. The genie's lamp is the only plausible explanation of recent events.
  • Options
    Speedy said:

    kle4 said:

    Speedy said:

    I fully expect that Corbyn will be the most hated man in history among conservatives, on par with vitriol that Labour has with Thatcher.

    The only thing I will definitely enjoy is the blown fuses and pacemakers of Tories every time Corbyn is on TV.

    Hmm, to manage that level of hatred I think he would have to actually become PM, so you think that possible? Merely being everything they despise isn't enough to get that level of hatred that some have for Thatcher, which spans generations and is now more myth than reality - you surely have to be all that and yet still the electorate picked them over you. As that adds extra layers of resentment and perceived Machiavellianess to their evil, that managed to fool the public.
    From what I read on PB, Corbyn has already reached Labour's Thacher levels of hatred among Tories.
    Corbyn is a joke. Anyone who wants to stand behind his words are welcome to try to justify them.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,595

    I cannot still believe that some time tomorrow I will be writing a thread that says

    "Labour has elected Corbyn as leader"

    Best birthday present ever

    The political equivalent of this.
    http://www.theonion.com/graphic/july-21-1969-10515
  • Options

    Jezza hasn't actually been elected yet.

    Betfair thinks he is home and hosed. He is at 1.06, Cooper was at 19 and Burnham at one point today was at 90
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,507
    edited September 2015

    alex. said:

    Just as a matter of interest, how is the Leader of the Opposition officially appointed? Theoretically do the MPs actually have the power to appoint someone else, regardless of what the wider labour party wants?

    I read up on this earlier.

    Is based on convention/precedent.

    The Leader of the largest party (in terms of MPs) not in government is appointed Leader of her Majesty's Loyal Opposition
    I think if it's disputed then the Speaker's ruling is final - if, say, the 1983 election had ended with 112 Labour, 68 SDP and 59 Liberals.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 21,162

    Jezza hasn't actually been elected yet.

    Labour can't **** this up at the last minutes can they?
  • Options
    Speedy said:

    I fully expect that Corbyn will be the most hated man in history among conservatives, on par with vitriol that Labour has with Thatcher.

    The only thing I will definitely enjoy is the blown fuses and pacemakers of Tories every time Corbyn is on TV.

    A nice idea, with one problem: he is also hated by many Labour supporters (as most notably shown by SO). Then there is the nastiness and hate that has occurred within this campaign towards the other candidates, including some rather nasty stuff towards Kendall.

    Tories may have suffer fuses in pacemakers (I assume that's what you meant), but Labour might be hung by the electorate, drawn by its supporters and quartered by its MPs.

    If you buy the popcorn, I daresay some Tories will join you on the sofa to watch the TV.
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited September 2015

    Jezza hasn't actually been elected yet.

    No, but every Tory on PB is already obsessed with him, spouting abuse like they're watching the Jerry Springer show.
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    Danny565 said:

    justin124 said:

    Local election results in Scotland yesterday do not look bad for Labour compared to recent polls and May 2015.

    Well, Edinburgh was their best least-worst area in May.
    Maybe - but Midlothian also showed a smallish swing from 2012 - probably implying a swing back to Labour there compared with May.
  • Options
    tysontyson Posts: 6,060
    I think only Tories use "nonsense"

    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    Pinkrose so how do we suddenly provide the 300,000houses..and what about the homeless we already have..Instead of criticisng why not make some sensible practical suggestions....maybe start with the accommodation problem I

    The North of England, Wales and Scotland has a lot of spare capacity and cheap housing. The Syrian refugees would invigorate many run down areas & communities but i also support a major house building programme to address not only future immigration but the already homeless and those housed in temporary accommodation,B&B's etc.
    Have you ever even been to the S Wales Valleys? They'll be looking forward to their cultural invigoration with an unparalleled relish I'm sure. I can see it all now(!)
    All the evidence shows that more diverse communities are more pro immigration and those areas that have very very few immigrants are the most hostile. Maybe the South Wales Valleys need to become more diverse.
    That's utter nonsense. The most hostile areas are those that immediately border areas with high levels of immigration. Obviously, areas with high levels of immigrants (which are frequently not 'diverse' but monocultural) are likely to be pro-immigration given that those there frequently have a personal interest.
  • Options
    TudorRose said:


    They can by selling it. It's part of the free market system we currently operate in this country.
    Or are you suggesting that perhaps Labour should or would sieze land/property to prevent this? If so I can see an enormous flight of capital from the UK if Labour ever get close to 35% in the polls again.


    That makes no sense! If people sell their property or land in order to move abroad to avoid taxation then whoever purchases the property will have to pay tax on it just as the previous owner would have done. So the revenue would still come in. If a person owns a flat and pays council tax then sells it the next owner pays the council tax. That would be the same with any solidarity tax levied on property or land.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,595

    Corbyn elicits only a baffled amusement.

    I don't know, I look at it more like "what is the Labour Party doing with those matches and petrol?"
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    SeanT said:

    As you were on the IRA story.
    Times printed a correction.


    https://twitter.com/make_trouble/status/642419606901129216

    Corbyn is only half mad.

    I wonder who the "member of staff" was? Jeremy was always very punctilious on that score.

    "was summoned by Chief Whip Derek Foster for appointing as his research assistant, Ronan Bennett, a former anarchist and IRA sympathiser who, in 1975, was sentenced for the murder of an RUC inspector, which sentence was quashed a year later, Sep '87"
    "fought the Commons security ban on his researcher, Ronan Bennett, Oct-Nov '87"
    "defended himself against criticisms of having allowed Ronan Bennett the run of the Palace of
    Westminster by saying he had never been informed about the charges against him, Jan '89"
    http://internetserver.bishopsgate.org.uk/files/Parliamentary Profiles Archive/A-D/CORBYN, Jeremy/CORBYN, Jeremy.pdf
  • Options

    Jezza hasn't actually been elected yet.

    Betfair thinks he is home and hosed. He is at 1.06, Cooper was at 19 and Burnham at one point today was at 90

    If anyone doesn't think Corbyn's home, there's lots of free money there.

  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Speedy said:

    Dair said:

    pinkrose said:


    No a solidarity tax, provides the revenue to build the infrastructure (housing etc) and provide the services needed for a strong, cohesive, multi racial, multi ethnic, multi cultural modern Britain.

    Multiculturalism is a failed experiment that badly needs squelched.

    If any good comes from a strong Tory government, it should be smashing this ridiculous idea.
    And you are an SNP member?
    No, I'm not.
  • Options
    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    Pinkrose so how do we suddenly provide the 300,000houses..and what about the homeless we already have..Instead of criticisng why not make some sensible practical suggestions....maybe start with the accommodation problem I

    The North of England, Wales and Scotland has a lot of spare capacity and cheap housing. The Syrian refugees would invigorate many run down areas & communities but i also support a major house building programme to address not only future immigration but the already homeless and those housed in temporary accommodation,B&B's etc.
    Have you ever even been to the S Wales Valleys? They'll be looking forward to their cultural invigoration with an unparalleled relish I'm sure. I can see it all now(!)
    All the evidence shows that more diverse communities are more pro immigration and those areas that have very very few immigrants are the most hostile. Maybe the South Wales Valleys need to become more diverse.
    Can I be a fly on the wall as you go round Merthyr knocking on doors with that message? Please? You seem to have absolutely zero concern for the views of anybody already legally here, and if they disagree, their communities should be engineered to your views? Just wow. UKIP would love you out canvassing. I'm sure they'd provide transport to be helpful.
    Immigration is a great benefit to this country and more importantly is essential for a healthy economy and for the future of our country. If a few xenophobic, racists in Merthyr don't like it....TOUGH!!
    You seem to have missed the point.

    There is nothing stopping immigrants setting in Merthyr at the moment.

    They won’t.

    And if immigrants are settled there under Pinkrose Forcible Settlement & Diversity Enhancement Schemes, they will leave.

    They will leave for the same reason that the existing population is leaving.

    The South Wales valleys are depopulating. They are depopulating because there are no jobs.

    These towns have no reason to exist any more. The coal and Iron that sustained them is gone.They have poor transport links, they are poorly served by rail, and by road. There is nothing there.

    Even if you did want to invest in job making in South Wales, you wouldn’t invest in Merthyr. You’d invest along the M4 corridor where there are better transport links and a wealthier population.

    From your remarks about Wales, you appear to know zero about it.
  • Options
    JWisemann said:

    HYUFD said:

    glw said:

    HYUFD said:

    Indeed, he is fine as a troublemaking backbencher where he does not actually have to make any decisions, as leader the level of pressure is of a whole different order as IDS found out

    Corbyn is FAR worse than IDS, and he's no Hague, or Howard either. The closest comparison would be something like the Tories going mad and letting kippers install Bill Cash, but even Cash is nowhere near as bad as Corbyn.

    I honestly don't think there's a Tory MP who would be as bad as Corbyn.
    I don't remember IDS getting rallies like Corbyn did, so it depends which way you look at it but neither have/had any appeal to swing voters. Cash was IDS' Attorney General
    The rallies were organised by Stop the War and UNITE. Labour are about to be taken over. The comparison with Bill Cash being used by UKIP is vaguely appropriate but misses the point. Cash would have had to be a sleeper agent for both the BNP and KKK put together for it to work.
    You are comparing a pressure group that follows the country's majority opinion against the Iraq war and a union with 1.5 million members with the KKK? I think that says more about your lunacy and extremism than anyone else's.
    What a po faced berk you are.
  • Options
    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460

    pinkrose said:

    Pinkrose so how do we suddenly provide the 300,000houses..and what about the homeless we already have..Instead of criticisng why not make some sensible practical suggestions....maybe start with the accommodation problem I

    The North of England, Wales and Scotland has a lot of spare capacity and cheap housing. The Syrian refugees would invigorate many run down areas & communities but i also support a major house building programme to address not only future immigration but the already homeless and those housed in temporary accommodation,B&B's etc.
    They'll move to London as soon as they get the chance.
    Rubbish- they'll be too busy culturally invigorating Nantyfyllon, and calling out the citizens of Swansea as racists, according to some. What fun and games.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,460

    Jezza hasn't actually been elected yet.

    What a let down if he isn't. Honestly, I think Cooper is probably the more promising of the group, charisma black hole though she is, but what a mislead if she were to win it, even if some entertainment would occur at the shock.

    Burnham? I'm not as amused at the idea of him winning. I do actually want a decent opposition and credible Labour party (and if not, then the most amusing outcome, hence Corbyn), and he just seems more incompetent, for all neither has sold themselves well.

    Kendall? I've noticed she doesn;t even get mentioned in some pieces on the leadership candidates out there, which is an indication of just how bad she's done, even accepting she was the wrong woman for the wrong time.

  • Options
    pinkrose said:

    TudorRose said:


    They can by selling it. It's part of the free market system we currently operate in this country.
    Or are you suggesting that perhaps Labour should or would sieze land/property to prevent this? If so I can see an enormous flight of capital from the UK if Labour ever get close to 35% in the polls again.


    That makes no sense! If people sell their property or land in order to move abroad to avoid taxation then whoever purchases the property will have to pay tax on it just as the previous owner would have done. So the revenue would still come in. If a person owns a flat and pays council tax then sells it the next owner pays the council tax. That would be the same with any solidarity tax levied on property or land.

    LOL. Socialists!

    Always think there will be no consequences to their actions.

  • Options
    glw said:

    I cannot still believe that some time tomorrow I will be writing a thread that says

    "Labour has elected Corbyn as leader"

    Best birthday present ever

    The political equivalent of this.
    http://www.theonion.com/graphic/july-21-1969-10515
    Well I've got a pun already prepared for that

    (Worse than subtle wrath of Khan pun I used today)
  • Options
    pinkrosepinkrose Posts: 189
    edited September 2015
    ?
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Dair said:

    Speedy said:

    Dair said:

    pinkrose said:


    No a solidarity tax, provides the revenue to build the infrastructure (housing etc) and provide the services needed for a strong, cohesive, multi racial, multi ethnic, multi cultural modern Britain.

    Multiculturalism is a failed experiment that badly needs squelched.

    If any good comes from a strong Tory government, it should be smashing this ridiculous idea.
    And you are an SNP member?
    No, I'm not.
    I thought you were an SNP fanatic.
  • Options
    JWisemann said:

    TudorRose said:



    They can by selling it. It's part of the free market system we currently operate in this country.
    Or are you suggesting that perhaps Labour should or would sieze land/property to prevent this? If so I can see an enormous flight of capital from the UK if Labour ever get close to 35% in the polls again.

    If they sell it then someone owns it, who will then be taxed. It's quite simple. Wealth taxes are coming, it's just a matter of how long the spivs hold out.

    Exactly, taxes eventually need to fall heavier onto wealth, land and property. Also its easier to stop tax avoidance when its property and land that is being taxed.
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    justin124 said:

    Local election results in Scotland yesterday do not look bad for Labour compared to recent polls and May 2015.

    They are based on the 2012 baseline when the SNP was beginning to do much better (for example Dundee went SNP and Labour lost it for the first time in history). In 2012 the SNP vote was well up on 2011 and in 2011 it was well up on 2010 - the GE2015 baseline was 2010.
  • Options
    Mr. Speedy, opprobrium was also heaped upon Ed Miliband, which turned out to be quite astute.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,460
    Speedy said:

    Jezza hasn't actually been elected yet.

    No, but every Tory on PB is already obsessed with him, spouting abuse like they're watching the Jerry Springer show.
    It is Corbyn season - when even plenty of Labour pundits are obsessed with attacking him, no way online Tories can resist even if the leadership have tried to for the most part.
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    Jezza hasn't actually been elected yet.

    Labour can't **** this up at the last minutes can they?
    If anything, the fallout after an ABC win, with Corbyn close behind, might be more interesting that a Corbyn win. Many people will think the vote was rigged - and the messy way the electoral process has been handled will hardly help that. It's one of the ways this process could spark civil war within the party, although I know NP and others disagree.
  • Options

    glw said:

    I cannot still believe that some time tomorrow I will be writing a thread that says

    "Labour has elected Corbyn as leader"

    Best birthday present ever

    The political equivalent of this.
    http://www.theonion.com/graphic/july-21-1969-10515
    Well I've got a pun already prepared for that

    (Worse than subtle wrath of Khan pun I used today)

    Oh, was there a Khan pun in one of your articles? Don't think anyone noticed.

  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Mr. Speedy, opprobrium was also heaped upon Ed Miliband, which turned out to be quite astute.

    Not on this level:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8IAvjSnq69A
  • Options
    ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    pinkrose said:

    What is really starting to annoy me about Blairite MP's and their media friends like McTernan and Hodges is the way they keep abusing and denigrating £3 supporters but in the next breath whine about how unfair poor little Liz Kendall has been treated. If Labour didn't want people to vote who are not full members of the party then why introduce this system? And if you remember it was the Blairites who cheered this system to the rafters when it was introduced by Miliband because they thought they were getting one over on the unions.

    I think im typical of the £3 supporter, not a Labour party member, never have been but did vote for them at 2015 and have voted for them before. Im not a infiltrator, Tory or hard Left. I voted for Corbyn no other preferences for the Leadership, Tom Watson for Deputy Leadership and in the London Mayoralty 1st preference, Diane Abbott, 2nd preference Sadiq Khan.

    Christ - Diane Abbott! nuff said
  • Options
    saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    Speedy said:

    kle4 said:

    Speedy said:

    I fully expect that Corbyn will be the most hated man in history among conservatives, on par with vitriol that Labour has with Thatcher.

    The only thing I will definitely enjoy is the blown fuses and pacemakers of Tories every time Corbyn is on TV.

    Hmm, to manage that level of hatred I think he would have to actually become PM, so you think that possible? Merely being everything they despise isn't enough to get that level of hatred that some have for Thatcher, which spans generations and is now more myth than reality - you surely have to be all that and yet still the electorate picked them over you. As that adds extra layers of resentment and perceived Machiavellianess to their evil, that managed to fool the public.

    From what I read on PB, Corbyn has already reached Labour's Thacher levels of hatred among Tories.
    He's not hated, he's laughed at. He's a joke at the moment, when he becomes LOTO, he'll be a laughing stock.
  • Options
    pinkrose said:

    TudorRose said:


    They can by selling it. It's part of the free market system we currently operate in this country.
    Or are you suggesting that perhaps Labour should or would sieze land/property to prevent this? If so I can see an enormous flight of capital from the UK if Labour ever get close to 35% in the polls again.


    That makes no sense! If people sell their property or land in order to move abroad to avoid taxation then whoever purchases the property will have to pay tax on it just as the previous owner would have done. So the revenue would still come in. If a person owns a flat and pays council tax then sells it the next owner pays the council tax. That would be the same with any solidarity tax levied on property or land.
    Cool. So you're planning to drive how many millions into negative equity?
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 21,162
    kle4 said:



    Kendall? I've noticed she doesn;t even get mentioned in some pieces on the leadership candidates out there, which is an indication of just how bad she's done, even accepting she was the wrong woman for the wrong time.

    Quentin Letts piece in the Mail today was quite funny, Re. Ms Kendall.
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    One would assume that if Corbyn hadn't done it, it would've leaked somewhere bynow and there would've been some major movements in the betting markets.
  • Options
    Mr. Jessop, the margin of victory compared to purged voters and spoilt ballots will be interesting.
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Danny565 said:

    justin124 said:

    Local election results in Scotland yesterday do not look bad for Labour compared to recent polls and May 2015.

    Well, Edinburgh was their best least-worst area in May.
    In 2012 the SNP became the largest party on Edinburgh City Council (for the first time), the hated Liberals collapsed and the SNP entered a coalition with Labour.

    They were already doing far, far better than they ever had before in 2012 in Edinburgh but still managed an additional 8ppt swing.

    8 point swing. In other times that would be considered HUGE.
  • Options
    TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,673
    pinkrose said:

    JWisemann said:

    TudorRose said:



    They can by selling it. It's part of the free market system we currently operate in this country.
    Or are you suggesting that perhaps Labour should or would sieze land/property to prevent this? If so I can see an enormous flight of capital from the UK if Labour ever get close to 35% in the polls again.

    If they sell it then someone owns it, who will then be taxed. It's quite simple. Wealth taxes are coming, it's just a matter of how long the spivs hold out.

    Exactly, taxes eventually need to fall heavier onto wealth, land and property. Also its easier to stop tax avoidance when its property and land that is being taxed.
    No, it simply leads to asset values being pushed down as the prospect of a wealth tax increases. Which means that the tax take ends up being either very small (and inefficient to collect) or punitive (and creating social discord - which might not help your cohesive nirvana very much)
  • Options
    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460

    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    Pinkrose so how do we suddenly provide the 300,000houses..and what about the homeless we already have..Instead of criticisng why not make some sensible practical suggestions....maybe start with the accommodation problem I

    The North of England, Wales and Scotland has a lot of spare capacity and cheap housing. The Syrian refugees would invigorate many run down areas & communities but i also support a major house building programme to address not only future immigration but the already homeless and those housed in temporary accommodation,B&B's etc.
    Have you ever even been to the S Wales Valleys? They'll be looking forward to their cultural invigoration with an unparalleled relish I'm sure. I can see it all now(!)
    All the evidence shows that more diverse communities are more pro immigration and those areas that have very very few immigrants are the most hostile. Maybe the South Wales Valleys need to become more diverse.
    Can I be a fly on the wall as you go round Merthyr knocking on doors with that message? Please? You seem to have absolutely zero concern for the views of anybody already legally here, and if they disagree, their communities should be engineered to your views? Just wow. UKIP would love you out canvassing. I'm sure they'd provide transport to be helpful.
    Immigration is a great benefit to this country and more importantly is essential for a healthy economy and for the future of our country. If a few xenophobic, racists in Merthyr don't like it....TOUGH!!
    You seem to have missed the point.

    There is nothing stopping immigrants setting in Merthyr at the moment.

    They won’t.

    And if immigrants are settled there under Pinkrose Forcible Settlement & Diversity Enhancement Schemes, they will leave.

    They will leave for the same reason that the existing population is leaving.

    The South Wales valleys are depopulating. They are depopulating because there are no jobs.

    These towns have no reason to exist any more. The coal and Iron that sustained them is gone.They have poor transport links, they are poorly served by rail, and by road. There is nothing there.

    Even if you did want to invest in job making in South Wales, you wouldn’t invest in Merthyr. You’d invest along the M4 corridor where there are better transport links and a wealthier population.

    From your remarks about Wales, you appear to know zero about it.
    Bang on sir. Dead right. Yr holl wir.
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    Dair said:

    justin124 said:

    Local election results in Scotland yesterday do not look bad for Labour compared to recent polls and May 2015.

    They are based on the 2012 baseline when the SNP was beginning to do much better (for example Dundee went SNP and Labour lost it for the first time in history). In 2012 the SNP vote was well up on 2011 and in 2011 it was well up on 2010 - the GE2015 baseline was 2010.
    I appreciate that but there was nevertheless a very big Labour to SNP swing over the period 2012 to 2015.It simply strikes me that the results yesterday imply a smaller swing than occurred back in May - ie a degree of 'swingback'.
  • Options
    Danny565 said:

    One would assume that if Corbyn hadn't done it, it would've leaked somewhere bynow and there would've been some major movements in the betting markets.

    Well Liz Kendall hasn't won.

    She's now the same odds to win tomorrow as David Miliband, Chuka Umuna, Harriet Harman, Dan Jarvis, Tristram Hunt and Alan Johnson.

    And they aren't even standing
  • Options

    Jezza hasn't actually been elected yet.

    Betfair thinks he is home and hosed. He is at 1.06, Cooper was at 19 and Burnham at one point today was at 90

    If anyone doesn't think Corbyn's home, there's lots of free money there.

    If anyone does think Corbyn is home and dry then 6% interest overnight is free money.
  • Options
    I see the Morning Star are taking a leaf out of Mr. Murdoch's book and printing on Sunday.

    "Jowells of rage"!

    https://twitter.com/georgeeaton/status/642439417064488961
  • Options

    glw said:

    I cannot still believe that some time tomorrow I will be writing a thread that says

    "Labour has elected Corbyn as leader"

    Best birthday present ever

    The political equivalent of this.
    http://www.theonion.com/graphic/july-21-1969-10515
    Well I've got a pun already prepared for that

    (Worse than subtle wrath of Khan pun I used today)

    Oh, was there a Khan pun in one of your articles? Don't think anyone noticed.

    David Herdson's next thread, honestly you're going to think I wrote it.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,460

    glw said:

    I cannot still believe that some time tomorrow I will be writing a thread that says

    "Labour has elected Corbyn as leader"

    Best birthday present ever

    (Worse than subtle wrath of Khan pun I used today)
    There's a thought that'll keep me up nights, a worse(read, better) pun than that.
  • Options
    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Matthew Goodwin ‏@GoodwinMJ 26m26 minutes ago
    The benchmark. Net satisfaction with new Labour leaders - month 1.
    Foot +2
    Kinnock +20
    Smith +18
    Blair +18
    Brown +16
    Militand +19
  • Options
    It still seems amazing that the leadership contest is actually going to end tomorrow.

    I feel like a 5 year old waiting for Christmas - the build up over days and weeks seems interminable and it's quite a surprise when the day finally, finally arrives.
  • Options
    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    edited September 2015

    pinkrose said:

    What is really starting to annoy me about Blairite MP's and their media friends like McTernan and Hodges is the way they keep abusing and denigrating £3 supporters but in the next breath whine about how unfair poor little Liz Kendall has been treated. If Labour didn't want people to vote who are not full members of the party then why introduce this system? And if you remember it was the Blairites who cheered this system to the rafters when it was introduced by Miliband because they thought they were getting one over on the unions.

    I think im typical of the £3 supporter, not a Labour party member, never have been but did vote for them at 2015 and have voted for them before. Im not a infiltrator, Tory or hard Left. I voted for Corbyn no other preferences for the Leadership, Tom Watson for Deputy Leadership and in the London Mayoralty 1st preference, Diane Abbott, 2nd preference Sadiq Khan.

    Christ - Diane Abbott! nuff said
    Pink Rose is pretty much a full blown Commie.
  • Options
    Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 4,995
    Dair said:

    Speedy said:


    And you are an SNP member?

    No, I'm not.
    Most shocking political event of the week :-0 :-)

    Anyway, you seem in one of your more grounded moods this evening, Dair, I do have a little long-term side bet with an England resident Nat that were Scotland to gain independence, it would have a rebranded Centre Right government within 20 years - so agree with your sentiment on that.
  • Options
    GIN1138 said:

    glw said:

    kle4 said:

    If the MPs had screened the candidates like they were supposed to, they wouldn't have had the option to cause damage in that way.

    Labour MPs must be feeling sick tonight, serves them right.
    Yes, I can honestly see this madness killing off Labour for good. I have an elderly relative who has been the absolute staunchest of Labour supporters for the best part of sixty years. He says he could not bring himself to vote for them if Corbyn becomes leader. (I was actually shocked when I heard this, so unshakeable had his loyalty been to Labour hitherto.) If old uncle Jim is saying this, what's everyone else thinking?
    "Are you thinking what Uncle Jim's thinking"?

    :smiley:
    Well, there's the Conservative slogan for 2020 already sorted!
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Speedy said:

    Dair said:

    Speedy said:

    Dair said:

    pinkrose said:


    No a solidarity tax, provides the revenue to build the infrastructure (housing etc) and provide the services needed for a strong, cohesive, multi racial, multi ethnic, multi cultural modern Britain.

    Multiculturalism is a failed experiment that badly needs squelched.

    If any good comes from a strong Tory government, it should be smashing this ridiculous idea.
    And you are an SNP member?
    No, I'm not.
    I thought you were an SNP fanatic.
    No, I'm not.

    Supporting Independence is not the same as supporting the SNP, although they are a useful and so far successful vehicle for its delivery.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,460
    edited September 2015
    Why would a communist paper not already publish on Sundays? Didn't the Soviets go to 6 and even 5 day weeks briefly, I'd have thought they'd operate every day to show disdain for the wastefulness of the weekend.

    Also, 'Jowells of Rage'? A stretch, but I'll allow it. I feel like some good pun work or Ghenghis allusions could have been had with the 'Conquering Khan' bit)
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,147
    Dair said:

    Speedy said:

    Dair said:

    Speedy said:

    Dair said:

    pinkrose said:


    No a solidarity tax, provides the revenue to build the infrastructure (housing etc) and provide the services needed for a strong, cohesive, multi racial, multi ethnic, multi cultural modern Britain.

    Multiculturalism is a failed experiment that badly needs squelched.

    If any good comes from a strong Tory government, it should be smashing this ridiculous idea.
    And you are an SNP member?
    No, I'm not.
    I thought you were an SNP fanatic.
    No, I'm not.

    Supporting Independence is not the same as supporting the SNP, although they are a useful and so far successful vehicle for its delivery.
    Not quite, as they lost the 2014 referendum
  • Options
    I'm off for the night.

    I do wonder if this is going to be the most stupid decision by a Western party since the Doge of Venice persuaded the Fourth Crusade to attack Byzantium.
  • Options
    ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    Estobar said:

    Dair said:

    HYUFD said:

    Astonishing footage of Corbyn minder pushing away a C4 news camera and Corbyn aggressively shouting 'get out of my way'
    https://twitter.com/Channel4News?lang=en-gb

    I think Corbyn was quite entitled to yell at the idiotic cameraman. The press do not have the right to block people's movement (especially when they risk injuring people with their actions). I can imagine most people would get annoyed if they couldn't get on their bike for cameramen pushing their lens into their face and blocking their passage.

    Yep. He's real. And that's why he is going to be a breath of fresh air and why people who are used to plastic-wrap politics are scratching their heads wondering what the hell's going on.
    Without in any way comparing JC to Hitler, you're talking the same kind of tosh about JC as many a 1930s German spoke about Hitler. He got "elected" from a similar position, but then this is 2015 Britain.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 21,162
    edited September 2015

    GIN1138 said:

    glw said:

    kle4 said:

    If the MPs had screened the candidates like they were supposed to, they wouldn't have had the option to cause damage in that way.

    Labour MPs must be feeling sick tonight, serves them right.
    Yes, I can honestly see this madness killing off Labour for good. I have an elderly relative who has been the absolute staunchest of Labour supporters for the best part of sixty years. He says he could not bring himself to vote for them if Corbyn becomes leader. (I was actually shocked when I heard this, so unshakeable had his loyalty been to Labour hitherto.) If old uncle Jim is saying this, what's everyone else thinking?
    "Are you thinking what Uncle Jim's thinking"?

    :smiley:
    Well, there's the Conservative slogan for 2020 already sorted!
    No, the Conservative slogan for 2020 will be:

    "Election 2020: Simple As ABC..."
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,460

    pinkrose said:

    What is really starting to annoy me about Blairite MP's and their media friends like McTernan and Hodges is the way they keep abusing and denigrating £3 supporters but in the next breath whine about how unfair poor little Liz Kendall has been treated. If Labour didn't want people to vote who are not full members of the party then why introduce this system? And if you remember it was the Blairites who cheered this system to the rafters when it was introduced by Miliband because they thought they were getting one over on the unions.

    I think im typical of the £3 supporter, not a Labour party member, never have been but did vote for them at 2015 and have voted for them before. Im not a infiltrator, Tory or hard Left. I voted for Corbyn no other preferences for the Leadership, Tom Watson for Deputy Leadership and in the London Mayoralty 1st preference, Diane Abbott, 2nd preference Sadiq Khan.

    Christ - Diane Abbott! nuff said
    Pink Rose is pretty much a full blown Commie.
    Excellent - although people are not accused of being commies as much as was once probably the case, it's handy in those instances when it does happen if there are genuine commies around.
  • Options
    Danny565 said:

    Matthew Goodwin ‏@GoodwinMJ 26m26 minutes ago
    The benchmark. Net satisfaction with new Labour leaders - month 1.
    Foot +2
    Kinnock +20
    Smith +18
    Blair +18
    Brown +16
    Miliband +19

    Foot apart, those are remarkably consistent scores. In fact, they're so consistent that I wonder whether they're all that meaningful or whether they just tend to measure generic new Labour leader? Do you know what the month 6 figures were?
  • Options

    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    Pinkrose so how do we suddenly provide the 300,000houses..and what about the homeless we already have..Instead of criticisng why not make some sensible practical suggestions....maybe start with the accommodation problem I

    ...
    ...
    ...
    Can I be a fly on the wall as you go round Merthyr knocking on doors with that message? Please? You seem to have absolutely zero concern for the views of anybody already legally here, and if they disagree, their communities should be engineered to your views? Just wow. UKIP would love you out canvassing. I'm sure they'd provide transport to be helpful.
    Immigration is a great benefit to this country and more importantly is essential for a healthy economy and for the future of our country. If a few xenophobic, racists in Merthyr don't like it....TOUGH!!
    You seem to have missed the point.
    There is nothing stopping immigrants setting in Merthyr at the moment.
    They won’t.
    And if immigrants are settled there under Pinkrose Forcible Settlement & Diversity Enhancement Schemes, they will leave.
    They will leave for the same reason that the existing population is leaving.
    The South Wales valleys are depopulating. They are depopulating because there are no jobs.
    These towns have no reason to exist any more. The coal and Iron that sustained them is gone.They have poor transport links, they are poorly served by rail, and by road. There is nothing there.
    Even if you did want to invest in job making in South Wales, you wouldn’t invest in Merthyr. You’d invest along the M4 corridor where there are better transport links and a wealthier population.
    From your remarks about Wales, you appear to know zero about it.
    Knows zero about fiscal and monetary policy as well.
    I have no desire to insult Merthyr (my father worked down the pit and I have been there a few years ago) but as I recall the 'valleys' are historical by products of coal mining and not suitable for supporting much practical larger or modern industry due to its well valley like geography.
    By that I mean workers houses built on sides of hills around pit heads.
    The houses can be improved but what worthwhile employment can be squeezed into these valleys? Tourism?
    These are issues for the Welsh Assembly (?) but there seems little wider dissemination of the problem. Shunting migrants there hardly seems an answer.
  • Options
    FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    edited September 2015
    At this very moment I suspect a Corbyn victory would be better for Labour than a Corbyn loss.

    If he gets narrowly edged out by one of the others that could cause more gnashing of teeth than a win.

    Or am I wrong?

    Incidentally, why would Tories hate him? I cant see that he poses a serious threat. I think the technicslities of not carrying the support of the PLP will render him a short-term leader. His objective should be to convince the PLP that future Labour shadow cabinets should have a more leftwing agenda (because his victory proved that point......)

    I suspect Tories will fine little to hate in that. Blair proved that elections can only be won by occupying the centre ground. He talked constantly of his joy at seeing the Tories move to their comfort zone on the right. What is happening now to Labour is almost a mirror image of the Tories in 2001.
  • Options
    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460
    SeanT said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    Pinkrose so how do we suddenly provide the 300,000houses..and what about the homeless we already have..Instead of criticisng why not make some sensible practical suggestions....maybe start with the accommodation problem I

    The North of England, Wales and Scotland has a lot of spare capacity and cheap housing. The Syrian refugees would invigorate many run down areas & communities but i also support a major house building programme to address not only future immigration but the already homeless and those housed in temporary accommodation,B&B's etc.
    Have you ever even been to the S Wales Valleys? They'll be looking forward to their cultural invigoration with an unparalleled relish I'm sure. I can see it all now(!)
    All the evidence shows that more diverse communities are more pro immigration and those areas that have very very few immigrants are the most hostile. Maybe the South Wales Valleys need to become more diverse.
    Can I be a fly on the wall as you go round Merthyr knocking on doors with that message? Please? You seem to have absolutely zero concern for the views of anybody already legally here, and if they disagree, their communities should be engineered to your views? Just wow. UKIP would love you out canvassing. I'm sure they'd provide transport to be helpful.
    Immigration is a great benefit to this country and more importantly is essential for a healthy economy and for the future of our country. If a few xenophobic, racists in Merthyr don't like it....TOUGH!!
    Thought so. Glad we've cleared that up. There you go then, it's not like Labour needs Wales is it? I mean there's only 11% of its seats from an area with under 5% of the UK's electorate.
    Don't you understand? The Corbyn masterplan sees Labour seizing power by winning 85% of the vote in Camden, Islington, a small shed in Middlesborough and maybe Raqqa.
    I've worked it out now. Taxes will go up in a way that makes Hollande look like Friedrich Hayek millions will flee abroad BUT - and this is the brilliant but if you think about it - that creates the space to import squillions to culturally invigorate those that are left, who weren't fortune enough to be able to get their money out of the country to anywhere else on the planet this side of N Korea and Zimbabwe.

    What could go wrong?
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    justin124 said:

    Dair said:

    justin124 said:

    Local election results in Scotland yesterday do not look bad for Labour compared to recent polls and May 2015.

    They are based on the 2012 baseline when the SNP was beginning to do much better (for example Dundee went SNP and Labour lost it for the first time in history). In 2012 the SNP vote was well up on 2011 and in 2011 it was well up on 2010 - the GE2015 baseline was 2010.
    I appreciate that but there was nevertheless a very big Labour to SNP swing over the period 2012 to 2015.It simply strikes me that the results yesterday imply a smaller swing than occurred back in May - ie a degree of 'swingback'.
    No, that's a myth.

    The swing to the SNP started after 2010. Their vote share between 2011 and 2015 has only grown from 45% to 50%. Most of the SNP gain had already happened by 2012. Also remember that being done on STV the national share isn't directly comparable.

    There really is no swingback at all, hence the SNP polling high 50s for Holyrood Constituency VI.
  • Options
    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,887
    I don't think it's possible for a party to fill the gap Labour will leave as quite simply neither UKIP or the Lib Dems can be the 'alternative' party of government, only Labour can. In fact Corbyn being elected could be bad for all the opposition parties.

    UKIP: Will make a play at the old Labour, anti-establishment voters. Corbyn Is also the least pro EU of all the candidates and may spare Labour from being the loud pro EU voice which could have divided Labour voters..

    Lib Dems: Farron wants to build a localised grass roots movement. If Corbyn hoovers up all the left leaning voters, their fightback could ht a roadblock.

    Greens: Will really struggle with Corbyn having such a similar platform.

    SNP: Corbyn's politics are a step back towards lost Labour voters in Scotland and they won't simply be able to just say "progressive" and "anti austerity" all the time to win votes. There'll be no more easy moments for them like the welfare or budget responsibility bill.
  • Options
    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    kle4 said:

    pinkrose said:

    What is really starting to annoy me about Blairite MP's and their media friends like McTernan and Hodges is the way they keep abusing and denigrating £3 supporters but in the next breath whine about how unfair poor little Liz Kendall has been treated. If Labour didn't want people to vote who are not full members of the party then why introduce this system? And if you remember it was the Blairites who cheered this system to the rafters when it was introduced by Miliband because they thought they were getting one over on the unions.

    I think im typical of the £3 supporter, not a Labour party member, never have been but did vote for them at 2015 and have voted for them before. Im not a infiltrator, Tory or hard Left. I voted for Corbyn no other preferences for the Leadership, Tom Watson for Deputy Leadership and in the London Mayoralty 1st preference, Diane Abbott, 2nd preference Sadiq Khan.

    Christ - Diane Abbott! nuff said
    Pink Rose is pretty much a full blown Commie.
    Excellent - although people are not accused of being commies as much as was once probably the case, it's handy in those instances when it does happen if there are genuine commies around.
    Corbyn wants to basically screw everyone just like the Commies do.. Don't bother working hard, we'll tax you to death and nationalise everything.
  • Options
    ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    pinkrose said:

    welshowl said:

    pinkrose said:

    Pinkrose so how do we suddenly provide the 300,000houses..and what about the homeless we already have..Instead of criticisng why not make some sensible practical suggestions....maybe start with the accommodation problem I

    The North of England, Wales and Scotland has a lot of spare capacity and cheap housing. The Syrian refugees would invigorate many run down areas & communities but i also support a major house building programme to address not only future immigration but the already homeless and those housed in temporary accommodation,B&B's etc.
    Have you ever even been to the S Wales Valleys? They'll be looking forward to their cultural invigoration with an unparalleled relish I'm sure. I can see it all now(!)
    All the evidence shows that more diverse communities are more pro immigration and those areas that have very very few immigrants are the most hostile. Maybe the South Wales Valleys need to become more diverse.
    What a disgracefully arrogant comment from one who obviously believes herself to be speaking from the high moral ground. Disgusting. Also stupid - what evidence?
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    The results in Edinburgh and Midlothian yesterday showed Labour to SNP swings of 7 and 6% respectively since 2012. I am pretty confident that the swings last May were higher in both areas - in relation to 2012.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,147
    edited September 2015
    Fenster said:

    At this very moment I suspect a Corbyn victory would be better for Labour than a Corbyn loss.

    If he gets narrowly edged out by one of the others that could cause more gnashing of teeth than a win.

    Or am I wrong?

    Incidentally, why would Tories hate him? I cant see that he poses a serious threat. I think the technicslities of not carrying the support of the PLP will render him a short-term leader. His objective should be to convince the PLP that future Labour shadow cabinets should have a more leftwing agenda (because his victory proved that point......)

    I suspect Tories will fine little to hate in that. Blair proved that elections can only be won by occupying the centre ground. He talked constantly of his joy at seeing the Tories move to their comfort zone on the right. What is happening now to Labour is almost a mirror image of the Tories in 2001.

    Losing a few Corbynites to the Greens in Islington and Manchester is an easy price to pay for a Cooper or Burnham win. A Corbyn win effectively cedes the election already to the Tories, short of a depression, that is if he lasts that long. I agree Corbyn's win will be like IDS' win, arguably worse, effectively Cameron will have no opposition for 2/3 years at least, just as Blair did from 2001-2003, indeed he may find more problems on his rightflank from UKIP with EUref looming than from the main 'opposition' party just as Blair faced more problems from his leftflank from the LDs over Iraq than he did from IDS' Tories
  • Options
    Alyn Kurd's Father alleged to be a people smuggler and was in charge of the boat according to Australian media and the daily express tonight
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Pro_Rata said:

    Dair said:

    Speedy said:


    And you are an SNP member?

    No, I'm not.
    Most shocking political event of the week :-0 :-)

    Anyway, you seem in one of your more grounded moods this evening, Dair, I do have a little long-term side bet with an England resident Nat that were Scotland to gain independence, it would have a rebranded Centre Right government within 20 years - so agree with your sentiment on that.
    Yes, it's very likely, I'm not sure it would even take 20 years, the SNP would not be very stable at all after Independence.

    Its not even clear what the SNP would be called after Independence. Obviously the Scottish part would be redundant. But the name "National Party" doesn't really belong anywhere on the left of the spectrum.
  • Options
    Just catching up on the comments and there's talk tonight of a Labour "solidarity tax".

    Paging George Orwell, the Communists are back in full charge.
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    Dair said:

    justin124 said:

    Dair said:

    justin124 said:

    Local election results in Scotland yesterday do not look bad for Labour compared to recent polls and May 2015.

    They are based on the 2012 baseline when the SNP was beginning to do much better (for example Dundee went SNP and Labour lost it for the first time in history). In 2012 the SNP vote was well up on 2011 and in 2011 it was well up on 2010 - the GE2015 baseline was 2010.
    I appreciate that but there was nevertheless a very big Labour to SNP swing over the period 2012 to 2015.It simply strikes me that the results yesterday imply a smaller swing than occurred back in May - ie a degree of 'swingback'.
    No, that's a myth.

    The swing to the SNP started after 2010. Their vote share between 2011 and 2015 has only grown from 45% to 50%. Most of the SNP gain had already happened by 2012. Also remember that being done on STV the national share isn't directly comparable.

    There really is no swingback at all, hence the SNP polling high 50s for Holyrood Constituency VI.
    But in 2012 the SNP was not enjoying a huge lead over Labour in the polls in any way comparable to the 25% margin of May2015 - it was much closer to neck and neck!
  • Options
    justin124 said:

    The results in Edinburgh and Midlothian yesterday showed Labour to SNP swings of 7 and 6% respectively since 2012. I am pretty confident that the swings last May were higher in both areas - in relation to 2012.

    Grasping straws comes to mind
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    "Jeremy Corbyn faces the resignation of up to a dozen shadow cabinet ministers on the first day of his leadership as senior Labour figures refused to serve under the hard-Left MP.

    They are Tristram Hunt, Chris Leslie, Emma Reynolds, Vernon Coaker, Michael Dugher, Shabana Mahmood, Mary Creagh, Yvette Cooper, Chuka Umunna, Lucy Powell, Liz Kendall and a twelfth who asked not to be named."
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11859694/Jeremy-Corbyn-faces-a-dozen-shadow-cabinet-resignations-if-he-wins-Labour-leadership.html
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,147

    Danny565 said:

    Matthew Goodwin ‏@GoodwinMJ 26m26 minutes ago
    The benchmark. Net satisfaction with new Labour leaders - month 1.
    Foot +2
    Kinnock +20
    Smith +18
    Blair +18
    Brown +16
    Miliband +19

    Foot apart, those are remarkably consistent scores. In fact, they're so consistent that I wonder whether they're all that meaningful or whether they just tend to measure generic new Labour leader? Do you know what the month 6 figures were?
    Corbyn likely to face lowest approval rating for a Labour leader since Foot then
  • Options
    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460

    Just catching up on the comments and there's talk tonight of a Labour "solidarity tax".

    Paging George Orwell, the Communists are back in full charge.

    Scary innit? Seriously unhinged stuff.
  • Options
    TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,673
    RodCrosby said:

    "Jeremy Corbyn faces the resignation of up to a dozen shadow cabinet ministers on the first day of his leadership as senior Labour figures refused to serve under the hard-Left MP.

    They are Tristram Hunt, Chris Leslie, Emma Reynolds, Vernon Coaker, Michael Dugher, Shabana Mahmood, Mary Creagh, Yvette Cooper, Chuka Umunna, Lucy Powell, Liz Kendall and a twelfth who asked not to be named."
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11859694/Jeremy-Corbyn-faces-a-dozen-shadow-cabinet-resignations-if-he-wins-Labour-leadership.html

    What makes them think he would want them...?
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    justin124 said:

    The results in Edinburgh and Midlothian yesterday showed Labour to SNP swings of 7 and 6% respectively since 2012. I am pretty confident that the swings last May were higher in both areas - in relation to 2012.

    Grasping straws comes to mind
    Check the figures for yourself!
  • Options
    justin124 said:

    justin124 said:

    The results in Edinburgh and Midlothian yesterday showed Labour to SNP swings of 7 and 6% respectively since 2012. I am pretty confident that the swings last May were higher in both areas - in relation to 2012.

    Grasping straws comes to mind
    Check the figures for yourself!
    Still grasping at straws - no way are labour coming back in Scotland - the SNP have taken over their ground just as the Conservatives have in England
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Artist said:

    SNP: Corbyn's politics are a step back towards lost Labour voters in Scotland and they won't simply be able to just say "progressive" and "anti austerity" all the time to win votes. There'll be no more easy moments for them like the welfare or budget responsibility bill.

    Not remotely.

    The reaction to Corbyn by the London Media and the English Electorate (if he even gets to face an electoral test) will simply entrench the left in Scotland in their belief in Independence. When Corbyn is electorally humiliated or, more likely, extricated from his leadership by a Labour coup, it will only enhance the SNP's position.

    Corbyn is the best possible outcome for the SNP and Scottish Independence.
  • Options
    pinkrosepinkrose Posts: 189
    edited September 2015
    TudorRose said:

    RodCrosby said:

    "Jeremy Corbyn faces the resignation of up to a dozen shadow cabinet ministers on the first day of his leadership as senior Labour figures refused to serve under the hard-Left MP.

    They are Tristram Hunt, Chris Leslie, Emma Reynolds, Vernon Coaker, Michael Dugher, Shabana Mahmood, Mary Creagh, Yvette Cooper, Chuka Umunna, Lucy Powell, Liz Kendall and a twelfth who asked not to be named."
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11859694/Jeremy-Corbyn-faces-a-dozen-shadow-cabinet-resignations-if-he-wins-Labour-leadership.html

    What makes them think he would want them...?
    Exactly glad to get rid of the Blairite trash tbh.

    Its so ironic that the BLAIRITES drove through the changes for electing the leader. They all but forced Ed to accept them at gunpoint after Falkirk.

    BLAIR himself delivered some of his most effusively supportive praise of Miliband after the special conference ratified the new system.

    Those are the facts and its blown up in their faces, loooool
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,595
    RodCrosby said:

    Lucy Powell

    Yeah, Corbyn will be upset that she won't join his team.
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    justin124 said:

    The results in Edinburgh and Midlothian yesterday showed Labour to SNP swings of 7 and 6% respectively since 2012. I am pretty confident that the swings last May were higher in both areas - in relation to 2012.

    You can't compare an STV vote with a FPTP vote.
  • Options

    Just catching up on the comments and there's talk tonight of a Labour "solidarity tax".

    Paging George Orwell, the Communists are back in full charge.

    Yeah, if only ole George's preferred option, the Socialists, were in the running.
  • Options
    The utter stupidity and crapness of the Labour party truly is something to behold. I am in awe of its utter absutdity.
  • Options
    Dair said:

    Artist said:

    SNP: Corbyn's politics are a step back towards lost Labour voters in Scotland and they won't simply be able to just say "progressive" and "anti austerity" all the time to win votes. There'll be no more easy moments for them like the welfare or budget responsibility bill.

    Not remotely.

    The reaction to Corbyn by the London Media and the English Electorate (if he even gets to face an electoral test) will simply entrench the left in Scotland in their belief in Independence. When Corbyn is electorally humiliated or, more likely, extricated from his leadership by a Labour coup, it will only enhance the SNP's position.

    Corbyn is the best possible outcome for the SNP and Scottish Independence.
    And for the Conservatives south of the border.
  • Options

    I'm off for the night.

    I do wonder if this is going to be the most stupid decision by a Western party since the Doge of Venice persuaded the Fourth Crusade to attack Byzantium.

    Was that such a mistake for the Doge? I thought Venice profited greatly from plundering Constantinople?

    Of course the Pope was less impressed.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 118,147
    Dair said:

    Artist said:

    SNP: Corbyn's politics are a step back towards lost Labour voters in Scotland and they won't simply be able to just say "progressive" and "anti austerity" all the time to win votes. There'll be no more easy moments for them like the welfare or budget responsibility bill.

    Not remotely.

    The reaction to Corbyn by the London Media and the English Electorate (if he even gets to face an electoral test) will simply entrench the left in Scotland in their belief in Independence. When Corbyn is electorally humiliated or, more likely, extricated from his leadership by a Labour coup, it will only enhance the SNP's position.

    Corbyn is the best possible outcome for the SNP and Scottish Independence.
    Eh no, Corbyn will at least finally end the 'Red Tories' cry of the cybernats, which will be a bit difficult to apply when he is even more leftwing than Sturgeon. He may not smash the SNP, but the SNP have said Corbyn is the candidate they least want to win the Labour leadership for a reason
  • Options
    TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,673
    pinkrose said:

    TudorRose said:

    RodCrosby said:

    "Jeremy Corbyn faces the resignation of up to a dozen shadow cabinet ministers on the first day of his leadership as senior Labour figures refused to serve under the hard-Left MP.

    They are Tristram Hunt, Chris Leslie, Emma Reynolds, Vernon Coaker, Michael Dugher, Shabana Mahmood, Mary Creagh, Yvette Cooper, Chuka Umunna, Lucy Powell, Liz Kendall and a twelfth who asked not to be named."
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11859694/Jeremy-Corbyn-faces-a-dozen-shadow-cabinet-resignations-if-he-wins-Labour-leadership.html

    What makes them think he would want them...?
    Exactly glad to get rid of the Blairite trash tbh.

    Its so ironic that the BLAIRITES drove through the changes for electing the leader. They all but forced Ed to accept them at gunpoint after Falkirk.

    BLAIR himself delivered some of his most effusively supportive praise of Miliband after the special conference ratified the new system.

    Those are the facts and its blown up in their faces, loooool
    The greatest irony being that there was a rule to prevent exactly this sort of thing happening and it was largely Blairite MPs who decided to circumvent it. Who'll be the first to interview Beckett tomorrow?
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    justin124 said:

    Dair said:

    justin124 said:

    Dair said:

    justin124 said:

    Local election results in Scotland yesterday do not look bad for Labour compared to recent polls and May 2015.

    They are based on the 2012 baseline when the SNP was beginning to do much better (for example Dundee went SNP and Labour lost it for the first time in history). In 2012 the SNP vote was well up on 2011 and in 2011 it was well up on 2010 - the GE2015 baseline was 2010.
    I appreciate that but there was nevertheless a very big Labour to SNP swing over the period 2012 to 2015.It simply strikes me that the results yesterday imply a smaller swing than occurred back in May - ie a degree of 'swingback'.
    No, that's a myth.

    The swing to the SNP started after 2010. Their vote share between 2011 and 2015 has only grown from 45% to 50%. Most of the SNP gain had already happened by 2012. Also remember that being done on STV the national share isn't directly comparable.

    There really is no swingback at all, hence the SNP polling high 50s for Holyrood Constituency VI.
    But in 2012 the SNP was not enjoying a huge lead over Labour in the polls in any way comparable to the 25% margin of May2015 - it was much closer to neck and neck!
    As I said above it is a bad mistake to compare STV elections to FPTP.

    But more than that, the SNP was very successful throughout Eastern Scotland, winning power in Dundee, winning power in Edinburgh, only losing power in Aberdeen and Stirling to a Labour/Tory coalitions.

    Where the SNP failed in 2012 was in the West of Scotland which was not tested at these elections but has been recently and the SNP has had the expected, much larger swings.

    They can't swing the same in Edinburgh (or Dundee, or Stirling, or Aberdeen) because in 2012 they already had record levels of support.
  • Options
    SeanT said:

    HYUFD said:

    Astonishing footage of Corbyn minder pushing away a C4 news camera and Corbyn aggressively shouting 'get out of my way'
    https://twitter.com/Channel4News?lang=en-gb

    He's got an appalling temper. Hates being challenged or scrutnized as he's never been challenged or scrutinized.

    So, to add to the terrorist supporting, ISIS loving, IRA hugging, Bin Laden adoring, Chavez worshipping, quasi-Trotskyism... plus the chronic disloyalty, weird family life, hypocrite spouse and voodoo economics... he is actually not even that nice as a person, despite the claims, indeed he'd a bit of a ticking eggshell-personality time bomb.

    Bravo, Labour. Bravo. They found possibly the single worst man to lead the party out of the entire male population of Great Britain.
    I wonder if Cameron should simply cut to the chase and call him out as a traitor.

    He is.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,460
    edited September 2015
    pinkrose said:

    TudorRose said:

    RodCrosby said:

    "Jeremy Corbyn faces the resignation of up to a dozen shadow cabinet ministers on the first day of his leadership as senior Labour figures refused to serve under the hard-Left MP.

    They are Tristram Hunt, Chris Leslie, Emma Reynolds, Vernon Coaker, Michael Dugher, Shabana Mahmood, Mary Creagh, Yvette Cooper, Chuka Umunna, Lucy Powell, Liz Kendall and a twelfth who asked not to be named."
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11859694/Jeremy-Corbyn-faces-a-dozen-shadow-cabinet-resignations-if-he-wins-Labour-leadership.html

    What makes them think he would want them...?
    Exactly glad to get rid of the Blairite trash tbh.

    Its so ironic that the BLAIRITES drove through the changes for electing the leader. They all but forced Ed to accept them at gunpoint after Falkirk.

    BLAIR himself delivered some of his most effusively supportive praise of Miliband after the special conference ratified the new system.

    Those are the facts and its blown up in their faces, loooool
    The system would have been fine for the Blairites (or at least not as disastrous as has occurred), had it actually been followed as intended. MPs decided to work around the spirit of the system - making sure any candidate presented to the members had significant parliamentary support (I'm guessing the letter of the rules does not specify that support needs to be genuine) - as they felt a broader debate was more worthwhile than sticking to the spirit of those rules.

    Nothing wrong with them making that determination even if some now regret it, they decided other factors were more important, but that does mean it is not really the system Blairites pushed through (I assume you're right that's how it went down, I wouldn't know) that has let them down, it's their fellow MPs for subverting it, and some of them probably did too.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 93,460
    glw said:

    RodCrosby said:

    Lucy Powell

    Yeah, Corbyn will be upset that she won't join his team.
    One of the few politicians where her opponent's characterization of her ineptness actually seemed totally accurate, which is quite rare I think.
  • Options
    Dear Blairites it's not a done deal, the odds on Corbyn winning are about the same price as a hung parly was when the exit poll came out
Sign In or Register to comment.