I'm expecting the post shamelessly political budget of all time.
Oh and first
Shamelessly political budgets are usually disastrous for those delivering them; they usually fall apart within 48 hours and sometimes (see G Brown) within 48 minutes.
I'm expecting the post shamelessly political budget of all time.
Oh and first
Shamelessly political budgets are usually disastrous for those delivering them; they usually fall apart within 48 hours and sometimes (see G Brown) within 48 minutes.
That's my fear.
I was looking at the polling throughout this parliament, and the 2012 budget was what really buggered the Tories.
I'm expecting the post shamelessly political budget of all time.
Oh and first
Shamelessly political budgets are usually disastrous for those delivering them; they usually fall apart within 48 hours and sometimes (see G Brown) within 48 minutes.
That's my fear.
I was looking at the polling throughout this parliament, and the 2012 budget was what really buggered the Tories.
What was the reaction to that budget like on here ?
I'm expecting the post shamelessly political budget of all time.
Oh and first
Shamelessly political budgets are usually disastrous for those delivering them; they usually fall apart within 48 hours and sometimes (see G Brown) within 48 minutes.
That's my fear.
I was looking at the polling throughout this parliament, and the 2012 budget was what really buggered the Tories.
Well, many Tory supporters of this parish do keep confidently reminding us that Osborne's budgets can be gamechangers.
I'm expecting the post shamelessly political budget of all time.
Oh and first
Shamelessly political budgets are usually disastrous for those delivering them; they usually fall apart within 48 hours and sometimes (see G Brown) within 48 minutes.
That's my fear.
I was looking at the polling throughout this parliament, and the 2012 budget was what really buggered the Tories.
What was the reaction to that budget like on here ?
I think you can't say we're all in it together and cut the higher rate of tax.
I'm expecting the post shamelessly political budget of all time.
Oh and first
Shamelessly political budgets are usually disastrous for those delivering them; they usually fall apart within 48 hours and sometimes (see G Brown) within 48 minutes.
That's my fear.
I was looking at the polling throughout this parliament, and the 2012 budget was what really buggered the Tories.
Well, many Tory supporters of this parish do keep confidently reminding us that Osborne's budgets can be gamechangers.
As far as I'm concerned, the 2012 budget was the straw that broke the camel's back. At some point in the parliament, the emphasis was going to have to shift from Labour's problem to the Tories' (/the Coalition's) solution, about which the public were always going to be less favourable. It was simply the marker for that change.
I'm expecting the post shamelessly political budget of all time.
Oh and first
Shamelessly political budgets are usually disastrous for those delivering them; they usually fall apart within 48 hours and sometimes (see G Brown) within 48 minutes.
That's my fear.
I was looking at the polling throughout this parliament, and the 2012 budget was what really buggered the Tories.
Well, many Tory supporters of this parish do keep confidently reminding us that Osborne's budgets can be gamechangers.
George Osborne has been responsible for two out of the three major sustained polling shifts in the last decade. (one in favour of the Tories, one in favour of Labour)
I'm expecting the post shamelessly political budget of all time.
Oh and first
Shamelessly political budgets are usually disastrous for those delivering them; they usually fall apart within 48 hours and sometimes (see G Brown) within 48 minutes.
That's my fear.
I was looking at the polling throughout this parliament, and the 2012 budget was what really buggered the Tories.
Well, many Tory supporters of this parish do keep confidently reminding us that Osborne's budgets can be gamechangers.
George Osborne has been responsible for two out of the three major sustained polling shifts in the last decade. (one in favour of the Tories, one in favour of Labour)
I note looking back at that that George Galloway won the Bradford by election at the very height of Labour's polling. I'm on George.
@BBCAllegra: Angus Robertson, SNP leader in Commons grinning + pulling at suit pocket in ref to Miliband / Salmond pocket poster as PM raises SNP-Lab rel
Before this ludicrous pointless piece of political anachronism and theatre enthralls us all there was an interesting piece in yesterday's City AM from that well-known left-winger Ryan Bourne:
Using that to fund abolition of IHT on primary residence would be a neat trick.
That or extra council bands on high value homes. IHT is makework for lawyers and tax accountants. Quite sure you could get a revenue neutral thing going quite easily.
Yes, but it is difficult to handle the capital risk at that sort of age (70s and up) when people ought to be moving out of shares and into more liquid assets anyway, so inflation/interest remains an issue. And those products can be difficult to sell quickly, especially for an elderly person without his own computer. I've just had to help out an elderly relative who held a non-trivial chunk of his savings in an asset trust's shares in an ISA - it turned out to be impossible to sell them immediately; one had to instruct the ISA company in writing and then wait till the following Monday for them to actually do it; and they wouldn't accept any other instructions such as 'do not sell if below xp'. We were lucky that the market didn't tank in the week or so we were waiting.
The sort of products I was meaning were more like capital-protected bonds, which have a variable return based on the stock market but which guarantee the investment back (presumably the risk to the seller is sold on through market instruments somehow), such as these:
Now, I grant you that you're locking your capital up for a fairly serious period of time in many of these, which won't be right for everyone and even for those who it is right in part, they'll no doubt want to keep some savings more liquid, but the basic premise stands that they can form part of a balanced savings portfolio for those with money put aside.
Ultimately, the whole question of savings usually comes back to the point that if it looks too good to be true, it probably is. People complaining about the lack of high returns need to recognise that they will only *ever* exist if they come with high risk because there is simply nothing that can reliably produce them otherwise.
Many thanks for that. I entirely agree with the conclusion!
This PMQs is interesting. There doesn't seem to be any issue that Labour can land punches on right now. The Tories have peaked at just the right time on all their deliverables - apart from polling results!
The youth unemployment stats really have changed massively under this Government. It makes it difficult for Labour MPs to gain any traction on unemployment - one of the areas they would once have expected to really be hammering the Government in the election campaign.
This PMQs is interesting. There doesn't seem to be any issue that Labour can land punches on right now. The Tories have peaked at just the right time on all their deliverables - apart from polling results!
Using that to fund abolition of IHT on primary residence would be a neat trick.
That or extra council bands on high value homes. IHT is makework for lawyers and tax accountants. Quite sure you could get a revenue neutral thing going quite easily.
You could see a consultation on new council tax bands, but given the lead time of getting it done, it's hard to see even a chancellor with Osborne's taste for unfunded tax cuts claiming it could be quantified and implemented quickly enough to fund a cut in IHT before about 2020. Mechanically there are also issues as you'd have an increase in council revenues and a decrease in central government revenues, so would then have to adjust funding models to match the two up - not trivial. So CGT makes more sense.
That said, a consultation on council tax revaluation would be a high-quality trap for Labour, as it'll almost certainly end up being seen as too difficult/unpopular and have to be scrapped - wouldn't look good for a Labour government to abandon a project designed to tax the rich.
Wolverhampton SW is a very very vulnerable marginal iirc.
I really can't see any circumstances that the Tories hold that seat. 6,500 LibDems for Labour to steal. Would need a massive UKIP bite into Labour's vote here.
Yes, but it is difficult to handle the capital risk at that sort of age (70s and up) when people ought to be moving out of shares and into more liquid assets anyway, so inflation/interest remains an issue. And those products can be difficult to sell quickly, especially for an elderly person without his own computer. I've just had to help out an elderly relative who held a non-trivial chunk of his savings in an asset trust's shares in an ISA - it turned out to be impossible to sell them immediately; one had to instruct the ISA company in writing and then wait till the following Monday for them to actually do it; and they wouldn't accept any other instructions such as 'do not sell if below xp'. We were lucky that the market didn't tank in the week or so we were waiting.
The sort of products I was meaning were more like capital-protected bonds, which have a variable return based on the stock market but which guarantee the investment back (presumably the risk to the seller is sold on through market instruments somehow), such as these:
Now, I grant you that you're locking your capital up for a fairly serious period of time in many of these, which won't be right for everyone and even for those who it is right in part, they'll no doubt want to keep some savings more liquid, but the basic premise stands that they can form part of a balanced savings portfolio for those with money put aside.
Ultimately, the whole question of savings usually comes back to the point that if it looks too good to be true, it probably is. People complaining about the lack of high returns need to recognise that they will only *ever* exist if they come with high risk because there is simply nothing that can reliably produce them otherwise.
Many thanks for that. I entirely agree with the conclusion!
It is almost never worth purchasing a structured "capital protected" product from a bank or financial adviser. It is much better rolling your own by investing in a regular bank fixed term bond and adding on a index tracker on the side - that way you capture any and all rise in the market rather than being guillotined by the terms of a capital-protected product.
Xlibris1 @Xlibris1 UK has seen the largest rise in employment of any G7 country; more young people have got into work than rest of the EU put together
I think you need to choose your start and end dates carefully for that to work. Spain's employment has risen by 1.2m in the last two years for example.
Still awaiting ICM data tables, but the part-ELBOW for polls so far this week excluding ICM puts Labour 0.8% ahead, compared with "0.0% growth" for week-ending 15th March!
@SimonStClare "If so, that is an astonishing statistic."
For a given definition of "employment" it probably has some validity. The definition, and the differences, are part of the Tories problem. But few on here are capable of noticing.
@SimonStClare "If so, that is an astonishing statistic."
For a given definition of "employment" it probably has some validity. The definition, and the differences, are part of the Tories problem. But few on here are capable of noticing.
Xlibris1 @Xlibris1 UK has seen the largest rise in employment of any G7 country; more young people have got into work than rest of the EU put together
I think you need to choose your start and end dates carefully for that to work. Spain's employment has risen by 1.2m in the last two years for example.
Xlibris1 @Xlibris1 UK has seen the largest rise in employment of any G7 country; more young people have got into work than rest of the EU put together
I think you need to choose your start and end dates carefully for that to work. Spain's employment has risen by 1.2m in the last two years for example.
Xlibris1 @Xlibris1 UK has seen the largest rise in employment of any G7 country; more young people have got into work than rest of the EU put together
I think you need to choose your start and end dates carefully for that to work. Spain's employment has risen by 1.2m in the last two years for example.
Spain isn't in the G7!
You're right: I was conflating the first half of the claim with the second.
@SimonStClare "If so, that is an astonishing statistic."
For a given definition of "employment" it probably has some validity. The definition, and the differences, are part of the Tories problem. But few on here are capable of noticing.
@SimonStClare "If so, that is an astonishing statistic."
For a given definition of "employment" it probably has some validity. The definition, and the differences, are part of the Tories problem. But few on here are capable of noticing.
Oliver Cooper @OliverCooper 80% of jobs created since 2010 have been full-time and just 20% part-time. Under Labour, 46% of net new jobs were part-time. #Budget2015
Steve Fisher retweeted Fraser Nelson @FraserNelson 2m2 minutes ago Growth was good last year, will be okay in years to come. But overall? The slowest recovery in history #Budget2015
After the last slew of polls I'm getting the distinct impression that there are just too many who share the left wing values of concern for the disadvantaged for the Tories to win however competently they run the economy.
There is nothing left wing about "concern for the disadvantaged"
I'm a Tory & take some fairly practical steps to help in the limited way that I can.
Well said. The idea that the Left has a monopoly over concern for the disadvantaged is nonsense on stilts and not borne out by evidence from history.
After the last slew of polls I'm getting the distinct impression that there are just too many who share the left wing values of concern for the disadvantaged for the Tories to win however competently they run the economy.
There is nothing left wing about "concern for the disadvantaged"
I'm a Tory & take some fairly practical steps to help in the limited way that I can.
Charles, I don't think the point here is about individual actions and I hope that it would be an isolated view on the left that anyone more right wing is by definition a selfish bastard (though I suppose in this forum it's likely the extremes are over-represented, meaning that there could be more lefties holding that extreme view and more of the right who actually are selfish bastards).
It's more that left-wing politics can be characterised as responding to human suffering by trying to intervene directly and immediately to relieve it, whereas right-wing responses often focus more on "incentivising" those who are suffering to take steps themselves to address the problem, and managing the overall economy in a way that is intended to benefit all, including the disadvantaged, in the longer term.
....
The difference it seems to me is that the Left (or some of them) seem to think that the only way to respond to human suffering is by state intervention . And (a) that's simply not true; and (b) can rapidly lead to a belief in a large state as a value in itself irrespective of whether it achieves its intended purpose. It seems to me that that is the cul de sac into which the Left has got itself. It sees a large powerful state as an end in itself. The equivalent on the right is to want a small state almost regardless of what the effects might be.
Surely the better view is to have a state do those things which cannot be effectively done by people either indiviidually or collectively and do them really well, rather than do lots of things not very well or badly?
Also - a thank you to Fat Steve for organising the PB drinks last night. A nice venue and nice to chat with some PB'ers I had not met and see again others.
Comments
Oh and first
After the disqualified cheat TSE.
@IsabelHardman: Labour MP criticises a 'vacuous soundbite' at PMQs but unfortunately mis-quotes it
I was looking at the polling throughout this parliament, and the 2012 budget was what really buggered the Tories.
I wouldn't bet on Michael Green's career prospects at any odds. Trading bet or otherwise.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-31918215
Looks rather cool.
Is there a general election in the wind ?? ...
Ed really came across as poorly.
Not that Dave came across much better mind.
Labour will complain it's a political budget anyway, so what's to lose?
Lovely.
http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/03/why-arent-the-tories-running-away-with-the-election/
Before this ludicrous pointless piece of political anachronism and theatre enthralls us all there was an interesting piece in yesterday's City AM from that well-known left-winger Ryan Bourne:
http://www.cityam.com/211701/osborne-likes-think-unthinkable-now-he-should-abolish-budget
FPT Many thanks for that. I entirely agree with the conclusion!
That said, a consultation on council tax revaluation would be a high-quality trap for Labour, as it'll almost certainly end up being seen as too difficult/unpopular and have to be scrapped - wouldn't look good for a Labour government to abandon a project designed to tax the rich.
Its a disaster for Pulpstar
UK has seen the largest rise in employment of any G7 country; more young people have got into work than rest of the EU put together
Just to piss off John Bercow...
Any Answers?
"Northern Powerhouse" - ching.
"If so, that is an astonishing statistic."
For a given definition of "employment" it probably has some validity.
The definition, and the differences, are part of the Tories problem.
But few on here are capable of noticing.
I'm hoping to buy a factory there next month. I shall instruct the workforce accordingly :-)
Yorkshire rules apparently
Just saying.
You feel no ones pain but your own Plato.
http://www.bbcchildreninneedshop.co.uk/pudsey-bear.html
Mark my words, a world of pain awaits Labour in West Yorkshire.
Isam will be posting Enoch Powell for the next 4 hours, thereby undermining my 24hr sponsored sledgeathon on Osborne.
80% of jobs created since 2010 have been full-time and just 20% part-time. Under Labour, 46% of net new jobs were part-time. #Budget2015
People are better off
Fraser Nelson @FraserNelson 2m2 minutes ago
Growth was good last year, will be okay in years to come. But overall? The slowest recovery in history #Budget2015
Prof Fisher says slowest recovery in history
Debt as share of GDP to start falling in 2015/16, a year earlier than expected #Budget2015
OH WAIT
Now it has .......
Gone up significantly
From Previous Thread (with apologies);- Well said. The idea that the Left has a monopoly over concern for the disadvantaged is nonsense on stilts and not borne out by evidence from history. The difference it seems to me is that the Left (or some of them) seem to think that the only way to respond to human suffering is by state intervention . And (a) that's simply not true; and (b) can rapidly lead to a belief in a large state as a value in itself irrespective of whether it achieves its intended purpose. It seems to me that that is the cul de sac into which the Left has got itself. It sees a large powerful state as an end in itself. The equivalent on the right is to want a small state almost regardless of what the effects might be.
Surely the better view is to have a state do those things which cannot be effectively done by people either indiviidually or collectively and do them really well, rather than do lots of things not very well or badly?
That's the big unanswered question.
Perhaps he'll have second thoughts.