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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The last budget of the 2010-2015 parliament

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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Class 2 NI contributions scrapped - I guess this means some of the benefit/pension rules have to be re-written. Would like some explanation of how you get rid of the annual tax return.
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    I've changed my mind, George Osborne will be the next Tory leader

    you change your mind faster than you change your shoes
    It's says so much about the quality at the top of the Tory party, that Ozzy wasn't in top 3 or 4 to be next leader.

    Apologies if this post has given you apoplexy.
    Not in the least TSE, the budget has still to pass the falling apart in 24 hours test.

    Everything comes to him who waits :-)
    Yup, budgets that get cheered on the day usually are the worst.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Rise of 40% rate above inflation.

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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I totally agree -it's a blinder. Funny, full of great stats and popular stuff.

    Budgets rarely really shift votes on polling day - I think this may.

    I cant think of a more brilliant and political budget speech. Amazing

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    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626

    Would like some explanation of how you get rid of the annual tax return.

    Me too...
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,653
    Scott_P said:

    @PaulBrandITV: Labour look genuinely miserable. Arms crossed. Stoney-faced. Chancellor has left them glum. 'Cheer up Labour' shout Tories #Budget2015

    Still awaiting ICM data tables, but the part-ELBOW for polls so far this week excluding ICM puts Labour 0.8% ahead, compared with "0.0% growth" for week-ending 15th March!
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,053

    £10,800 this year then £11,000 next: personal allowance

    Higher Rate threshold rises above inflation

    Labour can use that to get the £20-£40kers vote ;p
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Smarmeron said:

    @Plato
    You feel no ones pain but your own Plato.

    translation = only us on the left get to decide who feels pain for others and oh, when we feel pain we really, really mean it.



    To quote Tony B "we are just going to have to trust you on this one"

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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,803

    I've changed my mind, George Osborne will be the next Tory leader

    you change your mind faster than you change your shoes
    It's says so much about the quality at the top of the Tory party, that Ozzy wasn't in top 3 or 4 to be next leader.

    Apologies if this post has given you apoplexy.
    Not in the least TSE, the budget has still to pass the falling apart in 24 hours test.

    Everything comes to him who waits :-)
    Yup, budgets that get cheered on the day usually are the worst.
    Even I don't think GO could be that useless given the timing of this budget.
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    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    flexible ISA good news
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,607
    MaxPB said:

    The look on Vince's face with the £10 with the Tories comment.

    Vince couldn't even bring himself to nod let alone smile during PMQs when the PM described the employment situation. I mean he's business secretary so he should at least have acknowledged it, perhaps even be happy about it.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,053
    This is loooooong...
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Pulpstar said:

    YORKSHIRE!

    I'm telling you now, the election will be decided by Pudsey.
    I know he is a cute dog, but that seems a stretch!! :-)
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    *giggles*

    *gets out horse-whip*
    Floater said:

    Smarmeron said:

    @Plato
    You feel no ones pain but your own Plato.

    translation = only us on the left get to decide who feels pain for others and oh, when we feel pain we really, really mean it.



    To quote Tony B "we are just going to have to trust you on this one"

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,053
    55 minute sellers won't be happy !
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    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    Help to buy ISA - interesting.

    Personal savings allowance!
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    Tax on savings cut! Wonderful news.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Help to buy ISA sounds like a gimmicky rabbit.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @gabyhinsliff: This is now the giveaway-iest 'no giveaways' budget I can ever remember
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    BenMBenM Posts: 1,795

    Steve Fisher retweeted
    Fraser Nelson ‏@FraserNelson 2m2 minutes ago
    Growth was good last year, will be okay in years to come. But overall? The slowest recovery in history #Budget2015

    Prof Fisher says slowest recovery in history

    Try again.
    A large chunk of the economy was destroyed by the recession. A large chunk Brown thought was permanent and could be milked was destroyed by his incompetence.
    All recessions destroy value in the economy. Then the economy recovers, usually quite quite quickly.

    This one is the exception. Osborne is the exception.
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    TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    The look on Vince's face with the £10 with the Tories comment.

    Vince couldn't even bring himself to nod let alone smile during PMQs when the PM described the employment situation. I mean he's business secretary so he should at least have acknowledged it, perhaps even be happy about it.
    Retirement beckons for Vince....
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    I made that 57 mins long
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    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083
    The flexible ISA idea looks rather like a neat extra tax relief for the rich (and an opportunity to make a little bit of money on a 3 day loan). Surely you just invest up to your full allowance on 4 Apr in year 1, and take it out on 6 Apr, next year put in the same amount plus an additional year's allowance on 4 Apr in year 2... and so on. So basically those with access to liquidity can build up an age-related ISA allowance ready for the day that they have money to invest.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193
    Election winning budget? Hmmmm...... Not sure.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,803
    MaxPB said:

    Tax on savings cut! Wonderful news.

    given interest rates, that must cost the Treasury all of £2.50 next year.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    He's very talented though.

    Pudsey = https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCcSDZ_ando - and he has his own movie deal... cripes!
    Floater said:

    Pulpstar said:

    YORKSHIRE!

    I'm telling you now, the election will be decided by Pudsey.
    I know he is a cute dog, but that seems a stretch!! :-)
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Help to buy ISA - basically it is tax relief on saving for a deposit on your home.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    Why does the BBC get the Welsh windbag on for special events rather than the far more capable Andrew Neil?
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,803

    I made that 57 mins long

    Are you talking to you wife ?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,053

    I made that 57 mins long

    How many times did he say "Tax" though
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    weejonnie said:

    Help to buy ISA - basically it is tax relief on saving for a deposit on your home.

    I assume this is 'lapin dans le chapeau'
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    SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @Floater
    It's called "empathy", something you and Plato will need to look up in a dictionary, because it is an alien concept for both of you.
    :)
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Got to keep that housing bubble inflated.
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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    Plato said:

    *giggles*

    *gets out horse-whip*

    Floater said:

    Smarmeron said:

    @Plato
    You feel no ones pain but your own Plato.

    translation = only us on the left get to decide who feels pain for others and oh, when we feel pain we really, really mean it.



    To quote Tony B "we are just going to have to trust you on this one"

    My favourite cop show was the 'dead eyed' ''Sledgehammer''. 'Trust me I know what I'm doing'
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684

    MaxPB said:

    Tax on savings cut! Wonderful news.

    given interest rates, that must cost the Treasury all of £2.50 next year.
    Indeed. It will be a very welcome policy and encourage saving, but cost basically nothing to implement.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,411
    edited March 2015
    Is that budget going to change many votes? I can't see anything mega.

    All the ISA stuff and reduction on tax on saving etc is very nice, but I can't see that many people going well I was going to vote Labour, but have to vote Tory now because of it.

    I guess the idea from the Tories is to present Tories as safe pair of hands, don't risk the recovery with Labour....but I don't know, if you were going to vote Labour given Brown's management of economy 2000-2010 (with Miliband and Balls assistance), you don't know much about it and/or care about how they ran the economy.
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    Pulpstar said:

    I made that 57 mins long

    How many times did he say "Tax" though
    I couldn't keep count.
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    TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    Here's Angry Ed.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Election winning budget? Hmmmm...... Not sure.

    No rabbit.
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    BenMBenM Posts: 1,795
    Not sure that is going to have the impact the Tories were hoping for.
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    Pulpstar said:

    I made that 57 mins long

    How many times did he say "Tax" though
    There were certainly a lot of "million" mentions.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,053

    Pulpstar said:

    I made that 57 mins long

    How many times did he say "Tax" though
    I couldn't keep count.
    Shit creek or just couldn't keep count 90something ?
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    God, that was dull.

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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Ed refusing to believe the ONS.

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    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I made that 57 mins long

    How many times did he say "Tax" though
    I couldn't keep count.
    Shit creek or just couldn't keep count 90something ?
    Is more I forgot, I was too busy laughing at the jokes.
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    FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    MaxPB said:

    Why does the BBC get the Welsh windbag on for special events rather than the far more capable Andrew Neil?

    He is the go-to leftie.

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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193
    Ed's telling a lie about people being worse off under this Govt., in spite of numbers given by the Chancellor. Maybe he just couldn't re-write his script whilst on his feet.....

    Trust fund and Bullingdon. Oh dear....
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    Election winning budget? Hmmmm...... Not sure.

    I agree .... just a tad dull.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,868
    Looks like Osborne has gone for neutering opposition attack lines on the Tories, and spreading around benefits to marginal Tory seats in the SW, Wales and the North. Presumably to give them something from the long-term economic plan to sell to constituents.

    A few expected tweaks to ISAs, pensions and tax allowances. National insurance simplification will help with jobs.

    Most interesting what he didn't annouce: he's left an awful lot of extra cash/spending room for election commitments by reducing the cuts from £50bn to £30bn, and the 2019/20 surplus down from £23bn to £7bn.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    BenM said:

    Not sure that is going to have the impact the Tories were hoping for.

    Steady as she goes. I think it will entrench the current expectations of Con most seats but not win them the election.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,788
    edited March 2015
    Sam Coates of the times makes the budget 58 mins and 58 secs long
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,380

    Would like some explanation of how you get rid of the annual tax return.

    Me too...
    I think he means that there will be a website with input from different sources which you can update any time you want, rather than once a year.

    The statement seems a bit meh in general - lots of small things but I doubt if anyone will remember much by next week. Arguably he'd have been better advised to go for one major thing rather than 1p off beer etc.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,223
    MaxPB said:

    Why does the BBC get the Welsh windbag on for special events rather than the far more capable Andrew Neil?

    I really hate that. On the plus side it gives Andrew Neil the chance to look into the budget without the pressure of the presenting a show.
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    JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    Wow the government really is desperate to keep house prices unaffordable aren't they?

    Astonishing news about giving people money to pay for a deposit. Terrible, terrible idea.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,607
    edited March 2015
    Brilliant - EdM now arguing for less taxes

    (edit: fewer taxes?)
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193
    TGOHF said:

    Election winning budget? Hmmmm...... Not sure.

    No rabbit.
    Relying on steady-as-she-goes.....

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    TGOHF said:

    Election winning budget? Hmmmm...... Not sure.

    No rabbit.
    I think a rabbit would have killed the 'sensible / long term plan' narrative. We got a series of sensible, popular measures but nothing gimmicky. I like.

    (...and Ozzy has some great digs at Ed...which is always worth a laugh...)
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,411
    The Labour leader says it's astonishing that the hour-long Budget statement didn't include a mention of the NHS or other vital public services.
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    BenMBenM Posts: 1,795

    Ed's telling a lie about people being worse off under this Govt., in spite of numbers given by the Chancellor. Maybe he just couldn't re-write his script whilst on his feet.....

    Trust fund and Bullingdon. Oh dear....

    "in spite of the numbers given by the Chancellor..."

    LOL
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,868
    weejonnie said:

    Help to buy ISA - basically it is tax relief on saving for a deposit on your home.

    I find these a bit silly. It just pushes up prices and the deposit needed. More homes is what's needed.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,607
    "The tax the tories love to raise?!"

    Has the world gone mad?
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    TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    Radio 4 have cut Miliband off after 2 minutes.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    "Bullingdon and Trust Funds"
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,653
    edited March 2015
    LOL! but Graphic image!

    twitter.com/Grabcocque/status/578187531461763072
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    BenM said:

    Ed's telling a lie about people being worse off under this Govt., in spite of numbers given by the Chancellor. Maybe he just couldn't re-write his script whilst on his feet.....

    Trust fund and Bullingdon. Oh dear....

    "in spite of the numbers given by the Chancellor..."

    LOL
    The official statistics of the nation. Either Labour accept them or they don't. If they don't then it makes them look petty because it is telling a story the don't want to hear.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,053
    Again No sound, but Ed Miliband seems better at these responses than Balls.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,411

    Ed's telling a lie about people being worse off under this Govt., in spite of numbers given by the Chancellor. Maybe he just couldn't re-write his script whilst on his feet.....

    Trust fund and Bullingdon. Oh dear....

    No, it will just be that is what he had prepared on his crib sheet and as we have seen Ed doesn't do thinking on his feet very well. He has done this things loads of times at PMQ's, he has something prepped and then can't adjust.
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    GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323

    Would like some explanation of how you get rid of the annual tax return.

    Me too...
    I think he means that there will be a website with input from different sources which you can update any time you want, rather than once a year.

    The statement seems a bit meh in general - lots of small things but I doubt if anyone will remember much by next week. Arguably he'd have been better advised to go for one major thing rather than 1p off beer etc.
    It was a very straightforward budget.

    On the annual return point, it is easier to imagine for small businesses that have live, documented accounts. From what the Chancellor said I imagine these can be ported to your tax.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,935
    Official ONS figures show people are worse off.

    GO invents a different measure.

    Couldn't make it up.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,607
    edited March 2015
    Pulpstar said:

    Again No sound, but Ed Miliband seems better at these responses than Balls.

    You think? I was rather hoping for some coherent response from EdB, actually.

    This is rambling and, importantly, has no narrative. It's all over the shop.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,959
    edited March 2015
    From where I'm sitting absolutely nothing to either prevent the impending Lib-Dem wipeout or move the polls towards the Tories...

    Summary: Worthy But Pointless?
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    GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323
    Miliband has a decent "out of step with ordinary families" line, but beyond that he is faltering (other than repeating it). Some mention of VAT, which wasn't mentioned in the budget...
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited March 2015
    Full text here (might not exactly match what he said, but should be very close indeed):

    https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-george-osbornes-budget-2015-speech

    'Tax' 84

    'Million' 29

    'Billion' 29
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    weejonnie said:

    Help to buy ISA - basically it is tax relief on saving for a deposit on your home.

    Supposing I just sold my house that I owned in my sole name, and have something like £50k after paying the mortgage. Now imagine that my wife, who I married after I bought the house, has never owned a home. Will Osborne give her £12.5k for saving £50k towards her first home? Entirely hypothetical, like.
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    I think the house deposit ISA is interesting....(for one of my kids). Want to see the deets on that one.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,411
    edited March 2015
    I wonder where Labour have got this idea Tories want to ramp up VAT even further...somebody leaking or just scaremongering. It seems to have come out of nowhere today, rather than the CUTTTSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS attack.
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    weejonnie said:

    Help to buy ISA - basically it is tax relief on saving for a deposit on your home.

    I find these a bit silly. It just pushes up prices and the deposit needed. More homes is what's needed.
    Oh I agree - or reduce the rate that people are coming into the UK. But neither George nor Ed will look at it that way.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,053
    TOPPING said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Again No sound, but Ed Miliband seems better at these responses than Balls.

    You think? I was rather hoping for some coherent response from EdB, actually.

    This is rambling and, importantly, has no narrative. It's all over the shop.
    I have no idea if it's any good or not, but Miliband doesn't go redder than a beetroot :D
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    JEOJEO Posts: 3,656

    Charles said:

    @alanbrooke

    I sat next to someone at supper last night who is not a fan of politicians as a whole.

    But he said George had popped over for lunch last week and was really very impressive. Absolutely on top of his brief and everyone else's as well: and really answered the questions, thoughtfully and in detail. He was very very impressed.

    ...He then contrasted him explicitly with a number of other (former) Cabinet rank politicians who we both knew very well... decidedly in George's favour.

    /trollalanbrooke

    Bankers think George is great, no surprise, they don't actually work for a living.

    But when Richard Nabavi says Osborne is a failure, then you know the Tories are struggling
    Many of my friends are bankers and they work longer hours than anyone I know.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I loved the 'dead fish eyes' of the retired dirty cop in Breaking Bad - Mike? He's in Better Call Saul now and very good. After a verrrrrrrry slow start that spin-off is into its stride a la Breaking Bad quality.

    Plato said:

    *giggles*

    *gets out horse-whip*

    Floater said:

    Smarmeron said:

    @Plato
    You feel no ones pain but your own Plato.

    translation = only us on the left get to decide who feels pain for others and oh, when we feel pain we really, really mean it.



    To quote Tony B "we are just going to have to trust you on this one"

    My favourite cop show was the 'dead eyed' ''Sledgehammer''. 'Trust me I know what I'm doing'
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,935
    Excellent response from Ed.

    Tory backbenchers complete disrespect
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Radio 4 have cut Miliband off after 2 minutes.

    Not sure Ed is waving here. Now quoting a Labour councillor.

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    Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,176
    How will the £1,000 tax free savings interest work for basic rate taxpayers (and higher rate taxpayers below £100k pa who don't, thusfar, get sent a tax return)? Either banks will simply not deduct tax on anybody's interest (meaning the above mentioned who do earn more than £1k in interest have to fill in a tax return), or they will continue at 20% (meaning everyone then has to claim it back, to the limit of their eligibility)?

    Isn't this a logistical nightmare just unleashed?

    Why not scrap all tax on savings?
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    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    Official ONS figures show people are worse off.

    GO invents a different measure.

    Couldn't make it up.

    Or more precisely, he used the internationally recognised measure as recommended by the OECD, but you version sounded more fun.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,607
    The sooner Lindsay Hoyle takes over from Bercow the better, btw.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Turnip ! Ching !

    Oh Turpin.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,053

    Full text here (might not exactly match what he said, but should be very close indeed):

    https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/chancellor-george-osbornes-budget-2015-speech

    'Tax' 84

    'Million' 29

    'Billion' 29

    +£10.90 profit for me, +£48 for you :)
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    BenMBenM Posts: 1,795

    Official ONS figures show people are worse off.

    GO invents a different measure.

    Couldn't make it up.

    Indeed. Where did he get the 5% rise in GDP per Capita stat? No official source.

    Utter fabrication. Some of Osborne's claims - particularly the debt falling as % of GDP - will be ripped apart.

    Got to love the credulity of Tory pom pom wavers like Flightpath.
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    GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323

    How will the £1,000 tax free savings interest work for basic rate taxpayers (and higher rate taxpayers below £100k pa who don't, thusfar, get sent a tax return)? Either banks will simply not deduct tax on anybody's interest (meaning the above mentioned who do earn more than £1k in interest have to fill in a tax return), or they will continue at 20% (meaning everyone then has to claim it back, to the limit of their eligibility)?

    Isn't this a logistical nightmare just unleashed?

    Why not scrap all tax on savings?

    There must be a handful of people who receive more than £1,000 in savings income but do not already submit a tax return.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,411
    edited March 2015
    Terrorist Attack.....

    At least seven foreign tourists and a Tunisian have been killed after gunmen targeted a museum in the Tunisian capital, officials say.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-31941672
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,868
    MaxPB said:

    BenM said:

    Not sure that is going to have the impact the Tories were hoping for.

    Steady as she goes. I think it will entrench the current expectations of Con most seats but not win them the election.
    Either the Lib Dems vetoed a lot of stuff, or the Tories decided to keep their powder dry. Maybe they wanted to create wiggle room for purely party political annoucements once parliament dissolves, and to put in their manifesto.

    Probably a bit of both.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,193

    MaxPB said:

    BenM said:

    Not sure that is going to have the impact the Tories were hoping for.

    Steady as she goes. I think it will entrench the current expectations of Con most seats but not win them the election.
    Either the Lib Dems vetoed a lot of stuff, or the Tories decided to keep their powder dry. Maybe they wanted to create wiggle room for purely party political annoucements once parliament dissolves, and to put in their manifesto.

    Probably a bit of both.
    That's what I was thinking....
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    I wonder where Labour have got this idea Tories want to ramp up VAT even further...somebody leaking or just scaremongering. It seems to have come out of nowhere today, rather than the CUTTTSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS attack.

    Yeah, it's odd isn't it ? It's not even like they've done it before or anything.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    BenM said:

    Steve Fisher retweeted
    Fraser Nelson ‏@FraserNelson 2m2 minutes ago
    Growth was good last year, will be okay in years to come. But overall? The slowest recovery in history #Budget2015

    Prof Fisher says slowest recovery in history

    Try again.
    A large chunk of the economy was destroyed by the recession. A large chunk Brown thought was permanent and could be milked was destroyed by his incompetence.
    All recessions destroy value in the economy. Then the economy recovers, usually quite quite quickly.

    This one is the exception. Osborne is the exception.
    BenM:

    Please go away and research into the difference between a cyclical recession (caused by over-investment) and one caused by a gumming up of the financial system.

    And then come back and explain to us why this time it's different.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,959



    Why not scrap all tax on savings?

    That could have been a "game changer" and would have made sense!

    Maybe the Lib-Dems blocked it! ;)
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    EdM really needs a voice coach - he sounds either desperate, 16yrs old or shouty door-slamming.

    It's his most unattractive feature. It's all projected from the back of his throat, not his diaphragm. After all this time, one would think he'd have fixed this habit.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    A 'steady as you go' budget is politically and economically exactly correct, given that things are going so well.

    The election hinges on whether voters are daft enough to throw it all away.
This discussion has been closed.