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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP in Dudley N, where the Tories have had candidate troub
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP in Dudley N, where the Tories have had candidate troubles, might at 10-3 be a value bet
We’ve talked a lot about the CON-UKIP battleground but not about the LAB-UKIP one. Certainly the focus of the purples has been on the former but that doesn’t mean there are not opportunities with the latter.
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Result approx 1335.
Mark Reckless @MarkReckless 41m41 minutes ago
“@SamCoatesTimes: Gove is summoning individual Tory MPs for "fireside chats" re Bercow. Desperation creeping in?”>after saying was free vote
Douglas Carswell @DouglasCarswell 39m39 minutes ago
@MarkReckless @SamCoatesTimes think I might stand outside whips office and tweet which narks are hauled in....
& third?
David A @PassionateDave 26m26 minutes ago
'White Poor Thickos' so says Kelvin Mckenzie. What a bigoted bastard he is. #bbcdp
UKFront... @UKFront 25m25 minutes ago
UK to face rush of migrants as France opens migrant camp 'Sangatte 2' http://shr.gs/ybN2WUP
Awful move by the government and regardless of the result a final day in the HoC that Hague will long regret. Whatever possessed him?
Michael Gove has joined Hague on front bench. To keep him in check? Or moral support after hour long kicking he's just had?
William hague acting like the arrogant 16 year old he used to be and beloved by Thatcher.
You have to remember that these posters are not intended for people who bet on politics, or who are political activists - but instead for the general public who are more interested in the price of their rent, mortgages and their pay packet (thus taxes).
Cameron has build a small reputation on reckless HoC moves and this is no exception.
Result : Government loses
Bercow emotional.
Ladbrokes cut Ashfield to 1-5.
Doesn't show promise of good government in the next parliament without UKIP having a finger on the tiller.
Still a total own-goal from Hague. What an idiot.
Mr. K, only a finger? Not very ambitious
Graham Brady, chair of powerful 1922 committee, sitting next to Charles Walker, leading Tory criticism of Bercow plot. Ominous for gvt
The PM forgot that the opposition plus Tory rebels have greater numbers than he has.
(Not that I think this was the government's finest hour)
(But then, I do think the public ballot for speaker is a joke)
Betty Boothroyd is the standard by which modern speakers are measured I would say, very far from supine, plenty of fire, infallibly polite, utterly neutral.
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Not sure you'd say that if you'd served under her. You might be right on political neutrality, but she was not very popular with newer MPs, because she was perceived as having old-hand favourites who would be called again and again (also something said of Michael Martin). Bercow was much better with newcomers, as well as in my opinion being simply a nicer person - and I'm saying that although Betty and Michael were in my party and he wasn't.
The impression people get from the media (coloured by political assessments) doesn't always reflect what people think who've met those involved, and the scenes being played out in the Commons at the moment partly reflect the reality that people don't like to see someone they personally quite like being stitched up.
Speakers are normally elected with the support of the governing party and from the governing party. Boothroyd and Bercow were exceptions.
Bercow, a Conservative was elected with cross party support with minority Conservative support during a Labour government.
Dudley North was available at 25/1 at the time of publication of my Ukip hitlist in spring 2013, and was a tier 1 selection. Good luck to those who followed me in
Never underestimate the Tories' ability to shoot themselves in the foot even when things might be going well for them. It's either stupidity or hubris.
It's one reason why I think tha Labour are more likely to win in May than not.
Perhaps Mr Murphy is trying to drum up enough votes for a majority. But the only conclusion that seems to make sense, of sorts, is that, if the Tories get most seats but are still a minority, Labour are planning to let the Tories rule rather than vote them out with the assistance of the SNP; and Mr Murphy is trying to deflect the public blame in advance.
Any better ideas please??
He's a two faced pri*k.
The all party Procedure Committee recommended no change as the Conservative Chair noted in his emotional speech an hour ago. He also correctly shamed the government front bench.
Whoever thought it was a clever ruse in blue hq, needs to join ukip asap.
Bercow will be gone by the end of the year, IMO.
Probably not the wisest of moves to send the troops home with a government defeat.
But I have no doubt the tactical genius of it will become apparent soon (on PB at least)
@isam,did you get to Question David lammy yesterday ?
But even if he's an egomaniac amongst six hundred or so other egomaniacs, his office represents the Commons and shouldn't be mucked about with by the executive just because they don't like the particular individual holding the role.
Bercow is strengthened by the support of the House against a government that numerically should have won comfortably.
There is no mechanism to remove him, and he seems unlikely to do the honourable thing
Worse still I agree with today's vote to not change the system. The government completely ballsed this up and wasted valuable campaigning time on this rubbish.
After the fiasco of the European Arrest warrant vote now this, he's as inept as Crassus at Carrhae
The defeaning cheers from the Labour side really only serve to confirm that he is indeed "their" Speaker.
They can vote him out then or fatally damage him by having 200 odd MPs voting against him
The two Walsall seats are also very fertile for UKIP.
The same will happen to Bercow. It's just a matter of when and how bad the scandal is that does him in...
The new Father of the House will put the question when the HoC meets again. MP's may demur should they wish.
How many government ministers will lose their seats in the GE?
Today's trivial schoolyard stunt really knocks your faith in the competence of your team and for now would even be a wobble for me in calling out Reckless as a TPD.
It's that stupid.
If only, if only, it had been Madame Speaker Beckett.
My friend who I went with is a socialist and he asked him a question in the show and chatted with him in the pub next door afterwards. I had a chat w Matt Forde
It was a great show I thoroughly recommend going next time to all PBers. Doesn't matter who you vote for I anmsure you'd love it
Great impressions of Miliband and Farage in particular
Kinnock is the guest in May. April and June tbc
Reckless will always be a TPD.