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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boost for the Tories as the economy once again becomes the
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boost for the Tories as the economy once again becomes the top issue
Good for CON. Economy moves to top slot in YouGov's issues trackers – those facing the country and you/your family pic.twitter.com/BLiBpch67N
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Thought this might come up...
If true could swing the election for the Tories. Potential 3% late swing in the campaign to the Tories according to this polling.
Many years back I did some contracting for a trade union organisation. The work should have lasted about nine weeks or so, but supplier delays meant that it lasted longer. Because of the organisation's rules, anyone who worked for them for more than three months automatically became a full-time employee.
The result: with the work unfinished, my contract was ended. Which was fine; I had other work to do anyway, and if offered a full-time contract would have had to refuse and leave of my own accord.
Whilst this was not a zero-hours contact (although the definition of that seems slightly nebulous), to me it highlight one of the dangers of this proposed change.
BTW: it was an interesting place to work, with some great people in it. The work they did was absolutely vital.
As i recall, the PM called him in and said he didnt want to put a motion to the house without support from both sides, could he support it. Then miliband gave a series of requirements for labour to support, which the government did.
From what i remember, at the point the motion was put to the house, the understanding was that it would get Labour's support.
The PM was significantly diminished on that day, and the integrity of the leader of the opposition was destroyed for those who know what happened.
More to the point - how is this a vote winner?
There’s no problem with ZHC’s UNLESS the employer also says that the “employee” must always be available for work if required.
Hospitals and silver service waitresses have worked on them for years quite satisfactorily. “Can you do a shift this weekend?” No, sorry,” “OK” ... employer tries next name on the list.
I understand though that some fast food outlets insist that an employee must always be available, but can be sent home if the restuarant quietens down.
Could someone please explain to the Labour party that the vast majority of people who work in the UK, work for employers and the signatories of the Telegraph letter employ more than 500,000 of the workforce.
And Ed hasn't a clue:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/11507586/General-Election-2015-Labour-threatens-Britains-recovery-say-100-business-chiefs.html
Personally I suspect that both of the main parties' big moves overnight are vote losers, but they'll probably cancel each other out.
Meanwhile we have 2 inches of snow on the ground this morning and a blizzard has just started. Thankfully I only have to drive to the village station this afternoon.
High winds have damaged Silverstone's roof, but repairs shouldn't be a problem.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-northamptonshire-32141042
But I am not sure 100 Tories signing a letter to the press will have the effect that it had last time.
That said, the fact that voting intention is much the same illustrates the stability of the situation.
We look forward to the non-Lord`s marginal polls.If this shows no shift from previous,it`s game over for the Tories.
Which Labour figures will start to distance themselves from campaign. Y. Cooper for one seems to have been very quiet....
The problem comes in that some employers would just terminate the contract at 12 weeks. There does need to be a legal way for companies to take on short term staff to cover variations in workforce demand. Temporary work is often a good way to try out a person for a more permanent job.
ZHC are widely abused though. The first act of the company that took over cleaning, portering and domestic services at my hospital was to try to force all transferred staff onto these ZHCs. There is an issue to be tackled.
Is there anywhere in the UK outside of London that Labour are resonating.....
Could Ed please just STFU now on this subject?
Of course you won't listen, Labour never do and consequently it will cost them a majority and probably the entire election as a result.
Would be like 1992-1997 all over again.
A bunch of [moderated] holding the government hostage because they are obsessed with Europe.
That led to 13 years of a Labour government. We can't risk that again
What would be illegal would be the restaurant saying "you can't take any other jobs because we may need you to come into to work at some point in the future. But we won't pay you unless we call you in to work"
Also backed Cameron and Sturgeon on the outright.
With the exception of those on retainers you could add the vast majority of consultancies onto that list as quite often the work demand fluctuates in precisely the same way.
It's been weighted out.
Seven of the last nine have been Tory leads.
The reason abolishing exploitative ZHCs a vote-winner is that they work as a trap. You're looking for work, and will lose your benefit if you don't accept it. You're offered a deal whereby employer X says he'll sometimes employ you, when he needs you, and you must always be available. In practice, he uses you say 2 days out of 5. Your income is pathetic, but if you quit you're "voluntarily unemployed" and you aren't entitled to benefit. You're not allowed to take other work. How do you escape?
On a serious note, I wonder if Cameron would continue in coalition even if he had 326-336 seats?
Annoying as I'm holding Tory OM at the moment hoping for more Tory leads to sell it lower.
Is it too much to wish that Labour's campaign in this election goes as well as Scotland 2011..?
Any English politician could make the same valid point, so it does look as if the Barnett formula will be centre stage on Thursday. Could be interesting...
Seen that frequently here.
I am a company director and was one of the founders of the company. People like Mr Dudley and Mr Thiam do not speak for me. Taking big pay rises on the back of salary freezes, job cuts and fleecing customers is not the way to do things in my book.
A good start blown in one full page ad in the Telegraph. Whoever had the idea of getting 100 captains of industry to put their names to this must have been drinking too much Fosters.
They have effectively made Labour's point that we are not 'all in this together' and the Tories are the party for the rich.
Here is name NO 1 on the list followed by a recent article in the TELEGRAPH............
http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/mar/03/bps-bob-dudley-got-25-pay-rise-as-company-salaries-were-frozen
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/robert-colvile/11158607/Yes-CEOs-are-ludicrously-overpaid.-And-yes-its-getting-worse.html
Here's today's Mail on Mr Thiam from the Pru:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3020497/Men-Pru-share-huge-49m-payout-Pensions-firm-accused-greed-details-perks-senior-executives-revealed-days-shake-up.html
I couldn't figure out why Martin Freeman wasn't on that list, do you know ?
His problem is a) That he risks being outflanked by the goonish left and their publicity astutn machine - Greens, NUS, Occupidiots and so on, and b) That he and many of his MPs are owned by the rather extreme leaders of the big Trades Unions.
He needs to work out who TU members actually vote for (mainly not Labour), then reform the relationship.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2015/11366259/General-Election-2015-with-100-days-to-go-this-chart-should-scare-Ed-Miliband.html
Nick Clegg to join Grindr for election campaign
http://www.pinknews.co.uk/2015/04/01/nick-clegg-to-join-grindr-for-election-campaign/
Business leaders writing to papers in support of Labour = Producers
Simples.
"Last nights YG 2010:2015 vote ratios gave a implied 34.7-34.3 lead to the Tories.
It's been weighted out.
Seven of the last nine have been Tory leads."
You find ever more ingenious ways of finding Tory leads when the pollsters point the other way. Can you explain how Yougov managed to get this one so misleadingly wrong when all they needed to do was ask you?
(Makes sense if you've seen Love Actually)
Recall some months ago on PB that the press had found that both the Labour Party and some Unions were employing people on ZHC.
The problem is that most politicians and especially EdM have failed to realise that the world has moved on during the last 10+ years and has become a lot more competitive vis-a-vis the UK as well as becoming better skilled.
Full time employment with all benefits for all may be an ideal, but the reality is that if the UK cannot sell enough of its products and services to export markets, then it will not be able to borrow enough money to pay for energy, raw materials and all the textiles, electronics and plastics that it imports from the Far East.
In order to compete we have to improve both efficiency and skill sets and neither is a short term solution that can be fixed within five years after years of neglect and benign indifference.
Err.
The more I listen to Ed, the more I think it's the latter.
He has got Hollande written all over him, and I'd guess that we'd see rising prices, rising taxes and rising unemployment within a year of him being elected.
BP's BOB DUDLEY GOT 25% PAY RISE AS COMPANY SALARIES WERE FROZEN
"The group’s chief executive took home $12.7m (£8.3m) last year after slashing 300 jobs and failing to meet safety targets"
I wonder if Labour can get Cosby to work for them (if he isn't already)
But what is a goldilocks swing please??
Men from the Pru share huge £49m payout: Pensions firm accused of 'greed' after details of perks for senior executives are revealed days before shake-up
Mr Thiam who recently awarded himself an £11,000,000 bonus says
'VOTE TORY!! DONT ROCK THE BOAT'
http://www.camdennewjournal.com/candidatestrident#.VRufhdGAJ4I.twitter