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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A 7-sided TV debate as proposed by Cameron could go ahead:

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  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215

    Mr. Smith, the election's forecast to be tighter than a [MODERATED], the DUP could easily hold the balance of power.

    It also has a political implication beyond that, suggesting that a UK General Election debate doesn't need to bother with Northern Ireland.

    If the election is really tight Respect could end up holding the balanced of power, you really want to include Galloway in these debates?

    If NI wants to be included in UK wide debates they better open up and start voting for UK wide political parties.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    DanSmith said:

    Neil said:

    DanSmith said:

    Incidentally, the exclusion of the DUP/Sinn Fein is intellectually indefensible.

    DUP/Sinn Fein don't run against any of the UK parties in NI so neither are being disadvantaged by not taking part.
    Yes they do and yes they are.

    They are clearly not being disadvantaged.
    Backtracking from your claim that they are not running against any of the parties in the debates I see. Still wrong though.

  • GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    BAW49 London/Seattle flight has done a U-turn over Scotland, dumped fuel over Morecambe bay. and now heading back into London...

    http://www.flightradar24.com/BAW49/5af9986
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    edited March 2015

    Broadcasters attempting to impose their will over politicians. Deary me.

    Anyone remember how angry Miliband used to get about the perceived influence of Murdoch, or is that somehow 'different''?

    That reminds me, has Miliband condemned the wholesale hacking that took place at the Daily Mirror yet?
    Yes, he wants a judge led enquiry, the guilty prosecuted and the paper shut down

  • The TV debates went ahead last time because all the politicians agreed to them.

    The idea that the broadcasters are going to force them on the leaders, by the threat of empty-chairing, seems an affront to democracy.

    The alternative would be an affront to a free media.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    So if Dave had played a blinder at the start of the thread, now it hasn't turned out the way we thought, has he had a stinker?

    Or still played a blinder?
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Well well well. Doubtless a new thread will be along shortly.

    Presumably the Tories are better off brazening it out from here rather than folding.

    They should send along Gove, Pickles or Boris - debate specialist. See if Ed turns up then..
  • saddosaddo Posts: 534

    Funny that Ed and Tony had a quiet chat and then we get this announcement....R5 was going massive on NHS AGAIN, it is a daily thing now (but don't mention Labour running Welsh NHS)..again funny that.

    But Cameron has a big decision now of his own making, does he blink? I also wonder what the hell that Oliver does and does he have a brain, he seems to have totally misjudged how this will play out and he is supposedly the inside man to how the likes of the BBC will play things.

    No way Cameron changes his view. He may do the first one, even thought its later than he wants.

    Miliband on his own will get no viewers so what's the point for the broadcasters.

    Broadcasters getting too big for their boots trying to order Cameron around.

    Radio 5 left wing disgrace as they are most of the time.

    Miliband showing his "stand" against the evil Rupert was basically ongoing revenge for The Sun dropping Labour before 2010.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    DanSmith said:


    If NI wants to be included in UK wide debates they better open up and start voting for UK wide political parties.

    That is hilarious. Perhaps the Northern Ireland electorate should be disbanded and replaced by another one less prone to idiosyncratic voting habits.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    DanSmith said:

    Incidentally, the exclusion of the DUP/Sinn Fein is intellectually indefensible.

    DUP/Sinn Fein don't run against any of the UK parties in NI so neither are being disadvantaged by not taking part.
    Wrong.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,411
    edited March 2015
    @Neil would you like my Bristol West spreadsheet ?

    Have a coloured Excel version which is better than the Google Docs :)

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    isam said:

    So if Dave had played a blinder at the start of the thread, now it hasn't turned out the way we thought, has he had a stinker?

    Or still played a blinder?

    I'll tell you on May 7th.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,386
    edited March 2015
    DanSmith said:

    Mr. Smith, the election's forecast to be tighter than a [MODERATED], the DUP could easily hold the balance of power.

    It also has a political implication beyond that, suggesting that a UK General Election debate doesn't need to bother with Northern Ireland.

    If the election is really tight Respect could end up holding the balanced of power, you really want to include Galloway in these debates?

    If NI wants to be included in UK wide debates they better open up and start voting for UK wide political parties.
    Yes, I'd have The Gorgeous One there - He's always value for money, LOL! :smiley:

    Re. NI Parties. Why include SNP and Plaid? They aren't "UK wide political parties" either?

    If your going to include Scot and Welsh Nats it seems mean to exclude the Irish, IMO.

  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,989
    TGOHF said:

    Mr. Stodge, there's an off-chance that might happen.

    Let's suppose neither side backs down, the dates don't shift and we get two six-man debates (Cameron at neither). And they're rubbish. 90 minutes, 6 leaders, 15 minutes each, including opening and closing statements. Plaid and the SNP are of no real interest to most viewers, the Greens are a bonkers minority, Miliband can't really attack Cameron beyond 'he's not here' and Clegg becomes the lightning rod for dissatisfaction [which may help him as he becomes the Government's representative and he's fairly good at debates].

    If it looks like six squabbling idiots, then there may be a view that Cameron was better off out of it.

    "Meanwhile on a campaign stop at Marginalville, West Midlands, the prime minister gave a speech discussing the income tax cuts announced in the budget and said he was focussing on the important business of running the country...."

    Etc etc..
    The latter is news and no one, apart from loyal Tories and political wonks, nerds and anoraks like us will even notice.

    As I said this morning, the debates form a fixed point, known in advance, when people can listen to the arguments in a single defined format. They are far more menaingful and significant to those who are less interested in politics than to those of us who are who deride them for reasons I'm not too clear about.

    Public debate goes back to Athenian democracy and it's the public exchange of opinion and argument that makes the thing function. Having a Prime Minister cowering away muttering platitudes to hand-picked audiences of vetted CCHQ drones says far more about the weakness of the Prime Minister than those debating openly.

    As always, the Tories on here castigate someone else and blame "the media" for wanting to control the democratic process. How much more perverse is it to have a Prime Minister who tries to subvert the media by setting terms - quite rightly the broadcast media are calling his bluff and they know, as I know, that the real entertainment would be to see Cameron facing hostile questionning on immigration from a public audience.


  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,963
    Mr. Smith, Respect has one MP and little prospect of more. The DUP has several MPs.

    More to the point, you're raising another argument against the debates being fair. As someone who dislikes the debates, that's fine by me.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,411
    felix said:

    DanSmith said:

    Incidentally, the exclusion of the DUP/Sinn Fein is intellectually indefensible.

    DUP/Sinn Fein don't run against any of the UK parties in NI so neither are being disadvantaged by not taking part.
    Wrong.
    Yes UKIP have cocked this particular clause up.
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    Neil said:

    DanSmith said:

    Neil said:

    DanSmith said:

    Incidentally, the exclusion of the DUP/Sinn Fein is intellectually indefensible.

    DUP/Sinn Fein don't run against any of the UK parties in NI so neither are being disadvantaged by not taking part.
    Yes they do and yes they are.

    They are clearly not being disadvantaged.
    Backtracking from your claim that they are not running against any of the parties in the debates I see. Still wrong though.

    Not backtracking but with the future of the UK at stake in the next few weeks don't have time to argue over the handful of votes the UK wide's NI operations obtain. Suffice to say it's obvious to everyone (including the broadcasters legal departments unfortunately for you) that NI is a special case and are rightly being excluded from the debates.
  • enfantenfant Posts: 34
    Tom Newton Dunn has really well informed sources
    Perhaps TSE will stop writing thread headers based on info from Tom in the future.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    Pulpstar said:

    Neil would you like my Bristol West spreadsheet ?

    Have a coloured Excel version which is better than the Google Docs :)

    I have the local results here already ;)

    (Not that I think the local results are all that. I'd expect the Greens to conduct a poll here and to release the results if they are anyway favourable.)

  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    JEO said:

    Even if ITV go ahead, what would be to stop the other two broadcasters holding their debates and empty chairing David Cameron? The second debate would be the easiest to go ahead here as they could just use the other six. The one-on-one could go ahead with either Nick Clegg or Nigel Farage or both being invited in Cameron's stead.

    I fear the Conservatives have dramatically overplayed their hand here. We were in a winning position when we got the 7-7-2 format. Both UKIP and the Lib Dems were downplayed to being as minor as Plaid Cymru, and the Greens were in every debate that UKIP were. The final one-on-one played to the Conservatives' argument that this was an Ed versus David choice and third party votes were wasted.

    Now we are in serious danger of pushing things too far. If an invite for the third debate goes out to the other major parties, as designated by Ofcom, then they won't be able to be rescinded. And this after weeks of David Cameron looking 'frit', to use Maggie's turn of phrase. That will turn a victory into a bad defeat. And for what purpose? To avoid Ed Miliband? It seems a completely unnecessary risk.

    Well I'm a Con supporter and I also agree with you.

    Indeed I posted yesterday that the broadcasters would go ahead.

    People always over analyse things - keep it simple. The broadcasters said last month that the debates would go ahead even if someone didn't turn up. A very simple statement - very easy to understand. And they have simply stuck to it.

    I'm absolutely sure the debates will go ahead. It will now be down to Cameron whether he attends. I would have thought he would be completely mad not to.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    DanSmith said:

    Neil said:

    DanSmith said:

    Neil said:

    DanSmith said:

    Incidentally, the exclusion of the DUP/Sinn Fein is intellectually indefensible.

    DUP/Sinn Fein don't run against any of the UK parties in NI so neither are being disadvantaged by not taking part.
    Yes they do and yes they are.

    They are clearly not being disadvantaged.
    Backtracking from your claim that they are not running against any of the parties in the debates I see. Still wrong though.

    Not backtracking but with the future of the UK at stake in the next few weeks don't have time to argue over the handful of votes the UK wide's NI operations obtain.
    What an interesting definition of "not backtracking" you have there.
  • Interesting scenario now. Cameron seems to have backed himself into a corner. Either he
    a) Stands firm and is empty chaired
    b) Is seen to be faced down by the TV companies

    Whilst the first is undesirable I really cannot see how the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom can be seen to back down to mere TV Companies?

    Here's another fine mess Heywood and Oliver have got him in
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    stodge said:

    TGOHF said:

    Mr. Stodge, there's an off-chance that might happen.

    Let's suppose neither side backs down, the dates don't shift and we get two six-man debates (Cameron at neither). And they're rubbish. 90 minutes, 6 leaders, 15 minutes each, including opening and closing statements. Plaid and the SNP are of no real interest to most viewers, the Greens are a bonkers minority, Miliband can't really attack Cameron beyond 'he's not here' and Clegg becomes the lightning rod for dissatisfaction [which may help him as he becomes the Government's representative and he's fairly good at debates].

    If it looks like six squabbling idiots, then there may be a view that Cameron was better off out of it.

    "Meanwhile on a campaign stop at Marginalville, West Midlands, the prime minister gave a speech discussing the income tax cuts announced in the budget and said he was focussing on the important business of running the country...."

    Etc etc..
    The latter is news and no one, apart from loyal Tories and political wonks, nerds and anoraks like us will even notice.

    As I said this morning, the debates form a fixed point, known in advance, when people can listen to the arguments in a single defined format. They are far more menaingful and significant to those who are less interested in politics than to those of us who are who deride them for reasons I'm not too clear about.

    Public debate goes back to Athenian democracy and it's the public exchange of opinion and argument that makes the thing function. Having a Prime Minister cowering away muttering platitudes to hand-picked audiences of vetted CCHQ drones says far more about the weakness of the Prime Minister than those debating openly.

    As always, the Tories on here castigate someone else and blame "the media" for wanting to control the democratic process. How much more perverse is it to have a Prime Minister who tries to subvert the media by setting terms - quite rightly the broadcast media are calling his bluff and they know, as I know, that the real entertainment would be to see Cameron facing hostile questionning on immigration from a public audience.


    So the Cons should be able to send Boris along then ?
  • enfant said:

    Tom Newton Dunn has really well informed sources
    Perhaps TSE will stop writing thread headers based on info from Tom in the future.

    Excellent point except I didn't write this thread.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    antifrank said:

    GIN1138 said:

    antifrank said:

    The next stage, I suppose, is to see who if anyone decides that they want to make a legal challenge to this decision.

    I think the DUP and Sinn Fein are both said to be considering legal action?

    You might see the Conservative party added to that list in the coming days.
    On the grounds their leader is FRIT?
  • Good afternoon, everyone.

    Mr. Hopkins, indeed, the idea that journalists should have the whip hand and be able to dictate the process of an electoral campaign is despicable and indefensible.

    The media are acting like players in the game, rather than neutral observers.

    Shouldn't the electorate have the whip hand? The broadcasters wouldn't be overly interested if the election debates had delivered Daily Politics audience levels. Inviting politicians to a debate (and being willing to hold it if one doesn't choose to take part) is hardly acting as a non-neutral player unless you suspect they doing it because they feel a certain party would benefit/lose as a result.
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    edited March 2015
    Gadfly said:

    BAW49 London/Seattle flight has done a U-turn over Scotland, dumped fuel over Morecambe bay. and now heading back into London...

    http://www.flightradar24.com/BAW49/5af9986

    Mechanical problem, returning to Heathrow where BA Engineering are based?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    TGOHF said:

    isam said:

    Looks like the broadcasters have heard Morrissey's latest album, and decided to get the rest of the Smiths back together (with Sam on vocals)

    Have you listened to any of the Van Halen albums since Dave Lee Roth left ? Ditto Marillion sans Fish..
    I never listened to any of that old shit before they left!

    Although I did see The Doors with Ian Astbury on vocals

    Genesis probably the only band that can claim to have improved for the main man leaving?

    Oh and Pink Floyd!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,411
    Neil said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Neil would you like my Bristol West spreadsheet ?

    Have a coloured Excel version which is better than the Google Docs :)

    I have the local results here already ;)

    (Not that I think the local results are all that. I'd expect the Greens to conduct a poll here and to release the results if they are anyway favourable.)

    I don't mind if Labour are ahead Neil :)
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736

    enfant said:

    Tom Newton Dunn has really well informed sources
    Perhaps TSE will stop writing thread headers based on info from Tom in the future.

    Excellent point except I didn't write this thread.
    Slam Dunk Mr Enfant
  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    I've just added links to the latest from the broadcasters on the debate.
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    enfant said:

    Tom Newton Dunn has really well informed sources
    Perhaps TSE will stop writing thread headers based on info from Tom in the future.

    The thread was written by OGH, Mike Smithson.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,514
    @nick_clegg
    Come on @David_Cameron you haven't got your own way so accept it and take part. #tvdebates

    The prefects are getting very lippy these days....
  • enfant said:

    Tom Newton Dunn has really well informed sources
    Perhaps TSE will stop writing thread headers based on info from Tom in the future.

    Excellent point except I didn't write this thread.
    Slam Dunk Mr Enfant
    Tom Newton Dunn's tweet stopped my AV thread going up.

    The git
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736

    Gadfly said:

    BAW49 London/Seattle flight has done a U-turn over Scotland, dumped fuel over Morecambe bay. and now heading back into London...

    http://www.flightradar24.com/BAW49/5af9986

    Mechanical problem, returning to Heathrow where BA Engineering are based?
    I thought they just realised Harrison Ford was the pilot
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    stodge said:

    TGOHF said:

    Mr. Stodge, there's an off-chance that might happen.

    Let's suppose neither side backs down, the dates don't shift and we get two six-man debates (Cameron at neither). And they're rubbish. 90 minutes, 6 leaders, 15 minutes each, including opening and closing statements. Plaid and the SNP are of no real interest to most viewers, the Greens are a bonkers minority, Miliband can't really attack Cameron beyond 'he's not here' and Clegg becomes the lightning rod for dissatisfaction [which may help him as he becomes the Government's representative and he's fairly good at debates].

    If it looks like six squabbling idiots, then there may be a view that Cameron was better off out of it.

    "Meanwhile on a campaign stop at Marginalville, West Midlands, the prime minister gave a speech discussing the income tax cuts announced in the budget and said he was focussing on the important business of running the country...."

    Etc etc..
    The latter is news and no one, apart from loyal Tories and political wonks, nerds and anoraks like us will even notice.

    As I said this morning, the debates form a fixed point, known in advance, when people can listen to the arguments in a single defined format. They are far more menaingful and significant to those who are less interested in politics than to those of us who are who deride them for reasons I'm not too clear about.

    Public debate goes back to Athenian democracy and it's the public exchange of opinion and argument that makes the thing function. Having a Prime Minister cowering away muttering platitudes to hand-picked audiences of vetted CCHQ drones says far more about the weakness of the Prime Minister than those debating openly.

    As always, the Tories on here castigate someone else and blame "the media" for wanting to control the democratic process. How much more perverse is it to have a Prime Minister who tries to subvert the media by setting terms - quite rightly the broadcast media are calling his bluff and they know, as I know, that the real entertainment would be to see Cameron facing hostile questionning on immigration from a public audience.


    Your last sentence explains your real motives which are clearly sfa to do with the democratic process.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    There are separate debates on BBC Ireland and UTV for the NI parties.. whats the problem?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041

    enfant said:

    Tom Newton Dunn has really well informed sources
    Perhaps TSE will stop writing thread headers based on info from Tom in the future.

    Excellent point except I didn't write this thread.
    Slam Dunk Mr Enfant
    Tom Newton Dunn's tweet stopped my AV thread going up.

    The git
    Sure. Admit it, you haven't even written it yet. ;)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,411
    I've avoided betting on these debates, and I reckon that was the right move. Like a game of whack-a-mole.

  • Let's suppose neither side backs down, the dates don't shift and we get two six-man debates (Cameron at neither). And they're rubbish. 90 minutes, 6 leaders, 15 minutes each, including opening and closing statements. Plaid and the SNP are of no real interest to most viewers, the Greens are a bonkers minority, Miliband can't really attack Cameron beyond 'he's not here' and Clegg becomes the lightning rod for dissatisfaction [which may help him as he becomes the Government's representative and he's fairly good at debates].

    What of Farage drawing a stark contrast with the other five participants?

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    isam said:

    TGOHF said:

    isam said:

    Looks like the broadcasters have heard Morrissey's latest album, and decided to get the rest of the Smiths back together (with Sam on vocals)

    Have you listened to any of the Van Halen albums since Dave Lee Roth left ? Ditto Marillion sans Fish..

    Although I did see The Doors with Ian Astbury on vocals

    Thats making Ed vs Ed in a head to head sound attractive
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,963
    Mr. Money, perhaps. I'm sure a majority of the electorate would enjoy seeing Ed Miliband gunged, or Nick Clegg put in stocks.

    Or we could let politicians campaign as they see fit, and the public can judge them on that.

    The 7-7-2 format is not carved on stone and handed down by the lord God to his broadcasting prophet Adam Boulton. It's a faintly ridiculous compromise, which is unfair to the DUP/Sinn Fein, as well as the Lib Dems.

    I do not think it healthy for the media to dictate the course of a campaign. And if we're going to claim that the public's wishes are paramount, I would anticipate the reintroduction of hanging and a vote, or outright withdrawal, on our membership of the EU.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    edited March 2015
    Greens professional, able organise a piss up in a brewery. Look at the images 11secs in - wind farm on fire.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-_8Qi8HVXwA

    Must be infiltrated or are they just incompetent?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    While I am on a Morrissey train of thought, maybe Cammo should "Just Do His Best, And Don't Worry"
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041
    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736

    enfant said:

    Tom Newton Dunn has really well informed sources
    Perhaps TSE will stop writing thread headers based on info from Tom in the future.

    Excellent point except I didn't write this thread.
    Slam Dunk Mr Enfant
    Tom Newton Dunn's tweet stopped my AV thread going up.

    The git
    I know.

    Talking of Gits (old ones)

    I am on a break from Mrs BJs birthday celebrations which resume shortly.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041

    @nick_clegg
    Come on @David_Cameron you haven't got your own way so accept it and take part. #tvdebates

    The prefects are getting very lippy these days....

    Totally unbecoming of the deputy PM!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,514
    What happens if this Ed

    http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/74509000/jpg/_74509499_img_2479.jpg

    proves more popular than the real one in their Head to Head?
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,963
    Mr. Owls, hope Mrs Owls enjoys plenty of cake and has a happy birthday.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041
    dr_spyn said:

    Greens professional, able organise a piss up in a brewery. Look at the images 11secs in - wind farm on fire.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-_8Qi8HVXwA

    Must be infiltrated or are they just incompetent?

    I suspect (HOPE) that may be a fake.
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215

    Mr. Money, perhaps. I'm sure a majority of the electorate would enjoy seeing Ed Miliband gunged, or Nick Clegg put in stocks.

    Or we could let politicians campaign as they see fit, and the public can judge them on that.

    The 7-7-2 format is not carved on stone and handed down by the lord God to his broadcasting prophet Adam Boulton. It's a faintly ridiculous compromise, which is unfair to the DUP/Sinn Fein, as well as the Lib Dems.

    I do not think it healthy for the media to dictate the course of a campaign. And if we're going to claim that the public's wishes are paramount, I would anticipate the reintroduction of hanging and a vote, or outright withdrawal, on our membership of the EU.

    But that is what is happening, 6 of the party leaders want to debate with each other on TV, Cameron doesn't and isn't. Nobody is being forced to do anything.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041
    isam said:

    There are separate debates on BBC Ireland and UTV for the NI parties.. whats the problem?

    Same in Scotland and Wales, so why do the SNP/PC get to fight it out with the big boys in London?
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    This all serves David Cameron right though. At 7:7:2 he had got a format that was about as favourable as he could possibly have hoped for. He should not have turned it down.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    dr_spyn said:

    Greens professional, able organise a piss up in a brewery. Look at the images 11secs in - wind farm on fire.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-_8Qi8HVXwA

    Must be infiltrated or are they just incompetent?

    2/10 and the 2 is just for the effort as it probably took a little time.

  • Hengists_GiftHengists_Gift Posts: 628
    edited March 2015
    isam said:

    There are separate debates on BBC Ireland and UTV for the NI parties.. whats the problem?

    So the Scots and Welsh get to debate the economy and foreign policy with the Prime Minister and Leader of the HM Opposition but the Northern Irish parties (one who has more seats than either Plaid or the SNP currently) don't? Just what have Northern Ireland done to be excluded from the debate? It's wrong. Either it should solely be those parties with major party status or they should open it up to every party with more support than Plaid (which is basically what Ofcom says).
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,989
    felix said:


    Your last sentence explains your real motives which are clearly sfa to do with the democratic process.

    I have no idea what you mean by that.

    What is wrong with an audience of the general public asking David Cameron some searching questions ? What is wrong with David Cameron being asked about immigration totals and targets ?

    Like some Conservatives, you are terrified of your brittle leader having to respond to questions he doesn't like so to avoid that you keep him away from the electorate.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,386
    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    antifrank said:

    This all serves David Cameron right though. At 7:7:2 he had got a format that was about as favourable as he could possibly have hoped for. He should not have turned it down.

    antifrank said:

    This all serves David Cameron right though. At 7:7:2 he had got a format that was about as favourable as he could possibly have hoped for. He should not have turned it down.

    Its hardly over - infact things are just warming up :)
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    Pulpstar said:

    I've avoided betting on these debates, and I reckon that was the right move. Like a game of whack-a-mole.

    I am having whack-a-mole with my starter in an hour

    Or as some pronounce it Guacamole
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    dr_spyn said:

    Greens professional, able organise a piss up in a brewery. Look at the images 11secs in - wind farm on fire.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-_8Qi8HVXwA

    Must be infiltrated or are they just incompetent?

    What about the polar bears?
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn 1m1 minute ago

    Breaking: No10 also stands firm on debates. Craig Oliver says broadcasters' response "disappointing",and will only talk about March 23 offer
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041
    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    TGOHF said:

    Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn 1m1 minute ago

    Breaking: No10 also stands firm on debates. Craig Oliver says broadcasters' response "disappointing",and will only talk about March 23 offer

    Can someone please check with Craig Oliver directly as we clearly cant trust what this Newton Dunn fellow says any more.

  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    dr_spyn said:

    Greens professional, able organise a piss up in a brewery. Look at the images 11secs in - wind farm on fire.

    www.youtube.com/watch?v=-_8Qi8HVXwA

    Must be infiltrated or are they just incompetent?

    Fake. Someone used their green background as a convenient green screen.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736

    Mr. Owls, hope Mrs Owls enjoys plenty of cake and has a happy birthday.

    Thanks Mr Dancer although at our age happy is a relative term.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,411
    Neil said:

    TGOHF said:

    Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn 1m1 minute ago

    Breaking: No10 also stands firm on debates. Craig Oliver says broadcasters' response "disappointing",and will only talk about March 23 offer

    Can someone please check with Craig Oliver directly as we clearly cant trust what this Newton Dunn fellow says any more.

    Isn't Tom Newton Dunn the Conservative press officer though ?
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    edited March 2015
    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    The real game is all about making Miliband look better; that's what he's been training with Campbell to do. Everything else is a sideshow.
  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    It's time to face the music and dance.
    (being a shy little wall flower is optional)

    www.youtube.com/watch?v=TnfKmNRfLYU
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    What if the blues send along a mid level minister ? Will Ed and Nick lower themselves ?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041
    stodge said:

    felix said:


    Your last sentence explains your real motives which are clearly sfa to do with the democratic process.

    I have no idea what you mean by that.

    What is wrong with an audience of the general public asking David Cameron some searching questions ? What is wrong with David Cameron being asked about immigration totals and targets ?

    Like some Conservatives, you are terrified of your brittle leader having to respond to questions he doesn't like so to avoid that you keep him away from the electorate.
    Your last sentence implied the broadcasters were holding the debates ONLY so that Cameron could face questioning, because (as you said) that's where the real entertainment would be. I had a similar reaction to felix when I read it.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,963
    Mr. Owls, pish!

    If Antigonus Monopthalmus could contest the mastery of the world in his eighties, I cannot believe you are so ancient that it is beyond you and your lady wife to have a happy birthday.
  • Apparently Clegg and Miiiband don't get on, in which case it could be quite interesting.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,514
    TGOHF said:

    Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn 1m1 minute ago

    Breaking: No10 also stands firm on debates. Craig Oliver says broadcasters' response "disappointing",and will only talk about March 23 offer

    Showdown at the O.K. Corral.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    TGOHF said:

    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    What if the blues send along a mid level minister ?
    To do what? Take notes? Because he or she wont be getting into a leaders' debate.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108

    Dair said:

    Dair said:

    Dair said:

    Indigo said:

    Roger said:


    I heard the other day that Manchester was the first nuclear free zone in the UK. If only they had realised what a style icon they were turning down

    London was expected to be devastated by two to four bombs of up to five megatons each exploding over the city. Glasgow, Birmingham and Manchester were each said to be in line for one or two "airbursts" of up to five megatons.

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jun/05/uk-government-top-secret-list-probable-nuclear-targets-1970s
    Have a play with

    http://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/

    and scare yourself about how big the blast radius is, 5mt on Big Ben for example would reach Watford with the thermal radiation flash.
    More important, go to Moscow and see how little damage a 100kt W76 actually does to a country the size of Russia. We have 32 available and 64 max even with extra missiles we only have around 120 warheads.

    That's not a lot of damage. It is not even viable as a "deterent".
    One dropped on the centre of Moscow appears to kill a quarter of a million people. Might put me off a bit.
    That would not be in line with Russian military history. The phrase "Acceptable Casualties" could have been invented there.
    40 warheads+, upwards of 10 million dead, and 30-40 million injured or dying. Not even Russia would consider that acceptable.
    The UK has the ability to launch a maximum of 32 missiles at any enemy.
    Which have multiple warheads. The current best guestimate is about 160.....of 80-100 kilotons.

    One of which would kill a quarter of a million Muscovites and injure over a million.....

    http://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/
    My mistake, I thoguht Trident 1 was single warhead. So I read up here.

    http://nuclearweaponarchive.org/Uk/UKArsenalRecent.html

    It seems we don't have two boats in operation any more, only one. And they only carry 14 missiles and 48 warheads. They do not carry them in an operational "ready" status. In effect, were they to fire after an attack by Russia, they would be firing hours after the event with no country left to defend.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,386
    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    Ed's already said he won't debate with Nick, but he'll send Harriet along...

    Getting hard to follow isn't it? ;)

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Neil said:

    TGOHF said:

    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    What if the blues send along a mid level minister ?
    To do what? Take notes? Because he or she wont be getting into a leaders' debate.
    oooh - handbag - that's not very democratic..
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    TGOHF said:

    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    What if the blues send along a mid level minister ? Will Ed and Nick lower themselves ?
    Of course as every answer will refer to Cowardly Cam not turning up.

    He really hasnt thought this through has he?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041

    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    The real game is all to do with making Miliband look better; that's what he's been training with Campbell to do. Everything else is a sideshow.
    And when is this transformation due to take place? ;)
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Trying to put some charts together from Ashcroft data and am now getting blocked. Must think I am a bot the way I'm systematically going through the pages!
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    TGOHF said:

    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    What if the blues send along a mid level minister ? Will Ed and Nick lower themselves ?
    Send in Hague.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041
    I wonder if they will try a compromise of one 7-way and one head-to-head, a week or so before the originally planned dates?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    Cameron now has precious little leverage.

    Just about the only thing he has is that ITV would prefer a 7 person debate with Cameron on 25 March than a 6 person debate without Cameron on 2 April.

    So he will hope that ITV breaks ranks and moves its debate to 25 March.

    But even if ITV does that, it's hardly a huge win.

    As a Con supporter I feel Cameron has made a very bad mess of this and his chances of victory have gone down today.

    Finally the last thing he needs is another 3 weeks of every TV news programme asking "is he frightened?" He really needs to close the whole thing down right now.
  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    @Neil
    According to the rules, it would be permissible to appoint a proxy, though how the general public would react is difficult to say.
    (I can make a decent guess though)
  • john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @stodge

    'Like some Conservatives, you are terrified of your brittle leader having to respond to questions he doesn't like so to avoid that you keep him away from the electorate.'

    If you kept Clegg away it might do wonders for the Lib Dems fortunes.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041
    Dair said:

    In effect, were they to fire after an attack by Russia, they would be firing hours after the event with no country left to defend.

    That's MAD! ;)
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736

    Mr. Owls, pish!

    If Antigonus Monopthalmus could contest the mastery of the world in his eighties, I cannot believe you are so ancient that it is beyond you and your lady wife to have a happy birthday.

    Will give it a try.

    Practicing my smiling as we speak

    This thread has made that easier

    Bye for now
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    MikeL said:

    Cameron now has precious little leverage.

    Just about the only thing he has is that ITV would prefer a 7 person debate with Cameron on 25 March than a 6 person debate without Cameron on 2 April.

    So he will hope that ITV breaks ranks and moves its debate to 25 March.

    But even if ITV does that, it's hardly a huge win.

    As a Con supporter I feel Cameron has made a very bad mess of this and his chances of victory have gone down today.

    Finally the last thing he needs is another 3 weeks of every TV news programme asking "is he frightened?" He really needs to close the whole thing down right now.

    Courage and shuffle the cards - this game has a few more rounds yet !
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    RobD said:

    I wonder if they will try a compromise of one 7-way and one head-to-head, a week or so before the originally planned dates?

    No, I don't think so.

    The broadcasters made a very simple statement a few weeks ago and they've made another very simple statement today.

    Take what they say at face value. They will go ahead as planned.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    stodge said:

    felix said:


    Your last sentence explains your real motives which are clearly sfa to do with the democratic process.

    I have no idea what you mean by that.

    What is wrong with an audience of the general public asking David Cameron some searching questions ? What is wrong with David Cameron being asked about immigration totals and targets ?

    Like some Conservatives, you are terrified of your brittle leader having to respond to questions he doesn't like so to avoid that you keep him away from the electorate.
    Try reading your last sentence again, then take your silly party hat off and maybe your head will clear and you'll begin to get it. I won't hold my breath.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    SeanT said:

    Interesting, surprising and relevant. American public is now strongly in favour of sending US troops to fight ISIS, on the ground.

    http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/fixgov/posts/2015/03/04-isis-poll-survey-galston#.VPdmx_tqGas.twitter

    They won't be when the first serviceman appears on You Tube burning in a cage, or being disembowelled or whatever else those backward savages can conjure up.
    You might be surprised. The problem with the US is that they don't leave the fighting to soldiers/ generals - they leave it to the politicians and the TV News reporters (even if they do occasionally overstate their involvement). A wake up to the horrors of law would probably persuade even Obama to leave the fighting to the professionals. (Especially as the GOP would almost certainly get a boost in the OPs during military conflict given Obama's Benghazi moment)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,041
    MikeL said:

    RobD said:

    I wonder if they will try a compromise of one 7-way and one head-to-head, a week or so before the originally planned dates?

    No, I don't think so.

    The broadcasters made a very simple statement a few weeks ago and they've made another very simple statement today.

    Take what they say at face value. They will go ahead as planned.
    Tough negotiating strategy ;)
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    If the debates really don't happen then imo it's highly likely we'll get the lowest turnout ever for an election. A campaign consisting solely of party leaders doing photo-ops in supermarkets is just not going to catch the public imagination.
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262

    TGOHF said:

    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    What if the blues send along a mid level minister ? Will Ed and Nick lower themselves ?
    Of course as every answer will refer to Cowardly Cam not turning up.

    Politicians giggling and making chicken noises, isn't going to do much for their already badly tarnished reputation.

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    MikeL said:

    RobD said:

    I wonder if they will try a compromise of one 7-way and one head-to-head, a week or so before the originally planned dates?

    No, I don't think so.

    The broadcasters made a very simple statement a few weeks ago and they've made another very simple statement today.

    Take what they say at face value. They will go ahead as planned.
    Of course the other 6 will now waste the only one with Cam wittering on about Cam not being at the next one.

    Which should add to the hopelessness of proceedings.

  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    Gadfly said:

    BAW49 London/Seattle flight has done a U-turn over Scotland, dumped fuel over Morecambe bay. and now heading back into London...

    http://www.flightradar24.com/BAW49/5af9986

    Mechanical problem, returning to Heathrow where BA Engineering are based?
    Ah, not like the 'good old days' when sometimes they had to turn back because of stronger than anticipated headwinds and wouldn't have made it across...

    Once had a 747 engine blow taking off from Singapore (so pretty near max payload), circled a bit, dumped fuel (only got slightly nervous when I saw a TV mast we'd obviously turned to avoid sail past), back on the ground and off again (new plane) in under 90 minutes.....only later, viewing the video I'd been taking as we took off, did I see how much the wing had dipped.....

    Funniest one was Delta Tristar into Frankfurt.

    Pilot: 'Ladies and Gentlemen, we won't be immediately landing, but making a low pass over the airfield....(leave mike on).....well, they can see its down, but they can't tell if its locked'

    Stewardess runs up to cockpit...

    Pilot: 'Ladies and Gentlemen, you'll have gathered we've got a problem...'
  • MikeL said:

    Cameron now has precious little leverage.

    Just about the only thing he has is that ITV would prefer a 7 person debate with Cameron on 25 March than a 6 person debate without Cameron on 2 April.

    So he will hope that ITV breaks ranks and moves its debate to 25 March.

    But even if ITV does that, it's hardly a huge win.

    As a Con supporter I feel Cameron has made a very bad mess of this and his chances of victory have gone down today.

    Finally the last thing he needs is another 3 weeks of every TV news programme asking "is he frightened?" He really needs to close the whole thing down right now.

    Quite agree - Cameron really comes out of this very badly indeed. God help the Tories if this is typical of the type of hide away strategy they are intending to adopt throughout the campaign.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736

    TGOHF said:

    RobD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    RobD said:

    If Cameron was to only go to one debate, surely he should just go to the head-to-head? That's the only one that matters.

    I don't think he want's to give Ed a platform to look Prime Ministerial...

    But what will happen if the head-to-head goes ahead (ahem) without Cameron? If Clegg goes instead expect it to be 90 minutes of blue bashing.
    What if the blues send along a mid level minister ? Will Ed and Nick lower themselves ?
    Send in Hague.
    He is retiring early leaving you and N4E to foot the bill via your taxes!!

    Really am off now
  • marktheowlmarktheowl Posts: 169
    Surely Cameron has to turn up now? The downside of not debating Ed Miliband is surely greater than debating him and even a narrow loss or draw, which even if you think Miliband underrated and Cameron vastly overrated is the most likely outcome. Neither is Cicero, and any debate 'result' is likely to just reconfirm previous prejudices, with at best a narrow boost for Ed among those who see that he's actually capable of standing up straight if they've read the Mail (and that may not translate into many votes, just a bit more respect and civility). Plus The Sun will declare him the winner unless he actively shoots a peasant from his lecturn.

    The only reason I can think not to is if the Tories have a really vicious personal campaign against Ed to unleash, as debates are the ultimate opportunity to demand that a smear campaign is repudiated - that would also explain Cameron's desire to have one before the campaign - have the debate, then pour mounds of ordure on your opponent after he's able to directly respond (bleating to the press about it looks like whinging and merely repeats any smear and you can stay above the fray and maintain plausible deniability).
This discussion has been closed.