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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Harry Hayfield’s Local By-Election Preview : August 6th 201
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Harry Hayfield’s Local By-Election Preview : August 6th 2015
Anderston and City (SNP defence), Calton (SNP defence), Craigton (SNP defence) and Langside (Green defence) on City of Glasgow
Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 44, Scottish National Party 27, Green 5, Liberal Democrats 1, Conservatives 1, Glasgow First 1 (Labour majority of 9)
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Good history discussion today. I think the first mass migrations were of Africans involuntarily across the Atlantic.
Where does the word Exodus come from?
(that was definitely before the Africans, if not first. Because I am first!)
I was gently pointing out the the first mass migration was well before the (involuntary) migration of Africans across the Atlantic.
But never mind.
True - but she was not the prostitute. I was thinking more of his association with Mary Magdalene, the fact that he said to the people trying to stone the adulteress to look at the beams in their own eyes and, finally (since this is not Theology.com), of the injunction "To do unto others what you would want done to you".
If we treat gay people (or any other picked on group) as outcasts and do them harm, we are harming ourselves, we are being unkind to ourselves, to our sense of what it ought to mean to be human (and divine, if you believe in that).
I am not a theologian and probably not even a good Catholic. "Love one another" is a pretty good injunction for life. It was not followed by "except him, her and that lot over there".
But I couldn't be bothered to check the last thread to et the context.
This is in possibly the strongest Labour ward in Glasgow - they were 25 points ahead in 2012, and that was their worst result ever.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3187137/Scientists-reveal-embarrassing-mistakes-fieldworkfail.html#ixzz3i4DrS9eI
https://twitter.com/iainmacwhirter/status/629379676402663424
Pity they aren't occurring after a potential Corbyn victory, one of the electoral hopes for a Corbyn led Labour would be scotland.
Jesus was making a point that nobody is perfect, against the religious leaders at the time who thought how wonderful they were because they followed all the "rules".
Also that no one can save themselves through trying to be a good person - as nobody is - only by asking for forgiveness from God.
I think that very consistent with Jesus's other teachings as the emphasis is very much on the internal cleanliness rather than externalities. Jesus was even harsher (with righteous anger) on the hypocrits and pharisees obsessed with external obedience but with no love in their hearts. Indeed the people cited by Jesus as examples to follow include a Samaritan (a sect believed to be heritics by his audience) and a Roman Officer (of an oppressing army). Neither of these obeyed the externals of Jewish or Christian teachings but both listened to the internal voice.
Please no gloating
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/629387697602203648He is saying not nice things about de Blasio and Hillary too.
An obvious line of attack for Corbyn is to present himself as someone who is prepared to fearlessly clean out the Establishment's stables, barrels of rotten apples and the privileged Tim (& Timesses) Nice but Dims who sit on charity boards and quangos. Corbyn could ruthlessly name and shame under Parliamentary privilage and get the MSM off their asses and chasing Establishment misbehaving dragons as opposed to imaginary SNP trolls.
Should be fun.
First debate in 20 minutes.
The app looks fine. It goes live at 9 EDT
There are lots of people of my age, who in my grandfather's and father's generation could and did go into public service from a sense of duty. But when the cost to their families became too high, the withdrew to serve the public from outside the sphere of politics.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyrus_the_Great_in_the_Bible
I've just backed Stuart Broad at 5/1 on Betfair to make the top 3 in the SPOTY election. He's 21/1 to win it.
I've got two problems with this.
First, is Broad the number 1 cricketing choice? Root and Anderson must surely have good claims too.
Secondly, is the cricketing grouping strong enough? I know that for example the cycling "gotv" is very good. But cricketers don't win this sort of thing do they? Only Flintoff a decade ago since the turn of the millennium.
How could anyone love their enemies, for example? And, why should they?
I've completed debate prep and am ready for the early debate....
Go Carly!!
While England and Australia perform like a pair of rutting stags somewhere in the Midlands, we have the same in London with Boris Johnson and London Underground versus ASLEF, RMT, TSSA and the other one.
Strike Day 2 was marginally less entertaining than its predecessor and through the scrumdowns for every bus and the crowded pavements, both sides clog the media with their own brand of misinformation and disinformation and frankly it's impossible to believe either.
I always thought Boris would provoke a final showdown with the aim of breaking the RMT but the late Bob Crow was too clever for that and indeed it was Boris who caved in 2012 on the payment of Olympic bonuses.
As a regular Tube user, I'd be appalled at the prospect of driverless trains. Apart from the obvious, the driver is the only communication we have with the outside world and there are many people (including myself) who get unnerved when the train stops in a tunnel between stations. There's also the crowding and ensuring the doors are clear and the sharp customer-focussed reprimand of the driver is invaluable. To be fair,even the driverless DLR trains have a member of staff on board so it's not as automated as some claim.
Boris has tried to go over the heads of the Union leadership by urging them to put the new offer to the members (this offer magically appeared just as the strikes heaved into view) which is fair enough but it's not about money (apparently) according to the unions.
Given the Oyster system, TFL is awash with cash from overpayment of fares and recent fare increases well above inflation and while the trains are better, the signalling infrastructure fails far too often at key points like Edgware Road. Yet the Tube needs to improve - the platform is four deep at East Ham at 7am every morning carrying the migrant labourers to the building projects in London and I literally cannot remember the last time I got a seat in the morning.
That's good enough for me.
The DLR trains can drive themselves, though I've seen the Passenger Service Agent (PSA) take the controls at terminal stations from time to time.
2014 - none on shortlist of 10
2013 - 10th (Ian Bell)
2012 - none on shortlist of 12
2011 - Strauss (6th) Cook (7th)
2010 - Swann (9th)
2009 - Strauss (8th)
2008 - none on shortlist of 10
2007 - none on shortlist of 10
edit: I just noticed this looked like i was responding to you, I wasnt, i was responding about the Natalie woman...
On July 25th, the U.S. intercepted a secret transmission from Japan's Foreign Minister (Togo) to their Ambassador to Moscow (Sato), who was trying to set up a meeting with the Soviets to negotiate an end to the war. The message referred to the Zacharias broadcast and stated:
"...special attention should be paid to the fact that at this time the United States referred to the Atlantic Charter. As for Japan, it is impossible to accept unconditional surrender under any circumstances, but we should like to communicate to the other party through appropriate channels that we have no objection to a peace based on the Atlantic Charter."
U.S. Dept. of State, Foreign Relations of the United States: Conference of Berlin (Potsdam) 1945, vol. 2, pg. 1260-1261.
But on July 26th, the U.S., Great Britain, and China publicly issued the Potsdam Proclamation demanding "unconditional surrender" from Japan. Zacharias later commented on the favorable Japanese response to his broadcast:
"The Potsdam Declaration, in short, wrecked everything we had been working for to prevent further bloodshed...
"Just when the Japanese were ready to capitulate, we went ahead and introduced to the world the most devastating weapon it had ever seen and, in effect, gave the go-ahead to Russia to swarm over Eastern Asia...
"I submit that it was the wrong decision. It was wrong on strategic grounds. And it was wrong on humanitarian grounds."
- Ellis Zacharias, How We Bungled the Japanese Surrender, Look, 6/6/50, pg. 19-21.
As an attorney he represented the WWE on federal steroid regulations. Who knew?
I think I will take the word of the calibre of men like Eisenhower, MacArthur, Leahy and Hoover over just about any armchair generals or theorists you can muster... And there were plenty of others on the inside who knew the Japanese had already agreed to surrender in principle.
Rear-Admiral Ellis Zacharias, (later Deputy Director of the Office of Naval Intelligence)
Based on a series of intelligence reports received in late 1944, Zacharias, long a student of Japan's people and culture, believed the Japan would soon be ripe for surrender if the proper approach were taken. For him, that approach was not as simple as bludgeoning Japanese cities:
"...while Allied leaders were immediately inclined to support all innovations however bold and novel in the strictly military sphere, they frowned upon similar innovations in the sphere of diplomatic and psychological warfare."
- Ellis Zacharias, The A-Bomb Was Not Needed, United Nations World, Aug. 1949, pg. 29.
Zacharias saw that there were diplomatic and religious (the status of the Emperor) elements that blocked the doves in Japan's government from making their move:
"What prevented them from suing for peace or from bringing their plot into the open was their uncertainty on two scores. First, they wanted to know the meaning of unconditional surrender and the fate we planned for Japan after defeat. Second, they tried to obtain from us assurances that the Emperor could remain on the throne after surrender."
- Ellis Zacharias, Eighteen Words That Bagged Japan, Saturday Evening Post, 11/17/45, pg. 17.
He's like a man who can't say sorry. Or a man who can't admit they're an alcoholic.
"Everyone does it"
"It was his fault"
Could be damaging to BBC governance now...
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b0644190
We all need one. And pretty much all of us have one, whether we're religious or not. I hope so, anyway.
Off on my hols tomorrow, to Catalunya and Mallorca. God, I really need the rest!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=60_qngJfgTA
Most people did not believe that Saddam hadn't got WMDs, not least because (1) he most certainly did have WMDs at one point because he used them, and (2) because he'd spent the previous ten years giving weapons inspectors the run-around. Whether those weapons were in a usable condition was open for debate but hardly anyone thought that he'd actually destroyed them.
Britain hasn't had meaningful austerity and most people haven't much noticed. It's affected a few quite hard and a lot of others have had to tighten their belts but to a manageable degree. Some people will always overspend and some others will always end up in financial hardship whatever the economy is doing.
The centre ground does accept the necessity of getting the deficit under control which is why the Conservatives won in May. Money doesn't grow on trees.
There is a problem with the housing market although I suspect the point about working 50 hours a week to pay the rent is a consequence of living in the London bubble, where there is a major problem - though not necessarily one to do with the domestic economy.
And it goes on.
Corbyn is not the voice of the voiceless; he's the voice of the noisy.
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/629402147394711552
In this case the Allies had decided that only unconditional surrender would be sufficient. Japan refused and wanted conditions. How then to bring the war to a successful conclusion?
Suggesting that the allies could have demanded something other than unconditional surrender is another ball game and really into the realms of "what if" alternate history. They could have done but they didn't.
All these estimates might have been wrong but we will never know. We do know what the Okinawa casualties were and we know of all the mass Japanese suicides on Okinawa. It was not pretty.
I do not think we should be surprised that the decision to drop the bomb was political. The decision to invade and accept the casualties would have been political as well.
That last line: continued page 9-4.
But she's torn.
Unfortunately people are too willing to believe what they hope is true rather than look at the facts and ask some basic questions. Given how many politicians are lawyers, this is odd.
Whole industries, careers and reputations have been built on what is little more than bullshit.
A story both denied.
Pataki, poor;
Fiorina, awful;
Perry, poor;
Graham, poor (but hit Clinton OK);
Santorum x 2, strange.
Gilmore, OK.
[subtle pop reference of the evening!]
Hurst is right- history is context specific. As much as I think it is not particularly sensible to judge the sexual antics of the 60's and 70's by today's standards- the endless prosecutions of Yewtree for instance- the same is true for war crimes.
I can understand why the Allies agreed to drop the bomb in 1945- but I can also understand the need to move on and say that this action is unacceptable by today's standards. The two are not mutually incompatible.
Good song though.
It's strange with no audience at the Q.
making use of clever and indirect methods to achieve something.
"he tried a more subtle approach"