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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,008
    edited August 2015
    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Some interesting stats from yougov's ST Labour leadership poll of the public a fortnight ago.

    In England and Wales while 11% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party, 15% would be less likely giving him a net score of -4%, behind Burnham and Kendall.

    In Scotland by contrast 18% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party and only 11% less likely giving him a net score of +7%, well ahead of the other contendors

    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jvcr8gkvrb/SundayTimesResults_150724_W.pdf

    Thanks - missed that when it came out. Actually the overall figures are very similar for all four candidates - little evidence of Corbyn either attracting or repelling vast numbers at that stage. Another point of interest is that both Tories and Labour had put people off since the election.
    David Miliband would do better than all of them north and south of the border, but Corbyn's strikingly better performance in Scotland than rUK is the most interesting part of the poll
    Scotland offers some low-hanging fruit to Labour, if they shift further Left.

    But, it makes life harder in England and Wales. And, as others have pointed, Corbyn as leader effectively gives the government 11 Unionist votes when it matters.
    Indeed, the poll shows that in England and Wales 28% think Miliband took Labour too far left and only 19% not far enough, while in Scotland only 14% think he took Labour too far left and 45% not far enough.

    23% in England and Wales think the next leader should make Labour more left wing, 28% think he should not. In Scotland 48% think he should make Labour more left wing, only 17% less left wing
    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jvcr8gkvrb/SundayTimesResults_150724_W.pdf
  • Pauly said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/
    How many of those areas have a Labour council?
    So it's all Labour's fault, despite, as one PBer mentioned the Tories in the post-war era, have governed more than any other party.

    Surely it's the fault of both Labour and the Tories? After all it's going to be pretty difficult for councils to transform long-standing differences in inequality between regions. After all, London is the richest region in Northern Europe which says it all.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,547
    EPG said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Some interesting stats from yougov's ST Labour leadership poll of the public a fortnight ago.

    In England and Wales while 11% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party, 15% would be less likely giving him a net score of -4%, behind Burnham and Kendall.

    In Scotland by contrast 18% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party and only 11% less likely giving him a net score of +7%, well ahead of the other contendors

    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jvcr8gkvrb/SundayTimesResults_150724_W.pdf

    Thanks - missed that when it came out. Actually the overall figures are very similar for all four candidates - little evidence of Corbyn either attracting or repelling vast numbers at that stage. Another point of interest is that both Tories and Labour had put people off since the election.
    David Miliband would do better than all of them north and south of the border, but Corbyn's strikingly better performance in Scotland than rUK is the most interesting part of the poll
    Scotland offers some low-hanging fruit to Labour, if they shift further Left.

    But, it makes life harder in England and Wales. And, as others have pointed, Corbyn as leader effectively gives the government 11 Unionist votes when it matters.
    Er no. The unionists are in government with Sinn Féin. They do deals with whomever will deliver the goodies.
    They have no choice but to be in government with Sinn Fein. It's not a voluntary coalition. They detest each other.
  • Dair said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Some interesting stats from yougov's ST Labour leadership poll of the public a fortnight ago.

    In England and Wales while 11% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party, 15% would be less likely giving him a net score of -4%, behind Burnham and Kendall.

    In Scotland by contrast 18% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party and only 11% less likely giving him a net score of +7%, well ahead of the other contendors

    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jvcr8gkvrb/SundayTimesResults_150724_W.pdf

    Thanks - missed that when it came out. Actually the overall figures are very similar for all four candidates - little evidence of Corbyn either attracting or repelling vast numbers at that stage. Another point of interest is that both Tories and Labour had put people off since the election.
    David Miliband would do better than all of them north and south of the border, but Corbyn's strikingly better performance in Scotland than rUK is the most interesting part of the poll
    Scotland offers some low-hanging fruit to Labour, if they shift further Left.

    But, it makes life harder in England and Wales. And, as others have pointed, Corbyn as leader effectively gives the government 11 Unionist votes when it matters.
    Here are Labour's 100 top target seats for 2020.

    http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/united_kingdom/targets/lab

    Their first "low hanging fruit" is 26th on the list with an SNP majority of 3,718 to overturn despite them pretty much maximising any tactical voting.

    Their next "low hanging fruit" is 45th with an SNP majority of 5,597 and is due heavy Boundary Changes which will only help the SNP gain a higher notional majority.

    In fact Labour only have 9 SNP seats in their top 100 targets and they are clustered at the upper end of the 100 with majorities well beyond anything Labour can expect to turn around.

    And in every single one of these seats, the SNP will have the "first defence incumbence" advantage.

    The SNP have the advantage that none of the candidates for Labour leader are Scottish. The English have voted in numbers for Scottish Labour and Lib Dem leaders but I don't see Scots voting for an English leader.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,547

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/

    EDIT: http://inequalitybriefing.org/brief/briefing-43-the-poorest-regions-of-the-uk-are-the-poorest-in-northern-
    Northern Europe, like the UK, is a very wealthy part of the world.
  • Calm down, Jesus Christ. See my previous post.

    It isn't even northern Europe.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,008
    Dair said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Some interesting stats from yougov's ST Labour leadership poll of the public a fortnight ago.

    In England and Wales while 11% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party, 15% would be less likely giving him a net score of -4%, behind Burnham and Kendall.

    In Scotland by contrast 18% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party and only 11% less likely giving him a net score of +7%, well ahead of the other contendors

    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jvcr8gkvrb/SundayTimesResults_150724_W.pdf

    Thanks - missed that when it came out. Actually the overall figures are very similar for all four candidates - little evidence of Corbyn either attracting or repelling vast numbers at that stage. Another point of interest is that both Tories and Labour had put people off since the election.
    David Miliband would do better than all of them north and south of the border, but Corbyn's strikingly better performance in Scotland than rUK is the most interesting part of the poll
    Scotland offers some low-hanging fruit to Labour, if they shift further Left.

    But, it makes life harder in England and Wales. And, as others have pointed, Corbyn as leader effectively gives the government 11 Unionist votes when it matters.
    Here are Labour's 100 top target seats for 2020.

    http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/united_kingdom/targets/lab

    Their first "low hanging fruit" is 26th on the list with an SNP majority of 3,718 to overturn despite them pretty much maximising any tactical voting.

    Their next "low hanging fruit" is 45th with an SNP majority of 5,597 and is due heavy Boundary Changes which will only help the SNP gain a higher notional majority.

    In fact Labour only have 9 SNP seats in their top 100 targets and they are clustered at the upper end of the 100 with majorities well beyond anything Labour can expect to turn around.

    And in every single one of these seats, the SNP will have the "first defence incumbence" advantage.
    They have 10 SNP targets including the 101st Labour target seat
  • Calm down, Jesus Christ. See my previous post.

    It isn't even northern Europe.
    So inequalitybriefing are wrong, then?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516

    Pauly said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/
    How many of those areas have a Labour council?
    So it's all Labour's fault, despite, as one PBer mentioned the Tories in the post-war era, have governed more than any other party.

    Surely it's the fault of both Labour and the Tories? After all it's going to be pretty difficult for councils to transform long-standing differences in inequality between regions. After all, London is the richest region in Northern Europe which says it all.
    Or it could just be duff statistics.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    edited August 2015

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Have you ever been to anywhere in Europe outside of the big cities? Would love to see some sources for that interesting claim.

    Edit: Refreshed page and sources provided.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,008

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Some interesting stats from yougov's ST Labour leadership poll of the public a fortnight ago.

    In England and Wales while 11% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party, 15% would be less likely giving him a net score of -4%, behind Burnham and Kendall.

    In Scotland by contrast 18% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party and only 11% less likely giving him a net score of +7%, well ahead of the other contendors

    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jvcr8gkvrb/SundayTimesResults_150724_W.pdf

    I doubt he'll be able to do it, but getting Scotland back may make a Corbyn leadership less damaging for Labour. None of the candidates can win back England, not a single one.
    Scotland would be the only net plus of a Corbyn leadership for Labour. As for England, I would not rule out Burnham and Kendall pipping Osborne there in the right circumstances, though not Cameron if he stands again and probably not Johnson
    On Cameron, I saw that Telegraph story - just seems to be the hopes of MPs that he'll stand again, as opposed to any real inside information as to what Cameron is thinking. Was interesting to read that several Tories are worried about Osborne's electability, though.

    I don't think Osborne can get a majority, nor do I think he'd make a good PM - but most likely, he could preside over a minority Tory government. And then pretty much become unpopular from there.
    We shall see, and if Corbyn wins whether he lasts the course or is IDS 2
    Do you think Corbyn will last?

    Depends on the polling and local election results
  • Plato said:

    I'm trying to think of genuine Corbynistas [those who believe in him/his views] on here - bar @bigjohnowls I'm struggling.

    Who have I missed?

    AndyJS said:
    I know @tyson and @SandyRentool are supporting Corbyn, but I don't think they necessarily think like Corbyn.
    I'm probably going to vote for him. I don't agree with everything he thinks, but I don't see him as intolerant of dissent, and I'd rather have an appealing vision with issues that one can argue about than no particular vision at all.
    Quick question: do you think a Corbyn-led Labour could get an appealing vision across to swing voters? Many in the media won't give him much of a hearing and there's a lot of history that could continually be brought up.

    Are the right wing media keeping quiet about the dirt on Corbyn so that he wins - or does the right wing media not have any dirt on Corbyn?
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    edited August 2015
    Sean_F said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/

    EDIT: http://inequalitybriefing.org/brief/briefing-43-the-poorest-regions-of-the-uk-are-the-poorest-in-northern-
    Northern Europe, like the UK, is a very wealthy part of the world.
    I don't think they are disputing that. They're saying that most of the wealth is in London, and that while Londoners may enjoy a standard of living comparative to the rest of North Europe, many throughout the country do not which is why we make up 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in Northern Europe. Don't you think that's a tad concerning?
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,653
    Ladbrokes will sell me a 75 per cent probability that Jeremy Corbyn will be Labour leader at the end of September, or a 30 per cent probability that Jeremy Corby will be Labour leader at the next general election.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    edited August 2015

    Pauly said:


    How many of those areas have a Labour council?

    So it's all Labour's fault, despite, as one PBer mentioned the Tories in the post-war era, have governed more than any other party.

    Surely it's the fault of both Labour and the Tories? After all it's going to be pretty difficult for councils to transform long-standing differences in inequality between regions. After all, London is the richest region in Northern Europe which says it all.
    On a very real level, it is the fault of FPTP.

    Under FPTP the Tories don't need deprived areas, all they have to do is ensure they have enough areas provided with government largesse to get enough seats. In any form of proportional representation, you can't do that because you either cannot form a majority without support everywhere or your coalition will include parties with representations which FPTP governments can safely ignore.

    Almost every single thing which is wrong with the way the UK, socially and economically is the fault of FPTP.
  • Life_ina_market_townLife_ina_market_town Posts: 2,319
    edited August 2015

    So inequalitybriefing are wrong, then?

    Yes. They are correct only if you define "northern Europe" as excluding several EU member states further north than those in their sample. The sample is entirely artificial. France is apparently a member of "northern Europe", but Poland and the Baltic States aren't.
  • Pauly said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/
    How many of those areas have a Labour council?
    So it's all Labour's fault, despite, as one PBer mentioned the Tories in the post-war era, have governed more than any other party.

    Surely it's the fault of both Labour and the Tories? After all it's going to be pretty difficult for councils to transform long-standing differences in inequality between regions. After all, London is the richest region in Northern Europe which says it all.
    Or it could just be duff statistics.
    Why would the stats be wrong, exactly? Inequalitybriefing got their data from Eurostat.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    edited August 2015
    As I posted earlier about Iowa -

    Public Policy Polling in Iowa post-debate -

    Trump 19%
    Walker 12%
    Carson 12%
    Bush 11%
    Fiorina 10%
    Cruz 9%
    Huckabee and Rubio 6%
    all the rest 3% or lower.

    MOE 3.9%
  • So inequalitybriefing are wrong, then?

    Yes. They are correct only if you define "northern Europe" as excluding several EU member states further north than those in their sample. The sample is entirely artificial. France is apparently a member of "northern Europe", but Poland and the Baltic States aren't.
    Isn't Poland an Eastern European country?

    https://www.google.co.uk/?gws_rd=ssl#q=poland+
    Poland is an eastern European country on the Baltic Sea known for its medieval architecture, Jewish heritage and hearty cuisine

  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,338
    Plato said:

    In all seriousness, I've been pondering JC's baggage and trying to see how he won't be annihilated.

    One can be all starry-eyed about his Magic People's QE Bank - but the rest of it? His list of dubious friends alone provides acres of opportunity.

    And that's before the newspapers start digging in a serious way.

    watford30 said:

    EPG said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Some interesting stats from yougov's ST Labour leadership poll of the public a fortnight ago.

    In England and Wales while 11% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party, 15% would be less likely giving him a net score of -4%, behind Burnham and Kendall.

    In Scotland by contrast 18% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party and only 11% less likely giving him a net score of +7%, well ahead of the other contendors

    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jvcr8gkvrb/SundayTimesResults_150724_W.pdf

    Thanks - missed that when it came out. Actually the overall figures are very similar for all four candidates - little evidence of Corbyn either attracting or repelling vast numbers at that stage. Another point of interest is that both Tories and Labour had put people off since the election.
    David Miliband would do better than all of them north and south of the border, but Corbyn's strikingly better performance in Scotland than rUK is the most interesting part of the poll
    Scotland offers some low-hanging fruit to Labour, if they shift further Left.

    But, it makes life harder in England and Wales. And, as others have pointed, Corbyn as leader effectively gives the government 11 Unionist votes when it matters.
    Er no. The unionists are in government with Sinn Féin. They do deals with whomever will deliver the goodies.
    The Unionists will never do deals with a party led by a man who treats the IRA as equivalent to the British Army.

  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516

    Pauly said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systeou have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/
    How many of those areas have a Labour council?
    So it's all Labour's fault, despite, as one PBer mentioned the Tories in the post-war era, have governed more than any other party.

    Surely it's the fault of both Labour and the Tories? After all it's going to be pretty difficult for councils to transform long-standing differences in inequality between regions. After all, London is the richest region in Northern Europe which says it all.
    Or it could just be duff statistics.
    Why would the stats be wrong, exactly? Inequalitybriefing got their data from Eurostat.
    It depends what's in them.

    having done a fair bit of travel round Europe I doubt Ireland's border counties are any better off than NI, regions of France like the Limousin or Marseilles are complete shitholes.

    I suspect the Euro at 1.10 in 2014 and 1.42 today may be relevant. Likewise comparing Cornwall pop 500 k with London pop 9 milliondoesn't tell us much. Some of the poorest areas in the country are in London.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,008

    Dair said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Some interesting stats from yougov's ST Labour leadership poll of the public a fortnight ago.

    In England and Wales while 11% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party, 15% would be less likely giving him a net score of -4%, behind Burnham and Kendall.

    In Scotland by contrast 18% would be more likely to vote for a Corbyn led Labour Party and only 11% less likely giving him a net score of +7%, well ahead of the other contendors

    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/jvcr8gkvrb/SundayTimesResults_150724_W.pdf

    Thanks - missed that when it came out. Actually the overall figures are very similar for all four candidates - little evidence of Corbyn either attracting or repelling vast numbers at that stage. Another point of interest is that both Tories and Labour had put people off since the election.
    David Miliband would do better than all of them north and south of the border, but Corbyn's strikingly better performance in Scotland than rUK is the most interesting part of the poll
    Scotland offers some low-hanging fruit to Labour, if they shift further Left.

    But, it makes life harder in England and Wales. And, as others have pointed, Corbyn as leader effectively gives the government 11 Unionist votes when it matters.
    Here are Labour's 100 top target seats for 2020.

    http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/united_kingdom/targets/lab

    Their first "low hanging fruit" is 26th on the list with an SNP majority of 3,718 to overturn despite them pretty much maximising any tactical voting.

    Their next "low hanging fruit" is 45th with an SNP majority of 5,597 and is due heavy Boundary Changes which will only help the SNP gain a higher notional majority.

    In fact Labour only have 9 SNP seats in their top 100 targets and they are clustered at the upper end of the 100 with majorities well beyond anything Labour can expect to turn around.

    And in every single one of these seats, the SNP will have the "first defence incumbence" advantage.

    The SNP have the advantage that none of the candidates for Labour leader are Scottish. The English have voted in numbers for Scottish Labour and Lib Dem leaders but I don't see Scots voting for an English leader.
    Jeremy Corbyn is English and I bet he will do a lot better in Scotland than Jim Murphy, who is a Scot
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    Latest Lab electorate:

    Members - 282,000
    Union affiliates - 90,000
    £3 supporters - 70,000

    Total - 442,000

    I think it was only 390,000 just a few days ago!

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/aug/11/labour-leadership-campaign-teams-reassure-them-integrity-ballot
  • William_HWilliam_H Posts: 346

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/

    EDIT: http://inequalitybriefing.org/brief/briefing-43-the-poorest-regions-of-the-uk-are-the-poorest-in-northern-
    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,547

    Sean_F said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/

    EDIT: http://inequalitybriefing.org/brief/briefing-43-the-poorest-regions-of-the-uk-are-the-poorest-in-northern-
    Northern Europe, like the UK, is a very wealthy part of the world.
    I don't think they are disputing that. They're saying that most of the wealth is in London, and that while Londoners may enjoy a standard of living comparative to the rest of North Europe, many throughout the country do not which is why we make up 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in Northern Europe. Don't you think that's a tad concerning?
    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    William_H said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/

    EDIT: http://inequalitybriefing.org/brief/briefing-43-the-poorest-regions-of-the-uk-are-the-poorest-in-northern-
    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx
    Hmm, if it includes France, I am surprised 9 out of 10 are in the UK, otherwise I'd not really be worried, given the rest of Northern Europe. As you say, the definitions are pretty varied - I'd generally include the UK in North or possible Western Europe, but France in Western but not Northern, and Germany in Western or Central Europe, and so on and so forth.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,547
    William_H said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/

    EDIT: http://inequalitybriefing.org/brief/briefing-43-the-poorest-regions-of-the-uk-are-the-poorest-in-northern-
    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx
    But, excluding Eastern Germany.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    edited August 2015


    Why would the stats be wrong, exactly? Inequalitybriefing got their data from Eurostat.

    Northern Europe is deceptive as it is not Northern Europe at all. They have excluded countries which would normally be considered part of Northern Europe.

    The data is a mess - the GDP data is skewing the results and its kind of old now.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Sean_F said:


    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    Wales and Northern Ireland and North East England are only "prosperous" on the broadest imaginable definition.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,008
    Sean_F said:

    William_H said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systems such as the US. Where it doesn't work is views are much more fractured across the board - with very right people, very left wing people, and then moderates of both wings, with floating voters having a combination of left/right views.

    Another weird argument - that Dan Hodges made, was that FPTP produces strong, good governments. Given the various issues the UK has - having 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in the EU, a housing crisis, poor rankings in regard to health and education, widening inequality and declining social mobility, the loss of talent aboard etc you have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/

    EDIT: http://inequalitybriefing.org/brief/briefing-43-the-poorest-regions-of-the-uk-are-the-poorest-in-northern-
    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx
    But, excluding Eastern Germany.
    What about Switzerland, Norway, Iceland and the UK?
  • William_H said:

    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx

    So poorest regions in North-West Europe, then. R.E the article mentions Guayana, but I don't know why they are including them - they aren't even in Europe, it's in South America. It also mentions Italy, Spain, and Greece on near neighbours, but again, they're in Southern Europe, which is why they aren't included. Looking at that article, either way a significant amount of UK regions are among the poorest in Northern Europe even if you include those countries - which isn't the case with countries such as Germany etc.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    I do think we're moving to a position where the election probably isn't tenable
    Simon Danczuk MP

    I do think we are moving to a position where having MPs like Danczuk representing Labour isn't tenable
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516
    Dair said:

    Sean_F said:


    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    Wales and Northern Ireland and North East England are only "prosperous" on the broadest imaginable definition.
    LOL

    you can say the same about Glasgow.
  • Pauly said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the government negatively (which you wouldn't believe if you just read PB) 24% view the Tories more negatively than before, while 28% had a previously negative view - giving a total of 52% having a negative view of the Tories. Just as thought - rather than any of the big two being actually liked or popular, it's a contest between who is less hated (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systeou have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/
    How many of those areas have a Labour council?
    So it's all Labour's fault, despite, as one PBer mentioned the Tories in the post-war era, have governed more than any other party.

    Surely it's the fault of both Labour and the Tories? After all it's going to be pretty difficult for councils to transform long-standing differences in inequality between regions. After all, London is the richest region in Northern Europe which says it all.
    Or it could just be duff statistics.
    Why would the stats be wrong, exactly? Inequalitybriefing got their data from Eurostat.
    It depends what's in them.

    having done a fair bit of travel round Europe I doubt Ireland's border counties are any better off than NI, regions of France like the Limousin or Marseilles are complete shitholes.

    I suspect the Euro at 1.10 in 2014 and 1.42 today may be relevant. Likewise comparing Cornwall pop 500 k with London pop 9 milliondoesn't tell us much. Some of the poorest areas in the country are in London.
    Eurostat use GDP per head in regions across the EU and take into account the different prices in different regions (from the inequalitybriefing link).
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    edited August 2015

    William_H said:

    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx

    So poorest regions in North-West Europe, then. R.E the article mentions Guayana, but I don't know why they are including them - they aren't even in Europe, it's in South America. It also mentions Italy, Spain, and Greece on near neighbours, but again, they're in Southern Europe, which is why they aren't included. Looking at that article, either way a significant amount of UK regions are among the poorest in Northern Europe even if you include those countries - which isn't the case with countries such as Germany etc.
    Guiana is in the EU. And the article appears to be "Northern EU" not "Northern Europe".
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591

    I do think we're moving to a position where the election probably isn't tenable
    Simon Danczuk MP

    I do think we are moving to a position where having MPs like Danczuk representing Labour isn't tenable

    Where do you think he should go? I mean, it's not as though serially undermining the party is not permitted, as the presence of notable frequent rebels shows.
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    EPG said:

    Plato said:
    He looks charming in that dinner jacket photo.

    I think this kind of prolier-than-thou is so beneath any side that uses it and normally it's not the Spectator's side. Has he ever said he's working-class; come to think of it, who still self-identifies as working-class in this aspirational age?
    moi
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    edited August 2015
    Sean_F said:



    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    According to the inequalitybriefing link, the Eurostat data takes in account the different prices in different regions.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,338

    Plato said:

    I'm trying to think of genuine Corbynistas [those who believe in him/his views] on here - bar @bigjohnowls I'm struggling.

    Who have I missed?

    AndyJS said:
    I know @tyson and @SandyRentool are supporting Corbyn, but I don't think they necessarily think like Corbyn.
    I'm probably going to vote for him. I don't agree with everything he thinks, but I don't see him as intolerant of dissent, and I'd rather have an appealing vision with issues that one can argue about than no particular vision at all.
    Quick question: do you think a Corbyn-led Labour could get an appealing vision across to swing voters? Many in the media won't give him much of a hearing and there's a lot of history that could continually be brought up.

    Are the right wing media keeping quiet about the dirt on Corbyn so that he wins - or does the right wing media not have any dirt on Corbyn?
    There is plenty of dirt on him. Not of the Daily Mail variety but about the sorts of people he associates with. It is not a pretty picture frankly, that is if you value real liberalism and truly progressive values as opposed to the ersatz version peddled by the Left represented by Corbyn et al.

    Sadly, it seems that not many Labour people do.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,008
    edited August 2015


    Londoners, especially in the centre, have a standard of living well above the north European average but with a higher cost of living as pointed out, Wales, Cornwall, the North East and parts of the Midlands are closer to southern Europe
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108

    Dair said:

    Sean_F said:


    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    Wales and Northern Ireland and North East England are only "prosperous" on the broadest imaginable definition.
    LOL

    you can say the same about Glasgow.
    No, actually.

    You cannot.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_OECD_regions_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,338
    edited August 2015


    I expect that there is a pretty large intelligence file on Corbyn given his associations. If he is elected, the briefing given to the PM will be interesting.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    HYUFD said:



    Londoners, especially in the centre, have a standard of living well above the north European average but with a higher cost of living as pointed out, Wales, Cornwall, the North East and parts of the Midlands are closer to southern Europe

    Cornwall also has one of the highest costs of living due to the astronomical housing costs.
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312

    Plato said:

    I'm trying to think of genuine Corbynistas [those who believe in him/his views] on here - bar @bigjohnowls I'm struggling.

    Who have I missed?

    AndyJS said:
    I know @tyson and @SandyRentool are supporting Corbyn, but I don't think they necessarily think like Corbyn.
    I'm probably going to vote for him. I don't agree with everything he thinks, but I don't see him as intolerant of dissent, and I'd rather have an appealing vision with issues that one can argue about than no particular vision at all.
    JC's vision is in monochrome (that's PC ain't it?)
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516
    edited August 2015

    Pauly said:

    matt said:

    Dair said:

    Also, looking at those YG results, it's striking to see how many view the g (Labour are currently losing that one, being on 68% in terms of negative image).

    That's entirely due to the unique way the UK government is "elected".

    FPTP creatures utterly bizarre situations and we are currently in one, where an absolute majority is commanded by a party which could only get support of 37% of the voters.
    I agree - this is why I don't get it when people think FPTP is an amazing system. FPTP works in two party systeou have to question that argument.
    Any evidence for the series of assertions in the final paragraph? The 9 out 10 poorest regions is, shall we say, surprising.
    I stand corrected: It's 9 out 10 in Northern Europe (as opposed to EU, forgive my hazy memory). It's still pretty bad, though.

    http://4bitnews.com/uk/9-out-of-10-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-are-in-britain/
    How many of those areas have a Labour council?
    So it's all Labour's fault, despite, as one PBer mentioned the Tories in the post-war era, have . After all, London is the richest region in Northern Europe which says it all.
    Or it could just be duff statistics.
    Why would the stats be wrong, exactly? Inequalitybriefing got their data from Eurostat.
    It depends what's in them.

    having done a fair bit of travel round Europe I doubt Ireland's border counties are any better off than NI, regions of France like the Limousin or Marseilles are complete shitholes.

    I suspect the Euro at 1.10 in 2014 and 1.42 today may be relevant. Likewise comparing Cornwall pop 500 k with London pop 9 milliondoesn't tell us much. Some of the poorest areas in the country are in London.
    Eurostat use GDP per head in regions across the EU and take into account the different prices in different regions (from the inequalitybriefing link).
    they have to make two adjustments for the UK, pricing ( which is easy if everything is in Euros ) and then exchange rate. I'm, afraid PPP comparators tend to jump about a bit when currencies move, Run the same data today and I suspect you'd get different answers.

    Given the choice of living in "rich" Seine et Saint Denis or "poor" Cornwall. I'll take the cut in my standard of living.

  • Dair said:

    William_H said:

    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx

    So poorest regions in North-West Europe, then. R.E the article mentions Guayana, but I don't know why they are including them - they aren't even in Europe, it's in South America. It also mentions Italy, Spain, and Greece on near neighbours, but again, they're in Southern Europe, which is why they aren't included. Looking at that article, either way a significant amount of UK regions are among the poorest in Northern Europe even if you include those countries - which isn't the case with countries such as Germany etc.
    Guiana is in the EU. And the article appears to be "Northern EU" not "Northern Europe".
    French Guiana (pronounced /ɡiːˈɑːnə/ or /ɡiːˈænə/, French: Guyane française; French pronunciation: ​[ɡɥijan fʁɑ̃sɛz]), officially called Guiana (French: Guyane), is an overseas department and region of France, on the north Atlantic coast of South America. It borders Brazil to the east and south, and Suriname to the west. Its 83,534 km2 (32,253 sq mi) area has a very low population density of only 3 inhabitants per km2, with half of its 250,109 inhabitants in 2013 living in the metropolitan area of Cayenne, its capital. By land area, it is the largest overseas department of France. As an overseas region, it is inside the European Union, and its official currency is the euro.

    From the wiki description, it doesn't appear that it's in Europe. On Inequalitybriefing, well that would explain the exclusion of some countries.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Dair said:

    Dair said:

    Sean_F said:


    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    Wales and Northern Ireland and North East England are only "prosperous" on the broadest imaginable definition.
    LOL

    you can say the same about Glasgow.
    No, actually.

    You cannot.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_OECD_regions_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita
    So you technically can't on the raw numbers - it just looks and feels and smells like it?
    That's even worse.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516
    Dair said:

    Dair said:

    Sean_F said:


    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    Wales and Northern Ireland and North East England are only "prosperous" on the broadest imaginable definition.
    LOL

    you can say the same about Glasgow.
    No, actually.

    You cannot.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_OECD_regions_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita
    Nice try no data
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    kle4 said:

    I do think we're moving to a position where the election probably isn't tenable
    Simon Danczuk MP

    I do think we are moving to a position where having MPs like Danczuk representing Labour isn't tenable

    Where do you think he should go? I mean, it's not as though serially undermining the party is not permitted, as the presence of notable frequent rebels shows.
    Deselection is far too difficult IMO.

    Where an MP is so seriously out of touch with the party (as is Danczuk and mine) they should do the decent thing but of course will not.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    Dair said:

    William_H said:

    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx

    So poorest regions in North-West Europe, then. R.E the article mentions Guayana, but I don't know why they are including them - they aren't even in Europe, it's in South America. It also mentions Italy, Spain, and Greece on near neighbours, but again, they're in Southern Europe, which is why they aren't included. Looking at that article, either way a significant amount of UK regions are among the poorest in Northern Europe even if you include those countries - which isn't the case with countries such as Germany etc.
    Guiana is in the EU. And the article appears to be "Northern EU" not "Northern Europe".
    French Guiana (pronounced /ɡiːˈɑːnə/ or /ɡiːˈænə/, French: Guyane française; French pronunciation: ​[ɡɥijan fʁɑ̃sɛz]), officially called Guiana (French: Guyane), is an overseas department and region of France, on the north Atlantic coast of South America. It borders Brazil to the east and south, and Suriname to the west. Its 83,534 km2 (32,253 sq mi) area has a very low population density of only 3 inhabitants per km2, with half of its 250,109 inhabitants in 2013 living in the metropolitan area of Cayenne, its capital. By land area, it is the largest overseas department of France. As an overseas region, it is inside the European Union, and its official currency is the euro.

    From the wiki description, it doesn't appear that it's in Europe. On Inequalitybriefing, well that would explain the exclusion of some countries.
    I doubt Devil's Island helped it much....
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited August 2015

    I do think we're moving to a position where the election probably isn't tenable
    Simon Danczuk MP

    I do think we are moving to a position where having MPs like Danczuk representing Labour isn't tenable

    I see he's another one who's suddenly discovered he's against non-members signing up to vote. Funny how he wasn't against it before the contest when the assumption was it would favour centrist candidates.
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312

    Plato said:

    I'm trying to think of genuine Corbynistas [those who believe in him/his views] on here - bar @bigjohnowls I'm struggling.

    Who have I missed?

    AndyJS said:
    I know @tyson and @SandyRentool are supporting Corbyn, but I don't think they necessarily think like Corbyn.
    I'm probably going to vote for him. I don't agree with everything he thinks, but I don't see him as intolerant of dissent, and I'd rather have an appealing vision with issues that one can argue about than no particular vision at all.
    Quick question: do you think a Corbyn-led Labour could get an appealing vision across to swing voters? Many in the media won't give him much of a hearing and there's a lot of history that could continually be brought up.

    Are the right wing media keeping quiet about the dirt on Corbyn so that he wins - or does the right wing media not have any dirt on Corbyn?
    You've not been paying attention.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    GeoffM said:

    Dair said:

    Dair said:

    Sean_F said:


    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    Wales and Northern Ireland and North East England are only "prosperous" on the broadest imaginable definition.
    LOL

    you can say the same about Glasgow.
    No, actually.

    You cannot.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_OECD_regions_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita
    So you technically can't on the raw numbers - it just looks and feels and smells like it?
    That's even worse.
    To be fair the idea of small regional comparisons based on GDP is utterly meaningless due to the Head Office Effect. Some of the richest areas of the country end up at the bottom of the list because they are wealth dormitories with little internal economic activity.

    Those figures for 2007 would have included the entire value of Lloyds TSB's economic activity despite virtually no part of their business having any operations in Glasgow.

    I still don't understand why Lloyds set their brass plate in Glasgow after the TSB takeover. It just makes no sense.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,547

    Sean_F said:



    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    According to the inequalitybriefing link, the Eurostat data takes in account the different prices in different regions.
    Looking at the Eurostat regional numbers, there's not much difference between the UK and France, save for an unusual spike in GDP per head in Inner London.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    edited August 2015

    Dair said:

    Dair said:

    Sean_F said:


    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    Wales and Northern Ireland and North East England are only "prosperous" on the broadest imaginable definition.
    LOL

    you can say the same about Glasgow.
    No, actually.

    You cannot.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_OECD_regions_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita
    Nice try no data
    You have to copy and paste the full URL not just click the link (hence part of it is hypertext and part plain text).
  • Danny565 said:

    I do think we're moving to a position where the election probably isn't tenable
    Simon Danczuk MP

    I do think we are moving to a position where having MPs like Danczuk representing Labour isn't tenable

    I see he's another one who's suddenly discovered he's against non-members signing up to vote. Funny how he wasn't against it before the contest when the assumption was it would favour centrist candidates.
    Danczuk is awful. Thinks of himself as some kind of ordinary bloke, no doubt.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,547
    HYUFD said:



    Londoners, especially in the centre, have a standard of living well above the north European average but with a higher cost of living as pointed out, Wales, Cornwall, the North East and parts of the Midlands are closer to southern Europe

    Eastern Wales and Northumberland/Tyneside do pretty well.

    75% of UK GDP per head (which is roughly the figure for Northen Ireland ) is still c. $28,000 which is hardly disastrous.
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549

    Dair said:

    William_H said:

    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx

    So poorest regions in North-West Europe, then. R.E the article mentions Guayana, but I don't know why they are including them - they aren't even in Europe, it's in South America. It also mentions Italy, Spain, and Greece on near neighbours, but again, they're in Southern Europe, which is why they aren't included. Looking at that article, either way a significant amount of UK regions are among the poorest in Northern Europe even if you include those countries - which isn't the case with countries such as Germany etc.
    Guiana is in the EU. And the article appears to be "Northern EU" not "Northern Europe".
    French Guiana (pronounced /ɡiːˈɑːnə/ or /ɡiːˈænə/, French: Guyane française; French pronunciation: ​[ɡɥijan fʁɑ̃sɛz]), officially called Guiana (French: Guyane), is an overseas department and region of France, on the north Atlantic coast of South America. It borders Brazil to the east and south, and Suriname to the west. Its 83,534 km2 (32,253 sq mi) area has a very low population density of only 3 inhabitants per km2, with half of its 250,109 inhabitants in 2013 living in the metropolitan area of Cayenne, its capital. By land area, it is the largest overseas department of France. As an overseas region, it is inside the European Union, and its official currency is the euro.

    From the wiki description, it doesn't appear that it's in Europe. On Inequalitybriefing, well that would explain the exclusion of some countries.
    Off the top of my head France regards its overseas departments as being part of France rather than at all separate. So clearly within the EU. As for "europe" the short answer is there's no fixed definition of what a continent is or what "Europe" is.

    So whether the poorer regions of France can be said to be among the poorest in Europe is a firm, maybe.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516
    Dair said:

    Dair said:

    Dair said:

    Sean_F said:


    Measures of regional GDP per head need to take into account the local cost of living. London has a huge GDP per head, but also a huge cost of living. The incomes that my wife and I earn go much further in Luton than they did when we lived in Wembley, despite the fact that GDP per head in Bedfordshire is far lower than in London. There are depressed towns, and parts of cities in the UK, but no region of the UK is anything other than prosperous.

    Wales and Northern Ireland and North East England are only "prosperous" on the broadest imaginable definition.
    LOL

    you can say the same about Glasgow.
    No, actually.

    You cannot.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_OECD_regions_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita
    Nice try no data
    You have to copy and paste the full URL not just click the link (hence part of it is hypertext and part plain text).
    Right, like I'm going waste my evening mucking about with that.
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    edited August 2015
    I think the £3 thing could have worked well if Corbyn hadn't been nominated. Assuming that it was reasonably close between the three candidates they would have been pitching to people outside the party to boost their vote and if they were successful at that, it would have a been good sign they can appeal to people outside of the party.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    corporeal said:

    Dair said:

    William_H said:

    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx

    So poorest regions in North-West Europe, then. R.E the article mentions Guayana, but I don't know why they are including them - they aren't even in Europe, it's in South America. It also mentions Italy, Spain, and Greece on near neighbours, but again, they're in Southern Europe, which is why they aren't included. Looking at that article, either way a significant amount of UK regions are among the poorest in Northern Europe even if you include those countries - which isn't the case with countries such as Germany etc.
    Guiana is in the EU. And the article appears to be "Northern EU" not "Northern Europe".
    French Guiana (pronounced /ɡiːˈɑːnə/ or /ɡiːˈænə/, French: Guyane française; French pronunciation: ​[ɡɥijan fʁɑ̃sɛz]), officially called Guiana (French: Guyane), is an overseas department and region of France, on the north Atlantic coast of South America. It borders Brazil to the east and south, and Suriname to the west. Its 83,534 km2 (32,253 sq mi) area has a very low population density of only 3 inhabitants per km2, with half of its 250,109 inhabitants in 2013 living in the metropolitan area of Cayenne, its capital. By land area, it is the largest overseas department of France. As an overseas region, it is inside the European Union, and its official currency is the euro.

    From the wiki description, it doesn't appear that it's in Europe. On Inequalitybriefing, well that would explain the exclusion of some countries.
    Off the top of my head France regards its overseas departments as being part of France rather than at all separate. So clearly within the EU. As for "europe" the short answer is there's no fixed definition of what a continent is or what "Europe" is.

    So whether the poorer regions of France can be said to be among the poorest in Europe is a firm, maybe.
    I don't know if its my lack of regularity on the site but not seen you about Mr Corporeal. I hope you have recovered since the events of the GE.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    There are lies, damned lies, and statistics.

  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516
    The call of she who must be obeyed.

    Good night.
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    edited August 2015
    Danny565 said:

    I do think we're moving to a position where the election probably isn't tenable
    Simon Danczuk MP

    I do think we are moving to a position where having MPs like Danczuk representing Labour isn't tenable

    I see he's another one who's suddenly discovered he's against non-members signing up to vote. Funny how he wasn't against it before the contest when the assumption was it would favour centrist candidates.
    All very well to kick Danczuk, but I think you will find an awful lot of Labour voters will consider the party is untenable. Its the same circumstance as Ed Miliband but much much worse. Voters could not see Ed as PM because he was weird and stood for nothing but platitudes, they wont be able to see Corbyn because he is completely barking and although he has policies, they are equally as barking as he is.
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549

    corporeal said:

    Dair said:

    William_H said:

    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx

    So poorest regions in North-West Europe, then. R.E the article mentions Guayana, but I don't know why they are including them - they aren't even in Europe, it's in South America. It also mentions Italy, Spain, and Greece on near neighbours, but again, they're in Southern Europe, which is why they aren't included. Looking at that article, either way a significant amount of UK regions are among the poorest in Northern Europe even if you include those countries - which isn't the case with countries such as Germany etc.
    Guiana is in the EU. And the article appears to be "Northern EU" not "Northern Europe".
    French Guiana (pronounced /ɡiːˈɑːnə/ or /ɡiːˈænə/, French: Guyane française; French pronunciation: ​[ɡɥijan fʁɑ̃sɛz]), officially called Guiana (French: Guyane), is an overseas department and region of France, on the north Atlantic coast of South America. It borders Brazil to the east and south, and Suriname to the west. Its 83,534 km2 (32,253 sq mi) area has a very low population density of only 3 inhabitants per km2, with half of its 250,109 inhabitants in 2013 living in the metropolitan area of Cayenne, its capital. By land area, it is the largest overseas department of France. As an overseas region, it is inside the European Union, and its official currency is the euro.

    From the wiki description, it doesn't appear that it's in Europe. On Inequalitybriefing, well that would explain the exclusion of some countries.
    Off the top of my head France regards its overseas departments as being part of France rather than at all separate. So clearly within the EU. As for "europe" the short answer is there's no fixed definition of what a continent is or what "Europe" is.

    So whether the poorer regions of France can be said to be among the poorest in Europe is a firm, maybe.
    I don't know if its my lack of regularity on the site but not seen you about Mr Corporeal. I hope you have recovered since the events of the GE.
    It's been my own failings my mathematically symbolic PB colleague, partially I burnt out of politics a bit and partially the travails of what some tend to call real life that's kept me away more than I'd have liked.
  • corporeal said:



    Off the top of my head France regards its overseas departments as being part of France rather than at all separate. So clearly within the EU. As for "europe" the short answer is there's no fixed definition of what a continent is or what "Europe" is.

    So whether the poorer regions of France can be said to be among the poorest in Europe is a firm, maybe.

    So within the EU, but not actually geographically a part of Europe - which is what inequalitybriefing seem to be referring to - although their use of EU only countries didn't help.

    On the definition of Europe https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Europe#Definition within the link there's a map of Europe, which again doesn't appear to include Guiania.

    And: Europe is now generally defined by geographers as the western peninsula of Eurasia, with its boundaries marked by large bodies of water to the north, west and south; Europe's limits to the far east are usually taken to be the Urals, the Ural River, and the Caspian Sea; to the southeast, including the Caucasus Mountains, the Black Sea and the waterways connecting the Black Sea to the Mediterranean Sea.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,008
    Dair said:

    HYUFD said:



    Londoners, especially in the centre, have a standard of living well above the north European average but with a higher cost of living as pointed out, Wales, Cornwall, the North East and parts of the Midlands are closer to southern Europe

    Cornwall also has one of the highest costs of living due to the astronomical housing costs.
    Yes, but that is mainly holiday homes of wealthy Londoners and retirement homes of wealthy pensioners from the Home Counties
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Artist said:

    I think the £3 thing could have worked well if Corbyn hadn't been nominated. Assuming that it was reasonably close between the three candidates they would have been pitching to people outside the party to boost their vote and if they were successful at that, it would have a been good sign they can appeal to people outside of the party.

    The whole point of the system was to do precisely that, and it was the Blairites who wanted it the most because they thought it would favour them. Here's Alan Milburn saying how they should sign up non-members and make it more like "a US Primary" - from 9:30:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3KjW071EtRk

    Maybe instead of whining about the rules they wanted, they should be reflecting on why the Blairite formula has proved so much less effective at engaging/inspiring normal members of the public enough to sign up than the left-wing formula has.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,008
    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:



    Londoners, especially in the centre, have a standard of living well above the north European average but with a higher cost of living as pointed out, Wales, Cornwall, the North East and parts of the Midlands are closer to southern Europe

    Eastern Wales and Northumberland/Tyneside do pretty well.

    75% of UK GDP per head (which is roughly the figure for Northen Ireland ) is still c. $28,000 which is hardly disastrous.
    In Cardiff and Newcastle maybe, in the likes of Merthyr Tydfil clearly not
  • corporealcorporeal Posts: 2,549

    corporeal said:



    Off the top of my head France regards its overseas departments as being part of France rather than at all separate. So clearly within the EU. As for "europe" the short answer is there's no fixed definition of what a continent is or what "Europe" is.

    So whether the poorer regions of France can be said to be among the poorest in Europe is a firm, maybe.

    So within the EU, but not actually geographically a part of Europe - which is what inequalitybriefing seem to be referring to - although their use of EU only countries didn't help.

    On the definition of Europe https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Europe#Definition within the link there's a map of Europe, which again doesn't appear to include Guiania.

    And: Europe is now generally defined by geographers as the western peninsula of Eurasia, with its boundaries marked by large bodies of water to the north, west and south; Europe's limits to the far east are usually taken to be the Urals, the Ural River, and the Caspian Sea; to the southeast, including the Caucasus Mountains, the Black Sea and the waterways connecting the Black Sea to the Mediterranean Sea.
    Of course it depends who you ask, geographers, sociologists, politicians, etc. All will give you different answers, it's a rather flexible concept.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    edited August 2015
    corporeal said:

    corporeal said:



    Off the top of my head France regards its overseas departments as being part of France rather than at all separate. So clearly within the EU. As for "europe" the short answer is there's no fixed definition of what a continent is or what "Europe" is.

    So whether the poorer regions of France can be said to be among the poorest in Europe is a firm, maybe.

    So within the EU, but not actually geographically a part of Europe - which is what inequalitybriefing seem to be referring to - although their use of EU only countries didn't help.

    On the definition of Europe https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Europe#Definition within the link there's a map of Europe, which again doesn't appear to include Guiania.

    And: Europe is now generally defined by geographers as the western peninsula of Eurasia, with its boundaries marked by large bodies of water to the north, west and south; Europe's limits to the far east are usually taken to be the Urals, the Ural River, and the Caspian Sea; to the southeast, including the Caucasus Mountains, the Black Sea and the waterways connecting the Black Sea to the Mediterranean Sea.
    Of course it depends who you ask, geographers, sociologists, politicians, etc. All will give you different answers, it's a rather flexible concept.
    Even if we take that point, I doubt a country which borders Brazil all the way in South America would be seen as 'Europe' by most in either of those groups. Though I was thinking of the geographical definition of Europe from the off, not the political definition (the EU I assume).
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    corporeal said:

    Dair said:

    William_H said:

    The definition of "Northern Europe" used is fairly erratic. It is apparently "France, Germany, Belgium, Holland, Luxembourg, Austria, Ireland, Sweden, Finland and Denmark". So more Northwest Europe, really.

    http://i100.independent.co.uk/article/are-9-of-the-poorest-regions-in-northern-europe-really-in-the-uk--eJ0axHCqmx

    So poorest regions in North-West Europe, then. R.E the article mentions Guayana, but I don't know why they are including them - they aren't even in Europe, it's in South America. It also mentions Italy, Spain, and Greece on near neighbours, but again, they're in Southern Europe, which is why they aren't included. Looking at that article, either way a significant amount of UK regions are among the poorest in Northern Europe even if you include those countries - which isn't the case with countries such as Germany etc.
    Guiana is in the EU. And the article appears to be "Northern EU" not "Northern Europe".
    French Guiana (pronounced /ɡiːˈɑːnə/ or /ɡiːˈænə/, French: Guyane française; French pronunciation: ​[ɡɥijan fʁɑ̃sɛz]), officially called Guiana (French: Guyane), is an overseas department and region of France, on the north Atlantic coast of South America. It borders Brazil to the east and south, and Suriname to the west. Its 83,534 km2 (32,253 sq mi) area has a very low population density of only 3 inhabitants per km2, with half of its 250,109 inhabitants in 2013 living in the metropolitan area of Cayenne, its capital. By land area, it is the largest overseas department of France. As an overseas region, it is inside the European Union, and its official currency is the euro.

    From the wiki description, it doesn't appear that it's in Europe. On Inequalitybriefing, well that would explain the exclusion of some countries.
    Off the top of my head France regards its overseas departments as being part of France rather than at all separate. So clearly within the EU. As for "europe" the short answer is there's no fixed definition of what a continent is or what "Europe" is.

    So whether the poorer regions of France can be said to be among the poorest in Europe is a firm, maybe.
    France also insists that its citizens resident overseas are represented in the French parliament. London supposedly has about 300,000 French residents making it the sixth biggest French city by population. So if the UK were to leave the EU at least some of its people would still have a voice inside. The views of Londoners could still be heard albeit at second hand and through the French legislature. Wellington must be spinning in his grave.
  • DisraeliDisraeli Posts: 1,106
    If 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in Northern Europe are in the UK, why is this vital information being withheld from the economic migrants at Calais trying to get through the Eurotunnel?
    They are being lured here on a false prospectus.
  • 300,000 French residents in London? They must all be in the very wealthy parts of London.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,547
    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:



    Londoners, especially in the centre, have a standard of living well above the north European average but with a higher cost of living as pointed out, Wales, Cornwall, the North East and parts of the Midlands are closer to southern Europe

    Eastern Wales and Northumberland/Tyneside do pretty well.

    75% of UK GDP per head (which is roughly the figure for Northen Ireland ) is still c. $28,000 which is hardly disastrous.
    In Cardiff and Newcastle maybe, in the likes of Merthyr Tydfil clearly not
    Without doubt, there are depressed towns.

    In my experience, the North East is very variable. Places like Easington, Spennymoor, Consett were hit very hard when the pits or steelworks closed. But, places like Barnard Castle, Hexham, Darlington are thriving. And the centre of Newcastle bears no relation to 30 years ago.
  • Disraeli said:

    If 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in Northern Europe are in the UK, why is this vital information being withheld from the economic migrants at Calais trying to get through the Eurotunnel?
    They are being lured here on a false prospectus.

    Because even poor regions of the UK are better than Sudan and Eritrea.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    Danny565 said:

    Artist said:

    I think the £3 thing could have worked well if Corbyn hadn't been nominated. Assuming that it was reasonably close between the three candidates they would have been pitching to people outside the party to boost their vote and if they were successful at that, it would have a been good sign they can appeal to people outside of the party.

    The whole point of the system was to do precisely that, and it was the Blairites who wanted it the most because they thought it would favour them. Here's Alan Milburn saying how they should sign up non-members and make it more like "a US Primary" - from 9:30:

    htps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3KjW071EtRk

    Maybe instead of whining about the rules they wanted, they should be reflecting on why the Blairite formula has proved so much less effective at engaging/inspiring normal members of the public enough to sign up than the left-wing formula has.
    Undoubtedly they are unhappy that the non-Corbyn candidates have not excited the outsiders as much as Corbyn has, but they didn't get all the rules they wanted (or at least some of them) - the rules would have prevented Corbyn from being presented to members in the first place, it's just people didn't adhere to the spirit of those rules. Serves them right really.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    Jon Trickett ‏@jon_trickett 4m4 minutes ago
    Who'd have thunk it? 450,000 eligible to vote for Leader? They said politics was dying! Yes it was - the old politics.
  • FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    I'd vote Corbyn if I were a Labour supporter.

    F**k it. Why not.

    Febrile times; the other candidates won't move a single voter in Scotland; the task for Labour looks nigh on impossible anyway; voters are agitating for an era away from managerial politics, and like Mr Palmer says, at least Corbyn isn't intolerant of debate.

    He has baggage galore and dubious 'friends' and would probably suffer a military coup led by Princess Anne if he ever became PM. He will undoubtedly be marmalised by the Tories and the right wing press and may even split his party. But the media loves a rags to riches story, the economy is worryingly unpredictable and the Brits relish an underdog - he'd give Labour an undeniable interest factor and will have a raft of populist policies to win over the starry-eyed and indelibly naive.

    I can't see Labour getting out of first base with Burnham. He'd be marginally better than Miliband maybe, but he certainly won't win a GE2020. Cooper is probably the sensibilists sensible shout but would she win a GE? Would she inspire the GOTV campaign and jump-start the chavs (like me) away from their rizlas and green? Sadly, even though she is a woman and a decent politician, I don't think she'd win either.

    So it's worth a crack. Team Jezzer for me.

    Corbyn will be like a Molotov Cocktail thrown onto a petrol can in a fireworks factory. He would make British politics more fascinating than its ever been.
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    300,000 French residents in London? They must all be in the very wealthy parts of London.

    I dunno, Miss. South Kensington has been a French colony for as long as I can remember, as to where the rest are (if they exist) your guess is as good as mine. I'd look to the places where the trendy young things gather - Shoreditch, maybe, places like that.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    Disraeli said:

    If 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in Northern Europe are in the UK, why is this vital information being withheld from the economic migrants at Calais trying to get through the Eurotunnel?
    They are being lured here on a false prospectus.

    Because even poor regions of the UK are better than Sudan and Eritrea.
    The weather's better in Sudan and Eritrea though..
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Number of 21 yr old mixed race female PB posters


    0-0.25
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,008
    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:



    Londoners, especially in the centre, have a standard of living well above the north European average but with a higher cost of living as pointed out, Wales, Cornwall, the North East and parts of the Midlands are closer to southern Europe

    Eastern Wales and Northumberland/Tyneside do pretty well.

    75% of UK GDP per head (which is roughly the figure for Northen Ireland ) is still c. $28,000 which is hardly disastrous.
    In Cardiff and Newcastle maybe, in the likes of Merthyr Tydfil clearly not
    Without doubt, there are depressed towns.

    In my experience, the North East is very variable. Places like Easington, Spennymoor, Consett were hit very hard when the pits or steelworks closed. But, places like Barnard Castle, Hexham, Darlington are thriving. And the centre of Newcastle bears no relation to 30 years ago.
    Alnwick and Berwick are also pretty prosperous
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,653
    kle4 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Artist said:

    I think the £3 thing could have worked well if Corbyn hadn't been nominated. Assuming that it was reasonably close between the three candidates they would have been pitching to people outside the party to boost their vote and if they were successful at that, it would have a been good sign they can appeal to people outside of the party.

    The whole point of the system was to do precisely that, and it was the Blairites who wanted it the most because they thought it would favour them. Here's Alan Milburn saying how they should sign up non-members and make it more like "a US Primary" - from 9:30:

    htps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3KjW071EtRk

    Maybe instead of whining about the rules they wanted, they should be reflecting on why the Blairite formula has proved so much less effective at engaging/inspiring normal members of the public enough to sign up than the left-wing formula has.
    Undoubtedly they are unhappy that the non-Corbyn candidates have not excited the outsiders as much as Corbyn has, but they didn't get all the rules they wanted (or at least some of them) - the rules would have prevented Corbyn from being presented to members in the first place, it's just people didn't adhere to the spirit of those rules. Serves them right really.
    A very good point.

    I originally thought Corbyn was chanceless because I over-estimated the willingness of centrist people to vote in the "primary", vis a vis Corbyn considerers. But it's also clear that moderate people are voting for Corbyn because they think he is no worse than the other three.

    If they're so electable why's no-one voting for them...
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    300,000 French residents in London? They must all be in the very wealthy parts of London.

    Why?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    kle4 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Artist said:

    I think the £3 thing could have worked well if Corbyn hadn't been nominated. Assuming that it was reasonably close between the three candidates they would have been pitching to people outside the party to boost their vote and if they were successful at that, it would have a been good sign they can appeal to people outside of the party.

    The whole point of the system was to do precisely that, and it was the Blairites who wanted it the most because they thought it would favour them. Here's Alan Milburn saying how they should sign up non-members and make it more like "a US Primary" - from 9:30:

    htps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3KjW071EtRk

    Maybe instead of whining about the rules they wanted, they should be reflecting on why the Blairite formula has proved so much less effective at engaging/inspiring normal members of the public enough to sign up than the left-wing formula has.
    Undoubtedly they are unhappy that the non-Corbyn candidates have not excited the outsiders as much as Corbyn has, but they didn't get all the rules they wanted (or at least some of them) - the rules would have prevented Corbyn from being presented to members in the first place, it's just people didn't adhere to the spirit of those rules. Serves them right really.
    If someone who looks like they might poll more than the other 3 candidates put together had been excluded from standing, the rules are rather silly.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    300,000 French residents in London? They must all be in the very wealthy parts of London.

    I dunno, Miss. South Kensington has been a French colony for as long as I can remember, as to where the rest are (if they exist) your guess is as good as mine. I'd look to the places where the trendy young things gather - Shoreditch, maybe, places like that.
    Shoreditch is well-stocked with young Spanish and Italians, and a thriving population of bright young Japanese, Chinese and Koreans. I've not noticed so many French.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    Disraeli said:

    If 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in Northern Europe are in the UK, why is this vital information being withheld from the economic migrants at Calais trying to get through the Eurotunnel?
    They are being lured here on a false prospectus.

    Because even poor regions of the UK are better than Sudan and Eritrea.
    You forgot Liverpool.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Tim_B said:

    Disraeli said:

    If 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in Northern Europe are in the UK, why is this vital information being withheld from the economic migrants at Calais trying to get through the Eurotunnel?
    They are being lured here on a false prospectus.

    Because even poor regions of the UK are better than Sudan and Eritrea.
    The weather's better in Sudan and Eritrea though..
    No its not! Eritrea is scorchingly hot in the summer, as is most of Sudan.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Jonathan Strange and Mr Norell -

    read the book first or watch the TV show first?
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Tim_B said:

    Jonathan Strange and Mr Norell -

    read the book first or watch the TV show first?


    Go do something interesting instead.

  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    Tim_B said:

    Disraeli said:

    If 9 out of 10 of the poorest regions in Northern Europe are in the UK, why is this vital information being withheld from the economic migrants at Calais trying to get through the Eurotunnel?
    They are being lured here on a false prospectus.

    Because even poor regions of the UK are better than Sudan and Eritrea.
    The weather's better in Sudan and Eritrea though..
    No its not! Eritrea is scorchingly hot in the summer, as is most of Sudan.
    That's fine, so long as I can get out of the heat into air conditioning. That's how we exist here.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Tim_B said:

    Jonathan Strange and Mr Norell -

    read the book first or watch the TV show first?

    The book is pretty decent. I didn't watch the TV show though so I can't help you pick.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    Tim_B said:

    Jonathan Strange and Mr Norell -

    read the book first or watch the TV show first?


    Go do something interesting instead.

    I am reorganizing my beer mat collection, but I'm almost finished. ;)
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656

    Plato said:
    Germany's the odd one out there.
    I know a lot of professional friends who have moved from London jobs or are thinking about it. All of them are moving to cities outside the UK. People who can earn 50k salaries anywhere in the world aren't interested in living in a city where half a million only buys them a two bed flat in a nice area. And transport congestion is so bad its a hellish commute from the home counties. London will soon be a place where the super rich can afford to live, and the rest of the population are just people there temporarily to earn their money before moving abroad. We will lose a huge chunk of our young professionals while replacing them with low wage Eastern EU labour.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    antifrank said:

    Tim_B said:

    Jonathan Strange and Mr Norell -

    read the book first or watch the TV show first?

    The book is pretty decent. I didn't watch the TV show though so I can't help you pick.
    Glad to hear it - it's the most expensive book I've bought for my Kindle at $7.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    JEO said:

    Plato said:
    Germany's the odd one out there.
    I know a lot of professional friends who have moved from London jobs or are thinking about it. All of them are moving to cities outside the UK. People who can earn 50k salaries anywhere in the world aren't interested in living in a city where half a million only buys them a two bed flat in a nice area. And transport congestion is so bad its a hellish commute from the home counties. London will soon be a place where the super rich can afford to live, and the rest of the population are just people there temporarily to earn their money before moving abroad. We will lose a huge chunk of our young professionals while replacing them with low wage Eastern EU labour.
    I worked that out in the mid 70s and moved to Manchester, then left for the new world.
  • GeoffM said:

    300,000 French residents in London? They must all be in the very wealthy parts of London.

    Why?
    I've heard of various foreign schools being set-up in London, including French schools and they tend to be set-up in wealthy areas.
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