Will Scobie Campaign (@willscobie) 14/04/2015 11:20 Come to Ramsgate, Kent on Sunday (19th) with Owen Jones + help defeat Nigel Farage in 2015. facebook.com/events/1092250… pic.twitter.com/eY2AxgG7Lj
I do wonder about Owen Jones and his complete lack of self awareness. One thing that won't go down well in South Thanet is a pontificating Guardian journalist with a largely negative message. It may even turn people off Will Scobie. Ohio 2004 anyone?!
asjohnstone In the fifties the Tories won majorities in Scotland, indeed in 1951 Churchill won a higher percentage of the vote in Scotland than in England or Wales
The last UK-wide television set-piece of the General Election will be a special edition of Question Time broadcast live from Leeds on Thursday April 30th.
A week before polling day, a Question Time Election Leaders Special will feature one by one Conservative leader David Cameron, Labour leader Ed Miliband and Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg.
The programme, hosted by David Dimbleby, will be broadcast on BBC One and BBC News Channel live from 8pm to 9.30pm.
Each of the leaders will separately face 30 minutes of questions posed by a studio audience with the usual Question Time format.
Later the same evening there will be three special programmes broadcast on BBC One in different parts of the UK, in which Nicola Sturgeon, Leanne Wood and Nigel Farage will each answer voters’ questions for half an hour.
On BBC One in Scotland, at 9.30pm Glenn Campbell will chair “Election 2015:Ask Nicola Sturgeon”, in which the SNP leader will take questions from an audience in Glasgow.
On BBC One in Wales, after the News at Ten, an audience in Cardiff will put questions to the Plaid Cymru leader in ”Election 2015 :Ask Leanne Wood”.
On BBC One in England, after the News at Ten, viewers will be able to see “Election 2015: Ask Nigel Farage”, chaired by Jo Coburn, in which the UKIP leader will take questions from an audience in Birmingham. The programme will also be shown later in the evening on BBC One in Wales.
All the programmes will also be broadcast on the BBC News Channel and on BBC Parliament.
Interesting chart of Scottish VI using subsamples and full national polls. It's then used to make some very dubious predictions (check out Orkney!) but never mind about that.
Interesting chart of Scottish VI using subsamples and full national polls. It's then used to make some very dubious predictions (check out Orkney!) but never mind about that.
Interesting chart of Scottish VI using subsamples and full national polls. It's then used to make some very dubious predictions (check out Orkney!) but never mind about that.
Interesting chart of Scottish VI using subsamples and full national polls. It's then used to make some very dubious predictions (check out Orkney!) but never mind about that.
What I find a bit weird about this whole journalism 2.0 thingy is you get reporting like this;
"Cameron said: “What we’re doing is taking the country’s leading expert on pensions, on savings, on financial education, Ros Altmann, and saying that if we’re re-elected, she’ll be at the heart of government.”
When did Cameron say this? To whom?
I can't remember him saying it. Has he even said it yet?
The lowest common denominator assumed by the newspapers is that we're all too thick to understand that words can be written down as well as spoken, so if he didn't speak the words it didn't happen, and thus they have to write that he spoke the words, even if he didn't even write them.
No: they're just retyping the press release. "The CEO said" is standard wording for providing a quote
I know that, but as an adult I'd prefer them to use "The press release states..." rather than confect something that hasn't happened.
Ros Altman as a minister for pensions. Yup wholly agree, 100%. Announcing before you're elected hmmm....
Remember what a mess Tory got into in 2010 with all the stories of General Dannatt and Stuart Rose getting jobs.
Given I would have thought 99% of the population won't have heard of this women, why even go there. It isn't like the Tories have snagged David Miliband to come and work for them.
Ros is well respected and has been a champion for older people on a range of issues beyond pensions - this is a canny move and indeed endorsement for the blues which may help with a significant 'slice' of the grey electorate.
Interesting chart of Scottish VI using subsamples and full national polls. It's then used to make some very dubious predictions (check out Orkney!) but never mind about that.
If SNP/Lab was a runner, but Tories had the most seats, would Miliband pass the chance, or go for it?
Risk either way. Labour could get annihilated in England in 2020...
Of course he goes for it, because in his heart he thinks he'll be a fantastic PM that people will love. (obviously he's wrong, but I'm certain he really thinks that)
The better question is what happens to the parties on the right during these five years, obviously Cameron is gone. The modernising wing the the tory party probably falls away. God only know what takes over, perhaps they retreat rightwards or have a deal with UKIP.
Who knows what runs from the right in 2020, but it's doubtful to be a sensitive, moderate tory party like we have today
Interesting chart of Scottish VI using subsamples and full national polls. It's then used to make some very dubious predictions (check out Orkney!) but never mind about that.
Interesting chart of Scottish VI using subsamples and full national polls. It's then used to make some very dubious predictions (check out Orkney!) but never mind about that.
Maybe Dave is regretting his gadflies comment now.
He said that in 2006, when UKIP were polling about 3% or so on a good day (and a good chunk of those will have died since!). The current 14% chose to become gadflies
Interesting chart of Scottish VI using subsamples and full national polls. It's then used to make some very dubious predictions (check out Orkney!) but never mind about that.
Maybe Dave is regretting his gadflies comment now.
AV landslide for the Right.
In Australia, perhaps....
Except it's ignorant to suggest UKIP voters are Tories on holiday. Many UKIP voters in an AV election would vote UKIP 1, Labour 2. Some would even vote Lib Dem 2.
To add 2 parties together is absurdly simplistic, if they were the same then they'd be the same party.
Maybe Dave is regretting his gadflies comment now.
AV landslide for the Right.
In Australia, perhaps....
Except it's ignorant to suggest UKIP voters are Tories on holiday. Many UKIP voters in an AV election would vote UKIP 1, Labour 2. Some would even vote Lib Dem 2.
To add 2 parties together is absurdly simplistic, if they were the same then they'd be the same party.
Up to a point, Lord Copper. There was some discussion today about there being three distinct strands of LibDem opinion, for example. Also, we see that real conservatives can exist in the same party as Ken Clarke.
So it's not as "absurdly simplistic" as all that. The three big parties plus the LibDems are all coalitions with vast internal differences which are currently 'added together'.
Comments
He is the safest Lib Dem of all.
A week before polling day, a Question Time Election Leaders Special will feature one by one Conservative leader David Cameron, Labour leader Ed Miliband and Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg.
The programme, hosted by David Dimbleby, will be broadcast on BBC One and BBC News Channel live from 8pm to 9.30pm.
Each of the leaders will separately face 30 minutes of questions posed by a studio audience with the usual Question Time format.
Later the same evening there will be three special programmes broadcast on BBC One in different parts of the UK, in which Nicola Sturgeon, Leanne Wood and Nigel Farage will each answer voters’ questions for half an hour.
On BBC One in Scotland, at 9.30pm Glenn Campbell will chair “Election 2015:Ask Nicola Sturgeon”, in which the SNP leader will take questions from an audience in Glasgow.
On BBC One in Wales, after the News at Ten, an audience in Cardiff will put questions to the Plaid Cymru leader in ”Election 2015 :Ask Leanne Wood”.
On BBC One in England, after the News at Ten, viewers will be able to see “Election 2015: Ask Nigel Farage”, chaired by Jo Coburn, in which the UKIP leader will take questions from an audience in Birmingham. The programme will also be shown later in the evening on BBC One in Wales.
All the programmes will also be broadcast on the BBC News Channel and on BBC Parliament.
http://corecursion.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/latest-scottish-poll-of-polls-for-uk_17.html
Both are around a hundred to a thousand to one but Con gain Perth, North Perthshire more likely than Lab Hold Dundee West
Election sign count in Romford:
Labour 0
UKIP 0
SNP 0
LD 0
Conservative (Rosindell) 50+
Christ on a bike.
The better question is what happens to the parties on the right during these five years, obviously Cameron is gone. The modernising wing the the tory party probably falls away. God only know what takes over, perhaps they retreat rightwards or have a deal with UKIP.
Who knows what runs from the right in 2020, but it's doubtful to be a sensitive, moderate tory party like we have today
The unionist tactical wheel of fortune has not been a happy one in WAK.
Edit: obviously not literally an endorsement from on high, but word of mouth amongst activists etc.
Survation: 51%
Populus: 47%
YouGov: 48%
Panelbase: 49%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2015_United_Kingdom_general_election#2015
Maybe Dave is regretting his gadflies comment now.
In Australia, perhaps....
To add 2 parties together is absurdly simplistic, if they were the same then they'd be the same party.
There was some discussion today about there being three distinct strands of LibDem opinion, for example. Also, we see that real conservatives can exist in the same party as Ken Clarke.
So it's not as "absurdly simplistic" as all that. The three big parties plus the LibDems are all coalitions with vast internal differences which are currently 'added together'.