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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight one poll has a 1% LAB lead – the other has them lev
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight one poll has a 1% LAB lead – the other has them level-pegging
The big message for the Tories as we go into the last two months and a bit is that they need to have emphatic leads across a range of pollsters to be certain of coming top on seats. Unlike previous elections when you could compute these things relatively easily today it is so much hard to state anything with any certainty.
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Looking forward to the Tory/SNP coalition...
LAB maximum 270 seats probably 250
Next week's polls will be critical if two or more have Con leads next week I think we'll have reached genuine crossover with YouGov.
Tory lead 0.2% average of the five YouGovs
Lab lead 1.8% average of the six non-YouGovs.
For the ELBOW score so far this week (exc. Sunday YG, as tables awaited), overall, Lab are 0.8% ahead and then the split is:
Tory lead 0.2% ELBOW of four YouGovs (exc. Sunday YG)
Lab lead 1.7% ELBOW of the six non-YouGovs
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2915257/Top-Treasury-economist-questioned-police-claims-assaulted-prostitute-crack-cocaine-binge.html
On UNS that poll put the Tories on more seats than 2010.
But Vince Cable has just been a useless Minister...just Dr No to basically everything.
The Greens have sought to limit appearances by their leader, Natalie Bennett, during the potential leadership debates, only for the move to be blocked by the broadcasters.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/feb/28/natalie-bennett-green-party-limit-leader-screen-broadcasters
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2015/01/18/24CE497000000578-2915257-image-a-5_1421575523744.jpg
http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2015/01/18/24CE497000000578-2915257-image-a-5_1421575523744.jpg
I know because I was part of the sample
Good. The sooner he gets a bullet between the eyes the better.
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/571797760959258624
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/terrorism-in-the-uk/11442602/Cage-the-extremists-peddling-lies-to-British-Muslims-to-turn-them-into-supporters-of-terror.html
It amazing that the likes of BBC and Sky haven't done this kind of research before giving them the platform they did...and when they did post an article questioning if maybe CAGE aren't quite what they claim, their evidence against didn't mention half the stuff in this article (much of which is only a google search away).
Brook-Khan is the biggest match up in British boxing right now.
Mr Farage raised the prospect of another Tory defector ahead of polling day in an interview with The Telegraph on the sidelines of the party’s spring conference in Margate.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/conservative/11442067/Nigel-Farage-promises-another-Tory-defection-to-Ukip.html
Mayweather vs Pacman is going to be a huge event, but really it will be two boxers 5 years past their best.
Conservative = Watford!!
At the moment is 2-2!!!
George 'Vydra' Osborne will deliver the winner in March!!!!
Much that Mayweather is a pretty repulsive individual inside and outside the ring, he is able to out box / out think his opponents and I would expect him to do the same with Pacman. It wouldn't surprise me if it isn't that exciting as a fight, Mayweather just effective style that grinds out the points victory.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/feb/28/cpac-straw-poll-rand-paul-wins-scott-walker-surgin/
Froch-Golovkin would be a barnstormer if it were to happen. Edit: See WBA have mandated Ward-Froch. Thought Ward had retired he's been so inactive !
Has the polling data been published following the Lib Dems claim last week that their private polling had shown them to be 'competitive' in seats like Solihull?
You also misunderstand the roadmap. In the first instance the system will have some similarities to the current one (along with some differences as above) but the intention of the SNP is not that this is going to be fixed in stone, there could and almost certainly will be significant change over time, removal of the ridiculous and archaic Monarchy being one of the most obvious ones.
You seem to be advocating Direct Democracy, given that only one country on earth really attempts this, it may be beyond what will be decided by the Scottish people. It is not ruled out.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solihull_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_1990s
We won the GE by 7% in 1979 like 2010 and were 32,000 clear in Solihull!!!
How the * didn't we win this last time ?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!??!?!??!?!??!?!?!
Emwazi was a member of a secret Osama Bin Laden sleeper cell based in Britain called The London Boys, which planned to carry out atrocities in the West;
He was involved with a violent street gang who targeted the wealthy residents of Belgravia with stun guns;
Emwazi was arrested trying to force his way past security on to a passenger flight from Dar es Salaam in Tanzania to Johannesburg without a passport in 2009;
It is way too early to make predictions on what the GOP ticket will be, but for those willing to make a small bet if the odds are good enough, I'd suggest Walker-Fiorina.
http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-29126569
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/feb/28/mohammed-emwazi-isis-london-bomb-plot-links
(Balmoral is the personal property of the Windsor family, not a State property. Sandringham is also personal. The Castle of Mey is owned by a Trust, but it is a family trust with the Duke of Rothesay entitled to personal use of the property, not a state trust. Most of the others are owned by the nation).
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/02/28/politics/cpac-2015-straw-poll-results-rand-paul/index.html
Rooooooooot!!
Incidentally can no-one become a true Scot if they have a foreign name? If not Saxe-Coburg-Goetha then why are more recent migrants with names like Anwar or Dua able to be Scots?
By all means advocate abolition of the political aspects of the monarchy, but state confiscation of private property is a different matter.
The legal documents show how the suspect, originally from Ethiopia, has resisted deportation despite being a leading member of al-Shabaab, an al-Qaeda affiliate based in Somalia and responsible for a series of terrorist atrocities.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/terrorism-in-the-uk/11442643/Jihadi-Johns-friend-cannot-be-deported-from-Britain.html
In any case, any "private" transactions were undertaken with effectively public funds and as such the benefits of such transactions should transfer back to the state as a public good.
We will come with a late run - like Conservatives!!
'In any case, any "private" transactions were undertaken with effectively public funds and as such the benefits of such transactions should transfer back to the state as a public good.'
Did you copy that from Lenin's playbook?.
In fact as the left's clear aim is to roll out more and more benefits to ever less deserving individuals, as the countries biggest benefits scrounger Lizzie is the epitome of the socialist ideal.
I often find it curious how those who are keen to throw passports and then call British people who have got here within the last few years, despise our way of life and are willing to kill to turn our nation into the one they have left, yet a woman, who lets get all the facts:
Elizabeth Windsor was born in the UK and British from birth, her father was born in the uk and also british from birth, as was her mother. Her mothers father was born in the uk as was her mothers mother, her mothers mother mother and father were also born in the uk.
Her fathers mother and her father's father were both born in the uk, as was her fathers father father, and her fathers mother.
You kind of getting the point?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AWtCittJyr0
'In fact as the left's clear aim is to roll out more and more benefits to ever less deserving individuals'
At least scroungers is one thing your not short of, can't you hurry up and have another referendum.
Quite the contrary, regional nationalisms (with the exception of English nationalism obviously) have been fostered by the establishment (by which I mean the the broader internationalist establishment - you may be obsessed by London but believe it or not it spreads further) over a period of decades, and funded to match. Which is probably why you were so surprised when you got a media duffing up.
As for the trough, the largest trough (in Brussels) is the one your previous leader wished to deny Scots a referendum on was it not?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2973265/Was-London-hip-hop-jihadist-Jihadi-George-Rapper-turned-ISIS-fighter-one-called-Beatles-alongside-Mohammed-Emwazi.html