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  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,912



    Does she really think Labour spent all the money on rebuilding schools, hospitals and public services?

    They spent very little tax money on building schools and hospitals, most of which was mortgaged with PFI deals.

    The spending was on tax credits, pensions and public servants.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Where are the SNP sitting?
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Gerald '£8865 TV claim' Kauffman, Father of the House. Laughable.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @paulwaugh: SNP nabbing Labour's second bench behind Harman is classic Parliamentary theatre. @mhairi1921 a symbol of tartan takeover
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    surbiton said:

    AndyJS said:

    Swing by region/country, Con to Lab:

    Greater London: +3.36%
    North West: +2.84%
    Yorkshire & the Humber: +2.52%
    North East: +0.87%
    South East: +0.54%
    Eastern: +0.25%
    Wales: +0.25%
    West Midlands: +0.04%
    East Midlands: -0.20%
    South West: -0.71%
    Scotland: -7.94%

    Did you read my post this morning ? My Y&H GE2010 numbers included Thirsk
    I've just seen it a couple of minutes ago, thanks.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632

    Skinner has taken his usual seat.

    In the middle of SNP

    Dennis for Labour Leader! :lol:
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2015
    Apparently Mhairi Black is sitting beside Diane Abbott in the middle of Labour benches behind Labour front benches rows
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    How long until the tombstone gags die off? I'm still finding them hilarious.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,123
    surbiton said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:

    Sandpit said:

    Listening to Len going on about withdrawing funding unless Labour choose the 'right' leader, what chance that the party will just agree call his bluff? Let him go and set up his own party of the loony left and Guardian readers, allowing the more sensible - let's call them Blairites for now - wing of the party to elect someone like Kendall or Jarvis and take the fight to Cameron.

    If the party elders thought they could survive without Len's cash, they might.

    But they can't...
    They will find a way IF they make the break with the unions. Who else would want to donate to the party where all the influence is with Red Len? There's plenty of pro-EU businessmen around that I'm sure would be sympathetic, probably a few Islington luvvies too.
    A party funded by the likes of Steve Coogan and Hugh Grant is not going to be any better, frankly.

    A party funded by as wide a range of people and groups as possible is far more likely to be in touch and less beholden to special interests in a way which puts off more people than it attracts.

    Is Hugh Grant a Labour supporter ?
    Hugh Grant supported the LDs at the election. You could win a dinner with him if you made a donation!
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Bercow reelected Speaker without a division.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,912
    Speaker elected!!
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632

    Apparently Mhairi Black is sitting beside Diane Abbott in the middle of Labour benches behind Labour front benches rows

    Mhairi, Mhairi, quite contrary?
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Peter Bottomley and Valerie Vaz have dragged Bercow to the Chair
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Kaufman takes seat next to Skinner
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    Apparently Mhairi Black is sitting beside Diane Abbott in the middle of Labour benches behind Labour front benches rows

    Mhairi, Mhairi, quite contrary?
    I like someone who does things their own way.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Anna Soubry on the Front Bench.
  • AllyPally_RobAllyPally_Rob Posts: 605
    AndyJS said:

    Swing by region/country, Con to Lab:

    Greater London: +3.36%
    North West: +2.84%
    Yorkshire & the Humber: +2.52%
    North East: +0.87%
    South East: +0.54%
    Eastern: +0.25%
    Wales: +0.25%
    West Midlands: +0.04%
    East Midlands: -0.20%
    South West: -0.71%
    Scotland: -7.94%

    Its the East Mids wot lost it!

    The M1 corridor is our very own Ohio.

    I have a soft spot for that area. South Notts/North Leicestershire is a lovely part of the world, especially around the vale of Belvoir.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Kaufman takes seat next to Skinner
  • calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    Catching up on TPT I noted there was lots of speculation about SLAB's likely recovery in May 2016. As things stand things are likely to get worse for SLAB, SCUP and SLID. Running the last Survation Holyrood 2016 voting intentions through the Scotland Votes calculator - the results:

    SNP 71 (+2)
    SLAB 25 (-12)
    Tories 11 (-4)
    LibDem 6 (+1)
    Greens 11 (+9)
    UKIP 5 (+5)

    Total Seats 129 (65 for a majority)

    As the Scotland Votes seat calculator currently doesn't take account of regional splits, the above figures area at best a guide of likely trends based on current polling. Links below:

    http://www.scotlandvotes.com/
    http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/Final-Record-April-Tables.pdf

    In terms of tactical voting, I think the SNP voting for the Greens in the regional list in areas where the SNP list vote is likely to be below 50%, could drive the Greens ahead of SCUP and close to overtaking SLAB. Unionist tactical voting at a constituency level might save the odd seat, however at a regional list level tactical voting could be dangerous and lose seats. For example if Glasgow Tories vote SLAB, Ruth could lose her seat, if SLAB vote SCUP they could lose a list seat etc.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    AndyJS said:

    Swing by region/country, Con to Lab:

    Greater London: +3.36%
    North West: +2.84%
    Yorkshire & the Humber: +2.52%
    North East: +0.87%
    South East: +0.54%
    Eastern: +0.25%
    Wales: +0.25%
    West Midlands: +0.04%
    East Midlands: -0.20%
    South West: -0.71%
    Scotland: -7.94%

    Its the East Mids wot lost it!

    The M1 corridor is our very own Ohio.

    I have a soft spot for that area. South Notts/North Leicestershire is a lovely part of the world, especially around the vale of Belvoir.
    Derby North was the only seat changing hands in the region. I think Chris Williamson was a bit too left-wing even for a left of centre constituency.
  • LadyBucketLadyBucket Posts: 590
    It's already obvious this parliament could easily turn into an SNP rabble. Peter Wishart and Stewart Hosie standing there like a couple night club bouncers. Hope I'm wrong.

    It's also interesting that David Cameron has been leader of the conservatives for 10 years and seen off Gordon Brown, Nick Clegg and EdMiliband. What a lightweight EdM seems now, leaving Labour in a mess. Would have been far better to have stayed in spite of all the flak he would have taken and could have returned to the backbenches with some kudos.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474

    It's already obvious this parliament could easily turn into an SNP rabble. Peter Wishart and Stewart Hosie standing there like a couple night club bouncers. Hope I'm wrong.

    It's also interesting that David Cameron has been leader of the conservatives for 10 years and seen off Gordon Brown, Nick Clegg and EdMiliband. What a lightweight EdM seems now, leaving Labour in a mess. Would have been far better to have stayed in spite of all the flak he would have taken and could have returned to the backbenches with some kudos.

    SNP are nicely muddled in amongst seething Labour MPs. Much fun ahead.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Are those SNP MPs sitting behind Harman on the second row?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    AndyJS said:

    Are those SNP MPs sitting behind Harman on the second row?

    yes
  • AllyPally_RobAllyPally_Rob Posts: 605
    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    Swing by region/country, Con to Lab:

    Greater London: +3.36%
    North West: +2.84%
    Yorkshire & the Humber: +2.52%
    North East: +0.87%
    South East: +0.54%
    Eastern: +0.25%
    Wales: +0.25%
    West Midlands: +0.04%
    East Midlands: -0.20%
    South West: -0.71%
    Scotland: -7.94%

    Its the East Mids wot lost it!

    The M1 corridor is our very own Ohio.

    I have a soft spot for that area. South Notts/North Leicestershire is a lovely part of the world, especially around the vale of Belvoir.
    Derby North was the only seat changing hands in the region. I think Chris Williamson was a bit too left-wing even for a left of centre constituency.
    Sherwood is still a shock result. That region seems to be turning Blue, with the exception of Nottingham and Leicester inner city seats.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749
    The SNP are going to do everything in their power to reinforce the vote Labour, get SNP meme this parliament.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Did they forget about the LibDems?
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited May 2015

    Did they forget about the LibDems?

    Yes! At the last moment someone reminded Bercow to call Alistair Carmichael.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,548
    surbiton said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:

    Sandpit said:

    Listening to Len going on about withdrawing funding unless Labour choose the 'right' leader, what chance that the party will just agree call his bluff? Let him go and set up his own party of the loony left and Guardian readers, allowing the more sensible - let's call them Blairites for now - wing of the party to elect someone like Kendall or Jarvis and take the fight to Cameron.

    If the party elders thought they could survive without Len's cash, they might.

    But they can't...
    They will find a way IF they make the break with the unions. Who else would want to donate to the party where all the influence is with Red Len? There's plenty of pro-EU businessmen around that I'm sure would be sympathetic, probably a few Islington luvvies too.
    A party funded by the likes of Steve Coogan and Hugh Grant is not going to be any better, frankly.

    A party funded by as wide a range of people and groups as possible is far more likely to be in touch and less beholden to special interests in a way which puts off more people than it attracts.

    Is Hugh Grant a Labour supporter ?
    This has been answered already. I mentioned both these as an example of luvvies who might wish to fund Labour, largely because of their role in Hacked Off which seems to have written that part of Labour's manifesto on press freedom.

    Replacing one special interest group by another does not seem to me to be an improvement.

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632

    AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    Swing by region/country, Con to Lab:

    Greater London: +3.36%
    North West: +2.84%
    Yorkshire & the Humber: +2.52%
    North East: +0.87%
    South East: +0.54%
    Eastern: +0.25%
    Wales: +0.25%
    West Midlands: +0.04%
    East Midlands: -0.20%
    South West: -0.71%
    Scotland: -7.94%

    Its the East Mids wot lost it!

    The M1 corridor is our very own Ohio.

    I have a soft spot for that area. South Notts/North Leicestershire is a lovely part of the world, especially around the vale of Belvoir.
    Derby North was the only seat changing hands in the region. I think Chris Williamson was a bit too left-wing even for a left of centre constituency.
    Sherwood is still a shock result. That region seems to be turning Blue, with the exception of Nottingham and Leicester inner city seats.
    Eastern Region was the most right-wing region 66.2%
    Then the Southeast on 65.5%.
    Then Southwest on 60.1
    East Midlands = 59.2
    West Midlands =57.5

    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/600283502966345729
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2015
    Labour put Ian Murray next to Harriet only to show him on TV screen
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,232
    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,108

    Labour put Ian Murrey next to Harriet only to show him on TV screen

    To be fair, he is Shadow S of S for the Scotland Office. Or am I missing something?
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Yes, he is. Usually not the most senior position in the (shadow) cabinet.
    Carnyx said:

    Labour put Ian Murrey next to Harriet only to show him on TV screen

    To be fair, he is Shadow S of S for the Scotland Office. Or am I missing something?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    RobD said:

    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.

    Entirely predictable
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2015
    Were Ed and Nick absent today?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632
    UK-wide right-wing vote = 50.6%
    UK-wide right-wing MPs = 50.9%

    (330 Tories, ie. exc. Bercow, plus UKIP's Carswell)
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,108

    Yes, he is. Usually not the most senior position in the (shadow) cabinet.

    Carnyx said:

    Labour put Ian Murrey next to Harriet only to show him on TV screen

    To be fair, he is Shadow S of S for the Scotland Office. Or am I missing something?
    Thanks. That's actually quite an interesting observation you make - it will be worth seeing if it continues into routine business.

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,232
    Scott_P said:

    RobD said:

    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.

    Entirely predictable
    Going to be fun watching them pledge allegiance to the Queen :D
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Nigel Dodds makes an interesting point:

    "All four nations of the UK have returned voted for different parties as their main representatives. That is unprecedented"

    Interestingly, while the Conservatives have more than 50% of the English MPs, Labour more than 50% of Welsh MPs and the SNP more than 50% of Scottish MPs, the DUP that Nigel Dodds leads holds 8 of the 18 Northern Ireland MPs, short of 50%, though more than 50% of those present in the House due to the 4 absent Sinn Fein MPs.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Maybe I am cynic and he was next to her by accident.
    Carnyx said:

    Yes, he is. Usually not the most senior position in the (shadow) cabinet.

    Carnyx said:

    Labour put Ian Murrey next to Harriet only to show him on TV screen

    To be fair, he is Shadow S of S for the Scotland Office. Or am I missing something?
    Thanks. That's actually quite an interesting observation you make - it will be worth seeing if it continues into routine business.

  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    RobD said:

    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.

    That's what he was elected to do.
    How much taxpayers money was wasted today with this poncing about?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749

    Nigel Dodds makes an interesting point:

    "All four nations of the UK have returned voted for different parties as their main representatives. That is unprecedented"

    Interestingly, while the Conservatives have more than 50% of the English MPs, Labour more than 50% of Welsh MPs and the SNP more than 50% of Scottish MPs, the DUP that Nigel Dodds leads holds 8 of the 18 Northern Ireland MPs, short of 50%, though more than 50% of those present in the House due to the 4 absent Sinn Fein MPs.

    The UUP aren't a million miles from the DUP either.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474

    Were Ed and Nick absent today?

    Who?
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,136
    Good afternoon, everyone.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,232

    RobD said:

    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.

    That's what he was elected to do.
    How much taxpayers money was wasted today with this poncing about?
    And absolutely no poncing about happens in Scotland? :p
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,108
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.

    That's what he was elected to do.
    How much taxpayers money was wasted today with this poncing about?
    And absolutely no poncing about happens in Scotland? :p
    No Black Rod up here. They do like a spot of the old flage down there ...
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,296

    Hi John, the old Campaign Groupers are barely 10 now. Mike Wood, Linda Riordan and Martin Caton stood down. Katy Clark lost her seat in Scotland.

    Andrea, Thanks and it will be interesting to see how much it will be replenished by the new girls and boys! Or will they form their own leftist grouping...
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    The Guardian reports on the Labour party candidates' nominations:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/18/andy-burnham-yvette-cooper-labour-leadership-modernisers?CMP=share_btn_tw

    It seems as if there are some advantages to being one of the old guard. The whole article is comprised of one paragraph really:

    "The leadership camps are keeping their levels of support private, but it is claimed Burnham and Cooper already have the support of more than 100 MPs. The Kendall camp claim to have the 35 to get on the ballot paper, but Hunt and Mary Creagh, the shadow international international development secretary, are thought to be well short. Hunt, who made no effort to organise prior to the election defeat, is starting from a long way back and has yet to declare he will stand."
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,136
    Mr. Carnyx, there used to be a Black Rod in Scotland, I think.

    Did some research on offices of state of that nature for comedy, and found that there are/were a number of other 'rods' [red and purple, I think], as well as gold and silver stick [royal guards]. The only job title I used was the defunct position of chafe-wax, on account of it sounding like some sort of perversion.
  • FlightpathlFlightpathl Posts: 1,243

    UK-wide right-wing vote = 50.6%
    UK-wide right-wing MPs = 50.9%
    (330 Tories, ie. exc. Bercow, plus UKIP's Carswell)

    Are you suggesting traditional labour voters voting kipper this time are right wing?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,232
    edited May 2015

    Mr. Carnyx, there used to be a Black Rod in Scotland, I think.

    Did some research on offices of state of that nature for comedy, and found that there are/were a number of other 'rods' [red and purple, I think], as well as gold and silver stick [royal guards]. The only job title I used was the defunct position of chafe-wax, on account of it sounding like some sort of perversion.

    Black, Green, Scarlet, Blue, Purple

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Rod#Other_UK_ushers

    Edit - and the now defunct Scottish White Rod - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_Rod
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    I wonder whether anyone enterprising is going to design tartan beach towels for the new SNP MPs?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,912
    Pulpstar said:

    The SNP are going to do everything in their power to reinforce the vote Labour, get SNP meme this parliament.

    Which will result in a perpetual Tory govt, as they well know.
    The SNP think they look better in Scotland being on the opposition benches in London.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749
    antifrank said:

    The Guardian reports on the Labour party candidates' nominations:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/18/andy-burnham-yvette-cooper-labour-leadership-modernisers?CMP=share_btn_tw

    It seems as if there are some advantages to being one of the old guard. The whole article is comprised of one paragraph really:

    "The leadership camps are keeping their levels of support private, but it is claimed Burnham and Cooper already have the support of more than 100 MPs. The Kendall camp claim to have the 35 to get on the ballot paper, but Hunt and Mary Creagh, the shadow international international development secretary, are thought to be well short. Hunt, who made no effort to organise prior to the election defeat, is starting from a long way back and has yet to declare he will stand."

    Who on earth is going to put their name next to Tristram Hunt ?

    I can see my own MP, Engel going for Creagh possibly - but not Hunt.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632

    UK-wide right-wing vote = 50.6%
    UK-wide right-wing MPs = 50.9%
    (330 Tories, ie. exc. Bercow, plus UKIP's Carswell)

    Are you suggesting traditional labour voters voting kipper this time are right wing?
    Didn't expect any Lefty straw-clutching from you, of all people, dear Flightpath!.

    UKIP are a right-wing populist party:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UK_Independence_Party
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,108

    Mr. Carnyx, there used to be a Black Rod in Scotland, I think.

    Did some research on offices of state of that nature for comedy, and found that there are/were a number of other 'rods' [red and purple, I think], as well as gold and silver stick [royal guards]. The only job title I used was the defunct position of chafe-wax, on account of it sounding like some sort of perversion.

    Not since 1707 - though in the best tradition of PBpedantry it was a White Rod , I find, from Mr RobD's posting which is as gratifyingly instructive as yours. (The Green Rod is for the Order of the Thistle, more for Holyrood Palace than the Pmt I suppose ...).

  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Addressing acting Labour leader Harriet Harman, David Cameron says there seems to be a common pattern: "A man comes along and does the job and makes a terrible mess of it and she comes along and has to sort it all out". He wonders why she's not made Labour leader permanently.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-32727175
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749
    Sandpit said:

    Pulpstar said:

    The SNP are going to do everything in their power to reinforce the vote Labour, get SNP meme this parliament.

    Which will result in a perpetual Tory govt, as they well know.
    The SNP think they look better in Scotland being on the opposition benches in London.
    They know precisely what they're doing. The only way Labour can shoot this fox is by supporting Scottish independence.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632
    edited May 2015
    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.

    That's what he was elected to do.
    How much taxpayers money was wasted today with this poncing about?
    And absolutely no poncing about happens in Scotland? :p
    No Black Rod up here. They do like a spot of the old flage down there ...
    Why is Black Rod always a white guy?

    :lol:
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    UK-wide right-wing vote = 50.6%
    UK-wide right-wing MPs = 50.9%
    (330 Tories, ie. exc. Bercow, plus UKIP's Carswell)

    Are you suggesting traditional labour voters voting kipper this time are right wing?
    Didn't expect any Lefty straw-clutching from you, of all people, dear Flightpath!.

    UKIP are a right-wing populist party:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UK_Independence_Party
    UKIP did worse than expected in the south-east and south-west which used to be two of its strongest regions.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,418
    antifrank said:

    The Guardian reports on the Labour party candidates' nominations:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/18/andy-burnham-yvette-cooper-labour-leadership-modernisers?CMP=share_btn_tw

    It seems as if there are some advantages to being one of the old guard. The whole article is comprised of one paragraph really:

    "The leadership camps are keeping their levels of support private, but it is claimed Burnham and Cooper already have the support of more than 100 MPs. The Kendall camp claim to have the 35 to get on the ballot paper, but Hunt and Mary Creagh, the shadow international international development secretary, are thought to be well short. Hunt, who made no effort to organise prior to the election defeat, is starting from a long way back and has yet to declare he will stand."

    If MPs conspire to keep Creagh and Hunt off the ballot it would be another slap in the face to members who will be denied a full choice of candidates. If no more than 6 want to stand, they should all get through on the nod, since 6 x 15% = 90% with 10% nominating MPs to spare.
  • FlightpathlFlightpathl Posts: 1,243
    Pulpstar said:

    antifrank said:
    Who on earth is going to put their name next to Tristram Hunt ?
    I can see my own MP, Engel going for Creagh possibly - but not Hunt.
    Hunt will be keeping up his profile to make it more difficult to drop him from the shadow cabinet. He is not a serious candidate


  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632
    AndyJS said:

    UK-wide right-wing vote = 50.6%
    UK-wide right-wing MPs = 50.9%
    (330 Tories, ie. exc. Bercow, plus UKIP's Carswell)

    Are you suggesting traditional labour voters voting kipper this time are right wing?
    Didn't expect any Lefty straw-clutching from you, of all people, dear Flightpath!.

    UKIP are a right-wing populist party:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UK_Independence_Party
    UKIP did worse than expected in the south-east and south-west which used to be two of its strongest regions.
    Eastern was the Right's best region (also the location of UKIP's only MP).
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    The Tories moved above 40% in England at this election.

    2010: 39.59%
    2015: 40.86%

    They also moved above 50% in the South East region:

    2010: 49.86%
    2015: 50.85%
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Sunil..Black Rod.. Apply for the job..that's probably how he got it..
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749
    @AndyJS Interesting that the Conservatives are more popular in the SE than the SNP are in Scotland.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    simmonite said:

    I am going to join the labour party to help counteract the power of the unions and the (far) left, or more precisely one union leader in particular. I am undecided which leader to vote for as yet, but I am leaning towards Kendall to make a cleaner break than say Cooper or Burnham.

    That's pretty much my position too (I believe regular poster, SouthamObserver is also minded that way). So that would be three of us, who not on the 'looney' wing, and who simply want to ensure that there is an effective and credible opposition in place as soon as possible.
    I suggest you get those on Twitter and Facebook so you can start to trend - worked really well for your party last................oh wait. :)
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632

    Sunil..Black Rod.. Apply for the job..that's probably how he got it..

    Asian Rod?

    :Lol: :lol:
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,912
    RobD said:

    Scott_P said:

    RobD said:

    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.

    Entirely predictable
    Going to be fun watching them pledge allegiance to the Queen :D
    Was today not the only day that Sinn Fein could be there, as the next process is the swearing of allegiance?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632
    edited May 2015
    Pulpstar said:

    @AndyJS Interesting that the Conservatives are more popular in the SE than the SNP are in Scotland.

    But the Left completely creamed Scotland, getting just over 75% of the vote.

    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/600282994524463104
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,232
    Sandpit said:

    RobD said:

    Scott_P said:

    RobD said:

    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.

    Entirely predictable
    Going to be fun watching them pledge allegiance to the Queen :D
    Was today not the only day that Sinn Fein could be there, as the next process is the swearing of allegiance?
    I think that is right.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,912
    edited May 2015

    Why is Black Rod always a white guy? :lol:

    Note to self, make sure that Safe Search is on if you're Googling "Black Rod"
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    If MPs conspire to keep Creagh and Hunt off the ballot it would be another slap in the face to members who will be denied a full choice of candidates. If no more than 6 want to stand, they should all get through on the nod, since 6 x 15% = 90% with 10% nominating MPs to spare.

    If you're going to bother to have an MP nominating stage then it should be worthwhile. If a prospective MP can't find the support of 15% of their peers then it suggests they are not up to much.

    Otherwise you may as well open up the election to any MP who wants to put themselves forward, and forget about the MP nomination stage entirely.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632
    RobD said:

    Scott_P said:

    RobD said:

    Interesting that Angus Robertson was the only person to bring politics into his speech.

    Entirely predictable
    Going to be fun watching them pledge allegiance to the Queen :D
    HMQ is a direct descendant of James VI of Scotland?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,749
    The SNP and Labour should consider a merger.

    The new party could be called "SNP" :innocent face:
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,632
    Pulpstar said:

    The SNP and Labour should consider a merger.

    The new party could be called "SNP" :innocent face:

    With an "Independent SNP" member for Edinburgh South?
  • JazJaz Posts: 21
    AndyJS said:

    The Tories moved above 40% in England at this election.

    2010: 39.59%
    2015: 40.86%

    They also moved above 50% in the South East region:

    2010: 49.86%
    2015: 50.85%

    Is this the first time since 1992 that the tories > 40% in England?
    Did Labour get this in 1997?

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Jaz said:

    AndyJS said:

    The Tories moved above 40% in England at this election.

    2010: 39.59%
    2015: 40.86%

    They also moved above 50% in the South East region:

    2010: 49.86%
    2015: 50.85%

    Is this the first time since 1992 that the tories > 40% in England?
    Did Labour get this in 1997?

    Labour got about 41% in England in 1997 IIRC. Yes it is the first time since 1992 when they got 45.5%.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    valleyboy said:

    surbiton said:

    felix said:

    Ot - the sort of person who joins a political party after a big defeat is very unlikely to be a middle of the road member of jo public. More l likely to be yet more loony lefties.

    They won't be Scottish loony lefties - they have gone over to the SNP.
    I think Burnham will win, I think the Labour party see him differently than I do.
    I do not think Cooper will win, I think the Labour party see her exactly as I do.
    I can only repeat, the corollary of Kendal saying the Labour govt spent too much is to support the governments cuts in spending. This is the issue the labour Party have to face up to and 'outside voters' plugging for her is not going of itself change the ethos of Labour. Its a recipe for splits, not the ''unity'' being called for.
    The fudge unity candidate is Burnham which is why regular labour members will vote for him.
    Not necessarily. She could argue that Keynsian spending to boost the economy is necessary in a downturn, but money for that purpose should have been squirreled away in the upturn. That way she could coherently support cuts in the past and increases in the present. It wouldn't be true of course.
    In which case it would be incoherent.
    The government have been allowing the cyclical regulators to do their work whilst still cutting the unaffordable structural departmental spending. As David Smith, The Sunday Times economics correspondent, points out, ''But the government has stuck pretty much to its consolidation plan. The deficit has, of course, overshot, as we have all written on many occasions. The reasons for that, as the OBR has also pointed out, are that the government chose not to introduce additional tightening in response to upward revisions in the size of the structural deficit in 2012-13, and the many other reasons it lists in the forecast evaluation document, mainly undershoots on the revenue side.''

    Of course, that is also Labour's fault ! As it was with the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the bailout of AIG, TARP for the automotive industry, cash-for-clunk in Germany and then copied by every other country etc. etc.
    It makes me sick to think Labours failure to nail the reasons for the crash in the period after the 2010 election caused Labour to lose in 2015.
    I am seriously worried that in the next few months, while we are arguing over a new leader that Osborne will get away with blue murder.
    Isn't that what the July 8th budget is about? Labour mi_selection plus everyone checked out for the summer means he can make some controversial changes without the opposition being able to build a focused "rebranding" campaign (as with "bedroom" or "pasty" tax)
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    Labour's worst result was probably in Gower, and it's interesting that the Labour selection there was the one where everyone was struggling to find out any information about the candidate. It was also the occasion on which Andrea was mentioned by Michael Crick:

    http://blogs.channel4.com/michael-crick-on-politics/secrets-political-shortlist-italian-anorak-puts-brits-shame/3632
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,232
    Sandpit said:

    Why is Black Rod always a white guy? :lol:

    Note to self, make sure that Safe Search is on if you're Googling "Black Rod"
    Gentlemen Usher of the Black Rod... *ahem*
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,108
    edited May 2015

    Pulpstar said:

    The SNP and Labour should consider a merger.

    The new party could be called "SNP" :innocent face:

    With an "Independent SNP" member for Edinburgh South?
    Slight complication perhaps ...

    http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/wider-political-news/pressure-begins-to-grow-in-post-election-carnage-for-scottish-labour-t.126302570

    "PRESSURE is mounting for Scottish Labour to consider becoming fully independent from the UK Labour Party after Andy Burnham, the frontrunner to succeed Ed Miliband as party leader, said there was "a case" for such a move."

    By the way I don't know if anyone else noticed the article on Mr Murray in the Herald at the weekend:

    http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/scottish-politics/edinburgh-south-why-labour-held-on-against-the-snp-tide.126249111

    "For years, the Tories and LibDems broadly dominated the former and Labour the latter, creating a three-way marginal in which the Nats barely registered. In 2010, local Labour councillor Ian Murray squeaked in just 316 votes ahead of the LibDems, while the SNP recorded their lowest vote in Scotland, 7.7 per cent.

    Murray's was Labour's smallest Scottish majority, but a blessing in disguise. Unlike MPs in 'weight the vote' seats, Murray knew he had to graft from day one. He held his first surgery five hours after getting elected, and never really stopped. He held more surgeries than any other MP in the country, some 800, offered all 36,500 households a home visit, put 8000 constituents on his monthly mailing list, and assembled a team of staff and activists with the same Stakhanovite work ethic. In his spare time, he became chair of Foundation of Hearts, the not-for-profit supporters group set up to buy Hearts FC after its administration. Even his opponents concede he is diligent and conscientious."
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    For all the push from the Tories for Liz Kendall, does she even have 35 MP's to be on the ballot?
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,418

    If MPs conspire to keep Creagh and Hunt off the ballot it would be another slap in the face to members who will be denied a full choice of candidates. If no more than 6 want to stand, they should all get through on the nod, since 6 x 15% = 90% with 10% nominating MPs to spare.

    If you're going to bother to have an MP nominating stage then it should be worthwhile. If a prospective MP can't find the support of 15% of their peers then it suggests they are not up to much.

    Otherwise you may as well open up the election to any MP who wants to put themselves forward, and forget about the MP nomination stage entirely.
    As I suggested, the MP nomination stage would kick in if there were more than 6 potential candidates. One candidate Hoovering up all of the nominations (e.g. Brown) to keep others off the ballot is not a great example of democracy.
  • DimitryDimitry Posts: 49
    Can anyone tell me what would happen in the unlikely event that one Labour leader candidate got more than 85% of MPs' support making it impossible for another to get the minimum 15% to stand. Is there a subsidiary rule that says there must be at least two standing or could this be a way of MPs sewing up the contest without subsequent vote if they so arranged it among themselves?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Dimitry said:

    Can anyone tell me what would happen in the unlikely event that one Labour leader candidate got more than 85% of MPs' support making it impossible for another to get the minimum 15% to stand. Is there a subsidiary rule that says there must be at least two standing or could this be a way of MPs sewing up the contest without subsequent vote if they so arranged it among themselves?

    Well Brown had a coronation in 2007 so I assume you can have only one candidate.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Carnyx said:



    Slight complication perhaps ...

    http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/wider-political-news/pressure-begins-to-grow-in-post-election-carnage-for-scottish-labour-t.126302570

    "PRESSURE is mounting for Scottish Labour to consider becoming fully independent from the UK Labour Party after Andy Burnham, the frontrunner to succeed Ed Miliband as party leader, said there was "a case" for such a move."

    By the way I don't know if anyone else noticed the article on Mr Murray in the Herald at the weekend:

    http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/scottish-politics/edinburgh-south-why-labour-held-on-against-the-snp-tide.126249111

    "For years, the Tories and LibDems broadly dominated the former and Labour the latter, creating a three-way marginal in which the Nats barely registered. In 2010, local Labour councillor Ian Murray squeaked in just 316 votes ahead of the LibDems, while the SNP recorded their lowest vote in Scotland, 7.7 per cent.

    Murray's was Labour's smallest Scottish majority, but a blessing in disguise. Unlike MPs in 'weight the vote' seats, Murray knew he had to graft from day one. He held his first surgery five hours after getting elected, and never really stopped. He held more surgeries than any other MP in the country, some 800, offered all 36,500 households a home visit, put 8000 constituents on his monthly mailing list, and assembled a team of staff and activists with the same Stakhanovite work ethic. In his spare time, he became chair of Foundation of Hearts, the not-for-profit supporters group set up to buy Hearts FC after its administration. Even his opponents concede he is diligent and conscientious."

    No surprise, the only Labour MP in scotland was also the only one who cared about his voters, not that he had any other choice in such a marginal.
  • Bond_James_BondBond_James_Bond Posts: 1,939
    edited May 2015
    watford30 said:

    Anna Soubry on the Front Bench.

    Surprised to see that.

    I had on good authority here that she'd pretty much given up.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,912

    If MPs conspire to keep Creagh and Hunt off the ballot it would be another slap in the face to members who will be denied a full choice of candidates. If no more than 6 want to stand, they should all get through on the nod, since 6 x 15% = 90% with 10% nominating MPs to spare.

    If you're going to bother to have an MP nominating stage then it should be worthwhile. If a prospective MP can't find the support of 15% of their peers then it suggests they are not up to much.

    Otherwise you may as well open up the election to any MP who wants to put themselves forward, and forget about the MP nomination stage entirely.
    As I suggested, the MP nomination stage would kick in if there were more than 6 potential candidates. One candidate Hoovering up all of the nominations (e.g. Brown) to keep others off the ballot is not a great example of democracy.
    It seems I made the silly mistake of assuming that if they need 35 signatures to be nominated, then the nomination form should contain 35 boxes for those signatures.

    What's the point of allowing 100 members to nominate someone, apart from keeping others out of the ballot? And maybe letting the 100 show the new leader that they're loyal to him or her?
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,788
    Dimitry said:

    Can anyone tell me what would happen in the unlikely event that one Labour leader candidate got more than 85% of MPs' support making it impossible for another to get the minimum 15% to stand. Is there a subsidiary rule that says there must be at least two standing or could this be a way of MPs sewing up the contest without subsequent vote if they so arranged it among themselves?

    Isn't that the 'Brown' strategy?
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited May 2015

    watford30 said:

    Anna Soubry on the Front Bench.

    Surprised to see that.

    I had on good authority here that she'd pretty much given up.
    Nick Palmer mentioned 'his patch' earlier.

    We can safely assume that Broxtowe is most definitely her patch now.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    watford30 said:

    Anna Soubry on the Front Bench.

    Surprised to see that.

    I had on good authority here that she'd pretty much given up.
    According to electoral Calculus the new post boundary review Broxtowe seat would be nominally Labour by about 5k votes.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 53,233
    Dimitry said:

    Can anyone tell me what would happen in the unlikely event that one Labour leader candidate got more than 85% of MPs' support making it impossible for another to get the minimum 15% to stand. Is there a subsidiary rule that says there must be at least two standing or could this be a way of MPs sewing up the contest without subsequent vote if they so arranged it among themselves?

    They have a ballot between the leading candidate and Diane Abbott.
  • Bond_James_BondBond_James_Bond Posts: 1,939
    edited May 2015
    Dimitry said:

    Can anyone tell me what would happen in the unlikely event that one Labour leader candidate got more than 85% of MPs' support making it impossible for another to get the minimum 15% to stand. Is there a subsidiary rule that says there must be at least two standing or could this be a way of MPs sewing up the contest without subsequent vote if they so arranged it among themselves?

    That's precisely what Brown did in 2007 and what Butcher and Mrs Balls are attempting to do now. If either can corner the PLP market, then there's no vote at all, because there'll be only one candidate.

    You would think that there would be recognition in the PLP that an open discussion about past mistakes and future direction would benefit the party, and that a leadership contest among 6 players would be seen as a good means to that end.

    Sadly, this is still the party of the Not The Nine O'Clock News block vote sketch. So Butcher and chums will consider themselves to have done something clever, rather than shameful and counter-productive, if they can gerrymander the first round to prevent a contest. And the PLP will see nothing wrong with helping them do it.

  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Carnyx said:

    Pulpstar said:

    The SNP and Labour should consider a merger.

    The new party could be called "SNP" :innocent face:

    With an "Independent SNP" member for Edinburgh South?
    Slight complication perhaps ...

    http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/wider-political-news/pressure-begins-to-grow-in-post-election-carnage-for-scottish-labour-t.126302570

    "PRESSURE is mounting for Scottish Labour to consider becoming fully independent from the UK Labour Party after Andy Burnham, the frontrunner to succeed Ed Miliband as party leader, said there was "a case" for such a move."

    By the way I don't know if anyone else noticed the article on Mr Murray in the Herald at the weekend:

    http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/scottish-politics/edinburgh-south-why-labour-held-on-against-the-snp-tide.126249111

    "For years, the Tories and LibDems broadly dominated the former and Labour the latter, creating a three-way marginal in which the Nats barely registered. In 2010, local Labour councillor Ian Murray squeaked in just 316 votes ahead of the LibDems, while the SNP recorded their lowest vote in Scotland, 7.7 per cent.

    Murray's was Labour's smallest Scottish majority, but a blessing in disguise. Unlike MPs in 'weight the vote' seats, Murray knew he had to graft from day one. He held his first surgery five hours after getting elected, and never really stopped. He held more surgeries than any other MP in the country, some 800, offered all 36,500 households a home visit, put 8000 constituents on his monthly mailing list, and assembled a team of staff and activists with the same Stakhanovite work ethic. In his spare time, he became chair of Foundation of Hearts, the not-for-profit supporters group set up to buy Hearts FC after its administration. Even his opponents concede he is diligent and conscientious."
    If SLAB became a distinct separate body , like the SDLP, and as long as the UK exists, what practical difference would there be ?

    OK , there would be a different manifesto. If Labour is in power, technically, a coalition.

    It will be like the CDU / CSU.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,136
    Burnham might have the qualities of Brown and Miliband.

    SNP to be the Official Opposition in 2020? :p
  • AndyJS said:

    AndyJS said:

    Swing by region/country, Con to Lab:

    Greater London: +3.36%
    North West: +2.84%
    Yorkshire & the Humber: +2.52%
    North East: +0.87%
    South East: +0.54%
    Eastern: +0.25%
    Wales: +0.25%
    West Midlands: +0.04%
    East Midlands: -0.20%
    South West: -0.71%
    Scotland: -7.94%

    Its the East Mids wot lost it!

    The M1 corridor is our very own Ohio.

    I have a soft spot for that area. South Notts/North Leicestershire is a lovely part of the world, especially around the vale of Belvoir.
    Derby North was the only seat changing hands in the region. I think Chris Williamson was a bit too left-wing even for a left of centre constituency.
    Corby is in the East Midlands and after the by election in 2012 we regained the seat with Tom Pursglove obtaining a sensational 13% Lab to Con swing! It always felt good on the ground and while you always play that carefully, the result spoke for itself...
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    If MPs conspire to keep Creagh and Hunt off the ballot it would be another slap in the face to members who will be denied a full choice of candidates. If no more than 6 want to stand, they should all get through on the nod, since 6 x 15% = 90% with 10% nominating MPs to spare.

    If you're going to bother to have an MP nominating stage then it should be worthwhile. If a prospective MP can't find the support of 15% of their peers then it suggests they are not up to much.

    Otherwise you may as well open up the election to any MP who wants to put themselves forward, and forget about the MP nomination stage entirely.
    As I suggested, the MP nomination stage would kick in if there were more than 6 potential candidates. One candidate Hoovering up all of the nominations (e.g. Brown) to keep others off the ballot is not a great example of democracy.
    In 2010, I seem to recall, some MPs nominated others, not their first choice, after their own choice had already got their required number.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,912


    You would think that there would be recognition in the PLP that an open discussion about past mistakes and future direction would benefit the party, and that a leadership contest among 6 players would be seen as a good means to that end.

    Sadly, this is still the party of the Not The Nine O'Clock News block vote sketch. So Butcher and chums will consider themselves to have done something clever, rather than shameful and counter-productive, if they can gerrymander the first round to prevent a contest. And the PLP will see nothing wrong with helping them do it.

    LOL, and they are supposed to be Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition, scrutinising what the government do. Which they start doing next week!

    Right, off to the pub!
This discussion has been closed.