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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The great national – constituency betting divide

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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    GeoffM said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    MaxPB said:

    So who exactly is in the five way debate?

    I count Clegg, Farage, Bennet, Leanne Wood and Sturgeon.

    Clegg Miliband, Farage, Bennet, Leanne Wood and Sturgeon.
    WHAT?!

    Why the hell would Ed take part in such a farcical debate? Why put himself on the same level as those minor parties?!? What the hell is Lucy Powell doing. Crosby has absolutely run rings around her.
    Is this the first time we have had a General Election where 2 of the party leaders aren't actually standing for election to Westminster?

    Not if you go back to the time that being in the Lords was unremarkable for a Prime Minister.

    And it's probably not unusual more recently than that either. It's just that the debates have turned the spotlight on the also-ran parties and we've noticed for the first time.
    Since devolution, it's normal for the Plaid and SNP leaders not to contest Westminster seats. In fact, I don't think either has since the Assembly and Parliament came into place. Before then, it'd depend on which parties you count. If you're excluding embryonic parties that later became significant, I think you'd have to go back to 1895 when Rosebery and Salisbury led the two main parties of the day.
    Yes, concur with all of that. We're only noticing it (and, as a result of the debates, considering the consequences) this time around as we've been fast and loose up until now in how the titles of participants in debates and the titles of the debates themselves have been characterised.

    With your exclusions taken on board it would be 1895. I am a scholar of 19thC politics rather than 20thC as my tutor did not consider anything after 1914 to be "history" which is why that particular period struck me as an obvious outer limit to @oxfordsimon's interesting observation.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.
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    saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Which bit of Cameron got everything he set out for, are you struggling with?
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    SMukesh said:

    Michael Green facing legal action.

    Ah go on, tell the full story...

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/mar/21/grant-shapps-dean-archer-legal-action-michael-green

    Not quite so dramatic as you make it sound.

    Disgraced ex-councillor thinks about talking to some lawyers.... that would be another way to present it!
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    rogerh said:

    One factor that the is difficult for the betting markets to factor in is the postal vote impact.Effectively there are two different elections-the postal one around mid April and the polling station one on May 7th.So the official campaign duration of 37 days is split in two halves.
    There is good reason to suppose that postal votes will increase as a proportion of total votes cast(more convenient for voters a safer option for the parties)
    It is not inconceivable that given a turnout of around 66% a third of electors wont vote, a third
    will vote by post and a third at polling stations.Given that postal votes tend to be returned almost immediately around half the votes in the GE could be determined by around 17-20th April.
    The implication is that the parties have to shift opinion in the space of around three weeks from now to influence the postal voters-a tall order.So a debate Aptil 30th may be only relevant to third of the electorate.

    Very true. I will be voting by post in the first timeframe you reference and not on the day.
    So I've only got 3 weeks to pick the bones out of my two options.
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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    With the debates,Miliband and Farage have played a bad hand well.

    They knew that Cameron was looking for any reason to sabotage the debates and Tory networks like ITV and Sky will bend backwards to accommodate him ,so they have agreed to make concessions so the debates will take place at all.

    This gives Miliband,Farage and Clegg a lot of airtime which they would otherwise not get.
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    saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    SMukesh said:

    With the debates,Miliband and Farage have played a bad hand well.

    They knew that Cameron was looking for any reason to sabotage the debates and Tory networks like ITV and Sky will bend backwards to accommodate him ,so they have agreed to make concessions so the debates will take place at all.

    This gives Miliband,Farage and Clegg a lot of airtime which they would otherwise not get.

    Yes a master stroke by End and no mistake.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Cameron held his nerve in a high stakes game.

    Ed folded like a cheap suit.
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    SMukesh said:

    With the debates,Miliband and Farage have played a bad hand well.

    They knew that Cameron was looking for any reason to sabotage the debates and Tory networks like ITV and Sky will bend backwards to accommodate him ,so they have agreed to make concessions so the debates will take place at all.

    This gives Miliband,Farage and Clegg a lot of airtime which they would otherwise not get.

    Blimey

    Do you actually believe that? Really?
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    Merde
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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    SMukesh said:

    This gives Miliband,Farage and Clegg a lot of airtime which they would otherwise not get.

    Which will be balanced by airtime for the others on their terms...

    You should probably stop now.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @londonstatto: @JohnRentoul Also winning: people who don't want the campaign reduced to three TV programmes.
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    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    No - he was just miles ahead in being able to negotiate and must be delighted with this mish-mash
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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    Scott_P said:

    SMukesh said:

    This gives Miliband,Farage and Clegg a lot of airtime which they would otherwise not get.

    Which will be balanced by airtime for the others on their terms...

    You should probably stop now.
    Yeah.Like an Andrew Marr show watched by noone.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    SMukesh said:

    With the debates,Miliband and Farage have played a bad hand well.

    They knew that Cameron was looking for any reason to sabotage the debates and Tory networks like ITV and Sky will bend backwards to accommodate him ,so they have agreed to make concessions so the debates will take place at all.

    This gives Miliband,Farage and Clegg a lot of airtime which they would otherwise not get.

    Farage in the opposition debate will be an interesting one. Not easy for him to pitch for the NHS and abolishing the bedroom tax on this platform.

    He will appear to be far and away the most right wing of the 5. It may not go down well in Northern cities.
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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    Scott_P said:

    SMukesh said:

    This gives Miliband,Farage and Clegg a lot of airtime which they would otherwise not get.

    Which will be balanced by airtime for the others on their terms...

    You should probably stop now.
    Would you like to challenge at £10 that the challengers debate on April 16th would have more viewers than the Question Time format on April 30th.
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,088
    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    One of them thinks that Ed made such a massive thing over the debates that Ed couldn't back down from any of them without losing face.
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    edited March 2015
    @Scott_P
    As long as it gets them on TV and the media discussing the various results, it is job done for the opposition, and a "Dave downer".
    The actual results of the debates make little real difference, unless someone plays a real blinder, or makes a super blunder.
    And no, I can't be arsed explaining the reasons yet again, so carry on as usual.
    ;)
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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
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    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    The Geek said he would debate anyone,anywhere,anytime..Thats what makes him a Geek...Cammo has tied him up in knots.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    No, it just looks that way from your clueless vantage point.
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited March 2015
    Smarmeron said:

    @Scott_P
    As long as it gets them on TV and the media discussing the various results, it is job done for the opposition, and a "Dave downer".
    The actual results of the debates make little real difference, unless someone plays a real blinder, or makes a super blunder.
    And no, I can't be arsed explaining the reasons yet again, so carry on as usual.
    ;)

    Which debate is remembered as a blinder? All the debates that I can think of were noted for their gaffes and blunders.

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    DairDair Posts: 6,108

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    You would think he must see some advantage.

    But what is it? I can't for the life of me think what. He will face the Alliance of Sturgeon, Bennett and Wood and be destroyed while needing to spend his own time attacking Farage (who won't be effective as he will be spending all his time concentrating on avoiding any accusations of sexism).

    Someone must see what Miliband is thinking here? Anyone?

    All I see is a potential Labour disaster.
  • Options
    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    No, it just looks that way from your clueless vantage point.
    Ignorance is bliss am sure
  • Options
    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684

    Smarmeron said:

    @Scott_P
    As long as it gets them on TV and the media discussing the various results, it is job done for the opposition, and a "Dave downer".
    The actual results of the debates make little real difference, unless someone plays a real blinder, or makes a super blunder.
    And no, I can't be arsed explaining the reasons yet again, so carry on as usual.
    ;)

    Which debate is remembered as a blinder? All the debates that I can think of were noted for their gaffes and blunders.

    "I agree with Nick". Clegg did pretty well out of the first debate then Dave shaded the second and third, but the first one, which had the highest ratings, caused the Cleggasm.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Dair said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    You would think he must see some advantage.

    But what is it? I can't for the life of me think what. He will face the Alliance of Sturgeon, Bennett and Wood and be destroyed while needing to spend his own time attacking Farage (who won't be effective as he will be spending all his time concentrating on avoiding any accusations of sexism).

    Someone must see what Miliband is thinking here? Anyone?

    All I see is a potential Labour disaster.
    Farage is quite capable of a gaffe too in this format. Very easy to be tripped into saying something stupid.
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    frpenkridgefrpenkridge Posts: 670
    Looks like swing back for the blues, unfortunately.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited March 2015
    Dair said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    You would think he must see some advantage.

    But what is it? I can't for the life of me think what. He will face the Alliance of Sturgeon, Bennett and Wood and be destroyed while needing to spend his own time attacking Farage (who won't be effective as he will be spending all his time concentrating on avoiding any accusations of sexism).

    Someone must see what Miliband is thinking here? Anyone?

    All I see is a potential Labour disaster.
    "Anytime, anywhere, anyplace" - having made such a song and dance about the debates (see PMQs ad passim), Ed probably had no choice but to concede to anything that was offered by the broadcasters..!
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    MaxPB said:

    Smarmeron said:

    @Scott_P
    As long as it gets them on TV and the media discussing the various results, it is job done for the opposition, and a "Dave downer".
    The actual results of the debates make little real difference, unless someone plays a real blinder, or makes a super blunder.
    And no, I can't be arsed explaining the reasons yet again, so carry on as usual.
    ;)

    Which debate is remembered as a blinder? All the debates that I can think of were noted for their gaffes and blunders.

    "I agree with Nick". Clegg did pretty well out of the first debate then Dave shaded the second and third, but the first one, which had the highest ratings, caused the Cleggasm.
    What if anything did Clegg say in the debate? "I agree with Nick" was more of a gaffe by the others.

    The Cleggasm was in anycase a phenomenon of the polling rather than the election. The final outcome was the same as the pre-debate polling. The LDs lost 5 seats too.
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    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Having outwitted the broadcasters over the debates, Cameron should find renegotiating our EU relationship a doddle!!
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,088
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    One of them thinks that Ed made such a massive thing over the debates that Ed couldn't back down from any of them without losing face.
    I think there are a lot of left wing voters unhappy with Ed for the principal reason that they think he's a loser and they want a winner. I suspect everything he does is seen through that prism. Personally I think the debates are unpredictable and I suspicious of anyone who thinks they know how it will all pan out. Last time Clegg got a huge boost after the first debate but then on election day it didn't really materialise. If I had to hhazard a guess I'd say Ed Miliband is most likely to be th biggest winner from the debates this time because he can hardly fail to improve upon his low ratings with the public. Even the Tories admit this to their media friends. But nothing is guaranteed.

    As for Cameron playing a blinder, it was fairly obvious he didn't want the debates at all. 7 way may be best for him but it's hardly a victory.
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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    MaxPB said:

    Smarmeron said:

    @Scott_P
    As long as it gets them on TV and the media discussing the various results, it is job done for the opposition, and a "Dave downer".
    The actual results of the debates make little real difference, unless someone plays a real blinder, or makes a super blunder.
    And no, I can't be arsed explaining the reasons yet again, so carry on as usual.
    ;)

    Which debate is remembered as a blinder? All the debates that I can think of were noted for their gaffes and blunders.

    "I agree with Nick". Clegg did pretty well out of the first debate then Dave shaded the second and third, but the first one, which had the highest ratings, caused the Cleggasm.
    And why was that? Because of Cleggs gimmicks. It was all... 'Good question Bill...' and 'To be honest Mary...' it was nothing to do with debating issues. Of all the 3 leaders in those debates Clegg had it easiest since he was not expected to be in government and could be all nice and cuddly.
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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
    Another bad cliche.

    I am guessing you have more left in the kitty.Let`s have them out.
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    GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323

    MaxPB said:

    Smarmeron said:

    @Scott_P
    As long as it gets them on TV and the media discussing the various results, it is job done for the opposition, and a "Dave downer".
    The actual results of the debates make little real difference, unless someone plays a real blinder, or makes a super blunder.
    And no, I can't be arsed explaining the reasons yet again, so carry on as usual.
    ;)

    Which debate is remembered as a blinder? All the debates that I can think of were noted for their gaffes and blunders.

    "I agree with Nick". Clegg did pretty well out of the first debate then Dave shaded the second and third, but the first one, which had the highest ratings, caused the Cleggasm.
    What if anything did Clegg say in the debate? "I agree with Nick" was more of a gaffe by the others.

    The Cleggasm was in anycase a phenomenon of the polling rather than the election. The final outcome was the same as the pre-debate polling. The LDs lost 5 seats too.
    Clegg did well because the debate framed him as part of a {Con, Lab, LD} set. The onyl way was up. An opposition debate is the opposite; the best Labour (on the assumption they're there?) is look like the biggest smaller party... not very helpful. UKIP, seemingly happy to take the outsider line and not move to the mainstream, might do fine.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193
    What polls are we expecting tonight?
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,088
    Dair said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    You would think he must see some advantage.

    But what is it? I can't for the life of me think what. He will face the Alliance of Sturgeon, Bennett and Wood and be destroyed while needing to spend his own time attacking Farage (who won't be effective as he will be spending all his time concentrating on avoiding any accusations of sexism).

    Someone must see what Miliband is thinking here? Anyone?

    All I see is a potential Labour disaster.
    Actually it might help Miliband to have Bennett and Wood there so he can stake the claim to moderate social democracy. I agree Stugeon is a good performer whilst Farage is anyone's guess. The whole thing strikes me as unpredictable. But the idea that David Cameron has played a strategic blinder when he has been trying to stop the debates happening seems daft. He's done his best to worm his way out of them but in the end had to accept a compromise.
  • Options

    What polls are we expecting tonight?

    YouGov, Opinium and Survation
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,054
    edited March 2015
    26 March Lab Con 67%
    2nd April UKIP Lab SNP Green PC Con LD 99%
    16 April Lab UKIP SNP Green PC 59%
    30 April LD Lab Con 75%


    % is % of current VI
    Is that right ?
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831

    Dair said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    You would think he must see some advantage.

    But what is it? I can't for the life of me think what. He will face the Alliance of Sturgeon, Bennett and Wood and be destroyed while needing to spend his own time attacking Farage (who won't be effective as he will be spending all his time concentrating on avoiding any accusations of sexism).

    Someone must see what Miliband is thinking here? Anyone?

    All I see is a potential Labour disaster.
    Actually it might help Miliband to have Bennett and Wood there so he can stake the claim to moderate social democracy. I agree Stugeon is a good performer whilst Farage is anyone's guess. The whole thing strikes me as unpredictable. But the idea that David Cameron has played a strategic blinder when he has been trying to stop the debates happening seems daft. He's done his best to worm his way out of them but in the end had to accept a compromise.
    He was happy to debate before the start of the campaign - so his compromise has been to move the debate by a few days. That is hardly a major defeat.

    In a couple of days time, the fuss over the process with have evaporated and performance in front of the cameras will be all that people will be concerned with.
  • Options
    saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    Grandiose said:

    MaxPB said:

    Smarmeron said:

    @Scott_P
    As long as it gets them on TV and the media discussing the various results, it is job done for the opposition, and a "Dave downer".
    The actual results of the debates make little real difference, unless someone plays a real blinder, or makes a super blunder.
    And no, I can't be arsed explaining the reasons yet again, so carry on as usual.
    ;)

    Which debate is remembered as a blinder? All the debates that I can think of were noted for their gaffes and blunders.

    "I agree with Nick". Clegg did pretty well out of the first debate then Dave shaded the second and third, but the first one, which had the highest ratings, caused the Cleggasm.
    What if anything did Clegg say in the debate? "I agree with Nick" was more of a gaffe by the others.

    The Cleggasm was in anycase a phenomenon of the polling rather than the election. The final outcome was the same as the pre-debate polling. The LDs lost 5 seats too.
    Clegg did well because the debate framed him as part of a {Con, Lab, LD} set. The onyl way was up. An opposition debate is the opposite; the best Labour (on the assumption they're there?) is look like the biggest smaller party... not very helpful. UKIP, seemingly happy to take the outsider line and not move to the mainstream, might do fine.
    Exactly, Ed has allowed himself to be framed as the biggest of the also rans. If he doesn't beat up the smaller kids he'll look like a loser.
  • Options
    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    One of them thinks that Ed made such a massive thing over the debates that Ed couldn't back down from any of them without losing face.
    As far as when the 5-way is taking place then if I were Cameron I would be out somewhere meeting the people and making a speech and looking prime ministerial and in control, not squabbling with a bunch of political midgets for the extremist vote.
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
    Another bad cliche.

    I am guessing you have more left in the kitty.Let`s have them out.
    Ooh well done. We need a Cliché Nazi on here. Great timing.
  • Options
    We can do this
  • Options
    No matter the result, rugby will be the winner today.

    No sorry, even I can't type that bollocks.

    Come on England
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    edited March 2015

    Dair said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    You would think he must see some advantage.

    But what is it? I can't for the life of me think what. He will face the Alliance of Sturgeon, Bennett and Wood and be destroyed while needing to spend his own time attacking Farage (who won't be effective as he will be spending all his time concentrating on avoiding any accusations of sexism).

    Someone must see what Miliband is thinking here? Anyone?

    All I see is a potential Labour disaster.
    Actually it might help Miliband to have Bennett and Wood there so he can stake the claim to moderate social democracy. I agree Stugeon is a good performer whilst Farage is anyone's guess. The whole thing strikes me as unpredictable. But the idea that David Cameron has played a strategic blinder when he has been trying to stop the debates happening seems daft. He's done his best to worm his way out of them but in the end had to accept a compromise.
    Correction, the Tories wanted to absolutely avoid putting Dave and Ed alone in the same room and they have achieved that goal. The other goal of avoiding having the debates completely was always going to be tougher, but again Dave is only in the room with Nige once and it includes the Greens/SNP/PC as well rather than the original proposal of 4, 4, 2 so that is probably a net gain as well though not as good as their original target of no debates.

    The biggest winner in this format is surely Dave and the biggest losers are probably Ed and Nige.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193

    What polls are we expecting tonight?

    YouGov, Opinium and Survation
    Thanks TSE. Wonder if there will be any Budget polling....
  • Options
    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    One of them thinks that Ed made such a massive thing over the debates that Ed couldn't back down from any of them without losing face.
    As far as when the 5-way is taking place then if I were Cameron I would be out somewhere meeting the people and making a speech and looking prime ministerial and in control, not squabbling with a bunch of political midgets for the extremist vote.
    If I was Cameron I would definitely not meet ordinary people in case a voter asks him why he was being such a coward.
  • Options
    saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245

    We can do this

    We need roger to proclaim France the winners to be sure.
  • Options

    What polls are we expecting tonight?

    YouGov, Opinium and Survation
    Thanks TSE. Wonder if there will be any Budget polling....
    I don't think we will with Opinium as the fieldwork began before the budget.

    We should see budget polling with YouGov and Survation.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    The scale of Cameron's victory in the debate war can be measured by the volume of whining from labour
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,054
    What's on the other side at the same time as these debates ?

    Might be a good chance to stick on a big movie or some such :)
  • Options
    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
    Another bad cliche.

    I am guessing you have more left in the kitty.Let`s have them out.
    Ooh well done. We need a Cliché Nazi on here. Great timing.
    Dave has outmanoeuvred Ed the same way Monty did to Rommel at the Second Battle of El Alamein.
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Scott_P said:

    The scale of Cameron's victory in the debate war can be measured by the volume of whining from labour

    Absolutely

    And they are doing a lot of it.

    Now all we need is for the DUP to win an injunction and the whole thing will be off and we can focus on real politics not a media event.
  • Options
    EPGEPG Posts: 6,090
    edited March 2015
    PB glossary
    Labour playing politics with Cameron debate participation = whining
    Conservatives playing politics with Cameron debate participation = strategic genius, 330 seats at GE 2015
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,976
    edited March 2015
    Eat your heart out Flightpath. THIS is how to Astroturf!!

    "Blow me thats an incredible victory by Cameron."

    "I continually underestimate this guy".

    "Bloody hell Downing St showed some nerve. This talk of being cowardly is just sour grapes."

    "p.s. I chatted to some people today about the budget & I seem to be alone with my misgivings"

    "This isn't the first time I've underestimated Cameron and daresay won't be the last. Love him or loathe him, he's prime ministerial."


    "Meantime what the blazers is going down with Labour's price in the markets? Talk about bear run."
  • Options
    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,088
    MaxPB said:

    Dair said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    You would think he must see some advantage.

    But what is it? I can't for the life of me think what. He will face the Alliance of Sturgeon, Bennett and Wood and be destroyed while needing to spend his own time attacking Farage (who won't be effective as he will be spending all his time concentrating on avoiding any accusations of sexism).

    Someone must see what Miliband is thinking here? Anyone?

    All I see is a potential Labour disaster.
    Actually it might help Miliband to have Bennett and Wood there so he can stake the claim to moderate social democracy. I agree Stugeon is a good performer whilst Farage is anyone's guess. The whole thing strikes me as unpredictable. But the idea that David Cameron has played a strategic blinder when he has been trying to stop the debates happening seems daft. He's done his best to worm his way out of them but in the end had to accept a compromise.
    Correction, the Tories wanted to absolutely avoid putting Dave and Ed alone in the same room which they have achieved that goal. The other goal of avoiding having the debates completely was always going to be tougher, but again Dave is only in the room with Nige once and it includes the Greens/SNP/PC as well rather than the original proposal of 4, 4, 2 so that is probably a net gain as well though not as good as their original target of no debates.

    The biggest winner in this format is surely Dave and the biggest losers are probably Ed and Nige.
    But Ed and Nigel would not be doing the challenger debate unless they thought they had something to gain from it. Unless that was a pre-condition to getting Cameron to agree to the other stuff.

    Yet again the Tories seem to be way over confident. You could argue that all this stuff creates a more presidential campaign which is better for Tory than Labour. But it's clear that the Tories have been wanting to deny Miliband as much publicity as possible. He will get his chance on TV free from the prism of the right wing press.
  • Options
    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    GeoffM said:

    GeoffM said:

    MaxPB said:

    Scott_P said:

    MaxPB said:

    So who exactly is in the five way debate?

    I count Clegg, Farage, Bennet, Leanne Wood and Sturgeon.

    Clegg Miliband, Farage, Bennet, Leanne Wood and Sturgeon.
    WHAT?!

    Why the hell would Ed take part in such a farcical debate? Why put himself on the same level as those minor parties?!? What the hell is Lucy Powell doing. Crosby has absolutely run rings around her.
    Is this the first time we have had a General Election where 2 of the party leaders aren't actually standing for election to Westminster?

    Not if you go back to the time that being in the Lords was unremarkable for a Prime Minister.

    And it's probably not unusual more recently than that either. It's just that the debates have turned the spotlight on the also-ran parties and we've noticed for the first time.
    Since devolution, it's normal for the Plaid and SNP leaders not to contest Westminster seats. In fact, I don't think either has since the Assembly and Parliament came into place. Before then, it'd depend on which parties you count. If you're excluding embryonic parties that later became significant, I think you'd have to go back to 1895 when Rosebery and Salisbury led the two main parties of the day.
    Yes, concur with all of that. We're only noticing it (and, as a result of the debates, considering the consequences) this time around as we've been fast and loose up until now in how the titles of participants in debates and the titles of the debates themselves have been characterised.

    With your exclusions taken on board it would be 1895. I am a scholar of 19thC politics rather than 20thC as my tutor did not consider anything after 1914 to be "history" which is why that particular period struck me as an obvious outer limit to @oxfordsimon's interesting observation.
    The fact that the SNP leader will be in the debates but will not be in Westminster but sitting in Edinburgh but is still seeking to influence the Labour party in a narrow sense and Westminster in a wider sense is a point which ought not to be lost on English voters.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    it's clear that the Tories have been wanting to deny Miliband as much publicity as possible.

    Not at all.

    Every time Ed is on telly the Labour poll rating drops
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,037
    EPG said:

    PB glossary
    Labour playing politics with Cameron debate participation = whining
    Conservatives playing politics with Cameron debate participation = strategic genius, 330 seats at GE 2015

    Quite right, only Labour's attempt at playing politics failed miserably.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193

    MaxPB said:

    Dair said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour friends of mine pretty irate over the debates. Mostly with Labour campaign for putting Ed into the den of ****s with the challengers.

    But surely Miliband wouldn't agree to it unless he felt there was some advantage to him in doing it?

    I'm pleasantly surprised by the latest proposals. A range of programmes and formats over a wide enough period so as not to take over the entire campaign.
    You would think he must see some advantage.

    But what is it? I can't for the life of me think what. He will face the Alliance of Sturgeon, Bennett and Wood and be destroyed while needing to spend his own time attacking Farage (who won't be effective as he will be spending all his time concentrating on avoiding any accusations of sexism).

    Someone must see what Miliband is thinking here? Anyone?

    All I see is a potential Labour disaster.

    The biggest winner in this format is surely Dave and the biggest losers are probably Ed and Nige.
    But Ed and Nigel would not be doing the challenger debate unless they thought they had something to gain from it. Unless that was a pre-condition to getting Cameron to agree to the other stuff.

    Yet again the Tories seem to be way over confident. You could argue that all this stuff creates a more presidential campaign which is better for Tory than Labour. But it's clear that the Tories have been wanting to deny Miliband as much publicity as possible. He will get his chance on TV free from the prism of the right wing press.
    Free from the prism of the right wing press - until the next day, when it will no doubt be wall to wall "point and laugh at Ed".....
  • Options
    GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323
    Scott_P said:

    it's clear that the Tories have been wanting to deny Miliband as much publicity as possible.

    Not at all.

    Every time Ed is on telly the Labour poll rating drops
    The exception is one or one, where DC is in danger of looking like a bully. Yes, that's a negative approach, but it's a real risk.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Grandiose said:

    The exception is one or one, where DC is in danger of looking like a bully. Yes, that's a negative approach, but it's a real risk.

    There is no one on one
  • Options
    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,088

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
    Another bad cliche.

    I am guessing you have more left in the kitty.Let`s have them out.
    Ooh well done. We need a Cliché Nazi on here. Great timing.
    Dave has outmanoeuvred Ed the same way Monty did to Rommel at the Second Battle of El Alamein.
    Do you actually believe this stuff you write. You keep telling us that Dave and George are strategic geniuses outmaneovuring Labour. Yet they couldn't win an election against Gordon Brown after 13 years of Labour government and a disastrous financial crisis. Fortunately for them Nick Clegg came along to save their political skin. They show no sign of winning this time in spite of Labour still being in the doghouse and choosing a leader the electorate find weird. Do you think that maybe, just maybe they aren't as good as you think?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684


    But Ed and Nigel would not be doing the challenger debate unless they thought they had something to gain from it. Unless that was a pre-condition to getting Cameron to agree to the other stuff.

    Yet again the Tories seem to be way over confident. You could argue that all this stuff creates a more presidential campaign which is better for Tory than Labour. But it's clear that the Tories have been wanting to deny Miliband as much publicity as possible. He will get his chance on TV free from the prism of the right wing press.

    I think the pre-condition is a possibility. Even then for Nige I can see there is an advantage to have a pop at Miliband and try and play up UKIP's working class concerns and do his cheeky chappie down the pub routine. I agree with my friend who thinks Ed made too big of an issue over the debates that he wasn't able to turn down any of them without losing face.

    For Ed I don't see any advantage in it, I just think he was backed into a corner by his earlier stance of "anywhere, any time, any debate" so couldn't turn it down.
  • Options
    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,088
    Scott_P said:

    it's clear that the Tories have been wanting to deny Miliband as much publicity as possible.

    Not at all.

    Every time Ed is on telly the Labour poll rating drops
    So why no 1-1 debate with Cameron?
  • Options
    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699

    Scott_P said:

    The scale of Cameron's victory in the debate war can be measured by the volume of whining from labour

    Absolutely

    And they are doing a lot of it.

    Now all we need is for the DUP to win an injunction and the whole thing will be off and we can focus on real politics not a media event.
    Whatever the pbtory loyalists say . as far as it has permeated the consciousness of the average voter , the meme is that Cameron is a chicken/coward and no amount of justification from you and your fellow tory apologists will change that however much you pat yourselves on the back in agreement .
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,439
    Roger said:

    Eat your heart out Flightpath. THIS is how to Astroturf!!

    "Blow me thats an incredible victory by Cameron."

    "I continually underestimate this guy".

    "Bloody hell Downing St showed some nerve. This talk of being cowardly is just sour grapes."

    "p.s. I chatted to some people today about the budget & I seem to be alone with my misgivings"

    "This isn't the first time I've underestimated Cameron and daresay won't be the last. Love him or loathe him, he's prime ministerial."


    "Meantime what the blazers is going down with Labour's price in the markets? Talk about bear run."

    It's good that Audreyanne has a worthy successor.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Scott_P said:

    Cameron held his nerve in a high stakes game.

    Ed folded like a cheap suit.

    Like you with our Farage debates bet!!
  • Options

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    .
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
    Another bad cliche.

    I am guessing you have more left in the kitty.Let`s have them out.
    Ooh well done. We need a Cliché Nazi on here. Great timing.
    Dave has outmanoeuvred Ed the same way Monty did to Rommel at the Second Battle of El Alamein.
    Do you actually believe this stuff you write. You keep telling us that Dave and George are strategic geniuses outmaneovuring Labour. Yet they couldn't win an election against Gordon Brown after 13 years of Labour government and a disastrous financial crisis. Fortunately for them Nick Clegg came along to save their political skin. They show no sign of winning this time in spite of Labour still being in the doghouse and choosing a leader the electorate find weird. Do you think that maybe, just maybe they aren't as good as you think?
    The Tories were leading before the financial crisis, and had leads of 28%.

    Believe it or not, the financial crisis helped Labour.

    You have a strange definition of win.

    They won the popular vote, comfortably, it was the vageries of the biased electoral system that denied them a majority.

    Lab 2005 lead of circa 3% = majority of 66 seats

    Con 2010 lead of circa 7% = not a majority.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited March 2015
    Roger said:

    Eat your heart out Flightpath. THIS is how to Astroturf!!

    "Blow me thats an incredible victory by Cameron."

    "I continually underestimate this guy".

    "Bloody hell Downing St showed some nerve. This talk of being cowardly is just sour grapes."

    "p.s. I chatted to some people today about the budget & I seem to be alone with my misgivings"

    "This isn't the first time I've underestimated Cameron and daresay won't be the last. Love him or loathe him, he's prime ministerial."


    "Meantime what the blazers is going down with Labour's price in the markets? Talk about bear run."

    Also managed to get banned as two people in a week and sneak back under the radar

    Fair play
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @MSmithsonPB: Tories ahead by 36-33 in latest Opinium Observer poll
  • Options
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
    Another bad cliche.

    I am guessing you have more left in the kitty.Let`s have them out.
    Ooh well done. We need a Cliché Nazi on here. Great timing.
    Dave has outmanoeuvred Ed the same way Monty did to Rommel at the Second Battle of El Alamein.
    Can you, perchance, think of a comparison based around the conflicts seen in Roman times?

    I believe Mr Dancer was looking for one recently without success.
  • Options
    compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371

    What polls are we expecting tonight?

    Does it matter or the results. For most on here whatever they say will be a stonking result for the Tories and be a disaster for EICIPM. eg Debate fiasco.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Labourpaul: Not sure that presentationally lumping Labour with all the fringe parties in one debate will do Ed any favours.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,037
    I'm on the phone with United, coincidence? I think not!
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,976
    FrankBooth

    "Do you actually believe this stuff you write."

    That's the most interesting comment on the thread. I know there's an election but do posters really believe the rubbish they've written on this thread? It's impossible to tell the spoofers from the paid staff.
  • Options
    GeoffM said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
    Another bad cliche.

    I am guessing you have more left in the kitty.Let`s have them out.
    Ooh well done. We need a Cliché Nazi on here. Great timing.
    Dave has outmanoeuvred Ed the same way Monty did to Rommel at the Second Battle of El Alamein.
    Can you, perchance, think of a comparison based around the conflicts seen in Roman times?

    I believe Mr Dancer was looking for one recently without success.
    I have, Dave = Scipio Africanus, Ed = Hannibal

    The Debates = The Battle of Zama
  • Options
    The Opinium Poll was AFTER the budget
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    FTP Thread

    I don't know for certain but I assume when @Dair was talking about apartheid in Scotland he was talking about Religious Schooling and its associated effects.
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Scott_P said:

    @Labourpaul: Not sure that presentationally lumping Labour with all the fringe parties in one debate will do Ed any favours.

    And Labourpaul is very right in this.

    Where is the upside?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    On one budget measure that has proved very popular, the first time buyer's ISA. It has really struck a chord with a lot of my friends who want to buy flats/houses, most just wish the government would increase the amount that can be saved per month and bring down the length of time it takes to maximise the return.

    A small policy, yes, but it speaks to a lot of generation rent and is finally a measure that shows that the Tories are not only on the side of old people and landlords.
  • Options
    RobD said:

    I'm on the phone with United, coincidence? I think not!
    Funny enough, I was on the Emirates website pricing up a trip as the poll came out.
  • Options
    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,088

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    .
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    n.
    Do you actually believe this stuff you write. You keep telling us that Dave and George are strategic geniuses outmaneovuring Labour. Yet they couldn't win an election against Gordon Brown after 13 years of Labour government and a disastrous financial crisis. Fortunately for them Nick Clegg came along to save their political skin. They show no sign of winning this time in spite of Labour still being in the doghouse and choosing a leader the electorate find weird. Do you think that maybe, just maybe they aren't as good as you think?
    The Tories were leading before the financial crisis, and had leads of 28%.

    Believe it or not, the financial crisis helped Labour.

    You have a strange definition of win.

    They won the popular vote, comfortably, it was the vageries of the biased electoral system that denied them a majority.

    Lab 2005 lead of circa 3% = majority of 66 seats

    Con 2010 lead of circa 7% = not a majority.
    Eh. It was the absurdity of the electoral system that saw Labour win in 2005 not the Tories fail in 2010. The Tories convinced 37% of the British people to support them in 2010 which didn't provide a majority of seats. They were lucky however that a party that had fought three elections to the left of Labour absurdly decided to form a 5 year coalition with the Tories.

    As for the financial crisis it should have helped the Tories as the main opposition party. However they revealed themselves as such a pair of shallow lightweights (as admitted by the then Bank of England Governor) that they couldn't take advantage.
  • Options
    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,088
    TSE - Eh. It was the absurdity of the electoral system that saw Labour win in 2005 not the Tories fail in 2010. The Tories convinced 37% of the British people to support them in 2010 which didn't provide a majority of seats. They were lucky however that a party that had fought three elections to the left of Labour absurdly decided to form a 5 year coalition with the Tories.

    As for the financial crisis it should have helped the Tories as the main opposition party. However they revealed themselves as such a pair of shallow lightweights (as admitted by the then Bank of England Governor) that they couldn't take advantage.
  • Options
    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    edited March 2015
    Lol.

    Although the Tories have yet to break above 36 in any of the polls.
  • Options
    compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    When Labour go back in front in the next Opinium poll, it will be ignored.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139

    GeoffM said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
    Another bad cliche.

    I am guessing you have more left in the kitty.Let`s have them out.
    Ooh well done. We need a Cliché Nazi on here. Great timing.
    Dave has outmanoeuvred Ed the same way Monty did to Rommel at the Second Battle of El Alamein.
    Can you, perchance, think of a comparison based around the conflicts seen in Roman times?

    I believe Mr Dancer was looking for one recently without success.
    I have, Dave = Scipio Africanus, Ed = Hannibal

    The Debates = The Battle of Zama
    So Ed still has a long career ahead of him?
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Alistair said:

    FTP Thread

    I don't know for certain but I assume when @Dair was talking about apartheid in Scotland he was talking about Religious Schooling and its associated effects.

    I saw the comment and the question too. My interpretation was sectarianism and I thought the reference germinated from an earlier thread diversion into football. Which would be one of your "associated effects", I guess?
  • Options
    kle4 said:

    GeoffM said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    GeoffM said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    MaxPB said:

    SMukesh said:

    It is really funny all these Tories predicting ED IS going to be hammered when it`s their leader who is the chicken.

    Cameron ran scared of the debates for a reason,ladies!

    Yes, for this exact reason. You literally don't understand how politics works.
    I know enough to know it`s not a good idea to have 6 party leaders calling you chicken before the election.
    Again, the "challengers" debate includes the opposition and only the opposition. Also, since Dave, Nige and Nick get less screen time than Ed (one less appearance for Dave and Nige, two less for Nick) they will be able to make that up elsewhere for political balance reasons.

    Honestly, you just don't get this politics malarkey. Dave has won. Ed has lost. He is going into a room with 4 anti-establishment parties as the one defending the establishment. Dave and Nick get to sit at home laughing while they tuck into a nice meal and chortle into their beers.
    Seems like you know there is everything to know about politics.
    Well he's definitely medalling in this particular exchange between the two of you.
    And that`s why he needs another idiot to blunder in.
    It's true about blundering in, and I apologise for that.

    There were already two idiots in the discussion.
    And, against the odds, both of them were you.
    Another bad cliche.

    I am guessing you have more left in the kitty.Let`s have them out.
    Ooh well done. We need a Cliché Nazi on here. Great timing.
    Dave has outmanoeuvred Ed the same way Monty did to Rommel at the Second Battle of El Alamein.
    Can you, perchance, think of a comparison based around the conflicts seen in Roman times?

    I believe Mr Dancer was looking for one recently without success.
    I have, Dave = Scipio Africanus, Ed = Hannibal

    The Debates = The Battle of Zama
    So Ed still has a long career ahead of him?
    Yes, after a humiliating defeat (I hope)
This discussion has been closed.